transport and energy integration - amazon s3 · 2016-08-18 · transport and energy integration erp...
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© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.
Transport and Energy Integration
ERP Transport Post-Plenary Event21st April 2016Liam Lidstone – Strategy Manager
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
The ETI undertakes analysis of the overall energy system
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the UK energy system
Supply Infrastructure Industry Buildings Transport
37%mainly coal-fired power stations
<1% 13% 19% 30%
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Transport
Aviation
Domestic International
Heavy Duty
Marine HGV Off-Road Rail Bus/Coach
Light Duty
Commercial Vehicles
Passenger Cars
Modal Shift (<10%)
2% 19% 6% 15% 7% 1% 9% 39%2%
Figures are share of UK Transport CO2 Emissions
Increasingly Efficient Use of Liquid FuelsAlternativeEnergy Options
Transport Sector Modality Shift
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
On-highway47%
Off-highway22%
Marine27%
Rail4%
UK Heavy Duty CO2 Emissions (kT) by source (2008)
Articulated HGV23%
Rigid HGV18%
Bus & Coach6%
Agricultural Machinery
14%
Industrial Machinery
6%
Material Handling
2%
Marine27%
Rail4%
The ETI is seeking to demonstrate 30% improvement in fuel efficiency before aerodynamic and light-weighting advances
On board storage requirements are challenging as is the ability to support off-highway duty cycles
Hydrogen storage density coupled with fuel cell robustness are major challenges for HDVs H2
Natural gas and bio-fuels could supplement liquid fuel given compatible vehicles and subject to lifecycle emissions analysis
NG
Energy density requirements and duty cycles are key for HDVs
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Meeting light vehicle charging requirements
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
Elec
tricity
dema
nd (G
W)
Prop
ortio
n of a
ll jou
rney
s (20
07-2
010)
Time of day
Journey arrival times (2007-2010) and Electricity demand profile (7th December 2010)Education (But Excl.Escorting Others)
Holiday Base / Day trip
In course of work
Personal Business(Medical, Eat/drink, Other)
Visiting Friends /Socialising / Enterainment /SportsEscorting Others
Shopping (Food and Other)
Travel to Work
Return Home
Electricity demand
Compiled using NTS and UKERC data
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Where to support charging
Off-street parking -owner / occupier
Off-street parking -
rented, but not a flat / apartment
Off-street parking - a flat
/ apartment
On-street parking only -
'adequate'
On-street parking only -'inadequate'
Parking availability at homes
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
At least once Three + Seven + Fourteen +
Prop
ortio
n of
Par
c
Arrivals of a Given Vehicle at a Given Location Each Week
Home WorkplaceFood Shopping Location Other Shopping LocationEat / Drink Location
Based on DCLG dataCompiled using NTS data
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
A transition away from liquid fuels for passenger cars
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Pas
seng
er C
ar E
nerg
y C
onsu
mpt
ion
(TW
h / Y
ear)
TOTAL ENERGY IN H2 MODE
TOTAL ENERGY IN ELECTRIC MODE
TOTAL ENERGY IN BIO-GASOLINE
TOTAL ENERGY IN FOSSIL-GASOLINE
TOTAL ENERGY IN BIO-DIESEL
TOTAL ENERGY IN FOSSIL-DIESEL
Source: ETI analysis (input data from various sources, including ETI projects)
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Sustainability
Security Affordability
Users
Vehicles Energy supply
Consumers Vehicles and Energy Integration (CVEI) project
£
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Consumers
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
Fleet buyers are seen by many as the route to market for new vehicle technologies, but.......
....although they buy around half the new cars, they sell them quickly and only own ~8% of vehicle in the UK.....
....so an attractive proposition must be created for private car buyers, to avoid prohibitive depreciation.....
....hence, the system design needs to be optimised for the whole lifecycle.....
….and this needs to take account of the ratio of GHG emissions in use vs manufacture. 0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1211109876543210
Parc
Total
Ann
ual M
iles (
Billio
n [1x
109 ]
Miles
)
Vehicle Age (Years)
10th+ Owner 9th 8th 7th 6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
28% of mileage
33% of mileage
19% of mileage
20% of mileageSome vehicles are pre-registered or sold on within first year
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
2010(Historic)
2020 2030 2040 2050
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Mt C
O2/
year
Net CO2 Emissions
ESME v4.1 Database 100sim
International Aviation & ShippingTransport SectorBuildings SectorPower SectorOther conversionIndustry SectorOther CO2Biogenic credits
Transport emissions in a whole system context
© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1
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