the sunbelt = high growth!. world (now) 6,571,046,993 us (now) 301,005,394 georgia estimate census...
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World (Now)
6,571,046,993
US (Now)
301,005,394
Georgia Estimate Census projections for July 2006 9,028,029
Georgia (July 2006) Actual Estimate 9,363,941
Change since 2000 1,177,488
Georgia in 2030 (Cen Projection) 12,017,838
Net Change 2,653,897
Net Change if 90% of real growth continues?
13,602,898
Additional people by 2030 ( Maybe ??) 4,238,957
Where Are We Headed? Where Are We Headed?
PopulationPopulation Growth Growth
*Atlanta MSA was 12th in population in 1990; 11th in 2000; 9th in 2003; 4th in population increase, 1990-2000, and 1st in population increase between 2000 and 2006.
2000 - 2006 2006 2000
MSA # Rank* # Rank # Rank
Atlanta 890,242 1 5,138,223 9 4,247,981 11
Dallas 842,423 2 6,003,967 4 5,161,544 5
Houston 824,542 3 5,539,949 6 4,715,407 8
Los Angeles 584,502 6 12,950,129 212,365,62
7 2
New York 495,534 7 18,818,536 118,323,00
2 1
Washington DC 494,217 8 5,290,400 8 4,796,183 7
Miami 456,293 9 5,463,857 7 5,007,564 6
Chicago 407,432 10 9,505,748 3 9,098,316 3
Philadelphia 139,595 26 5,826,742 5 5,687,147 4
Detroit 16,409 149 4,468,966 10 4,452,557 9
MSA: Metropolitian Statistical Area (28-County Area) Source: U.S. Census
Regional Growth
Where Are We Headed? Where Are We Headed?
15.5% of all 15.5% of all births in Georgia births in Georgia in 2005 were to in 2005 were to
Hispanic mothersHispanic mothers
People Turning 65 1995-2025
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000Th
ousa
nds
Peo
ple
Tur
ning
65
in Y
ear
Age Another Way
Over 60 2000: 1 in 10 2030: 1 in 5
US Dependency Ratio: (Elderly to Workers)2010: 246 per 1,000 2030: 411 per 1,000
Georgia is the 3rd youngest state: median age 34.3 Utah (1) 28.5, Maine (50) 41.2
Demographics
Household Type 1960 2000 2040
HH with Children 48% 33% 27%
Single-Person HH 13% 26% 30%
Figures for U.S.Source: Census for 1960 and 2000, 2040 adapted from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation’s Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century, HUD (2003).
More Non-“Traditional” Households
Retired Location Preference
In a cityIn a city 14%14%
In a suburb close to a cityIn a suburb close to a city 37%37%
In a suburb away from a cityIn a suburb away from a city 19%19%
In a rural communityIn a rural community 30%30%
SourceSource: National Association of Realtors & Smart Growth America, : National Association of Realtors & Smart Growth America, American Preference Survey 2004.American Preference Survey 2004.
Neighborhood Feature Preferences
Tra
nsit
Ac
ces
s
Scho
ol
Wa
lk
Sto
res,
Ea
tin
g
Sid
ew
alk
s
Hous
ing
Mix
Eth
nic
Mix
Incom
e M
ix
Lif
e-C
yc
le M
ix
Neighborhood Feature
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Perc
ent
Source: National Association of Realtors & Smart Growth America, American Preference Survey 2004.
In 1991, a group of leading architects and planners drafted a set of planning principles outlining an alternative development model for American cities and counties.
These principles, named for the “Ahwahnee” hotel in Yosemite, California where they where originally presented, have been considered one of the first articulations of "smart growth."
Origin of Smart GrowthOrigin of Smart GrowthOrigin of Smart GrowthOrigin of Smart Growth
Smart Growth America, a national organization, defines smart growth according to its outcomes which mirror the basic values of Americans. Smart growth achieves six goals:
1. Neighborhood livability2. Better access, less traffic 3. Thriving cities, suburbs and towns 4. Shared benefits5. Lowers costs, lower taxes 6. Keeping open space open
Definitions of Smart GrowthDefinitions of Smart GrowthDefinitions of Smart GrowthDefinitions of Smart Growth
1. Mix land uses.2. Compact building design3. Housing choices4. Walkable neighborhoods5. Communities with sense of places6. Open space and environmental protection7. Direct development to existing
communities8. Transportation choices9. Development decisions predictable and
cost effective10. Stakeholder collaboration
Smart Growth Network PrinciplesSmart Growth Network PrinciplesSmart Growth Network PrinciplesSmart Growth Network Principles
Regional Best PracticesRegional Best Practices
• VisioningVisioning• Transportation fundingTransportation funding• Training/educationTraining/education
What else is need from a law perspective?What else is need from a law perspective?
• Georgia Planning AssociationGeorgia Planning Association
www.georgiaplanning.org• Smart Growth NetworkSmart Growth Network
www.smartgrowth.org• ARC ProgramsARC Programs
www.atlantaregional.com
Resources