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Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf H-JG Consulting www.hans-joachim-graf.com www.grafcompounder.com

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Page 1: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Tire Technology Conference 2015

The Smart Tire Factory

CARD - Computer Aided Recipe

Development

H-JG ConsultingDr. Hans-Joachim Graf

H-JG Consulting

www.hans-joachim-graf.com

www.grafcompounder.com

Page 2: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Content of this presentation1. Introduction2. Program idea3. Justification of calculation method4. Comparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

5. Outlook

H-JG ConsultingDr. Hans-Joachim Graf

www.hans-joachim-graf.com

Www.grafcompounder.com

Page 3: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

3

Computer Aided Compound Development

Bridgestone Patent 1994Inventor: Akihiko Abe

Bridgestone Patent 2002

Inventor: Yukio Nakajima

Colour MatchingPatents fromBASF, CyanAmid, DuPONT

Empirical DoE Patent:Honeywell

Recipe Libary Search and ComparisonCombiChem, GE, Hunt (Private)

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 4: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

4

Commercialization of Compound Calculation in the late 90ties based on neuronal network algorithm

Called CAD-CHEMDisadvantage

– Program needed a huge database– No transparency– No revision of database – Prediction of Compounds failed– High cost

• Program was taken from the market.

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 5: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

5

Computer Aided Recipe Development

Better utilization of historic compound data base Faster results - minimizes efforts and time in development Increases creativity through compound simulation

Compound calculation and simulation goes beyond „trial and error“ and typical statistical design of experiment (DoE) algorithms

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 6: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

6

Question: Why we can hardly take Compound Databases as working

capital,Saving time and effort in our daily work?

• Avoiding reinvention

• Increase our compounding knowledge.

• Gaining room for really new ideas in compound development

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 7: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

7

ProcessProcess

F1

F2

F3

Influences:Factors

Effects:Responses

R1, R

2,.. R

n

Objective of the Experiment should be the indentifcation of the most important factors (F

1,..F

n), to be able to measure Effects

(Responses R1,...R

n) and to describe there dependency in a

mathematical equation:

Ri(1...n)

= f(A0 + A

1F

1+....A

nF

n +....)R

i(1...n) = f(A

0 + A

1F

1+....A

nF

n +....)

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 8: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

8

The GrafCompounder uses the Multiple Linear Iteration method [MLI] to calculate a new recipe according to properties targeted

The GrafCompounder enables the user to analyze and improve their compound database via identification of faulty data sets

Each compound is taken into account for the calculation and the influence of each on the final result is visualized as a ratio

The GrafCompounder is a fast and easy to use tool without utilizing a complex “hidden” mathematical and analytical method

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 9: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

9

Database created with Statistic Experimental Design (DoE)

Organized / limited size Variation of few factors according DoE Optimization, numerical and graphical / prediction Tool

available in the software

CARD Computer Aided Recipe Development with GrafCompounderDatabase created historically

Unorganized / Unlimited

Multiple factor variation

Prediction according specification

Justification of calculation method

If the majority of factor / response relations are linear the MLI – method gives sufficient accurate results (95% confidence interval)

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 10: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

10

Line call out:– SEA J200: AA/BA/CA – NR, SBR, EPDM...and other Material

– SAE J200 M4 AA621 A13 B13 F17

AA 610

Suffix 2

RubberHardnessTensileElongation

NR60°ShA21 Mpa350%

A13 Heat AgingHardness ChangeChange TensileChange Elongation

70h / 70°C+ 15 °ShA+ 30 %- 50%

B13 C-Set (22h/70) < 25%

F17 Low Temperature Res.Non Brittle (3Min)

- 40 °Cpass

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 11: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

11

Properties of MB is determined by Polymer, CB and Oil content and the ratio or CB and Oil.

– Unit 2 as a reference (based on Cabot TG RG-135– …

– CB 550: 55 phr– Oil: 10 phr

– Mooney Viscosity: 71 M-Units– Hardness: 60 °ShA– Tensile: 21 MPa– Elongation: 460 %– C-Set: 28%

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualMooney 100°C

Design Points143

25

X1 = A: N550X2 = B: Oil

20.00 28.00 36.00 44.00 52.00 60.00 68.00 76.00 84.00 92.00 100.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00Mooney 100°C

A: N550

B: O

il

20

40

60 80100

120

NR Compound

SMR 5CV – 100 phrCB – VarOil – VarZnO – 5 phrStAc – 1 phrAO – 1 phrNR 100 phrMBTS – 0.6S – 2.5 phr

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 12: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

12

Properties of MB is determined by Polymer, CB and Oil content and the ratio or CB and Oil.

– Unit 2 as a reference (based on Cabot TG RG-135)– …

– CB 550: 55 phr

– Oil: 10 phr

– Mooney Viscosity: 66 – 71 M-Units

– Hardness: 58 – 62 °ShA

– Tensile: 20 – 22 MPa

– Elongation: 450 – 480 %

– C-Set: 26 – 30%

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualOverlay Plot

Mooney 100°CMooney t10HardnessTensileElongationCSet 70°C/22hDamping Cp

Design Points

X1 = A: N550X2 = B: Oil

20.00 28.00 36.00 44.00 52.00 60.00 68.00 76.00 84.00 92.00 100.00

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00Overlay Plot

A: N550

B: O

il

Mooney 100°C: 66.000

Mooney 100°C: 71.000

Mooney t10: 17.000

Mooney t10: 21.000

Hardness: 58.000

Hardness: 62.000

Tensile: 20.115

Tensile: 21.634

Elongation: 450.000

Elongation: 480.000CSet 70°C/22h: 26.000

CSet 70°C/22h: 30.000

Damping Cp: 6.000

Damping Cp: 6.200

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 13: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

13

Calculation method confirmation Prove with 1. NR Filler / Oil DoE – most of basic physicals are

linear2. Filler / Oil DoE3. Accelerator DoE

DoE with 4 Factors

Polymer used: EPDM (Vistalon 8600)

Factor Name Units Min Max

– A C6630 phr 60.00 95.00B CaCO3 phr 10.00 70.00C Clay phr 10.00 50.00D Oil phr 70.00 95.00

– A fractional factorial DoE with 11 compounds only!

1.

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 14: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

14

Rheological Data are examined

– MV and t5 - 125°C

can be measured quite accurate.

Both are significant with a linear model equation

Design-Expert® SoftwareMV

Color points by value ofMV:

41

18

Actual

Pre

dic

ted

Predicted vs. Actual

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00

MV

Design-Expert® SoftwareT5

Color points by value ofT5:

5.67

3.55

Actual

Pre

dic

ted

Predicted vs. Actual

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

6.00

3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00

T5

t5 - 125°C

MV

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 15: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

15

Optimization area calculated with Design Expert

Solution given by GrafCompounder

with the additional condition(CC 6630 – 73 phr)

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualOverlay Plot

MVT5t10

X1 = A: C6630X2 = B: CaCO3

Actual FactorsC: Clay = 32.30D: Oil = 70.00

60.00 67.00 74.00 81.00 88.00 95.00

10.00

16.00

22.00

28.00

34.00

40.00

46.00

52.00

58.00

64.00

70.00Overlay Plot

A: C6630

B: C

aC

O3

MV: 34.300 MV: 36.000

T5: 3.902

T5: 4.100

t10: 0.435

t10: 0.439

MV: 34.008T5: 4.032t10: 0.436X1 72.16X2 60.84

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 16: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

16

DoE published by DuPont Dow in 1998

– Factors: ENB, DTDC, S, MBT, TiTBD, ZdiBC, DTP

– DoE with 41 Experiments

Tensile at break is significant with linear model

– Sulfur has larger influence followed by DTDC and TiBTD, but negative

Elongation is significant with quadratic model, but linear model is a more than sufficient fit

– Sulfur has the largest influence followed by DTDC

Hardness is sufficient significant with linear model as well

– Main influence Sulfur, DTDC

Design-Expert® SoftwareZD

Color points by value ofZD:

561

141

Actual

Pre

dic

ted

Predicted vs. Actual

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00

Design-Expert® SoftwareZF

Color points by value ofZF:

14.5

6.6

Actual

Pre

dic

ted

Predicted vs. Actual

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00

Elongation

Tensile

2.

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 17: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

17

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualOverlay Plot

ZFZDHardness

X1 = A: A:ENBX2 = C: C:Sulfur

Actual FactorsB: B:DTDC = 0.98D: D:MBT = 1.00E: E:TiBTD = 1.51F: F:ZDiBC = 1.33G: G:DTP = 1.44

5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00

0.30

0.60

0.90

1.20

1.50Overlay Plot

A: A:ENB

C:

C:S

ulfu

r

ZF: 11.498

ZF: 12.000

ZD: 325.062

ZD: 335.107

Hardness: 66.013

Hardness: 67.489

ZF: 11.536ZD: 306.017Hardness: 68.146X1 6.50X2 0.98

Boundary Conditions– Select boundaries– ZF-MPa : 11.5-

12.0

– ZD-% : 325-335

– H-°ShA : 65-67

The Design Expert optimization graph shows the location of the result as a yellow area, but

GrafCompounder result is tagged with a flag.

Ingredients GrafCompounder Design Expert®

ENB 6.5 5.45

C:Sulfur 0.93 0.88

B:DTDC 0.98 0.98

D:MBT 1 1

E:TiBTD 1.51 1.51

F:ZDiBC 1.33 1.33

G:DTP 1.45 1.44

ZF 11.5 11.5

ZD 325 330

Hardness 67 67.5

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 18: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

18

Simulation of a DoE

Experiments made in the LaboratoryNR based Compound LL UL

Filler 1: CB 336 30 phr 70 phr

Filler 2: CB 550 0 phr 20 phr

Oil: Naphtenic Oil 5 phr 45 phr

Type of DoE: fractonal factorial

Software: Design Expert®

Calculation made with GrafCompounder

NR Formula index from MRPRA

Formula data adjusted, but responses taken as is.

For comparison: Hardness, Tensile - / Elongation at break

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

3.

Page 19: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

19

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Hardness:X1 – A: CB 336

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Hardness Simulation X1 – A: CB 330

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualHardness

X1 = A: C 336X2 = C: Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00

38.00

46.00

54.00

62.00

70.00

0

25

50

75

100

H

ard

ness

A: C 336 C: Oil

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualHardness

X1 = A: CB 330X2 = C: Napht Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00

38.00

46.00

54.00

62.00

70.00

0

25

50

75

100

H

ard

ness

A: CB 330 C: Napht Oil

Page 20: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

20

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Tensile at break:X1 – A: CB 336

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Tensile at break Simulation X1 – A: CB 330

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualTensile Strength

X1 = A: C 336X2 = C: Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00 38.00

46.00 54.00

62.00 70.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

Tensile S

trength

A: C 336

C: Oil

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualTS

X1 = A: CB 330X2 = C: Napht Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00 38.00

46.00 54.00

62.00 70.00

15

20

25

30

TS

A: CB 330

C: Napht Oil

Warning! Surface truncated by selected response (Y) range

Page 21: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

21

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Elongation at break:X1 – A: CB 336

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Elongation at break Simulation X1 – A: CB 330

X2 = C: Napht oil

B: CB 550 = 10.00 phr

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualOriginal Scale (median estimates)Elongation at Break

X1 = A: C 336X2 = C: Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00

38.00

46.00

54.00

62.00

70.00

300

400

500

600

700

800

Elo

ngation a

t Bre

ak

A: C 336 C: Oil

Design-Expert® SoftwareFactor Coding: ActualEB

X1 = A: CB 330X2 = C: Napht Oil

Actual FactorB: CB 550 = 10.00

5.00

13.00

21.00

29.00

37.00

45.00

30.00

38.00

46.00

54.00

62.00

70.00

300

400

500

600

700

800

E

B

A: CB 330 C: Napht Oil

Page 22: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

22

Screenshot of GrafCompounder with demo data, targets and a calculated compound

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 23: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

23

Recipe manager Creation of a formula according predefined criteria

Ingredients Properties

Traceability back to the starting formulas Analysis of outliers and their correction or elimination in the database is

possible. Integration of results from statistical experimental designs. Inquiry of databases of different origin, provided that an export of the data

is possible with Office programs.

Result of the calculations MUST be confirmed by an experiment. Probability of a match between calculation and confirmation experiment

result is about 90-5% according first experience

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 24: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

24

Examples show: The resulting formulas calculated correspond to the general rules

of compounding– Differences with calculations based on regression is

marginal The formulas will show property scores

larger than the 90 % – 95 % confidence interval in confirmation experiment

Only one confirmation experiment would be needed as opposed to multiple trials in case of development targets.

More information under: www.grafcompounder.com

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook

Page 25: Tire Technology Conference 2015 - GrafCompounder - Computer Aided Recipe...Tire Technology Conference 2015 The Smart Tire Factory CARD - Computer Aided Recipe Development H-JG Consulting

Dr. Hans-Joachim Graf

25

Release of the „GrafCompounder“ Version 2.004 November 2014 A simulation of a statistic experimental design is conducted

between standard DoE software and GrafCompounder will be presented in more detail at IRC / DKT 2015 in Nueremberg / Germany

More information under: www.grafcompounder.com

Thank you for joining this presentation.

Any question, comment?

IntroductionProgram ideaJustification of MethodComparison with DoE Software calculation

Filler / Oil DesignAccelerator DesignDoE Simulation

Outlook