treating financial literacy: promising alternatives to financial education jonathan zinman dartmouth...
TRANSCRIPT
Treating Financial Literacy:Promising Alternatives to
Financial Education
Jonathan ZinmanDartmouth CollegeNovember 14, 2007
Do We Need Financial Education?
Our panel’s intro:
“The importance of financial education is universally held….”
Not true.
Does Fin Ed Work Well?
Evidence suggests not:• Choi et al Brookings PEA 2005• Benartzi and Thaler Journal of Economic
Perspectives 2007
In the most convincing studies:• Randomized trials find small effects• Event studies (Enron, etc.) find small effects• And of course takeup is low
Consumer Debt Crisisand Financial Ed
But doesn’t: “the recent proliferation of mortgage defaults and foreclosures show how difficult it is to reach those who need financial education at the right time with the right information”
Not necessarily: risk vs. return/reward• Financial contracts are gamblesAnd…
Back to Square One:Objectives?
• Info, comprehension ~= “education”
• Financial literacy vs. financial education– Ed. as a “treatment” for literacy– There are alternative treatments that are
probably more cost-effective– And more feasible mass-produce in real time
What’s Financial Literacy?
• “Financial survival skills”
• Simple rules to live by
• Not = profound understanding per se
• Medical analogy– Seek preventative care vs. take biochem.– Get expert answers vs. DIY– Comply (take your meds) vs. backslide
Examples ofFinancial Survival Skills
Process and planning:
• Make a plan– For contingencies– Retirement
• When in doubt get expert advice
• Regular check-ups
• Avoid company stock
Examples of Survival Skills
Dealing with prices/offers:• If revolving on a credit card, do it on the lowest
rate card you have/can get• When considering very short-term loans, ignore
the interest rate and focus on costs vs. returns• Medium-term loans: double simple interest to get
the APR• Saving: Rule of 72 tells you how fast money
doubles• Seriously consider 401k when there’s a match,
even if strapped
Do We Need To TreatFinancial Literacy?
• Probably yes.• Mounting evidence that literacy lacking
– Many (most?) consumers make mistakes– Many mistakes economically serious
• Most pernicious: consumer have biases that get exploited in market– And exploited more in unregulated/informal markets
• Bias = mistake in a particular direction– Overborrowing– Undersaving– Underplanning– Undertracking (spending)
How to Treat Financial Literacy?
Some lessons/ideas from social science research:
1. Social marketing of survival skills
2. Savvier marketing of savings products
3. Improve loan disclosures
4. Develop new products that:• Appeal to consumers• While neutralizing their biases
How to Treat Financial Literacy?
1. Social Marketing of survival skills• On mass basis
Who has incentive to do this?• Government• Nonprofits• Mutual fund retailers• (Commercial banks)
How to Treat Financial Literacy?
2. Savvier Marketing of savings products
• Future values not yields
• High-frequency feedback when savings rate plausibly inadequate– Consumer sets goal at beginning
• Target markets– Low-yield savers– Discretionary borrowers
How to Treat Financial Literacy?
3. Improve loan disclosures– Board and FTC efforts laudable
• Approach: painstaking experimentation– Need more research based on actual
decisions
• Disclosures complement dissemination of survival skills– Consumer need to know how to interpret
How to Treat Financial Literacy?
4. Product Development• Commitment products
– For spending control– For savings goals– For self-control more generally
• Planning products– Mass-producing expert advice a challenge
• Tracking products– E.g., for credit card spending
Big Lesson
• Research matters– “Retail financial engineering” from behavioral finance– Researchers as “financial doctors”
• Theory, programs, and policy far ahead of knowledge of what actually works
• We have the tools and expertise to identify what works now
• Just takes a bit of effort, time, and $$– But just a small fraction of the resources we spend on
ineffective programs and capricious policy changes