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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: 59665-CO PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$350 MILLION TO THE REPUBLIC OF COLOMBIA FOR THE SUPPORT TO THE NATIONAL URBAN TRANSIT PROGRAM PROJECT June 20, 2011 Sustainable Development Department Colombia and Mexico Country Management Unit Latin America and the Caribbean Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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  • Document of

    The World Bank

    FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

    Report No: 59665-CO

    PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

    ON A

    PROPOSED LOAN

    IN THE AMOUNT OF

    US$350 MILLION

    TO THE

    REPUBLIC OF COLOMBIA

    FOR THE

    SUPPORT TO THE NATIONAL URBAN TRANSIT PROGRAM PROJECT

    June 20, 2011

    Sustainable Development Department

    Colombia and Mexico Country Management Unit

    Latin America and the Caribbean Region

    This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the

    performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World

    Bank authorization.

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  • CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

    (Exchange Rate Effective May 31, 2011)

    Currency Unit = Colombian Peso (CO$)

    CO$1,825.69 = US$1

    US$0.0005477 = CO$

    FISCAL YEAR

    January 1 – December 31

    ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

    BRTS Bus Rapid Transit System

    CAF The Andean Development Corporation (Corporación Andina de

    Fomento)

    CGN General Accounting Office (Contraduria General de la Nación)

    CGR General Comptrollers Office (Contraloria General de la

    Republica)

    CPS Country Partnership Strategy

    CONFIS National Fiscal Council (Consejo Superior de Política Fiscal)

    CONPES National Economic and Social Council (Consejo Nacional de

    Política Económica y Social)

    DNP

    EMF

    National Planning Department (Departamento Nacional de

    Planeación)

    Environmental Management Framework

    EMP Environmental Management Plan

    FM Financial Management

    GHG Greenhouse gas

    GoC Government of the Republic of Colombia

    IADB Inter-American Development Bank

    IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

    ICB International Competitive Bidding

    IGAC Agustin Codazzi Geographic Institute (Instituto Geográfico

    Agustin Codazzi)

    IMTS Integrated Mass Transit System

    IRR Internal Rates of Return

    ISR

    ITS

    Implementation Status and Results Report

    Intelligent Transportation Systems

    MHCP Ministry of Finance & Public Credit (Ministerio de Hacienda y

    Crédito Público)

    MOT Ministry of Transport (Ministerio de Transporte)

    NPV Net Present Value

    NQS North Quito South Line of the Bogotá Transmilenio S.A

    (Corredor Norte Quito Sur de Bogotá Transmilenio S.A)

    NUTP

    ORAF

    National Urban Transit Program

    Operations Risk Assessment Framework

    PAD Project Appraisal Document

    PCU Project Coordination Unit

  • PDO Project Development Objective

    RAP Resettlement Action Plan

    RPF

    SIL

    STPS

    Resettlement Policy Framework

    Specific Investment Loan

    Strategic Public Transit Systems

    Regional Vice President: Pamela Cox

    Country Director: Gloria M. Grandolini

    Sector Director:

    Sector Manager:

    Laura Tuck

    Aurelio Menéndez

    Task Team Leader:

    Co-Task Team Leader:

    Mauricio Cuellar

    Camila Rodríguez

  • Table of Contents I. Strategic Context ..................................................................................................................... 1

    A. Country Context ............................................................................................................... 1

    B. Sector Issues ..................................................................................................................... 3

    C. Institutional Context ......................................................................................................... 5

    D. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes .............................................. 7

    II. Project Development Objectives............................................................................................. 8

    A. PDO .................................................................................................................................. 8

    a) Project Beneficiaries ..................................................................................................... 8

    b) PDO Level Results Indicators ...................................................................................... 9

    III. Project Description............................................................................................................... 9

    A. Project Components ......................................................................................................... 9

    B. Project Financing............................................................................................................ 11

    a) Lending Instrument..................................................................................................... 11

    b) Project Financing Table .............................................................................................. 11

    c) Detailed Project Costs for IBRD Financing of Eligible Cities under the NUTP ........ 13

    C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design ................................................... 14

    IV. Implementation .................................................................................................................. 15

    A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements ............................................................ 15

    B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation ................................................................................ 16

    C. Sustainability .................................................................................................................. 17

    V. Key Risks .............................................................................................................................. 17

    VI. Appraisal Summary ........................................................................................................... 19

    A. Economic and Financial Analysis .................................................................................. 19

    B. Technical ........................................................................................................................ 20

    C. Financial Management ................................................................................................... 21

    D. Procurement ................................................................................................................... 21

    E. Social .............................................................................................................................. 22

    F. Environment ................................................................................................................... 25

    Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring.............................................................................. 28

    Annex 2: Detailed Project Description ......................................................................................... 35

    Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements ...................................................................................... 38

    Annex 4 Operational Risk Assessment Framework (ORAF) ....................................................... 55

    Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan ........................................................................................ 61

    Annex 6: Team Composition ........................................................................................................ 64

    Annex 7: Characterization of Public Transit Service Provision in Colombia .............................. 65

  • PAD DATA SHEET

    Colombia

    Support to the National Urban Transit Program (NUTP) Project

    PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

    Latin America and the Caribbean

    Transport Unit

    Date: June 20, 2011

    Country Director: Gloria M. Grandolini

    Sector Director: Laura Tuck

    Sector Manager: Aurelio Menéndez

    Team Leader(s): Mauricio Cuellar/Camila

    Rodríguez

    Project ID: P117947

    Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan

    (SIL)

    Sector(s): Transport

    Theme(s): Urban Transport (70%), Urban

    Renewal (30%)

    EA Category: B

    Project Financing Data:

    Proposed terms: IBRD flexible loan with a Fix-spread, repayment schedule linked to

    commitment, bullet repayment and all conversion options (Currency, Interest Rate, and

    Caps/Collars)

    [X] Loan [ ] Credit [ ] Grant [ ] Guarantee [ ] Other:

    Source Total Amount (US$M)

    Total Project Cost:

    Cofinancing:

    Total Bank Financing:

    IBRD

    407

    0

    350

    350

    Borrower: Republic of Colombia. Ministry of Finance and Public Credit.

    Responsible Agency: Ministry of Transport

    Contact Person: Felipe Targa, Deputy Minister of Transport

    Telephone No.: (57 1) 324-0800

    Fax No.: (57-1) 324-0800

    Email: [email protected]

    Estimated Disbursements (Bank FY/US$ m)

    FY 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Annual 60 80 80 80 30 20

    Cumulative 60 140 220 300 330 350

  • Project Implementation Period: August 31, 2011-November 30, 2016

    Expected effectiveness date: August 2011

    Expected closing date: November 30, 2016

    Does the project depart from the CAS in content or other significant

    respects?

    ○ Yes ● No

    If yes, please explain:

    Does the project require any exceptions from Bank policies?

    Have these been approved/ endorsed (as appropriate by Bank

    management?

    Is approval for any policy exception sought from the Board?

    ○ Yes ● No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ○ Yes ● No

    If yes, please explain:

    Does the project meet the Regional criteria for readiness for

    implementation?

    ● Yes ○ No

    If no, please explain:

    Project Development objective:

    The Project Development Objective is to enhance the efficiency, affordability, quality, safety,

    and environmental sustainability, of the provision of public transit services in the participating

    cities.

    Project description [one-sentence summary of each component]

    Component –Part A: Integrated Mass Transit Systems. This component entails the

    construction of Bus Rapid Transit systems in Bucaramanga, Cartagena, Medellin, and Pereira.

    Component-Part B: Strategic Public Transit Systems. This component entails the

    rehabilitation of the road network, travel demand management strategies and urban renewal in

    Valledupar and Sincelejo.

    Safeguard policies triggered?

    Environmental Assessment (OP/BP 4.01)

    Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04)

    Forests (OP/BP 4.36)

    Pest Management (OP 4.09)

    Physical Cultural Resources (OP/BP 4.11)

    Indigenous Peoples (OP/BP 4.10)

    Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12)

    Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37)

    Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP 7.50)

    Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP 7.60)

    ● Yes ○ No

    ● Yes ○ No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ● Yes ○ No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ● Yes ○ No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ○ Yes ● No

    ○ Yes ● No

    Specific Conditions and Legal Covenants:

    Financing Agreement

    Reference

    Description of

    Condition/Covenant

    Date Due

  • Conditions of Effectiveness

    Article V.

    Section 5.01.(a)

    Each of the updated

    Subsidiary Agreements for the

    Large Participating Cities has

    been executed by the parties

    90 days after the date of the

    Agreement, but in no case

    later than 18 months after the

    Bank‘s approval

    Article V.

    Section 5.01.(b)

    The Operational Manual has

    been updated by the Borrower

    90 days after the date of the

    Agreement, but in no case

    later than 18 months after

    Bank‘s approval

    Article V.

    Section 5.01.(c)

    The additional FM staff

    referred to in Section I.A.3.1.

    (a) of Schedule 2 has been

    hired in a manner satisfactory

    to the Bank

    90 days after the date of the

    Agreement, but in no case

    later than 18 months after

    Bank‘s approval.

    Implementation

    Arrangement Covenants

    Schedule 2

    Section I.A.3(a) and (b)

    (a) The Borrower, through

    MOT, shall hire and thereafter

    maintain additional financial

    management staff acceptable

    to the Bank

    (b) The Borrower, through

    MOT, shall cause each of the

    Implementing Entities to be

    staffed with financial

    management staff acceptable

    to the Bank

    Throughout Project

    implementation

    Schedule 2

    Section I.B.1.

    The Borrower, though MHCP,

    MOT and DNP shall maintain

    a Subsidiary Agreement with

    each of the Participating Cities

    and the relevant Implementing

    Entity

    Throughout Project

    implementation

  • Schedule 2

    Section I.D.1.(c)

    The Borrower, through MOT,

    shall, and shall cause the

    Participating Entities and the

    Implementing Entities to,

    maintain and implement an

    EMF

    Throughout Project

    implementation

    Schedule 2

    Section I.D.2.(a) and (b)

    Prior to initiating the

    construction of any works

    under Part A.1. and/or Part

    B.1 of the Project, the

    Borrower, though MOT, shall

    provide evidence to the Bank

    demonstrating that

    (a) for those specific civil

    works impacting Affected

    Persons, the resettlement and

    rehabilitation of Affected

    Persons has taken place in

    accordance with the relevant

    RAP, RPF, the Operational

    Manual and this Agreement

    and

    (b) the Participating Cities and

    the Implementing Entities

    have developed and thereafter

    implemented for the purposes

    of each activity under Part A

    and/or Part B of the Project an

    EMP

    Throughout Project

    implementation

    Schedule 2

    Section I.D.4.

    The Borrower, through MOT,

    shall ensure, and shall cause

    the Participating Cities and the

    Implementing Entities to

    ensure, that the terms of

    reference for any

    consultancies related to

    studies, technical assistance or

    capacity building under Part

    A.3, Part B.1.(a) and Part B.3.

    of the Project shall be

    satisfactory to the Bank

    Throughout Project

    implementation

  • Disbursement Conditions

    Schedule 2

    Section IV.B.1. (c), (d), (e)

    and (f)

    Notwithstanding the

    provisions of Part A of this

    Section, no withdrawal shall

    be made: […] under categories

    (1), (2), (3) or (4) unless a

    Notice from the corresponding

    Implementing Entity to the

    corresponding Fiduciary

    Agent has been delivered

    informing the Fiduciary Agent

    of the existence of the Anti-

    corruption Guidelines

    Before disbursing under any

    of the following Categories:

    (1)-(Bucaramanga), (2)-

    (Cartagena), (3)-(Medellin)

    and/or (4)-(Pereira) (Large

    Participating Cities).

    Schedule 2

    Section IV.B.1(g) and (h)

    Notwithstanding the

    provisions of Part A of this

    Section, no withdrawal shall

    be made: […] under

    categories (5) or (6) unless: (i)

    the respective Subsidiary

    Agreement has been updated

    and signed; (ii) a Notice to the

    corresponding Fiduciary

    Agent regarding the Anti-

    Corruption Guidelines has

    been delivered; (iii) the

    Implementing Entity has

    fulfilled with specific

    conditions set forth in the

    Agreement; (iv) the EMP and

    RAP have been approved by

    the Bank; and (v) the

    Procurement Plan has been

    approved by the Bank.

    Before disbursing under any

    of the following Categories:

    (5)-(Sincelejo) and/or (6)-

    (Valledupar) (Medium

    Participating Cities)

  • 1

    I. Strategic Context

    A. Country Context

    Political Context

    1. A new Government was inaugurated in August 2010 with a strong political mandate that gave its ―national unity‖ coalition an 80 percent majority in Congress. The new President won

    the second round of the Presidential poll by more than 70 percent of the vote against a former

    mayor of Bogotá. The new Government campaigned on a continuation of the former President‘s

    democratic security and economic policies. The elections demonstrated the maturity of

    Colombia‘s democratic process and reflected a strengthening of political institutions. The

    country has undergone a transformation since 2002, striving to move away from internal

    violence, drug trafficking, and weak institutions that has plagued the country for many years.

    Today, Colombia has a resurgent economy with promising prospects. It is a safer, more stable

    country that is more popular with foreign investors, and it aspires to join the OECD group of

    countries.

    2. The new Government registered several significant achievements early in its first term. This includes the restoration of diplomatic and trade relationships with Venezuela, which had

    been broken off shortly before the second round of the presidential elections in July 2010.

    Relationships were also fully normalized with Ecuador. Finally, an agreement reached with the

    United States increases the likelihood that the bilateral Free Trade Agreement, which was

    negotiated in 2008, will eventually be implemented. Overall, these positive developments have

    helped boost the popularity ratings of the new President and strengthened the national unity

    coalition.

    3. The new Government has launched a very ambitious reform program. To consolidate the fiscal stance and manage windfalls from commodities production, the Government has presented

    to Congress a new fiscal rule, a reform of the royalties system, and a proposal to make fiscal

    sustainability a Constitutional right. Tax exemptions have been reduced, loopholes closed, and

    import tariffs lowered in an effort to enhance revenues and promote competitiveness. Legislation

    has been passed to reduce informality and encourage youth employment. A new legal framework

    is being introduced to improve the performance of the health system, including the enactment of

    an ordinary Health Law in 2011. And, a Victims Law (Ley de Victimas), pending the new

    President‘s approval, will compensate victims who have been harmed by actions as a result of

    conflict.

    4. Municipal and regional elections are scheduled for October 2011, and the next legislative and presidential elections are set for March and May 2014, respectively. The outcome of the

    municipal and regional elections will help to gauge the support for the various coalition members

    as well as the opposition during 2011–2015.

  • 2

    Recent Economic Developments

    5. Colombia is an upper-middle income country whose economic performance is typical of the major economies in Latin America. The economy is well endowed with natural resources,

    including oil, coal, gas, iron, and gold. The domestic market is sizeable, making it important for

    aggregate demand growth. Agribusiness (particularly coffee) and manufacturing (e.g., the car

    industry) are also relatively well developed. Improved security combined with business-friendly

    investment rules has led to a surge in foreign direct investment, particularly in the oil and mining

    sector.

    6. Following a longer period of broad-based economic growth, the economy was not affected too severely by the global economic crisis. Between 2002 and 2007, GDP growth

    averaged 5.0 percent per year on account of an improving security situation and a favorable

    external environment. The economy slowed down in 2008 to a growth rate of 3.5 percent, as

    economic policies were tightened to address overheating. The country‘s strong macroeconomic

    framework and the resilience of the financial sector helped cushion the impact of the global

    economic crisis. Monetary policy responded swiftly as the policy rate was lowered from 10 to 3

    percent. Fiscal policy also contributed to support aggregate demand. Countercyclical policies

    were combined with a flexible exchange rate regime, which acted as a shock absorber to counter

    the deceleration in external demand. By 2010, the economy had largely recovered from the

    slowdown, although a collapse in exports to Venezuela has held back some economic expansion.

    The GDP growth increased by 4.3 percent in 2010 compared with 1.5 percent in 2009.

    7. As the recovery phase consolidates, Colombia is facing economic policy dilemmas similar to those experienced by other Latin American countries.1 On the one hand, the authorities

    face the challenge of keeping inflation expectations anchored in the face of higher economic

    activity and rising inflation. On the other hand, international capital flows are exerting

    appreciation pressures on the Colombian Peso and could also prompt credit booms and asset

    price bubbles, which could in turn destabilize the financial sector.2 The monetary authorities

    increased the policy rate by 100 basis points during 2011, and this coincided with a slight decline

    in observed and expected inflation (despite higher global prices and a weather-related

    emergency.) The Government has taken a range of measures to smooth the exchange rate

    adjustment toward its long-term equilibrium value, including a program of reserve accumulation

    (with some sterilization), macro prudential measures, tariff and tax adjustments, as well as non-

    monetization of dollar proceeds.

    8. Colombia is experiencing some of the heaviest rainfall in recent history leading to widespread flooding and landslides. The heavy and prolonged rainfall that peaked in November

    and December 2010 (and which re-emerged in April 2011) is largely attributed to the

    meteorological phenomenon known as La Niña. Almost 3 million people, especially the poor,

    have been directly affected through loss of homes or being seriously deprived of access to most

    essential public services. Economic losses are expected to have exceeded 1 percent of GDP, but

    the weather shock has not derailed the economic recovery. The impact on food prices also

    1 See ―LAC Success Put to the Test‖ (World Bank, 2011) for a detailed discussion.

    2 The Colombian foreign currency bond credit rating was upgraded to investment grade for the first time since 1999

    by Standard and Poor‘s (in March 2011) and by Moody‘s (in May 2011). This upgrade gives Colombia access to a

    new class of investors and this may increase capital inflows further.

  • 3

    proved temporary. The fiscal cost of the disaster increased the Central Government deficit by 0.2

    and 0.4 percent of GDP in 2010 and 2011, respectively.

    B. Sector Issues

    9. Like most Latin American countries, Colombia has experienced high population increases in urban centers due to several economic and social factors. By the mid twentieth-

    century there was an especially sharp rise in both population growth and the rate of urbanization.

    Urban dwellers increased in search of employment and schooling opportunities as market forces

    drew labor to the cities from regions where the returns to labor were relatively lower. Higher

    standards of living and access to basic public services in rural areas relative to urban, also

    worked as catalysts for urban migration. Furthermore, the urbanization process in Colombia,

    unlike that of its peers, has been affected by several decades of armed conflict and violence,

    which occurred mostly in rural areas. Today, 75 percent of Colombians live in cities, compared

    to 60 percent in 1973. There are seven metropolitan areas with an estimated population of more

    than 600,000, and 22 cities with a population of more than 250,000.3

    10. Cities have long been the engines of Colombia‘s economic growth. More than 50 percent of Colombia‘s GDP growth in the last four decades can be attributed to the economic growth in

    the urban sector. Cities have also contributed to poverty reduction, and data on poverty rates at

    the department (departamento) level in Colombia show a negative relationship between poverty

    and urbanization.4 Hence, establishing a medium- to long-term vision of the role of cities in

    supporting Colombia‘s effort to develop from a middle to a higher income country is a policy

    priority for the country.

    11. Against this backdrop, public transport has been a long standing concern for planners and decision makers in Colombia. At the national and local levels, urban transport is regarded as a

    catalyst for higher productivity, greater access to economic opportunities, and social inclusion.

    Across urban transport modes, public transport plays a pivotal role in city efficiency. Although

    the country is undergoing a natural process of motorization5, the majority of the population –

    particularly those belonging to the middle and lower income groups – uses public transportation

    to access jobs, healthcare, education and culture. A transport system which is able to provide

    efficient, low-cost and safe mobility and accessibility for all inhabitants in the city is a powerful

    tool to promote growth, alleviate poverty, and achieve social cohesion, while at the same time

    improving environmental conditions and prompting public space improvements.

    12. Prior to the end of the 1990s, Colombia‘s public transportation was entirely characterized by an institutional arrangement that led to an oversupply of buses and low-quality service. In this

    traditional scheme, bus companies obtain route ―permits‖ from the local transit authority to

    3 Departamento Nacional de Estadística (DANE). Census 2005

    4 The World Bank (2011). Colombia Urbanization Review: Amplifying Gains from Urbanization. Concept Note.

    5 Colombia‘s vehicle fleet has nearly tripled in the last 15 years (1994-2009), increasing from 2 million to 5.9

    million vehicles. While current motorization rate (130 vehicles per 1,000 people) in Colombia is low compared to

    similar middle-income countries in the region, under conditions of sustained economic growth motorization will

    place higher strain on public space and roads.

  • 4

    provide transit services. In turn, bus companies own the routes granted to them by the city

    government but are not required to own the bus fleet. Individual investors own buses, and bus

    companies rent out to bus owners the right to operate a certain route. Responsibility for service

    provision, therefore, rests with the bus owners—and even the driver hired by the owner—and not

    the bus companies. The arrangement induces bus owners to compete in the streets against other

    buses, irrespective of demand patterns, as their revenue and the wage of the bus driver is directly

    proportional to the number of passengers carried. Bus companies also have the incentive to lure

    as many buses as possible to operate their routes. The incorporation of a number of buses beyond

    those required to serve the market has led to excessive competition, locally known as ―the penny

    war‖ (guerra del centavo) because drivers literally fight for each prospective passenger. The

    aforementioned scheme, coupled with a weak institutional, technical and regulatory framework,

    results is a pervasive oversupply of buses on the streets that increases congestion and reckless

    driving and reduces the quality of service.

    13. Colombia has taken important steps over the past decade to improve mobility and gradually replace the traditional public transit system. Initial efforts go back to 1998 when the

    city of Bogotá first embarked on a radical program to improve the quality of public transit

    services by implementing the Transmilenio Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system. In this system, a

    competitive bidding process is used to determine which bus operators will have the right to

    operate a route or a number of buses. Bus operators, in turn, need to own the bus fleet and

    operate it under close supervision from Transmilenio, which determines whether operators

    supply the scheduled service. On the infrastructure side, the system uses exclusive busways,

    high-capacity buses and other technologies to offer high-quality service (Refer to Annex 5).

    14. The Transmilenio experience served as a model for the roll-out of BRTs throughout Colombia‘s largest cities, and allowed the Government of Colombia (GoC) to outline a

    comprehensive and programmatic policy platform to address urban transport issues in

    Colombian cities. In nine of Colombia‘s largest cities (more than 600,000 inhabitants), BRTs are

    in the process of being implemented in the highest demand corridors, but the systems have yet to

    replace the traditional bus system. In twelve medium-sized cities (between 250,000 and 600,000

    inhabitants), interventions are being designed but include less infrastructure-intensive

    components and will not require the implementation of BRTs. These cities also face a

    disorganized and traditional supply of public transport, but present a number of unique

    challenges compared to larger cities including prevalence of informal public transport (such as

    motorcycle taxis and vans), and different mobility patterns (greater number of non-motorized

    trips, and shorter trips relative to larger cities)6. Hence, urban transport interventions will include

    policy packages with more instruments on the supply and demand management side, including

    carefully planned fleet size and operations, incentives for the creation of transport operating

    companies, integrated fare collection systems, centralized fleet control systems, control and

    optimization of traffic management. Reforms also target city-center urban renewal, public space

    upgrading and one-stop shops for municipal services7, in order to promote these cities as

    economic growth centers of their respective regions.

    6 In cities like Sincelejo and Valledupar, non-motorized trips represent more than 30 percent of the modal split.

    7 The one-stop shop for municipal services is termed CAMIS (Centros de Atención Municipales de Información y

    Servicio).

  • 5

    C. Institutional Context

    15. To leverage the success of Bogotá‘s Trasmilenio, in 2002 the GoC adopted the National Urban Transit Program

    8 (NUTP) as a national policy to provide competitive, efficient,

    affordable, safe, and environmentally sustainable mobility options for the urban population. The

    NUTP calls for the implementation of BRTs or Integrated Mass Transit Systems (IMTS) in large

    cities (more than 600,000 inhabitants) and Strategic Public Transit Systems (SPTSs) in medium-

    sized cities (between 250,000 and 600,000 inhabitants). The goal of the NUTP is to support the

    implementation of these transit systems as a means to: (i) improve the efficiency and safety of

    public urban transport services; (ii) provide reliable transport accessibility for the poor; (iii)

    enhance private sector involvement in service provision; (iv) reduce air pollution and greenhouse

    gas (GHG) emissions; (v) foster comprehensive and sustainable urban development processes;

    and (vi) promote inter-municipal coordination within the metropolitan areas, interagency

    coordination within the cities, and knowledge sharing between the national and local

    governments.

    16. Under the NUTP, the GoC and cities participating in the program enter into a partnership whereby the GoC contributes up to 70 percent of the total sub-project costs in each city, and the

    city commits to finance the remainder of the sub-project.9 The financial contributions of the GoC

    and of the cities are allocated through a flow of earmarked yearly fiscal transfers (“vigencias

    futuras”) from the program‘s inception (2002) to 2017. The GoC and cities signed Subsidiary

    Agreements (Convenios de Cofinanciación) laying out the financial and technical commitments

    to carry out the program. Through this model, the GoC: (i) creates an incentive for cities to

    participate in the program by securing future budget support and eliminates the risk of a potential

    change in GoC or municipal policy; (ii) transfers program implementation to the participating

    cities, promoting local ownership and knowledge creation; and (iii) provides an incentive for

    participating cities to focus on sound and longer-term policy and related investments.

    17. The Bank‘s engagement with the GoC on urban transport dates back to the mid 1990s when the government was pursuing a series of regulatory reforms to promote private sector

    participation in infrastructure, and when the city of Bogotá was first embarking on the

    implementation of Transmilenio. The Bank has supported the NUTP since 2004 and its

    engagement in the field of urban transport has comprised the full range of Bank instruments,

    including: (i) knowledge services (analytical work, technical advisory); (ii) convening services;

    and (iii) financial services (Figure 1). This partnership has helped Colombia lead the way in

    urban transport issues and become internationally known for innovations in public transport,

    namely, the BRTs. The BRT scheme has been replicated in many cities because they are a cost-

    effective transport solution that can be implemented in relatively short time. Delegations from

    more than 20 countries, including China, India, Vietnam, South Africa, Kenya, Finland and the

    8 The NUTP is built on Law No. 86 passed in December, 1989. Two National Economic and Social Policy Council

    documents (CONPES No. 3167and No.3260) approved in 2002 and 2003 have established the policy and

    institutional framework for the NUTP. 9 Law No.310 passed in 1996 approves the co-financing arrangement between the Government and cities. On the

    other hand, cities main source of funding is the gasoline surtax, mostly paid by automobile users. Nonetheless some

    have tapped into property tax revenue and royalties to secure their project contributions.

  • 6

    United States have visited Colombia to learn about the NUTP program and how BRTs are being

    implemented in Colombian cities. Furthermore, there has been a significant South-South

    collaboration and level of knowledge transfer originating from the Colombian experience.

    Figure 1. World Bank Support for Urban Transport in Colombia

    18. As part of this portfolio of services, the Bank has supported the NUTP through three loans totaling US$757 million (Integrated Mass Transit System Project and two subsequent

    Additional Financings) aimed at financing the GoC‘s commitments to large cities for the

    construction and implementation of BRTs.10

    Although the NUTP targets nine large cities

    including Barranquilla, Bogotá, Bucaramanga, Cali, Cartagena, Cucuta, Medellin-Valle de

    Aburrá, Pereira and Soacha, the Bank has so far financed six out of the nine cities – Barranquilla,

    Bogotá, Bucaramanga, Cartagena, Medellin-Valle de Aburrá, and Pereira.11

    Currently Cali is

    being financed by the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB), and Cucuta has partnered

    with the Andean Development Corporation to implement the project. As the main focus of the

    interventions in large cities is the implementation of BRTs, to date five out of the nine cities have

    10

    The Bank has supported the IMTS project through three operations: the first IMTS Loan (Loan 7231-CO,

    P082466) was approved in June, 2004 for US$250 million, the second corresponds to the First Additional Loan

    (Loan 7457-CO, P101356) approved in June, 2007 for US$207 million, and the third corresponds to a Second

    Additional Loan (Loan 7739-CO, P114325) approved in August, 2009 for US$300 million. 11

    As the NUTP progressed, and new participating cities were incorporated, the program also began to target

    Metropolitan Areas (Areas Metropolitanas) comprising more than one city. As such, Soledad was also included to

    the project in Barranquilla, Floridablanca, Piedecuesta and Girón were incorporated to the NUTP along with

    Bucaramanga, in Medellin-Valle de Aburrá, Itagui and Envigado joined the NUTP, and lastly, in Pereira,

    Dosquebradas was also included in the NUTP.

    Go

    vern

    me

    nt

    Act

    ion

    s

    Ad

    viso

    ry/

    Co

    nve

    nin

    g Se

    rvic

    es

    Len

    din

    g

    Initial Engagement

    The Foundations

    (1996-2003)

    • National Urban Transit Program

    • National Economic and Social Policy Council Documents (CONPES) to Implement Bus Rapid Transit Systems (BRTs)

    • Technical Advisory to Transmilenio

    • Support to Transmilenio 's Annual Urban Transport Forums

    • Bogotá Urban Transport Project• Colombia Regulatory Reform Project • Bogotá Urban Services Project

    Strengthening Urban

    Transport Policies

    (2004-2010)

    • CONPES to Monitor Implementation of BRTs in Large Cities

    • Infrastruture Policy Note (Workshop)

    • Nat'l Communication Strategy BRTs Implem.

    • Road Safety Training

    • Universal Access BRTs

    • Integrated Mass Transit Systems Project & First and Second Additional Loans• Bogotá Urban Services Project Additional Loan

    Mainstreaming Urban

    Transport Policies

    (2011- )

    • CONPES to Mainstream Urban Transport Policies in Medium-sized Cities

    • CTF Investment Plan for Bogotá

    • Regulatory Framework for Integration Public Transit Services

    • Support to the National Urban Transit Program Project (proposed)

    Stages of Urban Transport Engagement in Colombia

  • 7

    BRTs under operation (Barranquilla, Bogotá, Bucaramanga, Cali and Pereira), while the

    remaining are under construction.12

    19. The proposed Project continues to scale up the Bank‘s support to Colombia‘s NUTP by financing the GoC‘s commitments to the large cities (except Bogotá for which the GoC

    commitments have already finalized and Barranquilla that is expected to be financed by another

    Multilateral Development Bank) that were previously supported by the IMTS project, and to two

    new medium-sized cities requested by the GoC.13

    In large cities, the Project will provide

    financing so that the infrastructure required to begin the operation of BRTs is in place, and key

    technical, institutional and regulatory reforms are consolidated for these systems to effectively

    operate. In medium-sized cities, the NUTP anticipates support for twelve cities including

    Armenia, Buenaventura, Ibague, Manizales, Monteria, Neiva, Pasto, Popayan, Santa Marta,

    Sincelejo, Valledupar and Villavicencio, which are all at the planning stage.14

    To date, seven

    cities have formalized the support from the GoC through the approval of National Economic and

    Social Council (CONPES) and National Fiscal Council (CONFIS) documents. For these cities,

    the NUTP foresees urban transport interventions that focus less on infrastructure but address the

    negative incentives of the traditional bus system, and tackles new issues such as informal public

    transport (motorcycle cabs and vans). The policy package for these medium sized cities will

    include instruments on the supply and demand management side, including carefully planned

    fleet size and operations, incentives for the creation of transport operating companies, integrated

    fare collection systems, centralized fleet control systems, control, and optimization of traffic

    management. The GoC has requested the Bank to support these types of interventions in the

    medium-sized cities of Sincelejo and Valledupar (Refer to Annex 5).

    D. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes

    20. The Project is consistent with the World Bank Group‘s new Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for FY12-16

    15, which is also aligned with the key themes of the National Development

    Plan (2010-2014), and with the Bank‘s strategic engagement in the country, particularly the

    Sustainable Growth with Enhanced Climate Resilience pillar. The CPS has three themes: (i)

    Expanding Opportunities for Social Prosperity, (ii) Sustainable Growth with Enhanced Climate

    Resilience, and, (iii) Inclusive Growth with Enhanced Productivity. Each theme supports three

    long term outcomes. The CPS recognizes that to continue to address the needs of Colombia‘s

    highly urbanized population, it is necessary to meet Colombia‘s ambitious plans for growth and

    economic development with the explicit policy objectives of the new administration to make

    12

    Out of the six cities being financed by the Bank under the IMTS Project, four BRTs are in operation in

    Barranquilla, Bogotá, Bucaramanga, and Pereira, while the other two (Cartagena and Medellin-Valle de Aburrá) are

    under construction. 13

    In this sense, the Bank will finance a definite number of cities that are part of the NUTP, while other Multilateral

    Development Banks may finance other cities that are part of the national program. There will be no co-financing of

    cities between different MDBs, which clearly delineates the proposed project‘s fiduciary and safeguards

    requirements and accountability, as had been done with the previous IMTS projects. 14

    Seven out of the twelve cities already received initial support from the Government through CONPES documents:

    Pasto (CONPES 3549, November 2008), Santa Marta (CONPES 3548, November 2008), Armenia (CONPES 3572,

    March 2008), Popayan (CONPES 3602, August 2009), Valledupar (CONPES 3656), Monteria (CONPES 3638) and

    Sincelejo (CONPES 3637). The CONPES document provides a formal approval of the Government to assist and

    provide financial support to the projects. 15

    To be discussed by the Board on July 21, 2011.

  • 8

    development environmentally and socially sustainable. To reach such a goal the CPS gives high

    priority to the improvement of access to high quality urban services for the least privileged

    segments of the population, and to the priority of achieving these goals in an environmentally

    sustainable manner. In this area, the Project by supporting initiatives to organize and make more

    efficient urban transit systems, is expected to foster productivity and competitiveness, provide

    better services to the poor, improve environmental conditions (i.e. better air quality and GHG

    emission reductions), and quality of life in urban areas. Additionally, the Project is expected to

    enhance institutional capacity both at the national and local level, particularly as it relates to

    strengthening implementation capacity of cities in large-scale infrastructure projects and in

    public transport regulation.

    II. Project Development Objectives

    A. PDO

    21. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to enhance the efficiency, affordability, quality, safety, and environmental sustainability, of the provision of public transit services in the

    participating cities.

    a) Project Beneficiaries

    22. Direct beneficiaries of the Project include users of the public transit system who will directly benefit from an enhanced public transport service provision. Since this public transport

    constituency is primarily made up of lower-income users (up to 70 percent of public transport

    users are from the lower income strata16

    —strata 2 and 3) the Project will improve their access to

    services, markets and economic opportunities, and lower their travel costs and times. The Project

    is furthermore designed to allow the use of public transit by the disabled population, and improve

    safety conditions, especially for women by introducing proper lighting and restricted access to

    improve security conditions in bus stations. More generally, the Project will indirectly benefit the

    urban population at large, who will experience better overall urban mobility and environmental

    conditions, through the relief of traffic congestion, reduction of road accidents and air pollution.

    With the implementation of the Project, cities will promote the renewal of the existing bus fleet,

    reduction of the bus over-supply, introduction of cleaner fuels, reduction of inefficient routes,

    and an improvement of public space to promote greater walking and cycling. Other potential

    indirect beneficiaries are the residents and businesses along the bus corridors and the renewed

    public space, which are likely to see an increase in property value by having better accessibility

    and improved mobility options.

    16

    In Colombia, according to Law 142 of 1994, there are legally six socio-economic strata as defined by the National Department of Statistics (DANE) for the purposes of classifying households. The methodology takes into account the level of poverty of

    household owners, accessibility to public utility services, urban/rural population, etc. The percentage of population included in

    each strata is: strata 1 (low-low) = 22.3% pop. , strata 2 (low) = 41.2% pop., strata 3 (medium-low) = 27.1% pop., strata 4

    (medium) = 6.3% pop., strata 5 (medium -high) = 1.9% , and strata 6 (high) = 1.2% pop (according to latest household survey).

  • 9

    b) PDO Level Results Indicators

    23. Project performance and success in achieving the proposed PDOs of the Project, will be measured against the following outcome indicators:

    Enhanced efficiency of public transit services:

    Reduction in average travel time for the lowest income strata users (income strata 1 and 2)

    Enhanced affordability of public transit services:

    Percentage of household expenditure in urban transport with respect to total household income

    Enhanced quality of public transit services:

    Percentage of people rating the system as being better than the previous system

    Enhanced safety of public transit services:

    Reduction in the number of accidents per 1 million passengers

    Enhanced environmental sustainability of public transit services:

    Reduction in local emissions (PM10). This indicator will be measured in cities that are currently monitoring local emissions through their Local Environmental Authority.

    Enhanced institutional capacity in urban transport policy formulation:

    Restructuring of the existing public transport route system

    III. Project Description

    A. Project Components

    24. To achieve its objectives, the NUTP relies on an effective public-private partnership in which roles are assigned as follows: (i) the public sector finances, builds and maintains the

    required infrastructure through co-financing arrangements between the GoC and municipal

    governments; (ii) the private sector provides the equipment (i.e. fleet, fare collection and fleet

    control system) and service provision under concession contracts granted by the city; and (iii)

    each city participating in the NUTP establishes a transportation entity to plan, regulate and

    control the operation of the BRTs (in large cities) or of the new urban transport system in

    medium-sized cities. Furthermore, the NUTP relies on an effective technical collaboration

    between the GoC and the cities participating in the program. At the national level, the MOT,

    through a Project Coordination Unit, oversees the overall management and implementation of

    the Project, provides technical support to cities participating in the NUTP and is responsible for

    the follow-up and supervision of program implementation. The unit has proven to be effective in

    the implementation of IMTS project and provides direct support to the participating cities and

    Implementing Entities in technical, operational, environmental, social, resettlement, and

    procurement aspects. As has been the case with the previous IMTS Project, the MOT, through

    the PCU will provide targeted technical assistance aimed at strengthening the institutional

    capacity, both at the national and local level. Annex 2 presents a more comprehensive

    description of the NUTP reform agenda and of the roles played by each actor. This section

    describes the components that are financed by this loan which mainly concern the required

    infrastructure investments in large and medium-sized cities, the supervision (interventorías) of

  • 10

    construction works and the strengthening of the capacity of the Implementing Entities in

    medium-sized cities, including the hiring of specialized technical staff for the implementation of

    the Project.

    25. Component A17: Integrated Mass Transit Systems (US$ 253 million). 1. Expansion of the physical scope and geographical and social coverage of the NUTP in large cities, through the carrying out of the following selected activities: (a)the

    revision of detailed engineering designs; (b) the construction of bus rapid transport

    segregated busways; (c) the construction of bus stops, terminals and transfer centers; (d)

    the construction of mixed-traffic lanes adjacent to busways corridors; (e)the construction

    of sidewalks and bicycle paths; (f) the rehabilitation of feeder routes; (g) the

    construction of pedestrian ways along busways corridors, including pedestrian bridges;

    (h) the construction or adaptation of complementary transport corridors to the segregated

    busways; (i) the carrying out of required adaptation and/or relocation of public service

    networks adjacent to the construction areas; (j) the construction of bus workshops and

    parking; (k)the review and upgrading of technical designs; (l)the carrying out of

    supervision (interventorías) of construction works referred to in this paragraph A.1, all

    under terms of reference acceptable to the Bank.

    2. (a) Provision of financing for the acquisition of land required for the carrying

    out of Part A.1 of the Project; (b) provision of financing for the resettlement of, and the

    provision of compensation to, Affected Persons pursuant to the provisions of the

    corresponding RAP, in connection with the carrying out of Part A.1 of the Project.

    3. Design and implementation of EMPs for the carrying out of Part A.1 of the

    Project.

    26. Component B: Strategic Public Transit Systems (US$ 97 million). 1. Expansion of the physical scope and geographical and social coverage of the

    NUTP in the medium-sized cities through the carrying out of, the following selected

    activities:(a)the development of detailed Project engineering designs of integrated

    transport systems, all under terms of reference satisfactory to the Bank; (b)the

    construction and rehabilitation of road networks; (c) the construction and rehabilitation of

    sidewalks, public space, pedestrian ways along bus corridors and bicycle paths; (d)the

    construction of pedestrian bridges;(e)the construction of bus stops, terminals and transfer

    centers; (f)the construction of bus workshops and parking places; (g)the acquisition of

    control centers for strategic public transport systems, including fleet control, traffic lights

    and traffic signaling; (h)the rehabilitation and renewal of historic centers;(i)the provision

    of equipment and training to the Implementing Entities; (j) the hiring of specialized

    technical staff for the Implementing Entities for the implementation of the Project; (k)the

    financing of Operating Costs; (l)the hiring of Project auditors; (m) the design and

    construction of centers of public citizen services; (n)the design and implementation of

    broad communication strategies; and (o) the supervision (interventorías) of all the

    activities specified in paragraphs (a) through (n) referred to in this paragraph B.1, all under terms of reference satisfactory to the Bank.

    17

    In the Loan Agreement, Component A is referred to as Part A of the Project. The same is true for Component B

    (Part B).

  • 11

    2. (a) Provision of financing for the acquisition of land required for the carrying

    out of Part B.1 of the Project;(b) provision of financing for the resettlement of, and the

    provision of compensation to, Affected Persons pursuant to the provisions of the

    corresponding RAP, in connection with the carrying out of Part B.1 of the Project.

    3. Design and implementation of EMPs for the carrying out of Part B.1 of the

    Project.

    B. Project Financing

    a) Lending Instrument

    27. The Project will be financed by a Specific Investment Loan (SIL) in the amount of US$350 million, to be carried out over a period of 5 years. The SIL was chosen because of the

    targeted nature of the proposed Project and its intention to support implementation of specific

    activities in a number of large and medium-sized cities. The SIL is also considered a good

    instrument for financing consulting services as envisioned in the Project.

    b) Project Financing Table

    28. The GoC has requested the Bank to finance the Government‘s NUTP commitments to large and medium-sized cities eligible for IBRD financing from 2011-2017, which amount to

    approximately US$407 million (see Table 1). Due to the limitations and competing priorities of

    the Colombia country envelope, the Bank will only be able to support the program with a

    US$350 million loan. However, the Bank expects the GoC to request a subsequent follow up

    operation to complete the NUTP financing until 2017.18

    29. The GoC has also requested the Bank to continue to finance the cost of land required to construct the infrastructure and related public space in both large and medium-sized cities, and

    the compensation stemming from land acquisition and resettlement processes. The Bank has

    made land an eligible expenditure for Bank financing since the Second Additional Financing for

    the IMTS Project. To date, US$3 million have been disbursed out of a total of US$3.5 million

    allocated for land acquisition to the cities of Itaguí and Envigado (in the metropolitan area of

    Medellin-Valle de Aburrá).19

    To date, the land acquisition process has progressed in a

    satisfactory manner and this has been validated through regular supervision missions and

    comprehensive analysis of the resettlement and land acquisition process. Maintaining land

    acquisition as an eligible expenditure for Bank funds will provide an additional degree of

    flexibility on the cost allocation between the national and the municipal contributions. The

    eligibility of land as an expenditure does not affect the Project‘s safeguards approach; under the

    18

    At the time of the original IMTS project approval (and the first and second request for Additional IMTS Loans),

    the Bank anticipated that the GoC would likely seek further Bank financing for the later years of the program (2011-

    2017). See original PAD (Loan 7231-CO) pg. 3: ―…since the implementation of the NUTP will continue beyond

    2008, it is likely that GOC will request the Bank to provide a follow-on operation to continue supporting the

    program‖. Additional Financing Project Paper (PP) pg. 8: ―It is proposed that the follow-on financing for the NUTP

    would be structured as a series of lending operations. The first one would be the US$ 207 million Additional

    Financing to cover the NUTP transfers through the end of 2007.‖ A second Addition Financing for US$300 million

    followed, which brought total financing for the NUTP to US$757 million. 19

    Initially, the Second Additional Financing for the IMTS project allocated US$26 million for the acquisition of

    land. In April, 2011, the GOC requested a re-categorization of loan proceeds, whereby US$3.5 million where

    allocated to land acquisition.

  • 12

    existing operation, all land acquisition undertaken with non-Bank funds uses the same safeguards

    approach to managing Involuntary Resettlement OP 4.12 issues. In accordance with Bank Policy,

    the Bank‘s Land Committee reviewed the proposed arrangements for the Bank to finance land

    acquisition and found them appropriate. Land acquisition and compensation are expected to

    amount up to US$45 million of the proposed operation, and will be conducted as established in

    the BP 6.00, Annex A—Special Authorization Arrangements for Selected Types of Expenditure,

    ―Guidance Note on World Bank Financing of Land Acquisition For Protected Areas‖ dated

    August 11, 2005 and related documentation.

    30. Table 1 summarizes the estimated Project costs. The table reflects the fact that the proposed US$350 million loan will only partially cover the GoC‘s financing needs to cities

    eligible for Bank financing under the NUTP until 2017, which amount to US$407 million. In

    effect, the loan will meet the GoC‘s financial requirements to the NUTP for all large cities

    (2011-2015), and will only partially finance the program for medium-sized cities. The proposed

    loan will finance Component A: Integrated Mass Transit Systems in Large Cities in the amount

    of US$253 million, and Component B: Strategic Public Transit Systems in Medium-sized Cities

    in the amount of US$97 million.

    Table 1. GoC Budget Commitments to the NUTP for Cities Eligible for IBRD Financing

    (Calendar Year 2011-2017, US$ Million)

    Source: CONPES Document No. 3657 Note: Exchange Rate based on 1USD=COP 2,000.

    31. Table 2 describes the total cost of the Project and financing from IBRD.

    Table 2. Project Financing Table

    Large C it ies Eligible

    fo r IB R D F inancing2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 T OT A L

    Bucaramanga-M etro linea - 11 18 20 - - - 49

    Cartagena-Transcaribe 33 - - - - - - 33

    M edellín-M etroplus - 13 53 55 41 - - 163

    Pereira-M egabus 8 - - - - - - 8

    T OT A L 41 24 71 75 41 - - 253

    M edium-Sized C it ies

    Eligible fo r IB R D

    F inancing

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 T OT A L

    Sincelejo 2 8 28 9 6 4 - 57

    Valledupar 3 8 30 6 15 1 34 97

    T OT A L 5 16 58 15 21 5 34 154

    C UM ULA T IVE T OT A L

    (Large & M edium-

    sized C it ies)

    46 86 215 305 368 373 407 407

    Component and/or Activity Total Project

    Cost

    (US$ million)

    Total IBRD

    (US$ million)

    % IBRD

    Financing

    Component A: Integrated Mass Transit Systems 253.0 253.0 100%

    Component B: Strategic Public Transit Systems 154.0 97.0 63%

    Total Financing: 407.0 350.0 86%

  • 13

    c) Detailed Project Costs for IBRD Financing of Eligible Cities under the NUTP

    32. As previously mentioned, the Bank has already supported the NUTP through three loans totaling US$757 million aimed at financing the GoC‘s commitments to large cities for the

    construction and implementation of BRTs: (i) Integrated Mass Transit System Project (Loan

    7231) for US$250 million, of which US$249.9 million have been disbursed; (ii) First Additional

    Financing for the Integrated Mass Transit System Project (Loan 7457) for US$207 million, of

    which US$206.8 million have been disbursed20

    ; and (iii) Second Additional Financing for the

    Integrated Mass Transit System Project (Loan 7739) for US$300 million, of which US$297.6

    million have been disbursed. Table 3 presents detailed cost information that shows exactly how

    these Loans have been applied to each of the cities being financed.

    33. The total amount of IBRD financing in each city corresponds to the information provided by each Implementing Entity of their Procurement Plans on a per contract basis. Because related

    expenditures for each contract took place in Colombian pesos, and different exchange rates were

    applied at the time of the disbursement processing, the numbers related to total expenditures

    cannot match with the overall disbursements to date. Furthermore, Annex 2 includes a related

    table that provides summary cost information in each of the large cities being financed per type

    of infrastructure investment. For the proposed new Loan, Table 3 reflects an approximate

    allocation of Loan proceeds for each sub-project.

    Table 3. Total IBRD Financing of Eligible Cities under the NUTP

    Note: Information based on Local Implementing Entities Procurement Plans as of November, 2010. Information

    for Bogotá as of April, 2011.

    Totals may not reflect total disbursements due to exchange rate fluctuations. An average exchange rate of

    COP1950/USD was used for period 2004-2010.

    * Approximate allocation of Loan proceeds for each sub-project. Financing of land, which amounts to US$45 million for this project, is reflected in total allocated to each city.

    20

    Loan 7231 and Loan 7457 have closed.

    LN.7231 LN. 7457 LN.7739 Total IMTS Project New Loan*

    (1) (2) (3) (1)+(2)+(3)

    Large Cities

    Barranquilla 4,712,496 16,282,870 36,673,796 57,669,162 -

    Bucaramanga 27,591,055 30,392,419 23,351,392 81,334,866 49,000,000

    Cartagena 20,120,103 20,817,962 31,276,566 72,214,630 33,000,000

    Medellin 32,562,564 20,607,014 12,617,004 65,786,582 163,000,000

    Pereira 26,172,872 - - 26,172,872 8,000,000

    Bogota NQS Corridor 147,564,448 118,255,760 176,500,000 442,320,208 -

    Medium-Sized Cities -

    Sincelejo - - - - 45,000,000

    Valledupar - - - - 52,000,000

    Technical Assistance 2,300,000 617,130 2,500,000 5,417,130 -

    Land - - 3,000,000 3,000,000

    TOTAL 261,023,538 206,973,154 285,918,758 753,915,450 350,000,000

    Approved IBRD Loan Amounts 250,000,000 207,000,000 300,000,000 757,000,000

    Disbursements to Date 249,940,000 206,810,000 297,600,000 754,350,000

    City

    IBRD Financing (USD)

  • 14

    C. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design

    34. The Project has been designed taking into account the lessons learned from previous Bank operations and analytical work on urban transport projects. Based on the lessons learned,

    the Project has incorporated the following design features:

    35. There is a role for the GoC in the implementation of urban transport services reforms. Reforms in the sector normally require large investments and complex technical decisions. Given

    that cities lack both financial and technical resources, the GoC‘s participation becomes crucial in

    promoting reforms at the municipal level.

    36. Reliable funds are key to implement long term reform. Urban transport financing should be seen as an integrated whole, justifying the use of taxes on auto users to provide reliable funds

    to implement public transport projects. In the case of Colombian cities, gasoline surtax, mostly

    paid by private car users, is providing about 34 percent of total NUTP cost, and more importantly

    is helping the cities to leverage funds from the GoC.

    37. The regulatory framework is key in advancing sound reform. Within the different planning stages for urban transport reforms, most of the attention goes to the technical aspects of

    the projects (engineering designs, technology, equipment, etc.), neglecting the regulatory design

    of the operation. Given the crucial role of the private sector in the operation of urban transport

    systems, the planning process should concentrate more on the definition of several issues that

    regulate the partnership between the public and private sector. Efforts should focus on improving

    the regulatory framework to encourage efficient, competitive and quality service-standard bus

    operations.

    38. Environmental and social management are important to ensure successful project implementation. The local Implementing Entities include environmental and social management

    teams. Experience has shown that the earlier these teams are onboard and being able to

    participate in project design and planning, the higher the rate of success for the particular project

    activity. On the other hand, examples have shown that where environmental and social teams

    were not brought onboard early on, unmanaged social issues caused serious implementation

    delays, and adverse impact on the affected populations. Furthermore, environmental and social

    management teams need to place especial consideration on tackling problems and designing

    communication and implementation strategies for vulnerable groups, including the poorest

    member of a community, informal street vendors, disabled people and women.

    39. Implementation strategy should have both high political commitment and strong technical support. Of the several lessons that arise from the successful implementation of

    Transmilenio (Bogotá) and Megabus (Pereira), two are particularly critical. The first is that the

    implementation of such an initiative requires visionary leadership willing to take risks and

    closely involved in the process. The second is that there is the need to create local Implementing

    Entities with strong technical capacity to design, plan, and control the new public transit

    operation.

  • 15

    40. The implementation of public transit systems goes beyond the construction and/or rehabilitation of the road network. Another lesson resulting from the Transmilenio and Megabus

    experiences is that the project cannot be limited solely to the construction of the segregated

    busway, or the rehabilitation of the road network. Other complementary actions must be

    implemented to guarantee the completion of the urban transport strategy within a comprehensive

    perspective that includes reorganizing bus routes, implementing traffic demand management

    measures, developing measures to reduce the oversupply of obsolete bus fleet, investing in the

    renewal of public space and bicycle paths to promote non-motorized transit, strengthening the

    institutional and regulatory capacity of the local transport authority, etc. This demonstrates that

    the value added of these types of projects goes far beyond the construction of the required

    infrastructure.

    41. Synergies and knowledge transfer are fostered by the simultaneous implementation of projects in multiple cities. Important synergies have been created as a result of the simultaneous

    implementation of projects in cities participating in the NUTP. This has resulted in a continuous

    flow of know-how and best practices among participating cities, the PCU and the Bank in areas

    such as civil works management, procurement and fiduciary processes, safeguards management,

    operational design, strategies for initiation of operation, among others. The Project has also

    benefited from these informal knowledge sharing arrangements to strengthen the implementation

    and institutional capacity of the new medium-sized cities which will begin implementation under

    this operation. Through this framework, the NUTP is enhancing institutional capacity, fostering

    best practices and fast-tracking the learning curve in the large cities that have yet to the operation

    of their BRTs, and in medium-sized cities.

    IV. Implementation

    A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

    42. At the national level, the implementing agency of the NUTP is and will continue to be the Ministry of Transport (MOT), in close coordination and collaboration with the National Planning

    Department (DNP) and the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (MHCP). MOT has the overall

    responsibility for the execution of the Project, provides technical support to the NUTP and is

    responsible for monitoring and evaluating program implementation. The MHCP is in charge of

    the overall management of resources (including GoC transfers and disbursements), and the

    National Planning Department (DNP) carries out preparatory studies, prepares CONPES

    documents for each city participating in the program, and also oversees project implementation.

    Currently, there is a PCU at MOT that oversees the overall management and implementation of

    the NUTP. This unit reports to the Deputy Minister of Transport and is staffed by a mix of civil

    servants and individual consultants, including urban transport engineers, economists, accountants

    and social and environmental specialists, among others. The unit has proven to be effective in the

    implementation of IMTS project and provides direct support to the participating cities and

    Implementing Entities in technical, operational, environmental, social and resettlement, and

    procurement aspects. The PCU will continue to exist within the MOT to oversee the

    implementation of the Project.

    43. At the local level, all large cities that participated in the IMTS project have established Implementing Entities that are in charge of executing the civil works and operating the BRTs

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    once the infrastructure is completed.21

    These Implementing Entities are corporate transportation

    entities, created upon city council approval and pursuant to the provisions of Colombia‘s

    industrial and commercial enterprise laws.22

    With respect to medium-sized cities, their CONPES

    documents call for the creation of simplified corporate transportation entities, similar to those

    created in the IMTS project cities. These project Implementing Entities are currently being

    created in each city, and need to be established before the GoC commits co-financing resources

    through the Subsidiary Agreements. Furthermore, and as is the case with the IMTS project, these

    Implementing Entities will have to work in close collaboration with other municipal agencies,

    including the local Transport Authority (Secretaria de Transito), Finance Secretariat (Secretaria

    de Hacienda) Public Works or Infrastructure Secretariat (Secretaria de Obras

    Publicas/Infraestructura), and Planning Secretariat (Secretaria de Planeación) to execute their

    projects. Despite the know-how that has been created at the local level with the implementation

    of the IMTS project, and the knowledge transfer created by these institutional arrangements –

    whereby the GoC promotes the leadership of the city in the planning, execution and control of

    the system, while levering its role as policy regulator, through participation in the Board of

    Directors of the Implementing Entities in charge of system development and control— the

    project team foresees to a greater extent some higher institutional risks in the implementation of

    the Project in medium-sized cities. These institutional risks emerge as a result of their relatively

    weaker institutional and technical capacity vis-à-vis the larger cities. However, risk mitigation

    plans, developed at appraisal and put in place during implementation will address these and other

    risks with mitigation actions, such as, training and capacity building, close supervision by MOT

    and PCU, and increased Bank supervision. In addition, the MOT will ensure that each of the

    Implementing Entities is staffed with a core team with functions, responsibilities, qualifications

    and experience acceptable to the Bank, all throughout Project implementation, in the following

    areas: environment, resettlement, procurement, and financial management, and ensure that said

    core team is supported by any other professional and administrative staff, as appropriate.

    B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation

    44. Project progress reports will be prepared by the local Implementing Entities on a semi-annual basis will be reviewed by the PCU and will be submitted to the Bank. These reports will

    indicate the progress made under the different components of the Project and measure

    performance against the results indicators established in the results framework (Annex I). The

    PCU will also prepare and submit to the Bank semi-annual project progress reports that include

    the following information: (i) assess progress in the carrying out of the Project, with respect to

    each component; (ii) assess progress in the implementation of the Environmental and Social

    Management Plans laying out problems identified as well as documenting environmental and

    social impacts of the Project in the areas of intervention; (iii) provide a procurement report, and

    an updated procurement plan; and (iv) identify any potential developments that could affect

    project implementation, and propose solutions to resolve such.

    21

    In the case of Bogotá, the city relies on specialized municipal works agency— Instituto de Desarrollo Urbano

    (IDU) — to carry out the construction of the BRTs infrastructure. 22

    The Implementing Entities for the cities participating in the IMTS project are: Barranquilla‘s Transmetro S.A,

    Bogotá‘s Transmilenio S.A, Bucaramanga‘s Metrolinea S.A, Cali‘s Metrocali S.A (MIO), Cartagena‘s Transcaribe

    S.A, Medellin‘s Metroplus S.A, Pereira‘s Megabus S.A, , and Soacha‘s BRTs will also be managed by Transmilenio

    S.A.

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    C. Sustainability

    45. Improving the provision of urban transport service provision is a key goal of Colombia‘s National Development Plan. The proposed Project was requested by the GoC as part of a

    continued dialogue and support to the National Urban Transit Program. The GoC and the cities,

    by entering into co-financing arrangements to finance the implementation of the NUTP , and by

    committing resource to strengthening the institutional capacity at the national and local level,

    have signaled their commitment to and ownership of the Project, both of which are critical

    conditions for the long-term sustainability of activities. Yet, cities have fallen short in devising

    schemes to ensure the maintenance of the road infrastructure constructed/rehabilitated, and not

    earmarked funds for such activities. With regards to the sustainability of investments in urban

    renewal, the cities and the local Implementing Entities are also looking to enter into partnerships

    with the private sector to maintain public space and green areas, and are revisiting their Land

    Use Master Planes (Planes de Ordenamiento Territorial) to assess changes in land use.

    46. Also, direct measures are being taken to ensure the sustainability of the operation of the urban transport service provision. On the one side, when changing from a competition in the

    market to a competition for the market arrangement for transit service provision, costs could go

    up as externalities are being internalized. To prevent fares from going up, subsidies might be

    needed. In fact, this is one of the key policy debates in the area of public transport, and one that

    the new GoC administration will likely tackle, particularly as to who pays for such subsidies

    (national or local government, private car users, etc). On the other side, the technical capacity of

    cities in the planning, control and operation of the new transport system is a key sustainability

    factor. The GoC has committed to allocating resources to strengthen the planning and operational

    capacity of large and medium-sized cities participating in the NUTP, particularly at the initial

    implementation stage (beginning of operations).

    V. Key Risks

    47. The overall risk rating for the Project is High. Potential risks and proposed mitigation measures are detailed in the Operations Risk Assessment Framework (ORAF) in Annex 4. For

    project implementation, a risk rating of High was selected as there are implementation risks

    related to: (i) safeguards and fiduciary management of the Project; (ii) implementation (and

    supervision) complexities stemming from the Project‘s scope of activities and geographical

    coverage, (iii) weak implementation capacity in new medium-sized cities, (iv) prevalence of

    informal transportation, including motorcycle taxis, that may hinder the reorganization and

    formalization of the transport sector by decreasing overall demand for public transit; and (v)

    alleged cases of fraud and corruption.

    Project Governance Approach

    48. In addition to standard requirements under Bank financed projects (including those required under the Bank‘s Procurement Guidelines), the current Project includes some explicit

    measures to improve transparency and accountability during Project implementation

    incorporating the lessons learned over 7 years of implementation of the NUTP. These include:

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    Independent review of compliance processes: Audit by the CGR. While all projects in Colombia being implemented by lines Ministries are subject to the Contraloria General de la

    Republica23

    – CGR‘s (General Comptroller‘s Office) internal and quality procedures reporting,

    the proposed Project will be audited on an annual basis, including an innovative procedure

    agreed among the Borrower through MOT, the CGR and the Bank, in the sense that the audit

    Terms of Reference will include specific and concrete provisions for interim visits by the

    auditors to each of the participating cities throughout the year at different intervals, to look at

    specific issues. The results of such interim visits will be shared with the Bank and used during

    Bank supervision of the project. The decentralized task force of the CGR also oversees sub-

    project implementation in all of the cities participating in the NUTP. As part of the use of CGR

    for audits of Bank financed operations, the Bank will continue to provide regular

    training/information sessions to CGR to explain and clarify Bank guidelines. Additional efforts

    will be undertaken to build the capacity of the CGR auditors as regards World Bank fiduciary

    policy and procedures.

    Technical audits. In addition to the use of interventorias, technical audits will continue to be conducted under the Project, focusing on sub-projects representing higher risks (e.g. contracts

    that have received complaints, contain frequent price variations, or are subject to delayed

    implementation). These technical audits will include site visits focusing on verifying that work

    has been performed according to contractual standards, and that oversight by both the

    Implementing Entity and the interventoria is appropriate.

    Prior review of all procurement processes in medium-sized cities. For the medium-sized cities, where capacity is expected to be weaker, the Bank will carry out prior review of all

    procurement procedures for the first years of the operation.

    Creation of a mechanism for handling procurement complaints. A complaint handling mechanism will be established as a new measure to allow contractors and the community

    members to report possible issues related to contract award and implementation. The complaint

    handling mechanism will be described in the Project‘s Operational Manual.

    Developing price monitoring mechanisms across participating cities. In order to lessen the risk of inflated cost estimates which can often result in higher bid prices downstream, during

    implementation, the Bank will work with the Government to assess the feasibility of developing

    a price monitoring mechanism for civil works contracts to provide benchmarks to establish the

    reasonableness of the prices quoted by Implementing Entities and bidders.

    Access to bidding opportunities. Invitations to bid will be proactively made available to contractors‘ associations, such as the Camaras de Infraestructura and Camara de Comercio.

    Business outreach events will also be organized. Bidding documents for each contract will be

    available for access and download by potential bidders on the MOT website and the

    Implementing Entities‘ website.

    Communications and outreach. The MOT, in coordination with the local Implementing Entities, have launched a broad Communications Strategy with the objective of informing

    stakeholders as a whole, with particular emphasis on civil society, public opinion shapers, and

    23

    Per MOU between the Ministry of Finance, CGR and the Bank dated March, 2007.

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    the media, on the strategic objectives of the NUTP and the co-financing partnership between the

    Government and cities to carry out its implementation. The Communications Strategy, initiated

    during the Second Additional IMTS Project and financed by the Bank, will continue throughout

    the implementation of the proposed Project. A key component of this communication strategy is

    the ―Visible Works‖ (Obras Visibles) campaign. Under this initiative, the Government, in

    conjunction with the participating city, organizes a public forum with all relevant stakeholders,

    including civil work construction companies, work supervision contractors, relevant chambers of

    commerce, city authorities, community representatives, public opinion shapers, and the media, to

    openly discuss the progress made in each sub-project and tackle specific challenges moving

    forward. These forums have proven extremely effective to signal local communities of the

    Government‘s oversight and commitment to the effective implementation of the NUTP.

    Complaint and grievance mechanisms, including the Centers for Public Attention. During implementation, Centers for Public Attention are probably the most critical mechanism and point

    of contact with the local community for receiving questions, claims and complaints. The Centers

    for Public Attention are to be set up under the guidelines established in the Project‘s

    Environmental Management Framework. These grievance mechanisms exist in all subproject

    areas and are a one-stop-shop located for citizen attention and problem resolution. The Centers

    are used to publicize works plans, work progress and traffic measures and to receive complaints

    and grievances of all types. Such a tool allows for contractors and community members to report

    possible issues related to the contract awards and contract implementations. Claims can also be

    posted on the website of the local Implementing Entity, received directly in their office or in a

    local office in the field. In each city, every step of this process is well documented and the teams

    also digitize all information. Lastly, citizens can also place specific complaints regarding

    fraudulent or corrupt practices by calling the Government‘s corruption hotline (Línea

    Transparente 01-8000-913040).

    Capacity building and training. As part of implementation support, the Bank will provide training to build the capacity of Implementing Entities, targeting technical and fiduciary areas, in

    particular for new medium-sized cities. Furthermore, the fiduciary training will also target topics

    of governance and anti-corruption. These training events will be provided by the Bank.

    VI. Appraisal Summary

    A. Economic and Financial Analysis

    49. A standard cost-benefit analysis was carried out for the large cities of Cartagena and Medellin-Valle de Aburrá, which have yet to start operations, and for the two medium-sized

    cities. The analysis includes all public and private costs associated with the implementation a