thinkings about digital reading & microsoft

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Digital reading… and Microsoft?

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Thinking about Microsoft and digital reading business. Reasons why Microsoft should have a closer look at this fast growing market. (disclaimer: ppt created in early 2011)

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Page 2: Thinkings about Digital reading & Microsoft
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Digital book… and Microsoft

1. State of Art Music & Video 2. Digital readings market 3. How to become next leader4. Recommandations

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Except that… digital experience is

First, a « revolution » for cutomer

1. You can bring with you all music / videos you own2. Buy music / video you want when you want

3. Pay only what you really want

Same as physical experience (but don’t say it!)

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Music market in 2009

Video market in 2009

Not consistent trends• In the US: 10% decrease. Digital copies only 1,1% growth (43 % total) • In Europe: -4% total. Digital copies + 29,7 % (13% total). • 13 countries are growing their markets. Digital copies compensate physical copies market.

17B$ business (-7% VS 2008). Despite strong decrease in past years, digital copies are slowly replacing physical copies. From 0$ in 2003 to 4,3B$ in 2009 (25% total sales), 9% growth.

Digital marketFrom 2004-2009, + 940% VS -30% traditionnal industry. More than 400 music plateforms on Internet with 11M titles.

Innovative entertainment industry• New business models (Media, VOD, Online Video…). Free & paid content.• Differentiation via technologies (HD, 3D…) to limit digital business• Price war!

Strong decrease in last years, & digital copies is replacing physical copies.

Overall decrease but strong digital growth• Approx 90B$ among 5 categories • Box office is going up and forecast are good. • Retail is decreasing strongly from 40B$ to 34B$ within 7 years (-15%!)• Rental after going up is now decreasing, suffering from VOD / online video as well• VOD and Online video are getting momentum (from 1 to 11 B$ in 6 years!)

Itunes (23 countries) have 100M members and more than 10B downloads. Wall Mart, Best Buy, Amazon are here too.

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Learnings from digital Music & Video business

• Innovative business models• New leaders• New chain value

Forget Video & Music markets business rules

• Only way to postpone full Digital era (3D, HD…)

• And the best way to boost it (Optical network, infrastructure, devices…)

Technology is pro & cons

digital

4 years to get 15% marketshare

US and Europe are the key markets

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Digital Market Chain Value

ContentDevice

Software

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Device Software

To be the next digital reading leader, (re) build the digital value chain.

But does it worth it?

Content

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Books Comics Press

# slates

Opportunity in 2014

CA (trend)Digital %

Tablets will cannibalize netbooks, outselling netbooks starting in 2012. In 2015, 23% of all PCs sold to consumers in the US will be tablets. Approx 100 millions

a year. Slate IB/ebooks IB approx 300M users. (IDC 2010)

Leader Revenue Opportunity in 2014 with 30% market share

60B$

9B$

3B$

1B$

30B$

15B$

8,5B$/ year

Digital Readings = Next digital entertainment eldorado?

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Digital Readings = digital Music / Video?

Would readers love to: 1. Bring with them all books/ press they own? 2. Buy books/press you want when you want? 3. Pay only what you really want?

…YES

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Are you sure?

• Cultural– Old story (6th century)– Smell & touch fetichism– Pillar of education

• The content is the container • The Music, The Movie but

Readings

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Yes we are!

• Education will help digital reading adoption• Fetichism will shift from « smell & touch » to

« design »• Tech will break chains

of books container• Innovative way to sell &

buy books

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Mitigate

Remove

Mono usageNon portabilityGood enough hardware

Hardware Price Content priceReading = buying conceptBooks = competitor / Retailers= competitors

Reinforce

Create

Hardware capacity (storage, battery…) E-Books platform as dev platformreadings Diversity (from comics to press)Partnerships Press & Hardware

Books experience (« killer books »)Dev Tools to help publisher to create new books experienceNew business model with Ads Cloud Books

What we’ve learn from the market

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Blue Ocean

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Where we should go? Price

Experience

Hardware

500$150$ 150$<X<400$

Reading Reading + Video + Web New Reading + Video + Web

1 to 2 3 to 5 100+Business Models

Hardware Content License + Ads + Content

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Our Assets

8.6 Million Professional Developers

DEVELOPERS

600K Partners

PARTNERS

1.1 BillionPC Users

Worldwide

CUSTOMERS

60%+ of PC are running Silverlight

PLATEFORM

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What about the device? DeviceDefine technical requirements and work with OEM

Cloud by designRely on Azure, Build store, Sync experience

Microsoft digital reader

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What about the business? Content PlatformSynergies with Zune to get content

ContentBuild partnerships with Press groups AND retailers

Ads businessInclude Bing, AdCenter asap

Microsoft digital experience

Key question: revenue sharing (OEM, Content, Dev, Microsoft, Retailer)

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APPENDIX

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The top book retailers in the United States1. Barnes and Noble2. Borders3. Books-A-Million4. Wal-Mart5. Costco6. B. Dalton7. Waldenbooks8. Amazon.com9. Books and Co.10. Bookland