the world in 2009 - tt · the world in 2009: 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 ... in 2009, ... the itu idi...

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ITU-D A decade of ICT growth driven by mobile technologies THE WORLD IN 2009: 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 09* 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 per 100 inhabitants 7.1 67.0 25.9 17.8 9.5 Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions Internet users Fixed telephone lines Mobile broadband subscriptions Fixed broadband subscribers Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database. * Estimates. Mobile cellular has been the most rapidly adopted technology in history. Today it is the most popular and widespread personal technology on the planet, with an estimated 4.6 billion subscriptions globally by the end of 2009 Mobile broadband subscriptions overtook fixed broadband subscribers in 2008, highlighting the huge potential for the mobile Internet In 2009, more than a quarter of the world’s population are using the Internet An estimated 4.6 bn subscriptions globally by the end of 2009

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ITU-D

A decade of ICT growth driven by mobile technologies

THE WORLD IN 2009:

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

‘09*‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08

per

10

0 in

hab

itan

ts

7.1

67.0

25.9

17.8

9.5

Mobile cellular telephone subscriptions

Internet users

Fixed telephone lines

Mobile broadband subscriptions

Fixed broadband subscribers

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

* Estimates.

Mobile cellular has been the most rapidly adopted technology in history.

Today it is the most popular and widespread personal technology on the

planet, with an estimated 4.6 billion subscriptions globally by the end of 2009

Mobile broadband subscriptions overtook fi xed broadband subscribers in

2008, highlighting the huge potential for the mobile Internet

In 2009, more than a quarter of the world’s population are using the Internet

An estimated 4.6 bn

subscriptions globally

by the end of 2009

ITU-D

In 2009, over a quarter of the world’s

population – or 1.9 billion people –

have access to a computer at home

1.5

1

0.5

0

100

80

60

40

20

0

Bill

ion

s o

f h

ou

seh

old

s (

Bn

)

1.7 Bn

1.3 Bn

0.6 Bn

77.2 %

34.3 %

Total

households

Households

with a TV

Households

with a PC

%

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

Note: Estimates.

Whereas three quarters of house-

holds globally have a TV, one third has

a computer. With prices in continuous

decline, and ongoing convergence of

devices, the gap is likely to narrow

quickly

6

4

2

0

100

80

60

40

20

0

Bill

ion

s o

f p

eo

ple

(B

n)

6.9 Bn

4.9 Bn

1.9 Bn

70.8 %

27.3 %

Total

population

People with

access to a

TV at home

People with

access to a

PC at home

%

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

Note: Estimates.

ICTs at home

ITU-D

The rise of mobile broadband...

...but not everywhere

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*

CIS

Africa

Arab States

The Americas

Asia & Pacifi c

Europe

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

Note: The regions refer to the 191 ITU Member States.

* Estimates.

Asia and the Pacifi c and Europe have the greatest numbers of mobile broadband

subscriptions

There is a dramatic broadband divide, with very few fi xed broadband subscribers

or mobile broadband subscriptions in Africa

There are substantial differences within regions. The US accounts for 82.6% of mobile

broadband in the Americas. In Asia and the Pacifi c, Japan and the Republic of Korea

account for 70%

Millions

ITU-D

Catching upDeveloping countries only 10 years behind Sweden*

Source: ITU and SICENTER, based on ITU and UNICEF data.

Note: The time distance model measures the number of years a country (or region) lags behind other countries (or regions) in terms of

development benchmarks, such as mobile cellular penetration and infant mortality.

* Sweden was chosen as a benchmark as it ranked fi rst in ITU’s ICT Development Index.

In 2008, mobile phone penetration in developing countries had reached that of

Sweden under ten years earlier; for infant mortality, the rate in developing countries in

2007 was at the level where Sweden was 72 years earlier

Even the country furthest behind (Myanmar) in terms of mobile cellular penetration

is where Sweden was just 24 years earlier. By comparison, the GDP per capita lag

for most of the Least Developed Countries (LDCs), compared to Sweden, is over

160 years

Developed countries

Developing countries

Developed countries

Developing countries

2.3

9.4

12.0

72.0

Sweden: 2008 benchmark for mobile phones, 2007 benchmark for infant mortality

In 2008, mobile phone penetration for developed countries was at a levelwhere Sweden was 2.3 years earlier

In 2008, mobile phone penetration for developed countries was at a levelwhere Sweden was 9.4 years earlier

In 2007, infant mortality rate for developed countries was at a levelwhere Sweden was 12 years earlier

In 2007, infant mortality rate for developing countries was at a level where Sweden was 72 years earlier

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Mobile cellular penetration

Infant mortality

Years

ITU-D

0 - 2.42.5 - 9.910.0 - 19.920.0 - 25.0>25No data

The global broadband divide

Fixed broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, 2008

Over the past 5 years, the total number of fi xed broadband subscribers has grown

more than threefold, from about 150 million in 2004, to almost 500 million by the end

of 2009

In Africa, there is only one fi xed broadband subscriber for every 1’000 people, while in

Europe there are 200 subscribers for 1’000 people

In 2008, China overtook the US as the largest fi xed broadband market in the world.

At the end of 2008, China’s fi xed broadband penetration was 6.2 subscribers per 100

inhabitants, the highest of any low or lower-middle-income economy in Asia and the

Pacifi c

Denominations and classifi cations employed in these maps do not imply any opinion on the part of

the ITU concerning the legal or other status of any territory or any endorsement or acceptance of any

boundary.

ITU-D

How much are we paying?ICT Price Basket 2008 ICT Prrice Basket 2008

%

45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

In Africa, the cost

of the ICT Price

Basket represents

41 per cent of the

region’s monthly

average income

In Europe, where

income levels are

highest, relative prices

for telecom services

are lowest

ICT Price Basket Value

Monthly GNI per capita (US$)

2’500

2’000

1’500

1’000

500

0

Gro

ss N

ati

on

al

Inc

om

e (

GN

I) p

er

ca

pit

a (

US

$)

Africa Asia & Pacific Arab States CIS Americas Europe

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

PP

P $

20.5

17.816.8 17.1

27.6

289

Developed

Developing

Fixedline

Mobilecellular

Fixedbroadband

Source: ITU, www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/publications/idi/2009/index.html

Note: The ITU’s ICT Price Basket shows how much countries are paying for telecommunication services, relative to income levels. It is

composed of three sub-baskets: fi xed telephone, mobile cellular and fi xed broadband Internet tariffs. The ICT Price Basket is computed as

the sum of these three tariffs, as a percentage of monthly Gross National Income per capita.

The price for fi xed broadband access remains prohibitively high in most

developing countries, effectively limiting access to the Information Society

The relative price for ICT services is highest in Africa, the region

with the lowest income levels

ITU-D

US$

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20

Telco investment percapita

Country rank inthe “Ease ofdoing business”indicator

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicator Database and World Bank Doing Business (www.doingbusiness.org ).

Note: Telecom investment data for 2007 or 2006, as available.

0

A relatively better performance in the “Ease of doing business” country rankings

is associated with higher levels of telecom investment per capita

Who ranks where in ITU’s latest ICT Development Index (IDI)? Top five economies within each region

While Russia ranks 50th, globally, it is fi rst within the CIS region

Source: The ITU IDI is a composite index based on 11 indicators. The Index, which captures the level of advancement of ICTs in more than

150 countries worldwide and compares progress made between 2002 and 2007, was published in the 2009 Measuring the Information Society Report.

Better business conditions facilitate telecoms investment

Region with the highest

IDI scores

Region with the lowest

IDI scores

Regional IDI Rank Europe Asia&Pacific Global

IDI Rank Americas Global IDI Rank Arab States Global

IDI Rank CIS Global IDI Rank Africa Global

IDI Rank

1 1nd Korea (Rep.) 2 United States 17 UAE 32 Russia 50 Seychelles 57

2 Denmark 3Hong Kong,

China 11 Canada 19 Bahrain 42 Ukraine 51 Mauritius 62

3 Netherlands 4 Japan 12 Argentina 47 Qatar 44 Belarus 54 South Africa 87

4 Iceland 5 Australia 14 Chile 48 Saudi Arabia 55 Moldova 68 Cape Verde 105

5 Norway 6 Singapore 15 Uruguay 49 Kuwait 57 Kazakhstan 69 Gabon 107

Sweden1 1

GlobalIDI Rank

ITU-D

Market Information and Statistics Division

Telecommunication Development Bureau

International Telecommunication Union

www.itu.int/ict

For more information:

[email protected]