towards the future of gas turbine asset and performance management

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  • 8/6/2019 Towards the Future of Gas Turbine Asset and Performance Management

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    The gas turbine industry must focus on several key factors that will make

    its future power generation technology successful in the electric power

    generation market sector. These factors are as follows:

    competitive economic performance (i.e. higher efficiency and

    optimised life-cycle cost);

    reliable operation under a cycle duty (repeated gas turbine startups

    and shutdowns);

    increased dependability of current and future plants (reliability,

    availability, maintenance and durability, or RAMD); the ability to meet regulatory emissions levels and achieve high

    thermal efficiencies; and

    reliable fuel-switching capability and fuel flexibility.

    Gas turbines will be one of the most important horizontal technologies

    and will play an essential role in meeting these requirements. It is

    considered a horizontal technology due to its capacity to be integrated

    into multiple power plant configurations, while running with different

    fuels (coal gas, natural gas, hydrogen, liquid fuels, etc.).

    The Spanish electricity utility Endesa is participating in the promotion of

    initiatives to improve gas turbine technology, in particular the EuropeanTurbine Network, which is dedicated to the application of highly efficient

    and environmentally friendly technologies. Following the 3rd International

    Conference on The Future of Gas Turbine Technology in Brussels, the

    following conclusion can be made: Gas turbine technology is one of the

    best available options today and in the years to come for power

    generation, however, they will continue to be affected or influenced by

    their users technology and development needs pending resolution.

    This statement is reinforced by the fact that, in a deregulated and

    increasingly competitive power generation market, power producers are

    continually asking themselves, How can we get the edge over our

    competitors? How can we improve our decision-making processes?How can we continually operate our plants in the most efficient and

    cost-effective way? How can we limit damage and improve availability?

    How can we reduce maintenance costs and extend service life? How can

    we know fixed asset remaining value throughout power plant life?

    The key issues are the development of gas turbine assets and

    performance management; these are the ways to achieve competitive

    advantages that will enable companies to get the edge over their

    competitors. The focus is therefore on gas turbine technology. The hot

    gas path of a gas turbine is the core of the engine, which includes the

    combustion chamber, the transition piece and the turbine section. The

    main drivers for improving hot gas path behaviour are:

    gas turbine performance this is highly dependant on the turbine

    entry temperature, which results in a greater need for the hot gas

    path components to achieve high thermal efficiencies with low

    nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions; and

    gas turbine life-cycle cost this is strongly affected by hot gas path

    cost and maintenance, which gives rise to maintenance practices

    and inspection techniques that in turn allow the improvement of

    gas turbine dependability, i.e. its RAMD.

    Background

    The blades and vanes in the turbine section will to a large extent

    determine the ultimate efficiency of the gas turbine. These parts have towork under extreme conditions, operating in high temperatures in an

    oxidising environment while being subjected to large thermal and

    mechanical stresses. In order to increase the durability of the blades and

    vanes in these extreme conditions, special metal superalloys have been

    developed. The high-quality technologies used in the manufacture of the

    turbine blades make them the most expensive parts of the gas turbine.

    In order to achieve higher thermal efficiencies, higher combustion

    temperatures are needed; however, higher combustion temperatures

    from around 1540C (2,800F) exacerbate NOx emissions. To combat

    excessive NOx emissions, oxygen is limited during the combustion

    process, but this can lead to unacceptably high levels of carbon

    monoxide and unburned hydrocarbon emissions. Further adding to thesetechnological limitations, extremely high operating temperatures

    greater than 1,290C (2,350F) are beyond the material tolerances of

    the turbine blades and vanes.

    Therefore, the goal of achieving 60% efficiency while staying below

    10ppm NOx emissions is constrained by the thermal, emission

    reduction and material limits of the gas turbine system. There are four

    main innovations that are critical in meeting this need for high

    efficiency and low emissions: closed-loop steam cooling; single-crystal

    superalloy casting; thermal barrier coating; and lean pre-mix dry low-

    NOx combustors. In order to optimise the life-cycle cost of gas turbines,

    special attention must be paid to the hot gas path components:typically, around 70% of the total maintenance cost corresponds to

    schedule, maintenance, parts and materials. This will lead to the

    establishment of mechanisms for risk mitigation, such as long-term

    service agreements (LTSAs), business interruption insurance, extended

    guarantees and part-cost guarantees. Apart from the above

    Towards the Future of Gas Turbine Asset and Performance Management

    T O U C H B R I E F I N G S 2 0 0 7

    TurboMachinery

    19

    Dr Toms Alvarez Tejedor is Head of the Endesa

    Combined Cycle Technology and Maintenance

    Department. He has been working in the Spanish

    electrical market for more than 15 years, covering R&D

    projects on advanced power generation systems, asset

    management and combined cycle power generation and

    gas turbine technology. Dr Alvarez obtained his BSc,PhD and MBA at the Polytechnic University of Madrid,

    his MSc in the Gas Turbine Engineering Group at

    Cranfield University, and his postgraduate specialisation

    on the Spanish electrical sector at Carlos III University.

    a report by

    Toms Alvarez Tejedor

    Head, Combined Cycle Technology and Maintenance Department, Endesa Generacin

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    Towards the Future of Gas Turbine Asset and Performance Management

    considerations, it is also necessary to take into account current

    operational conditions in a deregulated electricity market. These

    conditions require more flexible operations with high efficiency and

    low emissions for the whole power range, high operational reliability

    and better maintainability.

    Hot Gas Path Management

    From the condition monitoring, instrumentation and control

    standpoint, many improvements can be made to hot gas path

    management. The ultimate goal is to manage the hot gas path section

    by knowing its condition (known as condition-based maintenance, or

    CBM) and its performance (known as performance monitoring). In

    order to get in-depth knowledge of the condition of the hot gas path

    components, it is necessary to combine both online and offline

    techniques: together, these will show the real status of the main

    components of the hot gas path section. In order to look at these

    subjects in more depth, we need to divide the process into different

    levels that allow us to set the needs assessment findings for each.

    Level 1: Sensor Level

    Typically, gas turbine units are equipped with minimal instrumentation.

    On the one hand, this means the supplied sensors are adequate to ensure

    safe operation and to monitor performance and emission requirements,

    but on the other hand these units are not equipped with any

    instrumentation that would provide the ability to: optimise performance;

    define the risk of extending operating periods; monitor component

    degradation; provide early warning of faults in the system; and monitor

    hot section environment and failure mechanisms. In terms of needs

    assessment findings, the following diagnostic instrumentation is required:

    combustion pressure pulsation; flame temperature sensors (semiconductor photodiode);

    fuel low-heating value (LHV) measurement (LHV sensor);

    turbine blade surface temperature (optical pyrometers);

    turbine blade vibration (optical probes);

    turbine blade tip deflection (blade tip clearance sensor);

    air inlet mass flow (ultrasonic sensor);

    turbine circumferential inlet temperature distribution (optical

    fibre thermometers, high-temperature research and technology

    development); and

    coating life degradation sensor (odometer, infrared sensor).

    Level 2: Control and SupervisionOnce the output from the instrumentation has been acquired, it can be

    input into the local units control station, which consists of a PC

    equipped with Original Equipment Manufacture (OEM) software. This

    provides the operator with a series of windows-based viewing screens

    that present measured and calculated data. Factored starts and hours

    are determined by empirical formulae provided by OEM. The power

    industry is not completely comfortable with this approach due to higher

    than desirable maintenance costs for gas turbines, and generally does

    not have confidence in OEMs stated hot gas path component life and

    replacement interval. The industry would prefer to have a more

    machine-specific, condition-based approach to determining the timing

    of maintenance. As a result, control systems play a critical role in datacollection, conditioning and analysis within the automated CBM

    infrastructure. Advanced process control systems include analysis

    algorithms that enable them to diagnose and report malfunctions to the

    CBM system. This ultimately supports system-wide asset management.

    In terms of needs assessment findings, the following information

    technologies are required for data manipulation:

    Online data acquisition the data acquisition module provides

    system access to digitised sensor or transducer data. It may

    represent a specialised data acquisition module that receives

    analogue feeds from sensors, or it may collect and consolidate

    sensor signals from a data bus.

    Data processing and validation:

    signal-processing approach:

    signal correlation;

    high pass filtering; and

    correlation matrix and response statistics.

    physics-based approach:

    correlation matrix and response statistics;

    statistical neural network; and

    fuzzy logic rule based.

    Data-fusion techniques a formal framework used to expressconvergence data from different sources and the means and tools

    for the alliance of these data.

    Data-mining tools these provide new insights into wear and

    failure mechanisms in engine components:

    neural nets;

    statistical analysis; and

    generic algorithms.

    Advanced control algorithms:

    predictive control algorithms for combustion instability;

    adaptative controller;

    closed-loop steam cooling control;

    active control technologies for enhanced performance,enhanced reliablity and reduced emissions;

    fault-tolerant engine control (smart sensors and actuators); and

    closed-loop optimisation.

    Level 3: Condition Monitoring

    The primary function of the condition monitor is to compare features

    against expected values or operational limits and output enumerated

    condition indicators (e.g. level low, level normal, level high, etc.). The

    condition monitor may also generate alerts based on defined operational

    limits and, when appropriate data are available, may generate

    assessments of operational context (current operational state or

    operational environment). Ultimately, this would lead to automaticassessment of the condition of the hot gas path section, thereby

    reducing human inspection tasks and the unnecessary maintenance that

    occurs in a traditional periodic maintenance scheme. System assessment

    would also provide valuable realtime decision support data for

    operational planning. In terms of needs assessment findings, one of the

    unmet needs at this level is component life monitoring, either through

    direct or indirect monitoring of component properties:

    Online monitoring of component life would allow some

    assessment of when the next shutdown might occur.

    Online indication of component degradation could alert operators

    to failures that could propagate through the unit. For example,online monitoring of the combustor status or blade coating

    integrity would alleviate downstream consequences.

    Offline non-destructive evaluation (NDE) of component life would

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    Towards the Future of Gas Turbine Asset and Performance Management

    help determine if component replacements are needed before the

    next scheduled shutdown:

    eddy current metallic coating life (aluminium depletion versus

    conductivity); and

    time-base corrector (TBC) integrity (NDE methods).

    NDE measurements and supporting analysis to determine:

    physical condition of components referenced to baseline;

    cyclic fatigue status of components; and

    component coating wear and integrity status.

    Online assessment of the risks of extending the outage schedule

    would also be useful to determine whether it is possible to operate

    for extended periods.

    Sensors that map the blades and vanes for integrity. For example,

    a temperature profile of the blades and vanes could indicate

    blocked cooling passages or coating failures.

    Online monitoring of exhaust gases for metal particles.

    In situ repair technologies (TBC repair).

    Level 4: Performance and Health AssessmentThe primary function of the performance and health assessment level

    is to determine whether the health of a monitored system, subsystem

    or piece of equipment is degraded in terms of its thermodynamic and

    mechanical condition. If its health is degraded, this assessment level

    may generate a diagnostic record that proposes one or more possible

    fault conditions with an associated confidence. This level should take

    into account trends in the health history, operational status and loading

    and maintenance history of the system, subsystem or piece of equipment.

    The needs assessment findings are as follows:

    Combustion process diagnostic module automated assessment

    of exhaust gas temperature (EGT) spread, fuel flow manifold andsupply pressure, vibration/dynamic pressure, emission data, etc.

    Hot gas path analysis determination of hot gas path condition

    based on the thermodynamic relationships that exist between the

    engine components and various gas path performance parameters.

    Hot section damage assessment automated trending and fault

    pattern classification and fusion.

    Aero-thermal performance-based module.

    Level 5: Prognostics

    The primary function of the prognostics level is to project the current

    health and performance state of equipment into the future, taking into

    account estimates of future usage profiles. The prognostics level mayreport health and performance status at a future time or may estimate

    the remaining useful life of an asset given its projected usage profile.

    Assessments of future health or remaining useful life may also include a

    diagnosis of the projected fault condition. Prognostics therefore allow us

    to predict the onset of hot gas path component failure to match its use

    or to enhance maintenance support. Prognostic capabilities expand

    support options and allow for cost-effective planning and management.

    The needs assessment findings are as follows:

    Life consumption tracking module of hot gas path components:

    assessment model for coating degradation;

    assessment model for creep fatigue damage; and assessment model for thermal mechanic fatigue.

    Hot gas path components life-cycle prognostics.

    What if analysis for the performance and health of the hot gas

    path components.

    Level 6: Decision Support

    The primary function of the decision support module is to provide

    recommended actions and alternatives and to advise on the implications

    of each recommendation. Recommendations include maintenance action

    schedules, modifications to the operational configuration of equipment in

    order to accomplish mission objectives or modifications to mission profiles

    to allow mission completion. The decision support module needs to take

    into account operational history (including usage and maintenance),

    current and future mission profiles, high-level unit objectives and resource

    constraints. The needs assessment findings are as follows:

    Computer-based gas turbine condition- and health-monitoring

    predictive systems might offer the potential for providing decision

    support for the following items:

    reduced nuisance shutdowns and unplanned outages;

    optimum engine operation;

    continuous realtime maintenance scheduling; extended time between overhauls based upon determination

    of remaining component life;

    protection against catastrophic failure via realtime fault

    assessment; and

    estimating operations and maintenance (O&M) cost based on

    condition monitoring.

    Automated logistics for advanced scheduling and co-ordination of

    maintenance actions. Advanced triggering of logistics support

    improves system availability and utilisation of resources.

    Level 7: Human Interface

    Typically, high-level status reports (health assessments, prognosticassessments or decision support recommendations) and alerts would

    be displayed at this level, with the ability to access information from

    lower levels when anomalies are reported. In many cases, the human

    interface level will include multiple layers of access depending on the

    information needs of the user. The needs assessment findings are:

    More user-friendly human interfaces are required to supply

    actionable information to the operator and maintenance staff:

    actionable information provides users with the necessary

    details for effective decision-making; and

    actionable information should be in the form of what

    happened, where, when, how bad is it and what should bedone about it?.

    Conclusion

    Future advanced thermal power plants will need to be highly complex

    in order to fulfil the requirements of a global society that is increasingly

    sensitive to environmental issues. Gas turbine technology will play a key

    role as the core technology for different plant configurations. Gas

    turbine asset and performance management will allow the industry to

    develop the competitive skills required for the new power generation

    arena, with the aim of optimising life-cycle cost by improving both gas

    turbine dependability and performance.

    A longer version of this article, containing graphics, can be found

    in the Reference Section on the website supporting this briefing

    (www.touchbriefings.com).