top-down versus bottom-up: scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29top-down versus...

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Chair for Landscape Planning Potsdam University Prof. Dr. Beate Jessel Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s involvement in watershed management - A case study from the Havel River Basin -

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Page 1: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Prof. Dr. Beate Jessel

Top-down versus bottom-up:

Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s

involvement in watershed management

- A case study from the Havel River Basin -

Page 2: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Approach and purpose of the EU WFD

River basin districts in Germany

(Federal Environmental Agency UBA 2000)

Main Purposes of WFD: To prevent the deterioration of the status of all

surface and ground water bodies To enhance and to redevelop the ground and surface

water bodies To obtain a „good status“ for all water bodies

that deviates only slightly from a „high status“

representing the undisturbed or almost undis-

turbed conditions with only very minor

anthropogenic alterations

Approach: - Area-wide, related to the respective catchment areas - Environmental objectives setting up a high standard - Integrative (i.e. implementation is only possible in

cooperation with other competent authorities)

New planning instruments introduced by WFD: - River basin management plans - Programmes of measures

Page 3: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

„Scale Problem“

How to get from large scale and often transboundary watersheds

to concrete measures on single

areas?

Quelle: Umweltbundesamt, Februar 2000

?

Page 4: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Reference condition: „High status“

Environmental objective: „Good status“

Necessary working steps

- Analysis of characteristics +

significant impacts

for each river basin district

- Establishment of programmes for

monitoring

- Elaboration of river basin management

plans and of programmes of measures

Public information and consultation (Art. 14 WFD)

„Top Down“ „Bottom Up“

How can real involvement

be obtained at local level

without challenging the

superior aims of WFD?

How to reconcile top-down with bottom-up approach

within the implementation of the EU WFD?

Page 5: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Characteristics of the study region

The Havel river

Important tributary to the Elbe river; one of the most important lowland

rivers in Germany

Small slopes (up to only 0,006%, low flow velocities), complicated river

network, large number of lakes and wetland areas, high antropogenic

influence by various water systems

Strong influence on discharge due to different water users

Low water quality (due to eutrophic processes in particular)

Page 6: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Page 7: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Page 8: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

MQ

[m

3/s

]

Zeuthen, Selchower Flutgraben

Mellensee, Schneidegraben

Gruenheide, Löcknitz

Linear (Gruenheide, Löcknitz)

Linear (Zeuthen, Selchower Flutgraben)

Linear (Mellensee, Schneidegraben)

- 35%

- 55%

+- 0%

Degradation of Water Resources –

a trend of declining mean water level

Page 9: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

www.havelmanagement.de

o Main Target: Providing principles for

the river basin management according

to the European Water Framework

Directive (WFD)

o Interdisciplinary research project with

representatives from scientific

institutions, regional authorities and

private agencies

o Existing knowledge of water and land

use management, politically driven

land use changes, economic

boundary conditions and the role of

stakeholders must be combined

Research Project:

Management Options in the Havel River Basin

Page 10: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Large Scale

Havel (without Spree)

Intermediate Scale

Nuthe, Lower Havel, Rhin

Focus Areas

Hammerfließ,

Lower Havel area,

Döllnitz, Kleiner Rhin

Scale levels in the project network

Complete area (w ithout Spree)

Focus area Low er Havel/Gülper See

Catchment area Low er Havel

Focus area Hammerfließ

Catchment area Nuthe

Focus area Döllnitz/Kleiner Rhin

Catchment area Rhin

Study areas of

BMBF-Project

Page 11: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel
Page 12: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Integrative overall concept for landscape units

- conservation and development as

a habitat for native breeding birds (Limikolen) and as rasting place

and food source for migratory and

overwintering bird species through use as extensive

grassland:

- mowing and grazing schedules

adapted to water management (siehe NSG-VO-Entwurf „Untere

Havel Nord“)

- conservation and development of

a patchy, relief-adapted mosaic of cane brakes, sedges and marsh

areas

- conservation and development of

near natural grove structures at some selected watercourses (e.g.

Großer Graben)

- safeguarding of year-round

high water levels in runoff ditches and water courses

and of periodical flooding in

winter as prerequisite for protection of soils and ground

water the development of wetlands (short-term through

use of all possibilities for

water retention in spring, long-term through natural

dynamics)

- middle- and long-term

increase of the area of periodically flooded zones

through connection of the polder "Große Graben-

niederung" to the floodplain

- Avoidance of input of

harmful substances through

establishment of edge strips

at amelioration ditches

- preservation of the partially

profound bog soil through development of permanent,

species-rich grassland with

extensive land use through increasing ground water levels of

40 cm below floor in average; prevention of dereliction of land

(Handlungshilfe Niedermoor-

schutz, LUA Brandenburg 1997)

- development of a low moor with turf-producing vegetation, that

fulfils functions as water and

nutrient repository (without land use) through establishment of

year-round ground water levels of 20 cm below floor in some areas

- Protection of soil against wind erosion through year-round

vegetation cover

Grundwasser-

bestimmte, lehm- oder

muddeunterla-

gerte Torfebene der potenziellen

Aue

groundwater

controlled fen with

secondary clay and organic silt

inside the

potential floodplain

2256 ha (9,8%)

25

species / habitats surface water soil / ground water name nr.

targets

landscape-

ecological

spatial unit

(LES)

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Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

„ Lower Havel area“

Endangerment of ground water

legend

risk for pollution of

ground water

catchment area

very high

high

middle

low

watercourses

Page 14: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Research areas

Large scale

(ca. 1:10.000 - 1:25.000)

FOCUS AREAS

„Geochorological

„Approach

„NANOCHOREN“

Relevance for WFD:

Measure programs

Medium scale

(ca. 1:50.000 - 1:75.000)

Small scale

(ca. 1:200.000 - 1:300.000)

WHOLE RESEARCH

AREA/

CATCHMENT AREA

„MIKROCHOREN“

Relevance for WFD:

Measure programs

„MESOCHOREN“

Relevance for WFD:

River Basin Management

Plan

Hierarchy of landscape-ecological spatial units on different scales

Page 15: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Landscape ecological units on different scale levels

Hierarchical approach

Possible management options (land use changes) can be related to

spatial units to picture different scenarios

Page 16: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Involvement of land users and stakeholders

- 1st step -

Interviewing relevant stakeholders from agriculture, forestry,

water supply and distribution, fishery, nature protection, local

tourism, municipal administration

Structured interviews, including questions

How the quantitative and qualitative availability of water in the

surveyed area was rated,

which proposals land-users had to improve the situation,

how they estimated possible communication and cooperation

between relevant land users and decision makers in the watershed,

about their level of awareness about the WFD.

Information of the project and preparing contacts by carrying out

„regional conferences“

Page 17: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Involvement of land users and stakeholders

- 1st step -

Identification of key problems, synergisms and conflicts, i.e.:

Focus Area Hammerfließ Lower Havel area Döllnitz/Kleiner Rhin

Main type of

land use

Grassland and agriculture (specialised crops)

Grassland and nature conser-vation (many protected areas)

Forestry

State of the

Water Bodies

Frequent and long running droughts in summer, high levels of nitrate in the ground water

Water bodies with high charges of nutrients, continuous regulation by dams, strong seasonal fluctuation of the water level

Many lakes, predominantly with good water quality; ground and sea water levels tend to decline

Call for

action

Significant increase of water detention in the landscape

Sustainable land use in flooding polder areas, renaturation of the Havel river

Preservation of the water quality, heightening of sea and ground water levels

Conflicts

All actors mentioned lack of water as one of the main problems, but had different opinions about methods and amounts of water re-tention; general regulation by dams creates conflicts between nature conserva-tion and agriculture

Regulation by dams and planned renaturation of the Havel river evoke conflicts between agriculture and nature conservation and between navigation and use of the river as a waterway

Different opinions between agriculture and forestry about the seasonal dynamics of the water level

„Lowest

common de-nominator“

no Status quo: Replacement of dams by ground sills; better coordination of water regulation by dams

Status quo: Decision of the dam regulation committee is accepted provided that compensation payments will be kept up

Status quo: No deterioration of water quality, raising up the water levels in well-wooded areas and areas with many lakes

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Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Involvement of land users and stakeholders

The results of the interviews

Provided boundardy conditions for the development of land use scenarios

Helped to develop target systems to evaluate possible develop- ments from different points of view

Page 19: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

§

Min

Max

„Maximum innova-

tion in different fields of action“

„State-of-the-Art“

„Status quo“

„Maximal improvement of

water quality“

All relevant guidelines are put

into practice according to the

legal requirements (e.g. require-

ments of „good practice in agri-

culture, legal requirements in

protected areas)

Development of Scenarios

according to the aims of WFD

All management options

together are focused one

single aim, the maximal

improvement of the water

quality

Maximum utilisation and implemen-

tation of all professional require-

ments in different fields of action

(i.e. land use, domestic water

services, hydraulic enginieering)

The current state is exten-

ded into the future, conside-

ring predictable changes

(e.g. agricultural policy)

Page 20: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Results of the Scenarios

Land use and corresponding ground water levels in the focus area „Hammerfließ“

„State-o-the-Art (B 1.1)“ „Contribution of different fields of action –

land use and resouce management (C 2.1)“

„Maximal improvement of water qualitiy (D)“

Land use:

Corresponding ground water levels:

„State-of-the-Art (B 1.1)“ „Maximal improvement of water quality (D)“ „Contribution of different fields of action –

land use and resouce management (C 2.1)“

Page 21: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Land use scenario

„State-of-the-Art“

All relevant guidelines are put into practice

according to the legal requirements (e.g.

requirement of „good practice“ in agricul-

ture, legal requirements in protected areas)

Socio-economic

situation

(losses of income for the

farmers, requirements for

compensation payment)

Water resources

(ground water recharge,

depth of ground water

tables, frequency of

inundations)

Matter imports

(concentrations of nitrate

and phoshate in surface

and ground water) Effects on

Structured interviews with

relevant stakeholders to

evaluate the scenarios in regard

to their acceptability and

feasability

Scenario

2

„State-of- the-Art“

Scenario

1

„Status quo +

Trends“

Scenario

3

„Fields of action“

Interview-guideline:

- Visualisation of

possible changes in

land use

- comparative illustra-

tions of possible

effects

e.g.

permanent grasslands on

low bogs,

ground water levels 40-60

cm in summer, close to

the ground in winter

Scenarios as an important interface within the project Here: Szenario „State-of-the-Art“

Feedback

Scenario

„Optimised water quality management“

Scenario

4

„Maximal improve- ment“

Multicriterial Evaluation

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Socio-economical effects

Loss of oncome for farmers,

requires subsidies for

compensation Acceptability for

land and water users

Water dynamics

Recharge of ground water,

runoff, retention,

possibility of inundation

Nutrient inputs

(Nitrogen, Phosphorus)

in ground and surface

water

Establishment of edge strips at

water courses

Less intensive land use

Changing arable land into grassland

Changing coniferous forests

into deciduous forests

Retention through lashers

Deconstruction of amelioration

facilities

Deconstruction of lashers

Relocation of levees

Re-connexion of bayous

Field of action

„Land use“

Development of settlement

areas and traffic areas

Regrouping of agrarian subsidies

Succession on former

military areas

Field of action

„Water resources“ External impacts

TP 11 TP 9

TP 3,

TP 4

TP 5

The integrative function of scenarios

Involvement of

stakeholders,

1st step

Data base on

the research

areas

• Natural units

• Land use

• Protected areas

• Water bodies

TP 9

TP 6

Agro-economical aspects

Ground water levels,

Flooding conditions

Land use scenarios

TP 9,

TP 11

TP 3

TP 9

Alternative options External impacts

Page 23: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Involvement of land users and stakeholders

- 2nd step -

Structured interviews, including questions

If the scenarios were understandable,

about the degree of respective concernment of the scenarios;

which positive and negative aspects were attributed to each scenario;

under which conditions one would agree to the implementation of each

scenario;

if one felt already sufficiently informed about the implementation of WFD;

if one would use a decision support system and what would be the

demands on such a system.

The interview guidelines were differentiated

• According to the different scales (focus areas – stakeholders respon-

sible for the whole river basin)

• According to the different groups of stakeholders (water management:

implementation of Art. 14 WFD?; aspects concerning domestic water

services relevant only for local authorities).

Main Target: Evaluation of the scenarions in regard to their accepta-

bility and feasability + getting hints for an optimisation

Page 24: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Results:

1. Getting hints for an optimisation of the scenarios, e.g.

concerning

- conversion of coniferous into deciduous woodland

- amount of land set-aside.

Involvement of land users and stakeholders

- 2nd step -

2. Provision for additional aspects in the scenarios, e.g.

- future segregation between intensive and extensive land use will

probably be more distinct;

- need for a new scenario that arbitrates between „State-of-the-Art“ and

„Fields of action: Maximum contribution of land use and resource

management“

3. Preparing the information received as a common base for

discussion in the focus areas

- spatial visualisation of constellations of interests and focuses of conflicts

4. Attempt to develop an optimised scenario

which will be presented to and discussed with the stakeholders at another

regional conference

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Involvement of land users and stakeholders - Combination of the results to a common discussion basis in the focus area -

boundary of the watershed

Water courses main water courses

secondary water courses

Focus for action

Pumping station

Dam

Ground sill

too wet

too dry

surface with high flood storage capacity

sometimes too wet and sometimes too dry

Water supply

Regulation of water resource

Nature conservation area

flat

profound

Low bogs

Focus area „Hammerfließ“

- Local needs for action -

Page 26: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Creating an optimised scenario

Results of hydrological modelling: (Habeck & Krysanowa, unpubl.)

Optimisation according to - Effects (on water quality)

- Acceptance

- Costs

Optimised scenario, contribution of land use:

- Extended scenario „Good practice“

- Restricted land use in flooding areas

- Area wide: Buffer zones, 10 m wide at least, on waters

- Strict implementation of aims in protected areas

Nitrogen load [kt/a] in the Havel River,

mean over a peroid of 13 years

372351 352

296

242

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Status quo Business as

usual (U)

Good practice

(G)

Maximum

contribution by

land use and

nature

conservation (M)

Best water

quality (B)

Phosphorus dload [t/a] in the Havel River,

mean over a peroid of 13 years

51

40

3330

24

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Status quo Business as

usual (U)

Good practice (G) Maximum

contribution by

land use and

nature

conservation (M)

Best water

quality (B)

33

Optimal

scenario

347

Optimal

scenario

Page 27: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Involvement of the stakeholders as an interative procedure

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Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Conclusions on stakeholder‘s involvement and

development of scenarios within the

implementation process of WFD

The superior provisions from WFD are not at disposal,

but within this frame margins for implementation

can be identified systematically

Deficits in communication among the stakeholders

and different perceptions often are important reasons

for problems of water and land use management

Land use scenarios can provide a comprehensible

way to demonstrate spatially relevant effects of WFD

and to create a common basis for discussion.

Page 29: Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ·  · 2014-07-29Top-down versus bottom-up: Scenario-building and stakeholder‘s ... - A case study from the Havel

Chair for Landscape

Planning

Potsdam University

Prof. Dr. Beate Jessel

Thank you!