thecb 4/2003 progress toward participation and success goals of closing the gaps by 2015
TRANSCRIPT
THECB 4/2003
Progress Toward Progress Toward
Participation and Success Participation and Success
goals ofgoals of
Closing the Gaps by 2015Closing the Gaps by 2015
THECB 4/2003
Institutional targetsInstitutional targets
Performance systemPerformance system
System to Ensure Progress
THECB 4/2003
Updating ProgressUpdating Progress
January – ExcellenceJanuary – Excellence
April – Participation, Success and April – Participation, Success and ResearchResearch
July – Complete Progress ReportJuly – Complete Progress Report
October – Preliminary HeadcountOctober – Preliminary Headcount
THECB 4/2003
Progress Toward 2005 TargetsProgress Toward 2005 Targets
20012001 20022002
ParticipationParticipation
SuccessSuccess
THECB 4/2003
Participation 2000-2002 Participation 2000-2002 115,913 Increase115,913 Increase
0
100
200
300
400
500
2000 2005 2010 2015
Th
ou
san
ds Target Actual
115,913
THECB 4/2003
Gaps Between Texas
and Other States Participation Rate of Total Population - Fall 2001
4.0%
4.8%
4.9%
5.5%
6.0%
6.4%
7.2%
5.1%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%
Source: State web sites and U.S. Census Estimates
California
Florida
Illinois
New York
TEXAS
Ohio
Pennsylvania
New Jersey
THECB 4/2003
Participation RatesParticipation Rates
5.3%5.0%
5.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
1990 2000 2002
Total Population
THECB 4/2003
Gaps Within Texas Gaps Within Texas Public Higher EducationPublic Higher Education
8%9%
17%
9%
13%
17%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
Anglo Black Hispanic
1990 2002
15-to-34 Population
Note: Texas resident enrollment
THECB 4/2003
2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Participation by Race/EthnicityParticipation by Race/Ethnicity
6,730
6,62116,80736,340
42,565
66,266
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
White Hispanic Black Asian*
2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target
* Asians are not targeted in the plan.
THECB 4/2003
Hispanic Enrollment Hispanic Enrollment 2000 to 20052000 to 2005
200
240
280
320
360
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Th
ou
san
ds
2001 Rate To Reach 2005 Target 2002 Rate
THECB 4/2003
Change in Hispanic EnrollmentChange in Hispanic EnrollmentPublic Colleges and Universities
37%
17%
19%
3%
1% 1%
1%9%2%10%
North Harris (28%)
Dallas CCCD (48%)
Alamo CCD (18%)
South Texas CC (17%)
THECB 4/2003
Are we closing Participation gaps?Are we closing Participation gaps?
20012001 20022002
Total enrollmentTotal enrollment
Black enrollmentBlack enrollment
Hispanic enrollmentHispanic enrollment
White enrollmentWhite enrollment
THECB 4/2003
Where did the increase come from?Where did the increase come from?
EthnicityEthnicity Age Age RegionsRegions SectorSector Recent high school graduatesRecent high school graduates New students not from high schoolNew students not from high school Returning studentsReturning students Persisting studentsPersisting students
THECB 4/2003
Where was the increase Where was the increase from 2000 to 2002?from 2000 to 2002?
18%
26%
23%
6%
1% 5%
2%14%1%3%
North Harris (34%)
Dallas CCCD (33%)
Alamo CCD (22%)
THECB 4/2003
Which sectors increased the most Which sectors increased the most from 2000 to 2002?from 2000 to 2002?
36%
5%
58%
1%
Two-year colleges Two-year colleges enrolled 58% of the enrolled 58% of the increased number of increased number of students students
Health-Related
University
IndependentTwo-YearCollege
THECB 4/2003
Public Higher Education EnrollmentPublic Higher Education Enrollment
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Fall 2000 Fall 2001 Fall 2002
Th
ou
san
ds
876,430 923,389 986,545
THECB 4/2003
Public Higher Education Public Higher Education Replacement and GrowthReplacement and Growth
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Fall 2001 Fall 2002
Th
ou
san
ds
Persistence Replacement & Growth
923,389 986,545
433,246
THECB 4/2003
115,913 Student Increase 115,913 Student Increase by Ethnicityby Ethnicity
14%
31%
6%
12%
37%
White
Black
Hispanic
Asian
Other
THECB 4/2003
115,913 Student Increase115,913 Student Increaseby Sourceby Source
53%
4%
7%
24%7%
6%
Dual Enrolled
Independents
Persistence
Stop-OutReturning
1st TimeHigh School
1st Time Other
THECB 4/2003
How has this changed?How has this changed?
53%
4%7%
24% 7%
6%
34%24%
6%18%
12% 7%
Persistence ICUT Dual Enrollment
1st Time Other 1st Time HSStop-Out
1998-200045,381
2000-2002115,913
THECB 4/2003
99,54194,84992,51088,59286,962
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Recommended & Above Regular
High School Graduates Enrolling in Public Higher Education the Following Fall
(44.1%) (43.6%)(43.4%) (44.1%)
(44.2%)
Percent of GraduatingClass
THECB 4/2003
Success TargetsSuccess Targets
THECB 4/2003
Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Certificate Increase 2000-2002Certificate Increase 2000-2002
010203040506070
2000 2005 2010 2015
Th
ou
san
ds
Target Actual
8,583
THECB 4/2003
2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Bachelor’s, Associate’s, and CertificatesBachelor’s, Associate’s, and Certificates
513
175
1,308
2,725
2,188
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
White* Hispanic Black Asian*
2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target
* Not targeted in the Plan.
0
THECB 4/2003
2002 Progress Toward 2005: 2002 Progress Toward 2005: Success by LevelSuccess by Level
2,109
8,558
-90
4,022
261
305
-1,000
1,000
3,000
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
Bachelor's Associate's Doctoral
2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target
THECB 4/2003
Steady increase in baccalaureate Steady increase in baccalaureate graduation ratesgraduation rates
47.6%48.3%
47.5%
48.7%
47.1%47.3%
48.2%
49.2%49.6%
51.3%
52.6%
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
54%
THECB 4/2003
2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Success Success by Critical Fieldsby Critical Fields
4,954
6,006
1,348
-189
3,635583 45
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Technology Allied Health& Nursing
Teachers*
To Reach 2005 TargetNon Higher Ed2002 Progress
*Through all sources
THECB 4/2003
Teacher CertificationTeacher Certification
10,1788,143 9,118 9,290
2618
9201,471
3,408
2,660
2,5053,528
4,628
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1999 2000 2001 2002
Traditional Post-Bacc Experience Alternative
15,797
11,76314,378
17,652
THECB 4/2003
Are we closing Success gaps?Are we closing Success gaps?
20012001 20022002
Bachelor’s, Associate’s Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Certificateand Certificate
Bachelor’sBachelor’s
Associate’sAssociate’s
Doctoral Doctoral
THECB 4/2003
Are we closing Success gaps?Are we closing Success gaps?
20012001 20022002
Awards to Black studentsAwards to Black students
Awards to Hispanic Awards to Hispanic students students
Technical fieldsTechnical fields
Nursing & allied health Nursing & allied health fieldsfields
Certified teachersCertified teachers
THECB 4/2003
Increase by EthnicityIncrease by Ethnicity 2000 to 2002 2000 to 2002
25%
17%
36%8%
14%
White
Black
HispanicAsian
Other
THECB 4/2003
Where did the number of Where did the number of graduates increase?graduates increase?Public and Independent Institutions
18%
26%
26%
4%
2% 3%
4%15%1%1%
THECB 4/2003
Which institutions had the Which institutions had the largest increase?largest increase?
NumberNumber
Houston CC 469Houston CC 469
Texas A&M 459Texas A&M 459
Southwest TX 414Southwest TX 414
UNT 333UNT 333
UT Dallas 323UT Dallas 323
PercentagePercentage
Northwest Vista 361%Northwest Vista 361%
North Central TX 94%North Central TX 94%
Southwest Col Inst 82%Southwest Col Inst 82%
Mountain View 75%Mountain View 75%
Eastfield CC 47%Eastfield CC 47%
THECB 4/2003
24%
29%
30%
12%
2% 11%
-1%-2%-3%-2%
Where did the number of Where did the number of associate’s increases?associate’s increases?
THECB 4/2003
Which two-year institution had the Which two-year institution had the largest increase in awards?largest increase in awards?
NumberNumber
North Central TX 284North Central TX 284
Houston CC 259Houston CC 259
Richland CC 244Richland CC 244
South Texas CC 218South Texas CC 218
Eastfield CC 211Eastfield CC 211
PercentagePercentage
Northwest Vista 400%Northwest Vista 400%
Mountain View 265%Mountain View 265%
Eastfield CC 201%Eastfield CC 201%
Southwest Col Inst 200%Southwest Col Inst 200%
Richland CC 146%Richland CC 146%
THECB 4/2003
Where did the number of Where did the number of bachelor’s increase?bachelor’s increase?
22%
16%
17%
8%
2%1%
4%28%4%0%
THECB 4/2003
Which institutions had the largest Which institutions had the largest increase in bachelor’s degrees?increase in bachelor’s degrees?
NumberNumber
UNT 474UNT 474
Southwest TX 399Southwest TX 399
Univ of Houston 272Univ of Houston 272
UT Pan American 257UT Pan American 257
Texas A&M 250Texas A&M 250
PercentagePercentage
UH – Victoria 38%UH – Victoria 38%
UT Brownsville 30%UT Brownsville 30%
UT at Permian Basin 25%UT at Permian Basin 25%
UT Pan American 19%UT Pan American 19%
Texas A&M International 19%Texas A&M International 19%
THECB 4/2003
SummarySummary
Largest growth over a 2-year period in history of Largest growth over a 2-year period in history of Texas higher educationTexas higher education
High school-to-college rate is essentially flatHigh school-to-college rate is essentially flat
Student persistence has improved and accounts Student persistence has improved and accounts for over half of the enrollment increasefor over half of the enrollment increase
Benefit of increased persistence is reflected in a Benefit of increased persistence is reflected in a larger number of graduateslarger number of graduates
THECB 4/2003
Blue Page QuestionsBlue Page Questions Are all regions increasing?Are all regions increasing?
Yes, but not at the same rateYes, but not at the same rate
How many of the new students are returning to How many of the new students are returning to college?college? About 24% of the increase About 24% of the increase
Are graduates older or younger than earlier Are graduates older or younger than earlier years?years? About the same About the same
Are more economically disadvantaged students Are more economically disadvantaged students attending? attending?
THECB 4/2003
Progress Toward 2005 TargetsProgress Toward 2005 Targets
20012001 20022002
ParticipationParticipation
SuccessSuccess
THECB 4/2003
Next StepsNext Steps Study economically disadvantaged student enrollment Study economically disadvantaged student enrollment
in higher educationin higher education Study different characteristics on student enrollment Study different characteristics on student enrollment
and persistence and persistence – Grants, loansGrants, loans
– Full-time, part-timeFull-time, part-time
– Directly from high schoolDirectly from high school
– Effect of dual enrollment on persistenceEffect of dual enrollment on persistence
Help the Participation and Success Division with their Help the Participation and Success Division with their effortsefforts
Distribute analysis to enrollment managers, institutions, Distribute analysis to enrollment managers, institutions, governing boards, and legislatorsgoverning boards, and legislators
THECB 4/2003
Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index Increase in the number of students at public Increase in the number of students at public
colleges and universities from fall 2001 to fall colleges and universities from fall 2001 to fall 2002. 2002. 65,70365,703
Number of students enrolled fall 2002 who were Number of students enrolled fall 2002 who were not enrolled fall 2001.not enrolled fall 2001. 221,489 not including 1221,489 not including 1stst time entering students time entering students
The community college district awarding the The community college district awarding the largest number of certificates in FY 2002.largest number of certificates in FY 2002. Houston Community CollegeHouston Community College
THECB 4/2003
Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index The region with the largest increase in The region with the largest increase in
certificates and degrees from 2001 to 2002.certificates and degrees from 2001 to 2002. Metroplex 2,216Metroplex 2,216
The number of independent school districts that The number of independent school districts that had no 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas public had no 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas public university in 2001. university in 2001. 2828
The number of those districts that did have 2000 The number of those districts that did have 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas community college. graduates enroll in a Texas community college. 1919
THECB 4/2003
Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index The number of students in Texas public colleges and The number of students in Texas public colleges and
universities in fall 2002 who were over 65universities in fall 2002 who were over 65. . 2,4232,423
The number of students in Texas public community The number of students in Texas public community colleges in fall 2002 who were over 65.colleges in fall 2002 who were over 65. 2,1432,143
The number of students in Texas public colleges and The number of students in Texas public colleges and universities in fall 2002 who were under 18. universities in fall 2002 who were under 18. 48,54548,545
The number of students in Texas public community The number of students in Texas public community colleges in fall 2002 who were under 18. colleges in fall 2002 who were under 18. 43,31543,315
THECB 4/2003
Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index
Who awards the most special professional degrees to Black students?
Texas Southern University 178
The second most?
University of Houston 23
Which region had the largest gain in high school Which region had the largest gain in high school students continuing into public higher education?students continuing into public higher education?
Upper Rio Grande 12.8% or 439 studentsUpper Rio Grande 12.8% or 439 students