the time value of money
DESCRIPTION
The Time Value of Money. Introduction to Time Value of Money, TVM Future Value, FV Lump-sum amount Annuity Uneven cash flow Present Value, PV Lump-sum amount Annuity Uneven cash flow FV and PV Comparison Solving for r and n Intra-year Interest Compounding Amortization. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
1
The Time Value of MoneyIntroduction to Time Value of Money, TVMFuture Value, FVLump-sum amountAnnuityUneven cash flow
Present Value, PVLump-sum amountAnnuityUneven cash flow
FV and PV ComparisonSolving for r and nIntra-year Interest CompoundingAmortization
2
Time Value of Money
Why is it important to understand and apply time value of money concepts?
What is the difference between a present value amount and a future value amount?
What is an annuity?
What is the difference between the Annual Percentage Rate and the Effective Annual Rate?
What is an amortized loan?
How is the return on an investment determined?
3
The Time Value of Money
Time value of money is considered the most important concept in finance
Mathematics of finance
“Nuts & Bolts” of financial analysis—apply of TVM concepts to determine value
Interest = Rate of return = r = i = k = Y
4
The Time Value of Money
“$1 received today is more valuable than $1 received in one year.” Why?Because if you have the opportunity to earn a positive return, investing the $1 today will cause it to grow to greater than $1 in one year. For example, $1 invested at 5 percent will grow to $1.05 in one year because 5¢ of interest will be earned.
5
Future Value and Present ValueFuture Value (FV)—determine to what amount an investment will grow over a particular time periodre-invested interest (earned in previous periods)
earns interestcompounding—interest compounds or grows the
investment
Present value (PV)—determine the current value of an amount that will be paid, or received, at some time in the futurePV is the future amount restated in current dollars;
future interest has not been earned, thus it is not included in the PV
discounting—deflate, or discount, the future amount by future interest that can be earned (“deinterest” the FV)
6
Lump-Sum Amounts, Annuities, and Uneven Cash Flow Streams
Lump-sum amount—a single amount invested (received) today or in the future; growth in value is the result of interest onlyAnnuity—equal payments made (received) at equal intervals; growth in value is the result of additional payments as well as interestordinary annuity—end of period paymentsannuity due—beginning of period payments
Uneven Cash Flows—payments that are not all equal that are generally made (received) at equal intervals; growth in value is the result of additional payments as well as interest
7
Cash Flow Time Lines
Helps you to visualize the timing of the cash flows associated with a particular situation
Constructing a cash flow time line is easy:
Time 0 1 2 3 4
Cash Flows -500
r = 10%
FVn = ?
8
Approaches to TVM SolutionsTime line solutionSolve using a cash flow time line
Equation (numerical) solutionUse equations to solve the problem
Financial calculator solutionFinancial calculators are programmed to solve time
value of money problems using the numerical solution
Spreadsheet solutionSpreadsheets contain functions that can be used to
solve time value of money problems using the numerical solution
Interest tablesObsolete
9
Future Value
Determine to what amount an investment will grow over a particular time period if it is invested at a positive rate of return.CompoundingLump-sum amountAnnuityUneven cash flow stream
10
Future Value, FV, of a Lump-Sum Amount
Example: If you invest $500 today at 10%, what will the investment be worth in four years if interest is paid annually?
Time 0 1 2 3 4
Cash Flows -500
r = 10%
FVn = ?
11
Future Value
Graphically, these computations are: 0 1 2 3 4
10%
× 1.10 × 1.10 × 1.10-500
End of year amount
= 550.00 = 605.00 = 665.50 = 732.05
× 1.10
FV4 = 500(1.10 x 1.10 x 1.10 x 1.10)
= 500(1.10)4
= 732.05
12
Future Value
The future value of an amount invested today for n years, FVn, can be found using the following equation:
FVn = PV(1 + r)n = PV(interest multiple)
FVn = future value in period nPV = present, or current, value
r = interest rate per periodn = number of periods interest is earned
13
Equation (Numerical) Solution
Determined by applying the appropriate equation:
FVn = PV x (1 + r)n
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
FVn = 500 x (1 + r)n
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
FVn = 500 x (1.10)n
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
FV4 = 500 x (1.10)4
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
FV4 = 500 x (1.10)4 = 732.05
14
Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4 10
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4 10 -500
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4 10 -500 0
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4 10 -500 0 ?
In our example: PV = $500, r = 10.0%, n = 4
4 10 -500 0 ?
732.05
15
Future Value of an Annuity
Annuity—a series of equal payments that are made at equal intervalsOrdinary annuity—end of the period
Annuity due—beginning of the period
The future value of an annuity, FVA, can be computed by solving for the future value of a lump-sum amount
16
Future Value of an Annuity, FVA
-100
Time
Cash Flows
0 1 2 3
-100
7%
-100x (1.07)0
100.00x (1.07)1
107.00x (1.07)2
114.49 FVA = 321.49
FVA = 100(1.07)2 + 100(1.07)1 + 100(1.07)0 = 321.49FVA = 100(1.07)2 + 100(1.07)1 + 100(1.07)0 = 321.49 = 100[(1.07)2 + (1.07)1 + (1.07)2] = 100(3.2149) = 321.49
17
FVA—Equation (Numerical) Solution
r1-r)(1
PMT r)(1PMT FVAn1n
0
tn
In our example: PMT = $100, r = 7%, n = 3
321.49 )100(3.2149
0.07
1-(1.07)100 FVA
3
n
18
FVA—Annuity Due
Annuity due is an annuity with cash flows that occur at the beginning of the period.
When compared to an ordinary annuity, which has end-of-period cash flows, the cash flows of an annuity due earn one additional period of interest.
19
FVA—Annuity Due
100.00x (1.07)1
107.00x (1.07)2
Time
Cash Flows
0 1 2 37%
114.49FVA = 321.49
114.49
107.00 x (1.07)
114.49x (1.07)
122.50FVA(DUE) =
-100 -100 -100-100 -100 -100 x (1.07)
x (1.07)0
343.99
20
FVA(DUE)—Equation (Numerical) Solution
In our example: PMT = $100, r = 7%, n = 3
343.99 )100(3.4399
1.07 0.07
1-(1.07)100 FVA(DUE)
3
n
r)(1
r1-r)(1 n
FVA(DUE)n = PMT
r1-r)(1 n
FVA = PMT
21
FVA—Financial Calculator Solution
N I/Y PV PMT FV
321.49
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100 In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
3
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
3 7.0
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
3 7.0 0
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
3 7.0 0 -100
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
3 7.0 0 -100 ?
FVA =
3 7.0 0 -100 ? N I/Y PV PMT FV
343.99
BEGIN
FVA(DUE) =
Solutions: Future value computations
FV of $25,000 lump-sum amount: N = 5, I/Y = 5,
PV = -25,000, PMT = 0, FV = ?
FV of $5,499.40 annuity: N = 5, I/Y = 5, PV = 0,
PMT = -5,499.40, FV = ?
FV of $25,000 lump-sum amount: N = 5, I/Y = 5,
PV = -25,000, PMT = 0, FV = 31,907
FV of $5,499.40 annuity: N = 5, I/Y = 5, PV = 0,
PMT = -5,499.40, FV = 31,907
23
Uneven Cash Flow Streams
Uneven cash flow stream—cash flows that are not all the same (equal)
Simplifying techniques (that is, using a single equation) used to compute FVA cannot be used
24
FV—Uneven Cash Flow Streams
-600 -200
4%
-400
1(1.04)
0 1 2 3
200.00
2(1.04)416.00
0(1.04)
648.96_______
1,264.96
012 200(1.04) 400(1.04) 600(1.04) FV
25
FV of Uneven Cash Flow Streams—Equation (Numerical) Solution
tn
1tt
nn
22
11n
r) (1CF
r) (1CF r) (1CF r) (1CF FV
1,264.96
)200(1.0000 )400(1.0400 )600(1.0816
200(1.04) 400(1.04) 600(1.04) FV 012n
26
FV of Uneven CF Streams—Calculator Solution
Input the cash flows, find the present value, PV, and then compute the future value, FV, of PV.
Discussed in the next section.
27
Present Value
Determine the current value of an amount that will be paid, or received, at a particular time in the future.
Finding the present value (PV), or discounting, an amount to be received (paid) in the future is the reverse of compounding, or determining the future value of an amount invested today.
We find the PV by “de-interesting” the FV.
28
Present Value—Lump-Sum Amount
What is the PV of $800 to be received in four years if your opportunity cost is 8 percent?
Stated differently: How much would you be willing to pay today for an investment that will pay $800 in four years if you have the opportunity to invest at 8 percent per year?
29
Present Value—Lump-Sum Amount
8%
PV = ?Cash Flows 800
0 1 2 3 4Time
30
Present Value—Equation (Numerical) Solution
Remember that FV is computed as follows:
FV = PV x (1 + r)n
FV = PV x (1 + r)n
In our example, FV4 = 800, n = 4, r = 8.0%
800 = PV x (1 + r)n
In our example, FV4 = 800, n = 4, r = 8.0%
800 = PV x (1.08)n
In our example, FV4 = 800, n = 4, r = 8.0%
800 = PV x (1.08)4
In our example, FV4 = 800, n = 4, r = 8.0%
Remember that FV is computed as follows:
800 = PV x (1.08)4
800 = PV x 1.36049PV = 800/1.36049 = 588.02PV = 800/1.36049
31
Present Value—Equation (Numerical) Solution
nr)(1
1FVPV
588.02 3) 800(0.7350
4(1.08)
1 800
PV Equation:
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, and N = 4
32
Present Value—Time Line Solution
Graphically, this computation is:
0 1 2 3 48%
588.02
End of year amount
635.07 685.87 740.74 800.00
08.1
1
08.1
1
08.1
1
08.1
1
33
PV Lump-Sum Amount—Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
4
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
4 8.0
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
4 8.0 0 800
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
4 8.0 0
In our example: FV = $800, r = 8.0%, n = 4
4 8.0 ? 0 800
-588.02
34
Present Value of an Annuity, PVA
100 100
7%
100
1(1.07)
1
0 1 2 3
93.46 2(1.07)
1
87.34 3(1.07)
1
81.63 81.63262.43= PVA
321 (1.07)
1100
(1.07)
1100
(1.07)
1100
)100(2.6243 (1.07)
1
(1.07)
1
(1.07)
1100
321
262.43
35
PVA—Equation (Numerical) Solution
r
PMT r)(1
PMT PVA nr)(1
n
1t
1 - 11
In our example: PMT = $100, r = 7%, n = 3
262.43 )100(2.6243
0.7
1100 PVA
3(1.07)
1 -
36
PVA—Annuity Due
Annuity due is an annuity with cash flows that occur at the beginning of the period.
37
PVA—Annuity Due
100 100
7%
100
0 1 2 3
93.46
87.34
81.63 262.43 =
PVA
100100
7%
100
0 1 2 3
100 1(1.07)
1
2(1.07)
1
3(1.07)
1
1(1.07)
1
2(1.07)
1
3(1.07)
1
100100
7%
100
0 1 2 3
100 (1.07)
(1.07)
(1.07)
100.00
93.46
87.34
280.8
0
(DUE)
38
PVA(DUE)—Equation (Numerical) Solution
In our example: PMT = $100, r = 7%, n = 3
280.80 )100(2.8080
1.07 0.7
1100 PVA(DUE)
3(1.07)3
1 -
r
1 nr)(1
1 -
PVA = PMT r
1 nr)(1
1 -
PVA(DUE)n = PMT x (1 + r)
39
PVA—Financial Calculator Solution
N I/Y PV PMT FV
-262.43
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100 3 7.0 100 0
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100 3 7.0 ? 100 0
= PVA
In our example: n = 3, r = 7%, PMT = $100
-280.80
N I/Y PV PMT FV
3 7.0 100 0
BEGIN
3 7.0 100 0BEGIN
3 7.0 ? 100 0
= PVA(DUE)
Calculator Solution:Calculator Solution:
N = 5, I/Y = 5, PMT = -5,499.40, FV = 0, PV = 25,000
000,25
)54595.4(40.499,5)05.1(x05.0
)05.1(
11
40.499,5PVA5
Calculator Solution:
N = 5, I/Y = 5, PMT = -5,499.40, FV = 0, PV = ?
Numerical Solution:
41
Uneven Cash Flow Streams
Uneven cash flow stream—cash flows that are not all the same (equal)
Simplifying techniques (that is, using a single equation) used to compute PVA cannot be used
42
Present Value of an Uneven Cash Flow Stream
600 200
4%
400
1(1.04)
1
0 1 2 3
576.92
2(1.04)
1
369.82 3(1.04)
1
177.80 177.80
1,124.54
321 (1.04)
1200
(1.04)
1400
(1.04)
1600
43
PV of Uneven Cash Flows— Equation (Numerical) Solution
t
n
1t
nn2211
r)(11
CF
r)(11
CF r)(1
1 CF
r)(11
CF PV
1,124.54
(1.04)
1200
(1.04)1
400 (1.04)
1600 321
44
PV of Uneven Cash Flows—Financial Calculator Solution
Use the cash flow (CF) register (see calculator instructions)
Input CFs in the order they occur—that is, first input CF1, then input CF2, and so on
CF0—most calculators require you to input a value for before entering any other cash flows
Enter the value for I NPV = PV of uneven cash flows
45
PV of Uneven Cash Flows—Financial Calculator Solution
CF0 = 0
CF1 =600
CF2 =400
CF3 =200
r = 4%
Compute NPV = 1,124.54
46
FV of Uneven CF Streams—Calculator Solution
Input the cash flows, find the present value, PV, and then compute the future value, FV, of PV
In our example, PV = $1,124.54, so the future value is:
FV = $1,124.54(1.04)3 = $1,264.95
Calculator solution:
CF0 = 0
CF1 = 2 million
CF2 = 4 million
CF3 = 5 million
Numerical solution:
PV = ($2 million)/(1.06)1 + ($4 million)/(1.06)2
+ ($5 million)/(1.06)3
= ($2 million)(0.943396) + ($4 million)(0.889996) +($5 million)(0.839619)
= 1.8868 + 3.5600 + 4.1981 = 9.6449
I = 6
NPV = 9.6448
48
Comparison of PVA, FVA, and Lump-Sum Amount
PMT = $100; r = 7%; n = 3
FVA = $321.49 PVA = $262.43
100 100
7%
100
0 1 2 3
PVA = 262.43 FVA = 321.49FV = 262.43 x (1.07)3 = 321.49
PV = 321.49/(1.07)3 = 262.43
A B
C
49
PVA, FVA, and Lump-Sum Amount
PMT = $100; r = 7%; n = 3; PVA = $262.43
1 $262.43 $18.37 $280.80 $100.002 180.80 12.66 193.46 100.003 93.46 6.54 100.00 100.00
PMT = $100; r = 7%; n = 3; PVA = $262.43
Beginning Interest Ending Payment/Year Balance @ 7% Balance Withdrawal
FVA = 321.49
50
Solving for Time (n) and Interest Rates (r)—Lump Sums
The computations for lump-sum amounts included four variables: n, r, PV, and FV.
If three of the four variables are known, then we can solve for the unknown variable—e.g., if n, PV, and FV are known, we can solve for r.
51
Solving for Interest Rates, r—Lump-Sum Amount
If $200 that was invested three years ago is now worth $245, what rate of return (r) did the investment earn?
-200
Time
Cash Flows
0 1 2 3
245
r = ?
52
Solving for r for a Lump-Sum—Equation (Numerical) Solution
FV = PV (1+r)n
245 =200(1+r)3
200245 3r)(1
1/3
200245 r)(1
1.0 -2.45 r 0.333
= 7.0%
53
Solving for r for a Lump-Sum—Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
-200
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
-200 245
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
3 -200 245
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
3 -200 0 245
In our example: PV = $200, FV = $245, n = 3
3 ? -200 0 2457.00
54
Solving for Number of Years, n—Lump-Sum Amount
If $712 is invested at 6 percent, how long will it take to grow to $848?
-712 848
r = 6% n = ?
Time
Cash Flows
0 1 2 …
55
Solving for n for a Lump-Sum—Equation (Numerical) Solution
712848 n(1.06)
n712(1.06) 848
nr)PV(1 FV
56
Solving for n for a Lump-Sum—Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
-712
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
-712 848
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
6.0 -712 848
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
6.0 -712 0 848
In our example: PV = $712, FV = $848, r = 6%
? 6.0 -712 0 848
3.00
57
Solving for Time (n) and Interest Rates (r)—Annuities
The computations for annuities included four variables: n, r, PMT, and PVA or FVA.
If three of the four variables are known, then we can solve for the unknown variable—e.g., if n, PVA (or FVA), and PMT are known, we can solve for r.
58
Solving for Interest Rates, r, for Annuities
The current value of an investment that will pay $300 each year for three years is $817. What rate of return (r) will the investment earn?
300
0 1 2 3
PVA = -817
r = ?
300 300
59
Solving for r for Annuities—Equation (Numerical) Solution
r
1300 817
r
1PMT PVA
3
n
r)(1
r)(1
1
1
-
-
To solve, use a trial-and-error process
Solution = 5.0%
60
Solving for r for Annuities—Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: PMT = $300, PVA = $817, n = 3
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: PMT = $300, PVA = $817, n = 3
3 -817 300 0
5.00
In our example: PMT = $300, PVA = $817, n = 3
3 ? -817 300 0
61
Solving for Number of Years, n, for Annuities
If $480 is invested each year at 8 percent, how long will take to grow to $2,816?
-480
FVA = 2,816
r = 8% n = ?
Time
Cash Flows
0 1 2 …-480 -480
62
Solving for n for Annuities—Equation (Numerical) Solution
0.08(1.08)
480 2,816
rr)(1
PMT FVA
n
n
1 -
1 -
To solve, use a trial-and-error process
Solution = 5 years
63
Solving for n for Annuities—Financial Calculator Solution
In our example: PMT = $480, FVA = $2,816, r = 8%
N I/Y PV PMT FV
In our example: PMT = $480, FVA = $2,816, r = 8%
8.0 0 -480 2,816
5.00
In our example: PMT = $480, FVA = $2,816, r = 8%
? 8.0 -480 2,816
64
Solving for r for Uneven Cash Flows
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)—average rate of return an investment earns
Capital budgeting decisions—decisions concerning what investments a firm should purchase
65
Intra-Year Interest Compounding
Interest is compounded more than once per year—quarterly, monthly, or daily
Adjustments to computations:Use the interest rate per compounding period
and the number of interest compounding periods during the life of the investment, or
Use the effective annual rate, EAR, and the number of years to maturity
66
Intra-Year Interest Compounding—Example
How much will an amount invested today grow to in two years if interest is paid quarterly? PV = $200 and r = 8%
Quarterly interest = 8%/4 = 2% = r/mNumber of interest payments = 2 years x 4 = 8 = n
200.00x 1.02
204.00
0Quarter
Year 0
1r = 2%
2 3 4
1
8
2
…x 1.02
208.08x 1.02
212.24x 1.02
216.49
FVn = PV(1 + r)n = FVn = PV(1 + r)n = 200(1.02)8 = 200(1.17166) = 234.33
234.33
67
Intra-Year Interest Compounding
Financial calculator solution:
N I/Y PV PMT FV
8 2.0 -200 0 ?
234.33
Financial calculator solution:
68
Intra-Year Interest Compounding—Effective Annual Rate
Interest = 8%, compounded quarterlyr = 8% per year is the simple, or non-compounded
rater/m = 2% per quarter is the effective rate per
compounding period (each quarter; m=4)
Effective Annual Rate (EAR), rEAR
rEAR = (1 + r/m)m – 1.0
m = number of interest payment periods per yearrEAR = (1.02)4 – 1.0 = 0.08243 = 8.243%
69
Intra-Year Interest Compounding—Using Effective Annual Rate
In our example: PV = $200n = 2 yearsrEAR = 8.243%
FVn = PV(1 + rEAR)n
= 200(1.08243)2
= 234.33= 200(1.02)8
70
Annual Percentage Rate, APR, Versus Effective Annual Rate, EAR
EAR—the rate of return per year considering interest compounding
rEAR = (1 + r/m)m – 1.0
APR—simple rate of return; does not consider compounding
APR = r/m x m = r = simple interestrEAR = APR only if interest is paid once per year—that is, annual compoundingrEAR > APR if interest is paid more than once per year
FVA—Financial Calculator Solution
N I PV PMT FV
0.016399
In our example: n = 365, PV = -$1, PMT = 0, FV = $1.06168
365 ? -1 0 1.06168
APR = 0.016399 x 365 = 5.986Advertise: 5.986% compounded daily
72
Amortized Loans
Loan agreement requires equal periodic paymentsA portion of the payment represents interest on the debt and the remainder is applied to the repayment of the debtAmortization schedule—used to determine what portion of the total payment is interest and what portion is repayment of principalMortgage payment—only the interest portion is considered an expense for tax purposes
73
Amortization Schedule—ExampleExample: $6,655 home-equity loan; r = 6%; n = 2 years; payments are made quarterlyThe constant payments per quarter represent an annuity and the amount of the loan ($6,655) represents the present value of the loan paymentsPVA = $6,655; (n x m) = 2 x 4 = 8 payments; r/m = 6%/4 = 1.5%Financial calculator solution:
N I/Y PV PMT FV
8 1.5 6,655 ? 0
-889
74
Amortization Schedule—Example
Payment = $889 Begin. Payment Interest (I) Loan Repay.
Year Pmt # Balance (Pmt) [1.5% x Beg Bal] = Pmt – I1 1 $6,655.00 $889 $99.83 $789.17
2 5,865.83 889 87.99 801.013 5,064.82 889 75.97 813.034 4,251.79 889 63.78 825.22
2 5 3,426.57 889 51.40 837.606 2,588.97 889 38.83 850.177 1,738.80 889 26.08 862.928 875.88* 889 13.14 875.86*
* Rounding difference
75
Answers to TVM Questions
Why is it important to understand and apply time value of money concepts?To be able to compare various investments.
What is the difference between a present value amount and a future value amount?Future value adds interest (compounds);
present value subtracts interest (“de-interests”).
What is an annuity?A series of equal payments that occur at
equal time intervals.
76
What is the difference between the Annual Percentage Rate and the Effective Annual Rate?APR is a simple interest rate quoted on
loans/investments, whereas EAR is the actual interest or rate of return.
What is an amortized loan?A loan paid off in equal payments over a specified
period, which include payments of interest and principal
How is the return on an investment determined?Compute the annual rate based on the amount to which
an investment will grow in the future.
Answers to TVM Questions