tmb bank plc....2.08% p.a. npl resolution 3.02% p.a. 2 nd quarter ended june-16 (not to scale) npl...
TRANSCRIPT
TMB Bank Plc.
Moving toward Digital Banking
Investor Presentation
1H16 and 2Q16 Performance Update
Make THE Difference
1H16 & 2Q16 Financial Performance
Asset quality
Upcoming Digital Banking
AGENDA
[2]
Continued to rebalance deposit growth and mix
-0.5%
+0.6%
Retail deposit
Deposits slightly rose 0.6% QoQ, driven by retail
deposits
For 6-month period, deposits slightly decreased by 0.5% YTD mainly to optimize deposit volume and mix
No-Fixed & ME, +13% YTD, in line with strategy to replace high-cost time-deposits
Transactional deposit growth was also on track. Retail transactional increased by +2% YTD
Cost of deposit declined 17 bps QoQ in 2Q16
mainly from replacement of high-cost deposit TD
and interest rate reduction of No-Fixed & ME
For 6-month period, 1H16 deposit cost (1.58%)
declined 26 bps compared to 1H15 (1.84%)
Key deposit rate cuts (base rate)
#1 No-Fixed 10 bps
#2 ME 20 bps, No-Fixed 10 bps
#3 ME 20 bps
#4 ME 20 bps
#5 ME 10 bps
[3]
Loan growth remained in 2Q, driven by mortgage loan
+2.0%+1.2%
For 6-month period, loan grew by 2.0% YTD, driven
mainly by mortgage loan
Retail +18% YTD, driven by mortgage (+28% YTD)
& credit card (+5% YTD)
Corporate -2% YTD
SMEs -0.8% YTD
Loan grew 1.2% QoQ, driven by growth from
retail loan
Loan yield declined 2 bps QoQ in 2Q16
For 6-month period, 1H16 loan yield (5.49%)
declined 23 bps from 1H15 (5.72%) mainly from
MLR and MRR reductions
[4]
Margin improvement supported by well-managed funding cost
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB11,422 mn THB12,102 mn 6.0%
+15 bps
NIM increased 15 bps QoQ to 3.13%, thanks to well-
managed funding costs
Loan yields declined -2 bps
While deposit cost dropped by -17 bps
With TMB strong deposit franchise, cost of deposit
can be managed down while key deposit volume
(No-Fixed & ME) continued to grow.
With higher NIM & growth in performing loan, NII
increased 4.1% QoQ
1H16 NIM also rose from 3.01% in 1H15 to 3.06%
1H16 NII grew 6.0% YoYNII
+4.1%
[5]
Non-interest income slightly declined due to income from capital
market and loan-related fee
1.3% 1.2% 1.2%Non-interest
income/ Earning assets (p.a.)
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB4,868 mn THB4,763 mn -2.2%
-6.1%
+4.0%
Total Non-NII decreased 6.1% QoQ mainly due to
Commercial banking fees as capital market income declined due to interest rate volatility
Retail fees continued to increase, supported by mutual fund fee (+42% QoQ) and credit card fee (+53% QoQ)
Therefore, 1H16 Non-NII declined slightly by
2.2% YoY
Commercial banking fees as capital market income declined due to interest rate volatility in 2Q16 and credit-related fee dropped by -12% YoY
Retail fees increased, mainly from bancassurance fee, +47% YoY
Non-interest income
*Non-NII excluded gain on sales of assets [6]
Retail fee remained an uptrend
444 384 396
65 64 79
976 843 921
222
237 278
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
THB million
Fee income breakdown
Credit related fee
Trade finance
Cash mnt. & Payment
Mutual fund & Bancassurance
Credit card/ Merchant & ATM
Others
Total
Commercial fees
Retail fees
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB3,700 mn THB3,758 mn +1.5%
2,0571,842
1,915
Fee
income
Fee income increased 4.0% QoQ mainly from
retail fees
Mutual fund showed a positive trend with +42%
QoQ growth
Credit card fee grew +53%QoQ
1H16 fee income increased 1.5% YoY
Credit-related fee dropped by -12%YoY
LG fee increased by +37% YoY
Bancassurance grew +47% YoY
Trade finance +21% YoY
[7]
Operating costs were well-managed
Total operating income rose 1.1% QoQ
Operating expenses rose 6.3% QoQ.
Key factors were;
Lower personnel expense by -3.4 % QoQ
Higher marketing expense by +78.7% QoQ
mainly due to relaunch of All Free product and
commission fees from higher mortgage sales
Higher premises and maintenance expenses
mostly due to software expense
Higher other expense from positive impact
from asset revaluation in 1Q16
However, for 1H16, operating income grew by
3.5% YoY, while operating cost grew only 0.8%,
less than half of the revenue growth
**Operating costs exclude loss on impairment of properties foreclosed, provisions of obligation on transfers of non-performing assets and provisions for other liabilities
***Non-interest income excluded gain on sale of asset
+0.8%
+3.5%
+6.3%
+1.1%
[8]
Pre-provision operating profit grew 4.8% in 1H16
-2.6%
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB8,605 mn THB9,022 mn +4.8%
PPOP recorded at THB4,451 million in
2Q16, a slight decrease by 2.6% QoQ
Nonetheless, 1H16 PPOP grew 4.8% YoY
PPOP
[9]
Cost efficient was well-maintained
As a result, cost to income ratio was well-
maintained at 47.7% in 2Q16 and 46.6% in
1H16
6M2015 6M2016
47.2% 46.6%Cost to income
ratio
[10]
1H16 & 2Q16 Financial Performance
Asset quality
Upcoming Digital Banking
AGENDA
[11]
NPL formation is closely monitored
Note: 1) % NPL formation and NPL resolution calculated per total loan + interbank loan
2) Stated as annualized basis
NPL formation remained in line with expectation
Overall NPL formation during 1H16 was better
than same period last year mainly driven by
improved NPL formation in small SME as a result
of underwriting revision
Vintage analysis has shown better trend of NPL
formation
2.64%
2.08%1.86%
2.25%
1.64%
2.08%
1.0%
1.4%
1.8%
2.2%
2.6%
3.0%
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
NPL formation
[12]
Speed up NPL resolution in 2Q16 by write-off
Note: 1) % NPL formation and NPL resolution calculated per total loan+ interbank loan
2) Stated as annualized basis
NPL restructuring activities have been slow during fragile economic growth
NPL resolution, then, was speeded up in Q2 by additional write off of NPL (with 100% provisioned)
amounted to THB2.9 billion and NPL sale amounted to THB167 million
If the Bank did not write-off and sell NPLs, NPL resolution would be at 1.23%.
Therefore TMB took a cautious step in write-off NPL
Consequently, NPL ratio dropped to 2.87%
If stripping out write-off
1.23%
[13]
NPL
19,779 mn
Special Mention
Loan
19,408 mn
Pass Loan 668bn (1)
NPL
formation
2.08% p.a.
NPL Resolution
3.02% p.a.
2 nd quarter
ended June-16
(Not to scale)
NPL resolution
Restructure
NPL Sale
NPL write-off
Pay-off and close
account
Normal = 92.7%
Rescheduled = 0.5%
Restructured = 1.2%
TMB’s loan portfolio
P (94.33%)
SM(2.80%)
NPL(2.87%)
TMB keeps stable performing loan
portfolio quality with relatively small
restructuring and rescheduling.
The Bank’s SM loans remained relative
low to TMB overall lending portfolio.
TMB has consistently set up
conservative provisions, therefore,
NPL resolution was speed up in 2Q16
by NPL write off and sale
Consequently, NPL ratio dropped to
2.87%
* Loan + interbank loan[14]
NPL Ratio at 2.87% of which majority was SME
TCG
claimable 4.4 bn
NPLs: 19.7 bn
From SME
NPL as of Jun-16 reduced to THB19,779 mn.
or 2.87% of total loans
From total NPLs of THB19.7 bn, THB14.6 bn
was NPLs in SME, of which THB4.4 bn was
claimable from TCG
14.6 bn
Jun-16
[15]
Ensure strong coverage Ratio
Coverage ratio improved to 143%
TMB has consistently maintained conservative
provision to ensure sufficiency and buffer provision
for both performing loan and NPLs
2.9%
of PL
58%
of NPL
Provision set
aside for PL is
equivalent to
Provision set
aside for NPL is
equivalent to
&
[16]
142% 140% 143%
0%
40%
80%
120%
160%
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
Coverage ratio
TMB took more prudent steps in setting up provision
With the write-off and to continue conservative
provision setting, TMB set up provision of THB2.0 bn
in 2Q16 (credit cost 135 bps)
Provision was THB3.9 bn in 1H16 (credit cost 131 bps)
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB3,736 mn THB3,875 mn +3.7%
136 bps 131 bps -5 bps
Provision expense
Credit cost
923
1,877 1,998
64
128135
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
Provision expense Provision expense Annualised credit cost
THB million bps
[17]
2Q16 and 1H16 Net profit growth
After provision, net profit was at THB2,151
million, +2.8% QoQ
For 1H16, net profit grew 8.9% YoY
+2.8%
6M2015 6M2016 YoY Growth(%)
THB3,897 mn THB4,243 mn +8.9%Net profit
[18]
Solid capital base under Basel III
TMB maintained capital base at high level under Basel III requirements
Tier 1 capital increased to 12.5% (entirely Core Tier 1) and total CAR increased to 18.0%.
[19]
1H16 & 2Q16 Financial Performance
Asset quality
Upcoming Digital Banking
AGENDA
[20]
TMB’s Journey and Digital Banking Evolutions
TMB created a strong foundation and faces limited headwind to succeed in digital era
• Built and expanded retail customer base from 500k to 2.3Mn active customers (AF 10% : MI 63% : Mass 27%)(1)
• Built strong customer base in supply chains and SMEs (>300k SME customers)
• Bolstered infrastructure and core banking systems
• Introduced Thailand’s first digital bank MEbyTMB
• Launched TMB TOUCH and redesigned TMB Internet Banking to create Omni-channel experiences
Limited headwind from digital disruptions as TMB
possesses limited physical networks
(ATMs 2,279 : ADMs 514 : Branch 453)(2)
Limited downside of Non-Interest Income reduction
because TMB had disrupted itself and forgone fee income
from transactions
(TMB transaction fee per retail customers of THB 215 vs
Peer of THB 884)(3)
Active digital channel uptake shows 156%(4) growth of new
TMB Internet Banking and TMB TOUCH users since JAN15
TMB to further utilize digital capabilities to provide the
right products to the right customers in the right channels
#TMBDigitalBankingเป็นทุกความเป็นไปได้ เพ่ือให้คุณใช้ชีวิตได้เต็มที่ในแบบที่คุณต้องการ
Internet of Things
Omni
Channel
Multi-
Channel
Integration
E-Banking
*Active digital customers : Active internet banking customers + active mobile banking customers [21]
[22]
Looking Ahead in Digital Banking Era for TMB
Limited negative impacts from digitalization but greater opportunities foreseen
PromptPay, in full adoption, would result in only 1-2% reduction in total fee income
Digital self-service and payments (PromptPay/Debit Cards) will replace assisted service at branch, thus, TMB expects to convert servicing activities into more sales activities (60% sales activities at branch within Y2020) while redeploying the remaining staff to other areas
Estimate sizable operational expense savings from lower cash handling
Lower risk cost from effective data driven predictive analysis
#TMBDigital
Banking
Financial Impacts from Digitalization
Using effective data analytics to transform from one-size-fits-all to targeted offers and sales (Growth in digital leads by 53% in Y2016)
Build and use capability to cross-sell on inbound traffic in each of our channels has already commenced in Y2016
Build and use digital marketing and digital sales to reach new customers (1Mn user sessions per month in 2016)
Automation to convert sales, lower acquisition costs and replace error-sensitive manual processing
MEbyTMB will become a fully digital bank honoring “Do-It-Yourself” philosophy to pass on the benefits to the customers
Leverage on PromptPay to introduce new innovative cash management products in order to capture transaction data between corporate clients and their SME suppliers/retail customers
Convert transaction data into credit applications, develop ‘single working capital platform’ and integrate into supply chain community for potential P2P lending
Enable operational excellence platform by enhancing current TMB TOUCH for multi-currency payment as well as integrating with customer journey to reduce clients’ daily operating workload
Explore Blockchain technology and its applications in banking products such as trade finance
Retail
Banking
Commercial Banking
Bank-wide
Digital banking plays more important role
No. of financial transactions via digital channel has
outpaced transactions via traditional channels and
the trend continues
Product holding and average revenue from digital
customer are higher than total bank average
(Product holding 1.85 vs 1.21)
In May-16, active digital customers growth rate was
156% (since launched TMB mobile banking)
Take up rate, therefore, rise further with digital
customers representing 15% of active digital
customers in May 16
+105.4% YoY
-6.1% YoY
+0.9% YoY
No. of transaction by channels
Financial transactions : Transfer + Bill Payment + ORFT
“Evidence shows digital customers have higher product holding than average”
*Active digital customers : Active internet banking customers + active mobile banking customers
6% 9% 10% 11% 13% 15%% Digital
customer*/ Active customers
+156% (Jan’ -May’16)
[23]
2016 Key financial targets
Key ratios 2015 Actual 1H16 2016 Target
Performing loan growth 9.5% 2.0% YTD 6-8% (Revised)
Deposit growth 12.8% -0.5% YTD 0-2% (Revised)
Net interest margin 3.0% 3.06% 3.0-3.2%
Net fee income growth 36.4% 1.6% 5-10% (Revised)
Cost to income ratio 49.2% 46.7% 46-49%
ROE 12.9% 10.7% 10-12% (Revised)
NPL ratio 2.99% 2.87% Approx. 3.0%
Coverage ratio 142% 143% Approx. 140-145%
[24][24]
TMB Bank Public Company Limited
3000 Phahonyothin Road
Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900
Website: www.tmbbank.com
Disclaimer
This presentation contains some information from other sources, that TMB Bank Public Company Limited does not make any representations
regarding the use, validity, accuracy, or reliability of, or the results of the use of information, data but not limited to, all text, and images (“the Content”)
on this presentation. Some content may contain forward looking statements, that based on management’s view upon the information currently
available to us. These statement are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results materially differed from what had been
previously stated. The materials in this presentation shall not, and are not intended to, constitute or contain an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities of TMB Bank Public Company Limited.
[25]