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UNDERSTANDING INEQUALITY AT
THE RIGHT SCALE
ERSA Congress Groningen 31 August 2017
Paolo Veneri
OECD
A comparative approach in OECD countries
Growing (income) inequality in the last two decades in
OECD countries
• Average Gini coefficient in the OECD area was 0.316 in 2014
against 0.301 in the mid 1990s
• Nationally, income inequality has increased in 13 out of 21 countries
(uneven inequality trends across countries)
• In emerging economies, though poverty has fallen in many cases,
income inequality remains significantly higher than among the most
unequal OECD countries.
• National averages mask important heterogeneity across places
Inequality between and
within regions
Source: Bartolini, D., S. Stossberg and H. Blöchliger (2016), "Fiscal Decentralisation and Regional Disparities", OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1330, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jlpq7v3j237-en.
Convergence of countries vs.
divergence of regions in the OECD
GDP per capita dispersion
is now greater within
countries than between
countries
4
Over the last decade inter-regional gaps have grown
in safety, income and environment and decreased in
education and access to services
Regional gaps in all
OECD countries in
well-being outcomes
(Theil index)
Beyond inter-regional disparities, income inequality is high within
regions: in some states in Mexico and United States and in Chilean
provinces Gini is much higher than the one in the country as a whole
Gini index in disposable income
(each point is the Gini index of disposable income of a region)
Source: OECD (2016), OECD Regions at a Glance. OECD Publishing, Paris
After the crisis, less unequal regions experienced a
relatively stronger economic growth
- Negative correlation between
income inequality and
subsequent GDP pc growth
after the economic crisis
- This relationship is relatively
stronger for more urbanised
regions (where inequality levels
are relatively higher)
Source: Royuela, Veneri, Ramos
(2014)
Inequality in cities
Are cities growing inclusively ?
9
On average, household incomes are 18% higher in
metropolitan areas than elsewhere
10
Metropolitan vs. non metropolitan household disposable income ratio by country
per equivalent household; 2014 or latest available year
Source: OECD (2016) Making cities work for all; OECD Publishing, Paris.
But in many countries cities are also more unequal
11
Gini coefficient of household disposable income, 2014
Source: Boulant, J., M. Brezzi and P. Veneri (2016), "Income Levels And Inequality in Metropolitan Areas:
A Comparative Approach in OECD Countries", OECD Regional Development Working Papers, No.
2016/06, OECD Publishing, Paris.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jlwj02zz4mr-en
There are large disparities in income inequality among
metro areas
12
Gini coefficients for household income in metropolitan areas, circa 2014
Metropolitan areas with minimum and maximum Gini coefficients, by country
Calgary Miami
Tux tla Gutiérrez
Brussels
Santiago
Paris
BariMalmö
GrazCopenhagen
Oslo
Québec
Albany
Rey nosa
Gent
Concepción
Saint-Etienne
Catania GöteborgLinz
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
CAN (11) USA (70) MEX (33) BEL (4) CHL (3) FRA (15) ITA (11) SWE (3) AUT (3) DNK (1) NOR (1)
Gin
i coeffi
cie
nt
for
hous
ehol
d d
isposa
ble
inco
me
Country (No. of metropolitan areas)
Maximum Minimum Country average
Larger cities are on average more unequal
13
Metropolitan population and income inequality, circa 2014
Metropolitan size and inequality, once controlled for income levels and country effect
Brussels
Antw erpen
Liège
Red Deer
Calgary
Lethbridge
Thunder Bay
Québec
Trois Rivières
Montreal
Sherbrooke
Toronto
Brant
Windsor
Iquique
Antofagasta
Calera
San Antonio
Rancagua
Linares
Temuco
Osorno
Punta Arenas
Paris
Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Rouen Roma
Milano
Napoli
Tijuana
Hermosillo
Rey nosa
Torreón
León Guadalajara
Pachuca de Soto
Mex ico City
Toluca
Oslo
Malmö
Portland
Buffalo
Albany
Boston
Clev eland
Omaha
New York
Philadelphia
Denv er
Cincinnati
Washington
San Francisco
Fresno
Las Vegas
Albuquerque
Memphis
Los Angeles
Atlanta
Dallas
Houston
Miami
McAllen
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Gin
i co
effi
cie
nt
(co
mp
one
nt p
lus r
esid
ua
ls)
City population (natural logarithm)
Metropolitan areas concentrate highly skilled people
14
Share of working-age population with tertiary education, 2012
Source: OECD (2016) Making cities work for all; OECD Publishing, Paris.
Fragmented Governance is correlated with higher
inequalities in cities
15
Fragmented metropolitan governance might foster segregation at the level of local units.
-.05
0
.05
.1.1
5
Ine
qu
alit
y b
etw
een
loca
l ju
risd
ictio
ns,
(C
om
po
ne
nt p
lus
resi
dua
l)
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1
Administrative fragmentation
Controlling for country
fixed effects and other
city characteristics
(i.e. income ,
population, spatial
structure), higher
administrative
fragmentation is
associated to higher
spatial segregation by
income in different
municipalities
(cf. Brezzi, Boulant &
Veneri, 2016)
• Spatial segregation: the geographical over-concentration of households with a similar income level
• The concentration of similar households in space is a natural phenomenon.
– Spatial segregation can foster positive externalities for those living in affluent and high quality neighbourhoods (Morrison, 2015)
– Growing up in an area where disadvantages are concentrated can be a life-long obstacle to opportunities available (Chetty & Hendren, 2015)
High inequality within cities can translate in
high level of spatial segregation
Levels of income segregation vary strongly across
OECD metropolitan cities – even within countries
Acapulco de Juárez
Dublin
Aarhus
Amsterdam
Brisbane
Auckland (AU)
Hamilton
Rotterdam
Tshwane
Ejsberg
Marseille
Gold Coast
Brasilia
Cariri
Emufuleni
Manchester
Bradford Rennes
Monterrey
Vancouver
Memphis
Portland
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
BRAUSAZAFGBRCANMEXDNKFRANLDAUSNZLIRL
Entropy index
In most of the observed countries the rich are
more segregated than the poor
1. Inequality goes beyond income: Adopt a multi-dimensional well-being metrics to design policy at the regional and urban scale
2. Inequality in cities also means spatial segregation
• Appropriate governance systems of metropolitan areas can reduce the cost of administrative fragmentation
• Housing, transport and public service provision should be integrated to reduce the bad sides of segregation
• Design policy at the relevant scale (beyond administrative boundaries)
How to tackle inequalities in cities?
Design policy through an integrated approach in key
policy domains (i.e. housing, spatial planning, transport,
education), at the right scale (beyond administrative
boundaries) and based on a metrics that account for
people's well-being
One-sentenced message for policy
makers at local level
References
Ahrend, R., Gamper C., Schumann A. (2014), The OECD Metropolitan governance survey. OECD Regional Development Working Papers , 2014/04. Boulant, J, Brezzi, M., Veneri, P. (2016), Income levels and inequality in OECD metropolitan areas. A Comparative Approach in OECD Countries”, OECD Regional Development Working Papers, 2016/06, OECD Publishing, Paris. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jlwj02zz4mr-en OECD (2015), The Metropolitan Century. Understanding Urbanisation and its Consequences, OECD Paris. OECD (2016) ,Regions at a Glance 2016, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/reg_glance-2016-en OECD (2016), Making Cities Work for All, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264263260-en OECD (2012), Redefining “Urban”: A New Way to Measure Metropolitan Areas, OECD Publishing. Royuela, V., P. Veneri and R. Ramos (2014), “Income Inequality, Urban Size and Economic Growth in OECD Regions”, OECD Regional Development Working Papers, 2014/10, OECD Publishing. Veneri P. (2017) “Urban Spatial Structure in OECD Cities: is Urban Population Decentralising or Clustering?”, Papers in Regional Science Veneri, P., Ruiz, V. (2016), “Rural-to-urban population growth linkages: evidence from OECD TL3 regions. Journal of Regional Science, Vol. 56(1), pp. 3-24.
5. Spatial inequality within metropolitan areas Both overall and between-units inequality have increased in most cases
22
Theil index of household disposable income in some capital metropolitan areas and its between component, around 2000 and 2013