ukrainian retail market’2015 who and how much?conclusions •autogas is on the rage.lpg/gasoline...

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Ukrainian retail market’2015: Who and how much?

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Page 1: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

Ukrainian retail market’2015:

Who and how much?

Page 2: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

THE LAST SURVIVOR

+16%

-17%

-6%

dynamic in 2015

Data – Consulting Group A-95

Except Crimea

Page 3: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

HIGHER AND HIGHER

Data – Consulting Group A-95

Page 4: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

NO DOUBTS

Data – Consulting Group A-95

56%

52%

43%

Page 5: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

WORLD TOP-12

Country Consumption, th tons Fleet, th cars Refueling sites

Korea 3780 2355 2001

Russia 2900 3000 4450

Turkey 2838 4076 10397

Thailand 1974 1070 1150

Poland 1645 2846 5460

Italy 1570 1970 3600

Japan 1123 226 1503

China 968 160 550

Ukraine 784 750 3000

Australia 725 470 3600

Mexico 720 230 2100

US 559 143 2931

Data –World LPG Association, Consulting Group A-95

Except Crimea

Page 6: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

ORIENTAL TALES

Data –World LPG Association, Consulting Group A-95

Except Crimea

Page 7: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

EVERYBODY LOVES LPG

Data – Consulting Group A-95

Except Crimea

Page 8: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

IMPORTANT PLAYER

Data – Consulting Group A-95

Page 9: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

FROM THE WEST

+8

+31

+30

+20

+20

+48

+32

+57 +22

+71

+38 +15

+6

+47 +17 +16

+55 +15

+11

+31 +28

+23 -71

-72

?

Increase in cash sales by the region, % 2014 to 2015

Data – Consulting Group A-95

Page 10: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

SALES VS NETWORK’2014

Number of sites

Dai

ly c

ash

sal

es p

er s

ite,

10

00

lite

rs

0,5

0,7

0,9

1,3

2,3

50 60 100 300 150

Page 11: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

Number of sites

Dai

ly c

ash

sal

es p

er s

ite,

10

00

lite

rs

0,5

0,7

0,9

1,3

2,3

50 60 100 150 300

SALES VS NETWORK (8 m 2015)

Page 12: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

HOW MUCH IS THE LPG?

Page 13: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

SALES VS PRICES (August 2015)

Daily cash sales per site, 1000 liters

Ret

ail p

rice

, UA

H/l

0,8 1 1,5 1,8

8,30

8,40

8,60

8,70

9,10

2,5 1,7 1,6

8,65

8,67

8,75

Page 14: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

MARGINS

0,00

2,00

4,00

6,00

8,00

10,00

12,00

14,00

16,00

01

.07

.20

14

15

.07

.20

14

29

.07

.20

14

12

.08

.20

14

26

.08

.20

14

09

.09

.20

14

23

.09

.20

14

07

.10

.20

14

21

.10

.20

14

04

.11

.20

14

18

.11

.20

14

02

.12

.20

14

16

.12

.20

14

30

.12

.20

14

13

.01

.20

15

27

.01

.20

15

10

.02

.20

15

24

.02

.20

15

10

.03

.20

15

24

.03

.20

15

07

.04

.20

15

21

.04

.20

15

05

.05

.20

15

19

.05

.20

15

02

.06

.20

15

16

.06

.20

15

30

.06

.20

15

14

.07

.20

15

28

.07

.20

15

11

.08

.20

15

25

.08

.20

15

08

.09

.20

15

22

.09

.20

15

Prices dynamics in Ukraine, UAH/l

Retail price (majors) DAF Domecstic auctions

Page 15: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

CONCLUSIONS

• Autogas is on the rage. LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled

• Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government is sleeping.

• LPG marketing is killed by discounts.

• Quality is foundation stone for future development. And it is

• LPG storages is pledge of future success. Market players matured 2 years later forecast.

Page 16: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

SAVE THE DATE!

Page 17: Ukrainian retail market’2015 Who and how much?CONCLUSIONS •Autogas is on the rage.LPG/gasoline ratio is unexampled •Market is growing in a “wild” way… Meanwhile government

Спасибо за внимание!

Consulting Group A-95

02095 Kyiv,

1, Sribnokilska, st. office 269

[email protected]

http://consulting.a95.ua

Tel./Fax: (044) 577-52-25, 577-51-66

Thank you for your attantion!...