trends in technology 1997
DESCRIPTION
Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA, CITP, CGMA - Byte of Success Delivered multiple times in 1997 - looks at technology trends of the time.TRANSCRIPT
HAL 9000 and More:HAL 9000 and More:Trends in TechnologyTrends in TechnologyHAL 9000 and More:HAL 9000 and More:Trends in TechnologyTrends in Technology
presented bypresented by
Grabush, Newman & Co., Grabush, Newman & Co., P.A.P.A.
Certified Public Accountants & Management Certified Public Accountants & Management ConsultantsConsultants
Chaim Yudkowsky, CPA
ObjectivesObjectives
To provide you with a look at new technologies and trends
Discussion of business, cultural, and social impacts of those technologies to the communication field
Why (continue to) use Why (continue to) use technology?technology?
Increase recreation and entertainment Improve productivity Improve convenience Improve accuracy Improve efficiency Improve clarity and neatness Increase timeliness Increase accessibility Reduce costs
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
Arthur L. Clarke, The Lost Worlds of 2001
TrendTrend
Fundamental societal shift to being “Knowledge based.”
Peter Drucker, The Post Capitalist Society
Technology - Technology - ExistingExisting
Personal computers and GUI VCR / TV CD-ROM services Color printing E-mail Fax Voice mail Wireless OCR Scanning Internet
The Internet seems pervasive, but...The Internet seems pervasive, but...
. . . it involves many technologies!. . . it involves many technologies!
Vision is the art of seeing things invisible.
Jonathan Swift, Thoughts on Various Subjects
Technology -Technology - Near-term emerging Near-term emerging
Groupware Multimedia Animation Personal digital assistants Kiosks DVD Internet push technology
“In the world of the Internet, is there a place for a packager of services? Does the customer want to go surf the Net and go to every one of 50,000 Web sites?Or will people pay a reasonable amount for somebodyto go out and preselect and package what they want?My guess is that both will coexist.”
Lou GerstnerCEO IBM / Prodigy Services Partner
Business Week Oct 30, 1995
Technology - Technology - Longer-term emergingLonger-term emerging
Video conferencing Virtual reality Imaging Interactive TV
– Experiment in Orlando Intelligent agent Web TV
– Niche segment appeal for next 5 years
Technology - Technology - Ongoing emergingOngoing emerging
Chips -- Pentium MMX, II, and beyond Electronic commerce Data warehouse leveraging High-definition TV Voice synthesis & recognition Intranet / Extranet Two-way paging PCS extension of wireless
Technology - Technology - Novelty and NicheNovelty and Niche
Fanny pack PC Virtual pets TruePosition geographical positioning Net games Child playgrounds
The Information Highway will transform our culture as dramatically as Gutenberg’s press did in the middle ages.
Bill Gates, CEO, MicrosoftThe Road Ahead
Today, many technology Today, many technology innovations seem to involve innovations seem to involve
information and communication. information and communication.
A man’s feet must be planted in his country, but his eyes should survey the world.
George Santayana, philosopher
Technology Drivers Technology Drivers
Globalization and global competition Pace of change / pace of communication Collaboration Continuous pressure to outperform Downsizing of resources Hunger for knowledge
Knowledge has become the “key resource” of the world economy. The traditional factors - land, labor, capital - are becoming restraints rather than driving forces.
Peter Drucker
Decision Information OverloadDecision Information Overload
High High
Low Low
Abilityto Make a Decision
Quality of knowledge
Quality of informationLow High
Technology changing Technology changing expectationsexpectations
Mass customization / mass niche marketing Infotainment Telecomputer convergence Info-intensive value chain Telecommuting Virtual corporation Virtual shopping
Who is using it?Who is using it?
Xers, Boomers, and Matures “Technology sometimes intimidates me.” -
55:57:64 Simplicity sells Xers = practicality Boomers = efficiency Matures = accessibility
Overall technology issuesOverall technology issues
Speed and degradation Privacy Confidentiality Security Permanency Copyright Usage policy Quality of life
AICPA IT Committee 1997 AICPA IT Committee 1997 Top 10Top 10
1. Security.
2. Image Processing.
3. General communication technology.
4. The Internet and public online services.
5. Training and technology competency.
AICPA IT Committee 1997 AICPA IT Committee 1997 Top 10Top 10
6. The Year 2000.
7. Electronic commerce.
8. Workflow.
9. Private networks, including intranets.
10. Electronic data interchange (EDI).
Specific technology Specific technology implementationsimplementations
Database management Document preparation Electronic mail Contact management Presentations
Point to ponderPoint to ponder
Senior managers who do not make information technology an integral part of their business strategy will find their future seriously threatened by competitors who do. Jaak Juison, Asst Professor of IS
Fordham University
Reader of Business Week
Discussion / Questions Discussion / Questions
THE ENDTHE END