the solar wind and heliosphere (with a space weather emphasis!) v j pizzo (noaa/sec)
TRANSCRIPT
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The Solar Wind and Heliosphere
(with a space weather emphasis!)
V J Pizzo (NOAA/SEC)
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Key role of solar wind of the solar wind in Space Weather
Sun is source of disturbances launched at Earth, but …
structure at Sun is poorly observedstructure evolves during propagation to Eartheffect on geospace depends upon prior state of
magnetosphere
State of science: terrestrial weather prediction analog
observationally, like 1890 (telegraph alert) numerically (models) like 2000?
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Another key point:
Over 4π sphere (or even 1 sterad spread of major IP disturbance), TINY element actually strikes Earth
Solar wind fronts can be structured on these scales
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Main components of solar input to SW
global ambient solar winderupted magnetic flux distributionoutward pressure due to hot coronaextended heating for fast windrotational interactions
transients
solar energetic particles and cosmic rays
energetic photon emission
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Basics of solar wind expansion
Parker model (hydrodynamic, spherically sym, thermally driven)
Two insights: behave as fluidpressure gradient out to stellar background
Confirmed by Mariner 2 s/c in 1962
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How measured
in situ: detectors (0.3 to >80 AU) protons, electrons, ions
(neutrals, neutrons, dust)
remote: coronagraphXUVIPS – radio wavesurface field extrapolation
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What you should know about Observations
In situcalibration and intercalibration problemsat point within enormous 4π volumepart that intercepts Earth
Remote sensingline of sight integrationfog3D overlapforward modeling
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What you should know about Observations
[LOS Fig]
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C3 May 13 event
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Global ambient
Why study:
recurrent activitymost of SWpath for CMEspath for SEPs and CRs“killer” electrons
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Non-uniform outflow distribution
Fast from holes (fig -- xray phenomenon)
uniform, hot, low density
Slow from over streamer belt
ragged, cold, high density
Varies over solar cycle (min/max corona plot)
IMF formed by drawing rooted open field into IP space(Parker spiral)
Helios, Ulysses confirmation
Rotational interaction (streams)
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Coronal Holes
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Non-uniform outflow distribution
Rotational interaction (streams)
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Kinematics versus Dynamics
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Modeling
solar surface synoptic maps ground-based, MDI
MHS or MHD assumption for low corona
Big difference: NOT!
what does this tell us?
topology is the key
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Boundary Conditions
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Some Coronal Issues
“rigid” coronal vs photospheric differential rotation
Solar rotation – field line dragging – IP consequences
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Some Coronal Issues
Random walk of fieldlines
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Some Coronal Issues
Open field and Interchange reconnection
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Some Coronal Issues
open flux
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Transients
Fundamentally a magnetic phenomenon
General interaction – gopal
Specific interaction – O & Pshock much biggerinteraction strongly a function of bkgd
Cme/cme interaction
Particles (SEPs)
flare vs coronal shock origin controversy
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CMEs in a Structured Ambient
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Transients
Associations game – relating events at Sun with subsequent events at Earth
cant see what you really need towhat are they? – coronal field, 3D mass distr
too often judged on only what you can see
flare/cme myth
Signatures (incl helioseismology)
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SOHO EIT coronal wave event
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SOHO LASCO Halo Event
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acan-hb4d4tq.gif
Transients
Magnetic Clouds
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Transients
Stereo –multi-perspective viewing will allow for first time accurate determination of CME location, size, direction (3D structure?)
Heliospheric imaging
IPS – radio wave: front tracking
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Heliospheric Imager (case 1)
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3-D IPS TOMOGRAPHY• Assume static structures in frame corotating with Sun, use
rotation to provide multiple views
• Several different realizations (e.g., Jackson and Hick, Kojima et al.) incorporate density and velocity info
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Cosmic Rays and Space Weather
SEPs are hazard to astronauts outside LEO, but…
High-Z Gev particle flux main CR concern
Source is galaxy (also some from termination shock)
Spectrum, spatial and temporal variation well established by Voyager, Pioneer
Biological effects? Historical experience
Shielding?
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Philosophy of Modeling
Purposeoperational prediction (forecast tool)basic research
(understanding – gedanken experiment)
Internet downsideavailability (Zeus)
Most profitable approach:
Use model to address specific questions
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Concentrate on physical understanding rather than modeling technique or methodology (unless that is your specific goal!)
the criterion for “good modeling” –
you should learn something about underlying physical system!
but be careful – it is the visuals or the essence?
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12 May 1997 1 May 1998
21 April 2002 24 August 2002