the why, when and how of assessing impingement and ......john steinbeck tenera environmental 141...
TRANSCRIPT
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The Why, When and How of Assessing Impingement and
Entrainment ImpactsCalifornia State Water Resources Control Board Workshop on: Regulation and Impact Assessment ofOnce-Through Cooling Systems of California Coastal Power Plants
John SteinbeckTenera Environmental141 Suburban Rd., Suite A2San Luis Obispo, CA [email protected]
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Assessing Impingement and Entrainment (I&E) Impacts
• Introduction– Types of CWIS Impacts– What Is the Goal of These Studies?– Impingement Study Design – Why Focus on Entrainment?
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Assessing I&E Impacts• Design Approach
– Entrainment Sampling Considerations• Where, What, How, Analysis
– Source Water Sampling Considerations– Assessment Models
• Other Necessary Data• Assumptions
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Assessing I&E Impacts
• Examples– South Bay Power Plant – gobies– Diablo Canyon Power Plant – rockfishes
• Interpretation• Guidelines
– Study Design– Sampling and Sample Processing– Analysis
• Conclusions
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‘Baseline’ Cooling Water Intake System
Flow
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Scale in Feet
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CWIS Impacts
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Goals of I&E Studies• Basic goal of these studies is estimation – not
hypothesis testing– Estimate best, unbiased point estimate of
population parameters – impingement, entrainment, source water numbers
– Estimate measures of variance for confidence intervals
• Basic requirement is for characterizing IM&E and baseline
• Percentage based performance standards result in same benefit regardless of baseline
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Goals of I&E Studies• Modeling effects on populations
(demographic or conditional mortality) good for providing context for effects, but really only useful under new Rule for showing benefit of reductions or scaling restoration
• Impact Analysis - Comparison with source water, reference stations, etc. requires much more rigorous design and extensive data –BACI (see Steinbeck, et al. 2005. Ecol. Applications) – not part of new rule
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Impingement
travelingscreens
debrisbasket
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Impingement• Sampling
– Frequency – weekly or biweekly – Measure rate every 4 – 6 hours for 24 h
• Estimating Impingement– Quantify all fishes and shellfishes (crab, shrimp,
etc.) and identify presence of other macro invertebrates
– Rate = # or biomass / flow during sampling period – Average rate per 24 h period used to extrapolate
over days between surveys based on actual, maximum, or estimated flow
– Data over year added to heat treatment collections to estimate total annual impingement
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Annual Weight of Impinged Fish Based on Actual Flow (Note Table is based on representative facilities and does not include impingement during heat treatments).
Power Plant County Study Year
Maximum Intake Volume
(million gal/day) Type of intake
Estimated annual weight (lbs)
impinged
Moss Landing Monterey 1979-1980 1,412 shoreline 10,000
Morro Bay San Luis Obispo 1999-2000 670 shoreline 2,500
Diablo Canyon San Luis Obispo 1985-1986 2,500 shoreline 1,6003
El Segundo Los Angeles 1999-2004 399 offshore 500
Huntington Beach Orange 1979-2004 2411 offshore 3,500
Harbor Los Angeles 1978-1979 1082 shoreline 6,200
Haynes Los Angeles 1978-1979 9683 shoreline 3,000
Scattergood Los Angeles 1978-1979 4954 offshore 6,940
Encina San Diego 2002-2003 857 shoreline 5,0005–8,0006
South Bay San Diego 2002-2003 601 shoreline 1,200 1 average flow during the studied years 2 current maximum flow. Average daily flow during impingement study was 241 mgd 3 current maximum flow. Average capacity factor during study was 46% 4 current maximum flow. Average capacity factor during study was 58% 5 weight based on actual annual cooling water flow during the study 6 weight based on maximum annual cooling water flow
Impingement
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Impingement• Site-specific results based on location, intake
design, not just flow– Open ocean location, ex. Diablo Canyon, probably
low because of low intake velocities and strong swimming ability of the fishes out on the open exposed coast
– Plants in more protected harbors and bays such generally higher
– Offshore intakes fitted with velocity caps also seem effective at reducing impingement
• Generally not considered a large problem at California plants, with exception of SONGS
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Why Focus on Entrainment?• Much more difficult to sample and
estimate effects• Possibly greater potential for impacts
due to large CWIS volumes at some facilities
• Unlike impingement, site-specific factors (plant and source water) affect study design
• Site-specific factors also affect ability to interpret results
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1. Calculate volume of cooling water entering the plant (V)
2. Measure concentration of larvae (number per volume) that are entrained (N)
3. Assume no survival of larvae through the plant
4. Entrainment = N x V
V
N
Entrainment
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Entrainment• Where to get a representative sample?• What to sample?• Sample processing – resources,
taxonomy• How to assess results?
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Entrainment Sampling Location
75 m
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Entrainment Sampling Location
bar racks
conduit walls
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Entrainment Sampling Location
Traveling Water Screen
Circulating Water Pump Motor
Conduit to Power Plant
Valve Open
Pump Impeller
Flow
Back Bay
Fore Bay
Bar Rack
Curtain Wall
Bongo PlanktonNets
Mooring Station
Mean Sea Level
Low Tide
High Tide
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What to Sample?• New 316(b) Phase II Rule requires
characterization of fish and shellfish– characterization vs. quantification
• What is a shellfish?– holoplankton vs. meroplankton– holoplankton may be distributed over large areas
of ocean, have short generation times (days), and may be capable of reproducing as long as environmental conditions are favorable
– meroplankton (larval fish and invertebrates) have limited distributions as adults along narrow coastal shelf, and may have limited spawning periods
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What to Sample?
• Volumetric estimates of effects on holoplankton (phyto- and zoo-plankton)
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source water
entrainment volume 5% of source water is good approximation of local effects on holoplankton
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SettlementAdults Adults
Reproduction Growth
Open System (have a larval phase)
Adults
ReproductionGrowth
Closed System (no larval phase)
Settlement
Larvae
Surf PerchSharksRays
GobiesBlenniesSculpins
HerringClamsCrabs
Susceptible to larval entrainment?YESNO
What to Sample?
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What to Sample?• Distribution of fish larvae
may be closely associated with adult habitats – DCPP and SBPP
• Close to volumetric in other habitats - HBPP
SB01
SB02
SB03
SB04
SB05
SB06
SB07
SB08
SB09
Stress: 0.05
SBPP
SB1
Intake Channel
Discharge Channel
Intakes
0 ft
-5 ft
-10 ft
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What to Sample?
larval kelpfish distribution during DCPP study
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What to Sample?• Fish Eggs
– Level of taxonomy doesn’t correspond to level for larvae – quantitative use limited
– Easy to account for in assessment models –add egg duration to ETM larval duration (assumes equal proportional entrainment for eggs and larvae)
– Qualitative assessment accounted for by counting fish eggs from only entrainment samples - still results in lots of extra work that doesn’t add equal amount of information
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EntrainmentSample Processing
• A 20-30 m3 sample can take upwards of 40 h to process for larval fish, invertebrates, and fish eggs
• From all DCPP sampling -150,000 larval fishes,350,000 larval crabs identified
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Entrainment Sampling• 335 vs 500 micron mesh• Frequency – weekly or biweekly over 24h
period every 4-6 h as close to intake as practical
• Duration – One year in absence of significant oceanographic events – PE estimates used in ETM should be independent
of changes in larval abundance allowing less frequent source water collections (monthly)
• All subject to local conditions, species present (ex. Potrero)
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• Demographic Models – useful in cost benefit– Adult Equivalent Loss (AEL)– Fecundity Hindcasting (FH)– Production Foregone
• Conditional Mortality Models – useful in scaling restoration– Empirical Transport Model (ETM)
EntrainmentAssessment Models
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Demographic Models
• fecundity
• age at maturity
• longevity
• survival data –eggs, larvae, other stages
Entrainment
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EntrainmentAssessment Model Data
Demographic Models• AEL – larval, juvenile, adult survival• FH – fecundity, age at maturity, egg and
larval survivalAll of these usually drawn from literature –
not site-specific, unknown what environmental, compensatory, depensatory, or other factors operating
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EntrainmentDemographic Models
Advantages/Disadvantages• Expresses losses as adults• Requires life history
information – not available for many taxa
• Requires adult stock data for interpretation
• Provides estimate for single year that may not be representative
Assumptions• Age-specific life history
data are constant for the population
• Values are representative for the time and location of the study
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Current flow Current flow
Flow through plant
Larvae
Conditional mortality due to entrainment =
������� ��� � �
Entrainment CWIS
SourceWater SOURCE
VV
ρρ
••
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EntrainmentConceptualization of ETM
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Empirical Transport Model• Only life history information is larval
growth rate to estimate duration
• Ps = ratio of area, volume, or number sampled to the larger population of inference – proportion of parental stock
�=
•−−=n
i
daysSiM PPEfP
1
)1(1
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EntrainmentETM Model
Advantages/Disadvantages• Expresses losses as larvae
– the entity sampled• Requires an estimate of
larval stock - sampling• Does not require life history
information – except larval growth rate also required for demographic models
• Scaling results to population level may be difficult
Assumptions• Field and entrainment
sampling are representative
• Estimates constant within sampling period
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Source Water Sampling• Representative of range of habitats and
species potentially affected by entrainment –listed spp., unique habitats
• For ETM, estimating daily proportional entrainment (PE) – area potentially subject to entrainment due to current or tidal flow– In open coast can be estimated using current data– In tidal estuary may encompass entire area
• Biweekly or monthly at same diel frequency as entrainment – depends on species present and conditions. Monthly in open coastal environments where PE = volumetric ratio.
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��������������������������������������������������������Cooperation among AES, NRG, and LADWP have resulted in design for Santa Monica Bay that is the most comprehensive cooling water system assessment since DCPP -21 stations and 3 current meters
Source Water Sampling
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Source Water SamplingIntake Hydraulic Zone of Influence (HZI)
• SW sampling designed to estimate spatial scale of entrainment effects that extend well beyond the HZI
• Focus on HZI could lead to biased sampling– Habitats outside HZI not sampled although they
contribute larvae to entrainment– Ignores dynamics of source water– Ignores the time of larval exposure– Entrainment sampling done within HZI
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EntrainmentAssessment Model Data
• ETM and Demographic Models both require data on age of larvae
• Estimated using larval growth rate from literature and lengths of larvae measured from entrainment
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EntrainmentOther Data
• Power plant cooling water flow (actual, design, or planned) for entrainment estimates
• Bathymetry for source water volume estimates
• Current data for coastal source water • Other hydrodynamic data for determining
source water in estuarine systems
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EntrainmentDefining Source Water Population
and Example Results
• Closed estuarine system – South Bay Power Plant, San Diego, CA
• Open coastal system – Diablo Canyon Power Plant, Avila Beach, CA
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Closed Estuarine SystemSouth Bay Power Plant
SBPP
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Closed Estuarine SystemSouth Bay Power Plant
• Ps = 1.0 means that entire source water sampled
• Justify source water area, volume, and sampling
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Closed Estuarine SystemSan Diego Bay Tidal Dispersion
• Model estimates of time required for 50% tidal exchange
• 600-1000 hrs for south San Diego Bay
Coronado Narrows
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Closed Estuarine SystemSan Diego Bay Bathymetry
SBPP
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Height (MLLW) Area Volume Region Datum ft m m2 ft2 m3 ft3
1 MWL 2.93 0.90 4,241,241 45,656,798 33,754,018 1,192,185,160
2 MWL 2.94 0.90 10,173,006 109,512,412 70,387,388 2,486,068,457
3 MWL 2.99 0.91 6,355,524 68,417,214 25,060,179 885,120,494
4 MWL 3.05 0.93 9,556,875 102,879,765 20,410,508 720,895,066
Total 30,326,646 326,466,189 149,612,092 5,284,269,177
Closed SystemSan Diego Bay Bathymetry
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SBPP ETM Model Data
Survey Date EA
(#/m3)
Estimated Number
Entrained
Source Water (#/m3)
Estimated Source Water PE
Survey Period (days)
Source Water
Population for Period
Source Population Proportion
(f) =fi(1-PEi)d
28-Feb-01 2.143 4,877,000 5.712 8.546E+08 0.0057 41 3.504E+10 0.2165 0.1900 29-Mar-01 1.069 2,433,000 3.643 5.451E+08 0.0045 29 1.581E+10 0.0977 0.0882 17-Apr-01 1.997 4,544,000 2.794 4.180E+08 0.0109 19 7.942E+09 0.0491 0.0382
16-May-01 2.036 4,633,000 1.770 2.649E+08 0.0175 29 7.682E+09 0.0475 0.0317 14-Jun-01 3.747 8,525,000 2.311 3.458E+08 0.0247 29 1.003E+10 0.0620 0.0350 26-Jul-01 4.047 9,208,000 2.740 4.100E+08 0.0225 42 1.722E+10 0.1064 0.0633
23-Aug-01 0.648 1,475,000 2.609 3.904E+08 0.0038 28 1.093E+10 0.0675 0.0619 25-Sep-01 1.057 2,406,000 2.307 3.452E+08 0.0070 33 1.139E+10 0.0704 0.0600 23-Oct-01 1.254 2,852,000 2.553 3.820E+08 0.0075 28 1.070E+10 0.0661 0.0557
27-Nov-01 1.655 3,764,000 2.390 3.576E+08 0.0105 35 1.252E+10 0.0773 0.0607 20-Dec-01 1.861 4,233,000 2.745 4.107E+08 0.0103 23 9.446E+09 0.0584 0.0461 17-Jan-02 3.554 8,087,000 3.132 4.686E+08 0.0173 28 1.312E+10 0.0811 0.0545
Average = 0.0118 PM= 0.2147
Larval duration=23 days
Note: little variation in PE
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Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant
Diablo CoveIntake Cove
Intake Structure9.5x109 l day-1 (2.5x109 gal day-1)
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1
765
8
342
1
765
8
342
Point Buchon
A
Point San Luis
1 0 1 2 km
Rows = 1 - 8 Columns = A - H
S4 Current Meter
West Breakwater
Depth Contours
60 meters40 meters20 meters
DCPP
Open Coastal System
Diablo Canyon Power Plant
Source Water Sampling
• 64 stations in 3 km x 17 km grid
• Sampled monthly over two years
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Open Coastal System
Diablo Canyon Power Plant
Cumulative Current Displacement
Cumulative Current Movement
Kilometers Alongshore
-800
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
Kilometers Onshore-100 0 100 200 300
4/97
5/97
6/97
7/97 9/97
11/97
12/97
1/98
2/98 3/98
4/98
5/98
6/98
7/98
Cumulative Current Movement
Kilometers Alongshore
-800
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
Kilometers Onshore-100 0 100 200 300
4/98
5/98
6/98
7/98 8/98
9/98 11/98 12/98
1/99 2/99
3/99 4/99
5/99
6/99
7/99
Kilometers Kilometers Offshore Onshore Offshore Onshore
Dow
ncoa
st
U
pcoa
st
Dow
ncoa
st
U
pcoa
st
Kilo
met
ers
Kilo
met
ers
a) Year 1 - April 1, 1997 through July 1, 1998 b) Year 2 - April 1, 1998 through July 1, 1999
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Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant
NG
NPOnshoreCurrents
LG LPAlongshoreCurrents
density
Extrapola ted
densities
Source Water Extrapolations
Nearshore GS
P
LP
L= Offshore G
S
P
NP
N=
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Open Coastal SystemDiablo Canyon Power Plant
Density Extrapolated Ps
Pm = 9.62E-03Pm 90% Conf. Int. +/- 5.57E-02
Ps alongshore
0.00
0.07
0.14
0.21
0.28
0.35
0.42
0.49
0.56
0.63
0.70
Size of Population Relative to Study GridEquivalent Distance Alongshore
0x0 km
5x87 km
10x174 km
15x261 km
20x347 km
25x434 km
30x521 km
35x608 km
40x695 km
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Open Coastal Systems
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Entrainment AssessmentDemographic
Models
Length Frequency
KGB Rockfishes
Min
1%
MeanMedian
99%
Max
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
N=9,926
0
5
10
15
2.3 2.8 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.8
Sebastes KGB Complex All Entrainment
Perc
ent
Fre
quen
cy o
f O
ccu
rren
ce
Length Category (mm)
Age in Days
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Entrainment AssessmentDemographic Models
KGB Rockfish Larval Survival
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57
Days
Larv
ae (#
)
FH Slarvae = e (-0.14)(6.21) = 0.419
AEL Slarvae = e (-0.14)(60-6.21) = 0.0005
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Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsFecundity Hindcasting
∏ •=
=
n
jTotalj
Total
FecunditySurvival
tEntrainmenFH1
)2
(/MaturationLongevity
yearEggsFecundityTotal
−•=
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Entrainment Assessment Fecundity Hindcasting
KGB Rockfishes• Adjusted Annual Entrainment = 275,000,000• Average Annual Fecundity = 215,000• Longevity = 15 yr• Maturation = 5 yr• Larval Survival – instantaneous daily mortality
rate of 0.14 d-1 for blue rockfish = 0.419• Larval growth rate of 0.14 d-1 for brown
rockfish – to estimate larval duration
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Entrainment AssessmentFecundity Hindcasting
KGB Rockfishes
2)515(
000,213419.00.10.1
000,000,275617 −••••
==FH
egg survival yolk-sac survival
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Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsAdult Equivalent Loss
AEL = ( Entrainmenttotal )(SEarly Larvae ) (SLate Larvae ) (SEarly Juv. ) (SLate Juv ). (SPre-Recruits )
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Entrainment AssessmentDemographic ModelsAdult Equivalent Loss
AEL = 1,120 = (275,000,000)(0.145) (0.0408) (0.00823) (0.125) (0.670)
AEL ≈ 2 (FH)
AEL = 1,120 ≈ 2 (FH = 617)
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Current flow Current flow
Conceptualization of ETMand APF
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Application of APF• Requires determining area of adult
habitat in extrapolated source water– Example – along 100 km of coast there
may only be 20 km of rocky reef supplying KGB rockfish larvae. APF is % of 20 km –not 100 km.
• May not be applicable to all habitats and species – open water pelagic habitat
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Application of APF• Scale and context is important• Two fishes have estimated entrainment
losses (PM) of 1% and 10%– Case 1: PM = 1% - northern anchovy has
estimated source water of 1,000 km2,results in APF = 10 km2
– Case 2: PM = 10% - kelp bass occupying limited kelp habitat around intake of 1 km2, results in APF = 0.1 km2
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Entrainment AssessmentGuidelines
• Study Design• Sampling and Processing• Analysis
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Conclusions• Important to apply flexible, site-specific
approach to assessment• Entrainment effects best evaluated
using empirically based source water body information and the ETM model
• Effects less important with performance-based standards under new Rule
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