the state of knowledge: socioeconomic and environmental ... · the state of knowledge:...
TRANSCRIPT
The state of knowledge: socioeconomic and environmental impacts of wood energy value
chains in Sub-Saharan Africa
Dr. Phosiso Sola, East Africa DRYDEV Program Coordinator, World
Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) [email protected]
Dr. Paolo Cerutti, Senior Scientist, Center for International Forestry
Research (CIFOR),
Wen Zhou, Research Officer, Center for International Forestry
Research (CIFOR)
Co-authors:
Denis Gautier, Miyuki Iiyama, Jolien Shure, Audrey Chenevoy, Jummai Yila, Vanessa Dufe, Robert Nasi, Gillian Petrokofsky, and Gill Shepherd
TICAD IV Side Event: The Future of Wood-Based Energy
25th August 2016
World Agroforestry Centre, Nairobi
Why this systematic map?
• >70% of people in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) rely on woodfuel as their primary household energy source
• Woodfuel value chains are often associated with detrimental health and environmental impacts
• Lack of sound evidence and limited understanding of impacts woodfuel policy interventions are not based on the best available evidence
Objectives and Research Questions
• Provide a balanced and comprehensive review of the role and impacts of woodfuel value chains across SSA.
• Primary review question: • “What are the socio-economic, health, and environmental impacts of
woodfuel supply and demand in Sub-Saharan Africa?”
Methodology
Peer-reviewed protocol (Cerutti et al. 2015)
“What are the socio-economic, health, and environmental impacts of woodfuel supply and demand in Sub-Saharan Africa?”
Searches conducted on Web of Science, CAB Abstracts, and Scopus
Quality assessment
131 papers
Full text screening
198 papers
Title and abstract screening
659 papers
Search results
3979 hits
Reviewer additions
21 papers
English, French, Japanese
Sources of the evidence base
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
NU
MB
ER O
F PA
PER
S
YEAR
Evidence base
0 20 40 60 80 100
Tree growing
Management of natural trees
Harvesting
Processing
Transportation
Trade/Marketing
Consumption
Number of studies
Wo
od
fuel
inte
rven
tio
ns
stu
die
s
2 3
28
58
19
0
20
40
60
Trees on farm Shrubs Forests Savanna/Woodlands Mixed
Nu
mb
er o
f st
ud
ies
Ecosystem type at study site
Environmental impacts and indicators
Changes in environmental indicators
Forest cover (natural or
planted)
Forest condition, including forest
structure
Biodiversity C stocks GHG emissions Soil quality
Decrease 43 31 18 8 1 5
Neutral 9 8 3 3 0 1
Increase 3 2 2 2 3 5
Mixed 9 6 5 2 1 5
Total 64 47 28 15 5 16
Environmental impacts and indicators
Changes in environmental indicators
Forest cover (natural or
planted)
Forest condition, including forest
structure
Biodiversity C stocks GHG emissions Soil quality
Decrease 43 31 18 8 1 5
Neutral 9 8 3 3 0 1
Increase 3 2 2 2 3 5
Mixed 9 6 5 2 1 5
Total 64 47 28 15 5 160 10 20
deadwood-domestic
deadwood-commercial
livingwood-domestic
living wood-commercial
mixed-domestic
mixed-commercial
trees on farm-domestic
trees on farm-commercial
Number of studies
Wo
od
fuel
so
urc
e an
d p
rim
ary
use
Decrease
Neutral
Increase
Mixed
Environmental impacts and indicators
Changes in environmental indicators
Forest cover (natural or
planted)
Forest condition, including forest
structure
Biodiversity C stocks GHG emissions Soil quality
Decrease 43 31 18 8 1 5
Neutral 9 8 3 3 0 1
Increase 3 2 2 2 3 5
Mixed 9 6 5 2 1 5
Total 64 47 28 15 5 160 2 4 6 8
< 10 km
10-30 km
30-60km
>60km
Number of studies
Dis
tan
ce f
rom
mar
ket
Decrease
Neutral
Increase
Mixed
Health and socioeconomic impacts and indicators
0
10
20
Indoorpollution
Illness
Nu
mb
er
of
case
s
Outcomes of Woodfuel consumption
No change
Mixed
Increase
0 10 20 30 40 50
Assets
Employment
Equity
Costs
Profit
Income
Number of studiesSo
cio
eco
no
mic
ou
tco
mes
Decrease
Neutral
Increase
Mixed
The gaps
How much confidence do we have in the results of the studies
Nature of the evidence base: geographical distribution and scale
0 5 10 15 20
Kenya
Nigeria
South Africa
Tanzania
Zambia
firewood
charcoal
both
• Regional bias• Country dominance• Few countries for environmental
impact studies
0
10
20
Cam
ero
on
Co
ngo
DR
Ch
adG
abo
nTa
nza
nia
Uga
nd
aK
enya
Eth
iop
iaSu
dan
/So
uth
Su
dan
Som
alia
Sou
th A
fric
aZa
mb
iaM
alaw
iM
oza
mb
iqu
eB
ots
wan
aZi
mb
abw
eM
adag
asca
rN
iger
iaG
han
aM
ali
Sier
ra L
eon
eSe
neg
alN
iger
Togo
Be
nin
Bu
rkin
a Fa
so
Multicountry
Central Africa East Afica Southern Africa West AfricaN
UM
BER
OF
STU
DIE
S
LOCATION
Nature of the evidence base: geographical distribution and scale
0 20 40 60
Plot/ Sample
Designated area/ Reserve
Village/City
County/District/Department
Province/Region
National
Multi country
Number of studies
Geo
grap
hic
sco
pe
of
stu
dy
• Small scale for general conclusions
Nature of the evidence base: attribution
• Methodological design• 56% of the studies did not include comparators
Comparator Total Environmental studies
Socio economic studies
Health studies
No. % No. % No. % No. %
Total 152 93 60 27BACI (before-after & control-impact)
4 3 3 3 4 7 0 0
Before-After 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0Control-Impact 34 22 26 28 3 5 7 26Counterfactual 7 5 2 2 4 7 3 11Multiple cases 25 16 10 11 16 27 1 4Single case 61 40 38 41 30 50 13 48Time series 18 12 14 15 3 5 3 11
Nature of the evidence base: attribution
• Methodological design• Did not always
separate impacts of woodfuelinterventions from other activities
0 10 20 30
History of woodfuel…
Property rights and tenure
Infrastructure development
Woodcutting
Lack of employment
Governance
Fire
Urbanisation
Livestock grazing
Location
Gender
Biophysical factors
Agriculture expansion
Number of studies
Co
nte
xtu
al f
acto
rs
Discussion and Conclusion• Renewed interest in the topic since 2000
• Presence of trade-offs between socioeconomic outcomes (largely positive) and health and environmental outcomes (largely negative)
• 40% of the studies did not meet the quality assessment criteria of this systematic map
• Most studies did not meet the methodological standards• inadequate baseline information • lack of comparators • limited geographic scope
• No concrete evidence differentiating the impacts of woodfuel value chain from other activities
• Major limitation – accessing non digitalised literature especially pre 1980
Implications for Research
• Urgent need to design and undertake research using robust methodologies • At appropriate scales in order to make
substantial conclusions
• Use of appropriate comparators for rigor and reliability of results
• Long-term studies with corresponding baseline studies of initial socio-economic and environmental conditions
Implications for policy
• Woodfuel will remain important to millions of people (70-90%) in SSA, and thus should be a priority for national and international policy and development strategies
• Woodfuel use does have impacts on the environment and livelihoods; however, policy formulation must also consider contextual factors as equal or even greater determinants or sources of impact
• Policy formulation should adopt a multisectorial approach across health, environment, and livelihood issues
• Important to recognize trade-offs between socioeconomic and environmental outcomes