un peacekeeping panacea or predicament?. post-cold war conflict threat of nuclear war is gone threat...
TRANSCRIPT
UN PeacekeepingUN Peacekeeping
Panacea or Panacea or Predicament?Predicament?
Post-Cold War ConflictPost-Cold War Conflict
Threat of nuclear Threat of nuclear war is gonewar is gone
End of Security End of Security Council paralysisCouncil paralysis
Success in Gulf Success in Gulf War IWar I
Intra-state v. Intra-state v. interstate conflictinterstate conflict
Rise of failed statesRise of failed states
Optimism Optimism FadesFades
SomaliaSomalia BosniaBosnia RwandaRwanda
History of UN History of UN PeacekeepingPeacekeeping
• 56 Suez• 60 Congo
Classifications of Classifications of PeacekeepingPeacekeeping
11stst Generation – Generation – Peace Peace MonitoringMonitoring
22ndnd Generation – Generation – Nation BuildingNation Building
33rdrd Generation – Generation – Peace MakingPeace Making
Diehl’s Criteria for Diehl’s Criteria for SuccessSuccess
Organizing Organizing AgencyAgency
a.a. Regional Regional OrganizationOrganization
b.b. Well equippedWell equipped
TimingTiminga.a. CeasefireCeasefire
b.b. Peace deal in Peace deal in placeplace
c.c. Pre-hostilitiesPre-hostilities
Diehl’s Criteria for Diehl’s Criteria for SuccessSuccess
Host State Host State ConsentConsent
NeutralityNeutrality GeographyGeography
a.a. InterpositionInterposition
b.b. VulnerabilityVulnerability
33rdrd Party Party CooperationCooperation
Mandate/MissionMandate/Mission
Other Peacekeeping Other Peacekeeping IssuesIssues
Who Pays? Who Who Pays? Who Serves?Serves?
A Permanent UN A Permanent UN army?army?
The right to intervene The right to intervene in a humanitarian in a humanitarian crisis, “The Obligation crisis, “The Obligation to Protect”to Protect”
Security Council Security Council ReformReform
22ndnd Generation or Nation Generation or Nation BuildingBuilding
Roland Paris – “ Roland Paris – “ The Limits of The Limits of Liberal Liberal Internationalism”Internationalism”
Are Democracy Are Democracy and Capitalism and Capitalism the right models the right models for nation for nation building?building?
International International Criminal Criminal
Court (ICC)Court (ICC)
Case Studies OTPCase Studies OTP
UNEF – SinaiUNEF – Sinai Bosnia Bosnia CyprusCyprus SomaliaSomalia RwandaRwanda Darfur?Darfur?
Can We Save Can We Save Darfur?....Congo?Darfur?....Congo?
Somalia?.......Mali?Somalia?.......Mali?
The Situation in DarfurThe Situation in Darfur AU Peacekeeping AU Peacekeeping
ForceForce Security Council Security Council
authorization for a authorization for a UN ForceUN Force
280k dead, 3 million 280k dead, 3 million displaceddisplaced
Muslim v. Christian?Muslim v. Christian? Arab v. African?Arab v. African? Global Climate Global Climate
Change?Change? Ceasefire?Ceasefire? Spillover into ChadSpillover into Chad
China and SudanChina and Sudan Chinese firms have invested $15 billion Chinese firms have invested $15 billion
since 1996 mostly in the oil industry since 1996 mostly in the oil industry boosting Sudanese government revenueboosting Sudanese government revenue
Offsetting US sanctions that have been in Offsetting US sanctions that have been in place since 1997place since 1997
%10 of China’s oil imports come from Sudan%10 of China’s oil imports come from Sudan China has rejected sanctions in the UN China has rejected sanctions in the UN
Security CouncilSecurity Council Oil revenue has allowed Sudan to wage war Oil revenue has allowed Sudan to wage war
in Darfurin Darfur China has built arms factories in Sudan China has built arms factories in Sudan
which have countered the UN arms which have countered the UN arms embargoembargo
Steven Spielberg and the OlympicsSteven Spielberg and the Olympics