tm 14-1 copyright © 1998 addison wesley longman, inc. motives for holding money transaction

40
TM 14- pyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

Upload: buddy-powers

Post on 29-Dec-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-1Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Motives for Holding Money

• Transaction

Page 2: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-2Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Motives for Holding Money

• Transaction

• Precautionary

Page 3: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-3Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Motives for Holding Money

• Transaction

• Precautionary

• Portfolio

Page 4: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-4Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Portfolio Motive

The precautionary and transaction motives justify the classical economists’ argument that income determines the demand for money. The Portfolio motive distinguishes the classical and Keynesian theory of demand for money.

Page 5: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-5Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Portfolio Motive

According to the Keynes, there is a speculative motive for holding money.

Page 6: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-6Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Portfolio Motive

According to the Keynes, there is a speculative motive for

holding money. People hold money to take advantage of variation in bond prices in response to the expected changes in interest rates.

Page 7: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-7Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

Perpetuity: Non-maturing bond that pays an infinite stream of coupon returns.

Page 8: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-8Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a bond that matures two years from now?

Page 9: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-9Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a bond that matures two years from now?

PV = C/ (1+r) + C/ (1+r)2 + FV/ (1+r) 2

Page 10: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-10Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a bond that matures n years from now?

PV = C/ (1+r) +… + C/ (1+r)n + FV/ (1+r)n

Page 11: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-11Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

1) PB = C/ (1+r) + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3

+ C/ (1+r)4 + C/ (1+r)5….

Page 12: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-12Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce equation # 1 to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates.

Page 13: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-13Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce this to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship

between bond prices and interest rates. In order to do so we should multiply both sides by (1+r).

Page 14: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-14Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce this to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates. In order to do so we should multiply both sides by (1+r).

2) (1+r) PB = C + C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4….]

Page 15: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-15Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

What is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce this to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates. In order to do so we should multiply both sides by (1+r).

If we subtract 1 from 2, we have:

(1+r) PB - PB = C + C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4….] - [C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2

+ C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4 ……..]

Page 16: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-16Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest RatesWhat is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce this to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates. In order to do so we should multiply both sides by (1+r).

If we subtract 1 from 2, we have:

(1+r) PB - PB = C + C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4….] - [C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4 ……..]

eliminating those with +s and -s , we have :

Page 17: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-17Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest RatesWhat is the current market price of a perpetuity ?

We can reduce this to a simple formula that shows the inverse relationship between bond prices and interest rates. In order to do so we should multiply both sides by (1+r).

If we subtract 1 from 2, we have:

(1+r) PB - PB = C + C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4….] - [C/ (1+r)1 + C/ (1+r)2 + C/ (1+r)3 + C/ (1+r)4 ……..]

eliminating those with +s and -s , we have

(1+r) PB - PB = C or (1+r -1 ) PB = C

PB = C / r

Page 18: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-18Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

PB = C / r

This says that bond price , PB ,varies inversely with interest rate, r. The higher the interest rates the lower bond prices. Or, the higher the bond prices the lower the interest rates.

Page 19: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-19Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Bond Prices and Interest Rates

Question: If you expect interest rates to rise (fall) tomorrow, what will you advise your client?

Page 20: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-20Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• The Influences on Money Holding

• The quantity of money people hold depends on:

1) The price level

2) The interest rate

3) Real GDP

4) Financial innovation

Page 21: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-21Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• The Price Level

• Nominal money is the quantity of money measured in dollars.

Page 22: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-22Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• The Price Level

• Nominal money is the quantity of money measured in dollars.

• The quantity of nominal money demanded is proportional to the price level.

Page 23: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-23Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• The Price Level• Nominal money is the quantity of money measured in dollars.

• The quantity of nominal money demanded is proportional to the price level.

• Real money is the quantity of money measured in constant dollars.

Page 24: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-24Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• The Price Level• Nominal money is the quantity of money measured in dollars.

• The quantity of nominal money demanded is proportional to the price level.

• Real money is the quantity of money measured in constant dollars.

• The quantity of real money demanded is independent of the price level.

Page 25: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-25Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

The Interest Rate. The opportunity cost of holding money is the interest rate a person could earn on assets they could hold instead of money.

Page 26: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-26Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Real GDP

• Money holdings depend upon planned spending.

Page 27: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-27Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Real GDP• Money holdings depend upon planned spending.

• The quantity of money demanded in the economy as a whole depends on Real GDP.

Page 28: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-28Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Financial Innovation

• Changing technologies affect the quantity of money held.

Page 29: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-29Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Financial Innovation

• Changing technologies affect the quantity of money held. These include:

• Daily interest checking deposits

Page 30: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-30Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Financial Innovation• Changing technologies affect the quantity of money held. These include:

• Daily interest checking deposits

• Automatic transfers between checking and savings deposits

Page 31: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-31Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Financial Innovation• Changing technologies affect the quantity of money held. These include:

• Daily interest checking deposits

• Automatic transfers between checking and savings deposits

• Automatic teller machines

Page 32: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-32Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

what determines the demand for money?

• Financial Innovation• Changing technologies affect the quantity of money held. These include:

• Daily interest checking deposits

• Automatic transfers between checking and savings deposits

• Automatic teller machines

• Credit cards

Page 33: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-33Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Demand for Money

• The Demand for Money Curve

• The demand for money is the relationship between the quantity of real money demanded and the interest rate.

Page 34: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-34Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Demand for Money

Real money (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Inte

rest

rat

e (p

erce

nt

per

yea

r)

4

5

6

2.9 3.0 3.1

MD

Page 35: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-35Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Demand for Money

Real money (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Inte

rest

rat

e (p

erce

nt

per

yea

r)

4

5

6

2.9 3.0 3.1

MD

Effect of anincrease in the interestrate

Effect of anincrease in the interestrate

Page 36: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-36Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Demand for Money

• Shifts in the Demand Curve for Real Money

• Changes in real GDP or financial innovation changes the demand for money and shifts the demand curve for real money.

Page 37: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-37Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Changes in theDemand for Money

Real money (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Inte

rest

rat

e (p

erce

nt

per

yea

r)

4

5

6

2.9 3.0 3.1

MD0

Page 38: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-38Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Changes in theDemand for Money

Real money (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Inte

rest

rat

e (p

erce

nt

per

yea

r)

4

5

6

2.9 3.0 3.1

MD0MD1

Effect of decrease inreal GDP or financialinnovation

Page 39: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-39Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

Changes in theDemand for Money

Real money (trillions of 1992 dollars)

Inte

rest

rat

e (p

erce

nt

per

yea

r)

4

5

6

2.9 3.0 3.1

MD0

MD2

Effect of increasein real GDP

MD1

Effect of decrease inreal GDP or financialinnovation

Page 40: TM 14-1 Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. Motives for Holding Money Transaction

TM 14-40Copyright © 1998 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc.

The Demand for Moneyin the United states