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© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP. This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies. Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post-Plenary Event 21 st April 2016 Liam Lidstone – Strategy Manager

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Page 1: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.

Transport and Energy Integration

ERP Transport Post-Plenary Event21st April 2016Liam Lidstone – Strategy Manager

Page 2: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

The ETI undertakes analysis of the overall energy system

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the UK energy system

Supply Infrastructure Industry Buildings Transport

37%mainly coal-fired power stations

<1% 13% 19% 30%

Page 3: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Transport

Aviation

Domestic International

Heavy Duty

Marine HGV Off-Road Rail Bus/Coach

Light Duty

Commercial Vehicles

Passenger Cars

Modal Shift (<10%)

2% 19% 6% 15% 7% 1% 9% 39%2%

Figures are share of UK Transport CO2 Emissions

Increasingly Efficient Use of Liquid FuelsAlternativeEnergy Options

Transport Sector Modality Shift

Page 4: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

On-highway47%

Off-highway22%

Marine27%

Rail4%

UK Heavy Duty CO2 Emissions (kT) by source (2008)

Articulated HGV23%

Rigid HGV18%

Bus & Coach6%

Agricultural Machinery

14%

Industrial Machinery

6%

Material Handling

2%

Marine27%

Rail4%

The ETI is seeking to demonstrate 30% improvement in fuel efficiency before aerodynamic and light-weighting advances

On board storage requirements are challenging as is the ability to support off-highway duty cycles

Hydrogen storage density coupled with fuel cell robustness are major challenges for HDVs H2

Natural gas and bio-fuels could supplement liquid fuel given compatible vehicles and subject to lifecycle emissions analysis

NG

Energy density requirements and duty cycles are key for HDVs

Page 5: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Meeting light vehicle charging requirements

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

Elec

tricity

dema

nd (G

W)

Prop

ortio

n of a

ll jou

rney

s (20

07-2

010)

Time of day

Journey arrival times (2007-2010) and Electricity demand profile (7th December 2010)Education (But Excl.Escorting Others)

Holiday Base / Day trip

In course of work

Personal Business(Medical, Eat/drink, Other)

Visiting Friends /Socialising / Enterainment /SportsEscorting Others

Shopping (Food and Other)

Travel to Work

Return Home

Electricity demand

Compiled using NTS and UKERC data

Page 6: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Where to support charging

Off-street parking -owner / occupier

Off-street parking -

rented, but not a flat / apartment

Off-street parking - a flat

/ apartment

On-street parking only -

'adequate'

On-street parking only -'inadequate'

Parking availability at homes

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

At least once Three + Seven + Fourteen +

Prop

ortio

n of

Par

c

Arrivals of a Given Vehicle at a Given Location Each Week

Home WorkplaceFood Shopping Location Other Shopping LocationEat / Drink Location

Based on DCLG dataCompiled using NTS data

Page 7: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

A transition away from liquid fuels for passenger cars

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Pas

seng

er C

ar E

nerg

y C

onsu

mpt

ion

(TW

h / Y

ear)

TOTAL ENERGY IN H2 MODE

TOTAL ENERGY IN ELECTRIC MODE

TOTAL ENERGY IN BIO-GASOLINE

TOTAL ENERGY IN FOSSIL-GASOLINE

TOTAL ENERGY IN BIO-DIESEL

TOTAL ENERGY IN FOSSIL-DIESEL

Source: ETI analysis (input data from various sources, including ETI projects)

Page 8: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Sustainability

Security Affordability

Users

Vehicles Energy supply

Consumers Vehicles and Energy Integration (CVEI) project

£

Page 9: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Consumers

Page 10: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Fleet buyers are seen by many as the route to market for new vehicle technologies, but.......

....although they buy around half the new cars, they sell them quickly and only own ~8% of vehicle in the UK.....

....so an attractive proposition must be created for private car buyers, to avoid prohibitive depreciation.....

....hence, the system design needs to be optimised for the whole lifecycle.....

….and this needs to take account of the ratio of GHG emissions in use vs manufacture. 0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1211109876543210

Parc

Total

Ann

ual M

iles (

Billio

n [1x

109 ]

Miles

)

Vehicle Age (Years)

10th+ Owner 9th 8th 7th 6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st

28% of mileage

33% of mileage

19% of mileage

20% of mileageSome vehicles are pre-registered or sold on within first year

Page 11: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

2010(Historic)

2020 2030 2040 2050

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Mt C

O2/

year

Net CO2 Emissions

ESME v4.1 Database 100sim

International Aviation & ShippingTransport SectorBuildings SectorPower SectorOther conversionIndustry SectorOther CO2Biogenic credits

Transport emissions in a whole system context

Page 12: Transport and Energy Integration - Amazon S3 · 2016-08-18 · Transport and Energy Integration ERP Transport Post -Plenary Event 21 st April 2016. ... In course of work. Personal

© 2016 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

For more information about the ETI visit www.eti.co.uk

For the latest ETI news and announcements email [email protected]

The ETI can also be followed on Twitter @the_ETI

Registered Office Energy Technologies InstituteHolywell BuildingHolywell ParkLoughboroughLE11 3UZ

For all general enquiries telephone the ETI on 01509 202020.