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The “regional dimension” of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for Africa, Least Developed Countries and Special Programmes, UNCTAD Workshop on Industrial Development and Globalisation 19 May 2011

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Page 1: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

The “regional dimension” of industrial policy: the role of

regional integration and regional cooperation

Milasoa Chérel-Robson

Africa Section, Division for Africa, Least Developed Countries and Special

Programmes, UNCTAD

Workshop on Industrial Development and Globalisation

19 May 2011

Page 2: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Structure of the session

Part I: Regional integration

I. Brief history of regional integration in Africa

II. Regional integration has economic development motives

III. The relevance of regional integration for industrial development

IV. Obstacles to furthering regional integration in Africa of relevance to industrial development

Part II: South South cooperation in Africa

I. The state of South-South cooperation

II. Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa

III. Selected recommendations for increasing the relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development

3-4 minutes per slide including class discussion and questions

Page 3: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

• Part I: Regional integrationI. Brief history of regional integration in Africa

Key points: understanding the origins and the rationale behind regional integration in Africa.

Understanding the links between integration at Pan African level and integration at sub-regional.

Page 4: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Part I: Regional integrationI. Brief history of regional integration in Africa

• Regional integration in Africa dates back to the 1960s and had mostly political motives.

• 1963: Creation of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU).

• Subregional groupings were created to provide the underpinnings of the continent-wide African Economic Community (AEC) by 2027.

Page 5: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for
Page 6: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

II. Regional integration has economic development motives

Key points: Unpacking the development benefits that can be gained from regional integration.

Page 7: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

II. Regional integration has economic development motives (1)

• Theoretical motivations for trade blocs:– Allocation effects

A corrolary of the allocation effect is scale and variety effects.

– Accumulation or growth effect

Higher efficiency and faster accumulation improves competitiveness.

Page 8: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Regional integration has economic development motives (2)

• Defined as intra-Afican flows of trade in goods, services, investment and migration

• Improves competitiveness• Allows economies of scale• Serves as a launching pad for African

economies’ effective participation in the global economy.

Page 9: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Table 1: Current state of intra-African trade (table 4 p 25 of EDAR 2009)

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III. The relevance of regional integration for industrial development

Key points: Looking specifically into the positive impact that regional integration can have on industrial development.

Differentiating between potential benefits for domestic and foreign firms.

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III. The relevance of regional integration for industrial development (1): providing economies of scale for domestic firms

• Lowering trade barriers increases market size. The potential of the African market for manufacturing goods produced in Africa is real: 40 percent of exports of manufacturing in Africa come from within Africa.

• Six out of the 10 fastest growing economies in the world over 2001-2010 were African.

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Africa’s export composition

Page 13: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

The relevance of regional integration for industrial development (2): lowering the cost of infrastructure

development

• The pooling of resources from different countries to build key infrastrure essential for improving competitiveness. Ex: the North/South corridor in ESA.

• Regional integration brings more peace and security that in turn favour the pooling of resources.

Page 14: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

The relevance of regional integration for industrial development (3): harmonisation of

regulatory and legal framework

• Harmonisation of taxation, regulation of investment and rules of origins lowers transaction costs.

• For example, SADC: harmonisation of taxation, investment, stock exchange and insurance.

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The relevance of regional integration for industrial development (4): can collectively

attract FDI

• The characteristics of a trade bloc can influence the locational decision of foreign firms because of larger market size.

• Members of trade blocs can also collectively have a set of policies for FDI.

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IV. Obstacles to furthering regional integration in Africa of relevance to industrial development

Key point: Discussing what hinders regional integration and hence industrial development.

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IV. Obstacles to furthering regional integration in Africa of relevance to industrial development

• Costs of membership

• Perceived threats by domestic private sector: there is no viable mechanism for redistribution using benefits of the net gainers to compensate the more disadvantaged regional partners.

• Institutional capacity of regional bodies in fullfilling their mandates.

Page 18: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Part II: South South cooperation• The state of South-South cooperation in Africa.

Key points: state of South South cooperation in Africa.

Understanding the mechanisms behind Africa’s cooperation with other non-African developing countries.

Page 19: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Part II: South South cooperation

I. The state of South-South cooperation in Africa (1)

• Regional cooperation within Africa -> regional integration through regional economic communities (covered in Part I).

• Regional cooperation with non-African developing countries has increased since 2000. List of countries: the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Brazil, China, Cuba, India, Kuwait, the Republic of Korea, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and United Arab Emirates.

Page 20: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

The state of South-South cooperation in Africa (2)

• Through political, economic and technical cooperation.

• Interaction with countries enable exposure to lessons learnt from their development experience that could be of benefit to African countries.

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Page 22: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

• II. Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa

Key points: understanding the mechanisms through which South South cooperation could benefit industrial development in Africa.

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II. Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (1)

• Southern partners generally use official flows to promote trade and investment activities in Africa. It is not aid but ‘expressions of solidarity and cooperation borne out of shared experiences and sympathies’.

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Share of Africa’s total trade with developing countries including non African countries has

been on the rise since 1990

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Page 26: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (2): investment

in infrastructure and productive sectors

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Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (3)

• potential market for manufacturing despite heavy concentration of exports of primary commodities for now.

• Africa’s exports of Low to Medium and High technology manufacturing to Republic of Korea, Saudia Arabia, United Arab Emirates was higher than 10 percent in 2008.

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Page 29: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for
Page 30: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

• Southern FDI to Africa is increasing but the industrial sector still has to attract more investment in manufacturing.

• The current situation is that manufacturing constitutes a very small part of Southern FDI.

Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (4)

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Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (5): Links with

technology-conscious economies.

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Relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development in Africa (6)

• Formation of alliances between Africa and Southern countries has changed the pace and dynamics of multilateral trade and climate change negotiations.

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III. Selected recommendations for increasing the relevance of South South cooperation for industrial development

Key points: Listing what needs to be done to increase the positive impact of South South cooperation on industrial development in Africa.

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III. Selected recommendations for increasing the relevance of South South cooperation for industrial

development

• Engagement at regional level not only on a bilateral level. Devise a regional industrial strategy if non existent.

• Influence the composition of trade and investment and increase the role of manufacturing.

• Establish a real FDI for development policy.• Be assertive.

Page 35: The regional dimension of industrial policy: the role of regional integration and regional cooperation Milasoa Chérel-Robson Africa Section, Division for

Thank you !

Main sources: UNCTAD’s Economic Development in Africa Report for 2009 and

2010.Additional references will be provided on CD of

the course.