trendlines investment thesis pre ipo

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SC Capital Management LLC September 2014 What is Trendlines’ Opportunity Pre-IPO? sccapital.co

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Investment thesis for Trendlines (Israel), a micro VC incubator

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Page 1: Trendlines investment thesis pre ipo

SC Capital Management LLC September 2014

What is Trendlines’ Opportunity Pre-IPO?

sccapital.co

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Key Investment Highlights

•  6-1 leverage in seed-stage Israeli companies via gov’t program •  Isreali gov’t funds are non-recourse – that’s right, free money* •  True incubator business model produces optimal risk controls •  “Manufacturer” of startups focusing on agtech & medtech verticals

Leading Isreali “Incubator” business model

Recent exits offer glimps into powerful emerging national network •  Silicon Valley at a national scale – network effects in Israel •  Identifiable sourse of alpha derived from operational skill rather

than financial/biotech engineering •  IPO to fuel Trendlines’ micro VC brand into global ecosystem

Path from backwater investment co. to global micro VC leader

49x •  Investors can expect valuation to rise significantly as the market

understands the value creation going on inside this company •  Disintermediating financial-professional investors

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“We invest in, incubate, and support early-stage, high-promise medical and agricultural technology companies in Israel, a global leader in start-up ingenuity. We do so with passion, in partnership with innovators and investors, in an environment that encourages curiosity and fosters collaboration. Simply stated, we create and develop companies to improve the human condition.”

Trendlines Group LTD

Owner of two gov’t-franchised incubator licenses

46 portfolio companies, 3 exits in 12 months +1 in process

$160m raised by Trendlines and its portfolio companies to date

$8m in cash + Toronto IPO planned for September 2014

Trendlines Medical: Best Incubator 2010 and 2014 (Israel’s Office of the Chief Scientist of the Ministry of Economy)

9 revenue-stage companies

Taken 2 companies public on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange

Not a venture firm - no LP structure – true “incubator”

Trendlines, Investors, Founders

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Trendlines Group LTD

Focus: Life Science Technologies

source: Trendlines

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Trendlines Group LTD

Fundamental approach

source: Trendlines

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Trendlines Group LTD Invests primarily through three incubators

Medtech – incubator license

Agtech – incubator license

Labs – internal proprietary IP concepts

Typical investment: è$100k cash

èLeveraged by $600k in gov’t grant to portfolio co èCompanies incubated in-house for minimum of two years èAdditional support over two years averages $450k per co è20-50% equity stake in portfolio co’s èAvoids biotech/pharma concepts

èMajority owned and developed èExisting IP portfolio

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Trendlines Financials

SC Capital Management LLC

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Audited   000s   Jan  -­‐  June  30   FY   FY   FY  INCOME  STATEMENT   2014   2013   2012   2011  

Income      Gain  from  changes  in  fair  value  of  investments  in  porGolio  companies   8,562     23,494     8,637     6,723    

Income  from  companies  to  porGolio  companies   2,282     3,601     4,027     4,470    Group's  share  of  losses  of  companies  accounted  for  under                equity  method,  net       (738)   (434)   (310)  Income  from  contracted  R&D  services   753     1,621     1,238     52    Financial  income   1     201     33     721    Other  Income   158     259     267     669    

   Total  Income   11,756     4,944     5,131     5,602    

   Expenses      OperaWng  G&A   3,104     4,679     3,946     4,378    MarkeWng  expenses   199     315     139     121    R&D  expenses,  net   573     1,244     869     120    Financial  expenses   812     560     204     235    

   Total  Expenses   4,688     6,798     5,158     4,854    

   Income  before  income  taxes   7,068     (1,854)   (27)   748    Income  taxes   2,360     6,186     2,642     2,928    

   Net  Income  and  total  comprehensive  income   4,708     16,723     5,968     4,543    

IFRS accounting combines capital and income accounts….. Non-cash capital adjustment

audited by Ernst & Young

Net Income includes items not present in GAAP accounting

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Audited  000s   FY   FY  BALANCE  SHEET       30-­‐Jun-­‐14   2013   2012  

Cash   3,600     3,934     2,918    A/R   4,280     1,070     958    Short-­‐term  loans   342     760     625    

Total  Current  Assets   8,222     5,764     4,501    

Long-­‐term  investment   807    Investments  in  PorGolio  Companies   77,267     72,214     43,855    Investments  in  Companies,  equity  method   647     110     20    PP&E,  net   618     654     366    

Total  Non-­‐Current  Assets   79,339     72,978     44,241    

TOTAL  ASSETS   87,561     78,742     48,742    

Trade  and  other  payables   657     881     675    Deferrred  revenues   2,832     3,087     2,168    

Total  Current  LiabiliWes   3,489     3,968     2,843    

Deferred  revenues   506     1,340     730    Loans  from  Israel  Chief  ScienWst   4,986     4,955     4,231    ConverWble  debenture  warrants   2,149    Other  L/T  liabiliWes   7     4     398    Deferred  taxes   15,392     13,032     6,846    

Total  L/T  LiabiliWes   23,040     19,331     12,205    

Equity:  Share  capital   100     96     87    Share  premium   20,752     19,628     15,208    Reserve  for  share-­‐based  payment  transacWons   1,288     1,701     1,418    Retained  Earnings   35,260     29,867     13,912    Non-­‐controlling  interests   3,632     4,151     3,069    

Total  Equity   61,032     55,443     33,694    

TOTAL  LIABILITIES  &  EQUITY   87,561     78,742     48,742    

Issued in connection with IPO – 10% unsecured

cash of $2,619, partial proceeds of Inspiro sale, in A/R

$1,724 due in current period, remaining balances not due for more than four years

audited by Ernst & Young

Loans from Israel Scientist = gov’t incubator program.

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Selected accounting items – some clarification on cash EsWmated  source/(uses)  of  cash,  000s   Jan-­‐June   FY   FY   FY  InvesWng   2014   2013   2012   2011  Equity  investments  in  porGolio  companies   (305)   (1,974)   (3,510)   (5,237)  Proceeds  from  sale  of  investments  in  porGolio  companies   2,977     1,318     524     3,070    Disposal  of  investments  in  porfolio  companies  Purchase  PP&E   (20)   (373)   (210)   (78)  proceeds  from  restricted  deposits  with  more  than  one  year  restricWon  &            bank  deposits   (713)   565     1,880     (1,532)  Financing                  Issuance  of  common  stock   4     4,349     2,142     2,397    Issuance  of  shares  to  non-­‐controlling  interests   162     166     288     116    Proceeds  from  issuance  of  ConverWble  Debentures   2,126    Loans  from  chief  scienWst   153     386     2,547     3,736    OperaWng  Costs                  OperaWng,  G&A&M   (2,757)   (4,310)   (3,459)   (4,384)  R&D,  net   (573)   (1,244)   (869)   (120)  Financial  Income  (expenses)   (37)   194     (35)   (180)  Income  tax   0     0     0    Income                  Income  from  services  to  porGolio  companies   232     413     610     949    Income  from  contracted  R&D  services   753     1,621     1,238     52    Financial  income  Other  Income   158     605     (91)   1,141    

Income  total   1,143     2,639     1,757     2,142    

NET  TOTAL   2,159     1,716     1,055     (70)  

Trendlines is an investment company that produces high returns using operating leverage instead of financial leverage.

Fixed costs rising as Labs incubator ramps

Company does not break out write-offs but I estimate $1m over life of company or about $200k per year – not a significant concern

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Financial Summary

Companies  in  incubaWon   14  Incubator  graduate  companies   30  Public  companies   1  

45  

Assumes no exits, no incremental revenue, no additional capital raising other than IPO

Use  of  IPO  Proceeds  Fund  core  business  of  creaWng  and  developing  porGoilio  companies   4,000  Follow-­‐on  investment  in  porGolio  companies   700  Establish  overseas  incubators   900  Trendlines  Labs  unit  expasion   900  Balance  -­‐  for  W/C  and  general   2,000  

excluding 11 write-offs to date

Includes public company holding

EsWmated  sources  &  uses  of  cash  next  12  months*,  000s  Current  cash   8,300    Follow-­‐on  investments  in  porGolio  companies   (700)  Cash  required  for  operaWons   (6,734)  New  seed  investments   (500)  Overseas  incubators   (900)  Trendlines  Labs  unit  expasion   (900)  Cash  income   2,500    IPO  Proceeds,  net   7,500         8,566    

Burn  rate/month   353    Runway/months   24  

*$1.7m current portion LTD is responsibility of buyer of portfolio companies

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Qualitative Factors For Trendlines •  Leverages Israeli ecosystem & network •  Fail budget per company is small •  Intensive incubation method selects

winners and screens losers fast •  Established downstream investor/exit

channels – VC, industry, IPO •  Incubation environment: multiple peers/

mentors/advisors dedicated full-time •  Emerging superior incubator brand

improves deal flow – also able to leverage alumni network

•  Significant IP portfolio in Labs unit •  Tapping into global micro VC and

startup growth story •  Experienced team can navigate global

medtech regulations + able to engage in regulatory arbitrage

•  Proprietary deal flow – well-defined exit strategy

For Investors •  Participate in micro VC w/o fees &

expenses common in LP structures •  Pure aligned with management via

common – no carried interest, back end •  IPO price is a big discount to the

potential market value of existing portfolio

•  Rare opportunity to invest in publicly-traded seed stage/micro VC

•  VCàMicro VC asset class likely to gain wider acceptance with investors

•  Ability to own the premier micro VC investor in a top startup/tech region of the world

For Founders •  Proven team vastly improves success

rate and founder economics •  Access to network, advisors, capital

from publicly-traded company

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Israel – Startup Nation

Category Ranking

R&D Spending #1

Scientific Research #1

Public Spending on Education #1

Business Innovation #1

Cyber-security #1

Entrepreneurship #2

Economic Resilience During Crises

#4

Source:  IMD  World  Compe22veness  Ranking  2013  

è 10.2% of workforce in high tech and the highest density of start ups in the world

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Israel – Startup Nation

ACADEMIC  INSTITUTIONS  

ISRAELI  MILITARY  

SEASONED   ANGEL  INVESTORS  

SUPPORTIVE   GOVERNMENT  

ESTABLISHED  MULTINATIONALS  

RESEARCH  INSTITUTIONS/  INCUBATORS  

VIBRANT  LOCAL  AND  INTERNATIONAL   VC  INDUSTRY  

EXPERIENCED   ENTREPRENEURS  

Vast and growing network

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Israel – Startup Nation

290 of the world’s largest

companies have chosen Israel for R&D

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The Israeli VC Environment Mature Funding Ecosystem – similar to Silicon Valley

Angels & Incubators Up to $20M

Micro-VC Funds $20-50M

‘Big’ Local Funds >$100M

Mega-VC Funds >$300M

No Israeli Funds

Source: Giza Venture Capital and Vintage Investment Partners

Incubation

Seed

Series C+

Series A

Series B

Accel, Battery, Bessemer, Canaan, Index, Lightspeed, Norwest, USVP, Venrock, Corporate VCs

Aleph, Carmel, Cedar, Gemini, Genesis, Giza, Greylock, JVP, Magma, Marker, OrbiMed, Pitango, Sequoia

Glilot, Inimiti, lool Ventures, TriVentures, YL Ventures

Angels, Elevator, Office of the Chief Scientist, OurCrowd, UpWest Labs

Trendlines, premier firm in this space

èForeign investors dominate the investment scene – 82% of the investments (compared to 50% in 2005)

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IPOs Returning – Recent Israeli VC- Backed NASDAQ IPOs

•  Israel has 70 companies listed on NASDAQ- more than all Europe combined

•  50% of the Israeli companies listed on the AMEX, NASDAQ and NYSE stock exchanges closed out 2013 with gains of 30% or higher. The value 9 companies more than doubled and 3 tripled

Source: Rhodium

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The Israeli VC Environment M&A of VC-Backed Companies - Dramatic Increase in # and Size

Source: IVC Research center

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How Big is Seed Stage Startup Market? 5,000 microVCs can fund 100,000 startups/yr @ $500K/startup = $50B/yr

Q: How many people are entrepreneurs? How many startups get started every year? • ~1% of Humanity is “Entrepreneurial” (def’n: “can create a $10M rev/yr business”) • 1% x 7B ppl = 70M entrepreneurs, who create 1-5 businesses lifetime (75 yrs) • entrepreneurs could create ~1-5M new startup businesses every year !

Q: How much capital is needed globally to fund seed stage startups? • Assume 1M-5M startups/yr x $50K-$1M funding/each • Low: 1M x $50K = $50B/yr <-> High: 5M x $1M = $5T/yr !

Q: How many metros? How many investors? How many investors / startups / metro? • 1 “micro-VC” can fund 10-20 startups/yr * $50K-$1M = ~$1-10M annual budget • 500+ global metros with population >1M+ people can generate ~100-1,000 startups / yr • guesstimate = min 100K+ startups/yr total across top 100-200 global metros • 5-50 VCs / metro * 200 metros = 1,000-10,000 VCs globally • FUTURE: 5,000 VCs can deploy $10M/yr each, or $50B/yr in ~100,000 startups

!31

Source (data and fonts): 500 Startups

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Capital Raising Highlights: •  Total raised to date: $23m pre-IPO •  2012 - $7m @ $49m premoney •  2014 - $10m+ @ $68m premoney IPO

K e y V a l u e D r i v e r s

3 to 5 Years

Small company innovating in niche corner of investing world

Company becomes best-in-class in discrete, mature investment category experiencing rapid

growth and adoption

Today

Skilled team scales on execution and focused strategy

Company symbolizes values, beliefs and dynamism of Israel, the richest startup nation

Company trades at discount to book Company trades at premium to market when value of IP, team and network gain visibility

$68m $200m +

Summary Observations

Company invests in narrow, local verticals Company expands horizons geographically to tap global growth and powerful micro VC trend

Company attracts attention of small investors Company garners interest from global VC funds looking for team, platform and portfolio