the plant-based opportunity - future food-tech summit · the new “feed” industry or sidestream...
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Copyright 2019 Good Food Institute. All rights reserved.
The Global Market for Plant-Based Products
David Welch
The Good Food Institute
June, 2019
Opportunities Across the Entire Supply Chain
How do we feed 10 billion people by 2050?
29% land 71% oceanEarth’s surface
71% habitable land10%
glaciers19% barren landLand surface
77% livestock
23%crops
Agricultural land
50% agriculture 37% forests11%
shrubHabitable land
1% urban
1% freshwater
33%Meat &
dairy
67%Plant-based
foodProtein supply
Adapted from OurWorldInData.org and based on UN FAO statistics
Animals are inefficient processors
9ENERGY
CALORIES
1FOOD CALORIE
= 11%CONVERTED
Plant proteins are far more sustainable
This is a consumer shift, not a fad
Source: Mintel, 2018; Supermarket News, 3/18/19; Innova
Meat substitutes accounted for 14% of global meat launches in the first nine months of 2018, up from 6%
in 2013
Eight out of ten Millennials eat meat alternatives
Sources: Mintel The Protein Report – Meat Alternatives - 2017
Mintel Meals Made with Meat Alternatives Leverage Plant Power October 2017
79% of millennials eat meat alternatives
“These numbers, coupled with the size and spending power of Millennials, indicates a strong potential market for meat
alternatives in the future.” - Billy Roberts, Sr. Food & Drink Analyst, Mintel
30%eat meat alternatives
every day
50%eat meat a few times
per week
37%plan to buy more meat alternatives
next year
Investors are seizing the plant-based opportunity
$16.9 BINVESTED
+32%DEAL COUNT (2017-2018)
212COMPLETED DEALS
214UNIQUE INVESTORS
Source: GFI custom PitchBook analysis of plant-based food companies (including fungi) 2010 – 2018 YTD
From source material to final product: How to achieve tastes and textures that mimic meat?
Plant-based Meat Production
SOURCE
The best source material for the end product is selected.
OPTIMIZE
The source material is optimized via breeding or engineering.
RAW MATERIAL OPTIMIZATION
Raw materials are isolated and functionalized by mechanical and chemical processes to create optimal ingredients for the end product.
END PRODUCT COMPOSITION AND PROCESS OPTIMIZATION
Final Product
The correct mix of ingredients and processes are established to create the desired taste, texture, smell, and structure
How to achieve tastes and textures that mimic meat?
NUTRITION
FUNCTIONALITY
PERFORMANCE
COST
PRECISION BREEDING
GENEEDITING
Optimizing Crops to Improve Raw Materials
Optimizing raw materials to improve the final product
Native tertiary protein
Cross-linking and texturization
MECHANICAL
ENZYMATIC
Four categories of alternative proteins to supply the global demand for meat, eggs, and dairy
ANIMAL CELL CULTURE
NON-ANIMAL CELL CULTURE
RECOMBINANT PROTEINS
PLANT-BASED PROTEINS
The new “feed” industry
OR
SIDESTREAM BIOMASS
• High utility for plant-based meat, egg, and dairy products
High molecular-weight proteins
• High utility for cell-based meat production; may need to supplement with fermented amino acids
Amino acids, small peptides
• High utility for microbial fermentation (production of ingredients, enzymes, growth factors, fungal protein) or scaffolding for cell-based meat
Simple sugars and longer
polysaccharides
Opportunities Across the Entire Supply Chain
PLANT-BASED FOOD
TECHNOLOGYCROP
ANALYSIS &OPTIMIZATION
FUNCTIONALANALYSIS
TRAITMAPPING
DIGITALPHENOTYPING
HIGHTHROUGHPUT
BREEDING
GENETICEDITING &
ENGINEERING
NOVELINGREDIENTS
AGRICULTURALTECHNOLOGY
COMPOSITION & PROCESS
OPTIMIZATION
COMPOSITIONALANALYSIS
STRUCTURALANALYSIS
SENSORYEVALUATION
PROCESSOPTIMIZATION
CHEMICALFUNCTION-ALIZATION
RAW MATERIALSOURCING &
OPTIMIZATIONMECHANICAL
FRACTIONATION
CHEMICALFRACTIONATION
BIOLOGICALFUNCTION-ALIZATION
MECHANICALFUNCTION-ALIZATION
COPYRIGHT 2016 GOOD FOOD INSTITUTE. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.