thor investor presentation 3.6.14 final
TRANSCRIPT
www.thorindustries.com
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This presentation includes certain statements that are “forward looking” statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). These forward looking statements involve uncertainties and risks. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ from our expectations. Factors which could cause materially different results include, among others, price fluctuations, material or chassis supply restrictions, legislative and regulatory developments, the costs of compliance with increased governmental regulation, legal issues, the potential impact of increased tax burdens on our dealers and retail consumers, lower consumer confidence and the level of discretionary consumer spending, interest rate fluctuations, restrictive lending practices, recent management changes, the success of new product introductions, the pace of obtaining and producing at new production facilities, the pace of acquisitions, the integration of new acquisitions, the impact of the divestiture of the Company's bus businesses, asset impairment charges, cost structure improvements, competition, general economic, market and political conditions and the other risks and uncertainties discussed more fully in Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended July 31, 2013 and Part II, Item 1A of our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended January 31, 2014. We disclaim any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward looking statements contained in this release or to reflect any change in our expectations after the date of this release or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any statement is based, except as required by law.
Forward Looking Statements
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Founded in 1980 by Wade Thompson & Peter Orthwein with the acquisition of Airstream, Inc.
The sole owner of operating subsidiaries that represent one of the world’s largest manufacturers of recreational vehicles
• #1 in overall RV 34.4% of market*
• #2 in Travel Trailers 32.9% of market*
• #1 in Fifth Wheels 50.7% of market*
• #2 in Motorhomes 23.2% of market**
On July 31, 2013, Thor announced the sale of its bus business to Allied Specialty Vehicles for $100 million in cash. The sale was completed as of October 20, 2013 and final closing adjustments were made during the second quarter of fiscal 2014.
Approximately 8,300 employees***
107 facilities in 4 US states***
6.5 million square feet under roof***
Who is THOR
Source: *Statistical Surveys, Inc., YTD U.S. and Canada units Calendar 2013 **Motorhomes
includes Class A, B and C *** as of July 31, 2013 (continuing operations)
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At Thor we strive to provide RV consumers with superior products and services through innovative solutions which enhance the enjoyment of the RV lifestyle.
Our decentralized operating structure and independent operating subsidiaries foster an entrepreneurial spirit and an unending focus on the needs of the users of our products – resulting in our drive to lead the industry with innovation, product quality and customer service.
Our focus requires that we make decisions based on the long-term success of our Company:
• While we strive to lead the industry in market share, we will not strive for market share at the expense of quality.
• Growth is important, but this is a business of relationships and we realize that the key to long-term sustainable sales growth rests in the strength of our relationships with consumers, dealers and suppliers.
• Our relationship with shareholders is important, and we understand that profits are a key driver to our long-term success.
• The path to long run success is seldom straight, so our leaders manage in a way that moves us closer to our goals, even though it might impact our results in the short term.
THOR’s Strategic Vision
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Travel Trailers
Fifth Wheels
Specialty Trailers
THOR’s Product Range
Towable RV's
$2,650,253 82%
Motorized RV's
$591,542 18%
FY2013 Sales*
*Fiscal year ended July 31, 2013,
continuing operations
($ in thousands)
Class A
Class B & C
Towable RV Segment Products
Motorized RV Segment Products
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THOR RV Group
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Disciplined, Profitable Growth
• Profitable every year since 1980
• All time record $3.2 billion sales FY2013, up 23% from FY2012
• $2.6 billion sales in FY2012, up 13% from $2.3 billion sales in FY2011
• FY2013 net income from continuing operations of $151.7 million, up 36% from FY2012
• FY2013 EPS from continuing operations of $2.86, up 38% from $2.07 in FY2012, FY2013 EPS of $2.88, up 27% from $2.26 in FY2012
Sustainable Business Model
• Successfully weathered a severe downturn
• Increased capital investments position Thor for growth and margin improvement over the long term
Solid Balance Sheet
• Cash and cash equivalents of $204.9 million on January 31, 2014
• Operations historically generate significant cash
• Solid history of regular quarterly dividends, increased from $0.18 to $0.23 at the beginning of FY14
Why Invest in THOR
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Proven business model:
• Entrepreneurial and decentralized
• No ivory tower: approximately 8,300 employees, only 40 in corporate staff*
• Decision-making driven by the needs of the customer
• Big, but nimble
• Best management team in the business, as proven by sustained performance
An innovator in each of its business segments
Long-term RV market leadership:
• Best positioned in towable RVs, historically highest volume area
• #2 in Motorhomes, poised for continued growth
• Well positioned as a leading innovator in the RV market to meet the demands of dealers and consumers
Strong balance sheet to support growth and shareholder returns
What Makes THOR Different
* as of July 31, 2013 (continuing operations)
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Focus on assembly - not heavy manufacturing• Limited vertical integration – only where it makes sense• Flexibility – performance in any market condition• Low overhead costs• High return on assets employed
Strong market share in the primary RV categories – Travel Trailers, Fifth Wheels and Motorized
• Provides scale and purchasing power• Low cost, high volume producer – generates improved margin
Balance sheet supports acquisitions and organic growth
Meaningful, strategic capacity
Diversified lineup of innovative product offerings
Preferred partnership in retail/wholesale financing
Strength to pay warranty and honor repurchase agreements, important to dealers, lenders and consumers
THOR’s Competitive Advantages
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Market is still competitive, though improved from year ago
• Top three RV competitors account for 78.9% of industry units*
• “Flight to quality” – consumers, dealers, lenders all seek to do business with strong companies like Thor
Industry better balanced today for supply and demand
Pricing & promotional environment remains competitive, but improved over prior year
Consumer confidence has been stabilizing as final results were 81.6 in February 2014 up slightly from 81.2 in January, and up from 77.6 a year ago as consumers grew more upbeat about the economy, even in the face of continued concerns surrounding recent extreme winter weather**
Wholesale and Retail lenders are prudent - applying “healthy discipline”
RV buyers seek the “power of choice” – want variety in brands and models
RV Industry Conditions
*Source: Statistical Surveys, Inc., U.S. and Canada YTD December 2013
** Source: University of Michigan Final Consumer Sentiment Index for February 2014
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RV Market Wholesale Trends: Units (000’s)2
95
.8 33
9.6
44
1.1
41
3.9
38
9.9
19
9.2
10
6.9 13
3.6
14
0.6
19
6.6
21
5.7
18
6.9
18
9.9
211
.7
21
5.8
18
7.9
17
3.1
16
3.1 2
03
.4
22
7.8 25
9.5
24
7.2
24
7.5
25
4.5 2
92
.7 32
1.2
30
0.1
25
6.8
311
.0
32
0.8
37
0.1
38
4.4
39
0.5
35
3.5
23
7.0
16
5.6
24
2.3
25
2.4 28
5.7 3
21
.1
33
9.6
197
4
197
5
197
6
197
7
197
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9
198
0
198
1
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e)
Historical Data: Recreation Vehicle Industry Association, Calendar year 2014: RVIA
estimate as of Spring 2014
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RV Market Motorized Wholesale Trends: Units
(000’s)
68
.9
96
.6
15
6.1
16
0.2
15
7.2
64
.1
28
.5 35
.4 41
.2
69
.5
82
.0
68
.7
67
.7 73
.7
72
.8
61
.1
52
.3
41
.9 46
.9
51
.3 58
.2
52
.8
55
.3
55
.1 63
.5 71
.5
61
.0
49
.2 60
.4
62
.0 71
.7
61
.4
55
.8
55
.4
28
.4
13
.2 25
.2
24
.8
28
.2 38
.3 43
.9
197
4
197
5
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6
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9
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0
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e)
Historical Data: Recreation Vehicle Industry Association, Calendar year 2014: RVIA
estimate as of Spring 2014
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RV Market Towable Wholesale Trends: Units
(000’s)
22
6.9
24
3.0
28
5.0
25
3.7
23
2.7
13
5.1
78
.4 98
.1
99
.4
12
7.1
13
3.7
11
8.1
12
2.1
13
7.9
14
2.9
12
6.7
12
0.8
12
1.1 1
56
.5
17
6.5 20
1.3
19
4.3
19
2.2
19
9.5 2
29
.1 24
9.6
23
9.1
20
7.6
25
0.6
25
8.9
29
8.3 32
3.0
33
4.5
29
8.1
20
8.6
15
2.4
21
7.1
22
7.4 2
57
.6 28
2.8
29
5.7
197
4
197
5
197
6
197
7
197
8
197
9
198
0
198
1
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Historical Data: Recreation Vehicle Industry Association, Calendar year 2014: RVIA
estimate as of Spring 2014
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Dealers
• Continued optimism
• Right-sized towable inventory
• Lean motorized inventory
• Access to wholesale credit
• Financial health
RV: State of Balance
RV 2014 2013 % change
Towables $501.9 $375.4 +33.7%
Motorized $343.3 $241.2 +42.3%
TOTAL $845.2 $616.6 +37.1%
Backlog: January 31 ($ millions)
Consumers
• Better access to retail credit
• Historically low interest rates
• Great demographic trends
• Renewed focus on family vacations
• Will shorten trips to reduce fuel usage
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THOR RV Dealer Inventory
Total Dealer inventory remains appropriate for current conditions,
towable inventory is stable, motorized inventory is somewhat light.
Dealer inventory at January 31, 2014 down 1.7% compared with
January 31, 2013, roughly in line with 2.7% RV sales growth in the
first six months of fiscal 2014.
Lenders still comfortable with current dealer inventory turns and
current credit line utilization, year-over-year turns have increased
resulting in reduction in average age of Thor units on dealers’ lots.
2014 2013 % change
RV 60,149 61,209 -1.7%
Dealer Inventory: January 31 (units)
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Retail demand has driven rebound in towables, rebound in motorized continuing
Wholesale & Retail units should be fairly balanced going forward
The RV Market Ahead
* Statistical Surveys, inc., includes US and Canada. 2010, 2011, 2012 & 2013 Full Year Actual ** RVIA wholesale
shipments for full years 2010, 2011, 2012 & 2013
Calendar Year
2010 2011 2012 2013
Industry Retail
Registrations*
226,776 units
(+10.6%)
246,180 units
(+8.6%)
262,805 units
(+6.8%)
301,399 units
(+14.7%)
Industry
Wholesale
Shipments**
242,300 units
(+46.2%)
252,407 units
(+4.1%)
285,749 units
(+13.2%)
321,127 units
(+12.4%)
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On October 31, 2013 Thor acquired the net assets of specialty trailer manufacturer Bison Coach based in Milford, Indiana for $16.7 million in cash, subject to post-closing adjustments, which is expected to be finalized in the third quarter of fiscal 2014.
Bison’s products include an innovative line of equine trailers with Living Quarters (LQ), constructed of light-weight aluminum and aluminum over steel construction.
Bison is a leader in equine LQ trailers, and they are one of only two competitors that construct their own living quarters, an area where Thor can leverage its RV expertise.
Acquisition of Bison Coach
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On August 30, 2013 Thor acquired the net assets of innovative RV manufacturer Livin’ Lite based in Wakarusa, Indiana for aggregate cash consideration of $16.8 million
Livin’ Lite’s products are complementary to existing product lines, with light-weight aluminum construction targeting a niche market within the overall Towable RV market
Livin’ Lite also provides an entry into two markets that Thor subsidiaries have not participated in – folding camping trailers and truck campers
Lightweight products are typically sold at a modest premium compared to traditional products, with opportunities for growth through licensing agreements with Jeep and others
Acquisition of Livin’ Lite
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Thor’s management team developed a three-year strategic plan focused on growth and margin improvement
The Strategic Plan was developed using a bottoms-up approach involving each of the Company’s operating subsidiaries and management teams
Key elements of growth include product innovation and capacity expansion – targeting mid- to high-single-digit growth
Key elements of margin expansion include improved product quality, value added content and features, and volume leverage – targeting 200 basis points of gross margin improvement over the forecast period
Currently in the process of reviewing the strategic plan and expect to provide an update later in fiscal 2014
Three-Year Strategic Plan
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Strong sales growth in motorized offset by lower towable sales resulting in a small decrease in sales from continuing operations of $635.3 million. Sales from continuing operations for the first six months were $1.44 billion, up 2.7% from $1.40 billion in the first six months of 2013.
Net income from continuing operations for the second quarter was $17.2 million, down 9% from $19.0 million in the prior-year first quarter. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) from continuing operations for the second quarter was $0.32, down 11% from $0.36 in the second quarter last year.
Including discontinued operations from the former Bus business, net income was $16.2 million, down 19% from $19.9 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2013. Diluted EPS including discontinued operations was $0.30, down from $0.37 in the second quarter last year.
Towable RV sales for the quarter were $472.5 million, down 9.6% from $522.8 million in the prior-year period. Income before tax was $18.9 million, down 21.5% from $24.1 million in the second quarter last year. Towable RV income before tax decreased to 4.0% of revenues from 4.6% a year ago, largely as a result of the lower sales and increased costs associated with severe winter weather experienced during the quarter.
Motorized RV sales were $162.9 million, up 43.1% from $113.8 million in the prior-year second quarter. Income before tax was $11.2 million, up 62.6% from $6.9 million last year. As a percent of revenues, motorized RV income before tax rose to 6.9% of revenues from 6.1% a year ago, driven by improved volumes and enhanced operating efficiencies.
Total RV backlog increased 37.1% to $845.2 million. Towable backlog increased 33.7% to $501.9 million while motorized backlog increased 42.3% to $343.3 million. Backlog driven by strong industry growth and market acceptance of new products.
Comments on 2nd Quarter 2014 Results
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Profitable every year since inception
Successfully weathered a severe downturn in 2008-09
Increased capital investments position Thor for growth and margin improvement over the long term
#1 overall RV market share in North America*
Rock-solid balance sheet. Significant cash on hand and historic cash generation
Diversified and innovative products
Strong consumer, dealer and lender relationships
Experienced team
THOR - Key Takeaways
* Statistical Surveys, Inc., YTD U.S. and Canada units YTD December 2013
Appendix: Financial & Market Data
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No golden parachutes
No ‘pro forma’ earnings. We report net income, not adjusted earnings to cover up performance
Consistent focus on shareholder value
Simple compensation philosophy:
• Mainly cash compensation, without a cap, based on pre-tax income – a true pay for performance philosophy
• Shift focus from stock options to restricted stock units
Corporate Integrity
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THOR’s RV Competitive Advantage
Source: Statistical Surveys, Inc., U.S. and Canada
* Forest River includes Palomino, Coachmen, Prime Time, Shasta and Dynamax
** Fleetwood RV includes Monaco
U.S. and Canada Retail Registrations (units)
Total Share % Total Share % Total Share % Total Share %
THOR 103,785 34.4% 91,960 35.0% 85,636 34.8% 78,903 34.8%
Forest River* 99,822 33.1% 81,873 31.2% 74,035 30.1% 64,005 28.2%
Jayco 34,506 11.4% 30,914 11.8% 29,333 11.9% 25,785 11.4%
Winnebago 8,661 2.9% 7,053 2.7% 5,549 2.3% 5,808 2.6%
K-Z Inc. 7,791 2.6% 7,210 2.7% 6,778 2.8% 6,368 2.8%
Fleetwood RV** 6,035 2.0% 5,839 2.2% 6,168 2.5% 6,913 3.0%
Subtotal 260,600 86.5% 224,849 85.6% 207,499 84.3% 187,782 82.8%
All Others 40,799 13.5% 37,956 14.4% 38,681 15.7% 38,994 17.2%
Grand Total 301,399 100.0% 262,805 100.0% 246,180 100.0% 226,776 100.0%
Y/E 12/31/13 Y/E 12/31/12 Y/E 12/31/11 Y/E 12/31/10
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Sales, continuing operations ($ millions)Fiscal years ended July 31, Year-to-Date through January 31
$1,115
$1,849
$2,340
$2,640
$3,242
$1,398 $1,435
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 YTD 2014 YTD
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Net Income, continuing operations ($ millions)Fiscal years ended July 31, Year-to-Date through January 31
$2.5
$91.2 $91.6
$111.4
$151.7
$47.8 $53.6
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 YTD 2014 YTD
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Diluted EPS, Continuing OperationsFiscal years ended July 31, Year-to-Date through January 31
$0.04
$1.72 $1.66
$2.07
$2.86
$0.90 $1.01
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 YTD 2014 YTD
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2nd Quarter Financial Summary
2014 2013 % Change
Net Sales 635.3 636.6 -0.2%
Gross Profit 70.3 67.5 4.2%
% of Sales 11.1% 10.6%
SG&A 43.8 41.6 5.1%
% of Sales 6.9% 6.5%
All Other 2.6 1.4
Income Before Tax 23.9 24.5 -2.3%
% of Sales 3.8% 3.8%
Income Taxes 6.7 5.5
Net Income (cont. ops.) 17.2 19.0 -9.4%
Diluted EPS (cont. ops.) 0.32$ 0.36$ -11.1%
Order Backlog
Towables 501.9 375.4 33.7%
Motorized 343.3 241.2 42.3%
Total 845.2 616.6 37.1%
*Amounts in millions except per share data
Net Sales by segment:
• Towables -9.6%, motorized +43.1%
• Sales adversely affected by severe
cold and winter weather during the
quarter causing shipments to be
delayed
Income before tax by segment:
• Towables 4.0%, down from 4.6%
• Impacted by severe winter
weather
• Motorized 6.9%, up from 6.1%
• Volume leverage, improved
operating efficiency
• EPS from continuing operations of
$0.32 down from $0.36 in second
quarter of 2013
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0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
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1Q
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Quarterly Thor RV Unit Shipments
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Thor RV Retail Market Share: Units
• Source: Statistical Surveys Inc., U.S. and Canada
26.9%
32.9%
36.9% 36.5% 36.6% 35.8%
14.8%16.1%
17.8%19.5% 20.1%
23.3%
2.6%
6.7%
12.4%14.4%
15.8%
22.1%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Towable Retail Share* Class A/C Retail Share* Class B Retail Share*
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