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Media update Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016

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Page 1: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

Media update

Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella

July 19, 2016

Page 2: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Higher volumes although revenue lower due to adverse currencies

EBIT up 9 percent at €491 million, reflecting continuous improvement initiatives and lower costs

Return on sales and return on investments improved overall and for all Business Areas

We achieved significant progress in our key focus areas – sustainability, innovation and Human Cities

Continued volume growth and further profitability improvement

Media update second quarter 2016 2

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Highlights from a profitable quarter

EBIT – up 9%

Volumes – up 1%

ROS – up to 13.2%

(2015 11.4%)

ROI – up to 15.1%

(2015 12.2%)

Decorative Paints

• Higher volumes and profitability

Performance Coatings

• Volumes increased in all reporting units

Specialty Chemicals

• EBIT up 10 percent while volumes flat

Page 4: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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of the Topic Icons % based on 2015 revenue Media update second quarter 2016 4

Consumer Goods

New build projects

Maintenance, renovation and repair

Building products and components

Automotive OEM,

parts and assembly

Automotive repair

Marine and air transport

Consumer durables

Consumer packaged goods

Natural resource and energy industries

Process industries

18%

Industrial

Building and Infrastructure

22%

43% 17%

Transportation

Outlook

Market environment

remains uncertain

Challenging

conditions in several

countries and

segments

Deflationary

pressures and

currency headwinds

are expected to

continue

Page 5: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Media update second quarter 2016 5

Maëlys Castella – CFO

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Profitability up, reflecting continuous improvement initiatives and lower costs

€ million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ%

Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6)

Operating income 486 491 1

EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental items) 452 491 9

Ratio, % Q2 2015 Q2 2016

ROS* 11.4 13.2

Moving average ROI* 12.2 15.1

Revenue development Q2 2016 vs. Q2 2015

6

5

2

1

Increase

Decrease

Volume Price/mix Acquisitions/divestments Exchange rates Total

0

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12

months average invested capital

Page 7: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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of the Topic Icons = 7 Media update second quarter 2016

Decorative Paints Q2 2016: Higher volumes and profitability

Decrease

Increase

Volumes were up in Asia,

continued to be down in

Latin America and were

slightly lower in Europe

Revenue down due to

unfavorable currency

effects

EBIT and operating

income up, mainly due to

higher volumes and lower

costs, partly offset by

adverse currency effects

€ million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ%

Revenue 1,134 1,055 (7)

Operating income 128 131 2

EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental items) 128 131 2

Ratio, % Q2 2015 Q2 2016

ROS* 11.3 12.4

Moving average ROI* 10.4 12.3

Revenue development Q2 2016 vs. Q2 2015

7

7

Volume Price/mix Acq/div Exchange rates Total

0 1 1

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12

months average invested capital

Page 8: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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of the Topic Icons 8 Media update second quarter 2016

Performance Coatings Q2 2016: Volumes increased in all reporting units

Increase

Decrease

Volumes were up with

positive developments in

all reporting units

Revenue down due to

adverse currencies

EBIT and operating

income up due to higher

volumes, continuous

improvement initiatives

and lower costs

€ million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ%

Revenue 1,550 1,473 (5)

Operating income 220 222 1

EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental items)

220 222 1

Ratio, % Q2 2015 Q2 2016

ROS* 14.2 15.1

Moving average return ROI* 23.9 31.0

Revenue development Q2 2016 vs. Q2 2015

5

5

2 2 0

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12

months average invested capital

Volume Price/mix Acq/div Exchange rates Total

Page 9: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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of the Topic Icons 9 Media update second quarter 2016

Specialty Chemicals Q2 2016: EBIT up 10 percent while volumes flat

Volumes were flat with

positive developments in

some segments offset by

lower demand in oil related

segments

Revenue down mainly due to

adverse currency effects,

divestments and price

deflation in several segments

EBIT up due to operational

efficiencies. The divestment

of Paper Chemicals resulted

in €30 million profit in

operating income (Q2 2015)

Decrease

Increase

€ million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ%

Revenue 1,290 1,206 (7)

Operating income 192 179 (7)

EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental items)

162 179 10

Ratio, % Q2 2015 Q2 2016

ROS* 12.6 14.8

Moving average ROI* 16.1 17.1

Revenue development Q2 2016 vs. Q2 2015

Volume Price/mix Acq/div Exchange rates Total

7

0

3

3

1

*ROS% = EBIT/revenue. Moving average ROI (in %) = 12 months EBIT/12

months average invested capital

Page 10: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Media update second quarter 2016 10

Ton Büchner – CEO

Page 11: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

11 Media update second quarter 2016

Essential

color

Essential

ingredients

Essential

protection

WE CREATE EVERYDAY ESSENTIALS TO MAKE PEOPLE’S LIVES MORE LIVEABLE AND INSPIRING

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12 Media update second quarter 2016

Continued progress in sustainability and innovation

Specialty Chemicals

Corks made with Expancel help keep

your wine perfect

Decorative Paints

We brought new digital innovations to

our customers

Performance Coatings

Reducing costs and improving

sustainability for automotive customers

Page 13: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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13 Media update second quarter 2016

Continued progress in sustainability and innovation

We formed a partnership to develop

sustainable cellulose products from

sugar beet processing

We were ranked best in our industry

in the FTSE4GOOD index of

sustainable companies

We opened a new state-of-the-art

technology center to serve our

customers in China

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14 Media update second quarter 2016

Human Cities making an impact

Our color and coatings expertise will play

a major role in restoring the historic old

town of Jakarta

Kids can learn about sustainability

at an off-grid classroom set up by our

US employees

Unexpected Courts bringing inspiration

to cities by creating sporting areas in

surprising places

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Media update second quarter 2016 15

We successfully grew profitability despite currency headwinds

Volumes were up overall, driven by Decorative Paints and Performance Coatings

Revenue down 6 percent, strongly adversely affected by currencies

EBIT up 9 percent, reflecting continuous improvement initiatives and lower costs

ROS* and ROI* improved and for all Business Areas

We achieved significant progress in our key focus areas – sustainability, innovation and Human Cities

The market environment remains uncertain with challenging conditions in several countries and

segments. Deflationary pressures and currency headwinds are expected to continue

Continued volume growth and further profitability improvement

Page 16: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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16 Media update second quarter 2016

Questions

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Media update second quarter 2016 17

Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains statements which address such key issues as

AkzoNobel’s growth strategy, future financial results, market positions, product development, products in

the pipeline, and product approvals. Such statements should be carefully considered, and it should be

understood that many factors could cause forecasted and actual results to differ from these statements.

These factors include, but are not limited to, price fluctuations, currency fluctuations, developments in raw

material and personnel costs, pensions, physical and environmental risks, legal issues, and legislative,

fiscal, and other regulatory measures. Stated competitive positions are based on management estimates

supported by information provided by specialized external agencies. For a more comprehensive discussion

of the risk factors affecting our business please see our latest Annual Report, a copy of which can be found

on the company’s corporate website www.akzonobel.com.

Page 18: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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18 Media update second quarter 2016

Appendix

Page 19: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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19 Media update second quarter 2016

Vision confirmed; financial guidance 2016-2018

ROS = EBIT/revenue ROI = 12 months EBIT/average 12 months invested capital

Guidance 2016-2018:

Return on sales: 9-11%

Return on investment: 13-16.5%

Clear aim to build on the foundation we have created and grow in line with, or faster than, our relevant market segments

Vision: Leading market positions delivering leading performance

Key assumptions:

Currencies versus €: $1.1, £0.71, ¥7.1

Oil price ~$60/bbl; no significant market disruption

Page 20: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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AkzoNobel 2015 at a glance

Page 21: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI)*

Figures below 50 indicate pessimism

Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI)*

June 2016

Q2 shows some recovery in Europe, but recent events may change this

40

50

60

Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16

US

Eurozone

ChinaBrazil

Japan France China

US Russia

India

Indonesia

Netherlands

UK

Vietnam

Sweden

Germany

40

50

60

Operational review

*Bubble size=manufacturing output, 2016e (US$bn: 2010 prices) Sources: Oxford Economics, Caixin (China), Markit (incl. US) Investor update 21

Page 22: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Investor update Operational review

Consumer confidence high in Asia and US, while lower in Europe and Latin America

Consumer confidence, Q1 2016

Figures below 100 indicate some degree of pessimism

Recent trends compared

to Q4 2015

134 117 110 109 105 97 97 96 85 82 82 75 74 64 63

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

India Indonesia US Vietnam China UK Germany Turkey Netherlands Poland Belgium SouthAfrica

Brazil France Russia

22

Page 23: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Too early to determine future impact as a result of the recent UK referendum

UK presence

Potential impact on Europe

UK pension liabilities

Page 24: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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9%

22%

15%

4%

23%

9%

7% 1%

10%

Breakdown of total raw material spend

2015

* Other raw materials include cardolite, hylar etc.

** Chemicals and intermediates include caustic soda, acetic acid, tallow, ethylene,

ethylene oxide, sulfur, amines etc.

Other raw materials*

Titanium

dioxide

Coatings

specialties

Resins

Pigments

Additives

Solvents

Chemicals and

intermediates**

Packaging

24 Media update second quarter 2016

Page 25: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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The net impact of a sustained lower oil price

25

Inventories

GDP

Fre

igh

t an

d lo

gis

tics

F

reig

ht a

nd

log

istic

s

Sales Raw materials Production

Media update second quarter 2016

Page 26: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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Downstream oil related products have clearly different dynamics

26

Monomers,

Precursors, etc.

Feedstocks Base (petro)chemicals

Intermediates and more complex molecules

Methanol

Ethylene

Ethanol

Propylene

Benzene

Xylenes

Etc.

Intermediates More complex

molecules

Monomers & Latex

Resins

Packaging

Additives

Solvents

Crude Oil

(Shale) Gas

Coal

Bio based

Renewables

Media update second quarter 2016

Page 27: Ton Büchner and Maëlys Castella July 19, 2016… · € million Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Δ% Revenue 3,949 3,711 (6) Operating income 486 491 1 EBIT (Operating income excluding incidental

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