tomorrow's mortgage executive magazine (september 2013 issue)

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September 2013 The Place For Visionaries and Thought Leaders TOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVE TOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVE ALSO INSIDE: The State of Our Economy Compliance Concerns New Document Demands + Much More Distributed by PROGRESS in Lending Association & NexLevel Advisors COLOR COMMENTARY Phil Hall

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Perino and Walzak stress that the industry needs leaders to navigate the influx of change. QuestSoft shares the latest data on what regulatory rules concern lenders the most these days. DocuTech warns that the new regs hitting our industry will place a stronger emphasis on documentation. Carrington Mortgage Services says that rising interest rates are not necessarily a bad thing.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

September 2013

The Place For V is ionaries and Thought Leaders

TOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVETOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVE

ALSO INSIDE:The State of Our Economy

Compliance ConcernsNew Document Demands

+ Much More

Distributed by PROGRESS in Lending Association & NexLevel Advisors

COLOR COMMENTARYPhil Hall

Page 2: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 3: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

On The Cover

49 Color CommentaryVeteran financial services journalist Phil Hall has joined the PROGRESS in Lending team and he isn’t

holding back in sharing his views.

Inside Track17 Process Improvement

Tony Garritano notes that with the regulatory burden increasing, more and more lenders are running scared.

21 Future TrendsRoger Gudobba believes that divergent thinking may

be just the thing needed to thrive in today’s mortgage market.

25 Business StrategiesMichael Hammond says there are solid strategies

that will enable you to get more business out of LinkedIn..

Market Vision 05 Editor’s Note

This section discusses how the falling delinquency rate equals industry recovery.

07 Recovery Tips George Yacik details that most

homeowners are still underwater on their mortgage.

11 Your VoiceCapsilon talks about how it’s important

to support your local trade association.

September 2013

TOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVE

Phil Hall

Page 4: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

CONTENTSFeatures29 Successful Leadership

Perino and Walzak stress that the industry needs leaders to navigate the influx of change.

35 Compliance ConcernsQuestSoft shares the latest data on what

regulatory rules concern lenders the most these days.

43 Document EverythingDocuTech warns that the new regs hitting

our industry will place a stronger emphasis on documentation.

55 Rising RatesCarrington Mortgage Services says that

rising interest rates are not necessarily a bad thing.

In The Trenches15 Market Pulse

A survey conducted by origination vendor Ellie Mae compares this summer to the summer of last year.

EXECUTIVE TEAMTony Garritano

Founder and ChairmanRoger Gudobba

Chief Executive OfficerMichael Hammond

Chief Strategy OfficerKelly Purcell

Chief information OfficerGabe Minton

Chief Technology OfficerSteven Horne

Chief Operating OfficerMolly Dowdy

Chief Marketing Officer

Tony GarritanoEditor

Roger GudobbaExecutive Editor

Michael HammondSenior Editor

Janice CordnerCreative DirectorMiguel Romero

Photo Art Director

Contributors:(in alphabetical order)

Ray Brousseau Eric Kujala

Barbara PerinoLeonard Ryan

Scott K. StuckyRebecca Walzak

George Yacik

This magazine is distributed by:

CONTENTSSeptember 2013

TOMORROW’S MORTGAGE EXECUTIVE

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive magazine is a monthly publication distributed online at www.progressinlending.com. The mission of the publication is to provide one place where people who believe technology strategies can solve pressing mortgage problems can express their ideas. The magazine was designed to be a vehicle to create conversations that will move the mortgage industry forward. As such, the information found in this publication is all about thought leadership and should not be interpreted as recommendations coming from the publisher. We are here to give our contributors a voice. All materials found in this magazine are not guaranteed for accuracy and the publisher is not liable for any damages, losses or other detriment that may result from the use of these ideas. © 2012 Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive. All rights reserved.

Our Lender Board

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive3

Page 5: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 6: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Are We Out Of The Woods?

Remember the record number of foreclosures that we as an industry have dealt with not too long ago? Well, how are we doing these days you might ask? Pretty well actually. According to the latest Equifax’ Na-

tional Consumer Credit Trends Report, the total balance of severely delinquent fi rst mortgages (90 days past due or in foreclosure) in June 2013 is $325 bil-lion, a fi ve-year low and a decrease of more than 27% from same time a year ago ($450 billion).

The total balance of fi rst-mortgage loans that completed the foreclosure pro-cess and transitioned to bank-owned property or other severe derogatory status decreased more than 19%, from $16.7 billion in June 2012 to $13.5 billion in June 2013. This is the lowest level for June since 2007.

“Rising home values are reducing the incentives for homeowners to default on their mortgage loans, resulting in more and more homeowners transitioning into positive or near-positive equity territory,” said Equifax Chief Economist Amy Crews Cutts. “The implications of this trend are that more homeowners will be able to sell their homes without the hassles of negotiating a short sale or move to take a new job without worrying how they can afford to pay for two homes. The healing in the housing market is really gaining momentum and will fuel a stronger pace of economic recovery.”

The report also concluded that:>> Of total severely delinquent fi rst mortgage balances, loans opened 2010

and later represent only 7% ($21.7 billion).>> The total balance of fi rst mortgages in foreclosure in June 2013 is $105

billion, a fi ve-year low and a decrease of 38% from same time a year ago.>> In June 2013, the total balance of severely delinquent home equity re-

volving loans (including foreclosures) is $8.8 billion, a fi ve-year low and a year-over-year decrease of more than 31%.

>> In that same time, the total balance of severely delinquent home equity installment loans (including foreclosures) is $4.3 billion, a fi ve-year low and a year-over-year decrease of more than 28%.

Good news all around. ❖

EDITOR’S NOTES

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive5

Page 7: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 8: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Recovery Tips

The Federal Reserve released the most recent version of its great quarterly data report, Financial Accounts of the United

States, formerly (and better known) as the Flow of Funds report. News articles about the release led with the good news that U.S. household net worth rose to a record $70.3 trillion at the end of the fi rst quarter, above the previous peak of $68.1 trillion in the third quarter of 2007.

On the surface, which is what the media re-ported, the report implies that Americans have now recovered every dollar that they lost during the Great Recession.

Of course, what many news stories left out is that most of that recovery is due to the increase in the value of fi nancial assets, mainly stocks, which we know have made a full recovery since cratering in 2009. Certainly nothing wrong with that.

Left unsaid in many of the reports I read was that homeowner equity – the value of homes minus residential mortgage debt – while on the rise, is still more than $4 trillion below the pre-bubble peak of more than $13 trillion in 2005.

The amount of home equity owned by U.S. homeowners totaled $9.1 trillion at the end of the fi rst quarter. While that’s up sharply from the recent low of $6.3 trillion in the fi rst quarter

of 2009, it’s still more than 30% below the 2005 peak, when a lot of today’s homeowners bought their homes.

We also need to keep in mind that more than a third of homeowner equity, or $3.3 trillion, is owned by people 62 years and older, accord-ing to the National Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association. Those people are not known for going out and getting mortgages, except for the tiny fraction that are interested in getting a reverse mortgage.

If we subtract that $3.3 trillion out of the $9.1 trillion total, that leaves less than $6 trillion owned by everyone else.

Further, according to the Fed, homeowner equity as percentage of household real estate – the amount of the house the homeowner owns compared to what the lender owns – was less than 50% in the fi rst quarter. While that fi gure is up nearly ten percentage points since 2009, it’s well below the nearly 60% fi gure as recently as 2005.

What these still-depressing fi gures all mean is that, despite all the positive housing statistics we’ve seen over the past few months, many homeowners are still deeply underwater and still have a long wait ahead of them before they can hope to sell their homes and at least break-even or refi nance if they can’t qualify for a HARP loan. This will keep the nascent hous-ing recovery operating at just slightly above stall speed, especially now that interest rates are starting to rise, making it even more diffi cult for people to qualify for mortgages.

“More than 10 million owners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth,” notes the recently released Harvard Research Center report, The State of the Nation’s Hous-ing 2013, subtitled “A Housing Recovery, But Not for All Americans.”

“Since 2009, HARP has helped some 2.2

Let’s Keep PerspectiveLeft unsaid in many of the reports I read was that homeowner equity while on the rise, is still more than $4 trillion below the pre-bubble peak.

By George Yacik

Despite all the positive housing statistics we’ve seen over the past few months, many homeowners are still deeply underwater.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive7

Page 9: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 10: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

George Yacik has been a fi nancial writer for more than 30 years. After working 12 years at The Bond Buyer and American Banker as a reporter and editor, he joined SMR Research Corp. as a vice president, where he was the lead research analyst and project leader for SMR’s studies on residential mortgages and home equity lending. Since 2008 he has been writing for a variety of mortgage-related and fi nancial publications.

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million low-equity and underwater borrowers with Fannie Mae- and Freddie Mac-backed mortgages take advantage of today’s low interest rates, but millions more borrowers with non-govern ment backed loans have had no such opportu-nity,” the report says. “More generally, both market and regulatory uncertainties surrounding the mortgage lending business have kept credit standards tight and prevented a more robust housing market recovery.”

In an otherwise positive report on rising homeowner equity, CoreLogic recently said that more than 21% of residential properties with a mortgage were still in a negative equity position at the end of the fourth quar-ter of 2012. Moreover, of the 38.1 million residential properties that actually have positive equity, 11.3 million, or nearly 30% of them, have less than 20% equity. Those people “may have a more diffi cult time obtaining new fi nancing for their homes due to underwriting con-straints,” CoreLogic notes with some understatement.

I don’t bring this stuff up because I’m one of those people who always view the glass as less than half full. But we need to keep in mind that we – lend-ers and borrowers alike, with lots of help from the

government – dug ourselves a gigantic hole during the bubble years, and we still have a long way to go before we can say we’re fi nally out of it.

More generally, both market and regulatory uncertainties surrounding the mortgage lending business have kept

credit standards tight.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive9

Page 11: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 12: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Your Voice

The lending industry has changed more in the last fi ve years than it has in the last seventy years. Soon the full weight

of the Dodd-Frank Act will be barring down on all of us. Thankfully we have a great nonprofi t industry group out there providing guidance on compliance and best practices for the lending community. Since 1921 The Michigan Mort-gage Lenders Association has been the fabric of our state’s most reputable industry leaders. So it should be no surprise that at this time in our history we have more members than at any time in our history.

The value these organizations bring to the local community is valuable even though you may have never heard of them. I personally have been involved with the Michigan Mortgage Lenders Association (MMLA) for about three years now and have been blown away by the

incredible resource this organization is. Despite all of the wild swings in the lending industry, the value received and provided by our organization has been tremendous.

From a legislative perspective The MMLA keeps us informed of what is going on at the state and federal level. The MMLA legislative committee recently organized a successful legislative day at our state capital, targeted around some important changes for our industry and was able have some positive infl uence on several important issues. Our MMLA President Allison Meyers, Brent Green, Murray Brown also testifi ed in front of the House Financial Services Committee. Many of the association members were able to talk directly with some infl uential Government offi cials and representatives to clearly articulate the Lending community’s position.

The educational opportunities that are offered by the MMLA are invaluable. Especially when trying to comply with Loan Offi cer licensing, continuing education, and overall requirements needed to be a successful, compliant and informed lender. There are also many sales, marketing and industry experts brought in from all over the country that provide valuable information.

Local communities benefi t as well, as local associations often times will hold social events and conferences that help the local economy. Granted it’s not like bringing in the Superbowl, but there are a lot of local businesses that gets direct benefi ts by hosting or providing services for these events. The MMLA’s annual conference is a three-day event, typically held at a convention center in Northern Michigan that brings in over three hundred people to a city, occupying hotel rooms, catering from local eateries, hiring entertainment, and even partaking in some nightlife. All of which feed local economies with participation.

Above and beyond the items above, in my opinion, the most important part is that active members share a common goal, in that we all want advancement of the industry in a

Make A Di� erenceIf you are an active member in your local Mortgage Lending Association, good for you. If not, maybe it’s time to get involved.

By Eric Kujala

These organizations are fi ghting for you as a Loan O� cer, a processor, a CEO, an Operations Manager, and a business owner.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive11

Page 13: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 14: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

responsible and ethical manner. The connections, friendships, and exposure become invaluable. Being a relatively new member, I often fi nd myself talking to many “seasoned veterans” of the industry. The

knowledge and experience I receive from them is invaluable. Coincidentally as well, I have heard many of those seasoned vets say the same thing about talking with us. There is a new perception, a new kindled fi re with all of these changes that allows us to all learn from each other.

If you are an active member in your local Mortgage Lending Association, good for you. If not, maybe it’s time to get involved. These organizations are fi ghting for you as a Loan Offi cer, a processor,

a CEO, an Operations Manager, and a business owner. They are fi ghting via legislative infl uence, joining forces with the National MBA to fi ght on the Federal level, fi ghting to create venues to

pass along important educational resources, and most importantly providing an environment to collaborate with colleagues in these turbulent times. Get involved, stay involved, and reap the rewards.

The MMLA’s membership is up 22% from last year, and this year’s annual conference is targeted to be one of the largest in several years. These things would not be achievable if we did not have a strong level of activity and support from the Board members themselves. Be part of the solution. ❖

Eric Kujala is Enterprise Sales Manager at Capsilon. Since 2004, Capsilon has helped lenders and other mortgage companies replace paper with electronic loan folders and paper-based processes with secure online collaboration. The company’s product, DocVelocity, is a cloud-based imaging solution enabling document capture, collaboration, loan delivery and retention.

Your

Voi

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In my opinion, the most important part is that active members share a common goal, in that

we all want advancement of the industry in a responsible and ethical manner.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive13

Page 15: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 16: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

MARKET PULSE

How Are Rising Rates Impacting The Market?

There’s been a lot of talk that rising interest rates are going to slow refi nance activity, but is that really what’s happening? Some say that we’re in for a prolonged purchase market starting next year. Is that an accurate assumption? New data from Ellie Mae sheds some light on these predictions.

According to the latest Ellie Mae Origination Insight Report, “in June, the mix of refi nance-to-purchase loans continued to rebalance as higher rates made refi nancing less attractive and the prospect of higher home prices and potentially higher interest rates may have brought more buyers to the closing table,” said Jonathan Corr, president and chief operating offi cer of Ellie Mae. “Closed purchase loans accounted for 49% of the volume in June 2013, the highest level since we began tracking in August 2011.

The Ellie Mae Origination Insight Report provides monthly data and insights from a sampling of closed loan applications that fl ow through Ellie Mae’s Encompass360 mortgage management software and Ellie Mae Network. The characteristics of closed and denied loans presented in this report are averages.

In 2012, the total volume of mortgages that ran through Ellie Mae’s Encompass360 mortgage management software was ap-proximately three million loan applications, or 20% of all U.S. mortgage originations.

The Origination Insight Report mines its application data from a sampling of ap-proximately 44% of all mortgage applica-tions that were initiated on the Encompass origination platform. Given the size of this sample and Ellie Mae’s market share, the company believes the Origination Insight Report is a strong proxy of the underwriting standards that are being employed by lend-ers across the country.

What other fi ndings could be seen in the latest report? “The average interest rate on a 30-year loan rose to 3.918% in June 2013, the highest point since June 2012 when it was 3.992%,” Corr noted. “The transition from a refi nance to a purchase market may also be why we saw a growth in adjustable rate mortgages in June 2013, hitting 4% for the fi rst time since May 2012. This may be a sign that some buyers are trying to stretch their budget as both home prices and inter-est rates tick up.”

Finally, Corr noted, “HARP-related refi -nancing activity continued to cool with con-ventional refi nances at 95%-plus LTV drop-ping from 9.40% in May 2013 to 8.00% in June 2013.” ❖

Mortgages: A Tale of Two Summers

June 2012vs.

June 2013

©2013 Ellie Mae, Inc. Ellie Mae®, Encompass®, Encompass360® (and the Ellie Mae logo) are registered trademarks of Ellie Mae, Inc.

LTV

80%STAYED STEADY YEAR OVER YEAR AT

ON AVERAGE

Credit EasingIn June 2012, 71.47 percent of mortgages had an average FICO score of more than 700, compared to only 52.28 percent in June 2013.

REFI vs. PURCHASE LOANS

REFI 54%PUR 46%

REFI 51%PUR 49%

Refis are slowing while new purchases are increasing

2012 2013

Rate averages decreased by .074

30-YEAR RATES

80%OVER YEAR AT

Credit EasingYEARS 2012 2013

3.992 3.918

MORE DIVERSE FICO DISTRIBUTION

FICO UNDER 700 FICO OVER 700

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

JUNE 2012 JUNE 2013

June 2012 June 2013

700-749(25.67%)

750+(26.61%)

UNDER 620(2.50%)

UNDER 620(2.04%)

621-659(8.15%)

660-699(29.80%)

621-659(15.41%)

660-699(18.34%)

700-749(29.00%)

750+(42.48%)

47.72 percent of mortgages from June 2013 had an average FICO score under 700, compared to only 28.53 percent from June 2012.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive15

Page 17: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 18: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Process Improvement

I know that times are tough. Things are getting harder. But are you going to quit? This may sound like an intervention, and I guess in a

lot of ways it is. Complying with new regulation doesn’t have to be hard if you have the right tech-nology partners.

If you think about it, the loan origination sys-tem (LOS), as the system of record, should be just as stressed as lenders are, but instead these LOS vendors are working tirelessly to ensure that their lender clients are in compliance. Teresa Blake, Practice Director, Lending Solutions, at Wipro Gallagher Solutions, which provides end-to-end lending solutions to financial institutions, is fully aware of the pressure that lenders are feeling these days.

“The biggest challenge that I see our lender cli-ents facing is that they are trying to manage all of the compliance and regulatory change, while also wanting to do all of the innovative, strategic work that might really change or propel their business,” Blake points out. “When I look at the amount of hours involved in any one of these regulatory projects, and then you stack up on top of that all the stuff that lenders want to be doing, I think it’s just a continued challenge for lenders to prioritize what comes first.”

“In my view, the biggest challenge that lenders face is automation,” noted Steve Wiser, CEO and founder of Specialized Business Software (SBS), a provider of custom software solutions for insur-ance, mortgage and financial services companies. “Here’s what I mean: You really have to automate these rules, otherwise it’s going to be impossible to maintain compliance if everything is done manually. You need to make sure that the rules are in place, that the borrowers are being treated con-sistently across the board, and that you have audit trails that are keeping track of the fact that all the rules are being followed. Beyond that, if you don’t have that infrastructure in place, you’re going to have a lot more pain. If you have the infrastructure in place, the next thing is to make sure you can modify it easy enough that you can comply with

the different rules as they come.”To this end, SBS has implemented a four-step

discovery process to enable Property and Casualty agencies and carriers to use customized software to boost profitability and eliminate errors and redundancy. SBS’ discovery process focuses on producing a strategic plan that reduces the time it takes to develop the software, implement the sys-tem and train employees in its use, while keeping insurers and agencies involved and in control of the development process.

Any time technology can come into play to reduce errors, it’s going to save lenders money and keep them compliant. At the same time, Alice Sorenson, Chief Investment Officer of LRES, a

national provider of commercial and residential valuations and asset management for the mort-gage, banking, credit union and real estate indus-tries, notes that “the biggest challenge coming from the new regulatory burden is that not only do lenders have to understand and be prepared, and have the systems and audit trails, but they have to be able to generate a profit, as well. How do you do all of this and still generate a profit? It’s very cost intensive and it’s expensive. It’s going to take some very unique thinking to be able to adapt to all these regulations and still maintain margins that make sense to keep lenders in the business.”

But there is hope. Sorenson advises that, “there are a lot of things a lender can do to contend with what we’re up against in regards to compliance. The first and most important thing, I think, is to

There Is HelpWith the regulatory burden increasing, more and more lenders are running scared. I’m here to say it doesn’t have to be that way.

By Tony Garritano

The biggest challenge that I see our lender clients facing is that they are trying to manage all of the compliance and regulatory change.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive17

Page 19: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 20: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

recognize how important it is to maintain compli-ance, and at the same time, to understand that these new rules are here to stay.

“The best solution I see for this situation is for lenders to put together a compliance team headed by a legitimate compliance officer. That involves a lot of infrastructure, it involves a lot of cost and a lot of companies aren’t able to handle that. If they can’t take on that cost, than the next best solution would be to outsource that function. Regardless of what path the lender chooses, they want to make sure that they get the specialist, the experts, the people most knowledgeable in the area of regulatory compliance because this is here to stay. It’s not going away and it’s creating a huge arena of risk that needs to be managed,” concludes Sorenson.

And compliance can take a variety of forms. Joe Ludlow, VP of Advantage Systems, a provider of accounting and financial management tools for the mortgage industry, says, “From our perspective, a big part of compliance is compensation. What I’m really talking about is commissions for loan officers. As we have already seen, the CFPB is coming down pretty hard on firms that are not compensating loan officers according to Dodd-Frank. It’s very important that you be able to survive a compliance audit with regard to compensa-tion. It’s very hard to do that if your system for compensating loan officers is inadequate — spreadsheets just aren’t going to cut it.

“You need a sys-tem, or a procedure, that allows an auditor to review compensa-tion over time, per-haps even looking at a whole year’s worth of compensation for a loan officer, and at the same time, make sure that what your system produces matches up to what you actually paid them,” Ludlow continued. “As you know, Dodd-Frank really changed the way we pay loan officers and that’s a big part of how loans end up getting priced.”

Advantage Systems’ Commission Calculation Module assists lenders with simplifying adherence to pending loan officer compensation rules. The Commission Calculation Module of the Accounting

for Mortgage Bankers (AMB) accounting system enables lenders to automate the calculation of com-missions and bonuses in both retail and wholesale environments. This is especially important as lend-ers adjust to interpretations of the Federal Reserve Board’s loan officer compensation guidelines. Through the tool, lenders have the flexibility to de-fine how these amounts are calculated based on their own business rules.

The point is that vendors are just as aware of the new rules as lenders are and they are getting ready themselves. “We actually started working on build-ing requirements for all of the regulatory change be-fore the rules are even final,” said Blake. “We really try to dissect the rules, and interpret the intent while

we wait for the final ruling. We are always in the process of writing requirements and starting development work so that as the rules are final-ized, we leverage our change control processes to bring any new or refined elements live. Also, we socialize with our lender partners before the rules are even final or given a time line.”

Wiser agrees that vendors have to be proactive in order to ensure the success of their lender clients. “Our lender clients are coming to us with

the upcoming rules that they want to adhere to and a lot of them actually have different methods of ap-proaching them, but our goal is to make sure that the software is ready to go,” he added.

The bottom line, according to Wiser is, “The one thing that we know for sure is that new rules come out every year, rules are changed every year, and you need to make sure that your system is working with you to handle these changes.” ❖

Proc

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Impr

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ent

Tony Garritano is Chairman and Founder of PROGRESS in Lending. As a speaker Tony has worked hard to inform executives about how technology should be a tool used to further business objectives. For over 10 years he has worked as a journalist, researcher and speaker. He can be reached via e-mail at [email protected].

The best solution I see for this situation is for lenders to put together a compliance team headed by a legitimate compliance officer.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive19

Page 21: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 22: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Future Trends

Thinking skills are the intellectual skills such as the skills of memorizing and recalling facts and information, clarify-

ing, making analysis, generating ideas, making decisions, problem solving, and planning. Last month’s article on “Brainstorming and Creative Thinking” addressed the methodology devel-oped by IDEO and the process for creative thinking, sometimes referred to as divergent thinking. The opposite of divergent thinking would be convergent thinking. Are you con-fused yet? I understand that this all may sound a bit complicated, but in actuality it is fairly simple. You also may be wondering how this relates to the mortgage industry. I promise, I’m getting there. Let’s define these terms a little better first.

Divergent thinking is considered “thinking outside the box” where the imagination runs wild and the possibilities are endless. It starts with a task or problem and considers all the ways you can accomplish that task without thinking in specifics. Instead of a single correct answer, there may be a whole host of new per-spectives and possibilities. An idea is followed in several directions to lead to one or more new ideas, which in turn leads to still more ideas. It involves having a different idea that works as well or better than previous ideas. Brainstorm-ing is a structured form of divergent thinking.

To provide an example that hits close to home, let’s think about rising interest rates and how that impacts lenders. When rates rise, pur-chase business, as opposed to refinance busi-ness, also rises. So, today lenders are focused on creating a more meaningful relationship with new borrowers to get their share of that new purchase business. A divergent thinker might create a marketing strategy that includes a Twitter account as a way to reach more bor-rowers where they live in a social setting. Us-ing social media to chat with borrowers about topics like the weather or politics won’t result

in an immediate mortgage, but it will familiar-ize the lender with a swath of borrowers that they might not meet otherwise. Who would have thought that you can bring in business by talking to random people on Twitter about everyday topics? In actuality, you can do just

that if you’re a divergent thinker.Convergent thinking is considered “thinking

inside the box” where we focus on a common task or solution. You gather facts and informa-tion, analyze, filter, judge, select and eliminate ideas to find the best ones to use in relation to the task at hand. This is an attempt to bring thoughts from different directions into a union or common conclusion.

To go back to my prior example in which we pondered how the divergent thinker might get more purchase business through the creative use of Twitter, the convergent thinker might take a different path. The convergent thinker will analyze the company’s point-of-sale, evaluate prominent point-of-sale technology vendors and select a new frontend system that gives that lender a more user-friendly website to make it more desirable for new borrowers to transact with the lender online.

Both forms of thinking can be positive. That positive impact can be made even greater when thinkers collaborate. Collaborative thinking flows in one of two distinct directions: 1) it can diverge outward, in a broad, multidirectional, expansive exploration of ideas; or 2) it can con-

Divergent versus Convergent Thinking How do you think? The answer to this question may very well determine your future success in the mortgage business.

By Roger Gudobba

Thinking outside the box: Divergent thinking allows us to use our imagination to explore all sorts of new possibilities.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive21

Page 23: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 24: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

verge inward, narrowing focus in an effort to judge, select and eliminate ideas. The two styles of thinking are very powerful when used sequentially. However, if they take place simultaneously they will quickly become an obstacle to success.

At first glance, divergent thinking might seem to be more creative than convergent think-ing, but both are essential. Each of the two thinking processes has an important role to play. Maybe the best way in which convergent thinking may be combined with divergent thinking is to engage in divergent thinking in order to generate many novel ideas, and then to evaluate these ideas by using convergent thinking. An understanding of both of these types of collaborative thinking will have a pro-found impact on your ultimate success.

Now, let’s explore this in the world of the software community. In actuality, most people don’t consider the thought process when developing software applications.

Convergent thinking is our normal state. When developers design software solutions they use con-vergent thinking almost exclusively. They tend to be analytical and judgmental in their thinking process. They have a tendency to focus on the choices that they wish to implement and ignore or reject evidence that conflicts with those choices.

On the other hand, divergent thinking would allow the development group to generate as many ideas as possible in a very short timeframe. In this environ-ment, all parties are encouraged to search for a high quantity of ideas, and are not just looking for quality ideas. Anything and everything is possible. There really is no such thing as a bad idea. During this process, all judgment is suspended and no criticism is allowed. Yet many consider this a waste of time and effort. In an article, John Paul Mueller stated, “In short, divergent thinking is a necessary part of software design, which many companies avoid today to their detriment. The best way to look at this pro-

cess is that you diverge from the task to explore all possible ways to accomplish it and then, after care-ful consideration, converge in a set of solutions that yield the finished application.”

The typical software development has 5 phases. (1) The initiative starts with the definition of require-

ments for the project. It may be a new product or an upgrade to an existing solution. (2) The design phase sets the specific tasks for the project. (3) The devel-opment phase is where the actual coding is com-pleted. In some cases, the developer may have little input or control over the specifications and design as the project may already be defined. (4) The testing phase or debugging phase may uncover some defi-ciencies and necessitate some modifications to the requirements. Going back to Phase 1 could involve significant changes and rework resulting in missed deadlines and a solution does not meet the intended goal or outcome. (5) The implementation phase is the final phase.

Recently the concept of sprints has evolved where you break the design down into smaller parts and independently perform Phases 2 through 4 on each sprint. This is more manageable and a requirement change in an individual sprint may not impact the other sprints.

In the example of software development, diver-gent thinking will have the greatest impact in Phase 1. Before defining requirements you identify the need. With a cross section of roles, responsibilities and expertise, the brainstorming session will uncover a number of possibilities. As the group converges on a solution you will be able to visualize the complete picture and hopefully significantly reduce the po-tential of rework and delays. Too often we think of things as black or white. I don’t have to tell you that is not the case. In my view, mortgage lenders and technology vendors can benefit from using a bit of divergent thinking.

Roger Gudobba has over 25 years of mortgage experience. He is CEO at PROGRESS in Lending and Chief Strategy Officer at technology vendor Compliance Systems. Roger is an advocate of data standardization and a more data-driven approach to mortgage. Roger can be reached via e-mail at [email protected].

Futu

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rend

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Thinking inside the box: Convergent thinking allows us to use our knowledge to examine concepts and see where they fit.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive23

Page 25: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 26: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Are you on LinkedIn? Do you get leads from LinkedIn? In my view LinkedIn is a great professional network. So, if you’re

not on it, you should be. And for those of you that are on it, you should be getting leads from it. It’s all about optimizing your presence. LinkedIn can pay back dividends. So, don’t get disillusioned about LinkedIn, get business from LinkedIn.

In an article that I read recently called “Why Relevant Keywords Are Essential To Your Linke-dIn Success” by Andy Headworth, he tells people not to “get frustrated at the lack of people viewing your LinkedIn profi le and your LinkedIn Company Page.” He goes further to ask: Are you confused why that chef from Indonesia has just checked you out on LinkedIn? There is a good reason why these things are happening - your LinkedIn profi le does not contain the right content. It does not contain the relevant keywords that you want your audience to fi nd you for, when searching on LinkedIn. Without these important keywords, you

will rarely appear in relevant searches, and your foray into social recruiting won’t be quite as suc-cessful as it could have been.

LinkedIn is a complex (and sometimes scary) social network because of the sheer volume of in-formation, data and functionality on the platform.

However complex it is, LinkedIn can be broken down into three simpler functions of it’s platform:

1. Attraction2. Search3. Grow network (for search and attraction)And what is the common denominator for all of

these? KEYWORDS.So, here’s how you get started. Ask yourself:

Do you know the keywords that you want people to fi nd you for on LinkedIn? Do you know what the best keywords are and what people are actu-ally searching for? Let’s break it down. Here are some clear tips from Headworth:

• Ask yourself what words do people use when they try and fi nd people like you on LinkedIn? (This plays into the attraction function)

• Ask yourself what do you use when you try and fi nd people on LinkedIn? (This plays into the search function)

• Ask yourself how many of these keywords you think they use when they search on LinkedIn? (2 or 3 max should be your goal)

• Ask yourself if you are aware that the search engine on LinkedIn is (among other things), keyword driven?

• lso, were you aware that people use the same searches on Google as they do on LinkedIn?

• Lastly, remember that keywords can also be job titles.

This is LinkedIn 101 - the basics you must know if you are going to make sure that your profi le is being seen by all the right people. (You do know who you want to read your profi le, don’t you?)

Now, let’s move beyond theory. Headworth gives a powerful example of how powerful the right LinkedIn keywords can be. Here is a mini case study that he shares:

The company is a sector leading recruitment company. The existing LinkedIn profi les were very patchy, incomplete and “fl uffy” with lovely

Business StrategiesGet More Out Of LinkedInAre you confused why that chef from Indonesia, instead of a top 20 lender, has just checked you out on LinkedIn? Here’s the reason:

By Michael Hammond

LinkedIn is a complex (and sometimes scary) social network because of the sheer volume of information, data and functionality on the platform.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive25

Page 27: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 28: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

descriptions of their company (in the LinkedIn Sum-mary and Experience sections), full of adjectives and descriptive phrases that mean nothing to a search engine. Phrases like, “market leading”, “great place to work”, “dynamic’ company”, “motivated consul-

tants” etc, etc. As previously stated - ‘fl uffy’! So, the fi rst thing to do was to establish who the company was trying to attract with their profi les? Candidates, or clients, or both? Then you need to take a look at all their industry keywords, and more importantly, you really want to break this down into which key-words were a priority and which ones they wanted to be found for on LinkedIn.

Then using the FREE Google Adwords Keywords Tool, you rank these keywords (and subsequent syn-onyms) in terms of the number of searches made. Why do you need to do this? Because now you have the most common search key-words and synonyms being used for the industry keywords that you had fi rst set up.

Then you go back and start again with the LinkedIn Summary and the Experience sections. Re-membering they have a maximum capacity of 2,000 characters each (so make sure you use it all!), you get busy writing. Here’s a tip: Don’t forget the headline keywords either. It’s important to make sure that all the consultant pro-fi les told people what the company did, who they recruited for and the sectors they worked in - with the added bonus that you now have all the keywords added in there as well.

Moving along, you need to do the same thing for the company page (albeit with a slightly different strategy).

The results were immediate. The consultants saw an immediate increase in their profi le views - some as much as tenfold over the next two days. 10x more people viewed their Linkedin profi les after adding the correct keywords to their LinkedIn profi le. This level of profi le views then leveled out a little over the next

few weeks, but stayed signifi cantly higher than it was before this project was started. And as the keywords chosen were relevant to their industry, it was clients and candidates that started to make contact with the consultants. This was a real accelerant to growing

their LinkedIn networks. The LinkedIn Company Page also started to get more visitors, both directly from search and indirectly from people clicking the company links on the consultant’s profi les. This re-sulted in more people following their company on LinkedIn (one of the primary objectives).

Of course, there were other additional strategies employed around this LinkedIn improvement strat-egy like a content strategy, posting update strategy, sharing content, adding multimedia to profi les and marketing personal and company profi les better. But the fundamental building blocks around the success

was built around making sure the key-words were right in the fi rst place, and were in line with the objectives of using LinkedIn as a core recruitment attraction and search tool.

What does all of this mean for you and your company? It means that you can and should be getting more out of Linke-dIn. Hopefully reading this column will motivate you to re-visit your LinkedIn profi le, and check out your text and key-

words. You may even update it. If you do take the time to utilize this advice, here are the action points that you need to take:

• Understand what keywords you want to be found for.

• Work out the most important ones and their synonyms.

• Add them across your LinkedIn profi le, in-cluding the Headline.

• Add them to your Company Page as well (if you have one).

• Watch your profi le views rise accordingly (if you got the keywords right, of course!).

Time is a wasting. Are you on LinkedIn yet mak-ing these updates. If not, you really should be. ❖

Michael Hammond is chief strategy o� cer at PROGRESS in Lending Association and the founder and president of NexLevel Advisors. NexLevel provides solutions in business development, strategic selling, marketing, public relations and social media. He can be reached at [email protected].

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Do you get leads from LinkedIn?In my view LinkedIn is a great professional network.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive27

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If you are to effectively lead this change it is critical that you recognize your style and approach as well as that of other senior managers in your business.

In Timesof Change

Succ

essfu

l Leadership

BY BARBARA PERINO AND REBECCA WALZAK

We are now in the last half of the year and

the mortgage lending com-munity is in the throes of preparing for the process changes based on the CFPB requirements that take effect on January 14, 2014. How are you as a leader able to maneuver theses changes effectively? How can you do this with as little disruption as possible to the people and the workflow while en-suring business success?

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive29

Page 31: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

If you are to effectively lead this change it is critical that you recognize your style and approach as well as that of other senior managers in your business.

In Timesof Change

Succ

essfu

l Leadership

BY BARBARA PERINO AND REBECCA WALZAK

We are now in the last half of the year and

the mortgage lending com-munity is in the throes of preparing for the process changes based on the CFPB requirements that take effect on January 14, 2014. How are you as a leader able to maneuver theses changes effectively? How can you do this with as little disruption as possible to the people and the workflow while en-suring business success?

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive 30

Page 32: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

This article is focused, not on the change itself but the personalities that are leading the change and how each of these distinct leadership personalities can best deal with the inevitable ques-tions, concerns and fears dwelling un-derneath the surface changes.

There are three distinct personality types most frequently found in busi-ness leaders during a significant period of change.

“The Bold” –are people who are out front and center around creating new ideas, innovative thought process-es and embracing change. The Bold do not want to be left behind. They can be somewhat risk tolerant, able to take chances and think “just do it,” but they typically go through a thought pro-cess while they are implementing the change. They are very open to trying something new or different if they see value in the process. They show up in the world as highly confident, outgo-ing, active and sometimes impatient.

“Steady As We Go” - are people who are all right with change and in-novation if they feel comfortable after they’ve completed a lot of research, asked questions and educated them-selves thoroughly on what they feel they needed to know about how the company is going to be impacted with the change. They are typically cautious in nature, so they will take a bit more

time to come to the conclusion that change has to happen. They are also good listeners, practice patience and appear more quiet spoken.

“Don’t Rock the Boat” – are people who hold on to tradition and are some-what risk adverse in their thinking. They are highly competent when it comes to strategic thinking and main-

taining the status quo on well-proven methods of doing things, and they re-sist change unless they are convinced

it’s for the good of the company. And then they are reluctant to move quickly. Sometimes these personalities are ac-cused of being in a time warp, refusing

to seek better and more efficient ways of doing things. The persona is such that they have to be pulled, kicking and screaming to “do it” differently.

Which are you? You may have char-acteristics of all three traits, but one that is most prominent. If you are to effec-tively lead this change it is critical that you recognize your style and approach as well as that of other senior managers in your business. For example, if you are a Bold leader, but the head of your risk management and compliance area is a Don’t Rock the Boat type, it is im-portant that you recognize this. Trying to force new ways of doing things and implementing the use of untried tech-nology may just result in a stalemate.

Other items of importance.It’s important to understand how you

process and implement change so your message is conveyed clearly, concisely and openly throughout your organiza-tion. It’s also important that you have a clear understanding that staff is made up of these types of personalities as well. Knowing ahead of time that there is a blend of how people process change is vital for your company to be success-ful in implementation of the changes coming. Some folks will manage and embrace change easier and faster than others. There will be those who need to know more facts and need time to process and they probably will be ask-ing questions for clarification and un-derstanding. There will be a few who will struggle with having to do things differently and will automatically resist it. If you are aware ahead of the time, that not all people are the same when processing change, the better off you will be and this will give you the op-portunity to have conversations that dispel fear and resistance.

Conveying the message.How you convey a message around

change needs to be understood so that everyone will get on board on what needs to be done. This will help alle-viate stress, fear and resistance. Your message should reflect and acknowl-edge that “not everyone has an easy time with change, but it has to happen because of these new regulations and “as the leader of the company, my goal is to make this as seamless and transpar-

It’s important to understand how you process and implement change so your message is conveyed clearly, concisely and openly throughout your organization.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive31

Page 33: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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Page 34: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

ent as possible.” Suggestions should follow this comment – “what kind of questions do you have?” or “what do you need from the leadership team to support you as we maneuver through these changes?”

Conducting a strategic planning meeting with key senior management with the focus on the upcoming CFPB changes is crucial. It’s important that everyone on the leadership team un-derstands how the new rules are go-ing to impact the company and what everyone’s roles and focus is going to be to get ready. Asking the ques-tion of each senior manager how they deal with change would be helpful so there is clarity and understanding of everyone’s thought processes, which in turn can create clarity and focus on the goals. During this meeting, ideas should be allowed to be shared even if they won’t necessarily be imple-mented. The next step is to conduct a meeting with middle-level managers to get their buy-in on what the lead-ership team is implementing. Again, finding out how middle-level manag-ers process change is also important as they convey direction and communi-cation down through the ranks. Help-ing them deal with changes that have to be implemented, letting them share where they need guidance, support and clarity around where the company is going is key to the success of what’s going to happen. Another suggestion is conducting a town hall meeting(s), (depending on how large the company is and where people are logistically located) for/with staff is a suggestion that might be effective in determining how to convey the message of what we need to do as a company to abide by the new rules of the CFPB that need to be implemented. The more you can share and get buy-in and agreement

from everyone, the easier the process should be.

Creating internal committees to focus on particular tasks that need to be put in place or changed is one suggestion. These committees should be comprised of a leadership person, middle-level managers and staff that meets regularly, brain storms, com-municates and allows for all ideas to be heard. FYI – younger generations expect this type of leadership. This creates engagement of various people, who take pride in what they are doing,

are made to feel important and who take ownership and responsibility for tasks and goals that get done.

Some steps to take on implement-ing change could include:• Establish the criteria by defining

general characteristics that a so-lution should have

• Be objective

• Try to keep it simple, but include criteria that is needed or desired

• Develop an action plan• Goals• Strategy behind• A timeframe – including how

often should you meet to stay on track?

• Define who is responsible for what

• Define expected outcome• Decide how you will know

when the implementation is complete

The mortgage industry is a resilient industry and I daresay it has gone through drastic changes over the past eight years. The CFPB’s upcom-ing rules are simply part of the new change hitting the space, with a focus on protecting the consumer, which we should have done in the first place. Just a thought.

About the AuthorBarbara Perino is Director of Business Development for Direct Valuation Solutions a new cloud based technology platform that is designed to streamline and enhance the appraisal fulfillment experience. Barbara has 23 years of extensive sales and sales management experience along with operational knowledge from all facets within the residential property valuation industry. She is also a professional certified coach.

About the AuthorrjbWalzak Consulting, Inc. was founded and is led by Rebecca Walzak, a leader in operational risk management programs in all areas of the consumer lending industry. In addition to consulting experience in mortgage banking, student lending and other types of consumer lending, she has hands on practical experience in these organizations as well having held numerous positions from top to bottom of the consumer lending industry over the past 25 years.

Conducting a strategic planning meeting with key senior management with the focus on the upcoming CFPB changes is crucial.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive33

Page 35: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

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By Leonard Ryan

Top Compliance Concerns

Whether your compliance is in-house or outsourced, time is precious when it comes to implementing the CFPB’s rulemakings.

July 2013 marked the third anniversary of the Dodd-Frank Act and the second anniversary of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s

(CFPB) inception. What has changed? In some ways, things remain constant when it comes to

compliance concerns – lenders worry about implementing major regulations, and the pace of change comes very quickly.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive35

Page 37: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

By Leonard Ryan

Top Compliance Concerns

Whether your compliance is in-house or outsourced, time is precious when it comes to implementing the CFPB’s rulemakings.

July 2013 marked the third anniversary of the Dodd-Frank Act and the second anniversary of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s

(CFPB) inception. What has changed? In some ways, things remain constant when it comes to

compliance concerns – lenders worry about implementing major regulations, and the pace of change comes very quickly.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive 36

Page 38: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

The industry is still plagued by the CFPB’s quick rule announcements and even quicker implementation dates two years later. Mortgage professionals are strained in their adoption, updating and

implementing periods due to the sheer amount of mandates, details and dates that require them to cooperate. Are lenders warranted with these concerns? How can the bureau co-function with people and organizations that are un-easy about every announcement they make?

There is one date that looms most ominously for many lenders. On Janu-ary 10, 2014, many of the CFPB’s most significant recent announcements go into effect. Between now and then,

lenders must adjust their operations to not only comply, but improve their compliance practices so subsequent rules implementations are implement-ed as smoothly as possible.

Understanding the top priorities is crucial to a smooth compliance pro-cess. In its annual survey of mortgage compliance concerns, QuestSoft found that, unsurprisingly, the most stressful regulations have remained consistent over the past few years. A deeper look inside the results brings to light sev-eral issues that lenders will be tracking closely over the next few months.

TIL/GFE: Where is Lender Trans-parency?

Sometimes, the more things change,

the more they stay the same. Accord-ing to QuestSoft’s annual compliance survey, in 2010 more than 420 lenders ranked their top compliance concern as fee tolerance changes to the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The same survey conducted a year later, found the Dodd-Frank Act as the greatest compliance concern; fol-lowed by the combined Truth in Lend-ing Disclosure (TIL) and Good Faith Estimate (GFE) form in 2012. The top 2013 compliance concern should come as no surprise: the TIL/GFE and other CFPB-related rulemakings once again take this year’s prize as top concerns.

The combined TIL/GFE disclosure form was ranked as a 58.8 percent high concern among lenders. The CFPB united the forms to provide a transparent way for borrowers to both comparison shop different loan offers and to better understand their financial responsibilities towards the loan and closing costs. While the CFPB has done a good job being transparent in the revision process, offering multiple revisions online for commentary; they still have not announced what the final set of new forms will look like, nor have they published the implementa-tion deadlines or details concerning new standards.

The industry is still plagued by the CFPB’s quick rule announcements and even quicker implementation dates two years later.

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Page 40: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

RESPA FEE TolERAncES: EliminATE SuRPRiSES FoR BoRRowER, inducE HEAdAcHE FoR lEndER

Transparency is a recurring theme that has gained significant traction within the mortgage lending industry since the financial meltdown. Consum-ers are shown upfront what exactly their loan will cost them, and lenders are required to strictly adhere to the provisions laid out for them.

RESPA fee tolerances were rated a 49.7 percent high concern in Quest-Soft’s same survey. If the settlement charges exceed the RESPA Reform tolerance category outlined on the bor-rower’s Good Faith Estimate (GFE), they are legally required to reimburse the additional charges; adding addi-tional stress to the lender, slowing busi-ness processes or worse, jeopardizing compliance.

According to the Federal Reserve, these “tolerances” associated with the RESPA Reform Rule were imple-mented to limit the amount actual settlement charges can vary at closing time – making closing time stressful and somewhat of a gamble.

Fees are divided into three categories:1. Zero tolerance – These

fees cannot change from initial disclosure to fund-ing except in rare cases.

2. Ten percent tolerance - These fees are normally associated with originator required settle-ment services, but also include other categories including some government charges.

3. No tolerance – These fees are not subject to any tolerance restrictions.

Digging deeper into the survey with personal calls to respondents, Quest-Soft found that while there are a num-ber of issues with zero tolerance fees, the largest problem is clearly with in-accurate disclosure of third party fees. Additionally, while significant RESPA fee cures happen in all sizes and types of lenders, it seems the most prevalent and costly cures are more consistent in wholesale lenders as well as national lenders with small to moderate foot-prints in states. One industry expert has

indicated the average cure is still about $75 per funded loan.

Unfortunately, QuestSoft does not see this top concern or the fee cure pen-alties subsiding any time soon. Most loan software programming resources are constantly being redirected to the continuous barrage of new regulations, making it difficult to catch up with the slew of new regulations.

AnTiciPATing JAnuARy 14, 2014

Whether your compliance is in-house or outsourced, time is precious when it comes to implementing the CFPB’s rulemakings. Consistent industry mon-itoring and maintaining relationships is crucial to ensure compliance and avoid audits. The amount of rules is a burden to even think about complying with, let alone actually achieving total compli-ance. QuestSoft’s survey respondents ranked CFPB-related rulemakings as a 52.7 percent high concern, second highest in the survey.

Among the most significant rules going into effect next January, are seven rules, grouped into three primary categories. undERwRiTing STAndARdS

Three of the rules specifically apply to the standards and processes govern-ing underwriting:

• Qualified Mortgage (QM) and Ability to Repay (ATR): Outlines eight criteria for determining whether a borrower has the abil-ity to repay a loan and outlines a safe harbor for loans that meet the strict QM standards.

• High Cost Mortgage (HCM): This rule expands coverage to money transactions and home eq-uity lines of credit (HELOC) and lowers the threshold for coverage as a HCM. The rule also adds counseling requirements for bor-rowers seeking to close an HCM.

• Mortgage Loan Officer (MLO) compensation and Qualification:

Sets limits on compensation and establishes additional qualifica-tions for MLOs.

SERvicing STAndARdSTwo servicing rulings may provide a

hint at the reforms coming to the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) and Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA) later this year.

• New Servicing Standards – TILA: Servicers must provide additional ARM adjustment no-tices and provide monthly billing statements in a certain format.

• New Servicing Standards – RE-SPA: Servicers must inform borrowers if the loan will be serviced by another company at the closing table, and servicers must build out more complete processes for tacking and keep-ing records of borrower commu-nications.

APPRAiSAl REquiREmEnTSThe final two rules going into ef-

fect next January apply to appraisal requirements.

• Appraisal requirements for Higher Priced Mortgage Loans: Outlines requirements for HPM

Transparency is a recurring theme that has gained significant traction within the mortgage lending industry since the financial meltdown.

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loans, including interior inspec-tions and validating that the bor-rower received the appraisal.

• Appraisal Disclosure: Spells out that in any loan, the appraisal must be provided to the borrower at least three days before closing.

These rules have become a very high source of anxiety since their announce-ment. As a compliance company, QuestSoft has seen an exponential in-crease in the number of meetings and support sessions with clients; mostly reassuring them with details of our plans to address the thousands of pages of new regulations.S.A.F.E. AcT – THE only BRigHTER SPoT in THE SuRvEy

The QuestSoft compliance survey showed a reduction in concern in S.A.F.E. Act licensing and registration concerns for the fi rst time in fi ve years. This is refl ective in the greater stability in the process along with recent efforts

by many states to streamline the testing process. coPing wiTH cHAngES

Sweeping change that affects indus-tries and employees in the marketplace, is never an easy adjustment. However, to streamline the transition, the CFPB announced its Regulatory Implementa-tion page, an information tool for lend-ers, servicers, creditors and borrowers to learn more about each pending rule and implementation dates in plain lan-guage. Through this, the CFPB hopes to ease top industry concerns.

Additional concerns found amongst

QuestSoft’s polled lenders including the Qualifi ed Mortgage (QM) rule, Fair Lending exam scrutiny and state con-sumer lending laws.

Transparency, feedback and infor-mational tools will simplify the imple-mentation process ahead of January 2014. However, it is up to industry pro-fessionals and organizations to adhere to, update and comprehend the CFPB’s rules and fi ne details in order to better serve and protect the consumer.

2014 will be a year of unprecedented change and compliance – are you pre-pared?

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ABOUT THE AUTHORLeonard Ryan is president of Laguna Hills, Calif.-based QuestSoft, a provider of automated compliance solutions and geocoding services to the mortgage industry. The company’s products enable more than 1,700 banks, credit unions and mortgage companies to simplify the collection, analysis, compilation and reporting of key lending regulatory report data.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive41

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Page 44: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Picture this: You’ve fol-lowed the Consumer Financial Protection

Bureau’s (CFPB) eight Ability-to-Repay (ATR) underwriting factors under the ATR/Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule. Your documentation provider has kept track of the rule and its guidelines, preparing you for each loan – QM, non-QM or both – your staff will originate from January 2014 and beyond. But something went wrong and you just received a “Notice of Rea-sonable Cause” from the CFPB and your company will soon face a visit from federal regulators and CFPB examiners.

Or you could just be due a regu-larly scheduled audit.

Regardless of the purpose of an examiner’s visit, gathering the in-formation needed and being able to verify loan information could spell the difference between a hassle and a nightmare.

The sophistication of a lender’s document system is key to prov-ing to an examiner that the loan in question was in fact what you say it is.

QMs definitions are not specifi-cally technology-related. The stan-dards are simply a set of guidelines the industry must abide by and adopt into processes. However, a company’s compliance with the rules’ standards is technology-

related. System updates are not enough to comply with the new world of compliance and rules going into affect in January 2014. Documentation, vendor relation-ships and data integrity are compo-nents that need to be updated and implemented in order to guarantee compliance and decrease your company’s chances of having to prove yourself and business to an examiner.

The most critical component of the ATR/QM rule is the underwrit-ing. The industry took a nosedive in 2008 after years of loose un-derwriting practices, defaults and buybacks. To try and ensure a financial meltdown of this caliber never happened again, Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in 2010 and implemented the CFPB in 2011 to safeguard con-sumers and regulate the companies that sell financial services prod-ucts.

Although the ATR/QM rule provides eight factors an origina-tor must consider when making a QM loan, the rule does not force companies to follow particular un-derwriting models.

That decision is deferred to the company in order for it to achieve strategic and revenue goals.

Instead, QM divides loans into two categories of liability. The first

By Scott K. Stucky

Documentation in the new worlD Make no mistake, the new

regulations hitting our industry will place a stronger emphasis on documentation

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive43

Page 45: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

Picture this: You’ve fol-lowed the Consumer Financial Protection

Bureau’s (CFPB) eight Ability-to-Repay (ATR) underwriting factors under the ATR/Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule. Your documentation provider has kept track of the rule and its guidelines, preparing you for each loan – QM, non-QM or both – your staff will originate from January 2014 and beyond. But something went wrong and you just received a “Notice of Rea-sonable Cause” from the CFPB and your company will soon face a visit from federal regulators and CFPB examiners.

Or you could just be due a regu-larly scheduled audit.

Regardless of the purpose of an examiner’s visit, gathering the in-formation needed and being able to verify loan information could spell the difference between a hassle and a nightmare.

The sophistication of a lender’s document system is key to prov-ing to an examiner that the loan in question was in fact what you say it is.

QMs definitions are not specifi-cally technology-related. The stan-dards are simply a set of guidelines the industry must abide by and adopt into processes. However, a company’s compliance with the rules’ standards is technology-

related. System updates are not enough to comply with the new world of compliance and rules going into affect in January 2014. Documentation, vendor relation-ships and data integrity are compo-nents that need to be updated and implemented in order to guarantee compliance and decrease your company’s chances of having to prove yourself and business to an examiner.

The most critical component of the ATR/QM rule is the underwrit-ing. The industry took a nosedive in 2008 after years of loose un-derwriting practices, defaults and buybacks. To try and ensure a financial meltdown of this caliber never happened again, Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in 2010 and implemented the CFPB in 2011 to safeguard con-sumers and regulate the companies that sell financial services prod-ucts.

Although the ATR/QM rule provides eight factors an origina-tor must consider when making a QM loan, the rule does not force companies to follow particular un-derwriting models.

That decision is deferred to the company in order for it to achieve strategic and revenue goals.

Instead, QM divides loans into two categories of liability. The first

By Scott K. Stucky

Documentation in the new worlD Make no mistake, the new

regulations hitting our industry will place a stronger emphasis on documentation

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive 44

Page 46: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

provides a “safe harbor” protection for qualified mortgages that are not cat-egorized as “higher-priced” – defined by the 2008 Federal Reserve Board Truth-in-Lending amendments. This “safe harbor” will exempt lenders who have originated loans according

to the QM/Ability-to-Repay standards from litigation by the borrower.

Lenders are free to make loans out-side of the QM guidelines, but these mortgages will receive a rebuttable presumption of compliance. Loans originated outside of QM will not exempt lenders from litigation; in-stead they will be presumed to have reviewed the borrower’s ability to repay.

The eight factors the CFPB requires originators to assess will help them determine a borrower’s ATR. An ATR evaluation must address the following factors:

• Expected income or assets (other than the value of the property that secures the loan) that the consumer will rely on to repay the loan;

• Current employment status;• Monthly mortgage payment

for this loan;• Monthly payments on any si-

multaneous loans secured by the same property;

• Monthly payments for prop-erty taxes and insurance that the consumer is required to purchase;

• Any debt, alimony and child-support obligations;

• Monthly debt-to-income (DTI) ratio or residual income; and most importantly,

• Credit historyMany existing underwriting poli-

cies will already meet the standards outlined for determining ATR. How-ever, in order to best protect against potential litigation, disclosures, clos-ing documents and policies must

clearly document how each of these factors support an underwriting deci-sion.

In this era of new regulations, examiners and consumer watchdog groups, documentation is the answer. A company must take the necessary steps to prevent buybacks and imple-ment processes that leave a pristine paper trail of documentation.

The system of record for under-writing is critical in order to prevent buybacks and prove compliance with ATR/QM rule mandates. The ATR/QM rule provides lenders legal pro-

tection provided their disclosure and final forms match what the system of record shows. One of the challenges many mortgage document programs have is that loan officers can change

information in the documents which do not get transferred automatically to the LOS, creating potential for incor-rect documents and errors between the underwritten file and the documenta-tion. Conversely, lenders can lever-age secure document systems that use XML to automatically populate changes made in the LOS into the loan documents and lock the actual documents from being changed inap-propriately.

Accurate disclosures for the bor-rower are the most important pieces of the rule implementation and compli-ance puzzle. Redundant and confus-ing disclosures to apply for and close on a mortgage prompted the CFPB to simplify the two most important steps of the mortgage process for the bor-rower.

The Loan Estimate form – or the TIL/GFE disclosure – will help bor-rowers understand their mortgage features – the costs, interest rate, risks – and it will be provided to them within three business days after they apply for a loan. The new disclosure form, which is being mandated by the CFPB and is expected to be imple-mented later in 2014, is designed to provide disclosures and make sense of all the costs of the transactions, also given to the borrower within three business days before they close on the loan. Lenders can rely on specialized

third-party providers to assist with the forms’ drafting, strengthening compli-ance, documentation and borrower satisfaction.

The watchful eye of the CFPB will

In this era of new regulations, examiners and consumer watchdog groups, documentation is the answer. A company must take the necessary steps.

System updates are not enough to comply with the new world of compliance and rules going into affect in January 2014.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive45

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Page 48: Tomorrow's Mortgage Executive Magazine (September 2013 Issue)

transform into a microscope by Janu-ary 2014. The bureau is already crack-ing down hard on lenders that are in violation of current effective rules, setting the stage for its authoritative control when additional mortgage rules are implemented.

Everyone needs a backup strategy, especially those in the mortgage lend-ing industry. Documentation is the foolproof strategy that will enable lenders to store and access any form, at any time, regarding a borrower’s loan in case an examiner comes knocking. The technology supporting documentation can also help lenders make the switch to eDocs, even if the initial forms were signed the archaic way on paper. Accessible, compliant documents are no longer found in a manila folder.

Documentation breeds data integri-ty. Strong integrations result in strong data that can withstand an examiner’s keen eye. Third-party verifi cation can

eliminate the chances of post-origina-tion issues and buybacks, and can also identify mistakes before a deadline or examiner visit. When LOS systems, document software and compliance programs all work together to ensure data integrity, the chances of improp-erly documented loans drops to nearly zero.

System updates will not suffi ce in this new day and age of regulations and examinations. LOS updates,

maintaining third-party relationships and utilizing document providers for more than just what their name im-plies, will enable lenders to correctly cross system check data and prove their documents are pristine and accu-rate. The importance of QM and com-bined disclosures like TIL/GFE are to prevent past mistakes, to protect the consumer and reestablish confi dence.

Document your past to secure your future.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORScott K. Stucky is chief operating o� cer of Idaho Falls, Idaho-based DocuTech Corp. Since 1991, DocuTech has provided compliance services and documentation technology for the mortgage indus-try. DocuTech’s software interfaces with leading loan origination systems (LOS) and enables mortgage pro-fessionals to generate documents locally. DocuTech manages and secures all information needed for a loan, guaranteeing accuracy, security and compliance.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive47

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Executive Interview

COLOR COMMENTARYVeteran financial services journalist Phil Hall

has joined the PROGRESS in Lending team and he isn’t holding back in sharing his views.

We at PROGRESS in Lending feel very fortunate to now have Phil Hall on our team. While other

media companies in the mortgage lending space restructure and downsize, PROGRESS continues to grow and opportunistically add very talented columnists. Phil Hall was born in1964 in the Bronx, N.Y. He was educated at Pace University, receiving a B.A. in journalism. Phil began his journalism career as United Nations reporter for Fairchild Broadcast News. He also served as associate editor of ABA Banking Journal, and editor at Secondary Marketing Executive/Servicing Management/MortgageOrb. Phil is now a featured columnist for PROGRESS where he writes, among other things, a weekly column dubbed Color Commentary. In this interview he talks about his decision to join PROGRESS and where he sees the mortgage industry going.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive49

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Executive Interview

COLOR COMMENTARYVeteran financial services journalist Phil Hall

has joined the PROGRESS in Lending team and he isn’t holding back in sharing his views.

We at PROGRESS in Lending feel very fortunate to now have Phil Hall on our team. While other

media companies in the mortgage lending space restructure and downsize, PROGRESS continues to grow and opportunistically add very talented columnists. Phil Hall was born in1964 in the Bronx, N.Y. He was educated at Pace University, receiving a B.A. in journalism. Phil began his journalism career as United Nations reporter for Fairchild Broadcast News. He also served as associate editor of ABA Banking Journal, and editor at Secondary Marketing Executive/Servicing Management/MortgageOrb. Phil is now a featured columnist for PROGRESS where he writes, among other things, a weekly column dubbed Color Commentary. In this interview he talks about his decision to join PROGRESS and where he sees the mortgage industry going.

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Q: What do you personally bring to PROGRESS in Lending? In other words, what can people expect from your writing?

PHIL HALL: They can expect the obser-vations and considerations of someone with a quarter-century of involvement in the financial services industry. I don’t believe in taboos and, being a writer (as opposed to being a mortgage banker), I have the luxury to speak about these industry-related matters with as much frankness and sincerity as my English skills allow.

But I am not coming to PROGRESS with a particular political agenda. I

consider myself an equal opportunity offender – anyone who screws up, re-gardless of their political party, will be called to question. But I am also not the old grouch on the hill – anyone who is deserving of praise will receive it.

Q: Describe the genesis of your Color Commentary column. How did the name come about? What driving prin-ciples/ideas guide you in your writing of this column?

PHIL HALL: Prior to joining PROG-RESS, I was one of the authors of a

commentary blog that was published on the MortgageOrb website. Some years before that, I had a marketing column in the now-defunct Credit Union News. In both cases, I wrapped the trends and issues facing the finan-cial services world with my insight on the subjects that I was addressing.

The name “Color Commentary” was chosen because I have a ten-dency to offer (dare I say?) a colorful spin on whatever I am writing about. Some people are not very comfortable with that, and I have received my fair share of negative comments related to my opinions. I always find that kind of feedback to be therapeutic – life

would be somewhat monotonous if we all agreed with each other.

Q: In some of your columns you have taken the Obama administration to task. What grade would you give the administration in its dealing with the mortgage meltdown and its aftermath?

PHIL HALL: I would give it an F – even the president admitted in August 2011 that his policies were not working. But, ultimately, I give the American public an F for not holding the administration to task. The administration does not exist in a vacuum – it is, in concept,

beholden to the American public, and the public has mostly been indifferent or oblivious to how the administration has reacted to this particular crisis.

Q: If we talk specifically about new industry regulation, some say that the industry is becoming too regulated. What’s your take?

PHIL HALL: The problems with the regulations are that they do not ad-dress the core weaknesses that con-tributed to the 2008 crash. Commu-nity banks and credit unions played no role whatsoever in the debacle of five years ago, yet they are now sad-dled with the Dodd-Frank regulatory weight and they have Mr. Cordray’s auditors tapping at their doors.

Likewise, the failure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac occurred despite the presence of a regulatory body – the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight – that all but stood by and allowed these entities to crash. Thus, my concern is not too much regula-tion, but a deficit of intelligent regu-lation.

Q: As we all know, rates are rising again. Are lenders ready to transition back to a purchase market?

PHIL HALL: They always were, but we have to stop subscribing to the theory that housing fuels the American econ-omy. I believe that a more accurate view is that housing is a reflection of the American economy – and our cur-rent economy is fairly shabby at too many levels. Any purchase market that takes shape now will not be a healthy one, simply because the financial in-gredients are not in place to encourage it. With the Fed propping up the econ-omy, with wages remaining stagnant, with new jobs being focused on the low-end and with a young generation manacled in outrageous student debt, we cannot possibly imagine a pur-chase market to magically reanimate the economy. This is like scattering seeds in a rock garden and expecting an explosion of rose bushes – if the seeds have no place to take root, noth-ing will flower.

I don’t believe in taboos and, being a writer (as opposed to being a mortgage banker), I have the luxury to speak about these industry-related matters with as much frankness and sincerity as my English skills allow.

Tomorrow’s Mortgage Executive51

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Q: Some say that because rates have been so low for so long, once we return to a purchase market it will be quite some time before refi nances come back. What do you think of the nature of the mortgage space going forward? Will we continue to go through cycli-cal refi nance and purchase periods as many are used to or are we headed for a more prolonged purchase market?

PHIL HALL: Again, it depends on the state of the wider economy. If we have a genuine recovery and not the current wet fart that some uber-optimists con-sider to be a recovery, I think we will see a prolonged purchase market. But there are so many issues that need to be addressed – not the least being the QE-Forever policies of the Fed, de-spite the grand talk of “tapering” – that I believe a prolonged purchase market won’t happen for some time.

Q: Another cause for concern is that the government still controls the second-ary market. Do you see that changing any time soon? Talk a little bit about what you think needs to happen to get private investors active again.

PHIL HALL: The partisan division in Congress will not allow any of the cur-rent secondary market reform propos-als to take shape. But, then again, hav-ing one party control both the White House and Congress is no guarantee that it will happen – lest we forget, Mr. Dodd and Mr. Frank wrote a 2,300-page bill when their party ruled the roost at both ends of Pennsylvania Av-enue, yet they intentionally left GSE reform out of that bill.

Private investors are coming back, albeit slowly and with a surplus focus on the jumbo mortgage market (which, of course, is outside of the Fannie and Freddie sphere). But, of course, the lack of certainty on the future of the economy – especially on Federal Re-serve actions – will keep many inves-tors on the sidelines.

I have been a longtime advocate of creating a covered bond market in the U.S. as a parallel channel to the traditional secondary market. This has worked for years in other countries,

and it would certainly open a new investment channel that could fl ourish domestically, but the attempts to cre-ate the regulatory framework of this market have never gained traction. In my view, that has been one of the big-gest mistakes of recent years.

Q: How would you characterize the state of innovation in the mortgage space today?

PHIL HALL: If you defi ne “innovation” as the creation of new products and services – both loan offerings and the technologies required to make them work – it has been peerless. At every industry trade show I attend, I am always introduced to marvelous ideas and systems that confi rm the mortgage space is in constant positive motion.

If you defi ne “innovation” in terms of marketing, I think we need a bit more work. The industry was behind the curve in terms of embracing new marketing strategies, especially Net-based applications. But, then again, many of these applications evolved during the aftermath of the 2008 crash, so one could excuse the industry for being preoccupied with matters not related to marketing.

Q: Looking back, how has the mort-gage industry changed since you fi rst started reporting on the space?

PHIL HALL: My very fi rst article that I wrote as a fi nancial journalist – back in 1988 for the ABA Banking Journal – was on reverse mortgages. After I fi nish this article, I am starting a new article...on reverse mortgages! Go fi gure!

Industry PredictionsPhil Hall thinks

1. I think that we will see more online originations

and fewer branch-based transactions. I suspect that many lenders, particularly in the community banking space, will begin to retreat from residential mortgages due to a variety of problems – they will focus on commercial lending and other activities where they can function without being under the regulatory burden associated with home loans.

2. I also believe that we will see a greater emphasis on

green building practices – not so much in regard to the deployment of renewable energy solutions on housing (that is still too expensive for most people), but in a greater focus on energy effi ciency solutions in the construction and maintenance of residences.

3. Of course, fi ve years from now will be the tenth

anniversary of the 2008 crash. And 2018 will put us three decades beyond the heart of the savings and loan crisis. As Nietzsche said, “That which does not kill us makes us stronger.” Of course, Nietzsche never originated a 30-year fi xed-rate home loan...but that’s another story!

INSIDER PROFILEPhil Hall is a fi nancial journalist who previously worked as the editor of MortgageOrb, an associate editor at the ABA Banking Journal and a columnist at Credit Union News. His writing has been published in the New York Times, Wired and the Hartford Courant. He is also a marketing and public relations expert, an entrepreneur and horror movie actor (yes, we’re not joking about that last bit). Lastly, as you will discover, he is not shy about stating his views.

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INTEREST RATES AND OUR

ECONOMYHigher home prices and the rise in interest rates are beginning to impact home affordability—especially in high-cost regions.

By Ray Brousseau

Since June, the U.S. mortgage market has experienced some significant volatility in terms of rates available to consumers, rais-

ing concerns for both home owners and profes-sionals about the outlook for the balance of this year and next. However, interest rates are close to the levels seen in 2011, making them still low by historical standards. Rising rates affect consumers and industry professionals like homebuilders differently.

Pending home sales dropped off in June after reaching their high-est level in more than six years as rising mortgage interest rates began to impact the market, according to the National Association of REALTORS. Higher home prices and the rise in interest rates are beginning to impact home affordability—especially in high-cost re-gions, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of REALTORS. “Mortgage interest rates began to rise in May, taking some of the momentum out of contract activity in June,” he said. “The persistent lack of inventory also is contributing to lower contract signings.”

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INTEREST RATES AND OUR

ECONOMYHigher home prices and the rise in interest rates are beginning to impact home affordability—especially in high-cost regions.

By Ray Brousseau

Since June, the U.S. mortgage market has experienced some significant volatility in terms of rates available to consumers, rais-

ing concerns for both home owners and profes-sionals about the outlook for the balance of this year and next. However, interest rates are close to the levels seen in 2011, making them still low by historical standards. Rising rates affect consumers and industry professionals like homebuilders differently.

Pending home sales dropped off in June after reaching their high-est level in more than six years as rising mortgage interest rates began to impact the market, according to the National Association of REALTORS. Higher home prices and the rise in interest rates are beginning to impact home affordability—especially in high-cost re-gions, according to Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of REALTORS. “Mortgage interest rates began to rise in May, taking some of the momentum out of contract activity in June,” he said. “The persistent lack of inventory also is contributing to lower contract signings.”

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From an operational perspective, here’s how we at Carrington look at how the cost of rising interest rates will affect the new loan origination market. The industry did about $995 billion in total originations through June, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Roughly 70 percent of this volume went through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, about

13 percent through the FHA, 7 percent were VA loans, 9 percent were cov-ered by primary mortgage insurance, and the remaining 1 percent of loans was in non-agency originations.

Mortgage originators face a chal-lenge in the second half of 2013 as refinance volumes are expected to fall rapidly. The MBA estimates that total originations for 2013 will be just $1.6 trillion, implying only $650 billion in new loan originations in the second half of 2013. Whereas the industry averaged about $450 million per quar-ter in total originations in the first half of 2013, the quarterly average for the second half will be closer to $350 bil-lion and falling. For 2014, the MBA is projecting total originations of just $1.1 trillion or an average of about $250 billion in new loan originations per quarter.

Moves in market interest rates tend to not affect the cost of lending nearly as much as the headlines may suggest. In fact, since Fed Chairman Ben Ber-nanke’s June press conference, when the central bank suggested an eventual change in policy, benchmark rates in the secondary market for mortgages have largely retraced ground lost. The yield on current production GNMA securities, for example, is now almost at the same yield as before the Fed’s June press conference.

Yet for consumers, the cost of loans is well above the lows seen in 2012. The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate loan was around 4.39% at the start of August, up from 3.55% the year before, according to Freddie Mac. There are many reasons why the overall cost of mortgage loans is higher than a year ago. Interest rates are just one of several factors which

contribute to overall lending costs.One of the largest impacts on the

cost of mortgage credit for consumers has been change to MIP, both the sub-stantial increase in premiums coupled with most premiums now remaining on the loan for its term as opposed to

temporarily. These items now have a much greater impact on APR (can be 30-40 bps depending on loan terms). Earlier in the year we also saw GFees increase, having a similar (but less dramatic) effect. Add all this to an increasingly complex regulatory envi-

ronment and looming changes (QM) causing lenders to beef up compli-ance staff, and you have greater costs to originate and less likelihood that lenders can absorb those costs without passing them on.

New rules requiring higher bank capital will also affect the price of credit for consumers as banks avoid mortgage securities and loans with higher risk weights under the Basel III framework. For example, under Basel III banks must now put up capital against exposures to the FHA even though the agency’s obligations are fully guaranteed by the US govern-ment. “Weaker bank demand, even with average yields up almost 1.4 per-centage points from this year’s lows, is hampering the $5.5 trillion [mort-gage agency] market, increasing bor-rowing costs for consumers seeking to buy homes or refinance,” Bloomberg reports.

Over the next year, consumers and mortgage executives alike should ex-pect to hear a lot of noise coming from Washington. Changes in interest rate policy from the Fed as well as propos-

als to alter the structure of the U.S. mortgage market will all add to uncer-tainty in the markets. What we know is that the historically low interest rates of the past five years are not likely to continue indefinitely. The good news is that the cost of mortgages is still

Mortgage originators face a challenge in the second half of 2013 as refinance volumes are expected to fall rapidly.

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relatively low by historical standards. The bad news is that new rules and regulations are adding significant ad-

ditional costs to the mortgage lending process.

All that said, the outlook for the housing market remains far brighter than at any time since the market crisis erupted in 2007. When Fannie Mae re-leased its July national housing survey, the percentage of respondents who be-lieve now is a good time to buy a house rose to 74 percent. Even after the recent run-up in mortgage rates, consumers

still want to buy a home. In fact, more than half of all consumers surveyed — a whopping 62 percent — expect mort-

gage rates to keep rising over the next year. And yet they’re still eager to buy.

Finally, we should always remember that rising interest rates, after years of artificially low credit costs maintained by the Federal Open Market Commit-tee, is a sign that the economy is recov-ering. Back in July, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke claimed the financial tightening that has accompa-nied the recent rise in interest rates is

“unwelcome,” and laid out three rea-sons interest rates have risen in recent weeks. One reason Bernanke cited to explain higher interest rates is “prob-ably the unwinding of leveraged and perhaps excessively risky” positions in the market.

“It’s probably a good thing to have that happen, although the tightening that’s associated with [deleveraging] is unwelcome,” Bernanke said. The benefit, however, is that some of the concerns of building risks in the finan-cial system fueled by the Fed’s easy-money policies have been mitigated, he said, making some Fed officials more comfortable with the Fed’s $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program going forward. Another reason for rising rates, Mr. Bernanke said, is bet-ter economic news. “As investors see brighter prospects ahead interest rates tend to rise.”

Let’s hope Chairman Bernanke is right about the US economy.

About the AuthorRay Brousseau is Executive Vice President at Carrington Mortgage Services, LLC, Mortgage Lending Division. A 22-year veteran of managing distributed retail lending operations, Ray joined Carrington in 2011 and was named the company’s Senior Vice President of Retail Lending. In this position, Ray is responsible for all aspects of the retail operation, from origination through fulfillment, and oversees both centralized and branch sales, as well as operations for the fast-growing enterprise. Prior to joining Carrington, Ray was the Executive Vice President of Citi’s CitiFinancial Servicing business, where he launched a national organization with 176 service centers in 45 states, which was tasked with servicing over $10 billion of distressed consumer loans.

Over the next year, consumers and mortgage executives alike should expect to hear a lot of noise coming from Washington.

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