throwing light on the future; mega trends that will shape the world
DESCRIPTION
Daniel Shepherd, Vice President, Frost & Sullivan presents at the CIO Event.For more information Click herehttp://bit.ly/oR262iTRANSCRIPT
Daniel ShepherdVice PresidentFrost & Sullivan
Throwing Light on the Future;Mega Trends That Will Shape the World
Introduction to Mega Trends
What is a Mega Trend? Impact of Mega Trends on Key Organisational Functions
• Transformative• Global forces• Define the future• Far reaching impact
Marketing and Strategy
R&D Budget Spending
Product Planning and Development
Technology Planning
Innovation Scouting
Mega CityMega RegionsMega CorridorsSMART Cities and SMART Infrastructure
Generation YWomen Empowerment and Women CEOsPower to the Middle Class Reverse Brain Drain and CXO Positions inDeveloping EconomiesSix Degrees Apart: Geo Socialization
Beyond BRIC: The Next Game ChangersNew Shores: Emerging OutsourcingHotspotsFuture Global 500 Companies by Region New Trade Zones
SMART Clouds: The Next in CloudComputingSPACE JAM: Congested Satellite OrbitsVirtual World: Fluid Interfaces andHaptic TechnologyRoboSlavesFuture of Consumer ElectronicsWireless IntelligenceFuture Broadband Applications World War 3: Cyber WarfareInnovative Technologies of the Future
URB
AN
IZAT
ION
SOCI
AL
ECO
NO
MY
TECH
NO
LOG
Y
Future of Global Power GenerationInnovating to Zero !: Zero EmissionTechnologiesEN
ERG
Y
Electric VehiclesElectric Aircrafts
E-M
OBI
LITY
Future Investment in Infrastructure:Power, Water and TransportEmerging Transportation Corridors
INFR
AST
RUCT
URE
New Business ModelsBU
SIN
ESS
From Fat to Fit: Health,Wellness and Well BeingH
EALT
HSM
ART
FA
CTO
RY Factory of the Future: SMART andGREEN
We study the impact of >35 Mega Trends
The Future is Smart
MEGA CITY City With A Minimum
Population Of 8 Million and GDP of $250 Million in
2025 (13 Mega Cities in 2011 and 25 Mega Cities in
2025)
EXAMPLE: Greater London
MEGA REGIONS Cities Combining With Suburbs To
Form Regions. (Population over 15 Million)
EXAMPLE: Johannesburg and Pretoria (forming
“Jo-Toria”)
MEGA CORRIDORS The Corridors Connecting Two Major Cities or Mega Regions
EXAMPLE: Hong Kong-Shenzhen-Guangzhou in China (Population
120 Million)
Urbanization – an underlying theme
Zero Emissions from Cars
Zero Accidents
Zero Breaches of Security
Zero Crime Rates
Zero Waste/ Emissions from
Factories
Complete Recyclability from
Households (Cradle to Cradle Concept)
Zero Defects
Zero Debts
“Innovating To ZERO”
Smart Cities Smart Technology Smart Infrastructure Smart Energy
Smart Mobility Smart Buildings Smart Grids Smart Clouds
Smart Materials Smart Bandages Smart Phones Smart Meters
Smart is the new Green
‘S” Governance
‘S’ City Planning
‘S’ Energy
‘S’ Business
‘S’ Mobility
‘S’ Citizen
‘S’ Buildings
‘S’ Information Technology
Smart Diamond defines the Smart City
Cities built from scratch
Existing eco cities
Existing eco megacities
Treasure Island
Boulder
ArcosantiCoyote Springs
Destiny
Babcock Ranch
Vancouver
Toronto
San Francisco
PortlandSeattle
Curitiba
Montreal
Bogota
St Davids
Clonburris
Göteborg
Hammarby Sjöstad
London
Barcelona
Reykjavik Oslo
Freiburg
Stockholm
Paris
Copenhagen
Kochi
GIFT
Cape Town
Pune
Dongtan
Tianjin
Changsha
KhajurahoMeixi Lake
Waitakere, N.Z.
Singapore City
Songdo
Moreland, Australia
Amsterdam
Masdar
Legend
>40 Smart Cities by 2020
Smart Homes – a $20bn opportunity in 2020
Smart Fridge: Built in Touch Screen with connectivity to
nearby grocery shop
Holodeck Adventures At Home: Ready-To-Entertain Living
Rooms,:3D HD TV, Immersive Gaming Experiences, Movies-On-Demand Controlled by Gesture or
Voice Command
Smart Building Controls and Management: Monitors Mood
Lighting, Curtains, Sets Security, Adjusts Temperature and Fully
Linked to Mobile, Office PC and Car
Internet Radio: Portable Radio with wireless Internet
Connection Streams
Smart Safety and Security: Automated Lock Systems,
Motion Detectors Can Send Alarms to Mobile Phones
Constant and Pervasive WiFi Network and WiMax and 4G
Technology
Holodecks (showing Infinity Pools and Other Landscape) To Provide
Illusion of A Beautiful Scene Outside
Smart Office – Driving productivity and efficiency
Wellbeing Zones: To Lessen Stress and Enhance
Productivity
Telepresence Technology to Lessen Business Travel
Seamless Switching Between Laptops and Panel Display Enabling
New Meeting Dynamics and Interaction
New Hospitality Models Entering the Corporate
Environment
Meaningful Workplace Designs to Create
Personalized Experience, Customized Ergonomic
Solutions
Smart Clouds Enabling Real-Time Integration of Idea Capture and
Information Sharing
Wellness at the Desk: Correct Display Screen Set-Up, Mood Lighting,
Massage Chairs and Stress Management
Workshops
Paperless Meeting Rooms : Using Multitouch and Haptics on the Table
Virtual World 2020 – driving our form of interaction
Virtual Shopping Allowing Customers to Try Products without leaving their homes
Virtual Classes and Laboratories and Daily 3D Field Trips
to Different Countries and Planets
Virtual Surgeries and Medical Training Virtual Business Conferences
Social Networking: 3D Avatars Enabling People to Lead Multiple
Lives
Mega Trends are relevant to you because …
Generation Y: 1/3 of the world’s population by 2020
Personalization and
Individualization
Techno Savvy and Connected
24 X 7
Civic and Environmentally
Friendly
Demanding and Impatient – “Fast and the Furious”
Personalized Search and News
Social Networking Profiles
Personalized Products
Gaming Gizmos
Smart Phones
Facebook-on-the Move
Microblogs
Eco- Transport
Bag-For-Life (Paper Bags Instead of Plastic)
Paperless Banking
Instant Text Messaging
Instant Chat
Speed Oriented Gaming (Car Racing)
Middle Class to account for >50% of world population by 2020
Percent of Global Middle Class Across Developing
Regions in 2020
Note: The Middle Class in the graph are defined as people with Incomes between$6,000 and $30,000 found in developing countries. However, this definition could differ marginally from country.
Global Income Pyramid, 2010 and 2020
2010 2020
$6,000
$30,000
24% China
7% CEE
8%
16%Rest of
Asia
4%
31%India
10%Africa
2020
Middle East
Latin America
The word ‘Ecosystem’ starts to mean something
IT PlayersAutomation/Building
Control Players
Energy/InfrastructurePlayers
• IP Networks• Digital Technology• Analysis Software• Wireless Communication• Technology Integration• Network Security• Etc.
• T&D Technology• Power Electronics• Renewable Energy• Integrated Distribution Management• Substation Automation• AMI-Enabled Metering• Etc.
• Building Automation• Demand-Side Management• Connectivity of devices• Monitoring and Sensing• Smart Grid Integration• Etc.