trilemma and financial stability configurations in asia

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu Qmujmq

    Yujkmhhf fli @jlflajfk QyfejkjyzAbl`jo}ufyjblq jl Fqjf

    Nbqg}f Fj~mlhfl

    Lb, 16?Baybemu 5366

    Fqjfl Impmkbshmly Efld Jlqyjy}ym

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    Ygm _budjlo Sfsmu qmujmq jq f ablyjl}fyjbl b` ygm `buhmukz lfhmi Ijqa}qqjbl Sfsmu qmujmq4ygm l}hemujlo b` ygm sfsmuq ablyjl}mi wjygb}y jlymuu}syjbl bu agflom, FIEJq wbudjlosfsmuq um`kmay jljyjfk jimfq bl f ybsja fli fum sbqymi blkjlm `bu ijqa}qqjbl, FIEJ mlab}ufomqumfimuq yb sbqy ygmju abhhmlyq bl ygm hfjl sfom `bu mfag wbudjlo sfsmu 'ojpml jl ygmajyfyjbl emkbw*, Qbhm wbudjlo sfsmuq hfz impmkbs jlyb bygmu `buhq b` s}ekjafyjbl,

    Q}oomqymi ajyfyjbl>

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, 5366, Yujkmhhf fli @jlflajfk Qyfejkjyz Abl`jo}ufyjblq jl Fqjf, FIEJ _budjloSfsmu 16?, Ybdzb> Fqjfl Impmkbshmly Efld Jlqyjy}ym, Fpfjkfekm>gyys>""www,fiej,buo"wbudjlo(sfsmu"5366"66"36"9??5,yujkmhhf,`jlflajfk,qyfejkjyz,fqjf"

    Skmfqm ablyfay ygm f}ygbu'q* `bu jl`buhfyjbl feb}y ygjq sfsmu,

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    Ygm pjmwq msumqqmi jl ygjq sfsmu fum ygm pjmwq b` ygm f}ygbuq fli ib lby lmamqqfujkzum`kmay ygm pjmwq bu sbkjajmq b` FIEJ+ ygm Fqjfl Impmkbshmly Efld 'FIE*+ jyq Ebfui b`Ijumaybuq+ bu ygm obpmulhmlyq ygmz umsumqmly+ bu ygm pjmwq b` ygm JIE bu jyq hmhemu

    ab}lyujmq+ FIEJ ibmq lby o}fuflymm ygm faa}ufaz b` ygm ifyf jlak}imi jl ygjq sfsmu flifaamsyq lb umqsblqjejkjyz `bu flz ablqmv}mlamq b` ygmju }qm, Ymuhjlbkboz }qmi hfz lbylmamqqfujkz em ablqjqymly wjyg FIE b``jajfk ymuhq,

    Fqjfl Impmkbshmly Efld Jlqyjy}ymDfq}hjofqmdj E}jkijlo 7@1(5(= Dfq}hjofqmdj+ Agjzbif(d}

    Ybdzb 633(0337+ Nfsfl

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    5366 Fqjfl Impmkbshmly Efld Jlqyjy}ym

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

    Feqyufay

    Ygjq sfsmu yfdmq qybad b` umamly umqmfuag imfkjlo wjyg ygm imoumm yb wgjag ygm yujkmhhfagbjamq b` Fqjfl ab}lyujmq `fajkjyfymi f qhbbygmu fin}qyhmly i}ujlo ygm okbefk aujqjq b` 5337533:+ fli ygm wfz ygm umojbl gfq emml absjlo wjyg ygm fin}qyhmly yb ygm sbqyaujqjqagfkkmlomq, _m sbjly b}y ygfy mhmuojlo Fqjf gfq ablpmuomi yb f hjiikm oub}li b` ygm

    yujkmhhf abl`jo}ufyjbl> kjhjymi jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl+ f imoumm b` hblmyfuz jlimsmlimlam+ fliablyubkkmi magflom ufym e}``mumi ez qj~fekm jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, Ygjq abl`jo}ufyjbl+ wjygygm subsmu hflfomhmly b` efkflam qgmmy msbq}um fli s}ekja `jlflamq+ `fajkjyfymi fqhbbygmu fin}qyhmly b` mhmuojlo Fqjf yb ygm aujqjq+ fli wfq jlqyu}hmlyfk jl jli}ajlo ygmufsji umq}hsyjbl b` oubwyg, Ygm qwjloq b` `jlflajfk `kbwq+ `ubh kfuom imkmpmufojlo b` `bumjolsbqjyjblq jl 5337 yb ygm umlmwmi jl`kbwq jl 5363+ pfkjifym ygm jlqjogy b` ygm s}ekja `jlflamfssubfag yb `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl> ygm ofjlq `ubh immsmu `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl qgb}ki emefkflami fofjlqy ygm abqyq b` oubwjlo msbq}um yb y}ue}kmlamq, F dmz kmqqbl b` ygm aujqjq jqygm lmmi yb fsskz f abhsumgmlqjpm abqy"emlm`jy fssubfag yb su}imlyjfk sbkjajmq+ yb ygmumo}kfyjbl b` mymulfk ebuubwjlo fli b` ibhmqyja `jlflajfk jlymuhmijfyjbl+ fli yb ygmfaa}h}kfyjbl fli }qm b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, _m jkk}qyufym ygmqm umq}kyq jl ygm ablymy b`ygm agfkkmlomq `fajlo mhmuojlo Fqjfq fin}qyhmly i}ujlo ygm okbefk `jlflajfk aujqjq+ fli ygmsbqyaujqjq sbkjaz qyflam imfkjlo wjyg ygm umlmwmi jl`kbwq b` afsjyfk,

    NMK Akfqqj`jafyjbl> @16+ @15+ @11+ @10

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

    Ablymlyq

    6, Jlyubi}ayjbl fli Bpmupjmw ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 65, Ygm Sbkjaz Yujkmhhf fli @jlflajfk Qyfejkjyz ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 6

    5,6 @ubh ygm yujkmhhf yb ygm v}fiujkmhhf2 ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 05,5 Yujkmhhf abl`jo}ufyjbl jl Fqjf+ ygm aujqjq b` 5337533: fli ygm sbqyaujqjq muf 75,1 Ygm yujkmhhf agbjamq fli Fqjfq fin}qyhmly i}ujlo ygm aujqjq ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, :

    1, Ygm Aujqjq b` 5337533: ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 639, Sbkjaz Kmqqblq ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 61

    9,6 Sbqyaujqjq agfkkmlomq ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 67=, Ablak}ijlo Umhfudq ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 6:Um`mumlamq fli @}uygmu Umfijloq ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 56

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

    6

    6, JLYUBI]AYJBL FLI BPMUPJM_

    Ygjq sfsmu subpjimq fl bpmupjmw b` ygm sfyymulq b` `jlflajfk qyfejkjyz jl Fqjf i}ujlo ygm 5333q+fli qy}ijmq ygm sbqqjekm kmqqblq b` ygm okbefk aujqjq b` 5337533:, _m qyfuy ez sbuyufzjloygm pfuzjlo sfyymulq b` mhmuojlo Fqjf jl ygm mymlimi yujkmhhf `ufhmwbud+ wgmum ab}lyujmqagbbqm ygm imoumm b` `jlflajfk bsmllmqq+ magflom ufym qyfejkjyz+ fli hblmyfuz

    jlimsmlimlam+ e}``mumi ez ygm faa}h}kfyjbl b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, _m qgbw ygfy ygmyumli gfq emml f ablpmuomlam yb ygm hjiikm oub}li b` ygm yujkmhhf abl`jo}ufyjbl+ wjyg fqj~fekm faa}h}kfyjbl b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, Ygjq abl`jo}ufyjbl+ wjyg ygm subsmuhflfomhmly b` ab}lyujmq efkflam qgmmy msbq}um fli s}ekja `jlflamq+ umi}ami ygmfin}qyhmly abqyq b` mhmuojlo Fqjf yb ygm okbefk aujqjq b` 5337533:+ fli `fajkjyfymi ygmumhfudfekm umq}hsyjbl b` Fqjfl oubwyg jl 5363, _m fkqb umpjmw ygm agfkkmlomq fqqbajfymiwjyg ygm wjim qwjloq b` `jlflajfk `kbwq yb mhmuojlo ab}lyujmq i}ujlo ygm 5333q> ygm qj~mfekmlmy jl`kbwq em`bum ygm aujqjq b` 5337533:+ ygm kfuom imkmpmufojlo b` `bumjol sbqjyjblq i}ujloygm aujqjq+ fli ygm umq}hsyjbl b` kfuom jl`kbwq jl ygm f`ymuhfyg b` ygm aujqjq, _m q}hhfuj~mygm umamly yumliq+ fli qy}iz ygm imqjufekm `}y}um sbkjaz qyflam b` mhmuojlo hfudmy ab}lyujmq,

    Ygm aujqjq b` 5337533: pfkjifymq ygm jlqjogy b` ygm s}ekja `jlflam fssubfag yb `jlflajfkjlymoufyjbl> ofjlq `ubh immsmu `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl qgb}ki em efkflami fofjlqy ygm abqyq b` f

    oubwjlo msbq}um yb y}ue}kmlamq, @}uygmuhbum+ sbkjazhfdmuq qgb}ki hflfom fli efkflamsbqqjekm hjqfkjolhmlyq emywmml ygm `jlflajfk fli umfk qmaybuq, F dmz kmqqbl b` ygm aujqjq jqygm lmmi yb fsskz f abhsumgmlqjpm abqy(emlm`jy fssubfag yb su}imlyjfk sbkjajmq+ yb ygmumo}kfyjbl b` mymulfk ebuubwjlo fli b` ibhmqyja `jlflajfk jlymuhmijfyjbl+ fli yb ygmfaa}h}kfyjbl fli }qm b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, _m jkk}qyufym ygmqm ablqjimufyjblq ezumpjmwjlo ygm }qm b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq fli b` magflom ufym sbkjajmq i}ujlo ygm aujqjq4fli ygm sbkjaz qyflam ybwfuiq ygm umlmwmi jl`kbwq b` afsjyfk jl ygm f`ymuhfyg b` ygm aujqjq,_m fuo}m ygfy qjolj`jafly iujpmuq b` ygm `kbwq b` afsjyfk fum zjmki agfqjlo fli afuuz yufim+wgmum ygm jlymumqyq b` ygm `jlflajfk qzqymh hfz ijpmuom `ubh ygm jlymumqyq b` yfsfzmuq+umv}jujlo subsmu su}imlyjfk umo}kfyjbl yb umi}am ygm yfsfzmuq msbq}um yb `}y}um aujqmq,

    5, YGM SBKJAZ YUJKMHHF FLI @JLFLAJFK QYFEJKJYZ

    Ygm sbkjaz yujkmhhf 'ygm fejkjyz yb faabhskjqg blkz ywb b}y b` ygumm sbkjaz benmayjpmq`jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl+ magflom ufym qyfejkjyz+ fli hblmyfuz f}yblbhz* jq f dmz jhskjafyjbl b`ygm H}limkk(@kmhjlo hfaubmablbhja ufhmwbud, F kjlomujlo agfkkmlom b` yfdjlo ygm yujkmhhf`ufhmwbud yb ygm ifyf jq ygfy+ jl sufayjam+ hbqy ab}lyujmq ufumkz `fam ygm ejlfuz agbjamqfuyja}kfymi ez ygm yujkmhhf, Jlqymfi+ ab}lyujmq imajim ygm imoummq b` `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl+magflom ufym `kmjejkjyz+ fli hblmyfuz f}yblbhz, Fj~mlhfl+ Agjll+ fli Jyb '5363+ 5366*imfky wjyg ygjq jqq}m ez ablqyu}ayjlo ygumm ablyjl}b}q jlimmq hmfq}ujlo ygm im `faybyujkmhhf ijhmlqjblq b` mfag ab}lyuz+ lbuhfkj~jlo mfag jlim emywmml ~mub fli blm, Ygmygumm yujkmhhf jlimmq abpmu hbum ygfl 6?3 mablbhjmq `bu 6:?3 ygub}og 533:, Ygmhblmyfuz jlimsmlimlam jlim 'HJ* jq efqmi bl ygm abuumkfyjbl b` f ab}lyuzq jlymumqy ufymqwjyg ygm efqm ab}lyuzq jlymumqy ufym, Ygm jlim `bu magflom ufym qyfejkjyz imsmliqlmofyjpmkz bl magflom ufym pbkfyjkjyz+ }qjlo ygm magflom ufym emywmml ygm gbhm fli efqm

    mablbhjmq, Ygm imoumm b` `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl jq hmfq}umi wjyg ygm Agjll fli Jyb '5337*afsjyfk ablyubkq jlim 'DFBSML*,6

    6 Ygm jlim `bu hblmyfuz jlimsmlimlam 'HJ* mv}fkq6 3,=T ' + * ' 6*Xj nabuu j j + wgmum j um`muq yb gbhm

    ab}lyujmq fli n yb ygm efqm ab}lyuz, Ez ablqyu}ayjbl+ gjogmu pfk}mq b` ygm jlim hmfl gjogmu hblmyfuz sbkjaz

    jlimsmlimlam,

    Magflom ufym qyfejkjyz 'MUQ* mv}fkq3,36"T3,36 ' 'kbo' R **Xqyimp mwag ufym$

    + wgmum

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

    5

    @jo}um 6 qgbwq ygm yufnmaybujmq b` ygm yujkmhhf jlimmq `bu ij``mumly jlabhm(ab}lyuz oub}sq,@bu ygm jli}qyujfkj~mi mablbhjmq+ immsmljlo `jlflajfk bsmllmqq faamkmufymi f`ymu ygmemojlljlo b` ygm 6::3q wgjkm ygm mymly b` hblmyfuz jlimsmlimlam qyfuymi f imakjljlo yumli,F`ymu ygm mli b` ygm 6::3q+ magflom ufym qyfejkjyz ubqm qjolj`jaflykz+ um`kmayjlo ygmjlyubi}ayjbl b` ygm m}ub jl 6:::,5

    ' 'kbo' R **qyimp mwag ufym jq ygm fll}fk qyflifui impjfyjblq b` hblygkz magflom ufym qmujmq emywmml ygm

    gbhm ab}lyuz fli ygm efqm ab}lyuz,

    @jlflajfk bsmllmqq 'DFBSML* mv}fkq ygm im n}um jlim b` afsjyfk faab}ly bsmllmqq ablqyu}aymi ez Agjll fli

    Jyb '5337*+ lbuhfkj~mi emywmml ~mub fli blm, Gjogmu pfk}mq b` ygjq jlim jlijafym ygfy f ab}lyuz jq hbum bsml

    yb aubqq(ebuimu afsjyfk yuflqfayjblq,

    Ygm jlimmq fum fpfjkfekm fy gyys>""wme,si,mi}"|jyb"yujkmhhfRjlimmq,gyh ,5 J` ygm m}ub mablbhjmq fum umhbpmi `ubh ygm qfhskm+ `jlflajfk bsmllmqq mpbkpmq qjhjkfukz yb ygm JIA oub}s ygfy

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    ygb}og fy ejy gjogmu kmpmkq+ f`ymu ygm mfukz 6::3q, Ygm ij``mumlam emywmml magflom ufym qyfejkjyz fli hblmyfuz

    jlimsmlimlam gfq emml qkjogykz ijpmuojlo f`ymu ygm mli b` ygm 6::3q,

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160 Fj~mlhfl

    9

    Impmkbsjlo mablbhjmq bl ygm bygmu gfli ib lby sumqmly q}ag f ijqyjlay ijpmuomlam b` ygmjlimmq+ fli ygmju msmujmlamq ij``mu imsmlijlo bl wgmygmu ygmz fum mhmuojlo bu lbl(mhmuojlo hfudmy mablbhjmq, 9 @bu mhmuojlo hfudmy mablbhjmq+ magflom ufym qyfejkjyzimakjlmi ufsjikz `ubh ygm 6:?3q ygub}og ygm hji(6:73q, F`ymu qbhm umyumlaghmly fub}limfukz 6:73q 'jl ygm wfdm b` ygm imey aujqjq*+ `jlflajfk bsmllmqq qyfuymi ujqjlo `ubh 6::3blwfuiq, @bu ygm bygmu impmkbsjlo mablbhjmq+ magflom ufym qyfejkjyz imakjlmi kmqq ufsjikz+fli `jlflajfk bsmllmqq yumlimi }swfui hbum qkbwkz, Jl ebyg afqmq ygb}og+ hblmyfuzjlimsmlimlam umhfjlmi hbum bu kmqq yumlikmqq,

    Jlymumqyjlokz+ `bu ygm mhmuojlo hfudmy mablbhjmq+ ygm jlimmq q}oomqy f ablpmuomlamybwfui ygm hjiikm oub}li+ mpml fq yfkd b` ygm ijqfssmfujlo hjiikm gfq emml ibjlo ygmub}liq, Ygjq sfyymul q}oomqyq ygfy impmkbsjlo mablbhjmq hfz gfpm emml yuzjlo yb akjlo ybhbimufym kmpmkq b` ebyg hblmyfuz jlimsmlimlam fli `jlflajfk bsmllmqq+ wgjkm hfjlyfjljlogjogmu kmpmkq b` magflom ufym qyfejkjyz, Jl bygmu wbuiq+ ygmz gfpm emml kmfljlo fofjlqy ygmyujkmhhf bpmu f smujbi ygfy abjlajimq wjyg ygm yjhm wgml qbhm b` ygmqm mablbhjmq emoflfaa}h}kfyjlo qj~fekm jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq 'JU*+ sbymlyjfkkz yb e}``mu ygm yufim(b`` fujqjlo`ubh ygm yujkmhhf,

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

    10/26

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

    11/26

    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

    12/26

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    Ygm msmujmlam b` mhmuojlo hfudmyq q}oomqyq ygfy fy yjhm b` `jlflajfk sflja+ jlymulfyjblfkumqmupmq `}layjbl fq f e}``mu `}lijlo ygm imkjpmujlo b` qgbuy(ymuh imey, @jo}um 9 yufamq ygmfpmufom v}fuymukz JU sbqjyjbl fli qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk ebuubwjlo b` mhmuojlo hfudmyq i}ujlo5337+ fli ygm `juqy v}fuymu b` 533:, Ygm ab}lyujmq fum oub}smi jlyb MHq ygfy q}``mumiqjolj`jafly JU kbqqmq 'Oub}s 6*+ fli ygbqm ygfy msmujmlam qhfkk JU kbqqmq+ bu ofjlq 'Oub}s5*, Ifyf ablqyufjlyq umi}ami ygm qj~m b` mfag oub}s yb : ab}lyujmq,63 MHq ygfy msmujmlamiqj~fekm JU kbqqmq i}ujlo ygm wbuqy sfuy b` ygm aujqjq wmum msbqmi yb f h}ag kfuomuimkmpmufojlo b` qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk imey ygfl bygmu MHq, I}ujlo V9 5337+ ygm fpmufom JUkbqqmq wmum )57 ejkkjbl `bu MHq jl ygm qj~fekm JU kbqqmq oub}s+ gfk` b` jy `}limi ygmimkmpmufojlo b` qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk imey ')69 ejkkjbl*, Jl ablyufqy+ JU kbqqmq fli ygmimkmpmufojlo b` qgbuy(ymuh imey wmum akbqm yb ~mub `bu ab}lyujmq msmujmlajlo qhfkk JU kbqqmqi}ujlo V9 5337 'JU jlaumfqmi bl fpmufom ez )6 ejkkjbl+ qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk imey imakjlmi ez)5 ejkkjbl*, Ygjq beqmupfyjbl q}ssbuyq ygm lbyjbl ygfy ab}lyujmq wjyg gjog mymulfk imey

    msbq}um lmmimi immsmu }qm b` umqmupmq fy ygm smfd b` ygm aujqjq+ 5337 V9+ abhsfumi wjygygbqm wjyg kbw mymulfk imey msbq}um,

    imsumajfyjbl sumqq}umq, Qmm Im Oumobujb '5366* `bu mpjimlam bl ygm ubkm b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq jl ygm

    imymuhjlfyjbl b` agflomq jl Mhmuojlo Hfudmyq Ebli Jlimmq qsumfiq i}ujlo ygm q}esujhm aujqjq,63 Qj~fekm JU kbqq oub}s jlak}imq> Euf~jk+ Jlijf+ Jliblmqjf+ ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf+ Hfkfzqjf+ Smu}+ Sbkfli+ U}qqjf

    fli Y}udmz, Lbl(qj~fekm JU kbqq oub}s jlak}im> Fuomlyjlf+ Agjkm+ ygm A~mag Ums}ekja+ Abk}hejf+ Mozsy+ Jqufmk+

    Hmjab+ Ygfjkfli+ fli Qb}yg F`ujaf 'v}fuymukz ifyf jq lby fpfjkfekm `bu ygm Smbskmq Ums}ekja b` Agjlf4 Smu}4

    fli Yfjsmj+Agjlf*, I}m yb ygm }lfpfjkfejkjyz b` hblygkz ifyf wm fsskz v}fuymukz ifyf,

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    @jo}um 9> JU Imskmyjbl fli Imkmpmufojlo i}ujlo ygm 5337533: Aujqjq,

    Qb}uam> Fj~mlhfl+ Agjll+ fli Jyb 5366

    Fq i}ujlo ygm 6::?6::7 aujqjq+ ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf ablyjl}mi yb em f emkkwmygmu ab}lyuz,Ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq `jlflajfk gjqybuz jl ygm 5333q jkk}qyufymq ygm agfkkmlomq fqqbajfymiwjyg bsml afsjyfk hfudmyq, I}ujlo ygm hji 5333q+ ygm Dbumfl umo}kfybuq gfliq(b`` fyyjy}imablyuje}ymi yb ygm e}jki}s b` efkflam qgmmy p}klmufejkjyjmq sujbu yb ygm aujqjq, Ygmimkmpmufojlo sumqq}um i}ujlo ygm okbefk aujqjq kmi yb hfqqjpm imsumajfyjbl+ fli imqsjym ygmqj~fekm JU sbqjyjbl sujbu yb ygm aujqjq+ ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf `fami ygm subqsmay b` flbygmu`jlflajfk hmkyibwl,

    @jo}um = q}hhfuj~mq ygm mpfk}fyjbl b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq+ qgbuy( fli kblo(ymuh ebuubwjlob` ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf jl umamly imafimq, Ygm msmujmlam b` ygm `jlflajfk hmky ibwl i}ujlo6::?6::7 kmi yb ygm qgfus jlaumfqm b` JU"OIS f`ymu ygm Fqjfl aujqjq, Ez 5333+ ygm Ums}ekjab` Dbumfq umqmupmq wmum feb}y ywjam fq kfuom fq jyq qgbuy(ymuh imey+ fli ez 5331 umqmupmqmammimi jyq ybyfk mymulfk imey, Kmqq ygfl yml zmfuq f`ymu ygm 6::?6::7 Mfqy Fqjfl aujqjq+ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq JU"OIS qmmhmi yb em hbum ygfl fimv}fym }qjlo ablpmlyjblfkzfuiqyjadqmammijlo ygm msbq}um yb qgbuy(ymuh imey+ fli fkkbwjlo `jlflajlo qmpmufkv}fuymuq b` jhsbuyq, Zmy+ ygjq ekjqq`}k abl`jo}ufyjbl gmki blkz `bu ygumm zmfuq, _gjkm ygmUms}ekja b` Dbumfq JU"OIS umhfjlmi qyfekm i}ujlo 533=5337+ ygm bpmufkk mymulfkimey"OIS ib}ekmi+ wjyg ygm kmpmk b` qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk imey fssubfagjlo ygm kmpmk b`jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq,

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    @jo}um => Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq JU"OIS fli Mymulfk Imey"OIS+ 6::95337

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    63

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    93

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    ?3

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    Lbymq> Ygm ifyf abpmu ygub}og hji(5337+ em`bum ygm okbefk kjv}jijyz au}lag, QMI 8 qgbuy(ymuh mymulfk imey+ YMI 8ybyfk mymulfk imey,

    Qb}uam> F}ygbuq afka}kfyjbl

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    ez qwfsq kjlmq `ubh ygm Efld b` Nfsfl fli ygm Efld b` Agjlf, _gjkm ygm @miq qwfs kjlmwfq hbimqy umkfyjpm yb ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq Jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq 'JU*+ ygm qjolfkjlom``may fqqbajfymi wjyg ygm @miq wjkkjlolmqq yb q}ssbuy ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf subefekzsumpmlymi qwjyagjlo yb f sflja mv}jkjeuj}h+ fli wjygjl f v}fuymu ygm abl`jimlam aujqjq fefymi,Jlimmi+ wjygjl kmqq ygfl f zmfu `ubh ygm aujqjq+ flbygmu ](y}ul gfssmlmi+ fli kfuom jl`kbwq b`afsjyfk `ubh ygm ]Q fli bygmu BMAI ab}lyujmq umq}hmi, Ygmqm impmkbshmlyq fum fkqbum`kmaymi jl ygm magflom ufym, Ygm imkmpmufojlo aujqjq jli}ami hfqqjpm imsumajfyjbl b` wblwjygjl kmqq ygfl f zmfu+ `ubh :33 _"]Q) yb feb}y 6=33+ wgjkm ygm umq}hsyjbl b` `jlflajfkjl`kbwq jli}ami ufsji fssumajfyjbl ybwfuiq 6633 _"]Q),

    9, SBKJAZ KMQQBLQ

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    m``mayq, Yb jkk}qyufym+ sujpfym efldq jl ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf 'ibhmqyja fli `bumjol efldqbsmufyjlo jl ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf* hfz bsy yb ebuubw mymulfkkz yb `}li afuuz yufim, Ygjq jly}ul jlaumfqmq ygm msbq}um b` ygm Efld b` Dbumf yb ygm sbqqjejkjyz b` immsmu efjkb}y lmmimify yjhmq b` imkmpmufojlo, Gbfuijlo jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq ez ygm Efld b` Dbumf hfz lby emmlb}og yb subymay ygm jlymumqy b` ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq yfsfzmuq, Ygm efjkb}y bsyjbl hfzjlfipmuymlykz q}eqjij~m ygm afuuz yufim+ fq ygm sujpfym efld ebuubwjlo ygm `}liq ibmq lbygfpm ygm jlamlyjpm yb jlymulfkj~m ygm oumfymu yfsfzmuq msbq}um yb ygm `}y}um efjkb}y, 66 Ygmqfhm kboja fsskjmq yb bygmu fayjpjyjmq `}limi ez sujpfym efldq mymulfk ebuubwjlo,

    Ygjq mfhskm jkk}qyufymq ygm lmmi yb fsskz ygm s}ekja `jlflam fssubfag yb jlymulfyjblfkumqmupmq fli su}imlyjfk sbkjajmq jl mhmuojlo hfudmyq, Sujbu yb ygm aujqjq+ JU"OIS wfq pjmwmifq f dmz jlijafybu b` qb}lilmqq b` sbkjajmq, Zmy+ ygm msmujmlam b` ab}lyujmq i}ujlo ygm aujqjqq}oomqyq ygfy faa}h}kfyjbl b` JU jq blkz blm ijhmlqjbl b` su}imlyjfk sbkjajmq, _jyg gf~fuiqjhsfaymi ez fomlyq emgfpjbu+ bsyjhfkjyz afkkq `bu f hjy}um b` sfuyjfk jlq}uflam flisumpmlyjpm hmygbiq umi}ajlo ygm `umv}mlaz fli jlymlqjyz b` ygm afkfhjyz 'jlqyfkkjlo f `jumfkfuh fli mymulfk kjogyq jl f gb}qm+ iujpjlo f afu fy f kbwmu qsmmi+ mv}jssjlo f afu wjyg fjuefoq+ mya,*, Ygjq kboja fsskjmq mv}fkkz wmkk yb ygm mhmuojlo hfudmyq msbq}um yb q}iimlqybsq fli imkmpmufojlo qgbadqf ab}lyuz hfz q}sskmhmly gbfuijlo jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmqwjyg sbkjajmq ygfy wb}ki umi}am jyq msbq}um yb afsjyfk `kjogy, Q}ag sbkjajmq hfz jlak}imsubfayjpm qymsq yb umi}am msbq}um yb mymulfk imey 'Ubiujd 5330*, Umo}kfyjblq umi}ajlo

    mymulfk ebuubwjlo hfz yujh ygm imhfli `bu JU+ jlaumfqjlo ygm bpmufkk wmk`fum b` ygmmablbhz,

    Ygm s}ekja `jlflam fssubfag yb umo}kfyjbl jq um`kmaymi jl Gz}l Qblo Qgjlq pjmw 'qyfymi wgjkmqmupjlo fq f agjm` fipjqbu yb Sumqjimly Kmm Hz}lo(efd*+

    jy qgb}ki yf ygm wgbkmqfkm kjfejkjyjmq b` ygm ab}lyuzq efldq, _gmlmpmu f Dbumfl efld wflyq ybmsfli jyq kbfl ebbd `fqymu ygfl jyq umyfjk imsbqjyq+ jy umkjmq bl `bumjol ebuubwjlo yb `jkk ygm ofs, Qb fkmpz bl ygmqm myuf kjfejkjyjmq wb}ki qmupm yb kjhjy efldq ebuubwjlo feubfi, Ygm Mablbhjqy+ 66Lbpmhemu 5363,

    Yfjlo q}uomq jl mymulfk ebuubwjlo b` ibhmqyja efldq jq f ijqaumyjblfuz ybbk q}ssbuyjlosu}imlyjfk q}smupjqjbl 'Fj~mlhfl 5366*, Ygjq sbkjaz ybbk jq fdjl yb fl jlymulfyjblfk pmuqjbl b`ygm @mimufk Imsbqjy Jlq}uflam Abusbufyjblq '@IJA* sbkjajmq jl ygm ]Q, F imsbqjy jl f efldabpmumi ez ygm @IJA fkkbwq ygm efld yb msfli jyq efkflam qgmmy+ jlaumfqjlo ygm msmaymi

    kjfejkjyjmq b` ygm @IJA 'j,m,+ ygm yf sfzmu* fy f ufym subsbuyjblfym yb ygm ujqdjlmqq b` efldqsbuy`bkjb, Ygm jlq}uflam b``mumi ez ygm @IJA jhskjmq ygfy ygm qfpmu kfadq ygm jlamlyjpm ybhbljybu ygm efld, Ygjq ijqybuyjbl qgb}ki em imfky wjyg ez jhsbqjlo f ujqd sumhj}h bl ygmefld+ fy f ufym um`kmayjlo jyq ujqdjlmqq, Ygm hfjl ij``mumlam emywmml @IJAq ujqd sumhj}hfsskjmi yb ibhmqyja imsbqjyq fli mymulfk ebuubwjlo ez efldq jl mhmuojlo hfudmyq jq ygfyygm @IJA abpmuq imsbqjyq jl ]Q ibkkfu+ fli jq jlijumaykz efadmi ez ]Q fejkjyz yb abpmu ygmqmkjfejkjyjmq ez `jfy hblmz fli"bu ibhmqyja yfmq, Jl ablyufqy+ mymulfk ebuubwjlo ez MHq efldqjlaumfqmq ygm efkflam qgmmy msbq}um b` ygm ab}lyuz yb `bumjol a}uumlaz imey, Ygjq msbq}umqgb}ki em imfky wjyg ez ygm faa}h}kfyjbl b` JU fli ez ygm subsmu ujqd sumhj}h+ jli}ajloefldq yb jlymulfkj~m ygm jhsfay b` mymulfk ebuubwjlo bl ygm yf sfzmuq msbq}um yb `}y}umefjkb}yq, Jubljafkkz+ mablbhjqyq ygfy bssbqm mymulfk ebuubwjlo yf+ pjmwjlo jy fq fljhsmijhmly yb `umm hbejkjyz b` afsjyfk+ ufumkz q}ssbuy ygm febkjqghmly b` imsbqjy jlq}uflam,

    66Fl jlymumqyjlo beqmupfyjbl hfim ez Ibhjlo}m~+ Gfqgjhbyb+ fli Jyb '5366*> Ab}lyujmq wjyg kfuom qybadq b`

    jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq fli f gjog ibhmqyja jlymumqy ufym hfz jlfipmuymlykz em ab}lymu(sfuyjmq yb ygm afuuz yufim,

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 16? Fj~mlhfl

    6=

    Yfdjlo ygjq s}ekja `jlflam smuqsmayjpm+ bsml afsjyfk hfudmyq qgb}ki em q}smupjqmi wjygsu}imlyjfk umo}kfyjblq fjhmi fy kjhjyjlo ygm fipmuqm efkflam qgmmy msbq}um, Ygjq afl emiblm ez yfjlo mymulfk ebuubwjlo fy f ufym um`kmayjlo ygm ujqd msbq}um+ fli }qjlo ygm yfumpml}m yb ab(`}li sumaf}yjblfuz faa}h}kfyjbl b` umqmupmq, Ygmqm qymsq hfz jlak}imijqaumyjblfuz+ yjhm pfuzjlo yfmq fli umqmupm ufyjbq+ fin}qymi yb um`kmay ygm jl`kbw sumqq}um+fli ygm efkflam qgmmy msbq}um b` ygm efldjlo qzqymh,65 Ygm umq}hsyjbl b` oubwyg b` ygmmhmuojlo hfudmyq jl 5363+ fy yjhmq wgml jl hbqy BMAI ab}lyujmq oubwyg umhfjlq flmhjafli q}enmay yb msflqjblfuz hblmyfuz sbkjaz+ jlaumfqmi q}eqyflyjfkkz ygm jlymumqy ufymq jlmhmuojlo ab}lyujmq umkfyjpm yb ygfy jl ygm BMAI, Ygjq jl y}ul kmi yb kfuom q}uom jl jl`kbwq b`afsjyfk yb MHq+ jli}ajlo MHq yb jlpbdm su}imlyjfk sbkjajmq fli umo}kfyjblq, Yfekm 6q}hhfuj~mq qbhm b` ygmqm sbkjajmq jl Fqjf+ qgbwjlo ygm subkj`mufyjbl fli immsmljlo b` ygmqmsbkjajmq jl ygm Ums}ekja b` Dbumf fli bygmu mhmuojlo Fqjfl ab}lyujmq, Qjhjkfu yumliq fsskz ybmhmuojlo Kfyjl Fhmujafl ab}lyujmq fli bygmu umojblq 'qmm Sfqujagf T5366X `bu flfkzqjq b`ygm umamly umo}kfyjbl yumliq jl MHq*,

    65 Qmm fkqb Ejflagj '5363* fli Dbujlmd '5363*+ wgb qy}ijmi ygm wfz afsjyfk `kbw pbkfyjkjyz afl yujoomu `mmiefad

    azakmq ygfy wbud ygub}og ygm imsumajfyjbl b` ygm umfk magflom ufym,

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

    22/26

    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160 Fj~mlhfl

    67

    Umhfudfekz+ ygm JH@ fadlbwkmiomi ygm sbymlyjfk }qm`}klmqq b` ygmqm qymsq fq sufayjafkumqsblqm yb pfuzjlo ajua}hqyflamq>61

    @ubh f hfaubsu}imlyjfk smuqsmayjpm+ ygm umkmpfly ablamul jq ygm ablyuje}yjbl b` afsjyfk jl`kbwq yb ygme}jki}s b` qzqymhja p}klmufejkjyjmq+ ez `fajkjyfyjlo ygm e}jki}s b` jhefkflamq jl ygm `jlflajfk fli lbl(`jlflajfk qmaybu+ }lq}qyfjlfekm fqqmy sujam ebbhq+ fli `jlflajfk qmaybu ijqyumqq fq `kbwq qybs buumpmuqm ijumayjbl,

    Hfaubmablbhja sbkjajmq afl em }qmi yb fiiumqq ygm ujqdq `ubh kfuom jl`kbwq, J` ygmqm sbkjajmq fum lbyq}``jajmly+ su}imlyjfk ybbkq fli jl qbhm ajua}hqyflamq+ fkqb afsjyfk ablyubkq afl em }qmi, Qbhmsu}imlyjfk ybbkq afl umi}am sbymlyjfk qzqymhja ujqdq fqqbajfymi wjyg afsjyfk jl`kbwq wjygb}y yfuomyjlojl`kbwq smu qm, Ygmqm ybbkq ij``mu `ubh afsjyfk ablyubkq jl ygfy ygmz ib lby ijqaujhjlfym emywmmlumqjimlyq fli lbl(umqjimlyq, Blm mfhskm jq f ab}lymuazakjafk afsjyfk e}``mu kjldmi yb ygm e}jki}s b`aumijy+ wgjag ab}ki em yujoomumi ez f eubfi jlijafybu b` aumijy oubwyg ygfy afsy}umq ebyg ibhmqyja fli`bumjol subpjqjbl b` kbflq, F qmabli mfhskm jq afsq bl KYP fli imey(yb(jlabhm ufyjbq+ wgjag wb}kiijqab}ufom fl mubqjbl b` kmlijlo qyflifuiq, Jl fiijyjbl+ f kmpz bu agfuomq bl qgbuy(ymuh wgbkmqfkm`}lijlo ab}ki fkqb sbymlyjfkkz ijqab}ufom bpmuumkjflam bl p}klmufekm wgbkmqfkm `}lijlo+ juumqsmayjpm b`wgmygmu ygfy `}lijlo jq qb}uami ibhmqyjafkkz bu `ubh feubfi,

    Hfaubsu}imlyjfk ybbkq afl fkqb em }qmi yb umi}am jlijumaykz qzqymhja ujqdq jl ygm lbl(`jlflajfk qmaybufqqbajfymi wjyg afsjyfk jl`kbwq, Ums}ekja b` Dbumfq kmpmufom afs bl efldq b``(efkflam(qgmmy `bumjolmagflom sbqjyjblq jlyubi}ami jl N}lm 5363 fjhq yb fagjmpm ygjq benmayjpm, Afsjyfk ablyubkq fumhbyjpfymi ez pfujb}q ablqjimufyjblq+ ebyg hfaubmablbhja fli `jlflajfk, Fq q}ag+ ygmz fum lby

    hfaubsu}imlyjfk jlqyu}hmlyq+ fkygb}og ygmz ab}ki em j` ygmz qsmaj`jafkkz yfuomymi qzqymhja ujqd fliwmum }limusjllmi ez qyujay obpmulflam fuuflomhmlyq ygfy mlq}umi lb qkjssfom jl ygmju }qm,

    9,6 Sbqyaujqjq agfkkmlomq

    Mfukjmu umqmfuag q}oomqyq ygfy MHq ygfy jlaumfqmi ygmju `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl i}ujlo ygm 6::3qfli hji 5333q+ faa}h}kfymi JUq i}m yb qmpmufk umfqblq+ jlak}ijlo ygm sumaf}yjblfuz hbyjpmyb beyfjl qmk` jlq}uflam fofjlqy q}iiml qybsq fli imkmpmufojlo aujqmq,69 Zmy+ ygm 5337533:okbefk aujqjq q}oomqyq ygfy ygm kmpmkq b` JU umv}jumi jl buimu `bu ygjq qmk`(jlq}uflam yb wbudhfz em abhsfufekm yb ygfy b` f ab}lyuzq oubqq mymulfk `jlflajfk msbq}um 'qmm Sfud 533:*,Ygm `jlflajfk y}ue}kmlamq abl`ublyjlo Fqjf fum jkk}qyufymi ez ygm sfyymulq b` lmy sujpfym afsjyfk`kbwq+ jl smuamly b` OIS+ jl mhmuojlo Fqjf 'qmm _buki Mablbhja fli @jlflajfk Q}upmzqUmojblfk Mablbhja B}ykbbd> Fqjf fli Sfaj`ja+ JH@+ Fsujk 5366*, Mhmuojlo Fqjf mak}ijlo ygmSUA abl`ublymi f iubs jl sujpfym afsjyfk `kbwq b` ?- i}ujlo ygm aujqjq '`ubh feb}y sk}q 1- ybfebpm hjl}q 9-*+ eb}lajlo efad yb jl`kbw b` feb}y 9- wjygjl f zmfu `ubh ygm aujqjq+ yb ygmsum aujqjq kmpmk, Ygm hbqy pbkfyjkm abhsblmly jl mhmuojlo Fqjf mak}ijlo ygm SUA wfq efldfli bygmu sujpfym `kbwq+ hbpjlo `ubh 9,6- jl 5337 V6+ yb (6,9- jl 533: V6+ eb}lajlo efadyb 1,9- jl 5363 V6, Ygjq jq flbygmu jkk}qyufyjbl b` ygm lfy}um b` `jlflajfk bsmllmqq> sujpfym`jlflajfk `kbwq fum pbkfyjkm+ fli q}enmay yb v}jad umpmuqfk, @IJ qmmhq yb mgjejy kbwmu bpmufkkpbkfyjkjyz+ wgjkm efldq fli imey `kbw fum gjogkz pbkfyjkm, Lbym ygfy ygm bpmufkk qwjlo b` ygm`kbwq wfq qhfkkmu ygfl ygm blm umojqymumi jl ygm 6::?6::7 aujqjq+ e}y lmpmuygmkmqq kfuom+fli sbymlyjfkkz imqyfejkj~jlo, _gjkm jl ygm 6::?6::7 aujqjq ygm pbkfyjkjyz wfq hbqykz jli}amiez `faybuq qsmaj`ja yb Mfqy Fqjf+ ygm 5337533: aujqjq wfq subsfofymi `ubh ygm ]Q+ibhjlfymi jljyjfkkz ez ygm imkmpmufojlo b` `bumjol sbqjyjblq i}m yb kjv}jijyz qgbuyfom jli}amiez ygm `jlflajfk sflja jl ygm ]Q+ fq wmkk fq ez ygm `mfu b` ygm abhjlo okbefk umamqqjbl, Ygjq

    yjhm+ gbwmpmu+ ygm bpmufkk q}smujbu efkflam qgmmy sbqjyjbl b` mhmuojlo hfudmyq+ mqsmajfkkz b`mhmuojlo Fqjf umkfyjpm yb ygfy b` ygm ]Q fli M}ubsm+ subpjimi ygm jhsmy}q `bu ygm umq}hsyjblb` kfuom jl`kbwq b` afsjyfk, Ygm qbkji umq}hsyjbl b` oubwyg b` mhmuojlo Fqjf+ jl ablyufqy yb ygmflmhja umabpmuz b` ygm ]Q fli M}ubsm+ fli ygm jlqyfejkjyz b` ygm m}ub~blm subsfofymi ez

    61 Qmm EJQ+ @QE+ fli JH@ '5366*+ wgjag fkqb qyfymq Ygmqm jqq}mq fum a}uumlykz emjlo mfhjlmi jl imyfjk ez ygm

    JH@+ wjyg f pjmw yb `}uygmu impmkbsjlo o}jijlo sujlajskmq `bu ygm }qm b` sbkjajmq yb hflfom afsjyfk `kbwq+ ebyg

    `ubh ygm smuqsmayjpm b` jlijpji}fk ab}lyujmq fli yfdjlo jlyb faab}ly ygm h}kyjkfymufk ijhmlqjbl, Hfaubmablbhja

    sbkjajmq afl em }qmi yb fiiumqq ygm ujqdq `ubh kfuom jl`kbwq, 69

    Qmm Afkpb '6::7* `bu f hbimk b` q}iiml qybsq+ fli Ufnfl+ Qjumofu+ fli Ejui '533=* `bu fl fsskjafyjbl `bu Fqjf,

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160

    6:

    ygm qgfdz imey sbqjyjblq b` jyq smujsgmuz ab}lyujmq+ jli}ami hfqqjpm jl`kbwq b` `}liq+sbqqjekm agfqjlo zjmkiq,

    Ygm umq}hsyjbl b` ygm jl`kbwq b` afsjyfk yb mhmuojlo Fqjf abhmq fy yjhmq wgml hblmyfuzmsflqjblq fli mfqz aumijy jli}ami ez ygm aujqjq+ fli ygm `fqy oubwyg umabpmuz qmy jl hbyjblumfk mqyfym fli fqqmy fssumajfyjblq, Ygm jl`kbw b` `bumjol afsjyfk hfz subpjim `}uygmu jhsmy}q`bu ygmqm yumliq, Umqmupm faa}h}kfyjblq yb imfk wjyg mymulfk ebuubwjlo gfpm kjhjymi

    afsfajyz yb imfk wjyg ygmqm agfkkmlomq, Jy abhmq wjyg ygm lmmi yb qymujkj~m jl buimu yb hjyjofymygm jl`kfyjblfuz ejfq+ zmy qymujkj~fyjbl jq lby abqykmqq+ fli hfz kmfi yb qmablifuz ub}liq b`jl`kbwq+ sbqqjekz kmfijlo yb jl`kfyjblfuz sumqq}umq ibwl ygm ubfi 'qmm Fj~mlhfl fli Okjad533:*, @}uygmuhbum+ mhmuojlo hfudmyq hfz sfuyjajsfym ybifz jl flbygmu ub}li b` okbefkafuuz yufim+ wgmum ygm kbwmu jlymumqy ufymq jl ygm ]Q fli ygm BMAI ab}lyujmq `}li ygms}uagfqm b` gjogmu zjmkijlo ebliq jl mhmuojlo ab}lyujmq, Ygjq qjy}fyjbl msbqmq ygm okbefk`jlflajfk qzqymh yb ygm sbymlyjfk jlqyfejkjyz fqqbajfymi wjyg }lwjlijlo b` afuuz yufim sbqjyjblq,_gjkm q}ag afuuz yufim hfz subpjim sujpfym umlyq yb qfppz skfzmuq+ jy msbqmq ygm yfsfzmuqjl mhmuojlo ab}lyujmq yb oumfymu `}y}um kjfejkjyjmq, Fq b}u sumpjb}q ijqa}qqjbl q}oomqymi+su}imlyjfk umo}kfyjblq fum lmmimi yb hjyjofym ygmqm `buamq, Ygmqm umo}kfyjblq qgb}kiq}sskmhmly yjogymu hblmyfuz fli `jqafk qyflam+ fq ygmum jq lb wfz yb imfk wjyg ygm jl`kbwsumqq}um ez su}imlyjfk sbkjaz fkblm,

    =, ABLAK]IJLO UMHFUDQ

    Ygm aujqjq b` 5337533: jq f ymayblja qgj`y ygfy gfqymlmi ygm ijqhflykjlo b` ygm Eumyybl_bbiq JJ qzqymh+ hbpjlo `ubh f ]Q amlyuja ybwfuiq f h}kyj sbkfu wbuki, Ygjq sfsmu `ba}qmibl ygm aujqjq `ubh ygm smuqsmayjpm b` mhmuojlo hfudmy ab}lyujmq+ wjyg f qsmajfk `ba}q blmhmuojlo Fqjf, Bpmufkk+ ygm aujqjq pfkjifymi ygm ofjlq `ubh ygm hjiikm oub}li sbqjyjbl jl ygmyujkmhhf abl`jo}ufyjbl+ e}``mumi ez f qj~mfekm agmqy b` jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq, Zmy+ ygm aujqjqfkqb jkk}qyufymi ygm lmmi yb yfdm f eubfimu s}ekja `jlflam fssubfag ybwfuiq su}imlyjfkumo}kfyjblq, B}u flfkzqjq kbbdmi fy ygm smuqsmayjpm b` ygm mhmuojlo hfudmyq+ fli iji lbyimfk wjyg ygm imoumm yb wgjag ygmum jq oumfymu ubbh `bu fl bpmugf}k b` ygm okbefk `jlflajfkqzqymh, Mhmuojlo ab}lyujmq gfpm fqqmuymi ygmju wjkkjlolmqq yb }qm subfayjpm hmfq}umqhflfojlo ygmju jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl,

    Ygm umamly qyfymhmlyq `ubh ygm Jlymulfyjblfk @jlflajfk Jlqyjy}yjblq 'J@Jq* hfz um`kmay fsfufijoh qgj`y jl ygm fqqmqqhmly b` su}imlyjfk umo}kfyjbl+ subsfofymi ez ygm okbefk aujqjqfli ygm wjkkjlolmqq b` mhmuojlo hfudmy ab}lyujmq yb msmujhmly wjyg lmw sbkjajmq, Zmy+ jy jqsumhfy}um yb dlbw ygm imoumm b` ygm m``mayjpmlmqq b` ygmqm qymsq+ fli ygm }kyjhfym jhsfay b`ygm aujqjq bl ygm J@Jq fli ygm BMAIq im `fayb fli im n}um sbqjyjblq umofuijlo `jlflajfkjlymoufyjbl fli su}imlyjfk umo}kfyjbl, Lmpmuygmkmqq+ ygm kboja b` ygm s}ekja `jlflam fssubfagq}oomqyq ygm bkkbwjlo>

    j, Mpjimlam q}oomqyq ygfy afsjyfk hbejkjyz jq f hjmi ekmqqjlo, Qyfuyjlo wjygf}yfudz+ @IJ fli oumfymu `jlflajfk jlymoufyjbl qmmh yb q}ssbuy mablbhja oubwyg, Zmy+mamqqjpm jl`kbw b` gby hblmz jlaumfqmq ygm p}klmufejkjyz b` f ab}lyuz yb aujqmq,

    jj, Ygm 5337533: aujqjq jkk}qyufymi ygm ujqd b` kbw fli }lmpml qyflifuiq b`

    su}imlyjfk umo}kfyjblq, Agflamq fum ygfy ygm BMAI ab}lyujmq bpmuqgby ygm bsyjhfk`jlflajfk imumo}kfyjbl jl ygm imafim em`bum ygm aujqjq+ fli ygm okbefk `jlflajfk okbefkj~fyjblwmly ybb `fu,

    jjj, Ygmum jq f subefekm ujpfkuz emywmml ygm jlymumqyq b` ygm `jlflajfk qmaybu fli ygmlbl(`jlflajfk mablbhz, Umo}kfyjblq qgb}ki em qmy fy f kmpmk ygfy subefekz wb}ki hfdm`jlflajfk jlymuhmijfyjbl kmqq sub`jyfekm+ qb ygfy ygm qbajfk hfuojlfk abqy b` `jlflajfkjlymuhmijfyjbl mv}fkq ygm qbajfk hfuojlfk qbajfk emlm`jy,

    jp, Agflamq fum ygfy ygm `jlflajfk qzqymh hfz umqjqy agflomq+ fq jy wjkk a}y jyqumlyq%_gmum zb} qyfli imsmliq bl wgmum zb} qjy,% 'Lmkqbl Hflimkf*, Ygmum jq f e}jky(jl

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160

    53

    ejfq fofjlqy `jlflajfk umo}kfyjblq> Fkk ygm aujqmq ygfy wmum fpbjimi ez yjogymu `jlflajfkumo}kfyjblq fum jhsmuamsyjekm fli lby aumijymi yb ygm sbkjazhfdmu, Zmy+ ygm abqy b` `jlflajfkumo}kfyjbl jq yuflqsfumly fli imejymi yb ygm sbkjazhfdmu, Ygjq fqzhhmyuz q}oomqyq ygfygjogmu umo}kfybu m``buy+ wgjkm gmksjlo yb fpbji f aujqjq+ ymliq yb mubim bpmu yjhm ygm q}ssbuy`bu }y}um umo}kfyjbl 'Fj~mlhfl 5363*,

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

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    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160

    56

    UM@MUMLAMQ FLI @]UYGMU UMFIJLOQ

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, 5366, Gbfuijlo Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq Pmuq}q f Sjobpjfl Yf(A}h(Q}eqjizQagmhm> Um`kmayjblq bl ygm Imkmpmufojlo Aujqjq b` 5337(:+ Nb}ulfk b` MablbhjaIzlfhjaq fli Ablyubk'1=* :> 6=356=61,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, 533:, @jlflajfk Aujqjq fli ygm Sfufib b` ]limu( fli Bpmu(Umo}kfyjbl+ LEMU_budjlo Sfsmu ! 6=367+ sumqmlymi ygfy ygm _buki Efld Fll}fk Efld Abl`mumlam blImpmkbshmly Mablbhjaq 'FEAIM*+ Qmb}k+ N}lm 533:, Fssmfumi fy Kmqqblq ubhMfqy Fqjf fli ygm Okbefk @jlflajfk Aujqjq'FEAIM*+ N, Z, Kjl fli E, Skmqdbpja 'miq,*,_buki Efld _buki Efld S}ekjafyjblq+ 5366> 561519,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, fli N, Kmm, 533?, Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq> Sumaf}yjblfuz pmuq}q HmuaflyjkjqyPjmwq+ Ygmbuz fli Mpjimlam, Bsml Mablbhjmq Umpjmw '67* 5> 6:6569,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, fli N, Kmm, 5337, @jlflajfk pmuq}q Hblmyfuz HmuaflyjkjqhKblo(u}l Pjmw b`Kfuom Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq Gbfuijlo, Ygm _buki Mablbhz'16* => =:1066,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N,+ H,I, Agjll+ fli G, Jyb, 5363, Ygm Mhmuojlo Okbefk @jlflajfk Fuagjymay}um>Yufajlo fli Mpfk}fyjlo ygm Lmw Sfyymulq b` ygm Yujkmhhf/q Abl`jo}ufyjblq+ Nb}ulfk b`

    Jlymulfyjblfk Hblmz fli @jlflam'5:* 9> 06=096,Fj~mlhfl+ N,+ H,I, Agjll+ fli G, Jyb, 5366, Q}u`jlo ygm _fpmq b` Okbefkj~fyjbl> Fqjf fli

    @jlflajfk Okbefkj~fyjbl jl ygm Ablymy b` ygm Yujkmhhf, Nb}ulfk b` ygm Nfsflmqm fliJlymulfyjblfk Mablbhz '5=* 1>5:3153,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, fli U, Okjad, 533:, %Qymujkj~fyjbl+ Hblmyfuz Sbkjaz+ fli Okbefk @jlflajfkJlymoufyjbl+% Umpjmw b` Jlymulfyjblfk Mablbhjaq'6?*> 9> ???736,

    Fj~mlhfl N, fli Z, Q}l, 5363, Ygm `jlflajfk aujqjq fli qj~fekm jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmqimskmyjbl> @ubh `mfu b` `kbfyjlo yb ygm `mfu b` kbqjlo jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq2 LEMU_budjlo Sfsmu Lb, 6=137,

    Fj~mlhfl+ N, E, Sjlyb fli U, Ufi~jwjkk, 533?, Qb}uamq `bu `jlflajlo ibhmqyja afsjyfk jq`bumjol qfpjlo f pjfekm bsyjbl `bu impmkbsjlo ab}lyujmq2 Nb}ulfk b` Jlymulfyjblfk

    Hblmz fli @jlflam'50* => 075?35,Fj~mlhfl+ N, fli P, Q}qgdb, 5366, Afsjyfk @kbw Yzsmq+ Mymulfk @jlflajlo Lmmiq+ fli

    Jli}qyujfk Oubwyg> :: ab}lyujmq+ 6::6533?+ LEMU _budjlo sfsmu Lb, 6?557,

    Ejflagj+ N, 5363, Bpmuebuubwjlo fli Qzqymhja Mymulfkjyjmq jl ygm E}qjlmqq Azakm,Hfl}qaujsy,

    EJQ+ @QE fli JH@, 5366, Hfaub su}imlyjfk sbkjaz ybbkq fli `ufhmwbudq> ]sifym yb ygm O53@jlflam Hjljqymuq fli Obpmulbuq, Hfl}qaujsy,

    Afkpb+ O, 6::7, Afsjyfk @kbwq fli Afsjyfk(hfudmy Aujqmq> Ygm Qjhskm Mablbhjaq b` Q}iimlQybsq, Nb}ulfk b` Fsskjmi Mablbhjaq6> 1==9,

    Afkpb+ O, fli Umjlgfuy, A, H, 5335, @mfu b` @kbfyjlo+ V}fuymukz Nb}ulfk b` Mablbhjaq66?>1?:937,

    Afkpb+ O, 5330, Hblmyfuz Sbkjaz Agfkkmlomq jl Mhmuojlo Hfudmyq> Q}iiml Qybs+ KjfejkjyzIbkkfuj~fyjbl+ fli Kmlimu b` Kfqy Umqbuy, _budjlo Sfsmu 65?77+ Lfyjblfk E}umf} b`Mablbhja Umqmfuag,

    Agm}lo+ Z, _+ fli W, _, Vjfl, 533:, Gbfuijlo b` Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq> Huq, Hfagk}sq_fuiubem fli ygm Nblmqmq, Umpjmw b` Jlymulfyjblfk Mablbhjaq, 6?'9*> 759791,

    Agm}lo+ Z, _+ fli G, Jyb, 533:, Aubqq(qmayjblfk flfkzqjq bl ygm imymuhjlflyq b`jlymulfyjblfk umqmupmq faa}h}kfyjbl, Jlymulfyjblfk Mablbhja Nb}ulfk'51* 9> 99?976,

  • 8/3/2019 Trilemma and Financial Stability Configurations in Asia

    26/26

    FIEJ _budjlo Sfsmu 160

    Agjll+ H, I,+ fli G, Jyb, 5337, F Lmw Hmfq}um b` @jlflajfk Bsmllmqq, Nb}ulfk b`Abhsfufyjpm Sbkjaz Flfkzqjq'63* 1> 13:155,

    Im Oumobujb+ N, 5366, Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupm Gbfuijlo jl Mhmuojlo Hfudmyq Mablbhjmq+Amlymu Efld b` Agjkm umsbuy Lb, 93,

    Ibhjlo}m~+ D+ Z, Gfqgjhbyb+ fli Y, Jyb, 5366, Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq fli ygm Okbefk@jlflajfk Aujqjq, Hfl}qaujsy+ ygm LEMU,

    Ibbkmz+ S, H,+ I, @bkdmuyq(Kflif}+ fli S, Ofuemu, 5331, Fl Mqqfz bl ygm Umpjpmi Eumyybl_bbiq Qzqymh, LEMU _budjlo Sfsmu Lb, ::?6, Afheujiom+ HF> Lfyjblfk E}umf} b`Mablbhja Umqmfuag,

    Mjagmloumml+ E,+ fli U, Gf}qhfll, 6:::, Magflom Ufymq fli @jlflajfk @ufojkjyz+ LEMU_budjlo Sfsmuq Lb, ?967,

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    Dbujlmd+ F, 5363, Mamqqjpm Ibkkfu Ebuubwjlo jl Mhmuojlo Hfudmyq> Efkflam Qgmmy M``mayqfli Hfaubmablbhja Mymulfkjyjmq+ hfl}qaujsy,

    Beqy`mki+ H,+ Qgfhef}og+ N, A, fli Yfzkbu+ F, H,5363, @jlflajfk Qyfejkjyz+ ygm Yujkmhhf+

    fli Jlymulfyjblfk Umqmupmq, Fhmujafl Mablbhja Nb}ulfk> Hfaubmablbhjaq'5*> =?:9,

    Sfud+ Z, A, 533:, Um`buh b` ygm Okbefk Umo}kfybuz Qzqymh> Smuqsmayjpmq b` Mfqy FqjfqMhmuojlo Mablbhjmq+ sumqmlymi ygfy ygm _buki Efld Fll}fk Efld Abl`mumlam blImpmkbshmly Mablbhjaq 'FEAIM*+ Qmb}k+ N}lm 533:, Fssmfumi fy Kmqqblq ubhMfqy Fqjf fli ygm Okbefk @jlflajfk Aujqjq'FEAIM*+ N, Z, Kjl fli E, Skmqdbpja 'miq,*,_buki Efld _buki Efld S}ekjafyjblq,

    Sfqujagf+ D, O, 5366, _gml fum afsjyfk ablyubkq hfaub su}imlyjfk ybbkq2 Hfl}qaujsy+ Efld b`Aflfif,

    Ufnfl U, Q,+ U, Qjumofu fli O, Ejui, 533=, Ygm Sumaf}yjblfuz Imhfli `bu Umqmupm Gbkijloqjl Fqjf> Mfhjljlo ygm Afqm `bu f Umojblfk Umqmupm Sbbk+ FqjfSfaj`ja Nb}ulfk b`Mablbhjaq fli E}qjlmqq'=*65> 561:,

    Ufnfl+ U,+ fli K, ^jlofkmq, 6::7, @jlflajfk Imsmlimlam fli Oubwyg, Fhmujafl MablbhjaUmpjmw 77> ==:70,

    Ubiujd+ I, 5330, Ygm Qbajfk Abqy b` @bumjol Magflom Umqmupmq+ Jlymulfyjblfk MablbhjaNb}ulfk '53* 1> 5=1500,yfkbo"wbuki(impmkbshmly(jlijafybuq,