ubiquitous location - institute of navigation · 2014-09-16 · scientific market into mainstream...
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1 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Ubiquitous Location:challenges and opportunities of enabling all-day, everywhere location for all mobile platforms
CSNC, Nanjing
May 22, 2014
Greg Turetzky
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2 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Abstract: Ubiqitous Location: challenges and opportunities of enabling all-day,
everywhere location for all mobile platforms from cars to tablets to watches.
GPS became a commercially viable location technology in the early 1980s.
Over the ensuing 30 years, GPS products have evolved from a primarily military and
scientific market into mainstream consumer products. It is estimated that over 1 billion
GPS chips are now shipped every year. And yet, there are still new frontiers to conquer.
GPS has evolved to GNSS and now the challenge is simply location, and in particular,
indoor location. This talk will focus on the unique challenges of indoor location both
from an application perspective and a silicon technology perspective to meet the
opportunity presented by having location in every device that moves.
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3 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Agenda
• Opportunity
• GNSS market history
• The new opportunity: Indoor Location
• Challenges
• Specifications and KPIs
• Silicon
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Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Opportunity
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5 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
GNSS market history
• GNSS penetration worldwide increased from 5% in 2006 to 20% in 2012.
• Global shipments of GNSS-enabled LBS devices have grown from 150 million to 800 million in the last five years (40% CAGR).
Source: GSA GNSS Market Report
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6 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
GNSS market continues to grow at a rapid pace
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Un
its
(bill
ion
s)
Installed base of GNSS devices by region
EU27 North America Rest of the World
CAGR: 22%
CAGR: 9%
Source: GSA GNSS Market Report
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7 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
GNSS – Multi Constellation Trends
Source: GSA GNSS Market Report
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8 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
GNSS Market Segment - By Revenue
Source: GSA GNSS Market Report
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9 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Major shifts in underlying platforms
Time MainVolumePlatform
KeyUseCase
FeaturedSpecification
SecondarySpecification
Early 2000s PND Urban Canyon Sensitivity TTFF
Mid 2000s Feature Phone
E911 TTFF Sensitivity
2010 - today SmartPhone
LBS ActivePower
Availability(MultiGNSS)
Coming Soon Wearables ContinuousLocation
AveragePower
Availability(Hybrid)
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10 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Alternative Location Technology ShipmentsWorld Market, Forecast: 2010 to 2018
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(Mill
ions)
Celluar
Bluetooth-enabled
Wi-Fi-enabled
NFC-enabled
GPS-enabled
Inertial Sensors
Audio
Other (Nextnav, Boeing, etc.)
Source: ABI Location Technologies Market Data
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11 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Wearable Computing• Smart Watches• Clothing• Sports/Fitness trackers• Healthcare Monitors• Glasses/Goggles• Cameras
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12 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Indoor Location Technology Installations, Split by Vertical Market
World Market, Forecast: 2010 to 2018
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Mill
ion
s
Other
Shopping Center Malls
Universities/Educational Institutions
Sports Venues/Stadiums
Hotels/Resorts
Airports
Small Retail Stores
Dining/Beverage
Food and Grocery
Source: ABI Location Technologies Market Data
Highly fragmented supplier base
And a complex value chain• Chipset vendors• OS Providers• Device OEMs• Service Providers• Application Developers• Venue operators
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13 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Opportunity summary
• The market opportunity for location is clearly huge and still growing
• It has expanded from GPS to GNSS and now to Location
• Indoor location is the next big opportunity
• Not as a standalone opportunity, but rather because it enables “always located” capability
• Always located is a requirement for devices that are always with us and always need context
• Phones, tablets, wearables and internet of things are good examples of known needs
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Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Challenges
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15 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Specifications and KPI
• Remember ION-STD-101: Recommended Test Procedure for GPS Receivers (Jan 1997)
Importance to Customer
Test type Setup WhenPublished
Indoor Devices
Initialized TTFF Coarse Pos/TimeNo Eph
High Not applicable
Warm Start Coarse Pos/TimeEph
Medium Low
Reacq Static vs. Block Time High Low
Static accuracy Surveyed benchmark Medium Low
Dynamic Accuracy Moving vehicle Medium High
RFI In band, loss of lock Low High
• Most of these no longer apply and new ones have arisen in their place
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16 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Requirements Summary
• Always located creates new requirements for devices
• Availability at 100%
• Multi-technology fusion since no single technology can achieve this in a reasonable infrastructure cost
• Power consumption that allows a minimum of 16 hours of usage (full day) between charges
• Standby power is MORE important than active power
• Accuracy that can vary to support multiple applications
• Size constraints driven by wearables
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17 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Impacts of new requirements on silicon design
• Standby power reduction impacts
• SRAM is the leakiest component of typical design
• Needs to be reduced or ideally eliminated
• Non-continuous fix methods
• Ability to quickly save and restore state information
• Hybrid location solutions
• Support measurements from multiple radios
• Need to share radios, not duplicate chains
• Increased integration of of multiple radios on single die
• Need more interference rejection capability
• Ability to support concurrent radio operation on single die
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18 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
2 Year Technology Cycles
90 nm
2003
45 nm
2007
65 nm
2005
32 nm
2009
22 nm
2011
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19 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
1
10
100
1000
10000
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
10
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
nmMicron0.7x every
2 years45nm
22nm32nm
Transistor Scaling improve performance
In GNSS, this means more gates and more memory for less cost. Improves TTFF and sensitivity by allowing more search capability
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20 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
2.0
um
1.5
um
1.0
um
.70
um
.50
um
.35
um
.25
um
.18
um
.13
um
90
nm
65
nm
45
nm
32
nm
22
nm
14
nm
Re
lative
Gate Delay (CV/I)
SwitchingEnergy(CV2)
Higher clock speed provide better search and more complex navigation algorithmsLower energy improves power consumption in full power tracking modes
Scaling also increases speed and reduces power
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21 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
0.0001
0.001
0.01
0.1
1
2.0
um
1.5
um
1.0
um
.70
um
.50
um
.35
um
.25
um
.18
um
.13
um
90
nm
65
nm
45
nm
32
nm
22
nm
14
nm
Re
lative
Gate Delay (CV/I)
SwitchingEnergy(CV2)
IOFF
IJUNC
IGATE
But at the expense of increased leakage
This hurts standby power and the ability to save state for lower fix rates and fast restarts
Gate
Source Drain
Substrate
IOFF
IJUNC
IGATE
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22 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Transistor Performance vs. Leakage
GNSS requirements are looking more like low power than high performance
Low
er T
ran
sist
or
Leak
age
Lo
wer
Tra
nsi
sto
r Le
akag
e
Higher Transistor Performance (Switching Speed)Higher Transistor Performance (Switching Speed)
High Perf.
Std Perf.
Low Power
Ultra Low Power
32nm45nm1x
0.1x
0.01x
0.001x
65nm 22nm
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23 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Transistor Performance vs. Leakage
Low
er T
ran
sist
or
Leak
age
Lo
wer
Tra
nsi
sto
r Le
akag
e
Higher Transistor Performance (Switching Speed)Higher Transistor Performance (Switching Speed)
32nm45nm1x
0.1x
0.01x
0.001x
65nm 22nm
LaptopUltrabook™
Tablet
Pocket Device
Server
Desktop
Wider range of transistors to support a wider range of products
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24 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Design Challenges for GNSS
• Take advantage of benefits of smaller geometries
• Higher clock speeds, more memory, lower active power, smaller size
• While greatly reducing standby power from leakage
• New methodologies at chip and system design level
• Integrate multiple radios on single die to reduce cost and size
• Without creating interference to a very sensitive GNSS radio
• Integrate multiple radio sources into a single location solution
• Bring together a disparate value chain
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25 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
Intel’s plan
• Bring our advanced silicon process technology to location
• Provide GNSS and Location silicon with best in class performance
• Bring our platform level integration capability to merge multiple location technologies
• Intel CPU cores provide ideal platform to integrate hardware and software for GNSS, BT, WiFi and cellular
• Bring this capability to multiple products from tablets and phone to wearables
• Ubiquitous location capability will improve the experience of every mobile product
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26 Copyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reservedCopyright © 2014 Intel Corporation. All rights reserved
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