three essays on corporate disclosure
TRANSCRIPT
ThreeEssaysonCorporateDisclosure
Dissertation
AttheFrankfurtSchoolofFinanceandManagement
Supervisedby(alphabetically)
Prof.Dr.YupingJiaProf.Dr.ChristopherKochProf.Dr.JörgR.Werner
Submittedby
ElisabethPaulineKläsDisputationdate:12.04.2018
FrankfurtamMain,October2017
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TableofContent
Acknowledgments...........................................................................................................................3
Introduction......................................................................................................................................4
StrategicNewsDisclosurebeforeIndexRecompositions...............................................10
ExtendedAuditorReportingandPrivateInformationDisclosure..............................42
MandatoryFinancialReportingandCompetition.............................................................77
StatementofCertification.......................................................................................................109
CurriculumVitae........................................................................................................................110
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Acknowledgments
Firstandforemost,IwouldliketoexpressmyspecialappreciationandthankstoProfessorDr.
JörgR.Wernerforhiscontinuoussupportandencouragementofmyresearch.Iappreciateall
hisideas,insights,andcomments.
Furthermore, I would especially like to thank Professor Dr. Yuping Jia for her guidance. My
researchgreatlybenefittedfromhervaluablecommentsandsuggestions.
Mysincerestthanksalsogotomyco‐author,Dr.ChristianWilk,forhistremendouseffortand
dedication.Ithoroughlyenjoyedourcollaboration.
IamgratefultoProfessorDr.NicoleV.S.Ratzinger‐Sakelforhervaluablefeedback.Moreover,I
would to thank Professor Dr. Christopher Koch for taking the time to serve as my external
supervisor.
Lastbutbynomeansleast,Iwouldliketothankmyfamily,friendsandfellowPhDstudentsfor
alwayssupportingandencouragingme.
Thankyouverymuch.
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Introduction
This cumulative dissertation contributes to the empirical literature on corporate disclosure.
Corporatedisclosureisacentralthemeintheaccountingliterature.Itsimportancestemsfrom
thefact thattheavailabilityof information iscrucial fortheefficientallocationofresources in
capital markets (see, e.g., Healy and Palepu [2001]). Capital‐market participants need
information to decide whether to buy, hold, or sell a firm’s equity and debt instruments, or
whether to provide loans.With everynewpieceof public information, investorsupdate their
currentbeliefs,thusenablingthemtomakeinformedinvestmentdecisions.
Informationasymmetriesandagencycosts,however,impedethemarket’sefficientfunctioning
(Healy and Palepu [2001]). In his seminal paper, Akerlof [1970] describes how information
asymmetriesandconflicting incentivesbetweenbuyersandsellerscan lead tomarket failure.
Whenevercapital‐marketparticipantsareunabletoex‐anteassessthetruthfulnessofmanagers’
informationdisclosure,theywillundervaluegoodfirmsandovervaluebadfirms.Agencycosts
are a consequence of the separation of ownership and control (Jensen andMeckling [1976]).
Investorsoftendonothavethetimeorresourcestobeactively involved inacompany’sdaily
operations.Actingastheprincipal,theydelegatethecontroltoautility‐maximizingagent,who
actsontheirbehalfbutnotnecessarilyintheprincipals’bestinterests.
Corporatedisclosureplaysanessential role incapitalmarketsbecause it reduces information
asymmetries and agency costs. For example, accounting information allows capital‐market
participantstoassessafirm’sperformanceandthusmakeinformedinvestmentdecisions.After
the investment, accounting information can be used to monitor the firm’s management and
assess whether it handles the firm’s resources responsibly (Beyer, Cohen, Lys, and Walther
[2010]).
Economic theorysuggests thepresenceof informationasymmetries increasesa firm’sbid‐ask
spreadanddecreasesits liquidity(GlostenandMilgrom[1985]).Firmscanmitigatethiseffect
bydisclosingprivateinformation,whichreducesinformationasymmetriesandthusincreasesa
firm’s market capitalization via a decrease in its cost of capital (Diamond and Verrecchia
[1991]).Severalstudiesprovideempiricalsupportforthisnotionbydocumentingthepositive
capital‐marketeffectsofmandatoryandvoluntarydisclosure(e.g.,LeuzandVerrecchia[2000];
Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and Ljungqvist [2014]). However, prior literature further shows
that firms—beingawareof thismechanism—exploit the timingand contentof information to
influence stock prices, such as in the context of stock repurchases (Brockman, Khurana, and
Martin[2008])orM&Atransactions(AhernandSosyura[2014]).
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The first paperofmydissertation (“StrategicNewsDisclosurebefore IndexRecompositions”)
contributes to the research on corporate disclosure by examiningwhether firms strategically
disseminate information before index recompositions in order to boost their chances of
favorably switching indexes. The economic intuition is thatmembership in the Russell Index
familyisbasedonafirm’smarketcapitalizationonly.Favorablyimpactingindexrecompositions
canthusbestbeachievedbynewsdisclosure.Wefindthatfirmsmovingfromthelower‐ranked
Russell 2000 to the higher‐ranked Russell 1000 disclose significantly more firm‐initiated,
discretionary news prior to index recompositions, as compared to a control group of non‐
movingfirms.Wefurthershowthisdisclosurestrategyallowsfirmstotemporarilyrunupstock
prices.Eachadditionalnewsreleaseincreasesafirm’sprobabilityoffavorablyswitchingindexes
byapproximately1%.
Tothebestofourknowledge,ourpaperisthefirstcomprehensivestudyofstrategiccorporate
news disclosure in the context of index recompositions. Our study offers economic and
methodologicalcontributions.First, itcontributestotheliteratureonstrategiccorporatenews
disclosure by identifying a novel setting in which managers use discretionary news to
temporarily run up stock prices. Our findings are interesting for researchers and investors
because they serve as an indicator to ex‐ante identify potential index movers. Second, we
contributetoarecentstringofliteraturethatusesthesettingofRussellIndexrecompositionsas
aquasi‐naturalexperimentforregressiondiscontinuitydesign(e.g.,Chang,Hong,andLiskovich
[2015];BirdandKarolyi[2017]).Thesestudiesassumefirmsaroundtheindexcutoffarelocally
randomized,andthushavesimilarfirmcharacteristicspriortoindexrecompositionsanddiffer
only in terms of their index membership. Our findings, however, suggest differences in the
disclosurebehaviorofmovingandnon‐movingfirmslocatedjustbelowtheRussell1000Index
cutoff.
The external verification of annual reports promotes confidence in the credibility of firms’
mandatory financial reporting. The audit is thus an additional mechanism to mitigate
information asymmetries between a firm and capital‐market participants. The primary tool
through which financial‐statement users obtain information about the audit is the auditor’s
report.However,usershave increasinglyraisedconcernsaboutthereport’s informativevalue
due to its standardized nature. The UK was the first country to implement measures that
respondtousers’callsformoreinformativeauditor’sreports.
The second paper of my dissertation (“Extended Auditor Reporting and Private Information
Disclosure”)examinestheinformationcontentoftheextendedUKauditor’sreportbyanalyzing
investor reactions to management forecasts before and after the implementation of the new
auditing standard. The intuition is that an informative auditor’s report increases investors’
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understanding of and trust in the audit’s verification role and therefore the credibility of
managers’ ex‐ante unverifiable private information disclosures. We document a decrease in
information asymmetries and an increase in absolute cumulative abnormal returns around
managementforecastsfollowingthedisclosureofthenewaudit‐relatedinformation.Thiseffect
isconcentratedamongfirmswithmoredetailedauditor’sreports,ahighernumberofrisks,and
lowergroupmaterialitythresholds.
Our paper contributes to the mixed empirical evidence on the information content of the
enhancedauditor’sreportpresentedinconcurrentstudiesbyexaminingitspotentiallyindirect
effects (Lennox, Schmidt, and Thompson [2017]; Reid, Carcello, Li, and Neal [2015a]). We
furthercontributetotheliteratureonthecomplementaryroleofauditedfinancialinformation
andvoluntarydisclosures(Ball,Jayaraman,andShivakumar[2012])byshowinghowinvestors
usedifferenttypesofaudit‐relatedinformationwhenassessingthecredibilityofmanagement‐
earningsforecasts.Inlightofinternationalinstitutionsandnationalregulatorsannouncingand
implementing similar requirements, understanding how the new disclosures add to the
informationsetthatisavailabletofinancial‐statementusersisessential.
Corporatedisclosurecomesatthecostofrevealingproprietaryinformationtothepublic,thus
potentially impairing a firm’s competitiveness (Verrecchia [1983];Wagenhofer [1990]). Prior
literature has documented that firms’ concerns about proprietary costs shape their voluntary
andmandatorydisclosurebehavior (e.g.,Ellis,Fee,andThomas [2012];BotosanandStanford
[2005]). However, little is known about the extent to which mandatory financial reporting
actuallyrevealsproprietaryinformation.
UsingthemandatoryIFRSadoptioninEuropeasanexogenousshocktomandatorydisclosure,
the third paper of my dissertation (“Mandatory Financial Reporting and Competition”)
investigates the effect of mandatory financial reporting on a firm’s competitiveness. The
economicintuitionisthatIFRSisconsideredtobeofhigherqualitythanlocalGAAP.Afterthe
adoptionofIFRS,afirm’sfinancialstatementrevealsmoreinformationthatmaybevaluableto
itspeers,thuspotentiallyimpairingthefirm’scompetitiveness.Ifindmandatoryadopterssuffer
competitively relative to voluntary adopters following the introduction of IFRS. This effect
occurs through the mechanisms of increased disclosures and enhanced financial‐statement
comparability. Additional analyses reveal not all types of accounting information are equally
importanttocompetitors.
Mystudyaddstothescarceliteratureontheproprietarycostsofmandatorydisclosure(Zhou
[2014])byshowingthatseveralIFRSaccountingstandardsrevealproprietaryinformationand
thus impacta firm’scompetitiveness.Moreover, Icontribute to the literatureontheeconomic
effects of themandatory IFRS adoption (e.g., Li [2010]; Chen, Young, and Zhuang [2013]) by
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beingoneofa fewpapers thathighlight its firm‐specific costs.My findingsare interesting for
regulators and standard setters because they inform about the potential externalities of
mandatoryfinancialreporting.
8
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BIRD,A.andS.A.KAROLYI."GovernanceandTaxes:EvidencefromRegressionDiscontinuity."TheAccountingReview92(2017):29–50.
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BROCKMAN,P.;I.K.KHURANAandX.MARTIN."VoluntaryDisclosuresAroundShareRepurchases."JournalofFinancialEconomics89(2008):175‐191.
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ELLIS,J.A.;C.E.FEEandS.E.THOMAS."ProprietaryCostsandtheDisclosureofInformationAboutCustomers."JournalofAccountingResearch50(2012):685‐727.
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JENSEN,M.C.andW.H.MECKLING."TheoryoftheFirm:ManagerialBehavior,AgencyCostsandOwnershipStructure."JournalofFinancialEconomics3(1976):305‐360.
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LENNOX,C.S.;J.J.SCHMIDTandA.M.THOMPSON."IstheExpandedModelofAuditReportingInformativetoInvestors?EvidencefromtheUK."UnpublishedPaper,UniversityofSouthernCalifornia,UniversityofTexasatAustinandUniversityofIllinoisatUrbana‐Champaign,2017.Availableathttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2619785.
LEUZ,C.andR.E.VERRECCHIA."TheEconomicConsequencesofIncreasedDisclosure."JournalofAccountingResearch38(2000):91‐124.
LI,S."DoesMandatoryAdoptionofInternationalFinancialReportingStandardsintheEuropeanUnionReducetheCostofEquityCapital?"TheAccountingReview85(2010):607–636.
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VERRECCHIA,R.E."DiscretionaryDisclosure."JournalofAccountingandEconomics5(1983):179‐194.
WAGENHOFER,A."VoluntaryDisclosureWithaStrategicOpponent."JournalofAccountingandEconomics12(1990):341‐363.
ZHOU,Y."DisclosureRegulationandtheCompetitionbetweenPublicandPrivateFirms:TheCaseofSegmentReporting."UnpublishedPaper,UniversityofFlorida,2014.Availabelathttp://zicklin.baruch.cuny.edu/faculty/accountancy/Downloads/Paper_Ying‐Zhou.pdf.
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StrategicNewsDisclosure
beforeIndexRecompositions*
ElisabethKläs‡,JörgR.Werner†,andChristianR.Wilk‡
October2017
Abstract: Weinvestigatefirms’disclosurebehavioraroundindexrecompositions.Ourevidence
shows firmsmovingup to theRussell1000disclosesignificantlymorepositive firm‐initiated,
discretionarynewspriortoindexrecompositions,comparedtoacontrolgroupofnon‐moving
firms. The disclosure strategy carries positive value implications for firms’ market
capitalization.Eachadditionalnewsreleaseincreasestheprobabilityofsuccessfullyswitching
indexesbyapproximately1%.
JEL‐Classification:G14,G23,M41Keywords:
StrategicCorporateDisclosure,IndexRecomposition,EfficientMarkets.
*WethankYakovAmihud,RonMasulis,ZachariasSautner,MartinArtz,andtheparticipantsofthe2017Financial Accounting and Reporting Section Midyear Meeting, the European Financial ManagementAssociation’s2016AnnualMeeting, theEuropeanAccountingAssociation’s39thAnnualCongress2016,theFinancePhDSeminaratSternSchoolofBusiness,NewYorkUniversity,andtheBrownbagSeminaratFrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Managementfortheirhelpfulcomments.Moreover,wewouldliketothankJasonChaofromRussellInvestmentsforprovidinguswiththedata.Allremainingerrorsareours.Thispaper was written, in part, when Christian Wilk was visiting Stern School of Business, New YorkUniversity,andElisabethKläswasvisitingLancasterUniversityManagementSchool.‡FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management.†FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management(correspondingauthor).
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I. Introduction
The strategic use of corporate disclosure is a central theme in the accounting and finance
literature.Prior researchhas identified several settings inwhich firmsexploit the timingand
content of information to influence stock prices. Such settings include, among others, M&A
transactions(AhernandSosyura [2014]), stockrepurchases(Brockman,Khurana,andMartin
[2008])seasonedequityofferings(LangandLundholm[2000]),andCEOcompensationawards
(AboodyandKasznik[2000];Edmans,Goncalves‐Pinto,Groen‐Xu,andWang[2017]).Relatively
little, however, is known about firms’ disclosure behavior in the context of index
recompositions.
In2016,2.6trillionUSDoftotalnetassetswereinvestedinindexfunds,withtheaverageindex
equity fund being almost four times larger than the average actively managed equity fund
(Investment Company Institute [2017]). The growing popularity of passive funds has turned
indexrecompositionsintoimportantcorporateevents.Beingamemberofahighlyrankedindex
means more visibility and a broader investor base; thus, due to the prospect of increasing
shareholdervalue,firmshaveincentivestomovefromalower‐toahigher‐rankedindex.This
paper investigateswhether firms favorably impact their position in an index by strategically
disclosingmorenewspriortoindexrecompositions.
Ouranalysisfocusesonthedisclosurebehavioroffirmsmovingfromthelower‐rankedRussell
2000 to the higher‐ranked Russell 1000. We provide evidence that firms moving up to the
Russell1000disclosesignificantlymorepositive firm‐initiated,discretionarynewsduringthe
100daysleadinguptotheindexrecomposition,comparedtoacontrolgroupoffirmsthatfailto
switch indexes.We further show this disclosure strategy allows firms to temporarily run up
stockprices.Eachadditionalnewsreleaseincreasesafirm’sprobabilityoffavorablyswitching
indexesbyapproximately1%evenaftercontrollingforafirm’sgrowthinmarketcapitalization.
The economic intuition behind our results is as follows: Becausemembership in the Russell
Index family is based on a firm’s market capitalization only, favorably impacting index
recompositionscanbestbeachievedbynewsdisclosure.Economictheoryshowsthepresence
of information asymmetries increases a firm’s bid‐ask spread and consequently decreases its
liquidity(GlostenandMilgrom[1985]).Thecorrespondingcountermeasureisthedisclosureof
privateinformation,whichreducesinformationasymmetriesandthusincreasesafirm’smarket
capitalizationviaadecreaseinitscostofcapital(DiamondandVerrecchia[1991]).
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Thekeydifferencefromotherindexes,suchastheS&P500,isthatthedeterminationofRussell
Indexmembershipisbasedononesinglevariable,afirm’smarketcapitalization.Eachyearon
the last trading day in May, Russell Investments ranks all eligible securities based on their
market capitalization. The largest 1,000 firmsbecomemembers of theRussell 1000, and the
next2,000largestjointheRussell2000.TheRussell3000Eincludesthelargest4,000firms.By
contrast,thedeterminationofindexweightsandtheactualindexreconstitutiontakeplaceon
thelastFridayinJune.Becauseofthisconstructionmethodology,firmsareabletoinfluencethe
Russell Index recomposition process by initiating a disclosure‐driven temporary run‐up in
marketcapitalization.
Tothebestofourknowledge,thispaperisthefirstcomprehensivestudyonstrategiccorporate
news disclosure in the context of index recompositions. Our paper offers economic and
methodologicalcontributions.First,itcontributestotheliteratureonstrategiccorporatenews
disclosure by identifying a novel setting in which managers use discretionary news to
temporarily run up stock prices. Our findings are interesting for researchers and investors
because they serve as an indicator to ex‐ante identify potential index movers. Second, we
contributetoarecentstringofliteraturethatusesthesettingofRussellIndexrecompositions
asaquasi‐naturalexperimentforregressiondiscontinuitydesign(RDD)(e.g.,Chang,Hong,and
Liskovich [2015]; Boone and White [2015]; Fich, Harford, and Tran [2015]). These studies
assume firms around the index cutoff are locally randomized, thus showing similar firm
characteristics prior to index recompositions and differing only in terms of their index
membership. Our results show differences in the disclosure behavior of moving and non‐
movingfirmslocatedjustbelowtheRussell1000Indexcutoff.
Theremainderofthispaperisorganizedasfollows.SectionIIreviewsthepriorliteratureand
developsourhypotheses.OurdataandvariablesaredescribedinsectionIII.SectionIVpresents
ourresearchapproachandempiricalresults.Analyses for theRussell1000Down‐Moversare
showninsectionV,andsectionVIdiscussesimplicationsforregressiondiscontinuitydesigns.
SectionVIIconcludes.
II. RelatedLiteratureandHypotheses
Severalstudiesexaminefirms’disclosurebehavioraroundmajorcorporateevents.Ahernand
Sosyura [2014] find that acquirers in M&A transactions with stock payments increase the
number of press releases during private merger negotiations to benefit from a temporary
increaseintheirstockpricewhenthestockexchangeratioisfixed.Brockmanetal.[2008]show
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thatfirmsmanipulatevoluntarydisclosurestodecreasestockpricespriortostockrepurchasing
activities.Overandaboveincreasingthefrequencyofbad‐newsdisclosures,firmsactivelybias
earningsannouncementsdownwards.LangandLundholm[2000]provideevidencethatfirms
significantly increase their discretionary news disclosure during the six months prior to the
announcementofseasonedequityofferings,withtheintentionofloweringtheircostofequity
capital. Dimitrov and Jain [2011] further show managers attempt to reduce shareholder
discontent at annual meetings by strategically disclosing positive news during the 40 days
leadinguptothemeeting.
Strategicdisclosurebehaviorhas alsobeendocumented in the contextofCEOcompensation.
Edmansetal.[2017]findCEOsrelease5%morediscretionarynewsinequity‐vestingmonthsin
ordertotemporarilyincreasestockpricesandthusprofitfromahighercompensation.Aboody
andKasznik [2000]provideevidence thatCEOsdelaygoodnewsandrushbadnewsprior to
fixedscheduledstockoptionawardsinordertolowertheoptionstrikeprice.Similarly,Cheng
andLo[2006]documentapositiveassociationbetweenincreasesininsiders’stockpurchases
andthefrequencyofbad‐newsforecasts.
A recent strand of literature in finance and accounting uses the setting of Russell Index
recompositionsforregressiondiscontinuitydesigns(RDD).Theargumentisthatfirmsaround
theindexcutoffaremechanicallyplacedintoindexes;thus,theyexperienceanexogenousshock
in the demand of index‐tracking funds, which leads to a change in passive institutional
ownership.BecauseRussell Indexes arevalueweighted, firmsat the topof the lower‐ranked
Russell2000receiveconsiderablymore index‐fundbuyingthando firmsat thebottomof the
higher‐rankedRussell1000.Changetal.[2015]firstidentifiedthesettingintheirinvestigation
of the price effects of indexing. Later studies use this setting to analyze the impact of
institutional ownership on firm transparency and information production (Boone andWhite
[2015]), corporate tax avoidance (Bird and Karolyi [2017]), the quality and quantity of
corporatedisclosures(BirdandKarolyi[2016]),monitoringactivitiesofinstitutionalinvestors
inthecontextofacquisitions(Fichetal.[2015]),payoutpolicy(Crane,Michenaud,andWeston
[2016]), and corporate governance (Appel, Gormley, and Keim [2016]; Schmidt and
Fahlenbrach[2017]).Althoughthemethodologiesdifferacrossthestudies,thekeyassumption
isthesame:“smallandrandom”(Changetal.[2015,p.215])changesintheend‐of‐Maymarket
capitalizationoffirmslocatedaroundtheindexcutoffdetermineindexassignments,withfirms
having “imprecise control onwhich sideof the cutoff they endupon” (Chang et al. [2015, p.
218]). Inotherwords, firmsare locally randomizedaround the indexcutoffpointanddonot
self‐selectintoindexes.
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AspartoftheireffortstojustifytheassumptionoflocalrandomizationaroundtheRussell1000
cutoff,Changetal.[2015]expressconcernthatfirmsmaydecreasetheirmarketcapitalization
inordertoavoidmovinguptothebottomoftheRussell1000.Theintuitionisthatfirmslocated
at the top of the Russell 2000 experience more benefits from index tracking than do firms
locatedatthebottomoftheRussell1000.However,afirm’sultimategoalisshareholderwealth
maximization, which this strategy does not achieve. Rather, it can be accomplished via
membership in the higher‐ranked Russell 1000. Market indexes are used for a variety of
purposes, including benchmarking, and are thus observed by a large number of market
participants. Becoming a member in a higher‐ranked index is consequently accompanied by
morevisibilityandaccesstoabroader investorbase. Inthe longrun, firmsstrive forgrowth,
thereby increasing their index weight and reducing the initial disadvantage of lower index
tracking.Thus,firmshaveincentivestobecomemembersofhigher‐rankedindexes.Anecdotal
evidence further corroborates our economic line of argumentation. For example, when Isis
Pharmaceuticals,Inc.wasaddedtotheRussell1000in2015,itsmanagementannounceditwas
“pleasedtobeaddedto this important index,whichhelpstoraiseawarenessofourcompany
evenmorebroadlyamonginvestors”(http://goo.gl/X1wfq5).
Before index recompositions, firms are able to estimate their daily index rank in the Russell
3000Ebasedonpubliclyavailablemarket‐capitalizationdata.Thisabilityallowsfirmstoassess
the likelihood of an index switch and whether strategically running up their market
capitalization is worthwhile. One concern may be that the market‐capitalization measure
RussellInvestmentsusestodetermineindexmembershipisproprietary,potentiallyhampering
firms’ ability to predict their chances of switching indexes. However, although Russell
Investments uses a proprietary float‐adjusted market‐capitalization measure to determine
indexweights,itdoesnotadjustitsproprietarymarket‐capitalizationmeasurewhenassigning
firms to indexes at the end of May. Moreover, Russell Investments advertises its indexes as
“transparent andpredictable” (Russell Investments [2015]). Chang et al. [2015, p. 215]point
outthat“itiseasytopredictmembershipusingmarketcapitalizationscalculatedfrompublicly
available data”. Thus, the proprietary nature of Russell Investment’s index‐recomposition
variableisunlikelytobeofconcerninoursetting.
Totemporarilyboosttheirmarketcapitalizationandthusincreasetheirchancesofabeneficial
index assignment, firms must increase their stock price. In this context, strategic news
disclosure presents an attractive option. Economic theory suggests information asymmetries
reduce a security’s liquidity via larger bid‐ask spreads (Glosten and Milgrom [1985]). The
disclosure of private information can mitigate this effect, which leads to a decrease in the
existentinformationasymmetriesandconsequentlyincreasesafirm’smarketcapitalizationvia
15
a decrease in its cost of capital (Diamond and Verrecchia [1991]). Consistent with this
prediction,LeuzandVerrecchia[2000]showempiricallythatfirmscommittingtohigherlevels
of disclosure quality experience lower bid‐ask spreads and higher share turnover.Moreover,
voluntary disclosure increases liquidity and firm value (Balakrishnan, Billings, Kelly, and
Ljungqvist [2014]). As Edmans et al. [2017] point out, an alternative channel is additional
disclosures that attract the attentionof individual investors (Barber andOdean [2008]). This
temporaryincreaseininvestorattentionleadstoasignificantshort‐termincreaseinprices(Da,
Engelberg,andGao[2011]).Consequently,firmshavetheincentiveandtheabilitytoinfluence
indexrecompositions.
Sofar,wehavearguedthatfirmscaninfluencetheirmarketcapitalizationvianewsdisclosure.
Wenowelaborateonthestrategiccomponent.Managersareunlikelytofalsify informationin
order to increase their chances of joining a higher‐ranked index. Rather, we expect them to
exploitthetimingofcorporatenews,whichisalesscostlystrategy(DimitrovandJain[2011]).
For example, a firm could move its latest product announcement shortly before the index
recomposition date to positively affect its share price. Although US federal law places strict
requirements on the disclosure of periodic filings andmaterial corporate events, firms enjoy
considerable flexibility regarding the timing and content of other news releases (Ahern and
Sosyura[2014]).Inoursetting,thetimingofmandatory,non‐discretionarynewsisunlikelyto
bethemaintoolofstrategic‐disclosureactivities,becausethetargetdateinouranalysisisthe
sameforeachfirm.Ifallfirmsweretoboosttheirmarketcapitalizationjustafewdaysbefore
the index recomposition, the effects would cancel out. Instead, we expect firms to start
disclosing news severalweeks before the index recomposition. In this context, firm‐initiated,
discretionarynewsreleasesarethemosteffectivetooltotemporarilyrunupstockprices.Here,
firm‐initiated news refers to corporate press releases and filings rather than to publications
fromexternalsources,anddiscretionarymeansmanagementhasthemostdiscretioninterms
of the timing and content of news releases. Given that firms thatmove to the higher‐ranked
indexhaveachievedtheirgoaloffavorablyswitchingindexes,weexpectthesefirmstodisclose
morepositive firm‐initiated,discretionarynewspriorto indexrecompositions,comparedtoa
controlgroupofnon‐switchingfirms.
Hypothesis1:FirmsmovingupfromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000disclosemorepositive
firm‐initiated,discretionarynewsbeforeindexrecompositions,comparedtoacontrolgroupof
non‐movingfirms.
A crucial question in our setting is whether strategic disclosure leads to an economically
significant increase in a firm’s probability of switching indexes. Fundamental firm
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characteristicsareunarguablythedominantdriverof indexswitches.However,giventhatthe
difference in market capitalization of two firms located at neighboring index positions is
marginal, small changes in market capitalization can determine whether a firm switches
indexes. For example, on the last trading day inMay 2013, the relative difference inmarket
capitalization of the firms ranked 1,000 and 1,001 was only 1.13 percent. Therefore, small
changesinmarketcapitalizationcandetermineindexassignment.
Hypothesis2:Strategicnewsdisclosurepriortoindexrecompositionsincreasesfirms’probability
ofsuccessfullyswitchingindexes.
III. DataandVariables
RussellIndexMembership
Russell Investments provides us with the monthly index constituents and the proprietary
market‐capitalizationmeasure.Oursampleperiodspanseightyears,from2007through2014.
Prior to 2007, index recompositions were based on a hard cutoff point. With the newly
introduced+/‐2.5%bandaroundtheindexcutoffpoints,RussellInvestmentsintendstoreduce
indexturnover,thushamperingfirm’sabilitytoanticipateindexswitches.
OurpaperfocusesontheindexcutoffbetweentheRussell1000andtheRussell2000,that is,
the index rank 1,000.We investigate our hypotheses by analyzing the disclosure behavior of
two groups:Up‐Movers andUp‐Candidates. Firms that successfully switched from the lower‐
rankedRussell 2000 to the higher‐rankedRussell 1000are labeledUp‐Movers. Firms located
justbelowtheRussell1000cutoffarelabeledUp‐Candidates.Thisgroupconsistsof firmsthat
seemedlikelytomoveuptothehigher‐rankedindexbut failedbya fewranks.Thegroupsof
Up‐MoversandUp‐Candidatesaremutuallyexclusive.
Weconstructan indicatorvariable foreachgroup.Up‐Movers areex‐post identifiedbasedon
the index‐constituents listprovidedbyRussell Investments, that is,basedon theactual index
assignments.ThegroupofUp‐Candidatesisconstructedbasedonafirm’sindexrank,thatis,the
distancetotheRussell1000cutoffpoint.Morespecifically,wecalculateafirm’srankbysorting
all Russell 3000Emembers on the last trading day in February of each year based on their
publicly available CRSP market capitalization. This approach allows us to identify the most
promising candidates for an index switch ex ante, that is, 100 days before the index
recomposition. We define Up‐Candidates ex ante because we expect the strategic corporate
disclosure activities to start several weeks or even months before the date of the index
17
recomposition. This approach allows us to observe how the disclosure activities of actual
moversdevelopincomparisontothoseofpotentialmovers.Wedonotchoosealaterdate,such
as March, because we may not capture an important portion of the firms’ strategic news
activities, the yearly reporting period. In addition, we use publicly available market‐
capitalizationdatainsteadoftheproprietaryRussellmarketcapitalization,becausethelatteris
notobservable toUp‐Movers andUp‐Candidates.Thisapproachallowsus to identifypotential
candidatesfromtheperspectiveofthefirm.
Next,weapplytheconceptofbandwidthsusedinRDDtodefinetherangeinwhichafirm’srank
must be located for it to be defined as an Up‐Candidate. In our main analyses, we apply a
bandwidthof300,whichimplieschoosing150firmslocatedjustaboveand150firmslocated
justbelowtheindexcutoff.OurcontrolgroupforUp‐MoversconsistsofUp‐Candidates,namely,
the 150 firms located just below the Russell 1000 cutoff. For robustness purposes, we re‐
estimate our analyses using a bandwidth of 100.Untabulated statistics showall results hold.
Figure1portraystheconstructionprocessofourcontrolgroup.
[InsertFigure1abouthere]
StrategicNewsDisclosure
News data are obtained from the S&P Capital IQ Key Developments database. The database
contains structured and summarized corporate news releases compiled from over 20,000
sources. The key advantage of Capital IQ Key Developments is that it allows us to cleanly
categorizethesourceandtypeofeachnewsitem.
As a first step,we retain firm‐initiatednewsonly. In a second step,we split our sample into
discretionaryandnon‐discretionarynewsitemsinordertoidentifynewstypesoverwhichthe
managementhasthemostdiscretionandcanthusbestexploitinastrategicmanner.Next,we
countthenumberofdiscretionaryandnon‐discretionarynewsitemsdisclosedonagivenday.
Moreover,wecomputethecumulativeabnormalreturnsandabnormaltradingvolumearound
eachnewsdisclosureevent.
18
ControlVariables
WeobtainaccountingdatafromCompustatNorthAmerica,marketdatafromCRSP,andanalyst
forecast data from I/B/E/S. We define Firm Size as the log of book value of total assets;
Cumulative RelativeMarket Value Growth as a firm’s cumulative relative growth in market
capitalizationovertheentireRussellyear, that is, fromJuneof thepreviousyearuntilMayof
the current year;ReturnonAssets(ROA) as operating income before depreciation divided by
total assets; andBookLeverage as the sumof current liabilitiesand long‐termdebt scaledby
totalassets.Tobin’sQisthesumofcommonequityandmarketequityminustotalassetsscaled
bytotalassets;#Analystsisthelogof1plusthenumberofanalystsfollowingaparticularstock;
andwemeasureStockTurnoverasthedailytradingvolumedividedbytheaveragenumberof
sharesoutstandingovertheRussellyear.EADay,AGMDayandBoardMeetingDayareindicator
variablestakingthevalueof1wheneveranearningsannouncement,anannualgeneralmeeting,
oraboardmeetingtakesplace,andzerootherwise.
IV. EvidenceonFirms’StrategicDisclosureBehavior
SummaryStatistics
Summarystatistics,asasnapshotonthe last tradingday inMay,arereported inTable1.Up‐
Movers(3.360billionUSD)andUp‐Candidates(1.944billionUSD)differsignificantlyintermsof
theirmarketcapitalizationatthedayoftheindexrecomposition.
Unreported statistics show that firms leaving the Russell 1000 (Down‐Movers) have a lower
marketcapitalization(1.094billionUSD)comparedto firmsatriskofswitchingtothe lower‐
rankedRussell2000(Down‐Candidates)(2.558billionUSD).Theaveragemarketcapitalization
of all candidates located within a bandwidth of 300 around the Russell 1000 cutoff (2.251
billionUSD)isslightlyhigherthanthatofallmovers(2.227billionUSD)andiscomparableto
the averagemarket capitalization of firms locatedwithin a bandwidth of 200 as reported in
BooneandWhite[2015](1.9billionUSD).ThesummarystatisticsfurthershowUp‐Movershave
asignificantlyhighercumulativerelativegrowthinmarketvalue.Thisfindingisnotsurprising,
giventhatUp‐Moverssuccessfullyswitchindexes.
Up‐MoversandUp‐Candidatesdonotexhibitasignificantdifferenceintheirmedianfirmsizeas
measuredbybookvalueoftotalassets.Thus,althoughthemedianmarketvalueofUp‐Moversis
largerthanthatofUp‐Candidates,thegroupsdonotsignificantlydifferintermsoftheirmedian
bookvalue.Onaverage, comparedwithUp‐Candidates,Up‐Movers aremoreprofitable,havea
19
higher Tobin’s Q, have more analysts following their stock, and experience higher stock
turnover. This observation is in line with index recompositions being driven primarily by
fundamental firm characteristics. However, during the 100 days before the index
recomposition, Up‐Movers disclose, on average, more news than Up‐Candidates release. This
finding provides a first indication that the disclosure behavior of both groups differs before
indexrecompositionsandmaythusexplainthesignificantgapinmarketvalueundcumulative
relativemarket‐valuegrowthatthelasttradingdayinMay.
[InsertTable1abouthere]
CumulativeAbnormalDiscretionaryNewsDisclosure
Throughoutthepaper,wedifferentiatebetweenthreetimeperiods:before,between,andafter.
Beforecapturesthe100daysleadinguptotheindexrecompositiononthelasttradingdayin
May. Between refers to the time period between the index recomposition and the index
reconstitution on the last Friday in June.After consists of the 100 days following the index‐
reconstitution date. If Up‐Movers strategically disclose news to favorably impact index
assignments, we expect to observe a slowdown in news publications following index
recompositions.Theintuitionisthatmanagerscanstrategicallyexploitthetimingandcontent
ofdiscretionarynews.Assuch,morefavorablenewswillbepublishedinthebeforeperiod.Less
newsandless‐favorablenewswillbereleasedinthebetweenandafterperiods.
Figure 2 plots the cumulative, abnormal discretionary news production of Up‐Movers (solid
line)andUp‐Candidates (dotted line)before indexrecompositions.Wecalculatetheabnormal
componentinnewsdisclosurerelativetothesamefirm’sdisclosurebehaviorintheprioryear
(seeAhernandSosyura [2014]).Foreaseof comparison,wenormalizeournewsmeasure to
zero100daysbeforetheindexrecomposition.Figure2providesgraphicalevidenceforourfirst
hypothesis.Up‐MoversdisclosemorediscretionarynewsthanUp‐Candidatesdiscloseduringthe
before period. The difference in disclosure behavior starts approximately 80 days before the
indexrecompositionandgradually increasesuntil the last tradingday inMay.Thepattern in
disclosure behavior also supports our choice of ex‐ante defining Up‐Candidates because our
figurefullycapturesthedivergingpattern.
20
[InsertFigure2abouthere]
Figure3plotsbothgroups’cumulative,abnormalnewsproductionoverourthreetimeperiods:
before,between, andafter. The graphical analysis indicates that after indexmemberships are
assigned on the last trading day in May, the news production of Up‐Movers approximately
parallelsthatofUp‐Candidates.Adrasticdivergenceinnewsdisclosure,asobservedduringthe
beforeperiod, isnotvisibleinthebetweenandafterperiods.Approachingtheendoftheafter
period, the news‐disclosure activities of both groups converge. The graphical analysis thus
indicatesUp‐Moversslowdowntheirnews‐disclosureactivitiesfollowingindexrecompositions.
[InsertFigure3abouthere]
DiscretionaryNewsDisclosure
To assess whether the visually observed difference in disclosure behavior is statistically
significant,weperformunivariatet‐tests.TheanalysisconfirmsthepatternobservedinFigures
2and3.Table2reportsthegroups’averagenewspublicationduringthethreetimeperiodsand
the respective t‐tests (Panel A). Prior to the index‐recomposition date, Up‐Movers disclose
significantlymorenewsthanUp‐Candidates.Althoughthedifferenceinnewsdisclosureremains
statistically significant during thebetween period, themagnitude of the difference decreases.
The difference in news disclosure is insignificant during the after period. Both groups
experience a slowdown in news publication during the between and after periods. This
slowdownislargerforUp‐Moverswhencomparingthebeforeandafterperiods.Although4.276
news releases during the before period may seem small, one must keep in mind that this
number reflects the average firm‐initiated news only. Our news measure does not include
newspaper articles and publications in other external sources.Moreover, one disclosure can
includemultiplepiecesofinformation.
In Panels B and C of Table 2, we differentiate between discretionary and non‐discretionary
newsitems.Discretionarydisclosuresdrivethemajorityofnewsreleases—Up‐Movershave,on
average,3.603discretionaryversusonly0.673non‐discretionarydisclosures.Consistentwith
PanelA,Up‐Moversdisclosesignificantlymorediscretionarynewsduringthebeforeperiodthan
21
Up‐Candidates.Again,thedifferenceremainsstatisticallysignificantinthebetweenperiod,but
decreases in magnitude. The difference is insignificant in the after‐period. Both groups
experience a slowdown in news publications during the between andafter periods,with the
slowdownbeingsignificantlylargerforUp‐Movers.However,nosignificantdifferenceexistsin
terms of non‐discretionary news during all three periods. Although both groups significantly
reduce their non‐discretionary news disclosure, the difference in non‐discretionary news
reduction between groups is insignificant. Overall, the graphical and univariate analyses
support our first hypothesis:Up‐Movers disclose significantlymore news thanUp‐Candidates
disclose prior to index recompositions. The majority of news releases are firm‐initiated,
discretionarydisclosures,whichslowdownimmediatelyafterindexmembershipisassigned.
[InsertTable2abouthere]
AbnormalReturnsandTradingVolume
This section analyzes the stock market effects of news publications around index
recompositions. We hypothesize that firms strategically disclose positive news in order to
favorably impact their index assignment. Hence, the disclosure activities should have an
increasingeffectonfirms’marketcapitalization.Wecomputethecumulativeabnormalreturns
(CAR)andabnormaltradingvolume(AV)aroundeachnewsitem.CARiscalculatedbyapplying
themarketmodel,athree‐dayeventwindow,andanestimationwindowof255daysendingon
the 91st day before index recomposition.We define AV as the excess volume relative to the
averagetradingvolumeoveranestimationwindowof40days.Again,weuseathree‐dayevent
window.
Table 3 reports the event study’s results for all news. The benchmark group consists of the
remainingfirmsintheRussell2000.Duringthe100daysbeforetheindexrecomposition,Up‐
Movers experience a significantly positive three‐day CAR of, on average, 55 basis points per
newsdisclosure.TheCARpernewsforUp‐Candidatesisnotstatisticallydifferentfromzero.The
differenceinCARbetweenthetwogroupsis56basispointsandhighlystatisticallysignificant.
ConsistentwiththeslowdowninnewsdisclosurereportedinFigure3andTable2,Up‐Movers
experience CARs that are not significantly different from zero during the between and after
periods.ThedifferenceinCARbetweenbothgroupsisnolongersignificantinthesubsequent
timeperiods.Becausethebeforeperiodcoincideswiththereportingseasonformostfirms,we
22
re‐estimateouranalysis, controlling forkeyreportingeventssuchasearningsannouncement
dates(EADay),annualgeneralmeetings(AGMDay),andboardmeetings(BoardDay).PanelB
shows the results are robust. A back‐of‐the‐envelope calculation shows that an additional
discretionarynewsitemcan,onaverage, increasethemarketcapitalizationofthefirmranked
1,001byapproximately44.2millionUSD.Thisincreaseallowsthefirmtomoveupmorethan
tenranksandswitchfromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000Index.
Table3PanelAfurthershowsbothgroupsexperiencesignificantlypositiveAVduringthe100
daysleadinguptotheindexrecomposition,withtheAVofUp‐Moversbeingsignificantlylarger
thanthatofUp‐Candidates.TheaverageAVpernewsisinsignificantforbothgroupsduringthe
betweenperiodand,again,significantlypositiveduringtheafterperiod.Theresultsarerobust
whencontrollingforkeyreportingevents(PanelB).
[InsertTable3abouthere]
Table4furtherextendsourCARanalysisandreportstheevent‐studyresultsbydiscretionary
and non‐discretionary news disclosures. We do not use control variables in this analysis,
because EA Day, AGM Day, and Board Day are non‐discretionary news. Prior to the index
recomposition, the CARs of Up‐Movers are significantly positive for discretionary and non‐
discretionarynews.Up‐CandidatesexperienceinsignificantCARsthataresubstantiallysmaller
than thoseofUp‐Movers.During thebetween period,Up‐Movers exhibit a decline inCAR.The
CARsfordiscretionaryandnon‐discretionarynewsareinsignificantandnolongerdifferfrom
those of Up‐Candidates. Also in the after period, both groups exhibit CARs that do not
significantly differ from each other. Overall, the event study shows Up‐Movers experience
significantly positive CAR, and supports our first hypothesis that Up‐Movers disclose
significantlymorepositive firm‐initiated, discretionarynews, compared to a control groupof
non‐movingfirms.
[InsertTable4abouthere]
23
ProbitAnalysis
We have provided evidence that Up‐Movers strategically disclose news prior to index
recompositions and that this strategy is associatedwith an increase inmarket capitalization.
Thissection investigateswhether thedisclosurebehavior leads toaneconomicallysignificant
increaseintheprobabilityofindexswitches.WeestimatetheprobitmodelP(Mover=1|News
Disclosure)overthebeforeperiod.Model(1)regressesallnewsitemsonindexadditionstothe
Russell1000(Mover).Fundamental firmcharacteristics, includingafirm’scumulativerelative
growthinmarketcapitalization,areaddedintomodel(2).Models(3)and(4)analyzetheeffects
separatelyfordiscretionaryandnon‐discretionarynewsitems.
Table5showsthatonlydiscretionarynewsitemssignificantlyimpacttheprobabilityofindex
switches.Thepublicationofonediscretionarynewsitemincreasestheprobabilityofanindex
switchby1.1%.GiventhatUp‐Moversdisclose,onaverage,3.6discretionarynewsitemsbefore
indexrecompositions,firmscanincreasetheirprobabilityofmovingtotheRussell1000by,on
average,approximately4.0%.
[InsertTable5abouthere]
News‐TypeAnalysis
In this section,wegraphicallyanalyze the typesofnews itemsdisclosedduring the100days
before the index recomposition. Figures4 and5plot thenews typesby frequency andmean
CAR forUp‐Movers andUp‐Candidates, respectively.We focus on firm‐initiated, discretionary
newswith ameanCARof greater than50basis points inbothdirections and a frequencyof
larger than five. Figure 4 shows the news itemsmost frequently disclosed byUp‐Movers are
confirmed corporate guidance, as well as information about business expansions and debt
financing. M&A calls, corporate guidance, as well as information about discontinued
operations/downsizings,strategicalliances,andbusinessexpansionsareamongthenewsitems
thattriggerthelargestmeanCAR.Interestingly,thefivemostfrequentlydisclosednewsitems
byUp‐Moversalltriggerapositivemarketreaction,furtherindicatingUp‐Moversaresuccessful
intemporarilyrunningupstockpricespriortoindexrecompositions.
24
The most frequently disclosed news items by Up‐Candidates refer to M&A transaction
announcements,seekingacquisitions/investments,andfollow‐onequityofferings.Newsitems
triggering the largest positive market reactions are M&A‐related information and raised
corporateguidance.Onlyfourofthefivemostfrequentlydisclosednewsitemsexhibitapositive
meanCAR.Moreover,themarketreactiontothefivemostfrequentlydisclosednewsitemsis—
with the exception of M&A transaction announcements—smaller compared to that of Up‐
Movers,thusindicatingthedisclosurestrategyofUp‐Candidatesislesssuccessful.
[InsertFigure4and5abouthere]
Figure6plotsthemeandifferencesinnewsfrequencyandmeanCARbetweenUp‐Moversand
Up‐Candidates. The full‐sample graph consists of four quadrants. We are interested in firm‐
initiated, discretionary news items that Up‐Movers disclose more frequently and more
successfullythanUp‐Candidates,namely,theupperrightquadrant.Newsitemsmorefrequently
disclosedbyUp‐Movers relative toUp‐Candidates includeproduct‐relatedannouncementsand
M&Atransactionclosings.NewsitemsmoresuccessfullydisclosedbyUp‐MoversrelativetoUp‐
Candidates include information about discontinued operations and downsizings, strategic
alliances, and business expansion. Overall, the figures show the news types disclosed byUp‐
Moversduringthebeforeperiodareinformationthatislikelytopleaseinvestorsandencourage
themtoinvestinthecompany.
[InsertFigure6abouthere]
V. Russell1000Down‐Movers
Thissectionre‐estimatesouranalysesforfirmsthatleavetheRussell1000(Down‐Movers)or
areatriskofmovingdown(Down‐Candidates)fromtheRussell1000totheRussell2000.Given
thatDown‐Movers fail to stay in thehigher‐ranked index,wewouldnotexpect these firms to
successfully engage in strategic news disclosure. All results are untabulated. In univariate
25
analyses,wefindthedifferenceindiscretionarydisclosurebehaviorbetweenDown‐Moversand
Down‐Candidates is insignificant in thebeforeandbetweenperiods. In theafterperiod,Down‐
Movers disclose significantly less firm‐initiated, discretionary news compared to Down‐
Candidates.Theresultsfurthershowdiscretionarynewsdisclosurebybothgroupssignificantly
slows down after the index recomposition; the difference in discretionary news reduction
between groups is insignificant. The intuition behind our results is as follows: index
recompositionsaredrivenprimarilybyfundamentalfactors.Giventhatbothgroupsareleaving
or are at risk of leaving the Russell 1000, they are unlikely to perform well. Consequently,
comparedtoUp‐Movers,Down‐Moversinparticularhavefewerpositivenewsreleasesthatcan
beplacedstrategically.Moreover,basedonacost‐benefitanalysis,engaging instrategicnews
disclosuremaysimplynotbeworthwhile forsuch firms,because theyaredirectlycompeting
with Up‐Movers and Up‐Candidates for positions in the Russell 1000. Unreported summary
statistics support our intuition and show Down‐Movers are less profitable and have higher
leverageandalowerTobin’sQthanUp‐Movers. Inlinewithourexpectation,anunreportedt‐
testrevealsUp‐Moverspublishsignificantlymorefirm‐initiated,discretionarynewsthanDown‐
Movers(0.271,p‐value:0.000).
TheeventstudyshowstheCARsforDown‐MoversandDown‐Candidatesareinsignificantbefore
the index recomposition. The difference between the two groups is insignificant aswell. The
resultsholdwhenadding control variables.Moreover, additional analyses show theCARs for
Down‐Movers and Down‐Candidates are insignificant for discretionary and non‐discretionary
firm‐initiatednewsinthebeforeperiod.
Finally, we re‐estimate our probit analysis and find that neither discretionary nor non‐
discretionary news disclosure significantly impacts the probability of staying in the higher‐
ranked index. This finding is not surprising, given that the news‐disclosure activities of both
groups are rather low. Consequently, Down‐Movers have fewer opportunities to disclose
positivenews, leaving littlespace forstrategicnewsdisclosure.Overall,ourresultsarenot in
linewiththeargumentthatfirmshaveincentivestomovetothelower‐rankedindexbecauseof
increased benefits from index tracking (Chang et al. [2015]). If thiswere the case,wewould
expecttoseeDown‐Moversdisclosingsignificantlynegativeand, ingeneral,morenewsthana
controlgroup.
26
VI. ImplicationsforRegressionDiscontinuityDesigns
Inthissection,webrieflydiscusstheimplicationsofourfindingsforRDDinthecontextofthe
RussellIndexrecomposition.Thekeyassumptionofthesestudiesisthelocalrandomizationof
firmsaroundtheindexcutoff.Thevalidityofthisassumptiondependsonthedegreetowhich
firmsareabletomanipulatetheassignmentvariable,thatis,theirmarketcapitalization.
Our results show Up‐Movers disclose significantly more firm‐initiated, discretionary news
duringthe100days leadingupto the indexrecomposition,comparedtoacontrolgroup,and
thisdisclosurebehaviorhaspositivevalueimplications.Consequently,ourstudyhighlightsthe
problem of choosing an appropriate bandwidth in these RDD studies. The challenge is to
balance the trade‐off between estimation precision and bias. Although a smaller bandwidth
capturesonlythosefirmsthatareverycloselylocatedaroundtheindexcutoff,thatis,firmsto
which the local randomization ismost likely to apply, it comes at the price of restricting the
sample to relatively fewer observations, potentially reducing the results’ external validity.
Hence,anumberofresearchershaveincreasedthebandwidthinordertocovermorefirmsin
their analysis. Yet this bandwidth increase also comes at a price. The larger the chosen
bandwidth, themore firms that are included in the analysiswill have some, but not precise,
control over the assignment variable (i.e., Up‐Movers), which may introduce a bias to the
analysis. Therefore, our results highlight the importance of the bandwidth selection in RDD
aroundtheRussellIndexcutoffafter2007.
VII. Conclusion
This paper investigates strategic news disclosure around Russell Index recompositions. We
provideevidencethatcomparedtoacontrolgroupofnon‐movingfirms,firmsthatsuccessfully
switch indexes release significantly more positive firm‐initiated, discretionary news prior to
indexrecompositions.Thisdisclosurestrategyhaspositivevalueimplications,enablingmoving
firmstotemporarilyboosttheirmarketcapitalization.Moreover,weshoweachadditionalnews
publication increases the probability of switching indexes by approximately 1%. Additional
analysesunderlinethestrategicnatureofmovers’disclosurebehavior.
Note,however,thatourfindingsarelimitedtoindexesthatarerecomposedbasedonsecurities’
market capitalization. We cannot make any statement about indexes, such as the S&P 500,
whosereconstitutioncriteriaarebasedonadditionalorothercriteria.
27
AppendixA:RussellIndexConstruction
ThissectiondescribestheannualreconstructionprocessoftheRussellindexes.Allinformation
depicted here is obtained from the Russell Investments Guide (Russell Investments [2015]).
Each year on the last tradingday ofMay,Russell Investments ranks all eligibleUS securities
basedonaproprietarymeasureoftheirmarketcapitalization.TheRussell3000Eiscomposed
of the largest 4,000 securities (or of all eligible securities if the total number of eligible
securitiesisbelow4,000).Securitieswitharankbetween1and1,000becomemembersofthe
Russell1000,securitieswitharankbetween1,001and3,000jointheRussell2000.TheRussell
3000consistsofthe3,000largestsecurities.In2007,RussellInvestmentsintroducedabanding
policy,whichaimsatreducingindexturnover.Thedeterminationofindexmembersistherefore
nolongerbasedontheclearcutoffpointsatthe1,000thrankintheRussell1000andthe3,000th
rank in the Russell 2000. Instead, a cumulative market capitalization range of +/‐ 2.5% is
defined around each cutoff point. If a security is locatedwithin this band, it does not switch
indexes.Inotherwords,afirmmustexceedthis5%bandinordertomovetothehigher‐ranked
indexandmustfallbelowtherangeinordertoberemovedfromthehigher‐rankedindex.The
bandingpolicydoesnotapplytotheRussell3000and3000Ecutoffpoints.
Afterthesecuritiesareassignedtotheindexes,RussellInvestmentsdeterminesafirm’sindex
weight by adjusting its market‐capitalization measure for free float. Again, this measure is
proprietary information. Index weights are assigned based on the ranking of the free‐float‐
adjusted market capitalization within each index. Although the membership determination
occurs on the last trading day in May, the actual index reconstitution and the index weight
assignments take place on the last Friday in June. For our study, only the membership
determination based on the end‐of‐May market capitalization is relevant. Moreover, Russell
Investmentsappliesastrictno‐replacementrule,whichmeansthatsecuritiesleavingtheindex
overtheyeararenotreplaced.Thenumberofsecuritieswithineachindexcanthusvary.IPOs
are,however,addedquarterly,andcorporateactionsaretakenintoaccountonadailybasis.
28
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30
Figure1:ConstructionofControlGroup
Thisfigureillustratestheconstructionofourcontrolgroup,Up‐Candidates, foraRussell1000inclusion.FollowingtheliteratureonRDDaroundtheRussell1000indexcutoff,candidatesaredefinedbasedonbandwidths,i.e.,thedistancefromtherank1,000.Candidatesthatarelocatedbelow the rank 1,000 are labeledUp‐Candidates. These firms were likely to move up to theRussell 1000 but failed. By contrast, candidates located above the rank 1,000 are labeled asDown‐Candidates.ThesefirmswereatriskofleavingtheRussell1000butsucceededinstaying.Weuseabandwidthof300inourmainanalyses.Forrobustnesspurposes,wereplicatealltestsapplyingabandwidthof100.Note that thedefinitionofmovers isnotbasedonranksbutexpostontheRussellIndex‐constituentslist.Candidates,however,areex‐anteclassified,basedontheirmarket‐capitalizationrankonthelasttradingdayinFebruary.
31
Figure2:CumulativeAbnormalDiscretionaryNews
DisclosurebeforeIndexRecompositions
Thisgraphplots thecumulative,abnormaldiscretionarynewsproductionofUp‐Movers (solidline)andUp‐Candidates(dottedline)duringthe100daysbeforetheindexrecompositiononthelasttradingdayinMay.WedefineUp‐MoversasfirmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300below theRussell 1000 cutoff.We cumulate theabnormalnumberof newsover time (Ahernand Sosyura [2014]). The abnormal component in news releases ismeasured relative to thesame firm’s news production over the same time period in the previous year. For ease ofcomparison,wenormalizeournewsmeasuretozero100daysbeforetheindexrecomposition.Firm‐initiatednewsreleases refer tonews itemspublishedby therespective firmandnotanexternalsource.Discretionarynewsreleasesarenews itemsoverwhichthemanagementhasdiscretion in terms of content and timing (Edmans et al. [2017]). We winsorize our newsmeasureatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
32
Figure3:CumulativeAbnormalDiscretionaryNews
DisclosurearoundIndexRecompositions
Thisgraphplots thecumulative,abnormaldiscretionarynewsproductionofUp‐Movers (solidline)andUp‐Candidates(dottedline)overthreetimeperiods.WedefineUp‐MoversasfirmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.Beforereferstothe100daysbefore the index recomposition on the last trading day in May. Between covers the 30 daysbetweentheindexrecompositionandtheindexreconstitutiononthelastFridayinJune.Afterspans the100days following the index reconstitution.Wecumulate theabnormalnumberofnewsitemsovertime(AhernandSosyura[2014]).Theabnormalcomponentinnewsreleasesismeasured relative to the same firm’s news production over the same time period in thepreviousyear.Foreaseofcomparison,wenormalizeournewsmeasuretozero100daysbeforethe index recomposition. Firm‐initiated news releases refer to news items published by therespective firmandnot an external source.Discretionarynews releases are news itemsoverwhichthemanagementhasdiscretionintermsofcontentandtiming(Edmansetal.[2017]).Wewinsorizeournewsmeasureatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
33
Figure4:NewsTypesDisclosedbyUp‐Movers
This graph plots the frequency and mean CAR of firm‐initiated, discretionary news itemsdisclosedbyUp‐Moversduringthe100dayspriortotheindexrecomposition.Notethisfigureonlycapturesnews itemswithameanCARofgreater than50basispoints inbothdirectionsand a frequency of larger than five. CAR is calculated using themarketmodel, an estimationperiodof [‐346,‐91]days, and an eventwindowof [‐1,1] days.WedefineUp‐Movers as firmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.Firm‐initiatednewsreleasesrefertonewsitemspublishedbytherespectivefirmandnotanexternalsource.Discretionarynewsreleasesare news items over which the management has discretion in terms of content and timing(Edmansetal.[2017]).Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
Newsitems:
id21:DiscontinuedOperations/Downsizings,id22:StrategicAlliances,id31:BusinessExpansion,id50:Shareholder/Analyst Calls, id 73: Impairments/Write Offs, id 77: Changes in Company Bylaws/Rules,id 83: Private Placements, id 87: Fixed Income Offerings, id 138: Announcements of Sales/TradingStatement,id231:UpdateEquityBuyback,id232:AnnouncementEquityBuyback.
34
Figure5:NewsTypesDisclosedbyUp‐Candidates
This graph plots the frequency and mean CAR of firm‐initiated, discretionary news itemsdisclosed byUp‐Candidatesduring the 100 days prior to the index recomposition. Note thisfigure only captures news items with a mean CAR of greater than 50 basis points in bothdirections and a frequency of larger than five. CAR is calculated using themarketmodel, anestimationperiodof[‐346,‐91]days,andaneventwindowof[‐1,1]days.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.Firm‐initiatednewsreleasesrefertonewsitemspublishedbytherespectivefirmandnotanexternalsource.Discretionarynewsreleasesarenewsitemsoverwhichthemanagementhasdiscretionintermsofcontentandtiming(Edmansetal.[2017]).Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
Newsitems:
id 3: Seeking Acquisitions/Investments, id 21: Discontinued Operations/Downsizings, id 22: StrategicAlliances,id25:Lawsuits&LegalIssues,id73:Impairments/WriteOffs,id83:PrivatePlacements,id87:FixedIncomeOfferings,id101:ExecutiveChanges‐CEO,id102:ExecutiveChanges‐CFO,id157:ActivistLetter to Target, id 160: Communication (Letter etc.) to Employees by Target, id 163: Declaration ofVotingResults‐10Q/13D/AnySECform,id187:SupportingstatementtoTargetbyThirdParty.
35
Figure6:Mover‐CandidateDifferencesinNewsDisclosure
ThisgraphplotsthedifferencesinnewsfrequencyandmeanCARbetweenUp‐MoversandUp‐Candidates. Note this figure only captures the upper right quadrant of the full‐sample graph,that is, firm‐initiated, discretionary news items thatUp‐Movers disclosemore frequently andmore successfully relative to Up‐Candidates during the 100 days prior to the indexrecomposition. CAR is calculated using themarketmodel, an estimation period of [‐346,‐91]days, and an eventwindowof [‐1,1] days.WedefineUp‐Movers as firms thatmove from theRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidth of 300 below the Russell 1000 cutoff. Firm‐initiated news releases refer to newsitemspublishedbytherespectivefirmandnotanexternalsource.Discretionarynewsreleasesare news items over which the management has discretion in terms of content and timing(Edmansetal.[2017]).Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
Newsitems:
id21:DiscontinuedOperations/Downsizings,id22:StrategicAlliances,id31:BusinessExpansion,id77:ChangesinCompanyBylaws/Rules,id138:AnnouncementsofSales/TradingStatement.
36
Table1:SummaryStatistics
This table reports the summary statistics for Up‐Movers and Up‐Candidates around the Russell 1000 cutoff. The summary statistics present asnapshotofthevariablesontheindexrecompositiondate,i.e.,thelasttradingdayinMay.WedefineUp‐MoversasfirmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐CandidateifitsrankisbelowtheRussell1000cutoff.Abandwidthof300applies;i.e.,wehaveselectedthe150firmsclosesttotherank1000.WedefineMarketValueasthemarketcapitalizationmeasuredinbillons,CumulativeRelativeMarketValueGrowthasthecumulativerelativegrowthinmarketcapitalizationovertheentireRussellyear,thatis,fromJuneofthepreviousyearuntilMayof the current year,FirmSize as the book value of total assetsmeasured in billions, andReturnonAssets as operating income beforedepreciation divided by total assets.We calculateBookLeverage as the sum of current liabilities and long‐termdebt scaled by total assets, andTobin’sQasthesumofcommonequityandmarketequityminustotalassets,scaledbytotalassets.#Analystsisthenumberofanalystsfollowingaparticularstock,andwecomputeStockTurnoverasthedailytradingvolumedividedbytheaveragenumberofsharesoutstandingovertheRussellyear.CumulativeAbnormalDiscretionaryNews iscalculatedfollowingAhernandSosyura[2014].Discretionarynewsreleasesarenewsitemsoverwhichthemanagementhasdiscretionintermsoncontentandtiming(Edmansetal.[2017]).Allcontinuousvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodisfrom2007through2014.
Mean Median SD Mean Median SD
MarketValue 3.360 3.256 1.142 1.944 1.984 0.473 1.416 *** 1.272 ***CumulativeRelativeMarketValueGrowth 69.819 66.851 46.499 34.497 27.437 38.616 35.322 *** 39.415 ***FirmSize 3.611 1.796 5.453 2.894 1.741 3.838 0.718 ** 0.055ReturnonAssets 3.917 3.748 3.706 3.325 3.255 3.233 0.592 ** 0.493 **BookLeverage 24.054 19.419 21.349 22.605 21.249 18.553 1.450 ‐1.830Tobin'sQ 2.966 2.094 2.124 2.179 1.608 1.582 0.787 *** 0.486 ***#Analysts 10.814 10.000 5.606 9.126 8.000 4.720 1.688 *** 2.000 ***StockTurnover 19.055 15.355 12.471 12.978 9.908 9.369 6.077 *** 5.448 ***CumulativeAbnormalDiscretionaryNews 8.678 7.817 5.695 7.046 6.000 4.873 1.632 *** 1.817 ***
Up‐Movers Up‐Candidates DifferencesMedian Diff.Mean Diff.
36
37
Table2:DiscretionaryNewsDisclosure
Thistablereportsunivariatet‐testsofUp‐Candidates’andUp‐Movers’averagenewsdisclosureoverourthreetimeperiods.WedefineUp‐MoversasfirmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidate if itsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.Beforereferstothe100daysbeforetheindexrecompositionon the last tradingday inMay.Between covers the30daysbetween the indexrecompositionandtheindexreconstitutiononthelastFridayin June.Afterspansthe100days followingtheindex reconstitution. News disclosure is measured as the count of daily firm‐initiated newsitemsaveragedover the threetimeperiods.Discretionarynewsreleasesarenews itemsoverwhich themanagementhasdiscretion in termsof contentand timing (Edmanset al. [2017]).PanelAreferstoallfirm‐initiatednewsitems.PanelsBandCrefertodiscretionary(Dis.)andnon‐discretionary (Non‐Dis.) firm‐initiated news items, respectively. All continuous variablesarewinsorized at the 1% level. The sample period is from 2007 through 2014.p‐values arepresented inparentheses.Significanceat the0.01,0.05,and0.10 levels is indicatedby***,**,and*.
(1) (2) (3)
PanelA:AllNewsItems
Up‐Candidates(C) 3.628 2.639 2.867 ‐0.989 *** ‐0.762 ***0.000 0.000
Up‐Movers(M) 4.276 3.201 2.950 ‐1.075 *** ‐1.326 ***0.000 0.000
(M)‐(C) 0.648 *** 0.562 *** 0.084 ‐0.086 ‐0.564 ***0.000 0.007 0.344 0.729 0.000
PanelB:Dis.NewsItems
Up‐Candidates(C) 2.973 2.391 2.498 ‐0.582 *** ‐0.475 ***0.000 0.000
Up‐Movers(M) 3.603 2.912 2.602 ‐0.690 *** ‐1.001 ***0.002 0.000
(M)‐(C) 0.630 *** 0.522 *** 0.104 ‐0.108 ‐0.525 ***0.000 0.008 0.208 0.641 0.000
Up‐Candidates(C) 0.655 0.248 0.369 ‐0.407 *** ‐0.286 ***0.000 0.000
Up‐Movers(M) 0.673 0.289 0.348 ‐0.384 *** ‐0.325 ***0.000 0.000
(M)‐(C) 0.018 0.041 ‐0.021 0.022 ‐0.0390.463 0.338 0.325 0.651 0.231
PanelC:Non‐Dis.NewsItems
DifferencesBefore Between After
(2)‐(1) (3)‐(1)
38
Table3:AbnormalReturnsandVolumes(AllNews)
This table reports event‐study results around index recompositions. Cumulative abnormalreturns (CAR) and abnormal trading volume (AV) are computed for each firm‐initiatednewsreleaseemployinganeventwindowof[‐1,1]days.Cumulativeabnormalreturnsarecalculatedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationperiodof[‐346,‐91]days.Wecomputeafirm’sdailyabnormaltradingvolumeasthedailytradingvolumeminustheaveragetradingvolumeduringan estimation window of 40 days, divided by the firm’s number of shares outstanding. ThesampleiscomposedofUp‐Movers,Up‐Candidates,andallremainingfirmsintheRussell2000.WedefineUp‐Movers as firms thatmove fromtheRussell2000 to theRussell1000.A firm iscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.Beforereferstothe100daysbeforetheindexrecompositiononthelasttradingdayinMay.Betweencoversthe30daysbetweentheindexrecompositionandtheindexreconstitutiononthelastFridayinJune.Afterspansthe100daysfollowingtheindexreconstitution.EADay,AGMDayandBoardDayareindicatorvariablestakingthevalueof1atthedayoftheearningsannouncement, the annual general meeting, and the board meeting, and zero otherwise.Discretionary news releases are news items over which the management has discretion intermsofcontentandtiming(Edmansetal.[2017]).Wewinsorizeallcontinuousvariablesatthe1% level and use robust standard errors. Panel A shows the results for the univariateregressions, Panel B shows the results for the multivariate regressions controlling for keyreporting events. The sample period is from 2007 through 2014. p‐values are presented inparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
39
Table3:AbnormalReturnsandVolumes(AllNews)
(continued)
PanelA:WithoutControls Before Between After Before Between After
Up‐Movers 54.896*** ‐52.173 48.825 2.664*** 0.517 5.911***(0.000) (0.384) (0.334) (0.000) (0.667) (0.010)
Up‐Candidates ‐1.349 1.264 ‐16.195* 0.766*** ‐0.704 1.014*(0.858) (0.925) (0.076) (0.006) (0.501) (0.081)
Constant 4.053* 14.114*** 2.895 2.413*** 3.651*** 2.155***(0.064) (0.002) (0.257) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
R2 0.00013 0.00003 0.00003 0.00028 0.00003 0.00019Observations 118176 19154 83574 81743 13730 56588Test:M‐C=0 56.24*** ‐53.44 65.02 1.90*** 1.22 4.90**p‐value 0.000 0.381 0.204 0.001 0.433 0.038PanelB:WithControls
Up‐Movers 54.452*** ‐52.226 47.820 2.658*** 0.363 6.023***(0.000) (0.383) (0.344) (0.000) (0.765) (0.008)
Up‐Candidates ‐1.680 1.234 ‐16.610* 0.785*** ‐0.702 1.030*(0.823) (0.926) (0.069) (0.005) (0.502) (0.076)
EADay ‐14.154 4.839 ‐14.986 1.280*** 3.021** 1.708***(0.123) (0.916) (0.184) (0.000) (0.026) (0.000)
AGMDay 3.086 ‐4.362 ‐27.008* ‐2.102*** ‐1.549** ‐2.108***(0.603) (0.859) (0.076) (0.000) (0.027) (0.000)
BoardDay ‐19.773 ‐17.599 16.564 ‐1.606*** ‐1.753 ‐0.734(0.353) (0.800) (0.605) (0.000) (0.122) (0.131)
Constant 5.328** 14.144*** 4.510* 2.455*** 3.617*** 2.022***(0.023) (0.003) (0.083) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
R2 0.00017 0.00004 0.00008 0.00134 0.00039 0.00091Observations 118176 19154 83574 81743 13730 56588Test:M‐C=0 56.13*** ‐53.46 64.43 1.87*** 1.07 4.99**p‐value 0.000 0.381 0.209 0.001 0.496 0.034
CAR AV
40
Table4:AbnormalReturns(byNewsType)
This table reports event‐study results around index recompositions differentiating betweendiscretionary (Dis.) and non‐disrectionary (Non‐Dis.) firm‐initiated news items. Cumulativeabnormalreturns(CAR)arecomputedforeachfirm‐initiatednewsreleaseemployinganeventwindowof [‐1,1]days.CAR is calculatedusing themarketmodelandanestimationperiodof[‐346,‐91]days.ThesampleiscomposedofUp‐Movers,Up‐Candidates,andallremainingfirmsin the Russell 2000. We defineUp‐Movers as firms that move from the Russell 2000 to theRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.Beforereferstothe100daysbeforetheindexrecompositiononthelasttradingdayinMay.Betweencoversthe30daysbetweentheindexrecompositionandtheindexreconstitutiononthelastFridayinJune.Afterspansthe100daysfollowingtheindexreconstitution. Discretionary news releases are news items overwhich themanagement hasdiscretionintermsofcontentandtiming(Edmansetal. [2017]).Wewinsorizeallcontinuousvariables at the 1% level and use robust standard errors. The sample period is from 2007through 2014.p‐values are presented in parentheses. Significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
CAR(Dis.) CAR(Non‐Dis.) CAR(Dis.) CAR(Non‐Dis.) CAR(Dis.) CAR(Non‐Dis.)
Up‐Movers 45.247*** 109.086*** ‐38.560 ‐148.213 45.217 91.115(0.002) (0.002) (0.553) (0.288) (0.378) (0.748)
Up‐Candidates ‐4.525 12.343 5.880 ‐94.882 ‐20.197** 17.294(0.575) (0.541) (0.659) (0.265) (0.027) (0.679)
Constant 6.784*** ‐7.278 15.365*** ‐2.813 5.502** ‐16.783*(0.004) (0.182) (0.001) (0.885) (0.036) (0.065)
R2 0.00010 0.00031 0.00002 0.00098 0.00004 0.00002Observations 95563 22613 17849 1305 73900 9674Test:M‐C=0 49.77*** 96.74** ‐44.44 ‐53.33 65.41 73.82p‐value 0.003 0.016 0.501 0.741 0.208 0.796
Before Between After
41
Table5:ProbabilityofIndexSwitching
This table reports the marginal effects for our probit regressions. Our dependent variablemeasures index switches from theRussell 2000 to theRussell 1000. Thenewsmeasures arecalculatedover thebeforeperiod, that is, the100daysbefore the indexrecompositiononthelasttradingdayinMay.ThesampleiscomposedofUp‐MoversandUp‐Candidates.WedefineUp‐MoversasfirmsthatmovefromtheRussell2000totheRussell1000.AfirmiscategorizedasanUp‐Candidateifitsrankiswithinabandwidthof300belowtheRussell1000cutoff.WedefineFirmSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,CumulativeRelativeMarketValueGrowthasthecumulative relativegrowth inmarket capitalizationover theentireRussell year, that is, fromJuneofthepreviousyearuntilMayofthecurrentyear,andReturnonAssetsasoperatingincomebeforedepreciationdividedby totalassets.WecalculateBookLeverage as thesumofcurrentliabilitiesandlong‐termdebtscaledbytotalassets,andTobin’sQasthesumofcommonequityandmarketequityminustotalassets,scaledbytotalassets.#Analystsis the logof1plusthenumber of analysts following a particular stock, andwe computeStockTurnover as the dailytrading volume divided by the average number of shares outstanding over the Russell year.Discretionary news releases are news items over which the management has discretion intermsofcontentandtiming(Edmansetal.[2017]).Wewinsorizeallcontinuousvariablesatthe1% level and use robust standard errors. All models include year fixed effects. The sampleperiod is from2007 through2014.p‐valuesarepresented inparentheses. Significanceat the0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
DisrectionaryNews
Non‐Discretionary
News(1) (2) (3) (4)
AllNewsItems 0.014*** 0.009***(0.000) (0.000)
Dis.NewsItems 0.011***(0.000)
Non‐Dis.NewsItems ‐0.006(0.476)
FirmSize 0.148*** 0.148*** 0.148***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
CumulativeRelativeMarketValueGrowth 0.003*** 0.003*** 0.003***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
ReturnonAssets 0.017*** 0.017*** 0.016***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
BookLeverage 0.001* 0.001* 0.001**(0.072) (0.067) (0.046)
TobinsQ 0.089*** 0.089*** 0.089***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
#Analysts 0.062*** 0.061*** 0.065***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
StockTurnover ‐0.000 0.000 0.000(0.999) (0.973) (0.534)
McFaddenR2 0.01 0.31 0.31 0.30Observations 4370 3720 3720 3720
AllNews
42
ExtendedAuditorReportingand
PrivateInformationDisclosure*
ElisabethKläs†,NicoleV.S.Ratzinger‐Sakel‡,andJörgR.Werner§
October2017
Abstract:WeexaminetheinformativevalueoftheenhancedUKauditor’sreportbyfocusingon
theverificationroleofauditedfinancialstatements.Theintuitionisthataninformativeauditor’s
report increases investors’ understanding of and trust in the audit’s verification role and
therefore the perceived credibility of managers’ ex‐ante unverifiable private‐information
disclosures.Wedocumentadecrease in informationasymmetriesandan increase inabsolute
cumulative abnormal returns aroundmanagement forecasts following the implementation of
theenhancedUKauditor’sreport.Wefurthershowtheeffectisconcentratedamongfirmswith
moredetailedauditor’sreports,ahighernumberofdisclosedkeyauditrisks,andlowergroup
materialitythresholds.
JEL‐Classification:M41,M42,M48
Keywords:
Auditor Reporting Model, Informative Value, Management Earnings Forecasts, Audit
Verification.
*We thank the participants of the 2017 American Accounting Association International AccountingSection Midyear Meeting, the 2017 European Accounting Association Annual Congress, and the 2015AmericanAccountingAssociationAnnualMeeting.Moreover,wethankTobiaTassinariforhisassistanceincollectingthedata.Allremainingerrorsareours.PartofthisworkwasdevelopedwhenElisabethKläswasvisitingLancasterUniversityManagementSchool.†PhDstudent,AccountingDepartment,FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management.‡ProfessorofAuditingandCorporateAccounting,Chair,HBSHamburgBusinessSchool,UniversityofHamburg.§ProfessorofAccounting,FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management,Tel.+4969154008838,[email protected](correspondingauthor).
43
I. Introduction
Recent initiatives by international institutions and regulators to enhance the auditor’s report
triggered a debate about the new report’s informative value. The reforms aim at providing
financial‐statementuserswithmoreinformationonhowtheauditwasconducted.In2013,the
UKFinancialReportingCouncil(FRC)wasthefirstregulatortorequireadditionaldisclosuresin
the auditor’s report (FRC [2013a]). Shortly after, the European Commission (European
Commission [2014]), the IAASB (IAASB [2015a]), and thePCAOB (PCAOB [2017]) announced
andimplementedsimilarinitiatives.Concurrentstudieslargelyfocusondirectreactionstothe
newUKauditor’sreportsandprovidemixedevidenceonthenewdisclosures’informativevalue
(Gutierrez,Minutti‐Meza,Tatum,andVulcheva[2016];Lennox,Schmidt,andThompson[2017];
Reid,Carcello,Li,andNeal[2015a]).
Thispapercontributestothecurrentdebatebyfocusingonanalternative, indirectchannelto
assess the informative value of the enhanced UK auditor’s reports. Specifically, we examine
investorreactionsaroundmanagementearningsforecastsbeforeandaftertheimplementation
ofthenewauditor’sreport.Theeconomicintuitionisasfollows:agreaterlevelofindependent
financial‐statement verification enables managers to more credibly commit to the truthful
disclosureofprivateinformation,becauseinvestorsuseauditedfinancialinformationtoassess
thecredibilityofmanagers’pastforecasts(Ball,Jayaraman,andShivakumar[2012]).Weargue
theenhancedauditorreportingrequirementsincreaseinvestors’trustintheaudit’sverification
role. As a consequence, we expect to observe an increase in the perceived credibility of
managers’earningsforecasts.
Ourresultsprovideevidenceinfavorofthenewdisclosures’informativevalue.Wedocumenta
decreaseininformationasymmetriesandanincreaseinabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturns
(CARs) around management forecasts after the implementation of the revised UK auditor’s
report.We further show this effect is concentrated among firmswithmoredetailed auditor’s
reports,ahighernumberofdisclosedkeyauditrisks,andlowergroupmaterialitythresholds.
We contribute to the mixed evidence on the informative value of the UK auditor’s report
presentedinconcurrentstudies(Amiram,Chircop,Landsman,andPeasnell[2017];Gutierrezet
al.[2016];Lennoxetal.[2017];Reidetal.[2015a];WilliamsSmith[2017]).Focusingsolelyon
directmarketreactionstotheextendeddisclosuresoverlooksthefactthatthenewsetofaudit‐
relatedinformationmaybeusefulatothertimes.Thus,wefurthercontributetotheliteratureon
the complementary roleof audited financial informationandvoluntarydisclosures (Ball et al.
[2012]) by showing how investors use different types of audit‐related information when
44
assessingthecredibilityofmanagementearningsforecasts.Inlightofinternationalinstitutions
and national regulators announcing and implementing similar requirements, understanding
how the new disclosures contribute to the information set that is available to financial‐
statementusersisessential.Ourfindingsmaythereforebeinterestingforregulators,auditors,
andmanagers.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section II describes the institutional
background. Section III reviews prior literature and develops our hypothesis. Our research
designanddataaredescribedinsectionIV.SectionsVandVIpresentourresultsandsensitivity
analyses.SectionVIIconcludes.
II. InstitutionalBackground
Audits are designed to promote confidence in the credibility of firms’ financial information,
mitigating information asymmetries between a firm’s management and its stakeholders. The
auditor’sreportistheprimarytoolthroughwhichfinancial‐statementusersobtaininformation
abouttheaudit.Usershave,however,increasinglyraisedtheirconcernsabouttheauditreport’s
lack of informative value, particularly due to its standardized language (e.g., FRC [2013b];
PCAOB[2013]).
TheUKFinancialReportingCouncil (FRC)was the first regulator to implementmeasures that
respond to users’ calls for more informative auditor’s reports. ISA 700 (UK and Ireland)
(Revised June2013)mandates auditors of firmswith a Premium listing on the London Stock
Exchangetodiscloseinformationon(1)theassessedrisksofmaterialmisstatements,(2)how
theconceptofmaterialitywasapplied,includingthematerialitythreshold,and(3)thescopeof
the audit (FRC [2013a]).1The revised standard became effective for audits of financial
statementsendingonorafterSeptember30,2013.Togetherwiththeconcurrentchangesinthe
UKCorporateGovernanceCode(FRC[2012]),theFRChastakensubstantialmeasurestoreduce
informationasymmetriesbetweenthefirm,theauditor,andthefinancial‐statementusers.The
revisedUKCorporateGovernanceCoderequirestheAuditCommitteetodiscuss,amongother
aspects,“significantissuesthatthecommitteeconsideredinrelationtothefinancialstatements,
andhowtheseissueswereaddressed”(FRC[2012,p.20]).
1Risksofmaterialmisstatementsaredefinedasthoserisks“whichhadthegreatesteffecton:theoverallauditstrategy;theallocationofresourcesintheaudit;anddirectingtheeffortsoftheengagementteam”FRC[2013a,p.6].Forsimplicity,werefer to ISA700(UKand Ireland) (Revised June2013)as ISA700throughoutthisstudy.
45
Notablechanges to theauditor’s reportwerealso implementedby theEuropeanCommission,
the IAASB, and the PCAOB. In 2014, the European Commission passed a new regulation
requiringauditorsofpublic‐interestentitiesto,interalia,discussthemostsignificantassessed
risks ofmaterialmisstatements in their auditor’s report (European Commission [2014]). The
regulationisapplicablefromJune17,2016,onwards.InJanuary2015,theIAASBissuedthenew
InternationalStandardonAuditingISA701CommunicatingKeyAuditMattersintheIndependent
Auditor’sReportandrevisedISA700ForminganOpinionandReportingonFinancialStatements
(IAASB[2015a]).Themostsignificantchangeisthatauditorsoflistedcompaniesmustdescribe
keyauditmatters(KAMs)intheirauditor’sreportsandexplainhowtheyaddressedthoserisks
duringtheauditprocedure(IAASB[2015b]).2Thenewandrevisedstandardsbecameeffective
forauditsoffinancialstatementsendingonorafterDecember15,2016.
Asaconsequence, theFRCrevised the InternationalStandardsofAuditing(UK) to implement
theEuropeanUnion’sAuditReformandtheIAASB’sprojectsondisclosures,auditorreporting,
and the auditor’s responsibility for other information accompanying financial statements
(Deloitte [2016]).3Inter alia, theFRCupdated ISA700 (UK) (Revised June2016)Formingand
OpinionandReportingonFinancialStatements, and issued ISA 701 (UK) CommunicatingKey
AuditMattersintheIndependentAuditor’sReport. The standards adopt the IAASB’s concept of
KAMs but extend it to include a discussion of themost significant assessed risks ofmaterial
misstatements.Moreover,theFRCretainstheexistentdisclosurerequirementsontheconcept
of materiality and the audit scope. The revised auditor reporting requirements apply to all
public interestentitiesandcompaniesthatarerequiredto,orvoluntarilychooseto,reporton
how they comply with the UK Corporate Governance Code and are effective for audits of
financialstatementsstartingonorafterJune17,2016.4
Enhancementstotheauditor’sreportarealsobeingimplementedintheUnitedStates.InJune
2017,thePCAOBadoptedanewauditorreportingstandard,which,interalia,requiresauditors
to communicate critical auditmatters (CAMs) in their auditor’s reports (PCAOB [2017]).5The
PCAOB expects that the expanded auditor’s report “will reduce the information asymmetry
between investors and auditors, which should in turn reduce the information asymmetry
betweeninvestorsandmanagementaboutthecompany'sfinancialperformance”(PCAOB[2017,
p. 66]). In light of the various international initiatives to enhance the auditor’s report,
2Key auditmatters are defined as “thosematters that, in the auditor’s professional judgment,were ofmost significance in the audit of the financial statement of the current period. Key audit matters areselectedfrommatterscommunicatedwiththosechargedwithgovernance”(IAASB[2015d,paragraph8]).3SinceJune17,2016,theFRCisnolongertheresponsibleauditstandardsetterinIreland(IAASA[2016]).4OursampleperiodendsbeforethesecondrevisionofISA700(UK)becameeffective.5Acriticalauditmatterisa“matterthatwascommunicatedorrequiredtobecommunicatedtotheAuditCommitteeandthat(1)relatestoaccountsordisclosuresthatarematerialtothefinancialstatementsand(2)involvedespeciallychallenging,subjective,orcomplexauditorjudgement”(PCAOB[2017,p.11]).
46
understanding whether the new requirements indeed fulfill their goals of better informing
investors about the audit process is essential. The UK setting offers researchers the unique
opportunity to provide early evidence on the informative value of the new audit‐related
information.Ourpaperisthefirsttoshedlightonanypotentialindirectcapitalmarketeffects.
III. RelatedLiteratureandHypothesis
During the ISA 700 consultation process, investors argued the new audit‐related disclosures
couldprovideinsightsintohowtheauditingstandardswereappliedonthecompanylevel.The
enhancedauditor’sreportwouldallowthemtobetterunderstandtheauditprocessandthusbe
in a better position to assess the audit’s quality (FRC [2013b]). Indeed, descriptive evidence
suggeststhenewdisclosuresarenotjustboilerplate.Comparingpre‐andpost‐ISA700auditor’s
reports, Williams Smith [2017] documents an increase in readability and a stronger use of
negativeanduncertaintone.
Opponents of the enhanced auditor‐reporting model, however, question its usefulness. In
particular, some auditors argued the new disclosures would be too complex and short
descriptions that do not capture the overall contextmight cause unnecessary concerns (FRC
[2013b]).Somepreparersfurtherbelieve“thebinaryauditor’sopinionshouldprovidethemost
importantinformationthatanauditorcanconveytousersoffinancialstatements”(FRC[2013b,
p. 6]). Prior literature on the information content of modified, non‐standard audit opinions
showsexplanatorylanguageintheauditor’sreporthasinformativevalueforfinancial‐statement
users (e.g., Chen, He, Ma, and Stice [2016]; Menon and Williams [2010]). Although the new
disclosures required by ISA 700 are not equivalent to modified audit opinions, the findings
suggest investors may consider the new audit‐related disclosures useful. Whether the new
auditor’s report fulfills its intendedpurpose is, however, anopenquestion. So far, concurrent
empiricalstudiesprovidemixedevidenceonthenewdisclosures’informativevalue.
Some studies examine direct reactions to the new auditor’s reports by analyzing investor
reactions around the annual report’s release date. The intuition is that UK firms typically
disclose earnings announcements several weeks before the actual annual reports. These
earnings announcements contain essentially all relevant financial reporting information, and
thus researcher argue the annual report only contributes two newpieces of information: the
auditor’s reportand theAuditCommittee report (Gutierrez et al. [2016];Reidet al. [2015a]).
Gutierrez et al. [2016] findno significant change in investor reactions aroundannual reports’
release dates following the revision of ISA 700. Moreover, cross‐sectional analyses show no
significantassociationbetweenthecontentofauditor’sreportsandinvestorreactions.Lennox
47
et al. [2017] conclude investors do not consider the material risks of misstatements to be
incrementallyinformative,becausethemajorityofriskswerealreadyknownbeforetheywere
disclosed in the auditor’s report. However, the authors also show the new auditor’s reports
capture the relevant financial‐statement risks. By contrast, Reid et al. [2015a] report a
significant increase in abnormal trading volume around the annual report’s publication
following the implementation of ISA 700. Additional analyses reveal the change in abnormal
tradingvolume is concentratedamong firmswithaweak informationenvironmentand those
withmoredetailedauditor’sreports.
Using a valuation model, Amiram et al. [2017] show firms with low materiality thresholds
experience an increase in their financial statements’ perceived relative credibility, thus
benefittingfromthenewdisclosuresonmateriality.Theauthorsfurtherfindfirmswithgreater
reliance on debt financing and more inside shareholders have lower materiality thresholds.
Williams Smith [2017] documents another consequence of the new audit‐related disclosures:
She finds analyst forecast dispersion decreases after implementation of the revised standard,
suggestinganalystsbenefitfromthenewdisclosures.6
Prior literature has not considered any indirect effects of the new disclosure regime. To the
extentthattherevisedauditor’sreportsenhanceinvestors’understandingoftheauditprocess
and thus potentially increase their trust in the audit, the new audit‐related informationmay
impactmarketparticipants’decisionsnotonly—ornotprimarily—around theannual report’s
publicationdate,butalsoatothertimes.Balletal.[2012,p.138]pointoutthat“auditedfinancial
reportingindirectlyaffects informationreleasedatothertimesandthroughothermedia.”The
authorsarguethatagreaterlevelofindependentfinancial‐statementverification,thatis,higher‐
quality audits, enables managers to credibly commit to the truthful disclosure of private
information.The intuition is that investorscanuseaudited financial informationtoassess the
credibilityofmanagers’pastdisclosures.Themanagerknowsthefirm’sactualperformancewill
beverifiedbyan independentauditorexpost,and thereforediscloseshisprivate information
more truthfully ex ante. Specifically, Ball et al. [2012] find a positive associationbetween the
extentofmanagementearningsforecastingactivityandtheresourcesinvestedin independent
financial‐statement verification, as proxied by excess audit fees. Investor reactions to those
forecasts increase in the level of financial‐statement verification. The latter finding implies
6Concurrent studies also use experimental designs to investigate the effect of KAMs/CAMs on auditorliability (Gimbar,Hansen,andOzlanski [2016];Brasel,Doxey,Grenier, andReffett [2016];Kachelmeier,Schmidt, and Valentine [2017]; Backof, Bowlin, and Goodson [2017]), investors’ investment decisions(Christensen,Glover, andWolfe [2014]), and investors’ information‐acquisitionprocess (Sirois,Bédard,and Bera [2017]). Köhler, Ratzinger‐Sakel, and Theis [2016] assess the informative value of KAMs forprofessional and non‐professional investors. See Bédard, Coram, Espahbodi, and Mock [2016] for anoverviewofthecurrentliterature.
48
investors consider the credibility ofmanagers’ disclosures tobe an increasing functionof the
amountofresourcesspentontheaudit(Balletal.[2012]).
Weargue thatabetterunderstandingof and thus trust in theauditprocessmay increase the
perceived credibility of managers’ private‐information disclosures. In other words, a lack of
investorreactionsaroundtheannualreports’releasedatesdoesnotnecessarilyimplythenew
auditor’sreportisnotinformative.Forexample,considerrisksofmaterialmisstatements:these
risks are the ones the auditor considered to be of great significanceduring the audit process
(FRC [2013a]). Although the disclosed risks are not an indication of audit quality per se, the
auditor’s professional reaction to the material risks of misstatements may affect investors’
assessmentsofthecredibilityofmanagers’earningsforecasts.Forecastsmaybeconsideredto
bemorecredibleinthepost‐ISA‐700‐periodif investorslearnhowauditorsreacttothefirm’s
risky areas. Previously, they only knew the majority of risks existed, but did not have any
informationonwhetherandhowtheauditordealtwiththoserisks(Lennoxetal.[2017]).
Ourargumentregardingthematerialitythresholdissimilar: theauditor’staskistodetermine
whether financial statements have beenprepared in accordancewith the relevant accounting
standards and whether they are free of material misstatements. The materiality threshold
informsinvestorsabouttheamounttheauditorconsidersquantitativelymaterial.Thus,alower
materiality threshold does not necessarily imply the level of assurance is higher. It does,
however, inform investors about theamount theauditor considersmaterial.This information
maybeuseful to investorswhenevaluatingthecredibilityofmanagement forecasts. Investors
nowbetterunderstandtheextenttowhichtheauditedfinancialstatementswillbecapableof
restrictingmanagers’discretion.Tosummarize,abetterunderstandingofandthereforetrustin
theauditprocess—thekeyobjectiveofthenewregulation—isnotequallyimportantatalltimes
and for all decisions. Based on the new audit‐related disclosures, investorsmay update their
beliefsabout theverification roleof financial statementsand thus change their assessmentof
thecredibilityofmanagers’private‐informationdisclosures.
OursettingdiffersfromBalletal.[2012]intwocriticalrespects:First,thenewdisclosuresare
not designed to increase audit quality but rather to inform investors about how financial‐
statementverificationisachieved.7Second,thedecisioninBalletal.[2012]toinvestresources
inmanagementforecastsandfinancial‐statementverificationismadejointly;thatis,thelevelof
voluntary disclosure is endogenous to the level of audit fees. In our setting, the disclosure of
audit‐related information is exogenous. It is mandated by an auditing standard. If the new
information improvesinvestors’understandingoftheauditprocess, itshouldstrengthentheir
7The empirical evidence on whether the new auditor’s reports increase audit quality is inconclusive(Reid,Carcello,Li,andNeal[2015b];Gutierrezetal.[2016]).
49
trust in itsverificationroleandwewouldexpect investors toconsider this informationwhen
evaluating managers’ voluntary disclosures. Consequently, we expect to observe a change in
investorreactionstomanagementforecastsaftertherevisionofISA700.
Hypothesis:
Investorsconsiderthenewaudit‐relateddisclosureswhenassessingthecredibilityofmanagers’ex‐
anteunverifiablevoluntarydisclosures.
IV. DesignandData
ResearchDesign
Totestourhypothesis,weuseshort‐windoweventstudiestoexaminemarketreactionsaround
management earnings forecasts. We use bid‐ask spreads (SPREAD) and absolute CARs
(ABS_CAR) to measure investor reactions. Bid‐ask spreads are commonly used as a direct
measureofinformationasymmetries(e.g.,LeuzandVerrecchia[2000]).Theeconomicintuition
is that the bid‐ask spread reflects the costs of adverse selection that arise from information
asymmetries and reduces a firm’s liquidity (Glosten andMilgrom [1985]). Firms canmitigate
thiseffectbyvoluntarilydisclosingprivate information,which increasesa firm’s liquidityand
thus decreases its cost of capital via a reduction in information asymmetries (Diamond and
Verrecchia [1991]). Consistent with economic theory, Coller and Yohn [1997] show
managementearningsforecastsreduceinformationasymmetriesaboutthefirm.8Therefore,to
theextentthatthenewauditor’sreportstrengthensinvestors’understandingofandtrustinthe
auditprocess,weexpecttoobserveadecrease inspreadsaroundmanagement forecastsafter
therevisionofISA700.Pricereactions,ascapturedbytheCAR,reflectchangesinthemarket’s
expectation (Beaver [1968]). Consequently, if the new audit‐related disclosures improve the
perceivedcredibilityofmanagementearningsforecastsbyenhancinginvestors’understanding
of the verification role of audited financial statements,we expect to observe a stronger stock
marketreactiontoforecastsaftertherevisionofISA700.
Westartouranalysisbyestimating the change in investor reactions tomanagementearnings
forecastsemployingthefollowingpre‐postmodel:
InvestorReactions=α+β1Post+β2Size+β3Leverage+β4ROA+β5MB+β6Fees
+β7#Analysts+β8GoodNews+IndustryFE+ε.
8SeeHirst,Koonce,andVenkataraman[2008]foranoverviewoftheliteratureonmanagementforecasts.
50
We employ an eventwindow of [‐1;1] to compute the average bid‐ask spread (SPREAD) and
absoluteCAR(ABS_CAR)aroundeachforecast.SPREAD iscomputedasthedifferencebetween
dailyaskandbidpricesdividedby themidpoint.CARsarecomputedusing themarketmodel
andanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].WefollowBalletal.[2012]andusetheabsolutevalueof
CAR.Theintuitionisthatweareinterestedinthemagnitudeofthemarketreactionsratherthan
thedirectionofthestockpricemovement.
Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1 ifthemanagementforecastispublishedafter
therevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.9Notethepost‐periodmayvaryonthefirmleveldue
todifferentfiscalyear‐ends.Tofallwithinthepost‐period,werequireaforecasttobepublished
after the company released its first annual report containing the new audit information.
Following prior literature,we control for several forecast and accounting characteristics that
may be associated with investor reactions, and match lagged accounting and auditing
information to each forecast. The intuition is that investors take into account the audit
information disclosed in the most recent annual report when assessing the credibility of
managementforecaststhataresubsequentlyreleased.
WedefineSize as the logofbookvalueof total assets,Leverage as totaldebtdividedby total
assets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBiscalculatedasmarketvalueofequity
divided by book value of equity, Fees as the log of the auditor’s total remuneration, and #
Analystsasthelogof1plusthenumberofanalystsfollowingthefirm.GoodNewsisanindicator
variable taking the value of 1 if the CAR around amanagement forecast is positive, and zero
otherwise.WefurtherincludeindicatorvariablesforeachindustryusingtheFamaandFrench
[1997]17‐industryclassificationtocontrolforindustrycharacteristics.Ifinvestorsconsiderthe
enhancedauditor’sreporttobeusefulwhenassessingthecredibilityofmanagementforecasts,
weexpectthecoefficientonPosttobesignificantlynegative(positive)wheninvestorreactions
areproxiedbythebid‐askspread(absoluteCAR).
Any change inmarket reaction in the post‐period identified by ourmodelmay be driven by
factors other than the new auditor’s report per se. In a next step, we therefore investigate
whetherthechangeinmarketreactionsinthepost‐perioddiffersdependingontheinformation
includedintheauditor’sreports.Weemploythefollowingproxiestomeasuretheinformation
content of the auditor’s reports: # Risks is the number of risks of material misstatements
disclosedbytheauditor,andGroupMaterialityisthegroupmaterialitythresholdexpressedasa
percentageoftotalassets.Wedefine#Words(All)asthenumberofwordsusedtodescribethe
scope, risks, and materiality. #Words (Risks) is the number of words used to describe the
materialrisksofmisstatements,and#Words(Materiality+Scope) isthenumberofwordsused
9SeeAppendixAforamoredetaileddescriptionandanexplanatoryexample.
51
to describe the audit’s scope and the applied materiality threshold.10ACMateriality is the
threshold for reportablemisstatements to the Audit Committee expressed as a percentage of
totalassets.#ACRisks isdefinedasthenumberofrisksdisclosedbytheAuditCommittee.We
winsorizeallcontinuousregressionvariablesat1%tominimizetheeffectsofoutliers.
In contrast toReid et al. [2015a] andLennox et al. [2017],wedo not use firms listed on the
LondonStockExchange’sAlternativeInvestmentMarket(AIM)orUSfirmsascontrolgroups.As
Gutierrezetal. [2016]pointout, thetwogroupsexhibitsignificantdifferencesfromPremium‐
listed firms in terms of their compliance and listing requirements as well as their litigation
environments.11Instead, we focus on the structural breaks in market reactions to forecasts
beforeandaftertherevisionofISA700.Weaddresspotentialconcernsregardingthecausality
ofourfindingsbypartitioningoursamplebasedondifferenttypesofauditinformation.
SampleConstructionandData
ISA700(UKandIreland)(RevisedJune2013)appliestoallfirmswithaPremiumlistingonthe
LondonStockExchange.Our sampleperiod spansover fouryears, starting twoyearsprior to
andendingtwoyearsaftertherevisedauditingstandardbecameeffective.Weobtainhistorical
companylistsfromtheLondonStockExchange’swebsiteandexcludeallfinancialcompanies.12
We further require our sample firms to be listed on the Premium segment during the entire
sampleperiodaswellastohaveavailablemarket,accounting,andanalystdataforallyears.To
compareacompanywithitselfovertime,werequirefirmstodiscloseatleastonemanagement
earningsforecastperyear.Ourfinalsampleconsistsof1,394forecastsfrom143firmsoverfour
years.Table1describesoursample‐selectionprocess.
[InsertTable1abouthere]
WeobtainmanagementearningsforecastsfromtheCapitalIQS&PKeyDevelopmentsdatabase.
OurdatasetendsonJune30,2016,becausedata forsubsequentperiodswerenotavailableat
the date of our sample collection.We follow the approach of Li and Yang [2016] to identify
management earnings forecasts in Capital IQ S&P Key Developments using textual analysis.
10We combine the number of words used to describe the audit’s scope and the applied materialitythresholdsbecausetheyarefrequentlyexplainedinthesectionoftheauditor’sreport.11Comparing untabulated descriptive statistics shows AIM and Premium firms are very different. Forexample, firms with a Premium listing are significantly larger, more profitable, and have lowerinformationasymmetries.12http://www.londonstockexchange.com/statistics/historic/company‐files/company‐files.htm.
52
Appendix A provides a detailed description of our coding procedure.Market, accounting, and
audit‐fee data (denoted in millions) are obtained from FactSet. We hand‐collected missing
accounting data in FactSet from the firms’ annual reports to avoid a further reduction of our
samplesize.AnalystdataareobtainedfromI/B/E/S.Audit‐relatedinformationishand‐collected
fromeach firm’sannualreport,whichweobtain fromthePerfect Informationdatabaseorthe
respectivecorporatewebsites.
V. EvidenceontheReport’sInformationContent
SummaryStatistics
ThesummarystatisticsreportedinTable2provideafirstindicationthattheenhancedauditor’s
reportmayhavesomeinformativevalue.Inthepost‐period,firmsexperienceasmalldecrease
ininformationasymmetriesaroundmanagementearningsforecasts.Themedianbid‐askspread
is stable. Both the mean and median CAR increase in the post‐period. Untabulated statistics
furthershowtheforecastfrequencyperfirmdoesnotchangesignificantlyinthepost‐period(p‐
value:0.5596).Afirmdisclosesonaverage4.9forecastsduringthepre‐periodand4.8forecasts
duringthepost‐period.
In both periods, approximately half the management forecasts trigger a positive market
reaction.Thetotalauditfeespaidbyoursamplefirmsincreaseinthepost‐period;however,this
increaseisnotstatisticallysignificant.Moreover,wheninterpretingthevariableFees,onemust
keep in mind that it measures the auditor’s total remuneration and does not differentiate
betweenfeespaidforaudit‐relatedandfeespaidfornon‐audit‐relatedservices.
We further providedescriptive information about the enhanced auditor’s reports in thepost‐
period:thethreenewsectionsintheenhancedauditor’sreportcontainonaverage1,532words,
ofwhichapproximately70%describetherisksofmaterialmisstatements.Theauditorsapplya
materiality thresholdof on average0.64%of total assets anddiscloseon average4.2 risks of
material misstatements. This finding is in line with Gutierrez et al. [2016], who report an
averagematerialitythresholdof0.61%oftotalassetsandanaverageof3.9risks.Thehighest
materialitythresholdappliedinoursampleis6.5%oftotalassets,whereasthelowestthreshold
is0.1%oftotalassets.Thehighestnumberofrisksdisclosedinanauditor’sreportinoursample
is 10,whereas the lowest number is one. The auditor informs theAudit Committee about all
auditdifferencesinexcessofonaverage0.03%oftotalassets.TheAuditCommitteediscloseson
average4.8risks,whichisslightlymorethantherisksofmaterialmisstatementsidentifiedby
theauditor.
53
[InsertTable2abouthere]
Table3reportsthesummarystatisticsofallauditinformationbyauditfirm.Thevastmajorityof
oursamplefirms—97%—areauditedbyaBig4auditor.ThisfindingisinlinewithGutierrezet
al. [2016]andLennoxetal. [2017],whoreportaBig4quotaofapproximately94%and90%,
respectively.PricewaterhouseCoopers(PwC)auditsthelargestshareofsamplefirms,with32%,
followed by KPMG and Deloitte Touche with 26% each. Our audit‐firm distribution is very
similar to Lennox et al. [2017]. Grant Thornton has the most detailed auditor’s report, with
1,773words, closely followed by PwC,with 1,738words. BDO and Deloitte Touche have the
shortestdescriptionsofaudit‐related information,with996and1,377words,respectively.On
average,PwCusesalmosttwiceasmanywordstodescribetherisksofmaterialmisstatements
comparedtoErnst&Young,althoughErnst&Younghasbyfarthemostdetaileddescriptionof
theaudit’sscopeandtheappliedmaterialitythreshold.WiththeexceptionofGrantThornton,all
audit firms apply a relatively similar averagemateriality threshold of approximately 0.5% to
0.7%oftotalassets.NotethelargeaverageforGrantThorntonisdrivenbyone(outlier)client
and thus does not indicate a significantly different audit approach: the untabulated median
materiality threshold of 0.6% of total assets is similar to the thresholds applied by the other
auditfirms.Mostauditorsidentifyonaveragefourrisksofmaterialmisstatements,withKPMG
disclosingthefewest(3.6risks).Again,one(outlier)clientdrivesthecomparablylargernumber
ofaveragerisksdisclosedbyGrantThornton.Theuntabulatedmedianisfourrisksandisagain
comparabletotheotherauditfirms.
[InsertTable3abouthere]
Pre‐PostAnalysis
Table 4 reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. The coefficient on Post is negative and
statistically significant when using SPREAD as our dependent variable. In other words,
informationasymmetriesaroundmanagementforecastsdecreaseaftertherevisionofISA700.
Moreover, firmsthatare larger,moreprofitable,andhavemoreanalysts followingexperience
lowerinformationasymmetries.ThecoefficientonFeesisinsignificant.NotethatFeesmeasures
the auditor’s total remuneration. A larger amount of Fees may therefore either stem from a
higherdegreeoffinancial‐statementverificationoralargerproportionofnon‐auditfees,which
54
are generally believed to harm the auditor’s independence. UsingABS_CAR as our dependent
variable, the coefficient on Post is significantly positive. Thus, the absolute CAR around
management forecasts is higher after the revision of ISA 700. The analysis further shows the
marketreactionislesspronouncedforlargerandmoreprofitablefirmswithahigherleverage
andmarket‐to‐bookratio.Wedonotcontrolforthemanagementforecasts’informationcontent
when using ABS_CARas our dependent variable, because the indicator variable GoodNews is
basedon theCARaroundeachmanagement forecast.13Overall, thepre‐postanalysis supports
our hypothesis that investors consider the new audit‐related information to be useful when
assessingthecredibilityofmanagers’earningsforecasts.
[InsertTable4abouthere]
Pre‐PostAnalysisbyAuditor’sReportInformation
Thechangeinmarketreactionsinthepost‐periodmaybedrivenbyfactorsotherthanthenew
auditor’sreportperse.Toalleviatethisconcern,weanalyzewhetherthemarketreactionvaries
dependingonthenewdisclosures’informationcontent.TheresultsarereportedinTables5to
10.
Westartouranalysisbypartitioningthesamplebasedonwhetherthenumberofwordsusedto
describethenewinformationintheauditor’sreportisaboveorbelowthesamplemedian.Thus,
the number of words is a proxy for how detailed the auditor’s description of his work is.
Consequently,weexpectthechangeininvestorreactionsinthepost‐periodtobeconcentrated
inthesubsamplewithmoredetaileddescriptions.Table5showsthebid‐askspreadsdecrease
inthepost‐periodforfirmswithmoredetailedauditor’sreports.Bycontrast,thecoefficienton
Post for firms with less detailed reports is negative but insignificant. The results are similar
whenusingABS_CARasourdependentvariable.Investorsreactmorestronglytomanagement
forecasts in thepost‐periodwhentheauditor’s reportcontainsmoredetailed information.No
significantchangeinabsoluteCARcanbeobservedinthesubsamplewithlessdetailedauditor’s
reports.Overall,theresultsprovideevidencethatinvestorsconsiderdetaileddescriptionsinthe
auditor’s report to be informative when evaluating the credibility of management earnings
forecasts.
13OurresultsholdwhenweincludethevariableGoodNewsinourregressionmodel.
55
[InsertTable5abouthere]
Toobtainabetterunderstandingofthedifferentsectionsintheauditor’sreport,were‐estimate
ouranalysis,differentiatingbetweenthenumberofwordsusedtodescribetherisksofmaterial
misstatements and the number of words used in the sections on the audit’s scope and the
applied group materiality threshold. The risk section typically describes the identified risks,
explainshowtheauditordealtwiththerisks,anddiscussestheconclusions.Thesectiononthe
materialitythresholdiscomparablyshorterandincludesthequantitativematerialitythreshold,
the base, and the percentage used to determine the threshold as well as the threshold for
reportablemisstatementstotheAuditCommittee.Thirty‐twopercentand15%oftheauditor’s
reportsinoursamplealsostatethecomponentandperformancemateriality,respectively.The
section on the audit scope encompasses a mostly short description on how the auditor
structuredtheaudit.
Table6reportsourresults.Firmswithamoredetailedriskdescriptionexperienceasignificant
decrease in bid‐ask spreads and a significant increase in absolute CAR around management
forecastsfollowingtheimplementationoftherevisedauditingstandard.Firmswithlessdetailed
explanationsdonotexhibitanysignificantchange inmarket reactionsduring thepost‐period.
Theresultsfortheaudit’sscopeandappliedmaterialitythresholdaremixed.Whiletheabsolute
CARincreasesinthepost‐periodforfirmswithmoredetailedexplanations,thebid‐askspread
doesnotchangesignificantly following therevisionof ISA700.Apossibleexplanation for the
mixed results is that investors consider the quantitative materiality threshold to be more
importantthanitsqualitativedescription.
[InsertTable6abouthere]
We thereforeanalyze the information contentof thequantitative groupmateriality threshold.
We partition the sample based on whether the materiality threshold is above or below the
median.Thematerialitythresholdisherebyexpressedasapercentageoftotalassets.Weexpect
the market reaction in the post‐period to be stronger for firms with lower materiality
thresholds,becausealowermaterialitythresholdrestrictstheamountuptowhichmanagement
canexercisediscretion.Table7showsthatfirmswithmaterialitythresholdsbelowthemedian
experience a significant decrease in information asymmetries and a significant increase in
56
absolute CAR following the revision of ISA 700. Firms with higher materiality levels do not
exhibit a significant change in SPREADorABS_CARduring the post‐period. The results show
investors take into account the quantitative materiality thresholds when evaluating the
credibilityofmanagementearningsforecasts.
[InsertTable7abouthere]
The auditor’s report also contains the threshold for reportable misstatements to the Audit
Committee. The threshold for reportable misstatements in our sample is on average
approximately 4% of the applied group materiality threshold. Untabulated statistics further
show the two thresholds have a correlation of 0.8735.We re‐estimate our pre‐post analysis,
partitioningthesamplebasedonwhetherthethresholdofreportablemisstatements(expressed
as a percentage of total assets) is above or below the sample median. Given that the two
thresholds are interrelated, we expect to observe results similar to those of our group
materiality analysis. The results in Table 8 confirm our expectation. Firms with thresholds
below themedian for reportablemisstatements experience a statistically significant decrease
(increase)inbid‐askspreads(absoluteCAR)inthepost‐period.
[InsertTable8abouthere]
Next,weexaminetheinformativevalueofthenumberofrisksidentifiedbytheauditor.Wedo
notformanexpectationforthisanalysis,becausedifferentscenariosarepossible:First,thetotal
numberofriskspersemaynotbeinformativetoinvestors;rather,explanationsmightmatter.
Second,investorsmayfindmanagementforecastsoffirmswithmoreriskstobelesscrediblein
thepost‐ISA‐700‐periodbecausetheyconsidertheauditedfinancialstatementtoberiskierand
the audit’s verification role thusweaker expost.However, this scenario seemsunlikely given
thatthemajorityofriskswerealreadyknowntoinvestorsbeforetheIAS700revision(Lennox
et al. [2017]). In this case, the bid‐ask spreads would increase and the absolute CAR would
decrease for firms with more audit risks in the post‐period. Third, investors might consider
managementforecastsissuedbyfirmswithahighernumberofriskstobemorecredibleinthe
post‐period.The intuition is that investorswere already informedabout themajority of risks
57
beforetheyweredisclosedintheauditor’sreport(Lennoxetal.[2017]).However,theydidnot
know whether and how the auditor addressed those risks, and thus consider the audit’s
verificationroletobestrongerexpost.Inthiscase,thebid‐askspreadswoulddecreaseandthe
absoluteCARwouldincreaseforfirmswithmorerisksaftertherevisionofISA700.Consistent
with the third scenario, Table 8 shows a significantly negative (positive) coefficient on Post
when we use SPREAD (ABS_CAR) as our dependent variable. Taken together, our analyses
provide evidence that investors consider the new auditor’s report to be informative when
assessingthecredibilityofmanagementearningsforecasts.
[InsertTable9abouthere]
Pre‐PostAnalysisbyAuditCommitteeReportInformation
When it implemented the enhanced auditor’s report, the FRC also revised its UK Corporate
GovernanceCode.ThenewcoderequirestheAuditCommitteetodisclose“significantissuesthat
the committee considered in relation to the financial statements, and how these issueswere
addressed” (FRC [2012,p. 20]).Although the risksofmaterialmisstatements reportedby the
auditorandthesignificantissuesidentifiedbytheAuditCommitteearenotnecessarilyidentical,
theFRCreportsanoverlapof74%in the firstyearand85%inthesecondyear followingthe
revisionofISA700(FRC[2016a]).Bothrisktypeshaveacorrelationof0.5484inoursample.
ThisfindingisconsistentwithGutierrezetal.[2016],whoreportacorrelationof0.54.
We assess the information content of theAudit Committee’s significant issues bypartitioning
our sample based onwhether the number of significant issues is above or below the sample
median.The results are reported inTable9. In linewithourprevious findings, firmswithan
above‐the‐median number of significant issues experience a statistically significant decrease
(increase) inbid‐askspreads (absoluteCAR)aroundmanagementearnings forecastsafter the
revisionofISA700.AlthoughtheabsoluteCARinthepost‐perioddoesnotchangesignificantly
forfirmsbelowthemedian,theincreaseinbid‐askspreadsisstatisticallysignificantatthe10%
level.
[InsertTable10abouthere]
58
VI. SensitivityAnalyses
Weperformseveral (untabulated)sensitivityanalyses toassess therobustnessofour results.
The sample used in our main analysis consists of firms that regularly issue management
earningsforecasts.Weconsiderthefocusonregularforecasterstobeadesignchoice.However,
firmsmightnon‐randomlyselect intothegroupofregular forecasters,whichmayinturnbias
ourregressionresults(Lennox,Francis,andWang[2012]).WethereforeemploytheHeckman
[1979]two‐stageregressionmodelasourfirstsensitivityanalysis.Inthefirststage,wemodel
thedecisiontopublishatleastoneforecastperyear,byestimatingaprobitmodel.Werelyon
Hirstetal.'s[2008]studytoidentifydeterminantsofbeingafirmthatregularlyissuesforecasts.
Inthesecondstage,weincludetheinversemillsratiofromthefirststageandreplicateourpre‐
postanalysis.Theresultsarequalitativelysimilarandthecoefficientontheinversemillsratiois
statisticallyinsignificant.
Second,werelaxoursamplingrequirementsandnolongerrequirefirmstopublishatleastone
forecastperyear.Ouradjustedsampleconsistsof2,042forecastspublishedby313firms.Again,
ourresultsarequalitativelysimilar.
Third,ourdependentvariablesarenon‐negativebyconstruction.Wethereforere‐estimateour
analysesandapplyaTobitregressionmodel.Theresultsarerobust,withthecoefficientsbeing
almostidenticaltoourmainregressionmodel.
Fourth, to control for time‐invariant differences between the auditors, such as the auditor’s
individual style,were‐estimateouranalysesand includeauditor‐fixedeffects.Theresultsare
qualitativelysimilar.
Fifth,were‐estimateouranalyses,employingtheFamaandFrench[1997]classificationwith12
and30industries.Ourresultsarerobust.Theonlynoteworthyexceptionisthatfirmswithan
above‐the‐median number of words used to describe the audit’s scope and the applied
materialitythresholddonotexperienceasignificantincreaseinabsoluteCARinthepost‐period.
ThecoefficientonPostis0.006(p‐value:0.109)whenweuse12‐industryclustersand0.006(p‐
value: 0.104) when we use 30‐industry clusters. The sensitivity analysis further indicates
investors consider the quantitative materiality threshold to be the most useful piece of
informationintheauditreport’ssectiononscopeandmateriality.
Last,weexcludeallforecaststhatareamereconfirmationofpreviouslyannouncedforecasts.14
We perform two versions of this sensitivity analysis. We first simply exclude all 157
14SeeAppendixAformoreinformationonhowweidentifiedforecastconfirmationsintheCapitalIQS&PKeyDevelopmentsdatabase.
59
confirmatory forecasts from our current sample. During the pre‐ and post‐periods, firms
disclosed71and86confirmationforecasts,respectively.Theresultsarequalitativelysimilar.In
thealternativeversion,wesamplefirmsbasedonnon‐confirmativeforecasts,andyieldatotal
sample of 1,134 forecasts from 124 firms. Again, our results are robust to this alternative
specification.
VII. Conclusion
Respondingtoinvestors’callsformoreinformativeauditor’sreports,theUKFinancialReporting
Council implemented substantial changes to the auditor’s report in 2013. Understanding the
newdisclosures’informativevalueforfinancial‐statementusersisessential,asotherregulators
have recently applied similar requirements (PCAOB [2016]; IAASB [2015b]; European
Commission[2014]).Incontrasttoconcurrentstudies(e.g.,Gutierrezetal.[2016];Lennoxetal.
[2017];Reidetal.[2015a]),whichprimarilyfocusondirectreactionstothenewaudit‐related
information,we consider the premise that audited financial informationmay indirectly affect
informationreleasedatothertimes(Balletal.[2012]),andanalyzewhetherinvestorsconsider
the new disclosures to be useful when evaluating the credibility of management earnings
forecasts.
Weprovideevidence in favorof theenhancedreport’s informativevalue.Specifically,we find
thatinformationasymmetriesaroundforecastsdecreaseaftertherevisionofISA700,whilethe
absolute cumulative abnormal returns increase. Taking into account the new reports’
informationcontent,weshowthechangeinmarketreactionisconcentratedamongfirmswith
more detailed auditor’s reports, a higher number of risks, and lower group materiality
thresholds.
Ourstudy issubject tocertaincaveats.First,oursamplecontainsarelativelysmallnumberof
UK firms, which could limit the generalizability of our results. Further analyses with US and
Europeandatamaybehelpfultocorroborateourfindings.Moreover,wesuggestfuturestudies
shouldexamine the typesof risks investorsconsider importantwhenevaluatingmanagement
forecasts.Second,wecannotruleoutthatotherunidentifiedfactorscoulddriveourresults.We
attempt tominimize thispossibilitybyanalyzinghow investors react to thedifferent typesof
informationcontainedintheauditor’sreport.
60
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AppendixA:IdentificationandAssignmentofForecasts
Thissectiondescribestheidentificationandassignmentofmanagementforecastsobtainedfrom
theCapitalIQS&PKeyDevelopmentsdatabase.WefollowtheapproachinLiandYang[2016]to
identifymanagementearningsguidance.WecollectallnewsitemsoftheKeyDevelopmentType
“Corporate Guidance.” A corporate guidance is identified as an earnings guidance if the news
headline or text includes the word “Earning,” “earning,” or “EPS.” A corporate guidance is
identified as “Confirmed” if its Key Development Type is “Corporate Guidance –
New/Confirmed”anditsheadlineincludestheword“affirm,”“Affirm,”“reiterate,”or“Reiterate.”
Similarly,acorporateguidanceisclassifiedas“New”ifitsKeyDevelopmentTypeis“Corporate
Guidance–New/Confirmed”anditsheadlinedoesnotcontainanyoftheaforementionedwords.
Whenmultiplenewsitemsarereleasedononeday,weexcludeduplicates.
Akeyaspectofourresearchdesignistocorrectlyassignmanagers’forecaststotherespective
fiscalyear.CapitalIQS&PKeyDevelopmentsprovidesuswiththeforecast’spublicationdatebut
does not contain a separate column with the fiscal year to which the forecast relates. This
information isonly included in thenews item’sheadlineand text.Weassigna forecast to the
fiscalyeartifitispublishedonoraftertheannualearningsannouncementforthefiscalyeart‐1
andbeforetheannualearningsannouncementforthefiscalyeart.Weobtainannualearnings
announcementdates fromI/B/E/SandCapital IQS&PKeyDevelopments,and identifyannual
earnings announcements in Capital IQ using text analysis. See Appendix B for the list of the
wordsusedforourtextualanalysis.
Next,weassignlaggedaccountingandauditinformationtoeachforecast.Forexample,Aggreko
plcprovidesearningsguidanceforthefullyear2013onOctober28,2013.Thefirm’sfiscalyear‐
endisonDecember31,2013.ItsearningsannouncementdatesareMarch7,2013,andMarch6,
2014. We thus assign the accounting and auditing variables of the fiscal year 2012 to this
forecast. The intuition is that investors take into account the information obtained from the
independent auditor’s report of 2012 to assess the forecasts released during the subsequent
fiscalyear.Consequently,theindicatorvariablePosttakesavalueofzerobecausethenewaudit‐
related information is not yet available.Wemanually check our coding procedure for a large
subsampleoffirms.
65
AppendixB:IdentificationofEarningsAnnouncements
Weperformawordsearchintheheadlineofnewsitemstoidentifythedateofafirm'sannualearnings announcement in Capital IQ S&PKeyDevelopments. A news item is classified as anannualearningsannouncementifitsKeyDevelopmentTypeis“AnnouncementofEarnings”anditsheadlinecontainsoneofthefollowingwordcombinations:
financialresultsfortheyearended FinancialResultsfortheYearEndedearningsresultsfortheyearended EarningsResultsfortheYearEndedearningsfortheyearended EarningsfortheYearEndedfinancialresultsfortheyearending FinancialResultsfortheYearEndingearningsresultsfortheyearending EarningsResultsfortheYearEndingearningsforyearending EarningsfortheYearEndingfinancialresultsforthefiftytwoweek FinancialResultsfortheFiftyTwoWeekearningsresultsforthefiftytwoweek EarningsResultsfortheFiftyTwoWeekearningsforthefiftytwoweek EarningsfortheFiftyTwoWeekfinancialresultsforthe52week FinancialResultsforthe52Weekearningsresultsforthe52week EarningsResultsforthe52Weekearningsforthe52week Earningsforthe52Weekfinancialresultsforthefiftythreeweek FinancialResultsfortheFiftyThreeWeekearningsresultsforthefiftythreeweek EarningsResultsfortheFiftyThreeWeekearningsforthefiftythreeweek EarningsfortheFiftyThreeWeekfinancialresultsforthe53week FinancialResultsforthe53Weekearningsresultsforthe53week EarningsResultsforthe53Weekearningsforthe53week Earningsforthe53Weekfinancialresultsforthetwelvemonth FinancialResultsfortheTwelveMonthearningsresultsforthetwelvemonth EarningsResultsfortheTwelveMonthearningsforthetwelvemonth EarningsfortheTwelveMonthfinancialresultsforthe12month FinancialResultsforthe12Monthearningsresultsforthe12month EarningsResultsforthe12Monthearningsforthe12month Earningsforthe12Monthfinancialresultsforthethirteenmonth FinancialResultsfortheThirteenMonthearningsresultsforthethirteenmonth EarningsResultsfortheThirteenMonthearningsforthethirteenmonth EarningsfortheThirteenMonthfinancialresultsforthe13month FinancialResultsforthe13Monthearningsresultsforthe13month EarningsResultsforthe13Monthearningsforthe13month Earningsforthe13Monthfinancialresultsfortheyear FinancialResultsfortheYearearningsresultsfortheyear EarningsResultsfortheYearearningsfortheyear EarningsfortheYearfinancialresultsforthefullyear FinancialResultsfortheFullYearearningsresultsforthefullyear EarningsResultsfortheFullYear)earningsforthefullyear EarningsfortheFullYear"earnings"and"andyear ended" "Earnings" and "and "Year Ended""earningsresult"and"andyearended" "Earnings Result" and "and YearEnded""financialresult"and"andyearended" "Financial Result" and "and YearEnded""earnings"and"andyear ending" "Earnings" and "and Year Ending""earningsresult"and"andyearending" "Earnings Result" and "and YearEnding""financialresult"and"andyearending" "Financial Result" and "and YearEnding"
66
Table1:SampleSelection
Thistabledescribesoursamplingapproach.Oursample‐selectionprocessstartswithhistoricalcompanylistsretrievedfromtheLondonStockExchange’swebsite.Market,forecast,accounting,analyst, andauditdataareobtained fromFactSet,Capital IQS&PKeyDevelopments, I/B/E/S,Perfect Information, and by hand‐collection. Our final sample consists of 1,394 forecastspublishedby143companiesover4years.
UKfirmswithpremiumlistingontheMainMarketofLondonStockExchangebetweenSeptember2013andSeptember2015
1,074
‐FirmsnotincorporatedintheUK 199
‐Financialfirms 438
‐Duplicatesduetonamechanges 22
‐FirmsnotavailableinFactSet 6
‐Firmsswitchinglistingsegmentduringsampleperiod 10
‐FirmsnotavailableinCapitalIQS&PKeyDevelopmentsorI/B/E/S 47
‐Firmswithlessthanoneforecastperyear 207
‐Firmswithmissingdata 2
=Numberoffirmsinsample 143
=Numberofforecastsinsample 1,394
67
Table2:SummaryStatistics
Thistablereportsthesummarystatisticsofallvariablesforthepre‐andpost‐period.SPREADistheaveragebid‐askspreadaroundeachforecastandiscalculatedasthedifferencebetweenthedailyaskandbidpricedividedbythemidpoint.ABS_CAR is theabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturn computed using the market model and an estimation window of [‐45;10]. An eventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1iftheCARaroundamanagementforecastispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeas the logofbookvalueof totalassets,Leverageas totaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBismarketvalueofequitydividedbybookvalueofequity,#Analysts isthelogof1plusthenumberofanalystsfollowingthefirm,andFees isthelogoftheauditor'stotalremuneration.Wedefine#Words(All)asthenumberofwordsusedtodescribe the audit’s scope, risks, andmateriality threshold.#Words (Risks) is the number ofwordsusedtodescribetherisksofmaterialmisstatements,and#Words(Materiality+Scope)isthenumberofwordsusedtodescribetheaudit’sscopeandtheappliedmaterialitythreshold.#Risksdenotesthenumberofrisksofmaterialmisstatementsdisclosedbytheauditor,andGroupMaterialitydenotesthegroupmaterialitythresholdexpressedasapercentageoftotalassets.ACMaterialityisthethresholdforreportablemisstatementstotheAuditCommitteeexpressedasapercentageoftotalassets.#ACRisksisdefinedasthenumberofsignificantissuesdisclosedbytheAuditCommittee.All continuousvariableswith theexceptionof theaudit informationarewinsorizedat1%.Thesampleperiodspansfouryears.
Mean Median SD N Mean Median SD N
SPREAD 0.0020 0.0012 0.0040 707 0.0019 0.0012 0.0030 687ABS_CAR 0.047 0.033 0.048 707 0.053 0.034 0.059 687
GoodNews 0.542 1.000 0.499 707 0.525 1.000 0.500 687
Size 7.315 7.313 1.614 286 7.396 7.427 1.585 286Leverage 0.207 0.193 0.156 286 0.224 0.200 0.165 286ROA 0.071 0.065 0.063 286 0.054 0.059 0.082 286MB 3.328 2.298 5.864 286 3.805 2.937 6.639 286#Analysts 2.590 2.773 0.613 286 2.526 2.708 0.610 286
Fees 0.099 0.000 1.194 286 0.144 0.052 1.229 286#Words(All) 1531.552 1361.500 674.932 286#Words(Risks) 1084.535 947.000 628.453 286#Words(Materiality+Scope) 447.017 420.500 175.387 286GroupMateriality 0.640 0.516 0.502 286ACMateriality 0.027 0.021 0.025 284#Risks 4.245 4 1.485 286#ACRisks 4.833 5 1.981 282
Pre‐Period Post‐Period
MarketData
AccountingData
AuditData
ForecastData
68
Table3:AuditInformationbyAuditFirm
Thistablereportstheinformationintheauditor’sreportbyaudit firm.Wedefine#Words(All)asthenumberofwordsusedtodescribetheaudit’sscope, risks, andmateriality threshold.#Words (Risks) is the number of words used to describe the risks of material misstatements, and#Words(Materiality+Scope) is thenumberofwordsusedtodescribetheaudit’sscopeandtheappliedmateriality threshold.GroupMateriality is thegroupmaterialitythresholdexpressedasapercentageoftotalassets,andACMaterialityisthethresholdforreportablemisstatementstotheAuditCommitteeexpressed as apercentageof total assets.#Risks denotes thenumberof risksofmaterialmisstatementsdisclosedby theauditor, and#ACRisks isdefinedasthenumberofsignificantissuesdisclosedbytheAuditCommittee.Thesampleperiodspansfouryears.
#Firm‐Years
%ofSample
#Words(All)
#Words(Risks)
#Words(Materiality+Scope)
GroupMateriality
ACMateriality #Risks #ACRisks
Ernst&Young 39 0.136 1442 738 704 0.682 0.0334 4.128 4.921KPMG 74 0.259 1459 1136 323 0.684 0.0325 3.581 4.514DeloitteTouche 73 0.255 1377 924 453 0.638 0.0133 4.466 4.915PricewaterhouseCoopers 92 0.322 1738 1313 426 0.529 0.0271 4.565 5.054GrantThornton 7 0.024 1773 1197 576 1.416 0.0802 5.286 3.833BDO 1 0.003 996 754 242 0.587 0.0107 5 5Total 286 1.000
68
69
Table4:Pre‐PostAnalysis
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. SPREAD is the average bid‐ask spreadaround each forecast and is calculated as the difference between the daily ask and bid pricedividedbythemidpoint.ABS_CAR istheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarket variables. Post is an indicator variable taking the value of 1 if themanagementforecastispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariable taking the value of 1 if the CAR around amanagement forecast is positive, and zerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedby total assets, andROA as net income divided by total assets.MB ismarket value of equitydivided by book value of equity, Fees is the log of the auditor's total remuneration, and #Analysts is the log of 1 plus the number of analysts following the firm. We winsorize allcontinuousvariablesat1%anduserobuststandarderrors.Thesampleperiodspansfouryears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
SPREAD ABS_CAR
Post ‐0.0003 * 0.006 **(0.053) (0.031)
Size ‐0.0005 *** ‐0.010 ***(0.000) (0.000)
Leverage 0.0013 ‐0.020 *(0.114) (0.061)
ROA ‐0.0130 *** ‐0.060 **(0.000) (0.029)
MB 0.0000 ‐0.001 ***(0.888) (0.007)
Fees 0.0000 0.002(0.812) (0.376)
#Analysts ‐0.0006 * 0.003(0.056) (0.470)
GoodNews 0.0001(0.639)
Intercept 0.0079 *** 0.128 ***(0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes YesR2 0.249 0.097N(Forecasts) 1394 1394N(Firms) 143 143
FullSample
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Table5:Pre‐PostAnalysisbyNumberofWords
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. We partition the sample based onwhether the number of words used to describe the audit’s scope, risks, and materialitythreshold,#Words(All), isaboveorbelow themedian.SPREAD is theaveragebid‐askspreadaround each forecast and is calculated as the difference between the daily ask and bid pricedividedbythemidpoint.ABS_CAR istheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarket variables. Post is an indicator variable taking the value of 1 if themanagementforecastispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariable taking the value of 1 if the CAR around amanagement forecast is positive, and zerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedby total assets, andROA as net income divided by total assets.MB ismarket value of equitydivided by book value of equity. Fees is the log of the auditor's total remuneration, and #Analysts is the log of 1 plus the number of analysts following the firm. We winsorize allcontinuousvariablesat1%anduserobuststandarderrors.Thesampleperiodspansfouryears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post ‐0.0005 ** ‐0.0002 0.011 *** 0.001(0.044) (0.328) (0.008) (0.759)
Size ‐0.0007 *** 0.0000 ‐0.012 *** ‐0.010 ***(0.000) (0.979) (0.000) (0.004)
Leverage ‐0.0013 0.0023 *** ‐0.048 *** ‐0.002(0.380) (0.005) (0.008) (0.910)
ROA ‐0.0175 *** ‐0.0036 * ‐0.051 ‐0.049(0.000) (0.096) (0.198) (0.230)
MB 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 * ‐0.001 *(0.130) (0.237) (0.088) (0.075)
Fees 0.0001 ‐0.0002 0.009 *** ‐0.005 *(0.586) (0.235) (0.007) (0.063)
#Analysts 0.0002 ‐0.0015 *** 0.004 0.006(0.602) (0.000) (0.557) (0.351)
GoodNews ‐0.0002 0.0004 *(0.507) (0.055)
Intercept 0.0097 *** 0.0055 *** 0.146 *** 0.124 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.295 0.302 0.123 0.121N(Forecasts) 715 670 715 670N(Firms) 71 71 71 71
#Words(All)
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Table6:Pre‐PostAnalysisbyNumberofWordsinEachSection
Thistablereportstheresultsofourpre‐postanalysis.Wepartitionthesamplebasedonwhetherthenumberofwordsusedtodescribetherisksofmaterialmisstatements,#Words(Risks),andtheaudit’sscopeandtheappliedmaterialitythreshold,#Words(Materiality+Scope),isaboveorbelowthemedian.SPREADistheaveragebid‐askspreadaroundeachforecastandiscalculatedasthedifferencebetweenthedailyaskandbidpricedividedbythemidpoint.ABS_CARistheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1ifthemanagementforecastispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1iftheCARaroundamanagementforecastispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBismarketvalueofequitydividedbybookvalueofequity,Feesisthelogoftheauditor'stotalremuneration,and#Analystsisthelogof1plusthenumberofanalysts followingthefirm.Wewinsorizeallcontinuousvariablesat1%anduserobuststandarderrors.Thesampleperiodspansfouryears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
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Table6:Pre‐PostAnalysisbyNumberofWordsinEachSection(continued)
High Low High Low High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR SPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post ‐0.0006 ** 0.0000 0.013 *** ‐0.001 ‐0.0001 ‐0.0004 0.007 * 0.004(0.024) (0.862) (0.002) (0.781) (0.724) (0.116) (0.058) (0.293)
Size ‐0.0009 *** ‐0.0002 ** ‐0.014 *** ‐0.006 ** ‐0.0003 ** ‐0.0006 ** ‐0.008 *** ‐0.013 ***(0.001) (0.039) (0.000) (0.015) (0.026) (0.014) (0.002) (0.000)
Leverage ‐0.0005 0.0018 ** ‐0.044 ** 0.006 ‐0.0003 0.0021 ** ‐0.011 ‐0.026 *(0.732) (0.026) (0.012) (0.655) (0.819) (0.013) (0.526) (0.061)
ROA ‐0.0189 *** ‐0.0056 *** ‐0.050 ‐0.037 ‐0.0131 *** ‐0.0138 *** ‐0.068 * ‐0.053(0.000) (0.005) (0.214) (0.299) (0.003) (0.000) (0.065) (0.280)
MB 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 ‐0.001 ** 0.0000 0.0000 ‐0.001 ** ‐0.001(0.549) (0.302) (0.164) (0.013) (0.914) (0.885) (0.037) (0.103)
Fees 0.0001 ‐0.0002 * 0.008 ** ‐0.006 *** ‐0.0004 * 0.0003 0.001 0.003(0.616) (0.097) (0.027) (0.007) (0.065) (0.143) (0.709) (0.232)
#Analysts 0.0003 ‐0.0009 *** 0.006 0.003 ‐0.0007 ‐0.0006 0.008 0.003(0.569) (0.000) (0.347) (0.553) (0.109) (0.138) (0.162) (0.661)
GoodNews ‐0.0003 0.0003 * 0.0001 0.0000(0.251) (0.074) (0.519) (1.000)
Intercept 0.0108 *** 0.0054 *** 0.158 *** 0.098 *** 0.0071 *** 0.0095 *** 0.104 *** 0.151 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.410 0.210 0.129 0.105 0.268 0.303 0.108 0.101N(Forecasts) 697 692 697 692 700 685 700 685N(Firms) 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71
#Words in Risk Section # Words in Scope and Materiality Section
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Table7:Pre‐PostAnalysisbyGroupMaterialityThreshold
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. We partition the sample based onwhetherthegroupmaterialitythresholdexpressedasapercentageofassets,GroupMateriality,isaboveorbelowthemedian.SPREADistheaveragebid‐askspreadaroundeachforecastandiscalculated as the difference between the daily ask and bid price divided by the midpoint.ABS_CARistheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1 if themanagement forecast ispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1iftheCARaroundamanagementforecastispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBismarketvalueofequitydividedbybookvalueofequity,Feesisthelogoftheauditor'stotalremuneration,and#Analysts isthelogof1plusthenumberofanalysts following the firm. We winsorize all continuous variables at 1% and use robuststandard errors. The sample period spans four years.p‐values are presented in parentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post 0.0001 ‐0.0008 *** 0.004 0.009 **(0.565) (0.008) (0.363) (0.018)
Size ‐0.0008 *** ‐0.0001 ‐0.008 ** ‐0.013 ***(0.000) (0.697) (0.016) (0.000)
Leverage 0.0024 * ‐0.0005 ‐0.003 ‐0.031 *(0.070) (0.405) (0.824) (0.051)
ROA ‐0.0123 *** ‐0.0179 *** ‐0.035 ‐0.047(0.002) (0.000) (0.372) (0.341)
MB 0.0000 ** ‐0.0001 *** ‐0.001 * 0.000 *(0.037) (0.000) (0.063) (0.062)
Fees ‐0.0001 ‐0.0002 ‐0.003 0.008 **(0.407) (0.258) (0.313) (0.014)
#Analysts 0.0002 ‐0.0017 *** 0.003 0.005(0.638) (0.002) (0.557) (0.486)
GoodNews 0.0000 0.0001(0.851) (0.574)
Intercept 0.0064 *** 0.0098 *** 0.124 *** 0.141 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.281 0.305 0.109 0.116N(Forecasts) 683 701 683 701N(Firms) 71 71 71 71
GroupMateriality
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Table8:Pre‐PostAnalysisby
ReportableDifferencestoAuditCommittee
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. We partition the sample based onwhether the threshold for reportable misstatements to the Audit Committee expressed as apercentageoftotalassets,ACMateriality, isaboveorbelowthemedian.SPREAD istheaveragebid‐ask spreadaroundeach forecastand is calculatedas thedifferencebetween thedailyaskand bid price divided by the midpoint.ABS_CAR is the absolute cumulative abnormal returncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1ifthemanagementforecastispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsis an indicator variable taking the value of 1 if the CAR around a management forecast ispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MB ismarketvalue of equity divided by book value of equity, Fees is the log of the auditor's totalremuneration,and#Analystsisthelogof1plusthenumberofanalystsfollowingthefirm.Wewinsorize all continuous variables at 1% and use robust standard errors. The sample periodspansfouryears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post 0.0001 ‐0.0007 ** 0.006 0.007 *(0.616) (0.016) (0.169) (0.082)
Size ‐0.0010 *** ‐0.0002 ‐0.009 *** ‐0.011 ***(0.000) (0.142) (0.005) (0.000)
Leverage 0.0018 0.0019 ** ‐0.010 ‐0.032 **(0.212) (0.020) (0.565) (0.021)
ROA ‐0.0118 *** ‐0.0134 *** ‐0.026 ‐0.090 **(0.007) (0.000) (0.524) (0.027)
MB 0.0000 0.0000 ‐0.001 * ‐0.001 **(0.421) (0.392) (0.097) (0.030)
Fees 0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.003(0.882) (0.911) (0.973) (0.395)
#Analysts 0.0005 ‐0.0015 *** 0.000 0.010(0.206) (0.000) (0.962) (0.111)
GoodNews 0.0000 0.0001(0.983) (0.775)
Intercept 0.0072 *** 0.0099 *** 0.136 *** 0.110 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.294 0.281 0.111 0.099N(Forecasts) 694 691 694 691N(Firms) 71 71 71 71
ACMateriality
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Table9:Pre‐PostAnalysisbyNumberofRisks
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. We partition the sample based onwhether the number of risks of material misstatements disclosed by the auditor, #Risks, isaboveorbelowthemedian.SPREAD istheaveragebid‐askspreadaroundeachforecastandiscalculated as the difference between the daily ask and bid price divided by the midpoint.ABS_CARistheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1 if themanagement forecast ispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1iftheCARaroundamanagementforecastispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBismarketvalueofequitydividedbybookvalueofequity,Feesisthelogoftheauditor'stotalremuneration,and#Analysts isthelogof1plusthenumberofanalysts following the firm. We winsorize all continuous variables at 1% and use robuststandard errors. The sample period spans four years.p‐values are presented in parentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post ‐0.0007 *** ‐0.0002 0.012 *** ‐0.002(0.008) (0.503) (0.002) (0.615)
Size ‐0.0005 *** ‐0.0001 ‐0.011 *** ‐0.007 **(0.005) (0.668) (0.000) (0.045)
Leverage ‐0.0034 ** 0.0059 *** ‐0.032 * 0.037 *(0.033) (0.000) (0.071) (0.080)
ROA ‐0.0170 *** ‐0.0088 *** ‐0.070 * ‐0.062(0.000) (0.003) (0.087) (0.241)
MB 0.0000 ‐0.0001 ** ‐0.001 ** ‐0.001(0.297) (0.015) (0.012) (0.360)
Fees 0.0002 ‐0.0003 * 0.007 ** ‐0.007 **(0.387) (0.083) (0.046) (0.031)
#Analysts ‐0.0002 ‐0.0014 *** 0.011 * 0.003(0.596) (0.002) (0.098) (0.585)
GoodNews ‐0.0001 0.0002(0.658) (0.401)
Intercept 0.010 *** 0.006 *** 0.126 *** 0.111 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.240 0.364 0.135 0.112N(Forecasts) 696 482 696 482N(Firms) 68 51 68 51
#Risks
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Table10:Pre‐PostAnalysis
byNumberofAuditCommitteeRisks
This table reports the results of our pre‐post analysis. We partition the sample based onwhetherthenumberofsignificantissuesdisclosedbytheAuditCommittee,#ACRisks,isaboveor below the median. SPREAD is the average bid‐ask spread around each forecast and iscalculated as the difference between the daily ask and bid price divided by the midpoint.ABS_CARistheabsolutecumulativeabnormalreturncomputedusingthemarketmodelandanestimationwindowof[‐45;10].Aneventwindowof[‐1;1]isusedforbothmarketvariables.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1 if themanagement forecast ispublishedaftertherevisionofISA700,andzerootherwise.GoodNewsisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1iftheCARaroundamanagementforecastispositive,andzerootherwise.WedefineSizeasthelogofbookvalueoftotalassets,Leverageastotaldebtdividedbytotalassets,andROAasnetincomedividedbytotalassets.MBismarketvalueofequitydividedbybookvalueofequity,Feesisthelogoftheauditor'stotalremuneration,and#Analysts isthelogof1plusthenumberofanalysts following the firm. We winsorize all continuous variables at 1% and use robuststandard errors. The sample period spans four years. p‐values are presented in parentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
High Low High LowSPREAD SPREAD ABS_CAR ABS_CAR
Post ‐0.0008 ** 0.0003 * 0.009 ** 0.003(0.017) (0.067) (0.031) (0.526)
Size ‐0.0005 ** ‐0.0004 *** ‐0.009 *** ‐0.008 **(0.041) (0.007) (0.007) (0.046)
Leverage 0.0006 0.0012 ‐0.019 0.005(0.598) (0.328) (0.225) (0.822)
ROA ‐0.0150 *** ‐0.0127 *** ‐0.072 * ‐0.033(0.002) (0.000) (0.070) (0.543)
MB 0.0000 * 0.0001 *** ‐0.001 *** 0.000(0.097) (0.006) (0.005) (0.320)
Fees 0.0000 ‐0.0002 0.003 ‐0.003(0.955) (0.200) (0.395) (0.361)
#Analysts ‐0.0007 ‐0.0004 0.003 0.001(0.147) (0.167) (0.647) (0.840)
GoodNews ‐0.0001 0.0001(0.584) (0.696)
Intercept 0.0098 *** 0.0066 *** 0.128 *** 0.118 ***(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Industry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.300 0.387 0.102 0.103N(Forecasts) 704 527 704 527N(Firms) 70 54 70 54
#ACRisks
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MandatoryFinancialReportingandCompetition*
ElisabethKläs†
October2017
Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of mandatory financial reporting on a firm’s
competitiveness. Although an extant literature documents the capital‐market benefits of
mandatory financial reporting, little is known about its proprietary costs. Using the IFRS
adoptioninEuropeasanexogenousshocktomandatorydisclosure,Ifindmandatoryadopters
suffer competitively relative to voluntary adopters following the introduction of IFRS. Two
mechanisms are responsible for this effect: increased disclosure and enhanced financial‐
statementcomparability.Additionalanalysesrevealnotalltypesofaccountinginformationare
equallyrelevanttocompetitors.
JEL‐Classification:M41,M48,M49Keywords: Mandatory Financial Reporting, International Financial Reporting Standards,
Competition,ProprietaryCosts.
*I thank Yuping Jia, JörgWerner, Igor Goncharov, Frank Ecker, Martin Arzt, and Edgar Löw for theirhelpfulcommentsandsuggestions.Allremainingerrorsaremine.Thispaperwaswritten,inpart,whenIwasvisitingLancasterUniversityManagementSchool.†FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management.
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I. Introduction
Mandatory financial reporting isdesigned to reduce informationasymmetriesbetweena firm
and capital‐market participants. Yet prior literature suggests firms’ concerns about the
proprietarycostsofmandatorydisclosuresshapetheirreportingdecisions(e.g.,Schneiderand
Scholze [2015]; Dhaliwal, Huang, Khurana, and Pereira [2014]). Although the capital‐market
benefits of financial reporting are well documented (e.g., Leuz and Verrecchia [2000]; Li
[2010a]), little is known about the extent towhichmandatory disclosure reveals proprietary
informationandthusadverselyaffectsafirm’scompetitiveness.
This paper adds to the scarce evidence on the proprietary costs of mandatory financial
reporting.UsingthemandatoryIFRSadoptioninEuropeasanexogenousshocktomandatory
disclosure requirements, I examine how mandatory financial reporting affects a firm’s
competitiveness. The intuition is that increased disclosure and enhanced financial‐statement
comparability following the adoption of IFRS render a firm’s financial statement more
informative.Asaconsequence,peerscanprofitfromthisinformation,thuspotentiallyharming
thefirm’scompetitiveness.
Myresultssuggestfirms’concernsabouttheproprietarycostsofmandatoryfinancialreporting
arejustified.Focusingonafirm’syearlyrevenuegrowth,Idocumentthatmandatoryadopters
suffercompetitivelyrelativetovoluntaryadoptersfollowingtheintroductionofIFRS.Ifurther
show that both increased disclosure and enhanced financial‐statement comparability are
responsibleforthiseffect.Additionalanalysesprovideevidencethatnotalltypesofaccounting
information are equally important to a firm’s competitors. Specifically, I focus on the IFRS
accounting standards on revenue recognition, intangibles, leases, inventory, and treatment of
events after the reporting period. The findings indicate disclosure pursuant to the first four
accounting standards reveals valuable information about a firm; information about the
treatmentofeventsafterthereportingperiodisconsideredlessrelevant.
To the best ofmyknowledge, only one empirical study investigates the impact ofmandatory
disclosure on competition. Zhou [2014] shows that publicUS companies lobbying against the
newstandardonsegmentreportinglosepartoftheirmarketsharetoprivatefirmsrelativeto
firms in non‐lobbying industries after the introduction of SFAS No. 131. I contribute to this
literature by providing evidence that several IFRS accounting standards reveal proprietary
informationandthusaffectafirm’scompetitiveness.Ifurthercontributetotheliteratureonthe
economic effects of themandatory IFRS adoption (e.g., Li [2010a]; Chen, Young, and Zhuang
[2013])bybeingoneofafewstudiesthathighlightitsfirm‐specificcosts.Myfindingsarethus
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interestingforregulatorsandstandardsettersastheyprovideinformationontheexternalities
ofmandatoryfinancialreporting.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section II discusses prior literature and
developsthehypothesis.SectionIIIdescribesthesetting,theresearchdesign,anddata.Sections
IVandVpresenttheempiricalresultsandsensitivityanalyses.SectionVIconcludes.
II. RelatedLiteratureandHypothesis
BenefitsandCostsofMandatoryDisclosure
Theunravelingresultsuggestsamanagervoluntarilydisclosesallprivateinformationprovided
that(1)disclosure iscostless,(2) investorsareawarethe firmhasprivate information,(3)all
investorsinterpretthefirm’sdisclosuresinthesameway,and(4)thefirmcancrediblydisclose
itsprivateinformation.1Theintuitionisthatrationalinvestorsinterpretlessthanfulldisclosure
asabadsignal,andconsequentlydiscount the firmvalueto theextent that the firm isalways
better off revealing all information (Grossman [1981]; Milgrom [1981]). When the model
includesproprietarycosts,apartial‐disclosureequilibriumexists inwhichthe firmchoosesto
withhold some information (see, e.g., Verrecchia [1983]; Wagenhofer [1990]). The firm
considers the trade‐off between the benefits and costs of disclosure. A partial‐disclosure
equilibriumcanexistbecausearational investornolongerknowswhetherthefirmwithholds
informationbecauseofbadnewsorbecauseofproprietarycoststhatoutweighthebenefitsof
disclosure. In other words, proprietary costs are a key motive preventing firms from full
disclosure.
The capital‐marketbenefits ofmandatorydisclosure arewell documented. For example, Leuz
andVerrecchia[2000]showthatfirmscommittingtoincreasedlevelsofdisclosureexperience
lowerbid‐askspreadsandhighertradingvolume.TheextantliteratureonthemandatoryIFRS
adoption documents positive capital‐market effects, such as lower costs of capital, decreased
crashrisk,andanimprovedanalysts’informationenvironment,whenthenewsetofaccounting
standardsiscrediblyimplemented(e.g.,Daske,Hail,Leuz,andVerdi[2008];Li[2010a];DeFond,
Hung,Li,andLi[2015];Byard,Li,andYu[2011]).However,surprisingly little isknownabout
the extent to which mandatory financial reporting reveals proprietary information and thus
influencesafirm’scompetitiveness.
1SeeDye[2001,p.17].
80
Prior literature primarily focuses onhow firms’ concerns about proprietary costs shape their
voluntary andmandatory disclosure decisions.2To the best ofmy knowledge, only one study
investigates how proprietary information revealed by mandatory financial reporting affects
competition. Zhou [2014] provides evidence of public US companies in industries that lobby
againstthenewaccountingstandardonsegmentreportinglosingpartoftheirmarketshareto
private firmsrelative topublic firms innon‐lobbying industriesafter the introductionofSFAS
No.131.However,moreresearchinthisareaisneededtoobtainabetterunderstandingofthe
economic consequences of mandatory disclosure in the context of competition. Zhou [2014]
focusesontheinformationrevealedbyUSGAAPsegmentreporting,whichisonlyoneelement
ofmandatoryfinancialreporting.
StrategicMandatoryDisclosureinthePresenceofCompetition
Theory suggests competition incentivizes firms to engage in strategic mandatory financial
reporting. For example, Schneider and Scholze [2015] analyze a setting in which internally
generated segment informationmustbedisclosed to thepublic, as is the casewith IFRS8or
SFAS131.Theyfindaggregatinginternalinformation,andthusinefficientlyallocatingresources,
in order to avoid a rival’smarket entrymight be optimal for an incumbent firm.Aggregating
informationeven if the incumbentcannotpreventa rival’smarketentrymayalsobeoptimal,
because aggregating information reduces the competition’s intensity. Empirical evidence
supports this notion. Botosan and Stanford [2005] provide evidence that proprietary‐cost
considerations, rather than the intention to hide poor performance, drove the decision to
aggregatesegmentsbeforeSFASNo.131.Dhaliwaletal.[2014]documentapositiveassociation
between product market competition and conditional conservatism. The intuition is that
reporting losses ina timeliermanner thangainsdiscouragesnewentrants inan industryand
encouragesexistingrivalstounder‐produce.Similarly,Datta,Iskandar‐Datta,andSingh[2013]
show that firms with weak product market power are more likely to engage in earnings
management, implyingcompetitivepressuremotivates firmsto limit the informationavailable
totheircompetitors.Note,however,thattheextenttowhichfirmsengageinstrategicfinancial
reporting is limited to the discretion allowed in GAAP. Thus, strategic financial reporting is
unlikelytofullymitigatetheimpactofmandatorydisclosureoncompetition—ifanyexists.
2A large body of literature analyzes how the presence of propriety costs shape voluntary disclosureactivities (e.g., Li [2010b]; Ellis, Fee, andThomas [2012];Huang, Jennings, andYu [2017]). Providing areviewonthistopicgoesbeyondthescopeofthisstudybecausethefocusisonmandatorydisclosure.
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LearningfromCompetitors’FinancialStatements
Verrecchia [1983,p.181]argues that “the releaseof avarietyof accounting statisticsabout a
firm(e.g.,sales,netincome,costsofoperation,etc.)maybeusefultocompetitors,shareholders,
oremployeesinawaywhichisharmfultoafirm’sprospects.”Indeed,todevelopandmaintaina
competitiveadvantage,andthusbeprofitable,firmsmustcloselywatchandquicklyrespondto
their competitors’ actions. The management accounting literature on competitor accounting
focusesonthisaspect.3HeinenandHoffjan[2005]definecompetitoraccountingas“theanalysis
ofaccounting informationrelatingtocompetitors.” Itspurpose is to“providedetailed insights
into a competitor’s present cost and financial situation; determine one’s own competitive
positionandpredictfuturecompetitivebehaviour.”
Guilding, Cravens, and Tayles [2000] identify three elements of competitor accounting: (1)
competitor cost assessment, (2) competitive position monitoring, and (3) competitor
performanceappraisalbasedonpublishedfinancialstatements,withthelatterbeingdefinedas
the “numerical analysis of a competitor’s published statements as part of an assessment of a
competitor’s key sources of competitive advantage.”4Although financial statements represent
the key information source for the third element, they are also an important source of
informationfortheothertwoelements.Indeed,SubramanianandIsHak[1998]reportthatUS
firms consider the annual report to be the second most important information source for
competitoranalysisnexttoinformationreceivedfromtheirownsalespeople.Inaddition,using
asurveyoflargecompaniesinNewZealand,theUK,andtheUnitedStates,Guildingetal.[2000]
find competitor accounting is oneof themostwidelyused elements of strategicmanagement
accounting. Moon and Bates [1993] provide an analytical framework of how to evaluate a
competitorbasedonitsfinancialstatement.Theyarguethatimportantinsightscanbederived
fromanalyzingtrendsinthemovementofsalesandprofits,andchangesinassetsandliabilities.
Financial‐ratioanalysiscanfurtherbeusedtoevaluatetheextenttowhichafirmhasachieved
itsstrategicobjectives.
Empiricalevidencesupportsthenotionthatfirmsrelyontheircompetitors’financialstatements
when formulating strategies. Beatty, Liao, and Yu [2013] analyze the effects of fraudulent
3Bromwich [1990]defines strategicmanagementaccountingas “theprovisionandanalysisof financialinformationonthefirm’sproductmarketsandcompetitors’costandcoststructuresandthemonitoringoftheenterprise’sstrategiesandthoseifitscompetitorsinthesemarketsoveranumberofperiods.“4Competitorcostassessmentisdefinedasthe“provisionofregularlyupdatedestimatesofacompetitor’scostsbasedon,forexample,appraisaloffacilities,technology,economiesofscale.Sourcesincludedirectobservation,mutualsuppliers,mutualcustomersandex‐employees”(Guildingetal.[2000]).Competitivepositionmonitoringreferstothe“analysisofcompetitorpositionswithinthe industrybyassessingandmonitoring trends in competitor sales, market share, volume, unit costs and return on sales. Thisinformation can provide a basis for the assessment of competitors’ market strategy” (Guilding et al.[2000]).
82
reporting on industry peers’ investments, and find peer firms have significantly higher
investmentsduringperiodsinwhichtheindustryleaderengagesinfraudulentreporting.Chen
et al. [2013] find firms’ investment efficiency improves following themandatory adoption of
IFRS in Europe. The intuition is that improved comparability and increased disclosure across
Europe allow managers to more efficiently use information in their foreign peers’ financial
reports.
HypothesesDevelopment
It follows from the above discussion that firms use information contained in their peers’
financial statementswhen formulating strategies.Competitors are awareof thisbehavior and
thustakeproprietarycostsintoaccountwhendisclosinginformation.Althoughmanagershave
considerable discretion over voluntary disclosures, financial‐reporting rules prescribe the
qualityandquantityofmandatorydisclosures, thereby limitingmanagers’discretionover the
firm’s reporting. Consequently, mandatory financial reporting might enable competitors to
extractusefulinformationfromtheirpeers’financialstatementsandmaythusadverselyaffecta
firm’scompetitiveness.
However,someargumentsareagainstthenotionthatmandatoryfinancialreportingadversely
affects a firm’s competitiveness. Firms spenda considerable amountof time and resources to
analyze the competition. As stated above, the financial statement is only one out of many
informationsources.Themajorityofrelevantinformationmaythusalreadybeavailabletothe
firm without or before being disclosed in its peers’ annual reports. Indeed, the Institute of
CharteredAccountants in England andWales states that “some commentators argue that the
competitive element of proprietary costs (‘competitive costs’) is largely fictional because
competitorsusuallyknow,throughgossip,tradesourcesandillicitleaksofprivateinformation,
howwelltheirrivals’variousprojectsaredoing”(ICAEW[2013,p.13]).Yettheinstitutegoeson
toarguethat“theremayoftenbesometruthinthis,butcompaniesgotoconsiderablelengthsto
trytokeepsuchinformationprivate,andtheydonotgenerallybehaveasthoughitisalreadyin
their competitors’ hands. So the existence of competitive costs for public disclosures is real,
although the actual costs may often be exaggerated” (ICAEW [2013, p. 13]). Based on the
competingargumentsabove,Iformulatethenullhypothesis:
Hypothesis:Mandatoryfinancialreportingdoesnotadverselyaffectafirm’scompetitiveness.
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III. SettingandResearchDesign
Setting
ThemandatoryadoptionofIFRSinEuropeprovidesapowerfulsettingtoinvestigatetheeffect
ofmandatoryfinancialreportingonafirm’scompetitiveness.In2002,theEuropeanUnion(EU)
published EC Regulation No. 1606/2002, requiring all publicly traded companies to prepare
theirconsolidatedaccountswithfiscalyearsstartingonorafterJanuary1,2005,inaccordance
withIFRS.Thenewreportingregimewasexpectedtoincreasetransparencyandcomparability,
andthustheoverallqualityoffinancialstatements(EuropeanCommission[2002]).
Withtheinternationalizationofmarkets,firmsincreasinglyfacecompetitionfromforeignpeers.
Althoughlocalcompetitorsmostlypreparetheirfinancialstatementsusingthesameaccounting
rules,collectingandanalyzingfinancialinformationofforeignpeersiscostlybecausedifferent
accounting standards apply. Moreover, some information cannot be analyzed, because it is
simplynotdisclosedbyforeignpeers(Chenetal.[2013]).Priorstudiesontheeconomiceffects
of IFRSprovideevidencethatthenewaccountingregimeimprovestheinformationcontentof
financial statements via increased disclosure and enhanced financial‐statement comparability
(e.g.,Li[2010a];Byardetal.[2011];Chenetal.[2013];Tan,Wang,andWelker[2011];Yipand
Young[2012];Brochet, Jagolinzer,andRiedl [2013]).Asaconsequence, thecostsofanalyzing
foreign peers’ financial statements are lower following the adoption of IFRS. For example,
different rules on revenue recognition make comparing the firm’s revenues with those of a
foreign competitor difficult for managers. Similarly, more disclosures on product lines and
geographicareasbyforeigncompetitorsenablethefirmtobetterunderstanditspeergroup.In
addition, Lang and Stice‐Lawrence [2015] document an increase in the annual report textual
disclosure quality ofmandatory adopters relative to a control group after the introduction of
IFRS.
The IFRS adoption unlikely impacts all firms equally. I expect private firms to be the main
beneficiaries,becausetheyobtainmorerelevantinformationabouttheircompetitorswhilenot
beingsubjecttothesamedisclosurerules.Voluntaryadopters,thatis,firmsfollowingIFRSorUS
GAAPpriorto2005,appliedhigher‐qualityaccountingstandardspriortotheIFRSadoptionand
are thus not impacted by the exogenous shock to mandatory disclosure. Although voluntary
adopters learnmore about their peers following the introduction of IFRS, they are alsomore
comparable, which allows competitors to more efficiently exploit their financial‐statement
information.IthusexpecttheneteffectofIFRSonthecompetitivenessofvoluntaryadoptersto
be zero. In fact, the IFRS adoption is likely to adversely affect only the competitiveness of
mandatoryadopters,thatis,firmsapplyinglocalGAAPpriorto2005.BecauseIFRSandUSGAAP
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areconsideredtobeofhigherqualitythanlocalGAAP—formanycountries,themainargument
for switching to IFRS—mandatory adopters were subject to lower financial‐reporting
requirements prior to 2005. Althoughmandatory adopters also learnmore about their peers
after the introduction of IFRS, I expect the costs ofmore informative financial statements to
outweighthiseffect.
The choice of Europe as my setting has two additional advantages. First, the EU is a single
marketplace, and the adoption of IFRS is a further step towards strengthening its internal
market(EuropeanCommission[2002]).Thus,itispowerfulsettingtomeasurethedynamicsof
competition. Second,EU countrieshave relatively strong legal environments andenforcement
regimes,whichallowforstrongerIFRSadoptioneffects(Li[2010a]).
My setting offers contributions over and above Zhou [2014], who analyzes the disclosure of
proprietary information under segment reporting at the industry level in the United States. I
focus on the change in firm‐level competitiveness in a multi‐country market following the
introductionofanewsetofaccountingstandards.Mysetting is thusnotrestrictedtoasingle
accounting standard. Rather, the heterogeneity in local GAAP allowsme to examine different
accountingstandardsthatarelikelytorequireacompanytorevealvaluableinformationtoits
peergroupandthuspotentiallyharmitscompetitiveness.
SampleConstruction
The sample and all data used to construct my regression variables are obtained from the
CompustatGlobaldatabase.Correctly identifying theaccountingstandardsappliedat the firm
leveliscrucialformyanalysis.Thisfeatisnottrivial,becauseCompustatGlobalcontainscoding
errors in its accounting standards classification (Covring, DeFond, and Hung [2007]). Solely
relying on other databases, such as FactSet or Worldscope, does not alleviate the problem,
becausethecodingsystemofWorldscopeissubjecttoinconsistenciesaswell(seeDaske,Hail,
Leuz, andVerdi [2013]OnlineData andCodingAppendix). I therefore rely on threedifferent
sourcestoidentifytheaccountingstandardappliedatthefirmlevel:CompustatGlobal,FactSet
Fundamentals, and the data set of voluntary IFRS adopters provided byDaske et al. [2013].5
Appendix A provides a detailed description of the coding procedure. I include a firm in my
sample if it has available data for the entire sample period and is not active in the financial
sector.Thefinalsampleconsistsof10,596firm‐yearobservationsfrom15Europeancountries
overatimeperiodsixyears.6
5http://research.chicagobooth.edu/arc/journal/onlineappendices.aspx.6I do not include countries that became EU members in 2004, because the consequences of EUmembershipmayinterferewiththeIFRSadoptioneffects.
85
ResearchDesign
Totestmyhypothesis,Iemploythefollowingdifference‐in‐differencesdesign:
RevenueGrowth=α+β1MandatoryAdopter+β2Post
+β3MandatoryAdopter×Post+Controls
+CountryFixedEffects+IndustryFixedEffects+YearFixedEffects+ε.
Iuseannualfirm‐levelrevenuegrowthasmyproxyforafirm’scompetitiveness.Theintuition
behindmyproxy is that revenue growth reflects a firm’s competitiveness.The larger a firm’s
competitive advantage, thehigher andmore stable its revenuegrowth. If proprietary costsof
disclosureadverselyaffectafirm’scompetitiveness,thiseffectshouldbedirectlyreflectedinits
revenue growth. My proxy has two distinct advantages over an industry‐wide measure. Ali,
Klasa, and Yeung [2009] point out that—due to the lack of private firms—industry‐
concentrationmeasures based on US public firms in Compustat can be a poor proxy for the
actual industry concentration and may thus lead to incorrect inferences. The Herfindahl‐
Hirschman Index (HHI) andotherpopular industry‐wideproxies for competition, such as the
four‐firm concentration ratio or product market size, are typically constructed using firms’
revenues. My proxy is thus based on the same underlying variable but is not subject to the
potentialproblemsassociatedwithalackofprivatefirms.Unreportedtestsshowasignificantly
positive correlation between revenue growth and the Herfindahl Index (0.1***). I further
perform a linear regression with revenue growth as dependent variable and the Herfindahl
Indexasindependentvariable.Controllingforkeyfirmcharacteristicsthatarelikelytoimpact
revenue growth (i.e., size, debt, intangible assets and lagged capex) the results still show a
significantlypositive association between revenue growth and the Herfindahl Index (p‐value:
0.019).AnotheradvantageofmyproxyisthatIdonotexpectIFRStoaffectallfirmsequally.A
firm‐specific proxy thus allows me to assess the effect of the mandatory IFRS adoption on
differentgroupsoffirms.
MandatoryAdopter isabinaryvariabletakingthevalueof1ifafirmfollowslocalGAAPinthe
pre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.MandatoryAdopterisequaltozeroifafirmadoptsIFRS
orUSGAAP in thepre‐periodand IFRS in thepost‐period.7I chooseVoluntaryAdopters asmy
control group because I assume the net effect of IFRS on the competitiveness of Voluntary
7“In two limited cases, member States may exempt certain companies temporarily from the IFRSrequirement–butonlyuntil2007:1)companiesthatarelistedbothintheEUandonanon‐EUexchangeandthatcurrentlyuseUSGAAPastheirprimaryaccountingstandardsand(2)companiesthathaveonlypublicly traded debt securities. Non‐EU companies listed on EU exchanges can continue to use theirnationalGAAPsuntil2007”(Deloitte[2005,p.14]).IexcludecompaniesthatswitchfromlocalGAAPtoIFRSlaterthan2005.
86
Adopterstobezero.ThecontrolgroupalsocomprisesfirmsthatvoluntarilyadoptedUSGAAP,
basedon thenotion thatbothUSGAAPand IFRSareofhigherquality relative to localGAAP.
DoingsoallowsmetoincreasethesamplesizeofVoluntaryAdopters.Anadditionaladvantageof
choosing Voluntary Adopters as the control group is that they are subject to the same EU
regulationsasMandatoryAdoptersandthusanyconcurrentregulatoryandeconomicchangesin
theEUinfluencethem.Postisanindicatorvariabletakingthevalueof1forfiscalyearsending
on or after the IFRS adoption date, that is, December 31, 2005, and zero otherwise. If the
adoption of IFRS adversely affects the competitiveness ofMandatoryAdopters, I expect the
coefficientontheinteractiontermMandatoryAdopter×Post‐Periodtobenegative.
Inaddition,Icontrolforthefollowingfirmcharacteristics:Sizeisthelogofbookvalueoftotal
assets. I expect larger firms to have lower revenue growth, because they are likely to be at a
moremature stage and thus have limited growthpotential. Intangibles is the book value of a
firm’sintangiblesscaledbytotalassets.Icontrolforfirms’intangiblesbecausetheamountand
typesof intangibles(e.g., intellectualproperty)reflectafirm’sgrowthpotential.Capex(Lag) is
defined as theone‐year lag of capital expenditure scaledby total assets.8The intuition is that
investments in fixed assets allow a firm to increase its ability to generate revenues.Debt is
measured as current liabilities plus long‐term debt scaled by total assets and controls for a
firm’srisk.Ifurtherincludecountry,industry,andyearfixedeffects,andclusterrobuststandard
errorsatthefirmlevel.9Allcontinuousvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1%leveltominimizethe
effectsofoutliers.
IV. EvidenceonProprietaryCostsofMandatoryDisclosure
SummaryStatistics
Table1showsthesampledistributionbycountry.TheUKhasthelargestnumberoffirm‐year
observations (2,652), followed by Germany (2,076) and France (1,968). Luxembourg has the
lowest number of firm‐year observations (48). Overall, 22% of all sample firms voluntarily
adopted IFRS orUS GAAP in the pre‐period. The number ofVoluntaryAdopters varies across
countries,withnoneinPortugalandSpain,andalmost100%inAustria.10
8The results remainqualitatively unchangedwhen scaling capital expenditures byproperty, plant, andequipment.9Idonotseparatelycontrolforthecompetitivenesswithinanindustry,becausetheindustryfixedeffectscapture it. However, for robustness purposes, I replicate all analyses including the HHI as a separatecontrolinmyregressionspecification.Theresultsarerobust.10Notethetabledoesnotdepicttheentiremarketbutratherasubsetofit,namely,firmsthatareincludedinCompustatGlobalandcomplywithmydatarequirements.Moreover,thenumberofvoluntaryadoptersmaydiffercomparedtootherstudies,because(1)mydefinitionofvoluntaryadoptersincludesfirmsthat
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[InsertTable1abouthere]
Table2 reports thesummarystatistics for thepre‐andpost‐period.BothMandatoryAdopters
andVoluntaryAdoptersexperienceastatisticallysignificantincreaseintheirmeanandmedian
revenuegrowthduring thepost‐period,with the increasebeing larger forVoluntaryAdopters.
ThesummarystatisticsfurthershowMandatoryAdoptersexhibithighergrowthratesinthepre‐
period, whereas VoluntaryAdopters experience higher growth rates in the post‐period. The
differencebetweenthetwogroups is,however, statistically insignificant inbothperiods.Both
groupshaverelativelysimilarfirmcharacteristicsanddonotdiffersignificantlyintermsoftheir
size,intangibles,andcapitalexpenditureinbothperiods.However,MandatoryAdoptershaveon
averageasignificantlyhigherleverageratiocomparedtoVoluntaryAdoptersinthepre‐aswell
aspost‐period.
[InsertTable2abouthere]
Full‐SampleAnalysis
Istartmyanalysiswithadifference‐in‐differencesregressionforthefullsample.Theresultsare
reportedinTable3.Thecoefficientontheinteractiontermissignificantlynegative,suggesting
theadoptionof IFRSadverselyaffects thecompetitivenessofMandatoryAdopters.Thecontrol
variablesareinlinewithmyexpectation.Firmsthatarelargerandhaveahigherleverageratio
experience lower growth rates, whereas a higher proportion of intangible assets and lagged
capitalexpenditurepositivelyaffectrevenuegrowth.Overall, thefull‐sampleanalysisprovides
evidenceinfavorofthenotionthatmandatoryfinancialreportingadverselyinfluencesafirm’s
competitiveness.Note,however,thattheIFRSadoptionunlikelyaffectsallMandatoryAdopters
equally.Theextentoftheimpactmaydependonvariousfactors,withtheheterogeneityinlocal
GAAPbeingoneofthemostinterestingaspectstotakeintoaccount.
[InsertTable3abouthere]
voluntarily adopted US GAAP in the pre‐period, and (2) I do not exclusively rely on the accountingstandardsclassificationinCompustatGlobal.
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AnalysisofUnderlyingMechanisms
ToobtainabetterunderstandingofhowIFRSaffectsthecompetivenessofMandatoryAdopters,
I exploit cross‐country differences in local GAAP. Prior literature identifies two mechanisms
through which the mandatory IFRS adoption increases the information content of financial
statements: increased disclosure and enhanced financial‐statement comparability (e.g., Li
[2010a]; Byard et al. [2011]; Chen et al. [2013]; Tan et al. [2011]; Yip and Young [2012]). I
expecttheeffectoftheIFRSadoptiontobestrongerforMandatoryAdopterslocatedincountries
withgreaterdifferencesbetweenlocalGAAPandIFRSandfewerdisclosurerequirementsunder
local GAAP. The intuition is that an IFRS financial statement reveals more information to
competitorsinthepost‐period,whenthedifferencebetweenlocalGAAPandIFRSisgreater.
To test my prediction, I follow Li [2010a] and differentiate between improved financial
disclosure and increased financial‐statement comparability, using a survey by Nobes [2001].
Improvedfinancialdisclosureismeasuredasthenumberofadditionaldisclosuresrequiredby
IFRSas compared to localGAAP.Comparability ismeasuredas thenumberof inconsistencies
between local GAAP and IFRS. In addition, I use two alternative measures for local GAAP
differences: I follow Chen, Ng, and Tsang [2015] and construct the Absence Index and the
DivergenceIndexcreatedbyDing,Hope, Jeanjean,andStolowy[2007].Basedonthesurveyby
Nobes[2001],theAbsenceIndexmeasurestheextenttowhichaccountingrulesonrecognition,
measurement,anddisclosuresare included in IFRSbutmissing in localGAAP.TheDivergence
Indexmeasurestheextenttowhichrulesregardingthesameaccountingissuesdifferbetween
localGAAPandIFRS.Table4reportsthecountry‐levelvariables.
[InsertTable4abouthere]
I partition the sample into two groups based onwhether firms are located in countrieswith
above‐orbelow‐the‐medianvaluesof(1)additionaldisclosures,(2)inconsistencies,(3)Absence
Index, and (4) Divergence Index. The results are displayed in Table 5. The coefficient on the
interactiontermissignificantlynegativeforthesubsampleoffirmsdomiciledincountrieswith
a greater increase in financial‐statement comparability and a higher Divergence Index.
MandatoryAdopterslocatedintherespectivebelow‐the‐mediansubsamplesdonotexperiencea
statistically significant change in revenue growth relative to VoluntaryAdopters in the post‐
period.Similarly,theinteractiontermisnegativeandstatisticallysignificantforthesubsample
offirmsdomiciledincountrieswithanabove‐the‐medianvalueofAbsenceIndex.Thecoefficient
89
is insignificant for the respective below‐the‐median sample. Mandatory Adopters located in
countrieswithmore disclosures required by IFRS do not experience a statistically significant
changeinrevenuegrowthrelativetovoluntaryadoptersinthepost‐period.Thecoefficientfor
therespectivebelow‐the‐mediansubsamplesisinsignificantaswell.
Theresultscanbeinterpretedasenhancedfinancial‐statementcomparabilitybeingtheprimary
channel responsible for the adverse effect of IFRS on the competitiveness of Mandatory
Adopters. Missing disclosure rules in local GAAP do not seem to play a role. An alternative
explanation is that the extent of the effect ofmissingdisclosure rulesdependson the typeof
(proprietary)informationdisclosed.Thus,increaseddisclosuremaystillplayanimportantrole,
butonlywithrespecttospecificaccountingstandards.Thesamemaybethecaseforenhanced
financial‐statementcomparability.Thenextsectioninvestigatesthispossibility.
[InsertTable5abouthere]
AnalysisofAccountingStandards
Not all information revealed by a firm’s financial statement is equally relevant to that firm’s
competitors. Exploiting the cross‐country heterogeneity in local GAAP, this section examines
whether the extent to which the IFRS adoption adversely affects the competitiveness of
MandatoryAdoptersdependsonspecificIFRSaccountingrulesandthusthetypeofinformation
disclosed in the financial statement. Based on the survey by Nobes [2001], I identify the
respectiveIFRSaccountingstandardsforwhichnodisclosurerulesexistunderlocalGAAPorfor
which inconsistencies exist between local GAAP and IFRS.11Table 6 reports the descriptive
statisticsfortheaccountingstandardsIinvestigateinthesubsequentanalyses.
[InsertTable6abouthere]
11A country is classified as having no disclosure rules under local GAAP regarding a specific IFRSaccounting standard if the accounting standard is listed in the category “No specific rules requiringdisclosures.“Similarly,acountryisclassifiedashavinginconsistenciesbetweenaspecificIFRSaccountingstandard and its local GAAP counterpart if the specific accounting standard is listed in the category“Inconsistenciesthatcouldleadtodifferencesformanyenterprises.”
90
First,Ifocusonthemechanismofimprovedfinancial‐statementcomparabilityandidentifyfive
accountingaspectswhoseharmonizationislikelytorevealrelevantinformationaboutafirmto
its competitors.12Again, I partition the sample into two groups based on whether firms are
located in countries with inconsistencies between local GAAP and IFRS regarding a specific
accountingissue.ThefirstsetofaccountingstandardsIexamineisrevenuerecognition(IAS11
and IAS18). Six countries inmysampleexhibit inconsistenciesbetween localGAAPand IFRS
regardingthisspecificaccounting issue.Harmonizingaccountingrulesonrevenuerecognition
reveals valuable information aboutMandatoryAdopters, because the new information allows
competitors to better understand a firm’s revenue structure and compare revenues across
competitors.Thecomparabilityisparticularlyrelevantforconstructioncontractsforwhichthe
timing of revenue recognition can differ significantly across countries. For example, under
French GAAP, the percentage‐of‐completion method is the preferred treatment, but it is not
requiredforconstructioncontracts(Nobes[2001]).InItaly,thecompleted‐contractmethodcan
beappliedfortherevenuerecognitiononconstructioncontractsandservices(Nobes[2001]).
Table 7PanelA shows the coefficient on the interaction term is significantlynegative for the
subsampleof firmsdomiciled incountrieswith inconsistenciesregardingrevenuerecognition.
MandatoryAdopters locatedinthesubsamplewithnomajorinconsistenciesregardingrevenue
recognition do not experience a significant change in revenue growth relative to voluntary
adoptersfollowingtheintroductionofIFRS.
Another accounting standardwhose harmonization is likely to reveal valuable information to
competitorsisthestandardonintangibleassets(IAS38).Eightcountriesinmysampleexhibit
inconsistenciesbetween localGAAPand IFRSregarding theaccountingof intangibles. Inmost
industries,intangibles,suchasintellectualpropertyordevelopmentcosts,buildthebasisfora
firm’s current and future competitiveness, and are thus the firms’ most valuable assets. The
adoptionof IFRSenables competitors to learnmoreabout and compare firms’ key sourcesof
success.Inthepre‐period,thetreatmentofintangibleassetsvariesgreatlyacrosscountries.For
example, under Italian GAAP, companies are allowed to capitalize deferred costs such as
advertisingcostsrelatedtonewbusinessesorproductsandcertainincorporationcosts(Nobes
[2001]). Similarly, Greek GAAP allows the capitalization of research costs and pre‐operating
costs,whereasGermanGAAPdoesnotrequirerecognizinginternallygeneratedintangiblesthat
areexpectedtoprovideongoingservicetothefirm(Nobes[2001]).Again,thecoefficientonthe
interactiontermissignificantlynegativeforthesubsampleoffirmsdomiciledincountrieswith
12Note that I can only examine the effect of accounting issues for which a sufficient cross‐countryvariationexists.Forexample,12outof15countriesinmysamplehavenospecificdisclosurerulesunderlocal GAAP regarding investment property (IAS 40). Similarly, inconsistencies between IFRS and localGAAP in terms of the recognition and measurement of financial instruments (IAS 39) exist for all 15countries. My analysis thus focuses on accounting issues that (1) exhibit a sufficient cross‐countryvariationand(2)arelikelytorevealvaluableinformationaboutafirm.
91
inconsistencies regarding intangible assets.MandatoryAdopters located in countries with no
major inconsistencies do not experience a significant change in revenue growth relative to
voluntaryadoptersfollowingtheintroductionofIFRS.
In untabulated analyses, I further investigate the effect of three other accounting standards,
whicharelikelytorevealvaluableinformationtocompetitors:leases(IAS17),inventories(IAS
2), and segment reporting (IAS14). Firmshave the choice to eitherbuyor lease fixedassets.
Whether the leased asset shows up in the firm’s balance sheet depends on the specific
accountingrules.Byharmonizingtherulesonoff‐andon‐balance‐sheetleasearrangements,the
standardsetterenablescompaniestocompareitsowninvestmentsinfixedassetswiththatof
itscompetitors.ThetreatmentofleasecontractsunderlocalGAAPcanvarysignificantlyacross
countries.Forexample,underGermanGAAP, leasesare typicallyclassifiedbasedontaxrules,
and thus are seldom recognized as finance leases (Nobes [2001]).According toFrenchGAAP,
capitalizing finance leases is preferred but not required,whereas under Greek GAAP, finance
leasesarenotcapitalizedandleasepaymentsnotnecessarilyrecognizedonastraight‐linebasis
(Nobes[2001]).Sixcountriesinmysampleexhibit inconsistenciesregardingleaseaccounting.
Untabulated statistics show the coefficient of the interaction term is significantly negative
(coefficient: ‐0.040; p‐value: 0.057) for the subsample of firms located in countries with
inconsistencies regarding lease accounting. The interaction term is negative but insignificant
(coefficient: ‐0.015; p‐value: 0.679) for the other subsample, indicating peers consider
accountinginformationaboutleasearrangementstobevaluable.
Comparableinformationaboutafirm’sinventories,includingfinishedgoods,workinprogress,
andrawmaterials,maybeusefultothefirm’scompetitorsbecauseithelpsthemunderstandthe
firm’s inventory levels and cost structure. Themeasurement of inventories under local GAAP
varies significantly across countries. For example, under Austrian GAAP, excluding overheads
from the calculation of costs for inventory and self‐constructed assets is possible (Nobes
[2001]).AccordingtoItalianGAAP,inventories,withtheexceptionoffinishedgoods,arevalued
at the lower of cost and replacement cost (Nobes [2001]). Nine European countries have
inconsistencies between local GAAP and IFRS regarding the treatment of inventories.
Untabulated results show the interaction term is significantly negative (coefficient: ‐0.051;p‐
value: 0.051) for the subsample of firms experiencing an increase in comparability regarding
inventoryaccounting.MandatoryAdoptersdomiciledincountrieswithnoinconsistenciesdonot
suffer competitively relative to voluntary adopters after the introduction of IFRS (coefficient:
‐0.030,p‐value:0.573).Thisfindingisconsistentwiththeargumentthataccountinginformation
aboutinventorylevelsrevealsvaluableinformationtocompetitors.
92
Last,Zhou[2014]documentstheproprietarycostsofsegmentreporting.Ithuspredicttheeffect
ofIFRSonthecompetitivenessofMandatoryAdoptersisgreaterforfirmsdomiciledincountries
with inconsistencies between local GAAP and IAS 14. For example, according to Irish andUK
GAAP,segmentreportingshowsnetassetsrather thanassetsand liabilitiesseparately(Nobes
[2001]). Untabulated results are not in line with prior literature. The interaction term is
insignificant for the subsample of firms located in countrieswith inconsistencies (coefficient:
0.099; p‐value: 0.452), whereas the coefficient on the interaction term for the subsample
without inconsistencies is significantly negative (coefficient: ‐0.036; p‐value: 0.059). Note,
however,thatthecross‐countryvariationinthisanalysisisratherlow,withonlythreecountries
experiencing inconsistencies regarding local GAAP and IAS 14. In addition, the subsample
without inconsistencies includes countries for which segment reporting significantly changes
aftertheIFRSadoption.Forexample,GermanGAAPallowsparentcompaniesthatarerequired
to issue consolidated accounts to report segment information on a voluntary basis.With the
mandatory adoption of IFRS, all firms being required to disclose their consolidated accounts
using IFRSarenowmandatedtoreportsegment information.Yet thesurveybyNobes[2001]
classifiesGermanyashavingneitherinconsistenciesbetweenlocalGAAPandIAS14thatcould
lead to differences formany enterprises nor inconsistencies that could lead to differences in
certainenterprises.Thus,oneshouldinterprettheresultsofthisanalysiswithcaution.
[InsertTable7abouthere]
Next, I turn to additional disclosures required by different IFRS accounting standards. The
resultsarereportedinTable7PanelB.Followingtheargumentationlaidoutabove,Ifocuson
theaccountingstandardsoninventories(IAS2)andsegmentreporting(IAS14).Replicatingthe
analysisfortheotheraccountingstandardsexaminedaboveisnotpossible,becauseallsample
countries have specific disclosure rules under local GAAP regarding revenue recognition,
intangibles, and leasing. Seven countries in my sample have no specific disclosure rules
regardingcertainaspectsofinventoryaccounting.Forexample,GermanandFrenchGAAPhave
nospecificrulesthatrequiredisclosuresoftheFIFOorcurrentcostofinventorywhenvaluedon
theLIFObasis(Nobes[2001]).Thecoefficientontheinteractiontermforthesubsampleoffirms
located incountrieswithadditionaldisclosuresrequiredby IFRS issignificantlynegative.The
coefficientontheinteractiontermfortheothersubsampleisinsignificant.Theresultsareinline
with the prediction that additional disclosures regarding inventories reveal valuable
information to competitors.Again,my resultson segment reportingarenot in linewithprior
93
literature. The interaction term is negative but insignificant for both subsamples. Overall, the
findings suggest the mechanism of increased disclosure also appears to play a role in
disseminatingproprietaryinformationaboutMandatoryAdopters.
PlaceboAnalysis
In this section, I perform a placebo analysis by examining an accounting standard whose
informationislikelytobelessrelevanttocompetitors.Becausealargercross‐countryvariation
exists regarding accounting‐standard inconsistencies as compared to additional disclosures
requiredbyIFRS,Ifocusonthemechanismofenhancedcomparability.Specifically,Ipredictthe
informationrevealedbyharmonizingthetreatmentofeventsafterthereportingperiod(IAS10)
is generally less relevant to competitors. Table 8 reports the results. Consistent with my
prediction,theinteractiontermisinsignificantforbothsubsamples.Theplacebotestshowsthat
not all types of accounting information are equally important in adversely affecting a firm’s
competitiveness.
[InsertTable8abouthere]
V. SensitivityAnalyses
Iperformseveral(untabulated)sensitivityanalysestoassesstherobustnessofmymainresults
ontheaccounting‐standardlevel.First, Iusethereturnonassetsasanalternativeproxyfora
firm’scompetitiveness.Itiscalculatedasoperatingincomedividedbytotalassets.Theintuition
isthatindustrycompetitionisanimportantfactorthatdeterminesafirm’sprofitability.Thus,if
themandatory adoption of IFRS adversely affects the competitivenessofMandatoryAdopters,
their profitabilitymay suffer in the post‐period. The results are robust. The only noteworthy
exceptionoccursinthesubsampleoffirmsdomiciledincountrieswithinconsistenciesinterms
ofrevenuerecognitionbetweenlocalGAAPandIFRS.Thecoefficientontheinteractiontermis
borderlineinsignificant(coefficient:‐0.014,p‐value:0.107).
Second,Ireplicatetheanalysisusingfirmandyearfixedeffectstoensurenounobservablefirm
characteristics drive my results. In this specification, I also separately control for the
competitivenesswithinanindustry,usingtheHHI.Theresultsarequalitativelysimilar.
94
Third,firmsmayusethetransitionyearof2005forearnings‐managementpurposes.Toensure
anypotentialearningsmanagementinthetransitionyeardoesnotdrivemyresults,Ireplicate
theanalysesexcludingthetransitionyear.Theresultsarerobust.
Fourth,toensurecountrieswithoutvoluntaryadoptersdonotdrivemyresults,Ireplicatethe
mainanalysisexcludingPortugalandSpain.Again,theresultshold.
Last,Ire‐estimatetheanalysisincludingNorwayandSwitzerlandinmysample.Neithercountry
isamemberoftheEU.However,NorwayisamemberoftheEuropeanEconomicArea,withfull
access to theEUsinglemarket,whereasSwitzerland isamemberof theEuropeanFreeTrade
AreaandhassignedseveralbilateralagreementswiththeEU.Theresultsremainqualitatively
unchanged.
VI. Conclusion
This paper analyzes the impact ofmandatory financial reporting on a firm’s competitiveness.
Although the capital‐marketbenefitsofmandatorydisclosurearewelldocumented (e.g., Leuz
and Verrecchia [2000]; Li [2010a]), little is known about the proprietary costs ofmandatory
disclosure.UsingthemandatoryIFRSadoptioninEuropeasanexogenousshocktomandatory
financialreporting, I findthatfirmsmandatorilyadoptingIFRSsuffercompetitivelyrelativeto
voluntary adopters in the post‐period. Additional analyses reveal two mechanisms are
responsibleforthiseffect:increaseddisclosureandenhancedfinancial‐statementcomparability.
I further show not all types of accounting information are equally important to competitors.
Overall,myresultssuggest firms’concernsabout theproprietarycostsofmandatory financial
reportingarejustified.
This study is subject to several caveats.My sample does not include private firms and I thus
cannot make any statements about the potentially positive effects of the mandatory IFRS
adoption on the competitiveness of private firms.Moreover, themandatory adoption of IFRS
does not affect all mandatory adopters equally. My study takes this aspect into account by
differentiatingbetweenthetypesofinformationdisclosed.Isuggestthatfuturestudiesfocuson
firm‐andindustry‐levelcharacteristics.
95
AppendixA:IdentificationofAccountingStandards
This section describes the coding of accounting standards. Identifying voluntary IFRS andUS
GAAP adopters prior to 2005 is not trivial, because the accounting‐standards classification of
Compustat Global contains coding errors (Covring et al. [2007]). Solely relying on other
databases such as FactSet orWorldscope does not alleviate this problem, because the coding
systemofWorldscopeissubjecttoinconsistenciesaswell(seeDaskeetal.[2013]OnlineData
and Coding Appendix).13Tominimize the probability of incorrectly classifying the accounting
standardappliedineachfirm‐year,Iusethreesources:CompustatGlobal,FactSet,andthedata
setofvoluntaryIFRSadoptersprovidedbyDaskeetal.[2013](hereafterDHLV).
I primarily rely on theDHVL classification. The authors identify voluntary IFRS andUSGAAP
adopters using data from Worldscope, supplemented with extensive hand collection. Their
classificationsystemendsin2005,theyearofthemandatoryIFRSadoptioninEurope.Whena
samplefirmcannotbematchedtotheDHVLdataset,Icomparetheaccounting‐standardcodes
in FactSet and Compustat Global. If both databases report the same accounting standard, I
proceed with this classification. This approach covers approximately 90% of all firm‐year
observations inmy initial sample of all Compustat Global firms. If the twodatabases provide
contradictingaccountingstandards,IproceedwiththeCompustatGlobalclassification.
When classifying accounting standards in FactSet and Compustat Global, I closely follow the
codingsystempresentedinDHLV.Afirm‐yearisclassifiedasIFRSifitsFactSetlabelis2,6,8,
18,19,or23anditsCompustatGobalclassificationis“DA”,“DI,”or“DT”(seealsoCovringetal.
[2007];Li[2010a]).Notethelabels12and16donotoccurinmysample.Iclassifyafirm‐yearas
USGAAPifitsFactSetlabelis3,13,or20anditsCompustatGlobalclassificationis“US”or“DU.”
Afirm‐yearisclassifiedaslocalGAAPifitsFactSetlabelis1,10,17,or21.Notethelabels11,14,
and15donotoccurinmysample,whereasallfirm‐yearslabeledas5arecoveredbytheDHLV
dataset.Only4 firm‐yearobservationsare labeled4or7. In thesecases, I relyonCompustat
Global. The Compustat Global classification for local GAAP is “DS”, “DO,” or ”DD.”
13http://research.chicagobooth.edu/arc/journal/onlineappendices.aspx.
96
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Table1:Country‐LevelSampleDistribution
Thistablereportsthesampledistributionbycountry.Thefinalsamplecomprises10,596firm‐yearobservationsfrom15Europeancountriesoveratimeperiodofsixyears.Afirmisincludedinthesampleifithasavailabledatafortheentiresampleperiodandisnotactiveinthefinancialsector.AfirmisclassifiedasaMandatoryAdopterifitadoptslocalGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.AfirmisdefinedasaVoluntaryAdopterifitadoptsIFRSorUSGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.
Country AllMandatoryAdopters
VoluntaryAdopters
Austria 246 6 240
Belgium 180 102 78
Denmark 390 324 66
Finland 462 444 18
France 1,968 1,890 78
Germany 2,076 636 1,440
Greece 162 150 12
Ireland 138 126 12
Italy 378 174 204
Luxembourg 48 6 42
TheNetherlands 570 450 120
Portugal 150 150 0
Spain 204 204 0
Sweden 972 960 12
UnitedKingdom 2,652 2,604 48
Total 10,596 8,226 2,370
100
Table2:SummaryStatistics
Thistablereportsthesummarystatisticsofallvariables inthepre‐andpost‐period.A firmisclassifiedasaMandatoryAdopterifitadoptslocalGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.AfirmisdefinedasaVoluntaryAdopter if itadoptsIFRSorUSGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.RevenueGrowthisafirm’syearlygrowthinrevenues.Sizeisdefinedas the log of book value of total assets; Intangibles, as the book value of a firm’s intangiblesscaled by total assets;Capex(Lag), as the one‐year lag of capital expenditure scaled by totalassets;andDebt,ascurrentliabilitiespluslong‐termdebtscaledbytotalassets.Allcontinuousvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodspanssixyears.
Mean Median SD N Mean Median SD N
AllSampleFirmsRevenueGrowth 0.086 0.029 0.450 5,298 0.142 0.085 0.408 5,298Size 5.695 5.414 2.127 5,298 5.983 5.740 2.139 5,298Intangibles 0.146 0.086 0.164 5,298 0.181 0.123 0.177 5,298Capex(Lag) 0.052 0.039 0.049 5,298 0.046 0.034 0.044 5,298Debt 0.501 0.502 0.206 5,298 0.498 0.497 0.196 5,298
RevenueGrowth 0.069 0.030 0.418 1,185 0.152 0.097 0.424 1,185Size 5.769 5.327 2.317 1,185 5.995 5.625 2.370 1,185Intangibles 0.142 0.091 0.147 1,185 0.174 0.124 0.163 1,185Capex(Lag) 0.051 0.039 0.046 1,185 0.046 0.034 0.044 1,185Debt 0.470 0.468 0.204 1,185 0.469 0.468 0.191 1,185
RevenueGrowth 0.091 0.029 0.458 4,113 0.140 0.082 0.403 4,113Size 5.674 5.436 2.069 4,113 5.979 5.768 2.068 4,113Intangibles 0.147 0.084 0.168 4,113 0.183 0.122 0.181 4,113Capex(Lag) 0.053 0.039 0.050 4,113 0.046 0.034 0.045 4,113Debt 0.510 0.511 0.206 4,113 0.506 0.506 0.196 4,113
Pre‐Period Post‐Period
VoluntaryAdopters
MandatoryAdopters
101
Table3:Full‐SampleAnalysis
This table reports the results of the full‐sample difference‐in‐differences analysis. ThedependentvariableisRevenueGrowth.MandatoryAdopter isabinaryvariabletakingthevalueof1ifafirmadoptslocalGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.MandatoryAdopterisequaltozeroifafirmadoptsIFRSorUSGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.Post isabinaryvariableequal to1 for fiscalyearsendingonorafterDecember31,2005,andzerootherwise.Size isdefinedas the logofbookvalueof totalassets;Intangibles,as thebookvalue of a firm’s intangibles scaled by total assets;Capex(Lag), as the one‐year lag of capitalexpenditurescaledbytotalassets;andDebt,ascurrentliabilitiespluslong‐termdebtscaledbytotal assets. The Fama and French [1997] 17‐industry classification applies. Robust standarderrorsareclusteredat the firm level.All continuousvariablesarewinsorizedat the1% level.The sample period spans six years.p‐values are presented in parentheses. Significance at the0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
MandatoryAdopter ‐0.014(0.474)
Post 0.031(0.176)
MandatoryAdopter×Post ‐0.031 *(0.093)
Size ‐0.011 ***(0.000)
Intangibles 0.209 ***(0.000)
Capex(Lag) 0.237 *(0.091)
Debt ‐0.093 ***(0.002)
Intercept 0.100(0.111)
Country‐FE YesIndustry‐FE YesYear‐FE YesR2 0.043N 10,596
Full sample
102
Table4:Country‐LevelVariablesonMechanism
This table reports the summary statistics for the country‐level variables capturing theunderlyingmechanisms. All variables are constructed using the survey byNobes [2001]. Thenumber of inconsistencies captures the increase in comparability across countries after theintroductionof IFRS (Li [2010a]). Thenumberof additional disclosuresmeasuresdisclosuresthataremissinginlocalGAAPbutarerequiredbyIFRS(Li[2010a]).TheAbsenceIndexcapturestheextenttowhichcertainaccountingrulesareincludedinIFRSbutmissinginlocalGAAP(Dinget al. [2007]). The Divergence Index measures the extent to which rules regarding the sameaccountingissuedifferbetweenlocalGAAPandIFRS(Dingetal.[2007]).
CountryNumberof
Inconsistencies
NumberofAdditionalDisclosuresRequired
byIFRSDivergenceIndex AbsenceIndex
Austria 20 8 36 34Belgium 15 7 32 22Denmark 13 5 21 31Finland 19 8 31 22France 19 6 34 21Germany 20 7 38 18Greece 20 9 28 40Ireland 15 0 34 0Italy 19 6 37 27Luxembourg 16 8TheNetherlands 5 2 25 10Portugal 12 7 22 29Spain 22 9 29 28Sweden 11 4 26 10UnitedKingdom 15 0 35 0
Mean 16 6 31 21Median 16 7 32 22Std.Dev. 4 3 5 12
103
Table5:AnalysisofUnderlyingMechanism
This table reports the results of the difference‐in‐differences analyses investigating the underlyingmechanism. The sample is partitioned into twogroupsbasedonwhetherafirmisdomiciledinacountrywithanabove‐orbelow‐median(1)numberofadditionaldisclosuresrequiredbyIFRS(Li[2010a]), (2) number of inconsistencies between local GAAP and IFRS (Li [2010a]), (3) value ofAbsenceIndex (Ding et al. [2007]), or (4) value ofDivergenceIndex(Dingetal.[2007]).TheinformationisobtainedfromNobes[2001].ThedependentvariableisRevenueGrowth.MandatoryAdopterisabinaryvariabletakingthevalueof1ifafirmadoptslocalGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.MandatoryAdopterisequaltozeroifafirm adopts IFRS orUS GAAP in the pre‐period and IFRS in the post‐period.Post is a binary variable equal to 1 for fiscal years ending on or afterDecember31,2005, andzerootherwise.Size isdefinedas the logofbookvalueof total assets;Intangibles, as thebookvalueof a firm’s intangiblesscaledbytotalassets;Capex(Lag),astheone‐yearlagofcapitalexpenditurescaledbytotalassets;andDebt,ascurrentliabilitiespluslong‐termdebtscaled by total assets. The Fama and French [1997] 17‐industry classification applies. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Allcontinuousvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodspanssixyears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
103
104
Table5:AnalysisofUnderlyingMechanism(continued)
Abovemedian Belowmedian Abovemedian Belowmedian Abovemedian Belowmedian Abovemedian Belowmedian
Mandatory 0.093 ‐0.033 0.007 ‐0.053 ‐0.011 ‐0.046 0.005 ‐0.029(0.142) (0.346) (0.740) (0.225) (0.630) (0.325) (0.918) (0.183)
Post 0.000 0.029 0.054 ** ‐0.004 0.041 * 0.078 0.009 0.032(0.997) (0.450) (0.035) (0.946) (0.097) (0.242) (0.835) (0.233)
MandatoryAdopter×Post ‐0.057 ‐0.037 ‐0.048 ** ‐0.004 ‐0.045 ** ‐0.040 ‐0.067 * ‐0.024(0.250) (0.326) (0.018) (0.940) (0.020) (0.522) (0.082) (0.274)
Size 0.003 ‐0.017 *** ‐0.004 ‐0.018 *** ‐0.009 *** ‐0.021 *** 0.001 ‐0.013 ***(0.780) (0.000) (0.240) (0.000) (0.004) (0.003) (0.892) (0.000)
Intangibles 0.134 0.242 *** 0.177 *** 0.238 *** 0.194 *** 0.306 *** 0.153 0.204 ***(0.461) (0.000) (0.003) (0.000) (0.000) (0.003) (0.255) (0.000)
Capex(Lag) 0.124 0.189 0.193 0.232 0.164 0.491 0.283 0.084(0.178) (0.276) (0.268) (0.299) (0.250) (0.167) (0.414) (0.567)
Debt 0.018 ‐0.078 ** ‐0.062 ‐0.110 ** ‐0.116 *** ‐0.014 ‐0.068 ‐0.098 ***(0.887) (0.037) (0.107) (0.012) (0.001) (0.843) (0.481) (0.002)
Intercept ‐0.106 0.187 *** 0.067 0.147 ** 0.133 ** 0.096 ‐0.041 0.091 **(0.484) (0.002) (0.342) (0.033) (0.046) (0.303) (0.750) (0.041)
Country‐FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesIndustry‐FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesYear‐FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.063 0.055 0.029 0.057 0.044 0.055 0.038 0.052N 1,122 7,068 5,496 5,052 7,458 2,910 1,530 8,376
AdditionalDisclosures Increase in Comparability Divergence Index Absence Index
104
105
Table6:AccountingStandardVariables
This table reports thedescriptive statistics for theheterogeneity in localGAAPby accountingstandards.Acountryislabeledasoneif(1)inconsistenciesexistbetweenlocalGAAPandIFRSregarding a specific accounting standard or (2) a specific IFRS accounting standard requiresadditionaldisclosuresoverlocalGAAP.Allaccounting‐standardvariablesareconstructedusingthesurveyofNobes[2001].
Country
IAS2 IAS10 IAS11&18 IAS14 IAS17 IAS38 IAS2 IAS14
Austria 1 1 1Belgium 1 1 1 1Denmark 1 1 1Finland 1 1 1 1 1 1France 1 1 1 1 1Germany 1 1 1 1Greece 1 1 1 1 1 1 1Ireland 1 1Italy 1 1 1Luxembourg 1 1 1 1 1TheNetherlands 1Portugal 1 1Spain 1 1 1 1 1Sweden 1UnitedKingdom 1 1
Total 9 6 6 3 6 8 7 8
InconsistenciesBetweenLocalGAAPandIFRS AdditionalDisclosuresRequiredbyIFRS
106
Table7:AnalysisofAccountingInformation
This table reports the results of the difference‐in‐differences analyses exploiting theheterogeneity in local GAAP. In Panel A, the sample is partitioned into two groups based onwhether a firm is domiciled in a country with inconsistencies between local GAAP and IFRSregardingaspecificaccountingstandard.InPanelB,thesampleispartitionedintotwogroupsbasedonwhetherafirmisdomiciledinacountrywithadditionaldisclosurerulesrequiredbyIFRS regarding a specific accounting issue. All accounting‐standard variables are constructedusing the survey of Nobes [2001]. The dependent variable is Revenue Growth. MandatoryAdopter isabinaryvariabletakingthevalueof1ifa firmadopts localGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.MandatoryAdopterisequaltozeroifafirmadoptsIFRSorUSGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.Postisabinaryvariableequalto1forfiscalyearsendingonor afterDecember31, 2005, and zerootherwise.Size is defined as the logof bookvalueoftotalassets;Intangibles,asthebookvalueofafirm’sintangiblesscaledbytotalassets;Capex (Lag), as the one‐year lag of capital expenditure scaled by total assets; and Debt, ascurrent liabilitiesplus long‐termdebtscaledby totalassets.TheFamaandFrench [1997]17‐industry classification applies. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Allcontinuousvariablesarewinsorizedatthe1%level.Thesampleperiodspanssixyears.p‐valuesarepresentedinparentheses.Significanceatthe0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
PanelA:EnhancedFinancial‐StatementComparability
Incon‐sistencies
No Incon‐sistencies
Incon‐sistencies
NoIncon‐sistencies
MandatoryAdopter 0.008 ‐0.027 0.011 ‐0.074 *(0.846) (0.194) (0.602) (0.077)
Post 0.044 0.027 0.055 ** 0.012(0.253) (0.315) (0.039) (0.772)
MandatoryAdopter×Post ‐0.069 ** ‐0.015 ‐0.041 * ‐0.026(0.048) (0.497) (0.051) (0.520)
Size ‐0.006 ‐0.012 *** ‐0.002 ‐0.019 ***(0.199) (0.001) (0.562) (0.000)
Intangibles 0.211 *** 0.203 *** 0.151 *** 0.259 ***(0.004) (0.000) (0.009) (0.000)
Capex(Lag) 0.351 0.151 0.192 0.226(0.144) (0.366) (0.268) (0.310)
Debt ‐0.009 ‐0.128 *** ‐0.038 ‐0.128 ***(0.853) (0.000) (0.297) (0.005)
Intercept 0.051 0.112 * 0.011 0.145 *(0.523) (0.100) (0.838) (0.068)
Country‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesIndustry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesYear‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.037 0.050 0.028 0.059N 3,408 7,188 5,478 5,118
IAS11& 18 ‐ Revenues IAS 38‐Intangibles
107
Table7:AnalysisofAccountingInformation(continued)
PanelB:IncreasedDisclosure
Additionaldisclosures
No additionaldisclosures
Additionaldisclosures
Noadditionaldisclosures
MandatoryAdopter ‐0.003 ‐0.029 0.015 ‐0.021(0.908) (0.382) (0.716) (0.323)
Post 0.059 ** 0.011 0.032 0.025(0.039) (0.740) (0.354) (0.380)
MandatoryAdopter×Post ‐0.039 * ‐0.023 ‐0.031 ‐0.028(0.077) (0.464) (0.290) (0.223)
Size ‐0.003 ‐0.017 *** ‐0.002 ‐0.013 ***(0.372) (0.000) (0.699) (0.000)
Intangibles 0.157 *** 0.245 *** 0.135 * 0.231 ***(0.008) (0.000) (0.075) (0.000)
Capex(Lag) 0.174 0.249 0.302 0.142(0.325) (0.245) (0.179) (0.406)
Debt ‐0.060 * ‐0.109 ** ‐0.066 ‐0.102 ***(0.100) (0.014) (0.171) (0.004)
Intercept 0.054 0.123 0.070 0.019(0.298) (0.108) (0.412) (0.660)
Country‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesIndustry‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesYear‐FE Yes Yes Yes YesR2 0.031 0.054 0.034 0.053N 5,070 5,526 3,660 6,936
IAS2 ‐ Inventories IAS 14 ‐ SegmentReporting
108
Table8:PlaceboAnalysis
Thistablereportstheresultsoftheplaceboanalysis.ThesampleispartitionedintotwogroupsbasedonwhetherafirmisdomiciledinacountrywithinconsistenciesbetweenlocalGAAPandIFRS regarding the treatment of events after the reporting period (Nobes [2001]). Thedependentvariable isRevenueGrowth.MandatoryAdopter isabinaryvariabletakingthevalueof1ifafirmadoptslocalGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.MandatoryAdopterisequaltozeroifafirmadoptsIFRSorUSGAAPinthepre‐periodandIFRSinthepost‐period.Post isabinaryvariableequal to1 for fiscalyearsendingonorafterDecember31,2005,andzerootherwise.Size isdefinedas the logofbookvalueof totalassets;Intangibles,as thebookvalue of a firm’s intangibles scaled by total assets;Capex(Lag), as the one‐year lag of capitalexpenditurescaledbytotalassets;andDebt,ascurrentliabilitiespluslong‐termdebtscaledbytotal assets. The Fama and French [1997] 17‐industry classification applies. Robust standarderrorsareclusteredat the firm level.All continuousvariablesarewinsorizedat the1% level.The sample period spans six years.p‐values are presented in parentheses. Significance at the0.01,0.05,and0.10levelsisindicatedby***,**,and*.
Incon‐sistencies
NoIncon‐sistencies
MandatoryAdopter ‐0.050 ‐0.004(0.252) (0.859)
Post ‐0.015 0.061 **(0.780) (0.015)
MandatoryAdopter×Post ‐0.019 ‐0.031(0.724) (0.129)
Size ‐0.013 ** ‐0.010 ***(0.013) (0.003)
Intangibles 0.207 *** 0.215 ***(0.001) (0.000)
Capex(Lag) 0.354 * 0.158(0.099) (0.394)
Debt ‐0.118 *** ‐0.078 **(0.006) (0.044)
Intercept 0.103 0.113(0.148) (0.103)
Country‐FE Yes YesIndustry‐FE Yes YesYear‐FE Yes YesR2 0.051 0.044N 4,092 6,504
IAS10‐EventsAfterReportingPeriod
109
StatementofCertification
I hereby confirm that this dissertation constitutes my own work, produced without aid and
supportfrompersonsand/ormaterialsotherthantheoneslisted.Allusedsourcesareindicated
asdirectorindirectquotations.Quotationmarksindicatedirectlanguagefromanotherauthor.
AppropriatecreditisgivenwhereIhaveusedideas,expressionsortextfromanotherpublicor
non‐public source.The thesis in this formor in anyother formhasnotbeen submitted to an
examinationbody.
ElisabethKläs
October30,2017
110
CurriculumVitae
EDUCATION
Since ‐ 09/2013 DoctoralProgramme(Dr.rer.pol.)FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management,GermanyExchange:LancasterUniversityManagementSchool,UK
03/2012 ‐ 10/2013 MasterofFinance(M.Sc.)FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management,GermanyExchange:UniversitàCommercialeLuigiBocconi,Italy
09/2008 ‐ 02/2012 BachelorinInternationalBusinessStudies(B.Sc.)FrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management,GermanyExchange:CassBusinessSchool,CityUniversityLondon,UK
09/2006 ‐ 09/2008 A‐LevelKing’sCollegeTaunton,UK
WORKINGEXPERIENCE
10/2013
10/2017
ResearchAssociateAccountingDepartmentFrankfurtSchoolofFinance&Management,Germany
01/2012
‐
06/2012
StudentTraineeCorporate&InvestmentBanking/FixedIncomeSalesBNPParibas,Germany
08/201101/2011
‐‐
09/201102/2011
InternshipAssurancePricewaterhouseCoopersSàrl,Luxembourg
08/2010 ‐ 09/2010 InternshipFinancialMarketStabilisationFund(SoFFin),Germany
SCHOLARSHIPS
Short‐termscholarship2016,GermanAcademicExchangeService
FrankfurtamMain,October2017