the rising billions - complete deck

#PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

THE RISING

BILLIONS

presented by Arturo Pelayo

PRINZ 2017C L O S I N G K E Y N O T E

MAY 2017 ŌTAUTAHI


This presentation is for informational purposes only.

It was originally presented as the Closing Keynote of the PRINZ 2017 Conference in Christchurch, New Zealand. No copyright claim of imagery or content is made by the presenter and all other materials are shared under a Creative Commons License CC - NC - SA.

Content:

If you like what you see, let’s work together!Contact: [email protected]


Usage:

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I help organizations thrive with tools, coachingand insights in an accelerating future.


past press & media interviews…


presentation breakdown



AcceleratingFuture

1



UpendingOrganizations

1 2



National Context

1 2 3



1 2 3



1


We are living in very exciting times.



This is your present. Not your children’s. Not your children’s children’.


We’ve invested 2 days together now and it is time to connect the dots.


The following slides are not meant to scare you.

It is intended to make you aware of the context we live in. Awareness is the best antidote for ignorance.

inspirationperspiration

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Are you ready?

#BLATForumAKL

#PLATOONMX@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com #PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

10,000,000,000HUMANS OF EARTH BY 2050


Insight #1

2050


2050ELON’S MARS COLONY


2050ELON’S MARS COLONY


AKL Transport Airport Rail Link


Insight #2


8 TRENDS ARE RESHAPING OUR KIND + PLANET

Insight #3

EXPONENTIALKAUPAPA(first presented at NetHui 2015)


Insight #3

Kia puta rā anō he kaupapa hangarau hou kātahi anō ka tīni haere te noho o te hapori me ōna pūtake mahi moni.

Widespread social and economic change only happens once a solid technological foundation evolves to make it sustainable.

Insight #3


Kua puta rā ngā hangarau hou mō te ao whānui e kore haere ai ngā take mō ngāhangarau o mua , pēnei i te whakahaere ā-pūtahi nei, i te aroākapanga rānei.

Globally distributed and decentralized technologies have emerged that achieve superior results with respect to centralized and hierarchical ones.

Insight #3


Mā ngā hangarau hou nei ka kore haere ngā poupou kāwanatanga o ia whenua o ia whenua. Ko te hua kē ka puta ko te Hapori Hangarau.

These unstoppable technologies undermine and disrupt the Nation State’s supporting pillars. The resulting socioeconomic organization is the Network Society.

Insight #3


Pūngao

Energy


Hangahanga

Manufacturing


Kai

Food


Hauora

Health


Akoranga

Learning


Moni

Finance


Haumaru

Security


Kaupapa-here

Policy


2015 OUR NEW PARADIGM


2015 HEALTH

ENERGY FOOD

MANUFACTURING

LEARNING

FINANCE

SECURITY

POLICY


Network Society netsoc.org


#PLATOONMX@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

10 Billion2050


#1

Can’t drink from firehose

#2

Eight Trends

#3

Insights recap:


Not long ago…



a lot has changed!


Density Increase



2017 >

Miniaturization


Cost Reduction

Processing Power


10-15 year cycles

Independent of $


image by @CDIXON on MEDIUM

Here is a book you should read…



We are entering the next waveof technological change.


1981 1994 2007

image by @CDIXON on MEDIUM


2017

?


?



Mixed, Augmented & Virtual Reality.


No displays.


We are entering Augmented & Virtual Reality.

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ArturoPelayo.com #PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com


Simultaneous Localization and Mapping(SLAM)



Artificial Intelligence + Machine Vision



Artificial Intelligence


Image by Emilio Matthaei

#BLATForumAKL

order of magnitude cost drop

near-immediate new features & improvements

technology leapfrog

cheaper

better

faster


The Rising Billions



Who remembers the Babel Fish?



Surprise! It’s within reach in less than a decade.



$4.4M USD was raised in Indiegogo!



100+ LANGUAGES ONLINE TODAY

( Ten more languages than 18 months ago )


100,000,000,000WORD TRANSLATIONS

(as of May 2017)

/day

500,000,000/dayACTIVE USERS


8 LANGUAGES USE NEURAL MACHINE TRANSLATION

(35% of all Google Translate queries)

1,000,000,000MONTHLY ACTIVE USERS EACH


(as of May 2017)

+

2,000,000,000 ANDROID ACTIVE DEVICES

(as of May 2017)


If you were to sit and watch a billion hours of YouTube, it would take you over 100,000 years.

- YouTube Dev Blog

1,000,000,000HOURS WATCHED PER DAY

(as of May 2017)



100,000 years ago, our ancestors were crafting stone tools and migrating out of Africa while mammoths and mastodons roamed the Earth.

1,000,000,000 KILOMETRES TRAVELED (as of May 2017)


/day

3,000,000,000 (as of May 2017)


FILES UPLOADED TO GOOGLE DRIVE

/day


500,000,000ACTIVE USERS

(as of May 2017)

/mo

1,200,000,000/dayPHOTOS TAKEN

1,200,000,000 ACTIVE USERS


(as of May 2017)

700,000,000 ACTIVE USERS

/mo

/mo



(as of May 2017)


/mo

/day

83,000,000FAKE PROFILES


(as of May 2017)

300,000,000 PHOTOS SHARED

/day

510,000COMMENTS POSTED


(as of May 2017)

300,000,000 PHOTOS SHARED

/sec

/day


Now onto data…


Data processing of the Square Kilometre Array (SKA)

,000,00010,000,000,000

TEN PETABYTESPER HOUR


PB/h

ALL WORDS EVER SPOKEN BY HUMAN BEINGS

000,000,0005,000,000,000

FIVE EXABYTES


EB

GLOBAL MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC (monthly average since Dec 2016)

000,000,0007,200,000,000

SEVEN EXABYTES


EB/mo

2016 GLOBAL IP TRAFFIC

000,000,0001,000,000,000

ONE ZETTABYTE


,000 ZB


This is not even the warm-up.

You may wonder…“But I work in blended learning… How does this relate to me?”


4,000,000,000PEOPLE COMING ONLINE BY 2025


10,000,000,000HUMANS OF EARTH BY 2050



However…


1,300,000,000 PEOPLE W/OELECTRICITY

2,400,000,000 PEOPLE W/O TOILETS


7,600,000,000 ACTIVE GLOBALCELLPHONES

1,940,000,000 PEOPLE ON FACEBOOK

order of magnitude cost drop

near-immediate new features & improvements

technology leapfrog

cheaper

better

faster



Our accelerating future


WE ARE ON THE BRINK OF THE LARGEST JOB CREATION PERIOD OF HUMANITY


Before: Adaptation

Now: Augmentation

countriesempires


corporations individuals


Glimpses of the present.


We are about to hit the hockey puck…


@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

10-15 year cycles

Independent

FRANK DIANA#PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com #PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

sewage inspections


Manu Sharma DroneDeploy

Automated Flight

Cloud Map Processing automatically identify weeds,

targeted fertilizer application maps,

Crop stress (NDVI)


Direct-to-consumer 5G Networks


Facebook’s Aquila drone



2


Power dynamics arefundamentally changing.


Jeremy Heimans’ framework for Old vs New Power.

OLD POWER NEW POWERNEW POWER VALUES

Currency Current Speed

Held by few Made by many Networked governance

Downloads (hierarchical)

Uploads (grassroots) Do-it-ourselves

Commands Shares Collaboration

Leader-driven Peer-driven Participation

Closed Open Transparency




We need to support people who communicate science and ideas but that crucially enable independent critical thinking, personal agency and inquiry.



Dr Siouxsie Wiles Microbiologist, University of Auckland


Dr Michelle Dickinson Nanotechnologist, University of Auckland


Kaila ColbinCurator at SingularityU New Zealand

Dr. Lauren Fletcher


Andrew Hessel #PRConf17@mexiwi ArturoPelayo.com

Dr Andrew HesselSynthetic Biologist, Autodesk


Josiah ZaynerBiotechnologist | CEO, The Odin


Sebastian CociobaAmateur Plant Biologist

Principal, Biominica Labs


3



30,000,000 SQUARE KILOMETERS

West to East well into the Pacific Ocean up to French Polynesia and North to South covering Antarctica to Scott Base



There are 54 countries in the African continent.




West to East well into the Pacific Ocean up to French Polynesia and North to South covering Antarctica to Scott Base



There are 54 countries in the African continent.



I. Be ProactiveEnable the community where you work and live to doincredible thingsII. Thread the NarrativeUse this awareness to leapfrog or re-imagine your operational approachIII. Sweat it out.


Thank You.

[email protected] me


THE RISING

BILLIONS

presented by Arturo Pelayo

PRINZ 2017C L O S I N G K E Y N O T E

MAY 2017 ŌTAUTAHI

the rising billions - complete deck

Technology