uk malaysia symposium - getting r&d priority areas right

2012. UK-Malaysia Partners in Science Symposium

Getting R&D Priorities Right

Rushdi Abdul Rahim

28th February 2012


Science & Technology Support

BACKGROUND

• National Technology Foresight study commissioned by MOSTI in September 2010;

• National Science & Research Council approved on Dec 2010 by the Cabinet.


R&D GOVERNANCE

Priority Setting Mechanism for R&D

R&D Evaluation & Outcome Monitoring

Prime Minister’s Office

EXPERT WORKING GROUPS

Environmental Sciences

Advanced Materials Sciences

NATIONAL SCIENCE & RESEARCH COUNCIL

Agriculture Sciences

Life Sciences

Chemical Sciences

Mathematics & Physical Sciences

Computer Sciences & ICT

Health & Medical Sciences

Engineering Sciences

Humanities & Social Sciences

Secretariat MOSTI


THE NEEDS

• National R&D Priority Areas for :

– Streamlining national scientific research areas,

– Efficient distribution & utilisation of public funds,

– Focus in the strength & niche of Malaysia,

– Advancing Malaysian research and innovation to benefit the community; and

– Intensifying R&D funding (GERD).

• Strategic R&D Directions and Framework by:

– Establishing the National Science Act; and

– Formulation of the National Science, Technology & Innovation Policy.


THE APPROACH

Taking the mandates spelt out by the NSRC, the following was undertaken in prioritizing the R&D areas:

• Establishment of National R&D Framework

• Engagement of Expert Working Groups which represents 10 disciplines

• Analysis of existing National Focus Areas

• Benchmarking & comparative analysis of international R&D areas

• Assessment of global & local mega trends & issues

• Analysis of Malaysia’s R&D strengths & weaknesses as well as analyzing its opportunities & threats


VISION 2020/NEM

HIGH INCOME FULLY DEVELOPED NATION & ECONOMY

R&D PRIORITY AREAS

High Income Inclusiveness Sustainability

R&D GOALS

Strategies • Develop • Partnership • Acquire

Legal Framework

TRENDS & DRIVERS

New Discoveries & Knowledge Generation

Competitiveness Societal Wellbeing

CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

FUN

DIN

G

PO

LICIE

S

Human Capital Infrastructure Facilities

Support

Competencies

Career Path

Areas 1 Areas 2 Areas 3 Areas 4

ISSUES & PROBLEMS

NATIONAL R&D FRAMEWORK

SCENARIOS

Foresight


Applying the Composite Science and Technology Innovation Index (COSTII) set of indicators, Malaysia ranked significantly behind in R&D intensity compared to other OECD countries

Item Indicators

Activities

Investment in R&D

1. Total amount of R&D investment (million USD, PPP) 2. Ratio of total R&D investment per GDP 3. R&D investment per researcher 4. Ratio of industrial R&D investment vis-à-vis GDP

Entrepreneurial Activities

1. Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) (Age group of 18 to 64) 2. Ratio of investment of venture capital vis-à-vis GDP

BENCHMARKING S&T DEVELOPMENT


BENCHMARKING FOCUS AREAS COUNTRIES GERD/GDP (%) AREAS

South Korea • Automotive • Shipbuilding • Machinery & manufacturing • Semiconductor • Display • IT based convergent technologies • Medical & healthcare • Advance logistic • Communication & broadcasting • Construction • Space & Ocean • Nuclear • Health & safety • Energy & resources • Climate change & environment • Convergent/composite material •

Finland • ICT • Electronics / electro-technical • Machine / metal products • Forestry •

Japan • Life sciences • IT • Nanotech • Materials • Environmental sciences • Energy • Infrastructure • Oceans • Outer space •

Singapore • Environmental and Water Technologies • Interactive and Digital Media • Manufacturing clusters ; electronics, chemicals, engineering and biomedical sciences •

UK • Arts and Humanities • Biotechnology and Biological Sciences • Engineering and Physical Sciences • Economic and Social • Medical • Natural Environment • Science and Technology Facilities • Defence •

China • Energy resources and environmental protection • IT, new materials and manufacturing • Agriculture, population and health • Space and ocean technology • Basic sciences and frontier technology •

Brazil • Biotechnology • Nanotechnology • Biofuels • renewable bio-energy •

Malaysia

4.0

3.45

3.18

2.60

1.73

1.50

1.28

0.82


6 national key result areas

12 national key economic areas

11 development areas

12 manufacturing sectors 8 non government business areas

9 National technology foresight areas 6 Mega science areas

Niche priority areas

NATIONAL FOCUS AREAS


FOCUS AREAS COMPARISONS


STAKEHOLDERS ENGAGEMENT


• Reduce dependency of import on staple food and increase the level of self sufficiency

LON

G T

ER

M

GO

ALS

FOOD SECURITY

Local • Malaysia's food imports considerably outstrips it export bill.

In 2010, Malaysia's food import bill amounted to RM 40.5 billion for agricultural based products.

• In the ETP, food security issues are highlighted in agriculture key economic area . Total of RM18.9 billion would be invested to boost food supply.

• The total Malaysia fisheries production has increased from RM 5.2 billion in 2005 to RM 8.6 billion in 2009; a growth of 64.9%. However, 70% of the fish are imported.

Global • The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook (2009-2018)

predicts that demand for food will grow by 50 % by 2030 and 70 % by 2050. By 2050, it is expected that the world's population will reach a staggering 9 billion.

• More people die each year from hunger and malnutrition than from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria combined . In 2009, the FAO projects world hunger to reach a historic high with 1.02 billion people going hungry every day.

• The World Bank estimates that one hectare of land will need to feed 5 people in 2025, whereas in 1960 one hectare was required to feed only 2 people.

• More people die each year from hunger and malnutrition than from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria combined . In 2009, the FAO projects world hunger to reach a historic high with 1.02 billion people going hungry every day.

FAC

TS

/ ME

GA

TR

EN

DS

• Improvement of animal feedstock and breeding of food crops adapted to climate change;

• Exploitation of biodiversity for novel food/feed. Source: US Dept. of Agriculture; Food &

Agricultural Policy Research Institute

FOC

US

A

RE

AS


Yield

still unrealised

70% are imported

7.6% price increase

700 million coconuts needed a year but was only 400 million was

produced annually

Price for deep sea fishes had increased between 20% and 30%

Market prices of imported mutton from Australia has gone up on an average of

12%

Current paddy yield was just ≈

3.7 tonnes

GLOBAL FOOD OUTPUT WILL HAVE

TO RISE BY 70%

Many reasons explain the present escalation in food prices. Climate change is one. The use of food crops to produce fuel for vehicles is another factor. Related to this is the scarcity of land areas for agriculture. While increase in global population particularly middle class in recent years led to significant growth in food consumption.

INFLATION

4.6 %

8.4% 10.2%

11.7%

6.2%

≈ 930 tonnes unconsumed food discarded daily Doubled over the past three years.

FOOD

FOOD SECURITY

http://findicons.com/files/icons/790/fruits_illustrated/128/coconut.png

http://findicons.com/files/icons/1003/poisson/128/2_fish.png


10 EWGs

PRIORITIZATION PROCESS • Alignment to national priorities • Economic & industrial impact • Knowledge generation • Social & societal impact • National competitiveness • Novelty

• Application potential & diffusion

• Cost effectiveness • Material & infrastructure • People & competencies • Technology readiness &

maturity • Time horizon of impact

Feasibility Attractiveness

National Issues

Global Issues

> 500 Candidates of research areas

x R&D PRIORITY AREAS


EWGs CONSULTATION


Areas in relation to the general well being of the nation and the society, addressing national issues as well as those that will enable the country to cope with global issues

Knowledge generation & strengthening the areas of fundamental science, social sciences as well as the cross cutting & converging technologies

National & Global Issues

S&T Enablers

THE RECOMMENDATIONS

• Cyber Security • Energy Security • Environment & Climate Change • Food Security

• Medical & Healthcare • Plantation Crops & Commodities • Transport & Urbanization • Water Security


MOVING FORWARD

Initiatives in progress to achieve the following:-

• Endorsement & adoption of the National R&D Priority areas;

• Policies to increase the allocation of >1% GERD/GDP ;

• Creation of Programmes for High Impact R&D in the priority areas identified.


Dato' Dr. Mahani Zainal Abidin Member National Economic Advisory Council

“What is being done today is to set or mapped out the technology foresight but the utmost important thing is to explain and illuminate to the industry and the stakeholders, which include researchers and policy makers about the findings and the likely technologies going to be in the future. I believe that what we are doing today is just the beginning… there is still a lot more work to do after this…”

Dr. Kamarulzaman "Dr. K" Mohamed Zin Chief Executive Officer

Silterra Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.

“The basic human weakness is we tend to overestimate the short-term impact but at the same time under

estimate the long-term impact. The Government needs to consistently ask question. But the fact that

we are going through the process of Foresight shows that we are at a good start…”

Tan Sri Dato’ Dr Ahmad Mustafa Babjee Fellow Akademi Sains Malaysia

“Foresight is important every where in the world because there is a need to learn from the past and the present in order to shape the future. Forecasting by imagination is insufficient …This attempt is just a start and must be continued…”

STAKEHOLDERS THOUGHTS


Thank You

[email protected]

uk malaysia symposium - getting r&d priority areas right

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