1Thursday 28th April 2011

Thailand’s Energy Situation

Sompop Pattanariyankool

Office of the Permanent Secretary

Ministry of Energy

Content

1. Thailand’s Energy Demand

2. Thailand’s Energy Supply

3. Magic numbers

Outline of today presentation

Content

1. Thailand’s Energy Demand

2. Thailand’s Energy Supply

3. Magic numbers

Outline of today presentation

4

Primary vs. Final energy consumption

*Source: IEA Statistics Manual

5

Primary Commercial Energy Consumption

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

   2007

200

8 20092010

201

1*

Total Consumption 1,604 1,618 1,663 1783 1851

- Oil 667 634 643 652 686

- Natural Gas 615 648 682 784 799

- Imported Coal 180 199 205 211 213

- Domestic Lignite 99 101 98 98 108

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 43 36 35 36 45

Growth Rate (%)

Total Consumption 38 09. 2.8 72. 56.

- Oil -1.0 -5.0 1.4 15. 19.

- Natural Gas 6.2 54. 5.2 150. 86.

- Imported Coal 285. 10.6 2.9 31. 13.

- Domestic Lignite -78. 2.4 -3.4 04. 124.

- Hydro/Imported Elec. -2.5 -17.4 -1.1 28. 187.

*Jan - Feb

6

2%

37%43%

18%

OilNatural

Gas

Hydro/Imported Elec.Coal/Lignite

Primary Commercial Energy Consumption 2010 1.78 million barrel of crude oil equivalent (BOE)/day

7

Final Commercial Energy Consumption*

Source: www.eppo.go.th

  2006200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1*

Total Consumption

1,040 1,088 1,098 1,133 1,191 1,222

- Oil 638 652 629 640 650 684

- Natural Gas 59 74 87 106 123 135

- Imported Coal 91 108 125 131 138 133

- Domestic Lignite

29 21 20 20 19 21

- Electricity 223 233 236 237 262 249

Growth Rate (%) 

Total Consumption

-0.6 46. 0 .9 32. 51. 2.8

- Oil -2.5 2.2 -3.5 18 14. 1.8

- Natural Gas 7.1 24.5 18.1 211. 168. 11.7

- Imported Coal 119. 193. 156. 44. 54. 2.5

- Domestic Lignite

-32.2 -28.9 -1.9 -3.6 -26. 11.9

- Electricity 4.5 4.5 1.3 0.3 104. 0.7

GDP (%) 5.1 4.9 25. -23. 78.

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

*Jan - Feb

8

Final Commercial Energy Consumption 2010 1.19 million barrel of crude oil equivalent (BOE)/day

22%

10%

13%

55%

OilCoal/lignite

Natural Gas

Electricity

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

9

Final Commercial Energy Consumption by Sector

*Source: www.dede.go.th

Agriculture5%

Industry36%

Residential16%

Commercial8%

Transportation35%

10

Petroleum Product Consumption 2010

Petroleum product Million litre/day

Gasohol 120.

Gasoline 8.3

Diesel 506

Fuel oil 72.

LPG and NGV

LPG (million kg./day) 150.

NGV (million cubic feet/day) 2100.

7

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

11

Natural Gas Consumption

Consumption Share

Sector200

6

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11*

Power Generation 2,257 2,346 2,423 2,435 2,728 2,446

GSP 527 572 583 599 652 850

Industry 291 347 361 387 478 493

Automobile (NGV) 11 24 77 143 181 218

Total 3,086 3,288 3,444 3,564 4,039 4,006

Sector20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11*

Power Generation 73 71 70 68 68 61

GSP 17 17 17 17 16 21

Industry 9 11 11 11 12 12

Automobile (NGV) 0.4 1 2 4 4 6

Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Unit: MMSCFD

Unit: %

*Jan - Feb

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

Electricity Consumption

- 12 -

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2005

20062007

2008

2009

2010

GW

H

2011

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

13

Electricity consumption by sector

Sector 2008 2009 2010 Share (%)

  2010

Residential 28,692 30,258 33,214 2233

Commercial 33,116 32,634 35,980 2419. %

Industry 60,057 59,402 65,957 4435. %

Agriculture 288 316 335 023. %

Others 12,259 12,183 13,223 889. %

Total 134,412 134,793 148,709

Unit: GWh

Source: www.eppo.go.th

14

Energy and Economy

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2524

2525

2526

2527

2528

2529

2530

2531

2532

2533

2534

2535

2536

2537

2538

2539

2540

2541

2542

2543

2544

2545

2546

2547

2548

2549

2550

2551

2552

2553

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Final commercial energy consumption (Kilo ton of crude oil equivalent)

Ktoe, milion kWh Billion Baht

Gross Domestic Produce (Billion baht)

Electricity Consumption (Million kWh)

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

Content

1. Thailand’s Energy Demand

2. Thailand’s Energy Supply

3. Magic numbers

Outline of today presentation

16

Energy supply and transformation

*Source: IEA Statistics Manual

17

Crude Oil Supply Oil import accounted for 85% of supply in 2010

   2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*

Benjamas 50,004 42,132 44,960 29,067 26,665 26,998

Sirikit 18,775 20,511 20,942 21,324 21,808 19,652

Tantawan 8,296 7,703 6,505 6,196 3,860 4,822

Unocal (Big Oil Project) 38,679 39,215 35,559 33,766 36,998 28,853

Jusmin 8,649 19,267 18,292 13,637 13,868 12,859

Bualaung - - 3,324 8,916 8,327 6,529

Songkha - - 287 5,063 7 ,926 8,023

Lanta - - - 5,319 7,019 3,453

Others 4,547 5,735 14,066 30,753 26,703 24,637

Total Domestic Prod. 128,950 134,563 143,935 154,041 153,174 135,826

Import 829,300 804,242 811,561 803,362 816,201 779,439

Grand Total 958,250 938,805 955,496 957,403 969,375 915,265

Unit: Barrels/Day

*Jan - Feb

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

18

Crude oil import by sources

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*

Growth Rate(%)

Share(%)

2010 2011* 2011*

Middle

East

36,747 39,145 36,601 34,553 4,714 -5.6 -19.5 64

Far East3,469 3,128 4,951 3,825 426 -22.8 -60.0 6

Others6,456 4,952 5,068 8,987 2,172 77.3 238.2 30

Total46,671 47,225 46,620 47,365 7,311 1.6 -3.3 100

Unit: Million Litres

*Jan - Feb

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

19

2006 2007 2008200

9201

02011*

Share(%)

201

1*

DomesticProduction

2,353 2,515 2,7782,99

03,51

13 ,747

84

Import(Myanmar)

869 906 828 803 853 702 16

Total 3,222 3,421 3,6063,79

44,36

44,449

10

0

Unit: MMSCFD

Natural gas supply

19

*Jan - Feb

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

20

Electricity generation by source 2010

18%4%3%

2%

72%

0.4%

Oil

Natural Gas

Hydro

CoalImport

Renewable

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

Power generation installed capacity

EGAT 14,998 MW (49%)

IPP 12,152 MW (39%)

Import/Exchange 1,588 MW (5%)

SPP 2,182 MW (7%)

2121

*Jan - Feb

*Source: www.eppo.go.th

Content

1. Thailand’s Energy Demand

2. Thailand’s Energy Supply

3. Magic numbers

Outline of today presentation

23

Stories behind the number

A picture is worth a thousand words.

A number can tell (quite) a lot of stories !!! (too).

24

In 2010, Thailand’s energy expenditure

on energy is more than 1.79 trillion baht.

Influenced by high oil price17.7% of GDP

Policy energy efficiency

Government policy on energy price

subsidy

25

Thailand imports more than

80% of crude oil.

Direct impact from high oil price

Limited domestic reserve/productio

n

Policy on alternative fuel such as NGV and biofuel

(ethanol/biodiesl

International cooperation on

petroleum security

2010 crude import = 751 billion baht

26

Natural gas accounts for

70% of fuel for power generation.

Risk from highly dependence on

single fuel source

Public acceptance problem other

technology ie. coal

Power development plan with diversified

fuel source

Development of emergency response

Securing Energy Resources

Ensure Fair Energy Price

Set Renewable Energy as

National Agenda

Preserving Environment coupled with Energy

Development and Consumption

Encouraging Energy

Conservation

11

22

3344

55

Oil

Natural Gas

Electricity

Alternative Energy

E85

Ethanol based oil

Bio Diesel

NGV

Wind /Solar /

Biogas / Biomass /

Small Hydro energy

Conservation

Measure

Efficiency Standard

Encouraging Private

Investment

Price structure

reflect its genuine

cost

Develop Services

Quality

Safety in Energy

Related business

Green house

Emission Reduction

Support CDM

Projects

Policy

Policy

Policy

Policy

Policy

Thailand’s Energy Policy

Presented to the Parliament on Dec 30th 2008

กระทรวงพลังงาน – www.energy.go.th

• Energy Policy and Planning Office- www.eppo.go.th• Department of Mineral Fuels – www.dmf.go.th • Department of Energy Business– www.doeb.go.th• Department of Alternative Energy Development

and Efficiency - www.dede.go.th