the retail development crisis: what now? - kelley cnu17

116
The Healthy Communities Agenda: How We Can Work Together Dee Merriam, FASLA Community Planner National Center for Environmental Health U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention “The findings and conclusions in this presentation have not been formally disseminated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and should not be construed to represent any agency determination or policy.” June 13, 2009 Congress for the New Urbanism

Upload: congress-for-the-new-urbanism

Post on 25-Jan-2015

331 views

Category:

Business


0 download

DESCRIPTION

 

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

The Healthy Communities Agenda: How We Can Work Together

Dee Merriam, FASLACommunity Planner

National Center for Environmental Health U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

“The findings and conclusions in this presentation have not been formally disseminated by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and should not be construed to represent any agency determination or policy.”

June 13, 2009

Congress for the New Urbanism

Page 2: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

U.S. Health Care Expenditures as Percent of GDP Projections

Keehan et al: Health AffairsMarch/April 2008 27: 145-155

Page 3: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

For every age group from 3 through 33--crashes were the No. 1 cause of death

Injury -Vehicle Crashes

Page 4: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Miles per capita– more than doubled in one generation

Miles per Capita: 1960 to 1995 From 4,000 to 9,200 VMT per person

Page 5: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Disease in the 21st Century• Mental Disorders: Depression,

Anxiety, Developmental, Substance Abuse

• Macro-environment: Climate, Conflict• Aging Populations• Overweight: Chronic Diabetes II,

Heart Disease

Page 6: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Climate-The European Heat Wave of 2003

Excess deathsFrance 14,802Germany 7,000Spain 4,230Italy 4,175UK 2,045Netherlands 1,400Portugal 1,316Belgium 150TOTAL 35,118

Source: Earth Policy Institute

Page 7: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Climate

Page 8: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Recovery from surgery

• All cholecystectomies in a Pennsylvania hospital, May-October, 1972-1981

• Exclusions: age <20 or >69; serious complications; history of psychological problems

• Matched pairs: “tree view”patients with “brick wall view” patients

Page 9: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Results: The “tree view” patients had• shorter hospitalizations (8.70 days vs 7.96 days)

• less use of analgesic medications• fewer negative nurse notes (e.g. “needs much

encouragement,” “upset and crying”)

Ulrich, Science, 1984

Recovery from surgery

Page 10: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Trees and urban LifeStudies in Robert Taylor Homes,Chicago

• 28 identical high-rise buildings along a 3-mile corridor

• Some have nearby vegetation, others do not• Residents randomly assigned to apartments• A “natural experiment”

University of IllinoisHuman-Environment Research LabWilliam Sullivan, Frances Kuohttp://www.herl.uiuc.edu/

Page 11: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 12: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 13: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 14: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Robert Taylor Homes interview study

• 145 residents• Asked about social

dynamics and aggressive behavior

• Compared answers from people living with and without nearby nature

Page 15: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Know Peopleon Floor

Know NextDoor Neighbor

Unity / Cohesionnot at all

a little

quite

very

somewhat

Strength of CommunityPositive Interactions

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

trees

no trees

Page 16: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Many VisitorsDaily

Socializewithin Bldg.

Know Peoplein Bldg.

Strength of CommunityPositive Interactions

not at all

a little

quite

very

somewhat

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

trees

no trees

Page 17: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

AcknowledgeEach Other

HelpEach Other

not at allnot at all

a littlea little

quitequite

veryvery

somewhatsomewhat

Strength of CommunityPositive Interactions

No Trees

No Trees

trees

no trees

Page 18: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

00

.1.1

.2.2

.3.3

.4.4

.5.5

.6.6

spiteful threatenedto hit

threw orsmashed

threw atpartner

Proportion Yes

Aggressive behavior against partnerNegative Interactions

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

treesno trees

Page 19: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

0

.1

.2

.3

.4

.5

.6

Hit withsomething

Hit with fist

Beat themup

Used gun or knife

Proportion Yes

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

Aggressive behavior against partnerNegative Interactions

trees

no trees

Page 20: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Aggressive and Violent Behavior

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

PsychologicalAggression

Mild Violence Severe Violence

Mea

n V

alue

s

No Trees

No Trees

No Trees

Aggressive behavior against partnerNegative Interactions

trees

no trees

Page 21: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Inactivity, Overweight & Health

Inactivity OverweightIncreased mortalityCardiovascular diseaseCancersDepressionGall bladder diseaseOsteoporosisDyslipidemiasHypertension

Evidence links inactivity and overweight with…

Page 22: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

United States 1990 to 2000

Page 23: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

0

25

50

75

100

Relationship Between BMI and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes

Chan J et al. Diabetes Care 1994;17:961.Colditz G et al. Ann Intern Med 1995;122:481.

Age

-Adj

uste

d R

elat

ive

Ris

k

Body Mass index (kg/m2)

MenMen

WomenWomen

<22 <23 23-

23.9

24-

24.9

25-

26.9

27-

28.9

29-

30.9

31-

32.9

33-

34.9

35+

1.02.91.0

4.31.0

5.01.5

8.12.2

15.8

4.4

27.6

40.3

54.0

93.2

6.7 11.6

21.3

42.1

Page 24: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes - 1994

1 state exceeds 6%

Page 25: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes - 2001

2 states exceed 9%

Page 26: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Percentage of US Adults with Diagnosed Diabetes - 2007

10 states exceed 9%

Page 27: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 28: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Sam’s Check Up

10 year old boy

Page 29: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

“Problem” List

• Physical exam unremarkable• Ht 54” (50%) • Wt 115# (95%)• BP 140/90• Blood glucose elevated, urine normal• Cholesterol 220• Signs of Depression

Page 30: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Treatment Plan

• Weight loss program • Referral to “overweight” clinic • TV out of the bedroom; no soft drinks in

the house• Exercise program; Encourage sports

Page 31: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

"Outstanding in Its Field"

Hubbard Lake Elementary School, Hubbard Lake, Michigan.

Page 32: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 33: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

PP slide courtesy of Doug Allen

Destinations are not connected.

Sam’s house

Park

Joe’s house

Page 34: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Two Months Later…

• Lost One pound• Can’t change the food at school• Day is already too full• No Time for exercise; “not good at

sports”• No place to Walk

Page 35: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

– Antihypertensive medication

– Oral Hypoglycemic agent

– Cholesterol lowering agent

– Antidepressant• Monthly medication

costs: $385

2 months later our patient could be taking:

Page 36: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

• The “environment” is rigged against the patient…

• And the doctor.

Page 37: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

5 states over 10%

1985No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 2001;286:10.

Page 38: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1990Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 39: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

5 states over 15%

1991No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 40: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1992No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 41: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1993No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 42: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1994No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 43: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1995No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 44: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1996No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 45: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1997No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

3 states over 20%

Page 46: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1998No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 47: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

1999No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 48: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2000No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Page 49: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2001No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Source: Mokdad AH, et al. J Am Med Assoc 1999;282:16, 2001;286:10.

Alabama over 25%

Page 50: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2002No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 51: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2003No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 52: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2004No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 53: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2005No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 54: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2006No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Page 55: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults, BRFSS(*BMI ≥30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5’ 4” person)

2007No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Only 1 state under 20%

Page 56: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

NHANES -- Measured

NHANES – In person interview-- self-reported

BRFSS – Telephone Interview

BMI US Females 1988-1994

Page 57: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

download from CDC at:

www.cdc.gov / nccdphp / dnpa / obesity / trend / maps

The data shown in these maps were collected through the CDC’s Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS).

Page 58: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Creating or improving access to places for physical activity can result in a 25% increase in the percent of persons who exercise.

•www.thecommunityguide.org•AmJ Prev Med 2002

Page 59: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Walkinggood for…Obesity!

Heart disease!Cancer!

Depression!Diabetes!

Gall bladder!Social life!

Page 60: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Higher density and connectivity Lower obesity Atlanta study 2004

Page 61: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

↑ Physical activity

↓ Air pollution

And by the way…

↓ Infrastructure costs ↑ Social capital

↓ CO2emissions

↓ Depression

↓ Injuries

↓ Osteoporosis

Page 62: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

The sidewalk level:

The NationalThe National““Never WalkNever Walk””CampaignCampaign

12 Strategies

Page 63: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #1:

Don’t Build Sidewalks

Page 64: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 65: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 66: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #2:

Build Repellant Sidewalks

Page 67: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 68: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #3:

Allow Sidewalks to Disintegrate

Page 69: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 70: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #4:

Build Treacherous Sidewalks

Page 71: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 72: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #5:

Obstruct Sidewalks

Page 73: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 74: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 75: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #6:

Use creative design.

Page 76: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 77: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 78: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #7:

Crosswalks should be dysfunctional, if not silly.

Page 79: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 80: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 81: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 82: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #8:

Combine Multiple Strategies

Page 83: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 84: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 85: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy # 9:

Never place an interesting or useful destination within walking distance of where anybody lives

Page 86: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 87: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy #10:

Just Say It

Page 88: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 89: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy # 11:

Turn places to parkinto architectural icons.

Page 90: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17
Page 91: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Strategy # 12:

Make everything car-accessible.Everything!

Page 92: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Pharmacies

Page 93: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Dry Cleaners

Page 94: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Baked goods

Page 95: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Groceries

Page 96: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Booze

Page 97: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Tobacco

Photo courtesy of Lyle McCoon, Jr., Nicholasville/ Jessamine County (KY) Parks & Recreation

Page 98: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Gambling

Photo courtesy of Lyle McCoon, Jr., Nicholasville/ Jessamine County (KY) Parks & Recreation

Page 99: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Auto Service

Page 100: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Fine Food

Page 101: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Coffee

Page 102: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Banking

A nice touch…Braille buttons for

blind drivers

Page 103: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Mail Boxes

Page 104: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Utility Bills

Page 105: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Drive-thru sewer

payments:Mt. Juliet,

Tennessee

Page 106: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Tunnel of Vows Drive-Thru Wedding ChapelLas Vegas, NV

Page 107: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Drive-up wedding windows

Page 108: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Child support payments

Page 109: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Drive-Thru Funerals

Gardner Memorial ChapelDavidson, TN

Junior Funeral HomePensacola, FL

Page 110: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Trees…then

Page 111: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Trees…now

Page 112: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

The next frontier of drive-thru:Health care?

Page 113: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Parking

Page 114: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

?

Page 115: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

ResourcesHealthy Places web Site:www.cdc.gov/healthyplaces

BRFSS– data and trends regarding public health:http://www.cdc.gov/nccdphp/tracking.htm

2008 guidelines Physical Activity Guidelines:http://www.cdc.gov/physicalactivity/everyone/g

uidelines/adults.html

Dee Merriam- 770-488-3981- [email protected]

Page 116: The Retail Development Crisis: What Now? - Kelley CNU17

Dee Merriam 770-488-3981

[email protected]/healthyplaces