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The Six Party Talks North Korea

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Page 1: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

The Six Party Talks

North Korea

The Six Party Talks

North Korea

Page 2: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Tran Thi Bich Ngoc

The Six Parties

NKNKSix Party Talks

Page 3: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Introduction

Purpose of the Six Party Talks (6PT): find a peaceful resolution for North Korea (NK) nuclear disarmament

Talks resulted from NK withdrawing from NPT in 2003

6 rounds of talks from 2003 to May 2007

Multilateral negotiations are now viewed as the best approach to deal with the North Korean nuclear program.

NK escalates its demands to justify delay its commitment.

The viability of 6PT is undermined by NK maneuvers.

Page 4: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Summary overview of nuclear standoff

NK’s series of ballistic missile launches on July 4 and nuclear test 9 October 2006 UN Resolutions 1695 & 1718 impose sanction on NK

The parties in the Six Party Talks have reached the February 13 agreement.

US Treasury Department released $25 million of North Korea-related a Macau-based bank in 14 March 2007.

North Korea delays to shut down its Yongbyon nuclear reactor by mid April as part of its obligations under a February 13 agreement.

Page 5: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Prospect for future of Six Party Talks

Cost/Benefit Analysis

Diplomatic resolutions to NK nuclear issue NK: sanction and isolation destabilization

in NEA

Isolation &

Sanctions

NK

Security Assurances

& Economic Benefits

Stick Carrot

Page 6: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Prospect for future of Six Party Talks

Security Assurances NK central motivation for nuclear weapons

is national security and regime survival

Security concerns should be addressed

Provide security assurances to NK

A number of historical examples (South Africa, Ukraine, Libya) seem to support the carrot policy

Page 7: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks

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Nuclear Crisis Spiral

Nuclear crisis

Return to negotiation

table

Withdraw from Talks

North Korea crisis spiral

Page 8: The Six Party Talks North Korea. LOGO Tran Thi Bich Ngoc The Six Parties NK Six Party Talks