transitional architect
DESCRIPTION
Investment Table -TBD Continue Work -Further expand level of detain in model -Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs. Architecture for Increasing the Space Market Daniel Hettema , Scott Neal, Anh Quach , Robert Taylor - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Transitional Architect Conclusions & Future Work
Architecture for Increasing the Space MarketDaniel Hettema, Scott Neal, Anh Quach, Robert Taylor
System Engineering & Operations Research, George Mason University
Investment Table-TBD
Continue Work-Further expand level of detain in model-Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs
ContextSpace has resources that could be used on Earth, or in space to
develop a space market
To-Be Model
ROI CalculatorBased on To-Be model’s:
-Element attributes-Estimated functionality costs
ROI = Revenue – Investment
Need Statement & RequirementsNeed Statement
Currently, the required investment needed to capture space resources is too high. A high-level architecture that shows how through an incremental “stepping stone” approach the total investment could be lowered, as industry collaboration is increased. The architecture will provide a road map for industry investments with a minimum of 2x return on investment from a total investment of less than one trillion dollars
- Functional Gap Analysis (TBD)
- Technology Gap Analysis (TBD)
S
“Obtaining economic benefits from commercial space, including tourism and space solar power…should be the major thrust of our space enterprise.”
-SSI Director Dr. Lee Valentine (2002)
“Stepping Stones”
Space Market
Scenario
Business Environmental Risk
Launch Location
Max Distance
Product Expected Duration
1 Tourism None Earth Moon None 10 days
2 Insurance/Recycling/Governments
None Earth GEO Recycled materials, reduced risk
3 days
3 Energy None Earth GEO Energy None
4 Tourism/Manufacturing
None Earth/Moon
Moon Hotel Long Term
5 Tourism/Manufacturing
Solar Flare Earth/Moon
Moon Hotel Long Term
6 Mining None Earth/Asteroid
1.3 AU Ore 3 years
7 Tourism/Mining/Manufacturing
Micro meteorite
All 1.3 AU Hotel/Ore Long term
-
Current Market• Limited by
-Launch costs-Government Funding-People Interest
Scenarios
EFFBD
Simulation Outputs
Overview:-The gray areas indicate the amount of resource.-The rest of the areas are the functions over time-Yellow indicate a waiting time until triggered by a function to start processes.
Potential Market• Space• Asteroids - minerals• Moon- mineralsGap:
Capabilities and/or technologies for taking advantage of those resources do not currently exist
TimeKey Functions:
Key Assets:
Compare full lifecycle costs on Earth to those in space
-Mining Full cycle on Earth vs. Space