the wda global longevity council agenda 2021
TRANSCRIPT
26 February 2021 | 1
The WDA Global Longevity CouncilAgenda 2021
Healthy and Unhealthy Ageing and Longevity across the World: What we know, what the differences mean, what could be done
and by whom?
Council Concept
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Guide Business, Society and Policy Makers successfully through on-going Population Dynamics
Longevity Dynamics• Analyze past and future longevity dynamics
globally • Interplay of health and longevity• Who is going to be a demographic winner?
Megatrends and Culture• How does demography interact with other
megatrends?• What is the influence of culture, social
interactions and relations?
Business Dynamics• Analyze business needs such as access to
healthcare, education/employment etc. for different regions
• Which other sectors will profit the most from the longevity?
Core ElementsInterdependencies of
Demographics, Culture and Business
Mission• To assess the ongoing and
future population dynamics at a regional/ country level with an explicit focus on health for a sustainable future
• To monitor longevity globally including factors enhancing or limiting the trend of longer life spans. Where will life expectancy continue to rise and where not? How will our planet look in 2050 from a demographic perspective?
• To advance the understanding that “Better health leads to longevity but longevity needs better healthcare!“
• To develop new tools and approaches addressing demographic issues and thus improve decision making both in the public and private sector
Vision• The Council has a global view on
demography and related other megatrends with a time horizon until 2050:
• To guide business, society and policy makers successfully through ongoing population dynamics, longevity and interdependencies with other global megatrends.
• To identify new ways of doing business and thus capture untapped opportunities in a world of demographic change.
• To serve as a global discussion platform for strategy and planning efforts guided by demography.
Council Output
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Guide Business, Society and Policy Makers successfully through on-going Population Dynamics
Healthy and Unhealthy Longevity
• What are the unique demographic challenges for the different regions?
• What is the effect of changes in health patterns on longevity?
• How do healthcare systems deliver in different regions? Who has the highest marginal utility of healthcare?
• “Society Stress Test”: due to shifts in demographic age structures and economic life cycles
Role of Family, Culture and Education
• How will people work in future and how will they create their income?
• What are the trends of family structures and intergenerational relations?
• Urbanization trends as consequence of ongoing population dynamics
• What are gender specific challenges with respect to demographic change?
• Intergenerational transfers of time and money
Business Dynamics
• Population health, healthy living, active ageing – which innovations will contribute to the achievement of these aspirations?
• What is the role of technology supporting demography?
• Will demography become a new shaping force for financial markets?
• Which Industries will profit from the demographic change – in which regions will they have the biggest potential and why?
Longer Lives and Population Ageing
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One of the largest Challenges in the coming Decades
Population Ageing/Longevity
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Why is it such a Challenge?
Demography across the world is characterized bydiffering qualitative and quantitative features:
Ø In contrast to a pandemic, the timing and magnitude of population dynamics are predictable
Ø In contrast to climate change with many endeavors to mitigate the issue (Kyoto Protocol, Paris Agreement, ….), population ageing is unavoidable:
Those people who will be in retirement in 2050 are all born already today!
The WDA Global Longevity Council
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Healthy and Unhealthy Ageing and Longevity across the world: What we know, what the differences mean, what could be done and by whom?
• Lay out the demographic underpinnings of population ageing and population decline in global and regional perspectives
• Discuss changes in mortality/life expectancy and fertility, the two major demographic factors of population aging and decline
• Address country-specific current topics that are likely of interest to non-professional/business people
• What could be done and by whom?
Our Topic in 2021
The WDA Global Longevity Council
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02/18 “Topic 2021” - session – agreeing on the 2021 theme 04/15 Defining structure of paper, defining the tasks of Council Members06/15 Discussion of input09/15 Discussion of input11/15 First draft of paper 12/15 Final paper, year-end session, next steps
Timelines 2021
The WDA Global Longevity Council
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Top-tier demographers from all continents have gathered in a platform to guide business, society and policy makers successfully through population dynamics in the 21st century.
Heather Booth, Professor of Demography, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
Nicholas Eberstadt, Henry-Wendt-Chair for Political Economy, American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Washington/DC, USA
Wang Feng, Professor of Demography, University of California, Irvine, CA and Fudan University, Shanghai, China
Hans Groth, President World Demograpgic & Ageing Forum (WDA Forum), St. Gallen, Switzerland
Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, Professor of Demography, University Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Cheikh Mbacké, Senior Fellow, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Finance Appliquée de Thiès, Dakar, Senegal
Irudaya Rajan S, Professor of Economics, Centre for Development Studies, Thiruvananthapuram, India
Roland Rau, Professor of Demography, University of Rostock & Max-Planck-Institute for Demography, Germany
Noriko O. Tsuya, Professor of Economics, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan
Pol Vandenbroucke, Chief Medical Officer, Hospital Business Unit, Pfizer Inc., New York, USA