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The RAINS-ItalyProject
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
T. Pignatelli - Italy
A tool for Policy Planning and Assessment
In this presentation:
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
1) General Information on the project
3) The RAINS-Italy characteristics
4) Applications in the international context
5) Applications at national / local level
6) Some results
7) Future developments
2) The project objectives
The RAINS-Italy Project
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
1) Established in 2002 as Joint Research Project ENEA-IIASA
2) Sponsored by the Italian Ministry for the Environment, within the larger MINNI Project (National Integrated Modelling system for International Negotiations)
3) Works carried out jointly by ENEA, IIASA and ARIANET
4) To be completed within April 2005
5) People involved: (ENEA) F.Monforti, P.Ornelli, T.Pignatelli, G.Vialetto, G. Zanini(IIASA) TAP Project Staff
(ARIANET) G.Brusasca, G.Calori, S.Finardi, P.Radice, C.Silibello
The objectives of the RAINS-Italy project
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
1) Development of an Integrated Assessment Model, on national scale withthe same features of the RAINS-Europe Model, for policy analysis purposes
3) Adaptation of the RAINS structure to the Italian Administrativeregions
4) Inclusion in RAINS-Italy of a number of Large Combustion Plantsindividually considered (Power Plants, Refineries)
2) Atmospheric Chemistry and Pollutant Transport based upon a national developed eulerian modelling system
The RAINS-Italy characteristics
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
20 Administrative Regions
4 Metropolitan Areas, 1 National Sea Traffic Area
14 Large Power Sources
The RAINS-Italy Structure (source areas)
Atmospheric Tranfer Matrix
Created by the FARM model
Base meteorological year 1999
The RAINS-Italy characteristics (cont.)
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
National, regional cost-curves
Output (nation, regions, metro-areas):
Emission scenarios for SO2, NOx, NH3, VOC, PM
Deposition/concentration maps for acidification,eutrofication, PM, ozone
Heath impact from ozone and PM
National Sea Traffic emissions separately considered
Large Power Sources emissions
The RAINS-Italy Grid
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005EMEP 50 km MINNI 20 km
The RAINS-Italy within the MINNI Project
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
AMS
Creation of the Atmosferic Tranfer Matrix in RAINS-Italy
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Piemonteregion
“Atmosferic Transfer
matrix”
RAINS-Italy and AMS mutual feeding
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Atmosperic Atmosperic Modelling Modelling
SystemSystemRAINS ItalyRAINS Italy
Applications in the international context
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Emission Scenario Analyses in the frame of :
- The CAFE Program of the EU Commission
- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( within the TFIAM )
- The revision of the NECD of the EU Commission (2001/81/CE)
- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( ICP Materials )Italian Sub-Center for Stocks at Risk (Cultural Heritage)
- The UN-ECE CLRTAP ( provisions art. 8 and revision of the Gothenburg Protocol )
Italian Sub-Center for Stocks at Risk (Cultural Heritage)
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Applications at national/regional level
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Emission Scenarios and deposition/concentration maps in the frame of :
-The Air Quality Directive (96/62/CE) and daughter dirrectives of the EU Commission (plans & programmes referred to art. 8)
- Ex-ante, Ex-post assessment of measures at national/regional level
- Sectoral emission analysis at regional level (relative contribution from sectors)
- Sectoral emission analysis at national level (e.g. pollution from seagoing ships)
- Assessment of non-technical measures
Assessment of measures
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Simplified flow chart
RAINS-ItalyActivity Levels Energy Scenario
Emission Scenarios Cost Curves
Deposition mapsConcentrations
Input Output
ControlStrategy
(AbatementTechnologies)
First results
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
NOx Emission Scenario for CAFE Program (national estimations)
First results (cont.)
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
PM Emission projections for the Lombardy Region (sector share)Estimated PM10 emissions at 2010 - sector share
Industry&Processes27%
Transport22%
Ships0%
Power Plants3%
Domestic26%
Refineries1%
Others6%
Mat.Handl.2%
Wastes4%
Agriculture9%
Data property : Italian Ministry for the Environment
First results (cont.)
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Sulphur deposition comparison AMS-EMEP (preliminary results)
First results (cont.)Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Ozone (SOMO35) comparison AMS-EMEP (preliminary results)
SOMO35, 1999
First results (cont.)Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
SOMO35, 1999
Deposition maps in RAINS-Italy
Example of SOx deposition map (mgS/m2/y) due to Emissions from the Lazio region, only.
Map elaborated by Rains-Italy Dep Module (Web version).Inventory data 1999 [IIASA, W. Schopp,]
Future developments
Italian Agency for New TechnologiesEnergy and the Environment
RAINS-NL Workshop, Bilthoven, February 3rd, 2005
Future potential improvements in RAINS-Italy
- Extention to the Heavy Metals
- Higher resolution of the grid (5x5 Km2)
- Extention to the GHGs