timingresearch crowd forecast newsletter (beta) week 81 ... › downloads › trreport041215.pdfweek...

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter (Beta)Week 81 – 04/12/15 Report

Open-ended responses for Questions #1, #4, and #5 start on page 3.

Question #2. Based on any technical or fundamental indicators you want to use, would you predict that the S&P 500 index will move higher or lower next week? (from Monday's open to Friday's close; April 13-17)

Higher: 68.6%Lower: 31.4%

Question #3. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 on a scale of 0 to 10 (with 0 being no confidence and 10 being extremely confident).

Average of All Responses: 6.914Average For "Higher" Responses: 7.208Average For "Lower" Responses: 6.273

Responses Submitted This Week: 35

Brief Analysis: Last week's sentiment was correct as the S&P500 gained 1.80%. This week strong bullishness continues along with higher average confidence on the bullish side.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):TimingResearch.com/rawdata.

Copyright TimingResearch.com 2015Be sure you are registered at TimingResearch.com to participate and receive the weekly updates. - page 1/5

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, "Date" field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Correct Percentage: 48.7%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reportsRaw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdataCurrent Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurveyAny feedback email: [email protected]


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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous responders tothis survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read and are listed in order of submission. Some useless/irrelevant responses (e.g. "none") have been omitted. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/rawdata.

Question #1. What developing events (technical or fundamental) will you be watching out for next week (April 13-17) that might have a positive or negative impact on the S&P 500 andother US markets?

• view forex factory• Earnings from major companies, especially forecasts to determine stock direction.• Zee.• Earnings Season• none• Earnings earnings earnings• earnings and the dollar• Earnings season behaviour.• Earnings• Upside surprises• FED reports, any change in interest rates,news from oil producing regions and any news of

terrorist activity that may cause even a short term market reaction.• "Oil

Uptrend Market"• earnings report• Earnings, oil prices• bad earnings AND negative forecasts will finally bring the market down. 10 yr rates will

approach 1.8• Earnings, Greece, Oil• Momentum : Positive• gold and oil• GOLD and VIX.• earnings• greece, earnings reports• Will FXI pull back? New highs in indices? What effect will earnings have?• oil, dollar, earnimhs• Hellery Clinton's announcement? Options expiration Yemen fighting?


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Question #4. Which asset type (e.g. stocks, options, forex, futures, etc.) do you think is easiest to trade profitably and why do you think that type is easiest?

• forex as changes but with more predictability versus US stocks. Also seasonal/earnings options but very tricky with most companies expected not to meet estimates

• Volatility ETF because it can change with news, it does require alerts or frequent check-in.• Spx• "any of the major commodities on the futures markets that includes ALL so currencies,

indicies, softs, metals, financials, ags, energies, grains etc., either from a weekly or daily chart. Weekly is best.Also Forex is easy to trade from a weekly or daily chart. So many pairs that some are always trending."

• unknown, I have not traded all of the asset classes listed• SPX, and DJI as they in important resistance, therefore some participants normally try to get

out or profit from a small tirer a profit round.• None without education. Options with education the easiest.• SPY due to high liquidity and deep, granular option markets• Options. Easy to purchase / sell. Also, the rapid decay when shorting near expiration

options makes them ideal trading vehicles for income.• Stocks. Ease of earnings reports and buy & sale volume• options,low prices and market liquidity• currencies. Less volatile on weekly basis with predictable influences.• Stocks, must learn to trade this asset first as it provides a base foe all other asset classes.• Stocks• options / depending upon the option you cantrade them weekly and with great liquidity• Credit Option Spreads. Make money on 4 out of 5 ways a stock can move.• futures• futures . quick profit turnaround• options - especially for those with limited capital. You can stay in the game long enough to

succeed with limited risk trades without relying on stops on stocks that can become worthless on gaps.

• stocks options• Stocks but need good ones and must navigate market environment


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Question #5: Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

Thank you for all the feedback, feel free to contact us at any time with any other questions or comments.

• Tricky market in 2015• We have had low volatility past couple of weeks, tension building with expected reaction

(strong move) within next month.• Which live daily trade room on the TF makes 6-10 points a day. I would like to know. I think

you had sent me a notice showing one trade room that does this...I only want live calls...NO Training.

• Gret job, please keep on.• Thank You :-)

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timingresearch crowd forecast newsletter (beta) week 81 ... › downloads › trreport041215.pdfweek...

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