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The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington DC, 25 April 2012 [email protected]

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Page 1: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

The U.S. natural gas revolution:will Europe be ready in time?

Paolo NataliTransatlantic AcademyThe German Marshall Fund of the United States

Washington DC, 25 April 2012

[email protected]

Page 2: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

Summary

• The new global gas glut and Europe’s position

• Market structures as functions of the past

• Infrastructure vs governance in the European network

• What policy options for Europe?

• Policy recommendations

Page 3: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

Regional natural gas prices

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 2012. Argos, Heren, Platts front month prices, 2012.

Page 4: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

LNG Terminals in Europe

Page 5: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

European natural gas market and main import sources

Page 6: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

Source: ENTSO-G, The European Natural Gas Network, March 2012.

Page 7: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

The future of the global gas market

Page 8: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

Backup Slides

Page 9: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

European LNG capacity increasing in the medium term

Page 10: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington

Today: not huge but significant capacity in a 500bcm market

Page 11: The U.S. natural gas revolution: will Europe be ready in time? Paolo Natali Transatlantic Academy The German Marshall Fund of the United States Washington