the why, when and how of assessing impingement and ......john steinbeck tenera environmental 141...

64
The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and Entrainment Impacts California State Water Resources Control Board Workshop on: Regulation and Impact Assessment of Once-Through Cooling Systems of California Coastal Power Plants John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 [email protected]

Upload: others

Post on 28-Sep-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and

Entrainment ImpactsCalifornia State Water Resources Control Board Workshop on: Regulation and Impact Assessment ofOnce-Through Cooling Systems of California Coastal Power Plants

John SteinbeckTenera Environmental141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2San Luis Obispo, CA [email protected]

Page 2: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Assessing Impingement and Entrainment (I&E) Impacts

• Introduction– Types of CWIS Impacts– What Is the Goal of These Studies?– Impingement Study Design – Why Focus on Entrainment?

Page 3: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Assessing I&E Impacts• Design Approach

– Entrainment Sampling Considerations• Where, What, How, Analysis

– Source Water Sampling Considerations– Assessment Models

• Other Necessary Data• Assumptions

Page 4: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Assessing I&E Impacts

• Examples– South Bay Power Plant – gobies– Diablo Canyon Power Plant – rockfishes

• Interpretation• Guidelines

– Study Design– Sampling and Sample Processing– Analysis

• Conclusions

Page 5: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

‘Baseline’ Cooling Water Intake System

Flow

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Scale in Feet

Page 6: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

CWIS Impacts

Page 7: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Goals of I&E Studies• Basic goal of these studies is estimation – not

hypothesis testing– Estimate best, unbiased point estimate of

population parameters – impingement, entrainment, source water numbers

– Estimate measures of variance for confidence intervals

• Basic requirement is for characterizing IM&E and baseline

• Percentage based performance standards result in same benefit regardless of baseline

Page 8: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Goals of I&E Studies• Modeling effects on populations

(demographic or conditional mortality) good for providing context for effects, but really only useful under new Rule for showing benefit of reductions or scaling restoration

• Impact Analysis - Comparison with source water, reference stations, etc. requires much more rigorous design and extensive data –BACI (see Steinbeck, et al. 2005. Ecol. Applications) – not part of new rule

Page 9: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Impingement

travelingscreens

debrisbasket

Page 10: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Impingement• Sampling

– Frequency – weekly or biweekly – Measure rate every 4 – 6 hours for 24 h

• Estimating Impingement– Quantify all fishes and shellfishes (crab, shrimp,

etc.) and identify presence of other macro invertebrates

– Rate = # or biomass / flow during sampling period – Average rate per 24 h period used to extrapolate

over days between surveys based on actual, maximum, or estimated flow

– Data over year added to heat treatment collections to estimate total annual impingement

Page 11: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Annual Weight of Impinged Fish Based on Actual Flow (Note Table is based on representative facilities and does not include impingement during heat treatments).

Power Plant County Study Year

Maximum Intake Volume

(million gal/day) Type of intake

Estimated annual weight (lbs)

impinged

Moss Landing Monterey 1979-1980 1,412 shoreline 10,000

Morro Bay San Luis Obispo 1999-2000 670 shoreline 2,500

Diablo Canyon San Luis Obispo 1985-1986 2,500 shoreline 1,6003

El Segundo Los Angeles 1999-2004 399 offshore 500

Huntington Beach Orange 1979-2004 2411 offshore 3,500

Harbor Los Angeles 1978-1979 1082 shoreline 6,200

Haynes Los Angeles 1978-1979 9683 shoreline 3,000

Scattergood Los Angeles 1978-1979 4954 offshore 6,940

Encina San Diego 2002-2003 857 shoreline 5,0005–8,0006

South Bay San Diego 2002-2003 601 shoreline 1,200 1 average flow during the studied years 2 current maximum flow. Average daily flow during impingement study was 241 mgd 3 current maximum flow. Average capacity factor during study was 46% 4 current maximum flow. Average capacity factor during study was 58% 5 weight based on actual annual cooling water flow during the study 6 weight based on maximum annual cooling water flow

Impingement

Page 12: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Impingement• Site-specific results based on location, intake

design, not just flow– Open ocean location, ex. Diablo Canyon, probably

low because of low intake velocities and strong swimming ability of the fishes out on the open exposed coast

– Plants in more protected harbors and bays such generally higher

– Offshore intakes fitted with velocity caps also seem effective at reducing impingement

• Generally not considered a large problem at California plants, with exception of SONGS

Page 13: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Why Focus on Entrainment?• Much more difficult to sample and

estimate effects• Possibly greater potential for impacts

due to large CWIS volumes at some facilities

• Unlike impingement, site-specific factors (plant and source water) affect study design

• Site-specific factors also affect ability to interpret results

Page 14: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

1. Calculate volume of cooling water entering the plant (V)

2. Measure concentration of larvae (number per volume) that are entrained (N)

3. Assume no survival of larvae through the plant

4. Entrainment = N x V

V

N

Entrainment

Page 15: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment• Where to get a representative sample?• What to sample?• Sample processing – resources,

taxonomy• How to assess results?

Page 16: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment Sampling Location

75 m

Page 17: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment Sampling Location

bar racks

conduit walls

Page 18: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment Sampling Location

Traveling Water Screen

Circulating Water Pump Motor

Conduit to Power Plant

Valve Open

Pump Impeller

Flow

Back Bay

Fore Bay

Bar Rack

Curtain Wall

Bongo PlanktonNets

Mooring Station

Mean Sea Level

Low Tide

High Tide

Page 19: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

What to Sample?• New 316(b) Phase II Rule requires

characterization of fish and shellfish– characterization vs. quantification

• What is a shellfish?– holoplankton vs. meroplankton– holoplankton may be distributed over large areas

of ocean, have short generation times (days), and may be capable of reproducing as long as environmental conditions are favorable

– meroplankton (larval fish and invertebrates) have limited distributions as adults along narrow coastal shelf, and may have limited spawning periods

Page 20: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

What to Sample?

• Volumetric estimates of effects on holoplankton (phyto- and zoo-plankton)

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

source water

entrainment volume 5% of source water is good approximation of local effects on holoplankton

Page 21: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

SettlementAdults Adults

Reproduction Growth

Open System (have a larval phase)

Adults

ReproductionGrowth

Closed System (no larval phase)

Settlement

Larvae

Surf PerchSharksRays

GobiesBlenniesSculpins

HerringClamsCrabs

Susceptible to larval entrainment?YESNO

What to Sample?

Page 22: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

What to Sample?• Distribution of fish larvae

may be closely associated with adult habitats – DCPP and SBPP

• Close to volumetric in other habitats - HBPP

SB01

SB02

SB03

SB04

SB05

SB06

SB07

SB08

SB09

Stress: 0.05

SBPP

SB1

Intake Channel

Discharge Channel

Intakes

0 ft

-5 ft

-10 ft

Page 23: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

What to Sample?

larval kelpfish distribution during DCPP study

Page 24: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

What to Sample?• Fish Eggs

– Level of taxonomy doesn’t correspond to level for larvae – quantitative use limited

– Easy to account for in assessment models –add egg duration to ETM larval duration (assumes equal proportional entrainment for eggs and larvae)

– Qualitative assessment accounted for by counting fish eggs from only entrainment samples - still results in lots of extra work that doesn’t add equal amount of information

Page 25: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentSample Processing

• A 20-30 m3 sample can take upwards of 40 h to process for larval fish, invertebrates, and fish eggs

• From all DCPP sampling -150,000 larval fishes,350,000 larval crabs identified

Page 26: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment Sampling• 335 vs 500 micron mesh• Frequency – weekly or biweekly over 24h

period every 4-6 h as close to intake as practical

• Duration – One year in absence of significant oceanographic events – PE estimates used in ETM should be independent

of changes in larval abundance allowing less frequent source water collections (monthly)

• All subject to local conditions, species present (ex. Potrero)

Page 27: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

• Demographic Models – useful in cost benefit– Adult Equivalent Loss (AEL)– Fecundity Hindcasting (FH)– Production Foregone

• Conditional Mortality Models – useful in scaling restoration– Empirical Transport Model (ETM)

EntrainmentAssessment Models

Page 28: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Demographic Models

• fecundity

• age at maturity

• longevity

• survival data –eggs, larvae, other stages

Entrainment

Page 29: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentAssessment Model Data

Demographic Models• AEL – larval, juvenile, adult survival• FH – fecundity, age at maturity, egg and

larval survivalAll of these usually drawn from literature –

not site-specific, unknown what environmental, compensatory, depensatory, or other factors operating

Page 30: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentDemographic Models

Advantages/Disadvantages• Expresses losses as adults• Requires life history

information – not available for many taxa

• Requires adult stock data for interpretation

• Provides estimate for single year that may not be representative

Assumptions• Age-specific life history

data are constant for the population

• Values are representative for the time and location of the study

Page 31: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Current flow Current flow

Flow through plant

Larvae

Conditional mortality due to entrainment =

������� ��� � �

Entrainment CWIS

SourceWater SOURCE

VV

ρρ

••

� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �� � � � �

EntrainmentConceptualization of ETM

Page 32: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Empirical Transport Model• Only life history information is larval

growth rate to estimate duration

• Ps = ratio of area, volume, or number sampled to the larger population of inference – proportion of parental stock

�=

•−−=n

i

daysSiM PPEfP

1

)1(1

Page 33: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentETM Model

Advantages/Disadvantages• Expresses losses as larvae

– the entity sampled• Requires an estimate of

larval stock - sampling• Does not require life history

information – except larval growth rate also required for demographic models

• Scaling results to population level may be difficult

Assumptions• Field and entrainment

sampling are representative

• Estimates constant within sampling period

Page 34: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Source Water Sampling• Representative of range of habitats and

species potentially affected by entrainment –listed spp., unique habitats

• For ETM, estimating daily proportional entrainment (PE) – area potentially subject to entrainment due to current or tidal flow– In open coast can be estimated using current data– In tidal estuary may encompass entire area

• Biweekly or monthly at same diel frequency as entrainment – depends on species present and conditions. Monthly in open coastal environments where PE = volumetric ratio.

Page 35: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

��������������������������������������������������������Cooperation among AES, NRG, and LADWP have resulted in design for Santa Monica Bay that is the most comprehensive cooling water system assessment since DCPP -21 stations and 3 current meters

Source Water Sampling

Page 36: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Source Water SamplingIntake Hydraulic Zone of Influence (HZI)

• SW sampling designed to estimate spatial scale of entrainment effects that extend well beyond the HZI

• Focus on HZI could lead to biased sampling– Habitats outside HZI not sampled although they

contribute larvae to entrainment– Ignores dynamics of source water– Ignores the time of larval exposure– Entrainment sampling done within HZI

Page 37: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentAssessment Model Data

• ETM and Demographic Models both require data on age of larvae

• Estimated using larval growth rate from literature and lengths of larvae measured from entrainment

Page 38: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentOther Data

• Power plant cooling water flow (actual, design, or planned) for entrainment estimates

• Bathymetry for source water volume estimates

• Current data for coastal source water • Other hydrodynamic data for determining

source water in estuarine systems

Page 39: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

EntrainmentDefining Source Water Population

and Example Results

• Closed estuarine system – South Bay Power Plant, San Diego, CA

• Open coastal system – Diablo Canyon Power Plant, Avila Beach, CA

Page 40: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Closed Estuarine SystemSouth Bay Power Plant

SBPP

Page 41: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Closed Estuarine SystemSouth Bay Power Plant

• Ps = 1.0 means that entire source water sampled

• Justify source water area, volume, and sampling

Page 42: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Closed Estuarine SystemSan Diego Bay Tidal Dispersion

• Model estimates of time required for 50% tidal exchange

• 600-1000 hrs for south San Diego Bay

Coronado Narrows

Page 43: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Closed Estuarine SystemSan Diego Bay Bathymetry

SBPP

Page 44: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Height (MLLW) Area Volume Region Datum ft m m2 ft2 m3 ft3

1 MWL 2.93 0.90 4,241,241 45,656,798 33,754,018 1,192,185,160

2 MWL 2.94 0.90 10,173,006 109,512,412 70,387,388 2,486,068,457

3 MWL 2.99 0.91 6,355,524 68,417,214 25,060,179 885,120,494

4 MWL 3.05 0.93 9,556,875 102,879,765 20,410,508 720,895,066

Total 30,326,646 326,466,189 149,612,092 5,284,269,177

Closed SystemSan Diego Bay Bathymetry

Page 45: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

SBPP ETM Model Data

Survey Date EA

(#/m3)

Estimated Number

Entrained

Source Water (#/m3)

Estimated Source Water PE

Survey Period (days)

Source Water

Population for Period

Source Population Proportion

(f) =fi(1-PEi)d

28-Feb-01 2.143 4,877,000 5.712 8.546E+08 0.0057 41 3.504E+10 0.2165 0.1900 29-Mar-01 1.069 2,433,000 3.643 5.451E+08 0.0045 29 1.581E+10 0.0977 0.0882 17-Apr-01 1.997 4,544,000 2.794 4.180E+08 0.0109 19 7.942E+09 0.0491 0.0382

16-May-01 2.036 4,633,000 1.770 2.649E+08 0.0175 29 7.682E+09 0.0475 0.0317 14-Jun-01 3.747 8,525,000 2.311 3.458E+08 0.0247 29 1.003E+10 0.0620 0.0350 26-Jul-01 4.047 9,208,000 2.740 4.100E+08 0.0225 42 1.722E+10 0.1064 0.0633

23-Aug-01 0.648 1,475,000 2.609 3.904E+08 0.0038 28 1.093E+10 0.0675 0.0619 25-Sep-01 1.057 2,406,000 2.307 3.452E+08 0.0070 33 1.139E+10 0.0704 0.0600 23-Oct-01 1.254 2,852,000 2.553 3.820E+08 0.0075 28 1.070E+10 0.0661 0.0557

27-Nov-01 1.655 3,764,000 2.390 3.576E+08 0.0105 35 1.252E+10 0.0773 0.0607 20-Dec-01 1.861 4,233,000 2.745 4.107E+08 0.0103 23 9.446E+09 0.0584 0.0461 17-Jan-02 3.554 8,087,000 3.132 4.686E+08 0.0173 28 1.312E+10 0.0811 0.0545

Average = 0.0118 PM= 0.2147

Larval duration=23 days

Note: little variation in PE

Page 46: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant

Diablo CoveIntake Cove

Intake Structure9.5x109 l day-1 (2.5x109 gal day-1)

Page 47: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

1

765

8

342

1

765

8

342

Point Buchon

A

Point San Luis

1 0 1 2 km

Rows = 1 - 8 Columns = A - H

S4 Current Meter

West Breakwater

Depth Contours

60 meters40 meters20 meters

DCPP

Open Coastal System

Diablo Canyon Power Plant

Source Water Sampling

• 64 stations in 3 km x 17 km grid

• Sampled monthly over two years

Page 48: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Open Coastal System

Diablo Canyon Power Plant

Cumulative Current Displacement

Cumulative Current Movement

Kilometers Alongshore

-800

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Kilometers Onshore-100 0 100 200 300

4/97

5/97

6/97

7/97 9/97

11/97

12/97

1/98

2/98 3/98

4/98

5/98

6/98

7/98

Cumulative Current Movement

Kilometers Alongshore

-800

-700

-600

-500

-400

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Kilometers Onshore-100 0 100 200 300

4/98

5/98

6/98

7/98 8/98

9/98 11/98 12/98

1/99 2/99

3/99 4/99

5/99

6/99

7/99

Kilometers Kilometers Offshore Onshore Offshore Onshore

Dow

ncoa

st

U

pcoa

st

Dow

ncoa

st

U

pcoa

st

Kilo

met

ers

Kilo

met

ers

a) Year 1 - April 1, 1997 through July 1, 1998 b) Year 2 - April 1, 1998 through July 1, 1999

Page 49: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant

NG

NPOnshoreCurrents

LG LPAlongshoreCurrents

density

Extrapola ted

densities

Source Water Extrapolations

Nearshore GS

P

LP

L= Offshore G

S

P

NP

N=

Page 50: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant

Density Extrapolated Ps

Pm = 9.62E-03Pm 90% Conf. Int. +/- 5.57E-02

Ps alongshore

0.00

0.07

0.14

0.21

0.28

0.35

0.42

0.49

0.56

0.63

0.70

Size of Population Relative to Study GridEquivalent Distance Alongshore

0x0 km

5x87 km

10x174 km

15x261 km

20x347 km

25x434 km

30x521 km

35x608 km

40x695 km

Page 51: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Open Coastal Systems

Page 52: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentDemographic

Models

Length Frequency

KGB Rockfishes

Min

1%

MeanMedian

99%

Max

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

N=9,926

0

5

10

15

2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.8

Sebastes KGB Complex All Entrainment

Perc

ent

Fre

quen

cy o

f O

ccu

rren

ce

Length Category (mm)

Age in Days

Page 53: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentDemographic Models

KGB Rockfish Larval Survival

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57

Days

Larv

ae (#

)

FH Slarvae = e (-0.14)(6.21) = 0.419

AEL Slarvae = e (-0.14)(60-6.21) = 0.0005

Page 54: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsFecundity Hindcasting

∏ •=

=

n

jTotalj

Total

FecunditySurvival

tEntrainmenFH1

)2

(/MaturationLongevity

yearEggsFecundityTotal

−•=

Page 55: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment Assessment Fecundity Hindcasting

KGB Rockfishes• Adjusted Annual Entrainment = 275,000,000• Average Annual Fecundity = 215,000• Longevity = 15 yr• Maturation = 5 yr• Larval Survival – instantaneous daily mortality

rate of 0.14 d-1 for blue rockfish = 0.419• Larval growth rate of 0.14 d-1 for brown

rockfish – to estimate larval duration

Page 56: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentFecundity Hindcasting

KGB Rockfishes

2)515(

000,213419.00.10.1

000,000,275617 −••••

==FH

egg survival yolk-sac survival

Page 57: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsAdult Equivalent Loss

AEL = ( Entrainmenttotal )(SEarly Larvae ) (SLate Larvae ) (SEarly Juv. ) (SLate Juv ). (SPre-Recruits )

Page 58: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsAdult Equivalent Loss

AEL = 1,120 = (275,000,000)(0.145) (0.0408) (0.00823) (0.125) (0.670)

AEL ≈ 2 (FH)

AEL = 1,120 ≈ 2 (FH = 617)

Page 59: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Current flow Current flow

Conceptualization of ETMand APF

���������������������������������������� � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �

� ���� ���� ���� ��������������

��� � ������� �������� �� ���

� � ��� � � � � � � �� � � � �� � ��������� � ���

Page 60: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Application of APF• Requires determining area of adult

habitat in extrapolated source water– Example – along 100 km of coast there

may only be 20 km of rocky reef supplying KGB rockfish larvae. APF is % of 20 km –not 100 km.

• May not be applicable to all habitats and species – open water pelagic habitat

Page 61: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Application of APF• Scale and context is important• Two fishes have estimated entrainment

losses (PM) of 1% and 10%– Case 1: PM = 1% - northern anchovy has

estimated source water of 1,000 km2,results in APF = 10 km2

– Case 2: PM = 10% - kelp bass occupying limited kelp habitat around intake of 1 km2, results in APF = 0.1 km2

Page 62: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Entrainment AssessmentGuidelines

• Study Design• Sampling and Processing• Analysis

Page 63: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com

Conclusions• Important to apply flexible, site-specific

approach to assessment• Entrainment effects best evaluated

using empirically based source water body information and the ETM model

• Effects less important with performance-based standards under new Rule

Page 64: The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and ......John Steinbeck Tenera Environmental 141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2 San Luis Obispo, CA 93401 805-541-0310 jsteinbeck@tenera.com