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+ The right answer to the wrong question The use of factor analysis and principal component analysis in the social sciences Jonathan Rose Research Fellow University of Nottingham [email protected]

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The right answer to the wrong question

The use of factor analysis and principal component analysis in the social sciences

Jonathan Rose

Research Fellow

University of Nottingham

[email protected]

+ Before we start

A note of caution from the introductory section of a chapter

on factor analysis and principal component analysis in The R

Book:

These techniques are not recommended unless you know exactly

what you are doing, and exactly why you are doing it. Beginners

are sometimes attracted to multivariate techniques because of the

complexity of the output they produce, making the classic mistake

of confusing the opaque for the profound. (Crawley, 2007: 731)

This may somewhat be overstating the case, but is none the

less a healthy reminder. In extremis, people‟s lives are being

staked on incorrect models (more on this later).

+ A fundamental conception of latent

variables

Latent structure: the possibility that the variance in the

observed variables (indicators) can be accounted for by a

smaller number of latent variables, which are conceivably of

a more fundamental nature.

These variables are „latent‟ in the sense that they are not

observed, and may well be unobservable.

Think, for instance, of intelligence, trust, confidence, happiness,

etc.

Almost everything we are really interested in measuring is a

latent variable, even if we don‟t use latent variable models.

+ What you want

A method to analyze the structure of data

Either by testing for a specific structure (confirmatory models), or

by attempting to discover a structure through various means

(exploratory models)

The understanding of which will tell you which of your

indicators are „like‟ the others, and which are „different‟:

basically, what we can lump together and what we can‟t.

+ Why do you need that?

More reliable measurement

Require fewer variables in an analysis

Avoid multicollinearity

Understand deep-seated processes that drive responses

Help with conceptualizing the world

Avoid spuriously high correlations caused by analyzing two

halves of the same whole as if they were in a cause and effect

relationship

+ So what might you do?

For many people, the first response would be this:

+ Then poke around the options…

Now we‟re really getting somewhere

+ This is going surprisingly well!

Now, we just move the variable names over. That big friendly

„OK‟ button looks so inviting. I bet if I press that I‟ll get my

factor analysis…The defaults will be fine. What‟s the worst

that can happen?

+ Result

We have findings.

Yay! Science!

Now: interpret the numbers!

+ But what did we actually get here?

Remember the method of analysis we chose?

And remember the title of the options box?

Any guesses?

+ That‟s right!

We got a Principal Components Analysis (PCA).

If you look carefully, there are clues that this is what you‟re getting;

but they don‟t make it anywhere near as explicit as it ought to

be…

+ I‟ve heard of PCA – isn‟t it basically

the same thing as a factor analysis?

No, despite how they are usually treated.

There are similarities, which we will discuss in a short while – but

the take-home message of the presentation is that PCA and FA are

fundamentally different things, even if the results can be similar in

some circumstances.

+ Terminological confusion

Factor analysis has one of the most confused and

contradictory terminologies of any analytical method

Confusion around principal components analysis and factor

analysis

Confusion between various kinds of factor analysis

Confusion as to what you get out (e.g. factors, components,

principal components…)

And that is without dealing with extraction system,

eigenvalues, factor retention criteria, loadings…

+ Perpetuating confusion

One of the things that perpetuates confusion is the habit in

introductory texts to deliberately conflate FA and PCA.

For example, in SPSS Survival Manual (2007, 3rd Ed.), Pallant

says, in the chapter called „Factor Analysis‟, “I have chosen to

demonstrate principal components analysis in this chapter. If

you would like to explore other approaches further, see

Tabachnick and Fidell (2007)”.

Judging by sales, and the number of copies in the library at

Nottingham, this book is clearly a popular way to learn about

quantitative analysis using SPSS – but even in the FA chapter they

don‟t discuss FA.

+ Perpetuating confusion

You might have seen in research papers people saying

things like: “we employed a principal components factor

analysis (PCF) to aggregate groups of attitudinal questions

that reflect a common cluster”. Or “We performed a principal

component factor analysis of all drug prescriptions during

the entire course of the illness in a representative sample of

naturalistically treated bipolar outpatients.” Or countless

other examples.

„Principal components factor analysis‟ basically doesn‟t exist,

it is a conflation of PCA and FA – and it‟s difficult to know

exactly what one gets when papers say that they did this.

+ But PCA and FA are similar, right?

Somewhat. Indeed, sometimes people argue that “either that

there is almost no difference between principal components

and factor analysis, or that PCA is preferable (Arrindell & van

der Ende, 1985; Guadagnoli and Velicer, 1988; Schoenmann,

1990; Steiger, 1990; Velicer & Jackson, 1990).” (from Costello

& Osborne, 2005, Best Practices in Exploratory Factor Analysis)

However…

+ PCA vs Factor Analysis

Whilst there are overlaps, and sometimes the solutions are

similar, they are fundamentally different procedures. They

are different:

Conceptually

Mathematically

Practically

However, you should note that how different analyses will be

in practice is not easily specified before hand

+ Conceptual matters

A very general latent variable model

Applies to all kinds of latent variable models

Multiple causes of manifest items

But with an important shared cause

(note that this is slightly different from

how you might see such models

elsewhere).

+ The factor analytic conceptual

model

Conceptually much like other latent variable models

Unique components are included in the „error‟; they are

standardly lumped together because in reality you cannot

separate them

+ The PCA conceptual model

Notably different from the FA model, and from the conceptual

model of latent variables

+ PCA and causality

It is also more difficult to interpret PCA as a causal model,

since PCA is aiming to give you a a number of linear

combinations of the variables so as to capture the variance in

the set of items as a whole, rather than an analysis of shared

variance (as in FA). This breaks (standard) conceptual

models of causality.

There is no need for the relationship to be causal, and so it‟s

not such a big deal when people introduce items that are

clearly not caused by an underlying factor.

+ Mathematics

The equations underlying the procedures reflect this

difference in approaches.

For factor analysis, the model is:

For PCA it is:

+ The mathematical differences

between FA and PCA

It‟s easy to see that the equations are different. One includes

error and unique variance, and the other does not. But this

difference means that the analyses are not even conducted

upon the same information.

+ The PCA matrix

+ The factor analysis matrix

+ Different matrices, different

answers?

So, we have seen that the mathematics are different, and that

means that we use different matrices for our analysis – but

does that mean that we are likely to see radically different

results when we perform analyses?

According to Dunteman (1989) in the Sage green book on

PCA, “Both principal components analysis and factor analysis

give similar results if the communalities of the variables are

high and/or there are a large number of variables”

That the communalities being high makes a difference is not

surprising, since it makes the diagonal increasingly close to 1

(which is how it is in PCA).

+ Practical matters

If there were no practical implications of the choice between FA and PCA, or only minor ones, there would be very little to worry about. Yes, one model might be formally inappropriate, but we use formally inappropriate models all the time: linear regression of dichotomous items, SEM of non-multivariate normal data, etc., etc.

Unfortunately, FA and PCA are particularly susceptible to small deviations – not really because of any mathematical quirk, because of you. FA and PCA, perhaps more than any other method of analysis, require a significant degree of interpretation and theoretical consideration. Coefficients never fully speak for themselves, but they do so even less in FA/PCA than we are used to.

+ A worked example

Data on the psychological impact of Huntington‟s Disease

1803 cases

Dealing with:

Depressed mood

Low self-esteem

Suicidal thoughts

Anxiety

Compulsions

Perseveration

Apathy

Aggression

Irritability

Hallucinations

Delusions

+ Research findings

Of articles which analyze similar data, or older versions of

the same dataset, “[a]ll the studies have shown distinct

factors for depression, executive functions and irritability.”

(Rickards et al., 2011)

This study finds 4 factors – depression, executive function,

irritability, and also psychosis.

We might take issue with the idea of extracting 4 dimensions

anyway (more on this after the lunch break), but let‟s take it

as read for the minute that there really are 4. Does the

decision to use FA, rather than PCA, make a difference?

+ Again on terminology…

Note that they call their article “Factor Analysis of…”, but

actually use PCA – as do most other people as best as I can

tell (if you‟re going to do it, at least report what you actually

do).

+ Two 4-D solutions: FA (left)/PCA (right)

+ Similar, but not identical results

Compulsive behaviour, perseveration and apathy – or just

compulsive behaviour and perseveration ?

Do hallucinations and delusions „go together‟?

Notice also the changes in the coefficients for aggression

(„dab‟) and irritability („ib‟)

+ Not just mathematical quirks

This has real implications – the differences we see here are

not „massive‟, in a traditional sense, but they would have

genuine consequences for how we interpret the world

around us.

In the article published using this research, they chose to

bold coefficients over 0.4 – on this criterion, apathy doesn‟t

warrant inclusion in the FA model at all

Yet the objective of the analysis is to develop rating scales for

use in actual day-to-day treatment. Errors here are

potentially very serious.

+ If anybody is interested, a few

seconds on rotation

+ Rotated solution

+ And finally, differences in software

Whilst this may be a problem which is especially bad in SPSS,

the problem is far more general. Try looking through R

packages that perform these types of analysis and try to

figure out what you are actually getting from the routine

(Normalization as standard? Rotation as standard? Which

rotation? How many factors does it standardly extract?...)

I‟ve been unable to easily replicate a PCA analysis between

SPSS and R (using prcomp or princomp) – although the code

suggests I should be seeing essentially the same thing.

+ Recommendations

We started with the advice that “[t]hese techniques are not

recommended unless you know exactly what you are doing,

and exactly why you are doing it.”

So what are practical ways to begin, to make sure you‟re

doing it right.

Study the manuals, or if you can, the code itself. It is rarely obvious

what routines actually do from the main interface itself.

Think carefully about what you actually want to find out before

you analyze the data you have – do you want a causal model? Do

you care about „unique‟ variance?

Test different options that you could have sensibly used to see

how big a difference it would make.

+ tl;dr

Factor analysis is not the same as principal components

analysis.

They can lead to different conclusions.

So be careful.

+

Q & A