the us and the emerging markets: a geostrategic perspective · 2009. 2010. 2011. trade and economic...
TRANSCRIPT
The US and the Emerging Markets: A Geostrategic Perspective
Stephan Haggard
Global Trends in Regime Type: 1946-2011 Polity Scores
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Trad
e an
d Ec
onom
ic In
dex
Heritage Trade and Investment Index: 1996-2011
Brazil
Russia
India
China
OECD
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
DB2011 DB2012
Ease of Doing Business Rank: 2011-2012
Brazil
China
India
Russian Federation
OECD
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
US WTO Filings Against Brazil, China and India 1995-2012
Against China Against India Against Brazil
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Shar
e of
Wor
ld Im
port
s The Changing Geography of World Trade:
Share of World Imports, 1990-2011
High income
European Union
Low & middle income
United States
BRICs
Japan
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.019
82
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
(USD, Billions)China - North Korea Trade, 1982-2011
Imports from DPRKExports to DPRKTotal Trade Volume
Source: UN Comtrade, Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Econ
omic
Free
dom
Ove
rall
Inde
x
Heritage Economic Freedom Index: 1996-2011
Russia
Brazil
India
China
OECD
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Shar
e of
wor
ld im
port
s
Low & middle income countries
BRICs
Other low & middle countries
High income countries
EU 25
USA
Other high income countries
The Changing Geography of World Trade 1996-2008