total maximum daily load (tmdl) - dnr · completed: feb. 8, 2017 approved: mussel fork e. coli tmdl...
TRANSCRIPT
HUC 10280202 – Lower Chariton Subbasin
Water body ID#: 0674
Pollutant(s): Pathogens as indicated by Escherichia coli
Prepared by: Watershed Protection Section
Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL)
for
Mussel Fork Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan counties
Pollutants of concern: Pathogens
Completed: Feb. 8, 2017
Approved:
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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WATER BODY SUMMARY
Mussel Fork – Water body ID No. 0674
Pollutant(s): Pathogens as indicated by E. coli
Name: Mussel Fork
Location: Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan counties
Hydrologic Unit Codes (HUC):1
8-digit HUC (subbasin):
10280202 – Lower Chariton
12-digit HUCs (subwatersheds):
102802020301 – Headwaters Mussel Fork
102802020302 – Little Mussel Creek-Mussel Fork
102802020303 – Painter Creek-Mussel Fork
Water Body Identification Number (WBID)
and Hydrologic Class:2
WBID 0674 – Class C
Designated Uses:3
Protection and propagation of fish, shellfish and wildlife – warm water habitat
Whole body contact recreation category B
Livestock and wildlife protection
Secondary contact recreation
Human health protection
Drinking water supply
Irrigation
Impaired Uses:
Whole body contact recreation category B
Secondary contact recreation
Pollutant Identified on the 303(d) List: Escherichia coli, or E. coli (fecal indicator bacteria)
Length and Location of Impaired Segment: 46.7 kilometer (29 miles), from Sec. 18, T58N, R17W to Sec. 2, T62N, R18W
1 Watersheds are delineated by the USGS using a nationwide system based on surface hydrologic features. This system divides
the country into 2,270 8-digit hydrologic units (USGS and NRCS 2013). A hydrologic unit is a drainage area delineated to nest in
a multilevel, hierarchical drainage system. A hydrologic unit code is the numerical identifier of a specific hydrologic unit
consisting of a 2-digit sequence for each specific level within the delineation hierarchy (FGDC 2003). 2 For hydrologic classes see 10 CSR 20-7.031(1)(F). Class C streams may cease to flow during dry periods, but maintain
permanent pools that support aquatic life. 3 For designated uses see 10 CSR 20-7.031(1)(C) and 10 CSR 20-7.031 Table H. Presumed uses are assigned per
10 CSR 20-7.031(2)(A) and (B) and are reflected in the Missouri Use Designation Dataset described at 10 CSR 20-7.031(2)(E).
Location of the Mussel Fork watershed
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 1
2. Watershed Description ............................................................................................................................. 1
2.1 Geology, Physiography and Soils ....................................................................................................... 3
2.2 Rainfall and Climate ............................................................................................................................ 5
2.3 Population ............................................................................................................................................ 7
2.4 Land Cover .......................................................................................................................................... 7
3. Applicable Water Quality Standards ......................................................................................................... 9
3.1 Designated Uses .................................................................................................................................. 9
3.2 Water Quality Criteria ......................................................................................................................... 9
3.3 Antidegradation Policy ...................................................................................................................... 10
4. Defining the Problem .............................................................................................................................. 10
5. Source Inventory and Assessment .......................................................................................................... 12
5.1 Point Sources ..................................................................................................................................... 12
5.1.1 Municipal and Domestic Wastewater Discharge Permits ........................................................... 14
5.1.2 Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs) .................................................................. 15
5.1.3 General Wastewater and Stormwater Permits ............................................................................ 16
5.1.4 Illicit Straight Pipe Discharges ................................................................................................... 16
5.2 Nonpoint Sources .............................................................................................................................. 16
5.2.1 Agricultural Runoff .................................................................................................................... 17
5.2.2 Urban Stormwater Runoff .......................................................................................................... 18
5.2.3 Onsite Wastewater Treatment Systems ...................................................................................... 19
5.2.4 Natural Background Contributions ............................................................................................. 20
5.2.5 Riparian Corridor Conditions ..................................................................................................... 20
6. Numeric TMDL Target and Modeling Approach ................................................................................... 21
7. Calculating Loading Capacity ................................................................................................................. 22
8. Wasteload Allocation (Allowable Point Source Load) ........................................................................... 24
8.1 Municipal and Private Domestic Wastewater Discharges ................................................................. 24
8.2 CAFOs ............................................................................................................................................... 25
8.3 General Wastewater and Stormwater Permits ................................................................................... 25
8.4 Illicit Straight Pipe Discharges .......................................................................................................... 25
8.5 Considerations for Future Sources .................................................................................................... 25
9. Load Allocation (Nonpoint Source Load) .............................................................................................. 26
10. Margin of Safety ................................................................................................................................... 26
11. Seasonal Variation ................................................................................................................................ 27
12. Monitoring Plans ................................................................................................................................... 27
13. Reasonable Assurance .......................................................................................................................... 27
14. Public Participation ............................................................................................................................... 28
15. Administrative Record and Supporting Documentation ....................................................................... 29
16. References ............................................................................................................................................. 29
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. Hydrologic soil groups in the Mussel Fork watershed ................................................................... 3
Table 2. 30-year monthly climate normals ................................................................................................... 5
Table 3. Land cover in the Mussel Fork watershed ...................................................................................... 7
Table 4. Summary of recreational season E. coli data in Mussel Fork, WBID 0674 ................................. 11
Table 5. Municipal wastewater lagoons in the Mussel Fork watershed...................................................... 14
Table 6. CAFOs in the Mussel Fork watershed .......................................................................................... 15
Table 7. Cattle population estimates for pasture areas in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed ......... 18
Table 8. Numbers of other livestock by county .......................................................................................... 18
Table 9. Estimated numbers of septic systems in the Mussel Fork watershed ........................................... 19
Table 10. Land cover in the riparian corridors of the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed ..................... 20
Table 11. TMDL and allocation values for Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, at selected flows .......................... 23
Table 12. Wasteload allocations for municipal wastewater dischargers ..................................................... 24
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1. Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed ........................................................................................... 2
Figure 2. Hydrologic soil groups in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed............................................ 5
Figure 3. Monthly minimum and maximum temperature normals ............................................................... 6
Figure 4. Monthly precipitation normals ...................................................................................................... 6
Figure 5. Distribution of land cover in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed ....................................... 8
Figure 6. Monthly recreational season E. coli data from Mussel Fork ....................................................... 11
Figure 7. Permitted features in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed ................................................. 13
Figure 8. Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, load duration curve .......................................................................... 23
LIST OF APPENDICES
Appendix A: Mussel Fork recreational season E. coli data ........................................................................ 32
Appendix B: Development of the Mussel Fork Bacteria Load Duration Curve ......................................... 33
Appendix C: Summary of Wasteload Allocations ...................................................................................... 35
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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1. Introduction
The Department of Natural Resources in accordance with Section 303(d) of the federal Clean Water
Act is establishing this Mussel Fork total maximum daily load, or TMDL. This TMDL report
addresses a 29 mile segment of Mussel Fork that was approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency for inclusion on Missouri’s 2016 303(d) List on July 12, 2016.4 This stream segment has
been determined to be impaired by disease causing pathogens as indicated by the presence of
Escherichia coli, or E. coli, bacteria, which are present at concentrations that exceed Missouri’s
water quality criteria for this pollutant. This report addresses the pathogen impairment of Mussel
Fork by establishing a TMDL for E. coli.
Section 303(d) of the federal Clean Water Act and Chapter 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations
(CFR) Part 130 requires states to develop TMDLs for waters not meeting water quality standards.
The TMDL process quantitatively assesses the impairment factors so that states can establish water
quality-based controls to reduce pollution and restore and protect the quality of their water resources.
The purpose of a TMDL is to determine the pollutant loading a water body can assimilate without
exceeding state water quality standards. Missouri’s Water Quality Standards at 10 CSR 20-7.031
consist of three major components: designated uses, water quality criteria to protect those uses and an
antidegradation policy. A TMDL establishes the pollutant loading capacity necessary to attain the
water quality standards established for each water body based on the relationship between pollutant
sources and instream water quality conditions. A TMDL consists of a wasteload allocation, a load
allocation, and a margin of safety. The wasteload allocation is the fraction of the total pollutant load
apportioned to point sources. The load allocation is the fraction of the total pollutant load apportioned
to nonpoint sources. The margin of safety is a percentage of the TMDL that accounts for any
uncertainty associated with the model assumptions as well as any data inadequacies.
In addition to E. coli, Mussel Fork is also impaired due to excess sediment. To address this
impairment, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency established a TMDL on Sept. 25, 2006 with
targets for total suspended solids. This previously developed TMDL is available online at
dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/tmdl/0674-mussel-fk-ck-record.htm.
2. Watershed Description
Mussel Fork is a 169 kilometer (105 mile) tributary to the Chariton River and is divided in
Missouri’s Water Quality Standards as two separate water body segments. The first 93.3 km (58 mi)
of Mussel Fork that extends upstream from the confluence with the Chariton River is identified as
water body identification number 0670. Upstream of this segment for approximately 46.7 km (29 mi)
is the impaired water body segment addressed by this TMDL report, water body ID number 0674.
The area draining to this impaired segment is approximately 326.5 square kilometers (126 square
miles). This watershed area is mostly rural and accounts for approximately 37 percent of the entire
Mussel Fork watershed and only 5.3 percent of the entire Chariton River basin. Municipal areas
make up only 3.1 km2 (1.2 mi
2) of the impaired watershed’s area and include portions of Green City,
Greencastle and Winigan. The impaired Mussel Fork watershed includes portions of four counties;
Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan (Figure 1).
4 Missouri’s current and past 303(d) lists of impaired waters can be found online on the department’s website at
dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/waterquality/303d/303d.htm.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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Figure 1. Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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2.1 Geology, Physiography and Soils
The Mussel Fork watershed is located within the Grand/Chariton ecological drainage unit (MoRAP
2005). Ecological drainage units are groups of watersheds that have similar biota, geography, and
climate characteristics (USGS 2009). The characteristics of an ecological drainage unit are varied and
are partially based on the ecoregions they contain. Ecoregions are areas with similar ecosystems and
environmental resources.5 A level I ecoregion is a coarse, broad category, while a level IV is a more
defined grouping. The Mussel Fork watershed is entirely contained within the Loess Flats and Till
Plains level IV ecoregion. In general, this ecoregion is characterized as being primarily cropland and
having gentle slopes with deep to moderate loess deposits over glacial till. However, the portion of
the ecoregion where this water body is located is described as having more hills, lacking glacial till,
and having more woody vegetation along stream corridors than what is typical in other portions of
the ecoregion (Chapman, et al. 2002).
Soils in the Mussel Fork watershed are varied, but can be grouped based on similar characteristics.
Table 1 provides a summary of the hydrologic soil groups found in the Mussel Fork watershed.
Hydrologic soil groups categorize soils by their runoff potential. A soil’s hydrologic soil group
relates to the rate at which water enters the soil profile under conditions of a bare soil surface and
being thoroughly wetted. Group A represents soils with the highest rate of infiltration and the lowest
runoff potential under these conditions and Group D represents the group with the lowest rate of
infiltration and highest potential for runoff (NRCS 2007). The dominant soil group in the Mussel
Fork watershed is Group D. Group D soils consist chiefly of clay soils, soils with a permanent high
water table, soils with a claypan or clay layer at or near the surface, and shallow soils over nearly
impervious material. The second most represented soil group is the dual group C/D. These soils share
the soil characteristics of Group C soils, sandy clay loam soils, but have a high water table as is
common of soils in Group D. Group B soils include silt loam and loam, which have moderate
infiltration rates. These characteristics are shared with soils of the dual group B/D, but soils in group
B/D also have a high water table. There are no Group A soils in the watershed. Group A soils are
typically comprised of sand or gravel and very little clay. Areas where soils were not rated are
primarily areas described in the soil survey as being open water. Figure 2 shows the distribution of
these hydrologic soil groups throughout the watershed. It should be noted, that hydrologic soil groups
are only one factor influencing runoff in the watershed. Impervious surfaces, vegetative cover and
land use can also influence the potential for runoff regardless of the soil types present in those areas.
Table 1. Hydrologic soil groups in the Mussel Fork watershed (NRCS 2011)
5 Ecoregion is defined in Missouri’s Water Quality Standards at 10 CSR 20-7.031 (1)(I).
Hydrologic Soil Group
Area
(km2)
Area
(mi2)
Area
(%)
Group B 14.32 5.53 4.38
Dual Group B/D 21.99 8.49 6.73
Group C 18.54 7.16 5.68
Dual Group C/D 84.28 32.54 25.81
Group D 187.05 72.22 57.28
Not Rated 0.39 0.15 0.12
Totals: 326.57 126.09 100.00
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Figure 2. Hydrologic soil groups in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
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2.2 Rainfall and Climate
Weather stations provide useful information for developing a general understanding of climatic
conditions in a watershed. The closest weather station to the Mussel Fork watershed is located
28 km (17 mi) to the east in Kirksville. This weather station records daily precipitation and
temperature data and is expected to be representative of climatic conditions in the Mussel Fork
watershed (Table 2). Precipitation is an important factor related to stream flow and stormwater runoff
events that can influence certain pollutant sources. On the next page, Figure 3 presents a summary of
the monthly temperature normals calculated for the 30-year period of 1981 through 2010 and Figure
4 depicts monthly precipitation normals for this same period.
Table 2. 30-year monthly climate normals from Kirksville Weather Station (NOAA 2014)
Month Total PPTN Normal
mm (in)
Mean Max Temp. Normal
ºC (ºF)
Mean Min Temp. Normal
ºC (ºF)
January 32.76 (1.29) 0.78 (33.4) -9.61 (14.7)
February 41.91 (1.65) 3.61 (38.5) -7.50 (18.5)
March 64.01 (2.52) 10.22 (50.4) -1.83 (28.7)
April 93.47 (3.68) 16.78 (62.2) 4.11 (39.4)
May 136.65 (5.38) 22.17 (71.9) 10.33 (50.6)
June 134.62 (5.30) 27.17 (80.9) 15.83 (60.5)
July 131.32 (5.17) 29.72 (85.5) 18.39 (65.1)
August 102.87 (4.05) 28.94 (84.1) 17.17 (62.9)
September 103.12 (4.06) 24.67 (76.4) 11.89 (53.4)
October 84.33 (3.32) 17.89 (64.2) 5.67 (42.2)
November 66.80 (2.63) 10.06 (50.1) -1.00 (30.2)
December 41.15 (1.62) 2.56 (36.6) -7.39 (18.7)
Total PPTN & Avg Temp: 1,033.02 (40.67) 16.21 (61.18) 4.67 (40.41)
Note: PPTN = precipitation; Temp. = temperature
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Figure 3. Monthly minimum and maximum temperature normals
Figure 4. Monthly precipitation normals
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2.3 Population
State and county population estimates are readily available from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2010
census; however the population of the Mussel Fork watershed itself is not. An estimate of the
watershed’s population can be determined using U.S. Census Bureau census block data from 2010.
Using this data, the population of the Mussel Fork watershed is estimated to be 1,002 people. The
population of the watershed has changed little since 1990 when census data from that year showed
the watershed as having a population of 1,024 people. Approximately 54 percent of the population
(543 people) resides within municipal areas in the watershed, which is also relatively unchanged
from 1990 estimates. No parts of the municipalities in the watershed are contained within U.S.
Census Bureau defined urban areas, which would be subject to municipal separate storm sewer
system permit regulations.
These population estimates were completed using Geographic Information System, or GIS, software
and superimposing the watershed boundary over a map of census blocks. Wherever the centroid of a
census block fell within a watershed boundary, the entire population of the census block was
included in the total. If the centroid of the census block was outside the boundary, then the
population was excluded. Using a similar method, the population residing within municipal
boundaries was estimated by superimposing municipal areas over the map of census blocks.
2.4 Land Cover
Land cover calculations were made using the 2011 National Land Cover Database published by the
U.S. Geological Survey, or USGS (Homer et al. 2015). Land cover information is summarized in
Table 3. Figure 5 depicts the distribution of land coverages throughout the watershed.
As can be seen from this information, land coverages associated with agricultural activities dominate
the watershed and account for more than 62 percent of the watershed area. Of this, cropland only
accounts for approximately 5.6 percent of the watershed area and vegetated areas used for hay or
pasture make up nearly 57 percent of the watershed area. Forested areas also make up a large portion
of the watershed and account for more than a quarter of the total watershed area. Developed areas
make up only 4 percent of the watershed area and are primarily open spaces composed of lawn
grasses and having less than 20 percent imperviousness.
Table 3. Land Cover in the Mussel Fork watershed
Land Cover
Type Area
hectare (acre)
Area
km2 (mi
2)
Percent
Developed, High Intensity 0.81 (2.00) 0.01 (0.00) < 0.01
Developed, Medium Intensity 25.65 (63.38) 0.26 (0.10) 0.08
Developed, Low Intensity 140.13 (346.26) 1.40 (0.54) 0.43
Developed, Open Space 1,150.25 (2,842.33) 11.50 (4.44) 3.52
Cultivated Crops 1,829.19 (4,520.01) 18.29 (7.06) 5.60
Hay/Pasture 18,601.65 (45,965.60) 186.02 (71.82) 56.96
Forest 8,654.65 (21,386.06) 86.55 (33.42) 26.50
Shrub and Herbaceous 1,473.52 (3,641.14) 14.74 (5.69) 4.51
Wetlands 603.52 (1,491.33) 6.04 (2.33) 1.85
Open Water 175.23 (432.99) 1.75 (0.68) 0.54
Total: 32,654.60 (8,0691.10) 326.56 (126.08) 100.00
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Figure 5. Distribution of land cover in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
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3. Applicable Water Quality Standards
The purpose of developing a TMDL is to identify the pollutant loading that a water body can
assimilate and still attain and maintain water quality standards. Water quality standards are therefore
central to the TMDL development process. Under the federal Clean Water Act, every state must
adopt water quality standards to protect, maintain, and improve the quality of the nation’s surface
waters (U.S. Code Title 33, Chapter 26, Subchapter III). Water quality standards consist of three
major components: designated uses, water quality criteria to protect those uses, and an
antidegradation policy.
3.1 Designated Uses
Designated uses are the uses for a water body defined in the state Water Quality Standards at
10 CSR 20-7.031(1)(C) and assigned per 10 CSR 20-7.031(2) and Table H.6 These uses must be
maintained in accordance with the federal Clean Water Act. The following designated uses have been
assigned to WBID 0674 of Mussel Fork and are reflected in the Missouri Use Designation Dataset as
described at 10 CSR 20-7.031(2)E:7
Protection and propagation of fish, shellfish and wildlife – warm water habitat
Livestock and wildlife protection
Whole body contact recreation category B
Secondary contact recreation
Human health protection
Drinking water supply
Irrigation
The designated uses of Mussel Fork that are impaired due to high E. coli concentrations are whole
body contact recreation category B and secondary contact recreation. Whole body contact recreation
includes activities in which there is direct human contact with surface water that results in complete
body submergence, such as swimming. During such activities, accidental ingestion of the water may
occur and there is direct contact to sensitive body organs, such as the eyes, ears and nose. Category A
waters include water bodies that have been established by the property owner as public swimming
areas welcoming access by the public for swimming purposes and waters with documented existing
whole body contact recreation uses by the public (10 CSR 20-7.031(1)(C)2.A.(I)). Category B
applies to waters designated for whole body contact recreation, but are not contained within category
A (10 CSR 20-7.031(1)(C)2.A.(II)). Secondary contact recreation includes activities in which there is
limited, incidental or accidental contact with the water and the probability of ingesting appreciable
quantities of water is minimal. Such activities include boating, fishing and wading (10 CSR 20-
7.031(1)(C)2.B.).
3.2 Water Quality Criteria
Water quality criteria are limits on certain chemicals or conditions in a water body to protect
particular designated uses. Water quality criteria can be expressed as specific numeric criteria or as
general narrative statements. In Missouri’s Water Quality Standards at 10 CSR 20-7.031(5)(C) and
Table A, specific numeric bacteria criteria are given to protect whole body and secondary contact
6 The terminology used for naming designated uses varies from what is presented in the text of 10 CSR 20-7.031 and what is presented
in Table H. The terminology utilized in the text of the water quality standards rule is presented here. 7 The Missouri Use Designation Dataset documents the names and locations of the state’s rivers, streams, lakes and reservoirs, which
have been assigned designated uses (10 CSR 20-7.031 (1)(P)).
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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recreation during the recreational season, which is defined as being from April 1 through October 31.
For category B waters, the E. coli count during the recreational season shall not exceed a geometric
mean of 206/100 mL of water. To be protective of secondary contact recreation, the E. coli count
during the recreational season must not exceed a geometric mean of 1,134/100 mL. In addition to
these specific criteria, the general criteria at 10 CSR 20-7.031(4) are narrative statements that provide
aesthetic and acute toxicity protections for all waters of the state.
3.3 Antidegradation Policy
Missouri’s Water Quality Standards include the EPA “three-tiered” approach to antidegradation, and
may be found at 10 CSR 20-7.031(3).
Tier 1 – Protects public health, existing in-stream water uses and a level of water quality necessary to
maintain and protect those uses. Tier 1 provides the absolute floor of water quality for all
waters of the United States. Existing instream water uses are those uses that were attained on
or after Nov. 28, 1975, the date of EPA’s first Water Quality Standards Regulation.
Tier 2 – Protects and maintains the existing level of water quality where it is better than applicable
water quality criteria. Before water quality in Tier 2 waters can be lowered, there must be an
antidegradation review consisting of: (1) a finding that it is necessary to accommodate
important economic and social development in the area where the waters are located; (2) full
satisfaction of all intergovernmental coordination and public participation provisions; and (3)
assurance that the highest statutory and regulatory requirements for point sources and best
management practices for nonpoint sources are achieved. Furthermore, water quality may
not be lowered to less than the level necessary to fully protect the “fishable/swimmable” uses
and other existing uses.
Tier 3 – Protects the quality of outstanding national and state resource waters, such as waters of
national and state parks, wildlife refuges and waters of exceptional recreational or ecological
significance. There may be no new or increased discharges to these waters and no new or
increased discharges to tributaries of these waters that would result in lower water quality. Waters in which a pollutant is at, near or exceeds the water quality criteria are considered in Tier 1
status for that pollutant. Therefore, the antidegradation goal for the impaired segment of Mussel Fork
is to restore stream water quality to levels that meet water quality standards.
4. Defining the Problem
Missouri’s Water Quality Standards use E. coli, bacteria found in the intestines of humans and warm-
blooded animals, as indicators of potential fecal contamination and risk of pathogen-induced illness to
humans. The department judges a stream to be impaired if the water quality criteria are exceeded in
any of the last three years for which there is a minimum of five samples collected during the
recreational season. This approach is detailed in the department’s 2016 Listing Methodology
Document, which is available online at dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/waterquality/303d/303d.htm.
E. coli data for Mussel Fork has been collected since 1998 and was first listed as impaired on
Missouri’s combined 2004/2006 303(d) List. Most recently, Mussel Fork was included on the 2016
303(d) List due to documented exceedances of the whole body contact category B criterion in 2011,
2013 and 2016. In 2011, the criterion for the protection of secondary contact recreation was also
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
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exceeded. Per federal regulations at 40 CFR§130.7(c)(1), TMDLs are required for all waters included
on a state’s approved 303(d) list.
Available recreational season E. coli data collected from water body 0674 of Mussel Creek is
summarized in Table 4. Although older data is available, only recreational season E. coli data available
since 2010 are presented. Data collected during this more recent period are expected to be the most
representative of current conditions that may be contributing bacteria loads to Mussel Fork. This data
is further summarized in the box plot presented in Figures 6. Individual E. coli measurements used to
calculate the values in Table 4 and Figure 6 are presented in Appendix A. These observed data are
used in this TMDL for illustration purposes only and were not used in the calculation of TMDL targets
or allocations for Mussel Fork.
Table 4. Summary of recreational season E. coli data for Mussel Fork, WBID 0674
Year
No. of
samples
Minimum
(count/100mL)
Maximum
(count/100mL)
Geometric Mean
(count/100mL)
2010 7 130 7,100 656
2011 6 250 33,000 1,172
2012 3 48 900 294
2013 5 19 10,000 511
2014 7 190 1,400 450
Figure 6. Monthly recreational season E. coli data from Mussel Fork (2010 – 2014)
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5. Source Inventory and Assessment
Various sources may be contributing bacteria loads in varying degrees to Mussel Fork. For this
reason, a source inventory and assessment is included in this TMDL to identify and characterize
known, suspected and potential sources of pollutant loading specific to the Mussel Fork watershed.
Sources identified in this report are categorized as being either point (regulated) or nonpoint
(unregulated) in nature.
5.1 Point Sources
Point sources are defined under Section 502(14) of the federal Clean Water Act and are typically
regulated through the Missouri State Operating Permit program.8 Point sources include any
discernible, confined and discrete conveyance, such as a pipe, ditch, channel, tunnel or conduit, by
which pollutants are transported to a water body. Under this definition, permitted point sources
include permitted municipal and domestic wastewater dischargers, site-specific permitted industrial
and non-domestic wastewater dischargers, concentrated animal feeding operations, municipal
separate storm sewer systems, and general wastewater and stormwater permitted entites. In addition
to these permitted sources, illicit straight pipe discharges, which are illegal and therefore
unpermitted, are also point sources. The locations of each permitted outfall are presented on the
following page in Figure 7.
At the time of this writing, the Mussel Fork watershed contained eight permitted facilities. Two of
these facilities are municipal wastewater facilities, five are concentrated animal feeding operations,
or CAFOs, and one holds a stormwater land disturbance permit.9 There are no permitted municipal
separate storm sewer systems or industrial and non-domestic wastewater dischargers in the
watershed. The locations of the permitted structures and outfalls for the facilities present in the
Mussel Fork watershed are presented in Figure 7. More detailed discussions regarding these facilities
and their potential bacteria contributions appear in the following subsections.
8 The Missouri State Operating Permit program administers the federal National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System, or NPDES,
program for Missouri. The NPDES program requires all point sources that discharge pollutants to waters of the United States to obtain
a permit. 9 Permit numbers for Missouri are accurate as of Feb. 23, 2016. Permits associated with stormwater from land disturbance activities are
temporary and the number of effective permits of this type in a watershed may vary in any given year. Despite this variability, TMDL
targets and allocations will not change as a result of any changes in the number of these types of permits.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
13
Figure 7. Permitted features in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
14
5.1.1 Municipal and Domestic Wastewater Discharge Permits
Domestic wastewater dischargers include both publicly owned municipal wastewater treatment plants
and non-municipal treatment facilities. Domestic wastewater is primarily household waste, which
includes graywater and sewage. Untreated or inadequately treated discharges of domestic wastewater
can be significant sources of bacteria to receiving waters (EPA 1986). Influences of pollutant loading
from domestic dischargers are typically most evident at low-flow conditions when stormwater
influences are lower or nonexistent. Table 5 lists the two municipal wastewater lagoons located in the
Mussel Fork watershed along with their design flows as stated in Missouri State Operating Permits.10
Table 5. Municipal wastewater lagoons in the Mussel Fork watershed
Permit No.
Facility
Name
Receiving
Stream
Design Flow
m3/s (ft
3/s)
Permit
Expires11
(Mo/Day/Year)
MO-0103322
Greencastle Lagoon
System
An unnamed tributary to
Mussel Fork (WBID 3960) 0.001 (0.041) 03/31/2017
MO-0112135
Green City Wastewater
Treatment Facility
An unnamed tributary to
Mussel Fork (WBID 3960) 0.004 (0.155) 03/30/2017
These two domestic wastewater treatment facilities discharge treated wastewater into tributaries of
Mussel Fork, however neither one currently disinfects their effluent nor do their permits contain
effluent limits for E. coli. Due to a lack of E. coli monitoring data from either of these facilities, the
significance of any bacteria loading from these facilities cannot be determined. However, since
neither of these facilities disinfect their effluent, there is a potential for significant bacteria loading to
occur. It should be noted that historically these facilities had been exempted from bacteria
limitations and disinfection requirements due to conditions set forth in 10 CSR 20-7.015(9)(B)1.D.,
which only requires E. coli permit limitations if discharges are within two miles of a water
designated for whole body contact recreation. Since issuance of these facilities’ permits, water
quality standard revisions approved by EPA on Oct. 22, 2014, have expanded designations of whole
body contact recreation to streams in closer proximity to these facilities. Therefore, E. coli limits and
any applicable disinfection requirements will be included upon permit renewal. Such requirements
will maintain bacteria loads from these facilities to concentrations that meet water quality standards.
In addition to the direct discharges from these municipal wastewater treatment facilities, potential
bacteria contributions may also occur from overflows occurring from the adjoining sanitary sewer
system. A sanitary sewer system is a municipal wastewater collection system designed to convey
domestic, commercial and industrial wastewater to a municipal wastewater treatment facility. This
system can include limited amounts of inflow and infiltration from groundwater and stormwater, but
it is not designed to collect large amounts of runoff from precipitation events. Untreated or partially
treated discharge from a sanitary sewer system is referred to as a sanitary sewer overflow. Sanitary
sewer overflows can be caused by a variety of reasons including blockages, line breaks, sewer
defects, power failures and vandalism. Sanitary sewer overflows can occur during either dry or wet
weather and at any point in the collection system and can include overflows from manholes, or
backups into private residences. Such discharges are unauthorized by the federal Clean Water Act.
10 Issued and proposed operating permits are available online at dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/permits/index.html. 11 When a permit expires, a facility remains bound by the conditions of that expired permit until either the permit is terminated or a
new permit is issued.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
15
Occurrences of sanitary sewer overflows can result in elevated bacteria concentrations (EPA 1996).
Despite the potential for bacteria loading from sanitary sewer overflows, a query for reported
overflows during the past five years in the Missouri Clean Water Information System, or MoCWIS,
did not return any results from these facilities. For this reason, sanitary sewer overflows are not
expected to be a significant contributor of pathogens to Mussel Fork.
5.1.2 Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs)
Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations, or CAFOs, are typically animal feeding operations that
confine and feed or maintain animals for 45 days or more in any 12-month period, and confine more
than 1,000 animal units. Facilities with fewer animal units may be permitted as CAFOs voluntarily, if
discharges occur or other water quality issues are discovered per 10 CSR 20-6.300. Animal wastes
generated from CAFOs that are carried through stormwater runoff or by wastewater discharges can
be a source of bacteria to water bodies (Rogers and Haines 2005). In general, CAFOs are permitted
as no discharge facilities with some allowances for certain catastrophic storm or chronic weather
conditions.12
In Missouri, CAFO facilities are permitted with either site-specific permits or under one
of two general permits; the MO-G01 CAFO permit or the MO-GS1 state no-discharge CAFO permit.
Under the MO-G01 permit, CAFO facilities are not permitted to discharge manure or process
wastewater, but exceptions are granted for discharges caused by excess stormwater runoff in
situations where the facility’s designed storage volume becomes exceeded by either a catastrophic
storm event or a chronic wet weather event as they are defined in the permit. Under the MO-GS1
permit, CAFO facilities are not allowed to discharge for any reason, without exception, and any
discharge is therefore a violation. One CAFO facility, Smithfield Hog Production, is permitted with a
site-specific permit. As with the generally permitted facilities, Smithfield is a no-discharge facility
and must land apply its wastewater. An exception for emergency discharge is allowed for specific
catastrophic storm conditions as defined in the permit under Special Condition #2 (see page 8 of
dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/permits/issued/docs/0118478.pdf.) Per this special condition, only the portion
of stormwater flow that exceeds the defined catastrophic storm event may be discharged. CAFO
facilities operating in compliance with all specified permit conditions should not contribute
significant loads to surface waters. Table 6 describes the five CAFO facilities located within the
Mussel Fork watershed.
Table 6. CAFOs in the Mussel Fork watershed
Permit No. Facility Name Class13
Animal
Units
Manure Generated
(gallons/year)
MO-0118478 Smithfield Hog Production, Valley View Farm IA 49,459 80,287,225
MO-GS10083 L and D Farms IC 2,880 2,061,480
MO-GS10199 Lawrence Vasey IC 2,880 4,481,826
MO-GS10360 King Farms IC 1,920 1,982,717
MO-GS10490 Chris Dickell IC 1,984 1,589,575
Source: Missouri Clean Water Information System (MoCWIS)
Another potential source for bacteria loading from these operations is runoff from areas where animal
wastes are land applied as fertilizer. Land applications occurring on areas under the control of a
12
Storage structures should be properly designed, constructed, operated, and maintained to contain all manure, litter, process
wastewater plus the runoff and direct precipitation from the 25-year, 24-hour design storm event for the location of the CAFO. 13 An operation’s class size is a category that is based upon the total number of animal units confined at an operation. Class IA
facilities have 7,000 animal units or more. Class IC facilities have 1,000 or more animal units, but less than 3,000 animal units.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
16
CAFO are subject to conditions found in the permit and the nutrient management plans developed by
the facility. For these reasons, land application conducted by the CAFO facilities in compliance with
permitted conditions should not be contributing significant bacteria loads to Mussel Fork. However,
animal wastes from these CAFOs that are sold as fertilizers for areas not under the control of the
CAFO are not regulated by the department and may be potential nonpoint sources of bacteria. Such
land applications could occur either inside or outside of the watershed. Additionally, manure
fertilizers originating from locations outside the watershed may be transported for application to
areas within the watershed. For these reasons, bacteria contributions from manure applications cannot
be quantified, but could be significant due to the amount of land available for agricultural uses.
Unregulated agricultural nonpoint sources of bacteria, including animal feeding operations that do
not require a state operating permit, are discussed in greater detail in Section 5.2.1 of this document.
At this time there are no specific data available to determine the exact number or location of
unregulated animal feeding operations in the Mussel Fork watershed.
5.1.3 General Wastewater and Stormwater Permits
General and stormwater permits are issued based on the type of activity occurring and are meant to
be flexible enough to allow for ease and speed of issuance, while providing the required protection of
water quality. General and stormwater permits are issued to activities similar enough to be covered
by a single set of requirements, and are designated with permit numbers beginning with “MO-G” or
“MO-R” respectively. As of Feb. 23, 2016, there were no facilities in the Mussel Fork watershed
operating under a general wastewater permit and only one facility (Chris Dickell, Permit no. MO-
RA05456) with a general land disturbance stormwater permit. The department assumes that the
activities associated with this type of stormwater permit do not actively generate bacteria and that
activities conducted in compliance with all specified permit conditions, including all monitoring and
discharge limitations, will not contribute significant bacteria loads to surface waters. It is therefore
expected that compliance with this permit will be protective of the applicable designated recreational
uses within the watershed. If at any time the department determines that the water quality of streams
in the watershed is not being adequately protected, the department may require the owner or operator
of the permitted site to obtain a site-specific operating permit per 10 CSR 20-6.010(13)(C).
5.1.4 Illicit Straight Pipe Discharges
Illicit straight pipe discharges of domestic wastewater are also potential point sources of bacteria.
These types of sewage discharges bypass treatment systems, such as a septic tank or a sanitary sewer,
and instead discharge directly to a stream or an adjacent land area (Brown et al. 2004). Although
considered point sources, illicit straight pipe discharges are illegal and are not authorized under the
Clean Water Act. At present, there are no data about the presence or number of illicit straight pipe
discharges in the Mussel Fork watershed. For this reason, it is unknown whether straight pipe
discharges contribute bacteria loads to Mussel Fork. Due to the illegal nature of these discharges, any
identified illicit straight pipe discharges must be eliminated.
5.2 Nonpoint Sources
Nonpoint source pollution refers to pollution coming from diffuse, non-permitted sources that
typically cannot be identified as entering a water body at a single location. They include all other
categories of pollution not classified as being from a point source, and are exempt from department
permit regulations as per state rules at 10 CSR 20-6.010(1)(B)1. These sources involve stormwater
runoff and are minor or negligible under low-flow conditions. As indicated in Section 2.2, the
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
17
potential for runoff in the watershed is high. Typical nonpoint sources of pollution that have the
potential to influence water quality include various sources associated with runoff from agricultural
and non-MS4 permitted urban areas, onsite wastewater treatment systems, natural background
contributions and riparian corridor conditions.
5.2.1 Agricultural Runoff
Stormwater runoff from lands used for agricultural purposes is a potential source of bacteria loading
to water bodies. Activities associated with agricultural land uses that may contribute pathogens to a
water body include manure fertilization of croplands or pastures, and livestock production.
Stormwater runoff from croplands and grasslands that are fertilized with animal manure may be
potential sources of pathogens to waters due to improper applications or from soil erosion. As noted
in Section 2.4 of this document, cropland comprises approximately 5.6 percent of the Mussel Fork
watershed and areas categorized as being hay or pasture account for about 57 percent of the area.
Bacteria inputs resulting from soil erosion are more likely to occur from cropland areas, but bacteria
carried through stormwater runoff is a potential problem for both land use types if application rates
are too high, are made prior to inclement weather, or are made to frozen ground or other conditions in
which the manure cannot be readily incorporated into the soil (Fulhage 2000). In this region of the
state, manure fertilizers (other than those from CAFOs) are most likely generated from cattle.
Application rates and timing vary depending upon a number of factors, such as crop type, manure
quality and soil need. However, a typical application is less than 10 tons per acre and can be as high
as 20 tons per acre. When poultry litter is used, application rates are less and range from two to four
tons per acre. (Zachary Erwin, University of Missouri Extension, email communication, March 16,
2016).
In addition to manure spreading, livestock within the watershed may act directly as sources of
bacteria to streams due to either manure being deposited directly into a waterway or from manure
being carried by runoff from pasturelands or low density animal feeding operations that do not
require a CAFO permit. Although grazing areas are typically well vegetated, livestock tend to
concentrate near feeding and watering areas causing those areas to become barren of plant cover,
thereby increasing the possibility of erosion during a storm event (Sutton 1990). Stormwater runoff
can carry manure from these areas to nearby streams. Additionally, when livestock are not excluded
from a stream, direct manure contributions from cattle or other livestock to a water body become
more likely.
The permitted CAFO facilities in the Mussel Fork watershed are hog facilities and animal numbers
and manure rates are known as shown in Table 6. The number of other livestock that may be present
in the Mussel Fork watershed is unknown. Even so, an estimate of cattle numbers can be calculated
using the available land cover data in Section 2.4 and county cattle population numbers provided in
the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s 2012 Census of Agriculture. From these data, a number of
cattle per square mile of grassland for each county in the Mussel Fork watershed can be estimated.
And from these derived cattle densities, the number of cattle within the Mussel Fork watershed can
be estimated (Table 8). For beef cattle, the U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates that a 1,000
pound animal produces approximately 26.8 kilograms (59.1 pounds) of manure per day (USDA
1995).
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
18
Table 7. Cattle population estimates for pasture areas in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed14
County
Cattle
(No. of animals)
Pasture
km2 (mi
2)
Cattle Density
No./km2 (No./mi
2)
Watershed Pasture
km2 (mi
2)
Watershed Cattle
(No. of animals)
Adair 37,295
674.02
(260.24)
55
(143)
34.14
(13.18) 1,878
Linn 46,905
850.12
(328.23)
55
(143)
17.38
(6.71) 956
Macon 42,691
916.73
(353.95)
47
(121)
39.63
(15.30) 1,863
Sullivan 40,638
979.27
(378.10)
41
(107)
106.01
(40.93) 4,346
TOTALS =
197.16
(76.12) 9,043
In addition to hogs and cattle, several other types of livestock operations may be present in the
Mussel Fork watershed. If present in the watershed, these other types of livestock could potentially
contribute bacteria loads to Mussel Fork. Table 8 summarizes the county-level data for these other
livestock that are noted in the 2012 Census of Agriculture. Some of these livestock may be confined
in lower-density animal feeding operations that may be acting as point sources, but are not regulated
under department regulations. There are no other data available to estimate the number or distribution
of these animals in the Mussel Fork watershed.
Table 8. Numbers of other livestock by county15
Livestock
Type
Adair County
(no. of animals)
Linn County
(no. of animals)
Macon County
(no. of animals)
Sullivan County
(no. of animals)
Sheep & Lambs 1,064 735 1,804 645
Goats 748 513 1,375 127
Equine 963 419 1,616 737
Poultry 9,456 891 2,003 754
5.2.2 Urban Stormwater Runoff
Urban stormwater runoff has been found to carry high levels of bacteria and can be expected to
exceed water quality criteria for bacteria during and immediately after storm events in most streams
throughout the country (EPA 1983). E. coli contaminated runoff can come from both heavily paved
areas and from open areas where soil erosion is common (Burton and Pitt 2002). Common sources of
E. coli contamination in urban stormwater have been documented as being from birds, dogs, cats, and
rodents (Burton and Pitt 2002). Therefore, in general, urban runoff is a potential contributor of
pathogens to surface waters. However, the Mussel Fork watershed is primarily a rural watershed with
very few urban spaces. Land cover data analyzed in Section 2.4 of this document identifies less than
5 percent of the watershed as being in a developed category. Of these areas categorized as being in
some level of development, the majority is contained within the boundaries of three small
municipalities. The largest of these municipalities is Green City with a population of 657, however
14 This analysis assumes all areas identified as being hay or pasture are being used for cattle grazing and that cattle are evenly
distributed on these areas. 15 Values that are “Not Given” were withheld by the U.S. Department of Agriculture to avoid disclosing data for an individual farm.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
19
only 1.3 km2 (0.5 mi
2) of this municipality extend into the Mussel Fork watershed. Greencastle, a
municipality of 275 people accounts for 1 km2 (0.4 mi
2) of the watershed and Winigan, an
unincorporated community of only 44 people, covers 0.8 km2 (0.3 mi
2). Due to this small amount of
urban space in the watershed, urban stormwater runoff is not expected to be a significant contributor
of pathogens to Mussel Fork.
5.2.3 Onsite Wastewater Treatment Systems
Approximately 25 percent of homes in Missouri utilize onsite wastewater treatment systems,
particularly those in rural areas where public sewer systems may not be available (DHSS 2016).
Onsite wastewater treatment systems treat domestic wastewater and disperse it on the property where
it is generated, such as a home septic system. When properly designed and maintained, such systems
do not serve as a source of contamination to surface waters; however, onsite wastewater treatment
systems can fail for a variety of reasons. When these systems fail hydraulically (surface breakouts) or
hydrogeologically (inadequate soil filtration), there can be adverse effects to surface water quality
(Horsley & Witten 1996). Failing onsite wastewater treatment systems are known to be sources of
bacteria, which can reach nearby streams directly through surface runoff and groundwater flows,
thereby contributing bacteria loads under either wet or dry weather conditions. Onsite wastewater
treatment systems may contribute bacteria to waterbodies directly or as component of stormwater
runoff.
Unfortunately, the exact number of onsite wastewater treatment systems in the Mussel Fork
watershed is unknown. However EPA’s online input data server for the Spreadsheet Tool for
Estimating Pollutant Load, or STEPL, does provide estimates of septic system numbers by 12-digit
HUC watersheds based on 1992 and 1998 data from the National Environmental Services Center.16
Due to the relatively unchanged population estimates from 1990 to 2010 as described in Section 2.3
of this document, it is reasonable to assume that this older data can still provide a reasonable estimate
of septic system numbers in the Mussel Fork watershed. From this information, STEPL estimates that
there are approximately 117 septic systems in the Mussel Fork watershed. These STEPL derived
estimates are provided in Table 9 along with statewide estimated failure rates from the Electric
Power Research Institute (EPRI 2000). From this information, up to 59 onsite wastewater treatment
systems may be failing in the impaired watershed. For this reason, onsite wastewater treatment
systems are potential sources of bacteria loading; however the available data is inadequate to
determine the significance of such loading in relation to the impairment of Mussel Fork.
Table 9. Estimated numbers of septic systems in the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
12-digit HUC
Subwatershed
name
Number of
Septic Systems
Statewide
Failure Rates
102802020301 Headwaters of Mussel Fork 80
30% – 50%
102802020302 Little Mussel Creek-Mussel Fork 24
102802020303 Painter Creek-Mussel Fork 13
Total = 117
16 The National Environmental Services Center is located at West Virginia University and maintains a clearinghouse for information
related to, among other things, onsite wastewater treatment systems. Available URL: www.nesc.wvu.edu/
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
20
5.2.4 Natural Background Contributions
Wildlife such as deer, waterfowl, raccoons, rodents, and other animals contribute to the natural
background concentrations of E. coli that may be found in a water body. Typical wildlife populations
are not expected to cause or contribute to water body impairments, but large congregations of
animals, such as migrating Canada geese, have been known to contribute significant bacteria loads in
some waters during times of the year when those animals are present in large numbers (Ishii et al.
2007). Watershed specific wildlife information is lacking, but general population estimates are
available in some cases from information provided by The Missouri Department of Conservation. For
example, statewide the Department of Conservation estimates that the resident Canada geese
population is approximately 69,500 birds (MDC 2014). For deer populations, harvesting data can be
used to provide a general idea of the amount of deer that may be present in an area. For the four
counties where the Mussel Fork watershed is located, approximately 12,564 deer were harvested
during the 2015 – 2016 deer season. Simulated statewide deer population values provided by the
Department of Conservation are approximately 75% greater than the number harvested (MDC 2016).
As is the case with livestock, bacteria contributions from wildlife can be a component of stormwater
runoff or directly deposited into a water body. Due to the lack of watershed specific data on the
potential bacteria contributions from wildlife, no estimation on the significance of such contributions
can be made. For purposes of this TMDL, wildlife contributions will be considered in the total
nonpoint source load as part of the established load allocation. No specific pollutant reductions from
wildlife sources are expected to be necessary to achieve the loading targets established in this TMDL
and implementation activities should focus on pollutant reductions from anthropogenic sources.
5.2.5 Riparian Corridor Conditions
Riparian, or streamside, corridor conditions can have a strong influence on instream water quality.
Wooded riparian buffers are a vital functional component of stream ecosystems and are instrumental
in the detention, removal and assimilation of pollutants from runoff. Therefore, a stream with good
riparian cover is often better able to moderate the impacts of high pollutant loads than a stream with
poor or no riparian cover. Table 10 presents land cover calculations for the riparian corridors within
the Mussel Fork watershed.
Table 10. Land cover in the riparian corridors of the Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, watershed
Land Cover Type
Area
hectares acres Percent
Developed, Low Intensity 4.05 10.01 0.13
Developed, Open Space 55.53 137.21 1.74
Cultivated Crops 241.19 596.00 7.56
Hay/Pasture 1,478.47 3,653.37 46.31
Forest 1,018.77 2,517.42 31.91
Shrub and Herbaceous 104.85 259.08 3.28
Wetlands 247.40 611.34 7.75
Open Water 42.21 104.30 1.32
Total: 3,192.47 7,888.73 100.00
This analysis of the riparian corridor used the same land cover data calculated in Section 2.4 of this
document and defined the riparian area as being a 30-meter (100-foot) buffer on each side of all
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
21
streams in the watershed that are included in the 1:24,000-scale National Hydrography Dataset.17
As
can be seen in Table 10, more than 46 percent of the land cover adjacent to streams in the watershed
is categorized as being hay and pasture. The close proximity of lands used for pasture or hay to
streams in the Mussel Fork watershed increase the risk of bacterial contamination due to potential
loading from runoff that has come in contact with manure or due to manure being directly deposited
into the stream from grazing livestock. For these reasons, the riparian corridor condition within the
Mussel Fork watershed may act as a potential source of bacteria loading due primarily to the
agricultural contributions that were discussed in greater detail in Section 5.2.1 of this document.
6. Numeric TMDL Target and Modeling Approach
As noted in Section 3.2 of this document, Missouri’s Water Quality Standards include specific
numeric E. coli criteria for the protection of recreational uses. The bacteria densities, or
concentrations, associated with the protection of whole body contact category B and secondary
contact recreation are geometric means of 206 counts/100 mL and 1,134 counts/100 mL respectively.
To calculate a TMDL for segment 0674 of Mussel Fork, the whole body contact recreation category
B criterion concentration of 206/100 mL will serve as the numeric target. Targeting this
concentration value will be protective of both whole body contact and secondary contact recreation in
Mussel Fork. The resulting TMDL will be expressed using a load duration curve that depicts daily
loads that vary with flow. E. coli loading at or below the load duration curve will result in achieving
water quality standards. However, it should be noted that although applied as a daily target for
purposes of a TMDL, because E. coli criteria are expressed as geometric means in the Missouri
Water Quality Standards, fluctuations in instantaneous instream bacteria concentrations are expected.
Therefore individual bacteria measurements in segment 0674 or in other downstream waters that are
greater than the applicable recreational use concentration do not in and of themselves indicate a
violation of water quality standards.
The load duration curve derived for a TMDL identifies the maximum allowable daily E. coli load for
any given day as a function of the flow occurring that day, which is consistent with the Anacostia
Ruling (Friends of the Earth, Inc., et al v. EPA, No 05-5010, April 25, 2006) and EPA guidance in
response to this ruling (EPA 2006; EPA 2007a). EPA guidance recommends that all TMDLs and
associated pollutant allocations be expressed in terms of daily time increments, and suggests that
there is flexibility in how these daily increments may be expressed. This guidance indicates that
where pollutant loads or water body flows are highly dynamic, it may be appropriate to use a load
duration curve approach, provided that such an approach “identifies the allowable daily pollutant
load for any given day as a function of the flow occurring on that day.” In addition, for targets that
are expressed as a concentration of a pollutant, it may be appropriate to use a table or graph to
express individual daily loads over a range of flows as a product of a water quality criterion, stream
flow and a conversion factor (EPA 2006).
The load duration curve approach is also useful in identifying and differentiating between storm-
driven and steady-input sources. The load duration approach may be used to provide a visual
representation of stream flow conditions under which bacteria criteria exceedances have occurred, to
assess critical conditions, and to quantify the level of reduction necessary to meet the surface water
quality targets for instream bacteria (Cleland 2002; Cleland 2003). To develop the load duration
curve for Mussel Fork, a flow duration curve was developed using average daily flow data collected
17
The National Hydrography Dataset is digital surface water data for geographic information systems, or GIS, for use in general
mapping and in the analysis of surface-water systems. Available URL: http://nhd.usgs.gov
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
22
from the stream. These data were corrected to the watershed area of the impaired segment based on
the ratio of that area to the drainage area of the stream gage. Additional discussion about the methods
used to develop the bacteria load duration curve is presented in Appendix B.
7. Calculating Loading Capacity
A TMDL calculates the loading capacity of a water body and allocates that load among the various
pollutant sources in the watershed. The loading capacity is the maximum pollutant load that a water
body can assimilate and still meet water quality standards. It is equal to the sum of the wasteload
allocation, load allocation and the margin of safety:
TMDL = LC = ∑WLA + ∑LA + MOS
Where LC is the loading capacity, ∑WLA is the sum of the wasteload allocations, ∑LA is the sum of
the load allocations, and MOS is the margin of safety.
According to 40 CFR 130.2(i), TMDLs can be expressed in terms of mass per unit time, toxicity or
other appropriate measures. For Mussel Fork, the pathogen TMDL is expressed as E. coli counts per
day using a load duration curve. Figures 8 presents the load duration curve for Mussel Fork. To
develop this load duration curve, the numeric TMDL target is multiplied by flow to generate the
maximum daily load at different flows.18
As shown in Figure 8, the resulting load duration curve represents the loading capacity and is
presented as a curve over the range of flows. The y-axis describes bacteria loading as counts per day
and the x-axis represents the frequency for which a particular flow is met or exceeded. Lower flows
are equaled or exceeded more frequently than higher flows. Estimates of instantaneous bacteria loads
calculated from the E. coli monitoring data in Appendix A are plotted as points. These observed
loads are presented only to illustrate flow conditions under which excessive bacteria loading may be
occurring. The flow condition ranges and descriptions presented in Figure 8 illustrate general base-
flow and surface-runoff conditions consistent with EPA guidance about using load duration curves
for TMDL development (EPA 2007b). Table 11 presents a summary of the TMDL loading capacities
and allocations for selected flow exceedances from the load duration curve.19
Specific allocations for
individual sources are presented and discussed in Sections 8 and 9 of this TMDL report.
18
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 (count
time) = 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 (
count
volume) ∗ 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤 (
volume
time)
19 Due to the extremely large numbers associated with bacteria loads, E. coli values are presented using scientific notation.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
23
Figure 8. Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, load duration curve
Table 11. TMDL and allocation values for Mussel Fork, WBID 0674, at selected flows
Percent of time
flow exceeded
Flow
m3/s (ft
3/s)
TMDL
(counts/day)
∑WLA
(counts/day)
∑LA
(counts/day)
MOS
(counts/day)
95 0.01 (0.52) 2.62E+09 9.88E+08 1.37E+09 2.62E+08
75 0.11 (3.73) 1.88E+10 9.88E+08 1.59E+10 1.88E+09
50 0.52 (18.40) 9.28E+10 9.88E+08 8.25E+10 9.28E+09
25 1.78 (62.76) 3.16E+11 9.88E+08 2.84E+11 3.16E+10
5 18.61 (657.13) 3.31E+12 9.88E+08 2.98E+12 3.31E+11
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
24
8. Wasteload Allocation (Allowable Point Source Load)
The wasteload allocation is the allowable amount of the loading capacity that is assigned to existing
or future point sources. This section discusses the rationale and approach for assigning wasteload
allocations to point sources in the Mussel Fork watershed as well as considerations given for future
sources. A summary of all wasteload allocations is provided in Appendix C. Typically, point sources
are permitted with limits for a given pollutant that are the most stringent of either technology-based
effluent limits or water quality-based effluent limits. Technology-based effluent limits are based
upon the expected capability of a treatment method to reduce the pollutant to a certain concentration.
Water quality-based effluent limits represent the most stringent concentration of a pollutant that a
receiving stream can assimilate without violating applicable water quality standards at a specific
location. Effluent limits or other permit conditions must be consistent with the assumptions and
requirements of TMDL wasteload allocations per 40 CFR §122.44(d)(1)(vii)(B).
8.1 Municipal and Domestic Wastewater Discharges
Table 5 in Section 5.1.1 of this document notes that there are two facilities that discharge treated
municipal wastewater in the Mussel Fork watershed. Individual wasteload allocations calculated for
these facilities are based on the facility design flows and are presented in Table 12. However, actual
flows and available disinfection technologies may allow these facilities to discharge bacteria loads
less than those allocated. These allocations do not authorize these facilities to discharge bacteria at
concentrations that exceed water quality standards, but may serve to accommodate additional facility
loading due to any population increases or expansions in service area.
These allocations are applicable at all flows. At extremely low-flow conditions when the probably of
the flow being met or exceeded is 99 percent or greater, the load duration curve model predicts
effluent flows to dominate. Under these conditions the entire assimilative capacity of Mussel Fork
would be equal to the sum of the wasteload allocations. Disinfection or other permit conditions that
ensure protection of recreational uses will serve as an implicit margin of safety during periods in
which effluent flows dominate. Additionally, facility discharge monitoring report data shows that
these facilities are typically under loaded and often do not discharge during months associated with
lower flow conditions. Currently the permits for these facilities contain neither disinfection
requirements nor E. coli limits, but as previously mentioned in Section 5.1.1, revisions to state water
quality standards will now require these elements to be included upon permit renewal. Permit limits
targeting an E. coli concentration of 206 counts/100mL and that are protective of the whole body
contact recreation category B use are consistent with the wasteload allocations established in this
TMDL.
Table 12. Wasteload allocations for municipal wastewater dischargers
Permit No.
Facility
Name
Applicable
Outfall*
Design Flow
(as given in permit)
WLA
(counts/day)
MO-0103322 Greencastle Lagoon System 001 26,500 gallons/day 2.07E+08
MO-0112135 Green City Wastewater Treatment Facility 001 100,000 gallons/day 7.81E+08
* Outfalls not explicitly identified in this table are not expected to contribute to the impairment and current permit conditions
are expected to result in de minimis bacteria loading and should be maintained.
In addition to authorized discharges from municipal wastewater treatment facilities, areas serviced by
these types of systems risk bacteria contributions due to accidental sanitary sewer overflows. As
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
25
mentioned in Section 5.1.1 of this document, sanitary sewer overflows are unpermitted discharges
and are not authorized under the Clean Water Act. For this reason, sanitary sewer overflows in the
Mussel Fork watershed are assigned a wasteload allocation of zero at all flows. Occurrences of such
overflows are expected to continue to remain rare.
8.2 CAFOs
All CAFO facilities are permitted as no-discharge facilities and store wastewater in lagoons and land
apply accordingly. Assuming all permit conditions are met, including those associated with land
applications, CAFO facilities should not be contributing significant bacteria loads to Mussel Fork.
For this reason, the wasteload allocation for all CAFO facilities is zero at all flows.
8.3 General Wastewater and Stormwater Permits
Activities permitted through general or stormwater permits are not generally expected to contribute
significant bacteria loads to surface waters and the department assumes that such activities conducted
in compliance with all specified permit conditions, including land applications, monitoring and
discharge limitations, will not contribute significant bacteria loads to surface waters. It is expected
that compliance with these types of permits will be protective of the applicable designated
recreational uses within the watershed. For this reason these types of facilities are not assigned a
specified portion of the calculated wasteload allocation and loading from these sources is expected to
be at de minimis concentrations. Wasteload allocations for these facilities are set at existing permit
limits and conditions, which are assumed to be protective of all designated uses.
8.4 Illicit Straight Pipe Discharges
Illicit straight pipe discharges are illegal and are not permitted under the Clean Water Act. For this
reason, illicit straight pipe discharges are assigned a wasteload allocation of zero and any existing
sources of this type must be eliminated.
8.5. Considerations for Future Sources
For this TMDL, no specific portion of the loading capacity is allocated to a reserve capacity as
analysis of existing population data (see Section 2.3) and land cover data (see Section 2.4) indicate
little change from past conditions and a low likelihood of a need for such an allocation. However, the
wasteload allocations presented in this TMDL report do not preclude the establishment of future
point sources of bacterial loading in the watershed. Any future point sources should be evaluated
against the TMDL and the range of flows, which any additional bacterial loading will affect, as well
as any additional requirements associated with anti-degradation. Per federal regulations at 40 CFR
122.4(a), no permit may be issued when the conditions of the permit do not provide for compliance
with the applicable requirements of the Clean Water Act, or regulations promulgated under the Clean
Water Act. Additionally, 40 CFR 122.4(i) states no permit may be issued to a new source or new
discharger if the discharge from its construction or operation will cause or contribute to violation of
water quality standards.
Wasteload allocations calculated for existing municipal and domestic wastewater dischargers are
based on existing design flows. Use of design flows for calculating wasteload allocations instead of
the facilities’ actual flows account for future increases in discharge from these facilities. New
domestic wastewater treatment facilities and CAFO facilities that are permitted as no-discharge
facilities should not contribute additional bacteria loading to the impaired water bodies and do not
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
26
require a specified wasteload allocation for operation. However, land application from these new
facilities must be conducted in accordance with the requirements and conditions of the permit to
ensure no additional loading from such activities is occurring and that the sum of the TMDL’s
wasteload allocations is not being exceeded. Other general and stormwater permitted activities not
associated with domestic wastewater or CAFOs are not expected to actively generate bacteria and
compliance with all permit conditions is expected to result in loading at de minimis levels that will
not exceed the sum of the TMDL’s wasteload allocation. In some instances a potential source may be
re-categorized from a nonpoint source to a point source (e.g., newly designated or permitted
stormwater). If such a source’s magnitude, character, and location remain unchanged, then the
appropriate portion of the load allocation may be assigned as a wasteload allocation. Wasteload
allocations between point sources may also be shifted appropriately between individual point sources
where pollutant loading has shifted as long as the sum of the wasteload allocations is unchanged.
Advanced notification to EPA before permitting with shifts in the established wasteload allocation is
recommended (EPA 2012).
9. Load Allocation (Nonpoint Source Load)
The load allocation is the amount of the pollutant load that is assigned to nonpoint sources and
includes all existing and future nonpoint sources, as well as natural background contributions
(40 CFR § 130.2(g)). Load allocations for these TMDLs have been calculated as the remainder of the
loading capacity after allocations to the wasteload allocation and margin of safety. These total load
allocations are presented in Table 11.
Further disaggregation of the load allocation to develop separate allocations for urban runoff sources
and agricultural runoff sources could be calculated based on the proportion of land located within
municipal boundaries vs. rural agricultural areas. However, as described in Section 5.2.2., the
municipal areas within the watershed are mostly undeveloped and nearly indistinguishable from other
areas of the watershed. For this reason the load allocation will remain aggregated. No portion of this
load allocation will be assigned to onsite wastewater treatment systems as such systems should not be
contributing significant bacteria loads when properly designed and maintained. For this reason, these
systems are assigned a load allocation of zero at all flows.
10. Margin of Safety
A margin of safety is required in the TMDL calculation to account for uncertainties in scientific and
technical understanding of water quality in natural systems (CWA §303(d)(l)(C) and 40 C.F.R.
§130.7(c)(l)). The margin of safety is intended to account for such uncertainties in a conservative
manner. Based on EPA guidance, the margin of safety can be achieved through two approaches:
Explicit - Reserve a portion of the loading capacity as a separate term in the TMDL
Implicit - Incorporate the margin of safety as part of the critical conditions for the wasteload
allocation and the load allocation calculations by making conservative assumptions in the
analysis
For the Mussel Fork TMDL both an explicit and various implicit margins of safety are used in order
to ensure the water quality goals for Mussel Fork are met and that the designated uses of downstream
waters are protected. An explicit 10 percent of the loading capacity has been reserved to serve as a
margin of safety. Additionally, bacteria decay rates were not applied and the direct recreation-season
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
27
geometric mean was used for estimating the Clean Water Act required daily loading value.
Furthermore, wasteload allocations were calculated using the TMDL target concentration at the
design flow. Actual flows are typically much less and disinfection systems are designed and operated
to achieve close to 100 percent reduction of indicator bacteria. Therefore actual E. coli concentrations
from these sources will be much less than what is assumed by the TMDL. These various conservative
assumptions act as an additional implicit margin of safety.
11. Seasonal Variation
Federal regulations at 40 CFR §130.7(c)(1) require that TMDLs take into consideration seasonal
variation in applicable standards. Missouri’s water quality criteria for the protection of recreational
uses are applicable only during the recreational season. However, the TMDL load duration curve
represents streamflow under all conditions and use flow data collected during all seasons. For this
reason, the E. coli targets and allocations found in this TMDL report will be protective throughout
the recreational season and during flow conditions associated with storm-driven events, including
those associated with seasonal rain patterns, when bacteria loading is more likely. The advantage of a
load duration curve approach is that all flow conditions are considered and the constraints associated
with using a single-flow critical condition are avoided.
12. Monitoring Plans
Post-TMDL monitoring is often scheduled and carried out by the department approximately three
years after the approval of the TMDL or in a reasonable time period following completion of permit
compliance schedules and the application of new effluent limits. The department will routinely
examine physical habitat, water quality, invertebrate community, and fish community data collected
by other local, state and federal entities in order to assess the effectiveness of TMDL implementation.
In addition, certain quality-assured data collected by universities, municipalities, private companies
and volunteer groups may potentially be considered for monitoring water quality following TMDL
implementation. Determinations of water quality standards attainment or continued impairment of the
water bodies subject to this TMDL will be completed by the department as part of its biennial water
quality assessments for required Clean Water Act 305(b) and 303(d) reporting.
13. Reasonable Assurance
Section 303(d)(1)(C) of the federal Clean Water Act requires that TMDLs be established at a level
necessary to implement applicable water quality standards. As part of the TMDL process,
consideration must be given to the assurances that point and nonpoint source allocations will be
achieved and water quality standards attained. Where TMDLs are developed for waters impaired by
point sources only, reasonable assurance is derived from the NPDES permitting program. Issuance of
state operating permits and requiring that effluent and instream monitoring be reported to the
department should provide reasonable assurance that instream water quality standards will be met.
Where a TMDL is developed for waters impaired by both point and nonpoint sources, point source
wasteload allocations must be stringent enough so that in conjunction with the water body's other
loadings (i.e., nonpoint sources) water quality standards are met. This generally occurs when the
TMDL’s combined nonpoint source load allocations and point source wasteload allocations do not
exceed the water quality standards-based loading capacity and there is reasonable assurance that the
TMDL's allocations can be achieved. Reasonable assurance that nonpoint sources will meet their
allocated amount in the TMDL is dependent upon the availability and implementation of nonpoint
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
28
source pollutant reduction plans, controls or BMPs within the watershed. If BMPs or other nonpoint
source pollution controls make more stringent load allocations practicable, then wasteload allocations
can be made less stringent. Thus, the TMDL process provides for nonpoint source control tradeoffs
(40 CFR 130.2(i)). When a demonstration of nonpoint source reasonable assurance is developed and
approved for an impaired water body, additional pollutant allocations for point sources may be
allowed provided water quality standards are still attained. When a demonstration of nonpoint source
reasonable assurance does not exist, or it is determined that nonpoint source pollutant reduction
plans, controls or BMPs are not feasible, durable, or will not result in the required load reductions,
allocation of greater pollutant loading to point sources cannot occur.
A variety of grants and loans may be available to assist watershed stakeholders with developing and
implementing watershed based plans, controls and practices to meet the required wasteload and load
allocations in the TMDL and demonstrate reasonable assurance. Information regarding potential
participants, funding sources and implementation actions that address pollutant sources in the Mussel
Fork watershed can be found in the Chariton River E. coli TMDL Implementation Plan at
dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/tmdl/0674-mussel-fk-ck-record.htm.
14. Public Participation
EPA regulations at 40 CFR§130.7 require that TMDLs be subject to public review. TMDLs
developed by the department are made available for public comment for a minimum of 45 days. A
45-day public notice period for this Mussel Fork TMDL was scheduled from Dec. 23, 2016 to Feb. 6,
2017. All comments received during this period and the department’s responses to those comments
will be made available online at dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/tmdl/0674-mussel-fk-ck-record.htm.
Groups that directly received notice of the public comment period for this TMDL include, but are not
limited to:
Missouri Clean Water Commission
Missouri Water Protection Forum
Missouri Department of Conservation
Soil and Water Conservation Districts (Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan counties)
County health departments (Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan counties)
County commissions (Adair, Linn, Macon and Sullivan counties)
Green Hills Regional Planning Commission
Northeast Missouri Regional Planning Commission
Mark Twain Regional Council of Governments
University of Missouri Extension
Missouri Coalition for the Environment
Missouri Stream Team Watershed Coalition
Stream Team volunteers living in or near the watershed
Affected permitted entities
Missouri state legislators representing areas within the watershed.
In addition to those directly contacted, the public notice, TMDL, and an implementation plan have been
posted on the department’s TMDL webpage at dnr.mo.gov/env/wpp/tmdl/wpc-tmdl-progress.htm,
making them available to anyone with access to the Internet.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
29
The department also maintains an email distribution list for notifying subscribers regarding significant
TMDL updates or activities, including public notices and comment periods. Those interested in
subscribing to TMDL updates may do so by submitting their email address using the online form
available at public.govdelivery.com/accounts/MODNR/subscriber/new?topic_id=MODNR_177.
15. Administrative Record and Supporting Documentation
An administrative record for the Mussel Fork TMDL has been assembled and is being kept on file
with the department. It includes any plans, studies, data and calculations on which the TMDL is
based, as well as any TMDL implementation plans, water body information sheets, the public notice
announcement, any public comments received and the department’s responses to those comments.
This information is available upon request to the department at dnr.mo.gov/sunshine-form.htm. Any
request for information about the Mussel Fork TMDL will be processed in accordance with
Missouri’s Sunshine Law (Chapter 610, RSMO) and the department’s administrative policies and
procedures governing Sunshine Law requests. For more information about open record/Sunshine
requests, please consult the department’s website at dnr.mo.gov/sunshinerequests.htm.
16. References
Brown, E., Caraco, D. and R. Pitt. 2004. Illicit Discharge Detection and Elimination a Guidance Manual
for Program Development and Technical Assessments. EPA X-82907801-0
Burton, A.G. Jr. and R.E. Pitt. 2002. Stormwater effects handbook, a toolbox for watershed managers,
scientists, and engineers. ISBN 0-87371-924-7 New York:CRC Press.
Chapman, S.S., Omernik, J.M., Griffith, G.E., Schroeder, W.A., Nigh, T.A., and T. F. Wilton. 2002.
Ecoregions of Iowa and Missouri (color poster with map, descriptive text, summary tables, and
photographs): Reston, Virginia, U.S. Geological Survey (map scale 1:1,800,000).
Cleland, B.R., 2002. TMDL Development From the “Bottom Up” – Part II: Using Load Duration Curves
to Connect the Pieces. Proceedings from the WEF National TMDL Science and Policy 2002 Conference.
Cleland, B.R., 2003. TMDL Development from the “Bottom up” – Part III: Duration Curves and Wet-
Weather Assessments. America’s Clean Water Foundation, Washington, D.C.
DHSS (Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services). 2016. Onsite Wastewater Treatment
webpage. [Online WWW] Available URL: http://health.mo.gov/living/environment/onsite/ [Accessed 7
March 2016].
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 1983. Results of the Nationwide Urban Runoff Program –
Executive Summary PB84-185545.
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 1986. Design Manual – Municipal Wastewater
Disinfection. EPA/625/1-86/021
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 1996. Sanitary Sewer Overflows – What are they and how
can we reduce them? EPA 832-K-96-001
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2006. Establishing TMDL “daily” loads in light of the
decision by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit in Friends of the Earth, Inc. v. EPA, et al., No.
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05-5015, (April 25, 2006), and implications for NPDES Permits. [Online WWW] Available URL:
https://www.epa.gov/tmdl/establishing-tmdl-daily-loads-light-decision-us-court-appeals-dc-circuit
[Accessed 15 March 2016].
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2007a. Options for Expressing Daily Loads in TMDLs.
Office of Wetlands, Oceans & Watersheds. June 22, 2007.
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2007b. An Approach for Using Load Duration Curves in
the Development of TMDLs. EPA 841-B-07-006.
EPA (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency). 2014. STEPL Data Server for Sample Input Data. [Online
WWW] Available URL: http://it.tetratech-ffx.com/steplweb/STEPLdataviewer.htm [Accessed 7 March
2016].
EPRI (Electric Power Research Institute). 2000. Advanced On-Site Wastewater Treatment and
Management Market Study: Volume 2
FGDC (Federal Geographic Data Committee). 2003. Federal Standards for Delineation of Hydrologic
Unit Boundaries. Working Draft. Version 1.1. [Online WWW] Available URL:
https://www.fgdc.gov/standards/projects/FGDC-standards-projects/hydro-unit-boundaries [Accessed 17
April 2015].
Homer, C.G., Dewitz, J.A., Yang, L., Jin, S., Danielson, P., Xian, G., Coulston, J., Herold, N.D.,
Wickham, J.D., and Megown, K., 2015, Completion of the 2011 National Land Cover Database for the
conterminous United States-Representing a decade of land cover change information. Photogrammetric
Engineering and Remote Sensing, v. 81, no. 5, p. 345-354 [Online WWW] Available URL:
http://www.asprs.org/a/publications/pers/2015journals/PERS_May_2015/HTML/index.html#345/z
[Accessed 17 Jul 2015].
Horsley & Witten, Inc. 1996. Identification and Evaluation of Nutrient and Bacterial Loadings to Maquoit
Bay, Brunswick, and Freeport, Maine.
Ishii, S., Hansen D., Hicks, R. and Sadowsky, M. 2007. Beach Sand and Sediments are Temporal Sinks
and Sources of Escherichia coli in Lake Superior. Environ Sci Technol 41, 2203 – 2209.
MDC (Missouri Department of Conservation). 2014. Waterfowl Hunting Digest 2014 – 2015. [Online
WWW] Available URL:
http://nature.mdc.mo.gov/sites/default/files/resources/2010/05/2014_waterfowl_digest.pdf [Accessed 01
June 2016].
MDC (Missouri Department of Conservation). 2016. Missouri Deer Season Summary & Population
Status Report. [Online WWW] Available URL:
https://huntfish.mdc.mo.gov/sites/default/files/downloads/Deer-Pop-status.pdf [Accessed 11 November
2016].
MoRAP (Missouri Resource Assessment Partnership). 2005. A gap analysis for riverine ecosystems of
Missouri. Final report, submitted to the USGS national gap analysis program. 1675pp.
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NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration). 2014. NOAA Online Weather Data. [Online
WWW] Available URL: http://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=eax
[Accessed 22 Feb. 2016].
NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service). 2007. National Engineering Handbook, Part 630
Hydrology, Chapter 7 Hydrologic Soil Groups.
NRCS (Natural Resources Conservation Service). 2011. Soil Survey Geographic Database (SSURGO).
[Computer file]. Available URL:https://gdg.sc.egov.usda.gov/
Rogers, Shane and John Haines. 2005. Detecting and Mitigating the Environmental Impact of Fecal
Pathogens Originating from Confined Animal Feeding Operations: Review. EPA/600/R-06/021.
U.S. Census Bureau (U.S. Department of Commerce). 2010. TIGER/Line Shapefile, 2010, 2010 state,
Missouri, 2010 Census Block State-based [ArcView Shapefile]. Available URL:
ftp://msdis.missouri.edu/pub/state/st_block10.zip
USDA (U.S. Department of Agriculture). 1995. Animal Manure Management – RCA Issue Brief #7.
[Online WWW] Available URL:
http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/null/?cid=nrcs143_014211 [Accessed 14 March 2016].
USGS (U.S. Geological Survey). 2009. Ecology-Ecological Drainage Units. [Online WWW] Available
URL: http://nh.water.usgs.gov/projects/ct_atlas/tnc_edu.htm [Accessed 22 Oct. 2010].
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
32
Appendix A
Mussel Fork recreational season E. coli data (2010 – 2014)20,21
Site Code Site Name Date
Sample ID
E. coli (counts/100ml)
Flow m
3/s (ft
3/s)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 4/22/2010 200742 130 0.048 (1.70)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 5/19/2010 200743 800 0.623 (22.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 6/16/2010 200744 7,100 1.812 (64.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 7/29/2010 200745 310 0.048 (1.70)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 8/18/2010 200746 320 0.011 (0.40)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 9/23/2010 200747 2,100 1.614 (57.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 10/6/2010 200748 340 0.048 (1.70)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 4/7/2011 212196 250 0.071 (2.50)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 5/5/2011 212197 1,900 0.065 (2.30)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 6/9/2011 212198 650 0.054 (1.90)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 7/13/2011 212199 33,000 0.566 (20.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 8/17/2011 212200 980 0.017 (0.61)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 9/15/2011 212201 260 0.000 (0.01)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 4/18/2012 223020 900 0.238 (8.40)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 5/23/2012 223021 48 0.007 (0.25)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 6/6/2012 223022 590 0.002 (0.06)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 4/10/2013 238859 10,000 1.727 (61.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 5/22/2013 238860 1,100 0.031 (1.10)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 6/25/2013 238861 880 0.034 (1.20)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 7/9/2013 238862 190 0.002 (0.06)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 8/13/2013 238863 19 0.000 (0.01)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 4/8/2014 244017 190 0.008 (0.29)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 5/7/2014 244018 360 0.015 (0.53)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 6/10/2014 244019 1,400 0.311 (11.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 7/16/2014 244020 330 0.028 (1.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 8/19/2014 251023 790 0.340 (12.00)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 9/23/2014 251024 220 0.059 (2.10)
674/28.8 Mussel Fork near Mystic 10/7/2014 251025 680 0.079 (2.80)
20
Recreational season E. coli data was retrieved from the department’s Water Quality Assessment Database on Feb. 19, 2016. 21 All data was collected by the U.S. Geological Survey.
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
33
Appendix B
Development of the Mussel Fork Bacteria Load Duration Curve
Overview
The load duration curve approach was used to develop the total maximum daily load, or TMDL, for
the impaired water body segment of Mussel Fork, WBID 0674. The load duration curve method
allows for characterizing water quality concentrations (or water quality data) at different flow
regimes and estimating the load allocations and wasteload allocations for each impaired segment.
This method also provides a visual display of the relationship between stream flow and loading
capacity. Using the duration curve framework, allowable loadings are easily presented.
Methodology
Using the load duration curve method requires a long time series of flow data, a numeric water
quality target, and bacteria data from the impaired streams. For the Mussel Fork TMDL, bacteria data
collected from the impaired segments was converted into an instantaneous load using measured
flows. These observed loads were plotted along with the load duration curve to illustrate conditions
when the water quality target may have been exceeded.
To develop a load duration curve, a long record of average daily flow data from a gage (or multiple
gages) that is representative of the impaired reach is used. The flow record should be of sufficient
length to be able to calculate percentiles of flow. If a flow record for an impaired stream is not
available, then a synthetic flow record is needed. For the Mussel Fork TMDL, flow gage data from
Dec. 11, 2002 to Jan. 27, 2016, was available from Mussel Fork via USGS gage 06906000. The
modeling approach assumes that discharge at the outlet of the impaired watershed is proportional to
the discharge from the USGS gage station. Therefore, average daily flow values were corrected based
on the proportion of the area draining to the impaired watershed to that draining to the flow gage
(Table B-1). The developed flow duration curve for the impaired water body is presented in Figure
B-1. These flows in units of ft3/second are then multiplied by the selected water quality target of 206
counts/100 mL and a conversion factor of 24,465,715 in order to generate the allowable load in units
of counts/day.22
Despite the varying load, the targeted concentration is constant at all flow percentiles
and reflects the static nature of the water quality standards.
Table B-1. Information used to calculate area corrected flows
Location: USGS 06906000 WBID 0674
Drainage Area: 691.5 km2 (267 mi
2) 326.3 km
2 (126 mi
2)
Correction Factor: n/a 0.47191
22
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 (count
day) = [𝑇𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑒𝑡 (
count
100ml)] ∗ [𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤 (
𝑓𝑒𝑒𝑡3
𝑠)] ∗ [𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟]
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
34
Figure B-1. Flow duration curve (Mussel Fork, WBID 0674)
Mussel Fork E. coli TMDL - Missouri
35
Appendix C
Summary of Wasteload Allocations*
(See Section 8 for more specific wasteload allocation information)
Permit No. Facility Name
Applicable
Outfall
Design Flow
(gal/day)
WLA
(count/day)
MO-0103322 Greencastle lagoon system 001 26,500 2.07E+08
MO-0112135 Green City WWTF 001 100,000 7.81E+08
MO-0118478 Smithfield Hog Production, Valley View Farm All No discharge 0
MO-GS10083 L and D Farms All No discharge 0
MO-GS10199 Lawrence Vasey All No discharge 0
MO-GS10360 King Farms All No discharge 0
MO-GS10490 Chris Dickell All No discharge 0
General/Stormwater
Permits n/a
All n/a
Existing
limits and
conditions
Illicit Straight Pipes n/a All n/a 0
Sanitary Sewer
Overflows Greencastle and Green City sewerage systems
All n/a 0
* Outfalls not explicitly identified in this table are not expected to contribute to the impairment and current permit conditions are
expected to result in de minimis bacteria loading and should be maintained.