true’s outlook on tdd spectrum€™s o… · fdd-tdd joint carrier aggregation available mobile...
TRANSCRIPT
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TRUE’s Outlook on TDD Spectrum Requirements
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Welcome
Agenda Thailand Mobile Market
Introduction to True
Data usage demand
TD-LTE Advantage and Opportunity
Keys take away
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Thailand Telecoms Market – Overview
67 million
88 millionMobile user
Thailand Population
4.9 millionFixed Line user
6.7 millionBroadband user
7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 10% 11% 11% 12% 15% 17% 19% 22% 25%21% 28% 35% 40%53%
72%83% 88%
98% 105%113%
122% 126%104% 107%
28%34%
42% 47%
61%
80%93%
99%109%
117%128%
139%145%
126%131%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Thailand Mobile Penetration
Post-Paid Pre-Paid Mobile Penetration
Source : NBTC, Information as of 2016Q3
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Thailand Telecoms Market - Growth
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
百万
Broadband Fixed Subscriber Mobile Subscriber
Source : NBTC information as of Oct 2016CAGR : Calculated from 2011 to 2016
No. of Subscription
CAGR = 2.7%
Mobile
Fixed Line CAGR = 12%Broadband
5-Years CAGR
Source : Ericsson Digital Thailand Report, Oct 2016
CAGR = -5.7%
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Introduction to True
True Group -Thailand’s convergence lifestyle leader
Pay TV
• #1 Broadband Operator
Nationwide and #1 Fixed-
line operator in BMA
• 41.5% broadband revenue
market share
• 2.4 mn broadband
subscribers
• With largest over 100,000
WiFi hotspots
• Market Leader in 3G & 4G
high speed mobile data service
• Thailand’s largest licensed
frequency resources covering
all ecosystems
• 3G & 4G networks cover 98%
population coverage
• 20.8% revenue market share
• 19.1 mn subscribers
• Thailand’s #1 nationwide
pay TV provider
• 55% revenue market share
• 3.1 mn subscribers
• Enhanced, secure HD
broadcasting system with
MPEG-4
• 41 self produced Thai
language channels
Wireline/onlineMobile Group Wireline/Online
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Mobile Network Evolution
2002 20172010 2016
3G Trial
1st 3G commercial network in Thailand
1st 4G LTE network in Thailand
2011 2013
GSM on 1800 MHz
1st LTE-Advanced 3CC networkThe Most 4G coverage in Thailand 98% Pop. Cov.384
kbps
21 Mbps
42 Mbps
GSM EDGE
HSPA
HSPA+
75 Mbps
4G LTE(10MHz)
225Mbps
4G LTE-A 3CC(10+15+5 MHz)
>400Mbps
4G LTE-A 3CC, 4x4MiMo, 256Qam(10+15+5 MHz)
2018
LTE-Advanced Pro MBB deployments and trials
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0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Jan
-13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-
13
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Jan
-14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-
14
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Jan
-15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-
15
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Jan
-16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Jul-
16
Sep
-16
Average 3G 4G
Data Usage
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
Jan13
Apr13
Jul13
Oct13
Jan14
Apr14
Jul14
Oct14
Jan15
Apr15
Jul15
Oct15
Jan16
Apr16
Mo
nth
ly D
ata
Usa
ge N
atio
nw
ide
(P
B)
Monthly Data Usage (PB) Monthly Data Usage per Sub (MB)
4G
3G
Average
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LTE Spectrum Bandwidth Demand
The area requires more bandwidth
Currently, True has spectrum 2x55MHz(2x40MHz owned by True and 2x15 MHz as reseller) and True has deployed 2x30MHz for FDD-LTE.
IMT Roadmap in Thailand (NBTC)
2100 MHz
MHz
2300 MHz
2600 MHz
450 MHz
700 MHz
800/900 MHz
1500 MHz
1800/1900 MHz
2x15MHz
2x25MHz*
2x15MHz
* Including 2x15MHz of 850MHz as CAT reseller
1975915129
11460 9571 7678
1517
5624
56944853
4769
14478
3324
37593128
59704
22432794
89720
196417
73620
2
55 22911 405 68
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Y2016 Y2017 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020
10 MHz 20 MHz 30 MHz 40 MHz 50 MHz 60 MHz 70 MHz 80 MHz >80 MHz
Up to 2x70MHz Up to 2x80MHz > 2x80MHz
No
. of
site
s
NBTC Allocation
2x45MHz
2x75MHz
2x60MHz
60MHz
Y2025
Y2023
Y2025
Y2022
TD-LTE is also planed for FWA service.
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TD-LTE Opportunity
TDD Spectrum
TDD Bandwidth
1.9 GHz (B39)1880 – 1920 MHz
2.3 GHz (B40)2300 – 2400 MHz
2.6 GHz (B38)2570 – 2620 MHz
2.6 GHz (B41)2496 – 2690 MHz
3.6 GHz (B42/43)3400 – 3800 MHz
40 MHz 100 MHz 50 MHz 194 MHz 400 MHz
700 MHz (B44)703 – 803 MHz
100 MHz
• Wider Bandwidth for TDD Spectrum
• Potential TDD Spectrum in spectrum band below and above 6 GHz for 5G
Core Band for 5G Supplementary Band for 5G
3
Millimeter wave
• Potential TDD Spectrum in ThailandBand 40, 2300 MHz : 70 MHz BandwidthBand 38, 2600 MHz : 50 MHz Bandwidth
• New business opportunity TD-LTE for FWA service
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Concerns
True operates 2G, 3G and 4G in two network codes on both licensing and Netco/Opco model as a joint venture. The key concerns to manage network are :
- Inter working of multi technologies- Inter working of multi vendors- Inter working of multi PLMNs- Readiness of ecosystem
- 54% of 4G devices in True network support FDD+TDD- But for FDD + TDD CA only one commercial UE can be seen
Samsung Ezynos8 ChipsetLTE Category 12(600Mbps DL), Category 13(150Mbps UL) /
FDD-TDD Joint Carrier Aggregation
Available Mobile chipset and deviceL1800
L2100
U2100
L900
G900
U850
3G
2G
4G
PLM
N 0
40
00
4Vendor
AVendor
BVendor
CVendor
D
FDD&TDD spectrum
Samsung Galaxy S6 Edge Samsung Galaxy Note 5
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Keys Take away
- FDD-LTE spectrum is used to provide baseline coverage for customers. TD-LTE can be used as capacity layer for higher speeds.
- TD-LTE for FWA service.- TD-LTE device ecosystem is mature to support for TD-LTE network
deployment.- Although Carrier aggregation between FDD-LTE and TD-LTE is standardized
but the availability of supported devices is still concerned.
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