the rise of analytics 3.0. thomas davenport
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THE RISE OF ANALYTICS 3.0
How to Compete in the Data Economy
By Thomas H. Davenport, IIA Research Director
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
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Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
About IIA
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IIA is an independent research firm for organizations committed to accelerating
their business through the power of analytics. We believe that in the new data
economy only those who compete on analytics win. We know analytics inside andout—it’s what we do. IIA works across a breadth of industries to uncover
actionable insights gleaned directly from our network of analytics practitioners,
industry experts, and faculty. In the era of analytics, we are teachers, guides and
advisors. The result? Our clients learn how best to leverage the power of
analytics for greater success in the new data economy.
Let IIA be your guide. Contact us to accelerate your progress:
Click: iianalytics.com
Call: 503-467-0210
Email: [email protected]
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About Thomas Davenport
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IIA Research Director Tom Davenport is the
President's Distinguished Professor of IT and
Management at Babson College, and a
research fellow at the MIT Center for DigitalBusiness. Tom’s "Competing on Analytics"
idea was recently named by Harvard
Business Review as one of the twelve most
important management ideas of the past
decade and the related article was named
one of the ten ‘must read’ articles in HBR’s75 year history. His most recent book, co-
authored with Jinho Kim, is Keeping Up with
the Quants: Your Guide to Understanding
and Using Analytics.
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CONTENTS
Introduction 5
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
1.0
2.0
3.0intro
sum
Analytics 3.0—Fast Impact
for the Data Economy 16
Summary &
Recommendations 29
Analytics 1.0—
Traditional Analytics 9
Analytics 2.0— Big Data 12
Analytics 3.0 is an environment that combines the best of 1.0 and 2.0 —a blend of bigdata and traditional analytics that yields insights with speed and impact.
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The impact of the data economy
goes beyond previous roles for data
and analytics; instead of slowly
improving back-office decisions, the
data economy promises newbusiness models and revenue
sources, entirely new operational
and decision processes, and a
dramatically accelerated timescale
for business.
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
Introduction:
The Rise of Analytics 3.0
Big-thinking gurus often argue that we havemoved from the agricultural economy to the
industrial economy to the data economy.
It is certainly true that more and more of our
economy is coordinated through data and
information systems. However, outside of the
information and software industry itself, it’s
only over the last decade or so that data-
based products and services really started to
take off.
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Around the turn of the 21st century, as the
Internet became an important consumer andbusiness resource, online firms including
Google, Yahoo, eBay, and Amazon began to
create new products and services for
customers based on data and analytics.
A little later in the decade, online network-oriented firms including Facebook and
LinkedIn offered services and features based
on network data and analytics.
These firms created the technologies and
management approaches we now call “bigdata,” but they also demonstrated how to
participate in the data economy. In those
companies, data and analytics are not just an
adjunct to the business, but the business
itself.
Examples of products and services
based on data and analytics:
search algorithms
product recommendations
fraud detection
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THE PIONEERS
“Cust
om Audiences” for targeted ads
“People You May Know”
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How GE adopted a big data approach:
► $2B initiative in software and analytics
► Primary focus on data-based products andservices from “things that spin”
► Will reshape service agreements forlocomotives, jet engines, and turbines
► Gas blade monitoring in turbines produces588 gigabytes/day—7 times Twitter dailyvolume
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
As large firms in other industries also adoptbig data and integrate it with their previous
approaches to data management and
analytics, they too can begin to develop
products and services based on data and
analytics, and enter the data economy.
GE is one of the early adopters of this
approach among industrial firms. It is placing
sensors in “things that spin” such as jet
engines, gas turbines, and locomotives, and
redesigning service approaches based on the
resulting data and analysis.
Since half of GE’s revenues in these
businesses come from services, the data
economy becomes critical to GE’s success.
“things that spin”
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Analytics 3.0 in Action
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ANALYTICS 3.0│FAST BUSINESS IMPACTFOR THE DATA ECONOMY
1.0Traditional
AnalyticsFast BusinessImpact for the DataEconomy
Big Data2.0
3.0
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“Analytics 3.0” is an appropriate name for this next evolution of the
analytics environment, since it follows upon two earlier generations ofanalytics use within organizations.
Analytics 3.0 represents a new set of opportunities presented by the dataeconomy, and a new set of management approaches at the intersection oftraditional analytics and big data.
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Analytics 1.0—TraditionalAnalytics
Analytics are not a new idea. To be sure, there
has been a recent explosion of interest in thetopic, but for the first half-century of activity,the way analytics were pursued in mostorganizations didn’t change much.
This Analytics 1.0 period predominated for halfa century from the mid-1950s (when UPSinitiated the first corporate analytics group in
the U.S.) to the mid-2000s, when online firmsbegan innovating with data.
Of course, firms in traditional offline industriescontinued with Analytics 1.0 approaches for alonger period, and many organizations stillemploy them today.
Analytics 1 0 Characteristics
1.0 Traditional Analytics
• Data sources relatively small andstructured, from internal systems;
• Majority of analytical activity wasdescriptive analytics, or reporting;
• Creating analytical models was atime-consuming “batch” process;
• Quantitative analysts were in “backrooms” segregated from business
people and decisions;• Few organizations “competed on
analytics”—analytics were marginal
to strategy;
• Decisions were made based onexperience and intuition.
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Analytics 1 0 Data Environment
This was the era of the enterprise data
warehouse and the data mart.
More than 90% of the analysis activityinvolved descriptive analytics,
or some form of reporting.
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
From a technology perspective, this was the
era of the enterprise data warehouse and the
data mart. Data was small enough in volume
to be segregated in separate locations for
analysis.
This approach was successful, and many
enterprise data warehouses became
uncomfortably large because of the number of
data sets contained in them. However,preparing an individual data set for inclusion in
a warehouse was difficult, requiring a complex
ETL (extract, transform, and load) process.
For data analysis, most organizations used
proprietary BI and analytics “packages” thathad a number of functions from which to
select.
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Copyright 2013, SAS Best Practices
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The Analytics 1.0 ethos was internal,
painstaking, backward-looking, and slow. Data
was drawn primarily from internal transaction
systems, and addressed well-understood
domains like customer and product
information.
Reporting processes only focused on the past,
without explanation or prediction. Statistical
analyses often required weeks or months.Relationships between analysts and decision-
makers were often distant, meaning that
analytical results often didn’t meet executives’
requirements, and decisions were made on
experience and intuition.
Analysts spent much of their time preparing
data for analysis, and relatively little time on
the quantitative analysis itself.
Analytics 1 0 Ethos
►Stay in the back room—as far away fromdecision-makers as possible—and don’tcause trouble
► Take your time—nobody’s that interestedin your results anyway
► Talk about “BI for the masses,” but
make it all too difficult for anyone butexperts to use
► Look backwards—that’s where thethreats to your business are
► If possible, spend much more timegetting data ready for analysis thanactually analyzing it
► Keep inside the sheltering confines ofthe IT organization
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Analytics 2.0—Big Data
Starting in the mid-2000s, the world began to
take notice of big data (though the term only
came into vogue around 2010), and thisperiod marked the beginning of the Analytics
2.0 era.
The period began with the exploitation of
online data in Internet-based and social
network firms, both of which involved massiveamounts of fast-moving data. Big data and
analytics in those firms not only informed
internal decisions in those organizations, but
also formed the basis for customer-facing
products, services, and features.
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Big Data2.0
• Complex, large, unstructureddata sources
• New analytical andcomputational capabilities
• “Data Scientists” emerge
• Online firms create data-basedproducts and services
Analytics 2 0 Characteristics
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These pioneering Internet and social network
companies were built around big data from thebeginning. They didn’t have to reconcile or
integrate big data with more traditionalsources of data and the analytics performedupon them, because for the most part theydidn’t have those traditional forms.
They didn’t have to merge big datatechnologies with their traditional ITinfrastructures because those infrastructuresdidn’t exist.
Big data could stand alone, big data analytics
could be the only focus of analytics, and bigdata technology architectures could be theonly architecture.
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Analytics 2.0 Data Environment
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Big data analytics as a standalone entity in
Analytics 2.0 were quite different from the 1.0
era in many ways.
As the big data term suggests, the data itself
was either very large, relatively unstructured,fast-moving —or possessing all of these
attributes.
Data was often externally-sourced, coming
from the Internet, the human genome, sensors
of various types, or voice and video.
A new set of technologies began to be
employed at this time.
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Key Developments in 2.0
- Analytics 2.0 -
► Fast flow of data necessitated rapid
storage and processing► Parallel servers running Hadoop for fast
batch data processing
► Unstructured data required “NoSQL”databases
► Data stored and analyzed in public
or private cloud computing environments
► “In-memory” analytics and “in-database”analytics employed
► Machine learning methods meant theoverall speed of analysis was much faster(from days to minutes)
► Visual analytics often crowded outpredictive and prescriptive techniques
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The ethos of Analytics 2.0 was quite different
from 1.0. The new generation of quantitativeanalysts was called “data scientists,” with both
computational and analytical skills.
Many data scientists were not content with
working in the back room; they wanted to work
on new product offerings and to help shape
the business.
There was a high degree of impatience; one
big data startup CEO said, “We tried agile
[development methods], but it was too slow.”
The big data industry was viewed as a “land
grab” and companies sought to acquirecustomers and capabilities very quickly.
Analytics 2 0 Ethos
► Be “on the bridge” if not in charge of it ► “Agile is too slow”
► “Being a consultant is the dead zone”
► Develop products, not PowerPoints orreports
► Information (and hardware andsoftware) wants to be free
► All problems can be solved in ahackathon
► Share your big data tools with thecommunity
► “Nobody’s ever done this before!”
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Analytics 3.0—Fast Impact for
the Data Economy
Big data is still a popular concept, and one
might think that we’re still in the 2.0 period.
However, there is considerable evidence that
large organizations are entering the Analytics
3.0 era.
It’s an environment that combines the best of
1.0 and 2.0—a blend of big data andtraditional analytics that yields insights and
offerings with speed and impact.
Rapid Insights ProvidingBusiness Impact
3.0
• Analytics integral to running thebusiness; strategic asset
• Rapid and agile insight delivery
• Analytical tools available atpoint of decision
• Cultural evolution embeds
analytics into decision andoperational processes
• All businesses can create data-based products and services
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Analytics 3 0 Characteristics
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ANALYTICS 3.0 │THE ERA OF IMPACT
1.0 TraditionalAnalytics
Rapid InsightsProviding BusinessImpact
Big Data2.0 3.0
• Primarily descriptiveanalytics and reporting
• Internally sourced,relatively small,
structured data
• “Back room” teamsof analysts
• Internal decisionsupport
• Analytics integral to running thebusiness; strategic asset
• Rapid and agile insight delivery
• Analytical tools available at pointof decision
• Cultural evolution embedsanalytics into decision and
operational processes
• All businesses can create data-based products and services
• Complex, large, unstructureddata sources
• New analytical andcomputational capabilities
• “Data Scientists” emerge
• Online firms create data-based products and services
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The most important trait of the
Analytics 3.0 era is
that not only online firms,
but virtually any type of firm
in any industry, can participate
in the data economy.
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
Although it’s early days for this new model, the
traits of Analytics 3.0 are already becoming
apparent.
Banks, industrial manufacturers, health care
providers, retailers—any company in anyindustry that is willing to exploit the
possibilities—can all develop data-based
offerings for customers, as well as support
internal decisions with big data.
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There is considerable evidence that when big
data is employed by large organizations, it is
not viewed as a separate resource from
traditional data and analytics, but merged
together with them.
In addition to this integration of the 1.0 and
2.0 environments, other attributes of Analytics
3.0 organizations are described on the
following pages.
"From the beginning of our Science
function at AIG, our focus was on bothtraditional analytics and big data. We
make use of structured and unstructured
data, open source and traditional
analytics tools. We're working on
traditional insurance analytics issues like
pricing optimization, and some exotic big
data problems in collaboration with MIT. It
was and will continue to be an integrated
approach.”
—Murli Buluswar, Chief Science Officer
AIG
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Analytics 3.0 in Action
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Multiple Data Types,
Often Combined
Organizations are combining large and small
volumes of data, internal and external sources,
and structured and unstructured formats to
yield new insights in predictive and
prescriptive models.
Often the increased number of data sources is
viewed as incremental, rather than arevolutionary advance in capability.
At Schneider National, a large
trucking firm, the company is
increasingly adding data from new
sensors—monitoring fuel levels,
container location and capacity,
driver behavior, and other key
indicators—to its logistical
optimization algorithms.
The goal is to improve—slowly and
steadily—the efficiency of the
company’s route network, to lower
the cost of fuel, and to decrease
the risk of accidents.
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Analytics 3.0 in Action
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A New Set of DataManagement Options
In the 1.0 era, firms employed data
warehouses with copies of operational data as
the basis for analysis. In the 2.0 era, the focus
was on Hadoop clusters and NoSQL
databases.
Now, however, there are a variety of options
from which to choose in addition to these
earlier tools: Database and big data
appliances, SQL-to-Hadoop environments(sometimes called “Hadoop 2.0”), vertical and
graph databases, etc.
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Enterprise data warehouses are stillvery much in evidence as well. Thecomplexity and number of choicesthat IT architects have to make aboutdata management have expandedconsiderably, and almost every
organization will end up with a hybriddata environment.
The old formats haven’t gone away,but new processes need to bedeveloped by which data and the
focal point for analysis will moveacross staging, evaluation,exploration, and productionapplications.
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The challenge in the 3.0 era is to
adapt operational and decision
processes to take advantage of whatthe new technologies and methods
can bring forth.
Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
Technologies and Methods areMuch Faster
Big data technologies from the Analytics 2.0period are considerably faster than previousgenerations of technology for datamanagement and analysis.
To complement the faster technologies, new“agile” analytical methods and machinelearning techniques are being employed thatproduce insights at a much faster rate.
Like agile system development, these methodsinvolve frequent delivery of partial outputs toproject stakeholders; as with the best datascientists’ work, there is an ongoing sense ofurgency.
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Integrated and Embedded Analytics
Consistent with the increased speed ofanalytics and data processing, models inAnalytics 3.0 are often being embedded intooperational and decision processes,
dramatically increasing their speed andimpact.
Some firms are embedding analytics into fullyautomated systems based on scoringalgorithms or analytics-based rules. Others arebuilding analytics into consumer-orientedproducts and features.
In any case, embedding the analytics intosystems and processes not only means greaterspeed, but also makes it more difficult fordecision-makers to avoid using analytics—usually a good thing.
Procter & Gamble’s leadership is
passionate about analytics and has
moved business intelligence fromthe periphery of operations to the
center of how business gets done.
P&G embeds analytics in day-to-day
management decision-making,
with its “Business Sphere”management decision rooms and
over 50,000 desktops equipped with
“Decision Cockpits.”
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Analytics 3.0 in Action
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Hybrid TechnologyEnvironments
It’s clear that the Analytics 3.0 environmentinvolves new technology architectures, butit’s a hybrid of well-understood andemerging tools.
The existing technology environment forlarge organizations is not being disbanded;some firms still make effective use ofrelational databases on IBM mainframes.
However, there is a greater use of big datatechnologies like Hadoop on commodityserver clusters; cloud technologies (privateand public), and open-source software.
The most notable changes in the
3.0 environment are new options
for data storage and analysis ,
and attempts to eliminate the ETL
(extract, transform, and load)step before data can be assessed
and analyzed.
This objective is being addressed
through real-time messaging and
computation tools such asApache Kafka and Storm.
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Analytics 3.0 Data Environment
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Data Science/Analytics/IT Teams
Data scientists often are able to run the whole show—or at least have a lot of
independence—in online firms and big data startups. In more conventional large firms,however, they have to collaborate with a variety of other players.
In many cases the “data scientists” in large firms may be conventional quantitative
analysts who are forced to spend a bit more time than they like on data management
activities (which is hardly a new phenomenon).
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And the data hackers who excel at extracting
and structuring data are working with
conventional quantitative analysts who excel
at modeling it.
This collaboration is necessary to ensure that
big data is matched by big analytics in the 3.0
era.
Both groups have to work with IT, which
supplies the big data and analytical
infrastructure, provides the “sandboxes” in
which they can explore data, and who turnsexploratory analyses into production
capabilities.
Teams of data hackers and
quant analysts are doing
whatever is necessary to get
the analytical job done,and there is often a lot of
overlap across roles.
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Chief Analytics Officers
When analytics and data become this
important, they need senior management
oversight.
And it wouldn’t make sense for companies tohave multiple leaders for different types of
data, so they are beginning to create “Chief
Analytics Officer” roles or equivalent titles to
oversee the building of analytical capabilities.
We will undoubtedly see more such roles in
the near future.
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► AIG
► University of Pittsburgh MedicalCenter
►The 2012 Barack Obamareelection campaign
► Wells Fargo
► Bank of America
► USAA
► RedBox
► FICO
► Teradata
Organizations with C-level
analytics roles:
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The Rise of Prescriptive
Analytics
There have always been three types ofanalytics:
1 descriptive, which report on the past;
2 predictive, which use models based on
past data to predict the future;3 prescriptive, which use models to specify
optimal behaviors and actions.
Analytics 3.0 includes all types, but there is anincreased emphasis on prescriptive analytics.
These models involve large-scale testing andoptimization. They are a means of embeddinganalytics into key processes and employeebehaviors. They provide a high level ofoperational benefits for organizations, butrequire high-quality planning and execution.
UPS is using data from digital
maps and telematics devices in
its trucks to change the way it
routes its deliveries.
The new system (called ORION,
for On-Road IntegratedOptimization and Navigation)
provides routing information to
UPS’s 55,000 drivers.
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Analytics 3.0 in Action
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SummaryEven though it hasn’t been long since theadvent of big data, these attributes add up toa new era.
It is clear from our research that largeorganizations across industries are joining thedata economy. They are not keeping traditionalanalytics and big data separate, but arecombining them to form a new synthesis.
Some aspects of Analytics 3.0 will no doubtcontinue to emerge, but organizations need tobegin transitioning now to the new model.
It means changes in skills, leadership,organizational structures, technologies, andarchitectures. Together these new approachesconstitute perhaps the most sweeping changein what we do to get value from data since the1980s.
Analytics 3 0
Competing In The Data Economy
► Every company—not just online firms—can create data and analytics-basedproducts and services that change thegame
► Not just supplying data, but customerinsights and guides to decision-making
► Use “data exhaust” to help customersuse your products and services moreeffectively
► Start with data opportunities or startwith business problems? Answer is yes!
► Need “data products” team good at data
science, customer knowledge, newproduct/service development
► Opportunities and data come at highspeed, so quants must respond quickly
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It’s important to remember that the primary
value from big data comes not from the data
in its raw form, but from the processing and
analysis of it and the insights, decisions,products, and services that emerge from
analysis.
The sweeping changes in big data
technologies and management approaches
need to be accompanied by similarly dramaticshifts in how data supports decisions and
product/service innovation processes.
These shifts have only begun to emerge, and
will be the most difficult work of the Analytics
3.0 era. However, there is little doubt thatanalytics can transform organizations, and the
firms that lead the 3.0 charge will seize the
most value.
The primary value from bigdata comes not from the data
in its raw form, but from the
processing and analysis of it
and the insights, decisions,
products, and services thatemerge from analysis.
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SUMMARY OF THE IDEA
Era 1.0: Traditional Analytics 2.0: Big Data 3.0: Data Economy
Timeframe Mid-1950s to 2000
Early 2000s to Today
Today and in the Future
Culture, Ethos Very few firms “compete on
analytics”…”we know what we know.”
Agile, experimental, hacking…new
focus on data-based products and
services for customers
Agile methods that speed “time to
decision”…all decisions driven (or
influenced) by data…the data economy
Type of analytics • 5% predictive, prescriptive
• 95% reporting, descriptive
• 5% predictive, prescriptive• 95% reporting, descriptive (visual)
• 90%+ predictive, prescriptive• Reporting automated commodity
Cycle time Months (“batch” activity)
An insight a week
Millions of insights per second
Data
Internal, structured…very few externalsources available or perceived as
valuable
“data”
Very large, unstructured, multi-source…much of what’s interesting is
external…explosion of sensor data
“Big Data”
Seamless combination of internal andexternal…analytics embedded in
operational and decision processes…
tools available at the point of decision
“Data Economy”
Technology Rudimentary BI, reporting
tools…dashboards…data stored in
enterprise data warehouses or marts
New technologies: Hadoop, commodity
servers, in-memory, machine learning,
open source…”unlimited” compute
power
New data architectures…beyond the
warehouse
New application architectures…specific
apps, mobile
Organization &
Talent
Analytical people segregated from
business and IT…”Back Room”
statisticians, quants without
formal roles
Data Scientists are “on the
bridge”…talent shortage
noted…educational programs on
the rise
Centralized teams, specialized
functions among team members,
dedicated funding… Chief Analytics
Officers … recognized training,
education programs
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ANALYTICS 3.0│FAST BUSINESS IMPACTFOR THE DATA ECONOMY
1.0Traditional
AnalyticsFast BusinessImpact for the DataEconomy
Big Data2.0
3.0
• Primarily descriptiveanalytics and reporting
• Internally sourced,relatively small,
structured data
• “Back room” teamsof analysts
• Internal decisionsupport
• Seamless blend of traditionalanalytics and big data
• Analytics integral to running thebusiness; strategic asset
• Rapid and agile insight delivery
• Analytical tools available at pointof decision
• Cultural evolution embedsanalytics into decision and
operational processes
• Complex, large, unstructureddata sources
• New analytical andcomputational capabilities
• “Data Scientists” emerge
• Online firms create data-based products and services
Today
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Recipe for a 3.0 World
Start with an existing capability for data management and analytics
Add some unstructured, large-volume data
Throw some product/service innovation into the mix
Add a dash of Hadoop
Cook up some data in a high-heat convection oven
Embed this dish into a well-balanced meal of processes and systems
Promote the chef to Chief Analytics Officer
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Copyright© 2013 IIA All Rights Reserved
Recommendations for Success
in the New Data Economy
iianalytics.com | 34
► Use five factors (DELTA), five levels(1-5) to establish and measureanalytical capability
► Become a student of the analytics
environment
► Educate your leaders on thepotential of analytics based onwhat you’re seeing
► Use IIA as your barometer
- Recommendations -
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Click: iianalytics.com
Call: 503-467-0210
Email: [email protected]
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