tshwane growth and development strategy towards integrating public transport and urban planning...
TRANSCRIPT
Tshwane Growth and Development Strategy
Towards Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning
Presented by: Jan Coetzee Pr Eng
Part of the Comprehensive Integrated Transport Plan team
7 September 2012
Which statement is true for Tshwane Residents ?
1. Owning and driving a car is convenient, and a status symbol
2. Driving with your car to work has become socially and morally unacceptable
Facts about South Africa / Tshwane
• Private vehicle ownership will grow (per capita of the population) as people become more affluent
• Public Transport utilization in SA is high compared to developed countries – due to captive market and is likely to go down
• The existing environment makes it difficult to implement new policies / strategies – Taxi industry, settlement patterns, social and political structure
• Tshwane has 2100 km of gravel roads in residential areas – will cost R 6,5 billion to pave
• Tshwane covers a large geographical area – approximately 100 km north-south and 120 km east-west
• All role players underestimate the time it takes to implement travel behavior changes – it takes a generation
(Gautrain was conceptualized in 1997, 15 years ago)
SA 1962, 66 veh/100
SA 2002, 152 veh / 1000
Car ownership in SA
Source: Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030, Joyce Dargay, Dermot Gately and Martin Sommer, January 2007
Travel Time Surveys
Surveys done for Tshwane show speeds of less than 30 km/h during the morning peak hour (red)
What should our Modal split be
• Germany: 60% by car, Public Transport 8%, Cycle 9%, Foot 23%
• America 89% by car, 8% on foot, 2% public transport and 1 % bicycle
Source: “Determinants of Transport mode choice: A comparison of Germany and the USA, Ralph Buehler
• In SA Public transport in Cities is more than 50% - as high as 70%. Although a captive market – we will have to do everything we can to keep it there
What is necessary to ensure integration of land use and public transport
• Political will
• Organizational Structure within City Departments – facilitate integration and co-operation
• Legislation and by laws
• Monitoring and control
• Realistic targets
• Avoid blindly following trends / perceptions – MCDC corridor ??
• BRT ?
Factors that influence modal choice
Toolbox – Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning (1 / 2)
Toolbox – Integrating Public Transport and Urban Planning (2 / 2)
Proposed Light Rail / BRT Ring route
Mamelodi
Irene
CBD
Thank you
We normally overestimate what will happen in 1 year, and we underestimate what will happen 10 years.
Bill Gates, Microsoft