trends and technology for highest speed over distance …

37
Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance NYSE: NPTN September 2020

Upload: others

Post on 27-Nov-2021

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over DistanceNYSE: NPTN

September 2020

Page 2: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

2

Forward Looking Statements and Other Important CautionsThis presentation includes statements that qualify as forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include statements aboutthe following topics: future financial results, the Company’s market position and industry trends.

Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially. These forward-looking statements include statements about the followingtopics: future financial results, demand for the Company’s high-speed products, and the Company’s market position. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that couldcause the actual results to differ materially. Those risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, such factors as: the Company’s reliance on a small number of customers for a substantial portionof its revenues; market growth in China and other key countries; possible reduction in or volatility of customer orders or delays in shipments of products to customers; timing of customer drawdowns ofvendor-managed inventory; the potential for export or other legal restrictions placed on our overseas customers; possible disruptions in the supply chain or in demand for the Company’s products due toindustry developments including COVID-19; the ability of the Company's vendors and subcontractors to supply or manufacture the Company's products in a timely manner; ability of the Company tomeet customer demand; volatility in utilization of manufacturing operations and manufacturing costs; reductions in the Company’s rate of new design wins, and/or the rate at which design wins go intoproduction, and the rate of customer acceptance of new product introductions; potential pricing pressure that may arise from changing supply or demand conditions in the industry; the impact of anyprevious or future acquisitions or divestitures of assets and related product lines; challenges involving integration of acquired businesses and utilization of acquired technology; the discontinuance or endof life of certain other products; market adoption, revenue growth and margins of acquired products; changes in demand for the Company's products; the impact of competitive products and pricing andalternative technological advances; the accuracy of estimates used to prepare the Company's financial statements and forecasts; the timely and successful development and market acceptance of newproducts and upgrades to existing products; the difficulty of predicting future cash needs; the nature of other investment opportunities available to the Company from time to time; the Company’soperating cash flow; changes in economic and industry projections; a decline in general conditions in the telecommunications equipment industry or the world economy generally; and the effects ofseasonality.

For further discussion of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the documents the Company files with the SEC from time to time, including the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for theyear ended December 31, 2019 and the Company’s Quarterly Report of Form 10-Q for the three months ended June 30, 2020. All forward-looking statements are made as of the date of thispresentation, and the Company disclaims any duty to update such statements.

You may obtain these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov.

Non-GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA Measures vs. GAAP Financial Measures

The Company’s non-GAAP and adjusted EBITDA measures exclude certain GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the Non-GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA financial measures to the most directlycomparable GAAP financial measures is provided in the financial schedules portion of its press release issued on August 4, 2020 and available in the Investor Relations section of the NeoPhotonicswebsite. Non-GAAP financial measures differ from GAAP measures with the same captions and may differ from non-GAAP financial measures with the same or similar captions that are used by othercompanies. As such, these non-GAAP measures should be considered as a supplement to, and not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP.

The Company uses these non-GAAP financial measures to analyze its operating performance and future prospects, develop internal budgets and financial goals, and to facilitate period-to-periodcomparisons. NeoPhotonics believes that these non-GAAP financial measures reflect an additional way of viewing aspects of its operations that, when viewed with its GAAP results, provide a morecomplete understanding of factors and trends affecting its business.

Page 3: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

3

NeoPhotonics: World leader in the highest speed optoelectronicsFinancial and Operational Scale• TTM Revenues as of Q2’20 of ~$398 million• 26% growth over Q2’2019, up from 23% growth in Q1• Beyond Q3 2020, no Huawei forecast with BIS restrictions• ~1,300 employees (USA, China, Japan, Canada)• ~500 Issued Patents

Deep Technology for Highest Speed Cloud Solutions• Highest speed coherent suite shipping volume 64 Gbaud / 600Gbps• Unique ultra-narrow linewidth tunable laser enables highest speed

and farthest distance transmission – and A New Era of Growth• Sampling 400G / 400ZR / 400ZR+ coherent DCO modules enabled

by silicon photonics modulator/receiver integration• Unique C++ LASERTM for expanded spectrum and capacity

For Network Equipment Transport | Metro | Data Center

SystemsLine Card | Daughter Card | Transponder

Telco Carriers/Cloud and Hyperscale

Central Office / WebscaleData Center

Components & Modules

Market Ecosystem

Components and Transceivers

Optical ICs

Lasers, Drivers, Amplifiers, Modulators

SemiFabs

Products Customers

Page 4: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

4

NPTN reaffirms Q3 outlook of $97-105 milA New Era of Growth, Driven by 400G~800G

A New Era of Growth for NeoPhotonics

• Demand for NPTN high speed products is strong.• We expect 40-50% revenue growth from customers

beyond Huawei over the next year.• Our highest speed products for 400G, 600G and

800G are rapidly gaining traction with leading NEMs. These are expected to be 20-25% of 2020 revenue and exit the year at >40%.

• 400ZR and 400ZR+ high speed modules are expected to ramp in 2021. 400G and above port growth is forecasted at an 80% CAGR 2019-2024.

• Hyper-scale data center interconnects and network edge provisioning for cloud services all drive demand for speed over distance.

• Recent BIS / Department of Commerce increased restrictions on Huawei for U.S. and foreign-produced items using U.S. technology

• We expect to meet our Q3 2020 outlook provided on August 4, 2020. Shipments to Huawei in Q3 are expected to contribute ~$40 mil of revenue in Q3.

• Beyond Q3, assuming BIS restrictions remain in place and provided we are unable to obtain licenses, NPTN will not rely on revenue contribution from Huawei

Page 5: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

5

FIBER OPTIC COMMUNICATIONS: HIGHEST SPEED OVER DISTANCE LEADER

• A Decade of Delivering the Highest Speed Over Distance In the Industry

• Technology Development Teamwork: Unique Corporate and Multinational Culture

• The Outer Limits of Complex Optical Materials Technology

• Currently Shipping Products that Deliver 32 Terabits per second On One Fiber

• Technology and Manufacturing: Seamless Organic Team

• Deep Reservoir of Knowhow Captured in Trade Secrets for Highest Speed Over Distance

$398M TTM Revenues26% YoY Growth

in Q2’FY20

Acceleration Growth in High Speed Products with

Expanding Margins(100G+ 2012-19)

~1,300 Employees(USA, China, Japan, Canada)

~500Issued Patents

Page 6: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

6

Deep Culture of Innovation and Technology Refinement Results of Engineering Innovation

Corporate Engineering Culture Driving Innovation

• Stable Technology Leadership for 15 Years

• Key Acquisitions Since 2010; Each a Holder of Strategic Technology

• Close Collaboration among Global teams

• Relentless Consistency of Focus over Years

• Continuous Manufacturing and Process Improvement

• Deep Knowhow from Fab to Final Test

• Many Trade Secrets

• Industry’s Purest Light Tunable Lasers

• Highest Baud Rate Receivers and Modulators

• Most Advanced Hybrid Integration Manufacturing

• Optimized Materials Platforms

• Highest Density Modulation Schemes

• Delivering the Industry's Highest Speed Over Distance and Highest Capacity

Page 7: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

7

NeoPhotonics’ Sustainable Competitive Advantage: Our Laser

PIC Integration

OUR DESIGN• A formidable competitor in

silicon

• Requires our high power lasers

• Leading hybrid integration

• Superior laser design

• Low phase noise

• Ultra-narrow line width

OUR INTEGRATIONLaser

We leverage ultra-pure light tunable lasers and optical integration to deliver highest speed over distance

New nano- and C++ LASERTM products target high capacity applications

• Uniquely low noise

Page 8: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

8

COHERENT

IP over DWDM Dramatically Reduces Cost per Bit; Requires Our Laser

Coherent100G+ Networks

Creates detectable, error-free signals; each color

(wavelength) transmitted must be much purer than for lower speeds.

The New

On/Off Keying10G WDM Networks

Signal muddied / impaired at higher speeds

The Old

The Best in Coherent Optics Technology

Low phase noise

High symbol rate

Higher order modulation

Wider Spectrum

NeoPhotonics High Capacity Solutions for Speed Over Distance

Page 9: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

New Era of Growth:400G, 600G & 800G As A Growth Market

Page 10: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

10

Pluggable Coherent Modules vs. Chassis Based-SystemsCloud-Driven Growth and Converging Markets

Cost per Bit Is the Driver of Growth

40 km

Data center/edge

80 km

Data center interconnect

600 km

Regional/metro

>1,000 km

Long haul

TELECOMDATA CENTER

WIRELESS BACKHAUL

• DCI/Edge Reaches– Pluggable Modules

– Power Limited

• Metro Reaches– Chassis Based

– Performance Limited

• Long Haul– Chassis Based

– Performance Limited

Pluggable Preferred – Power Limited Performance DrivenComing Battleground

400G+ Port Growth Forecasting 5-Year Forward CAGR of 80% (2019-24); Dominant Growth Segment

Cloud-drive pluggables will drive network changes

Page 11: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

11

Speed Over Distance 400ZR / 400ZR+ Pluggables Will Accelerate GrowthAccelerating Growth Increases With 600~800G Transponders

Metro/Regional/Long HaulCentral OfficeCentral Office

OPEN LINE SYSTEM

SWITCH/ROUTER

CHASSIS SYSTEM

6-800GSRSR

SWITCH/ROUTER

CHASSIS SYSTEM

6-800G SR SR

SR = short reach transceiver

Cisco NCS 1000

Infinera Groove G30

Infinera CX/CX2

Nokia PSI-2T

Ciena WaveserverAI

DCI and Edge Growth Is In Pluggable 400ZR Modules (IP over DWDM Directly in Routers)Long Haul Growth Is In High Baud Rate Chassis Based Systems – Metro Growth Split With 400ZR+

Edge/DCI/MetroUrban data

centerSuburb or campus

ROUTER ROUTER

OPEN LINE SYSTEM

400ZR 400ZR

Can extend to 800ZR

NeoPhotonics is sampling all three 400ZR modules

400ZROSFP

400ZR QSFP-DD

400ZR+ CFP2-DCO

Page 12: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

12

Fastest Growth of Coherent is 400G Modules and 600/800G Components

DCI/Edge (~100km)

400ZR Pluggable

400ZR+ Pluggable

Metro (~500km)

400ZR+ Pluggable

Chassis System

Long Haul (~1000km)

400ZR+ Pluggable

Chassis System

• DCI/Edge Reaches– 80-120km– 400ZR Pluggables– QSFP-DD

• Metro Reaches– 400-600 km– 400ZR+ Modules– 600-800G

Transponders• Long Haul

– ≥ 1000km– High baud rates– Extended reach– Transponders

Pluggable 400ZR Modules Dominate Short Reach DCI/Edge; Chassis Based Systems Own Long Haul

400ZR+

400ZR

Chassis

GROWTH

GROWTH

GROWTH

Page 13: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

13

High Speed Optical Ports As A Measure of Success

OPTICAL PORT(2020 Market: 620K ports*)

• NeoPhotonics’ tunable lasers have narrowest line width and lowest phase noise (ultra pure color)• High performance receivers decode phase and polarization• Advanced modulators code signals that use large constellation modulation schemes

* Company Estimate

Coherent Optical Ports Are the Metric of Our Business: 2020-2021 Growth Is Cloud-DrivenCOHERENT TRANSCEIVER / OPTICAL PORT

(2021 Market: >700K ports*)

Electronics

Digital signal processor converts analog signals to digital

DSP

Electronics

Digital signal processor converts analog signals to digital

DSP

Control electronics

The Optics

Sold integrated in modules, or as components

RECEIVETRANSMIT

LaserModulator

Signal Out Signal In

Receiver

Port Growth Driven By Data Center /

non-China Telco’s

HIGH SPEED PORTS

Huawei ~35% of portsGrowth is in-line w. market

Ex-Huawei ~25% growth

Page 14: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

14

400ZR/ZR+ Modules and Components For Chassis

Cost per Bit Declines Drive Higher Growth At Higher Bandwidths

Source: Company estimates. No Huawei in 400ZR estimates

High Speed Coherent Is Technology of Choice

Rapid Growth in 400G+ PORTS

400G+ Coherent Ports Are The Fastest Growing Segment. Current Design Wins → Acceleration!

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

400G+ 400ZR

+80%CAGR

CO

HER

ENT

POR

TS S

HIP

PED

Total 400G+ Ports in 2020 forecast is 110KIncreasing to 975K ports in 2024

Total NPTN 400G+ TAM

Source: Company estimates. No Huawei in 400ZR estimates

0

500

1000

1500

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024Components 400ZR Modules

Total 400G+ NPTN TAM in 2020 forecast is $200MIncreasing to $1.3B ports in 2024

+70%CAGR

Page 15: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

15

Competitive Strength at Top NEMs for >400G. 40% Increase In Design Wins Driven By 64 Gb Suite

NeoPhotonics Market Reach In 400G, 600G and 800G Applications

NLW-TL Modulator Receiver Customer A X X XCustomer B X X X

Customer C X X X

Customer D X X

Customer E X

Customer F X X X

Customer G X X X

Customer H X

Customer I X X X

Customer J X

• NPTN Supplies Ultra Pure Tunable Lasers To All Of The Leading Providers Of 400G+ Chassis-Based Systems

• NPTN Supplies 64 Gbaud and Above Coherent Modulators To 6 of 10 Leading Providers of 400G+ Chassis-Based Systems

• NPTN Supplies 64 Gbaud and Above Coherent Receivers To 7 of 10 Leading Providers of 400G+ Chassis-Based Systems

Page 16: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

New Era of Growth: 600G and 800G Chassis-Based Systems are Proven and are DeployingDr. Winston Way, CTO

Page 17: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

17

600~800G Now Driving Accelerating Growth:Field Trials Portend Accelerating Deployments

400 600Net Data Rate (Gb/s)

5,000

3,000

1,000

Dis

tanc

e (k

m)

800400ZR+CFP2-DCO

60Gbd

600G and 800G products focus on long-haul 400G transmission The higher the baud rate, the longer the transmission distance The higher the capacity per wavelength, the shorter the transmission distance

600G and 800G Multi-Rate Systems Adjust Speed in Gbaud To Increase Transmission Distance

600G ( ≤ 70Gbaud, 16nm DSP)NPTN Suite shipping in 2018

800G ( ≤ 96Gbaud, 7nm DSP)NPTN Suite shipping in 2019

400ZR and ZR+ Will Be A LargeVolume Market.NPTN Modules shipping in 2020

Page 18: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

18

600~800G Chassis-Based Systems vs. 400G Pluggable Modules

NPTN Growth Benefits from 600~800G Segment and in new 400ZR and 400ZR+ Segment

800G x4

600G x2

600G x2

(600G x2)x4

400G x1Lower cost/BW optical components

for shorter-reach modulesNPTN supplies complete modules

400G x1 400G x1

OSFPDD-QSFPCFP2-DCO

High capacity & long reach require premium high BW optical components

NPTN supplies components

Page 19: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

New Era of Growth:Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance is Pushing the Envelope

Page 20: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

20

Key Optical Components for 600~800G Transmission SystemsNPTN Is A Leading Provider of All High Performance Optics for Highest Speeds

• Narrow-Linewidth Tunable Laser (Nano ITLA)– Ultra Pure Laser Light– Low Linewidth and Phase Noise– Shipping in Volume Since 2015

• High Bandwidth Coherent Driver Modulator (HB-CDM)– 64 Gbaud for up to 600G– 96 Gbaud for up to 800G– Shipping in Volume Since 2019

• High Bandwidth Intradyne Coherent Receiver (HB-ICR)– 64 Gbaud for up to 600G– 96 Gbaud for up to 800G– Shipping in Volume Since 2018

NPTN Today Provides the Leading Suite of 64 Gbaud Components; 96 Gbaud is Next!

Page 21: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

21

Differentiated Components Technology for the Highest Speed Over DistanceNPTN Is The Market Leading Provider of Highest Performance Optics

• Narrow-Linewidth Tunable Laser (Nano ITLA)– Narrow Linewidth and lowest phase noise Increased Distance & Capacity– Higher optical output power Increased Distance & Capacity– Lower Power consumption Increased Port density – Higher Frequency accuracy and stability Increased Capacity– Wider tunable optical spectrum Increased Capacity

• High Bandwidth Coherent Driver Modulator (HB-CDM)– Higher Bandwidth Increased Capacity– Lower Required driving voltage Lower Power consumption– Lower Insertion loss Higher Optical output power Increased Distance & Capacity– Lower Power consumption Increased Port density

• High Bandwidth Intradyne Coherent Receiver (HB-ICR)– Higher Bandwidth Increased Capacity– Lower Thermal noise Improved Link budget– Higher Responsivity Improved Link budget

NPTN Optical Components Deliver Critical Performance Benefits

Page 22: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

22

Impact of TL Linewidth and Phase Noise on 600 & 800G Signals

(Optics Letters, vol.45, No.3, p.1220, March 2020)

DBR#1DBR#2

ECL

OIF mask

30KHz linewidth

Low phase noise Low linewidth

NPTN Ultra-Narrow Linewidth ECL Laser (Blue) Has Far Lower Phase Noise Than DBR Lasers

PHAS

E N

OIS

E

Frequency (Hz)0 100 200 300 400 500

distance (km)

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

OSN

R p

enal

ty R

elat

ive

to E

CL

TL (d

B)

DBR#1 96G/DP-32QAM

DBR#2 96G/DP-32QAM

DBR#1 64G/DP-64QAM

DBR#2 64G/DP-64QAM

DBR shows higher OSNR penaltyover ECL even at 400~450km

NPTN ECL Lasers Improve OSNR At All Distance (>1 dB at 400 km vs DBR Lasers)

600G

800G

Page 23: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

23

Heightened Importance In New 600~800G Links:NPTN Lasers are Ultra Accurate and Stable To Enable Highest Fiber Capacity

• NPTN Ultra Narrow Linewidth Tunable Lasers have frequency stability and accuracy that is 2X as good as the main competition, DBR lasers.

• 600G (≤ 70Gbaud) often uses 75GHz-spaced athermal DWDM array-waveguide multiplexer/de-multiplexer or ROADM to avoid a reduction of total fiber capacity.

• 800G (≤ 96Gbaud) uses 100GHz to 125GHz-spaced DWDM multiplexer/de-multiplexer or ROADM for similar reasons.

• These tight channel spacings leave little margin for laser or optics drift. In these areas, NeoPhotonics high performance components enable the highest capacity.

NPTN Lasers and MUX/DMUX Enable Dense Channels Increasing Fiber Capacity

100 GHz

100Gbps(32Gbd)

100Gbps(32Gbd)

75 GHz

600Gbps(70Gbd)

600Gbps(70Gbd)

Page 24: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

24

NPTN InP Coherent Modulator and Receiver Outperform Silicon Photonics At 600~800G To Increase Transmission Distance and Fiber Capacity

Material Net Data Rate (Baud Rate)

Modulator3-dB BW

Modulator Vπ Modulator Fiber-to-fiber insertion loss perpolarization

Receiver3-dB BW

InP 600Gb/s (≤ 70Gbd)

40 GHz 1.2~2.0 V 14 dB (w/o SOA)3 dB (w SOA)

40 GHz

800Gb/s (≤ 96Gbd)

55 GHz 1.2~2.0 V 14 dB (w/o SOA)3 dB (w SOA)

60 GHz

SiP 600Gb/s (≤ 70Gbd)

30 GHz ~6 V 16 dB 30-40 GHz

NPTN Indium Phosphide gives 3 dB bandwidth improvement by at least 33% – Increased capacity

NPTN Indium Phosphide lowers modulator drive voltage 3X – lower cost drivers

NPTN Indium Phosphide lowers optical insertion and coupling loss – Increased transmission distance

Page 25: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

New Era of Growth:Open Line Systems

Page 26: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

26

400ZR / ZR+ Pluggable DCO Brings A New High Capacity SolutionBandwidth capacity delivers speed over distance and a new way to “wire” the world

NPTN 400ZR modules are shipping to leading customers today in all three form factors

400ZRCFP2-DCO

400ZR OSFP

400ZRQSFP-DD

400ZR & 400ZR+ Will Be the Mainstay to Deliver Speed Over Distance

Beginning 2021400ZR Architecture

Urban data center

Suburb or campus

ROUTER ROUTER

OPEN LINE SYSTEM

400ZR 400ZR

Can extend to 800ZR

400G/400ZR Module Solutions

Page 27: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

27

Passive DWDM MUX/DEMUX and 400ZR/ZR+ Enable Rise of IP over DWDM

ROADM

DWDM Transport

Router

ROADM

DWDM Transport

Router

ROADM

DWDM Transport

Router$$$$

TRADITIONAL TELECOM NETWORK

DWDMDEMUX

DWDMMUX

Router

Optical express

DWDMDEMUX

DWDMMUX

Router

Optical express

DWDMDEMUX

DWDMMUX

Router

Optical express $SIMPLIFIED TELECOM NETWORK

Page 28: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

28

400/600/800G DWDM Systems Need Passive Mux and Demux

Open Line Systems leverage NPTN industry leading PLC integrated Mux and Demux solutions

• NeoPhotonics designs and manufactures special mux and demux filters that are optimized for 400G, 600G and 800G signals.

• NeoPhotonics mux and demux filters match the channel spacing and spectral range to cover the C, L and C++ wavelength bands.

• This maximizes total fiber capacity for each operational node.

Data Rate Baud Rate Channel Spacing Channel Number

400ZR/ZR+ 60~65 Gbaud 75 GHz 64600G 64~70 Gbaud 75 GHz 64800G 90~96 Gbaud 100GHz to 125 GHz 40~481.2T 120~130 Gbaud 150 GHz 32~40

Page 29: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

29

NPTN High BW Components Covering C, C++, and L-bands

196.1 THz(1528.77 nm)

191.3 THz(1567.13 nm)

C-band (4.8THz)C++ band (6.0 THz)

190.675 THz(1572.3 nm)

196.675 THz(1524.3 nm)

L-band (4.8THz)

186.15 THz(1610.49 nm)

Tunable laser, HB-CDM, HB-ICR, Mux/Demux

• All of NPTN’s three key components can cover C, C++, or L-band.• C++ capacity is 25% to 50% higher than C-band.• C and L bands capacity is 100% higher than C-band.

OPTICAL FREQUENCY (Color, in THz)

Page 30: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

30

Summary

• 400G+ is the fastest growing segment for Cloud and telecom networks.

• In 2021~2023, cloud and telecom networks both need 400ZR and 400ZR+ pluggable modules and 600~800G chassis-based transport systems.

– NeoPhotonics’ DD-QSFP, OSFP, and CFP2-DCO modules cover 400ZR and 400ZR+– NeoPhotonics’ tunable lasers, HB-CDM, and HB-ICR components cover 600~800G

• NPTN is well positioned for this growth.

Our new era of growth is driven by the highest speed chassis-based systems in addition to the sea change from advent of 400ZR and 400ZR+ modules in 2021.• NPTN also enables critical Open Line Systems for 400G and above with our Networks Products

and Solutions.

• 400G+ solutions are deploying now and will serve the longest reach and “biggest” data pipes.

Key trends and technology paths are clear in delivering highest speed over distance

Page 31: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

FINANCIAL VIEWSeptember 2020

Page 32: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

32

NeoPhotonics: Proven Track Record of Increasing Profitability and Cash(Non-GAAP, $M)

NOTES: Q2’20 non-GAAP Operating Profit excludes stock-based compensation expense of $3.8M, acquisition related intangibles amortizationand other costs of $0.3M, and $1.2M of non-GAAP tax adjustments.

Record operating profit of $10.7M, 4th profitable quarter and 8th quarter in a row of positive Free Cash Flow

20%

30%

40%

40

60

80

100

120

Q1'19 A Q2'19 A Q3'19 A 4Q'19 A Q1'20 A Q2'20 A

Revenue and Gross Margin

Revenue Non-GAAP GM%

(10)

(5)

-

5

10

15

Q1'19 A Q2'19 A Q3'19 A 4Q'19 A Q1'20 A Q2'20 A

Operating Profit

-

5

10

15

20

Q1'19 A Q2'19 A Q3'19 A 4Q'19 A Q1'20 A Q2'20 A

Free Cash Flow

- 20 40 60 80

100 120

Q1'19 A Q2'19 A Q3'19 A 4Q'19 A Q1'20 A Q2'20 A

Cash and Total Debt

Cash, Restricted Cash & Short Term Investments Total Debt

Page 33: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

33

NPTN reaffirms Q3 outlook of $97-105 milA New Era of Growth, Driven by 400G~800G

A New Era of Growth for NeoPhotonics

• Demand for NPTN high speed products is strong.• Hyper-scale data center interconnects, expanding

high speed capacities and network edge provisioning for cloud services all drive demand for speed over distance.

• Our highest speed products for 400G, 600G and 800G are gaining traction with leading NEMs. These are expected to be 20-25% of 2020 revenue and exit the year at >40%.

• We expect 40-50% revenue growth from customers beyond Huawei over the next year.

• 400ZR and 400ZR+ high speed modules are expected to ramp in 2021. Port growth is forecasted at an 80% CAGR 2019-2024.

• Recent BIS / Department of Commerce increased restrictions on Huawei for U.S. and foreign-produced items using U.S. technology

• We expect to meet our Q3 2020 outlook provided on August 4, 2020. Shipments to Huawei in Q3 are expected to contribute ~$40 mil of revenue in Q3.

• Beyond Q3, assuming BIS restrictions remain in place and provided we are unable to obtain licenses, NPTN will not rely on revenue contribution from Huawei.

Page 34: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

34

Outlook for Q3’20: No Change from August 4th Outlook

• Q3’20 Non-GAAP Gross Margin reflects an increase in underutilization; customer projects delayed by Covid-19.

• Supply Chain risks continue, but we are expecting to continue to be able to mitigate the risks.

• Operating Expense reflects push out of H1’20 expenses to H2’20 to ensure continued success in customer qualification of 64 Gbaud and 400ZR products.

• Given current trends in FX, the EPS forecast includes $1M of unfavorable impact for FX.

Notes: Q3’20 non-GAAP outlook excludes $3.4M of anticipated stock-based compensation expense, $0.3M of amortization of acquisition related intangibles and other costs, and $0.4M of non-GAAP tax adjustments. Non-GAAP EPS outlook assumes approximately 54.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

GAAP Non-GAAP

Revenue $97M to $105M

Gross Margin 29% to 33% 30% to 34% Operating Expenses $28M to $29M $25M to $26M

EPS ($0.03) to $0.07 $0.03 to $0.13

Based on current information, profitability is expected to continue for the 5th consecutive quarter. Demand for network bandwidth capacity continues to be strong. Completion of strategic inventory build at Huawei is expected to be offset by growth from other Top 10 customers for our highest speed products.Outlook reflects company view of update Entities List rules.

Page 35: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

35

The target for Gross Margin remains 35%

Drivers and Trends

Product margins have increased 10%+ since Q1’19and will increase slightly on improved product mix.

Eliminating 40% of revenue, excess capacity chargeswill increase significantly.

Insourcing of new products to leveraging capacity

Start up costs for modules to drive growth andcustomer diversification

Operating Profit

We will return to operating losses beginning Q4’20, without Huawei revenues We are forecasting a return to operating profits by the end of 2021

NPTN team has a proven track record of improving results for cash, cash flow and profitability

Gross Margin Operating ExpenseThe target for OpEx remains 25% of revenue

Drivers and Trends

Complete start up of modules at new customer group

Review products and programs for highest return

SG&A difficult to scale

Variable compensation reduced on reduced profitability

Page 36: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

36

Our Priorities Are Clear, with or without Huawei

Markets: Doubling our Accessible Market Size• Continued leadership in coherent components for highest speed performance applications

• Double our customer base serving global Cloud and Hyperscalers with DCI solutions, as well as telecom NEMs and their supply chain partners

Products: Leadership for Highest Speed Over Distance• Clear leadership in highest speed over distance optical solutions ─ coherent lasers and

leveraging integration

• Product suite for highest performance and speed over distance (Indium Phosphide) and cost benefit (Active Silicon platform)

• Gain market share with performance and feature differentiation

• A profitable, growth solutions business path serving fast growing 400G modules

Financial performance: Increasing Operating Leverage• Drive growth to increase operating leverage

• Maximizing revenue and gross margin for every unit of production capacity

• Continue to rationalize excess capacity and infrastructure

We are pursuing a path to deliver accelerating revenue growth and consistent higher profitability

Page 37: Trends and Technology for Highest Speed Over Distance …

THANK YOU