the obvious problem of plastic litteringcontent • the obvious problem of plastic littering,...

32
Elementary litter in life cycle inventories, approach and application Dr. Andreas Ciroth, Naomi Kouame September 2, 2019 LCM 2019, Poznan

Upload: others

Post on 25-Mar-2020

6 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Elementary litter in life cycle inventories, approach and application

Dr. Andreas Ciroth, Naomi Kouame

September 2, 2019

LCM 2019, Poznan

Page 2: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Content

• the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far

• a model to include plastic littering in LCA• application for ecoinvent 3.5, and some

example calculations• next steps, some existing limitations• conclusions

Page 3: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

the obvious problem of plastic littering

Page 4: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Distribution of litter types in different realms (1,036 publications)

Tekman, M.B., Gutow, L., Macario, A., Haas, A., Walter, A., Bergmann, M.: Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, https://litterbase.awi.de/litter

Page 5: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Distribution of litter type sizes in the Mediterranean sea

Cózar, Andrés & Sanz-Martín, Marina & Marti, Elisa & González-Gordillo, Juan & Úbeda, Bárbara & Á Gálvez, José & Irigoien, Xabier & Duarte, Carlos. (2015). Plastic Accumulation in the Mediterranean Sea.

Page 6: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Distribution of brake wear type sizes

Grigoratos, Theodoros & Martini, Giorgio. (2014). Brake wear particle emissions: a review. Environmental science and pollution research international. 22. 10.1007/s11356-014-3696-8.

Page 7: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)

LCA is often characterised as providing a “full picture”, a comprehensive overview of environmental performance

http://www.saint-gobain-facade-glass.com/sites/default/files/green_buildings/LCA%20leaflet%20Saint-Gobain%20Glass%20English.pdf

Page 8: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)

LCA is often characterised as providing a “full picture”, a comprehensive overview of environmental performance

..and yet still, things like littering and plastic litter especially are ignored in LCA.

Page 9: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

a model to include plastic littering in LCA

Page 10: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

→ Including occurring plastic litter in an LCA model, basic ideas

1. Plastic littering occurs due to events, these happen with a given probability

2. The probability depends on the process and on the flow (and maybe other things)

3. The result is a plastic elementary flow released to nature (that however eventually can be picked up afterwards)

Page 11: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

A framework: linking events in LCA inventory

INPUT Amount Unit

diesel, low-sulfur 0.07624796 kg

passenger car maintenance 1.08E-05 Item(s)

passenger car, diesel 0.01333333 kg

OUTPUT Amount Unit

transport, passenger car, large size, diesel, EURO 3 1 km

Carbon dioxide, fossil 0.23941859 kg

Nitrogen oxides 8.04E-04 kg

Carbon monoxide, fossil 7.93E-05 kg

Particulates, < 2.5 um 3.88E-05 kg

NMVOC, non-methane volatile organic compounds, unspecified origin 1.91E-05 kg

An example LCA unit process: transport, passenger car, large size, diesel, EURO 3

Page 12: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

A framework: linking events in LCA inventory

INPUT Amount Unit

diesel, low-sulfur 0.07624796 kg

passenger car maintenance 1.08E-05 Item(s)

passenger car, diesel 0.01333333 kg

accident with injury 0.4*1e-6 Events*

OUTPUT Amount Unit

transport, passenger car, large size, diesel, EURO 3 1 km

Carbon dioxide, fossil 0.23941859 kg

Nitrogen oxides 8.04E-04 kg

Carbon monoxide, fossil 7.93E-05 kg

Particulates, < 2.5 um 3.88E-05 kg

NMVOC, non-methane volatile organic compounds, unspecified origin 1.91E-05 kg

An example LCA unit process: transport, passenger car, large size, diesel, EURO 3, with accident

*This is the value for Germany, for 2017, https://www.bast.de/BASt_2017/EN/Publications/Media/Traffic-and-Accident-Data.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=7

Page 13: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

A framework: distinction of littering events, in processes

littering event probabilities, processes closed open

examples in airplane streetfood

use brushing teeth w. toothpaste w. microplastic

unforeseen disposal selling coffee in plastic cup

accidents transport, passenger car, EURO 3

Page 14: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

A framework: distinction of littering events, in processes

littering event probabilities, processes closed open

examples in airplane streetfood

use brushing teeth w. toothpaste w. microplastic 0.75* 1

unforeseen disposal selling coffee in plastic cup 0.0001 0.1

accidents transport, passenger car, EURO 3 0.001 1

*system is closed in principle but not for use: toothpaste use in airplane

Page 15: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

A framework: Littering probabilities of flows

Flow-inherent plastic littering

class probability

none 0

very low 0.000001

low 0.001

medium 0.1

high 0.5

very high 0.95

Page 16: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Flow-inherent plastic littering

class probability example

none 0 electricity

very low 0.000001 diesel generator

low 0.001 waste paper, unsorted

medium 0.1 used laptop computer

high 0.5 polystyrene scrap, post-consumer

very high 0.95 tyre wear emissions, lorry

A framework: Littering probabilities of flows

Page 17: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

(for LCA nerds:

)Weidema, Bo & Bauer, Christian & Hischier, Roland. (2013). Data quality guideline for the ecoinvent database version 3. Overview and Methodology Ecoinvent. Report 1 St. Gallen: The Ecoinvent Centre, p 75

Page 18: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

→ overall calculation:

amount of litter in process data set j per flow i=

litter probability flow i * litter probability process j * amount of flow i in process data set j

• (convert to mass where needed)

• processes can also be accidents (new process typically not existing in LCA databases)

total amount of litter for process j = sum of litter over all flows i of process j

Page 19: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

application to ecoinvent 3.5 (cut-off)

Page 20: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Results for all exchanges in all flows in ecoinvent 3.5

Page 21: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Results for all processes, aggregated, in ecoinvent 3.5

1E-17

1E-15

1E-13

1E-11

1E-09

0,0000001

0,00001

0,001

0,1

10

1000

100000

13

66

731

109

61

46

11

82

62

19

12

55

62

92

13

28

63

65

14

01

64

38

14

74

65

11

15

47

65

84

16

20

66

57

16

93

67

30

17

66

68

03

18

39

68

76

19

12

69

49

19

85

61

02

21

105

86

109

51

113

16

116

81

120

46

124

11

127

76

131

41

135

06

138

71

142

36

146

01

149

66

153

31

156

96

litter amount [kg] total per process, ei3.5

Page 22: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

1E-17

1E-15

1E-13

1E-11

1E-09

0,0000001

0,00001

0,001

0,1

10

1000

100000

13

38

675

101

21

34

91

68

62

02

32

36

02

69

73

03

43

37

13

70

84

04

54

38

24

71

95

05

65

39

35

73

06

06

76

40

46

74

17

07

87

41

57

75

28

08

98

42

68

76

39

10

09

43

79

77

41

01

11

104

48

107

85

111

22

114

59

117

96

121

33

124

70

128

07

131

44

134

81

138

18

141

55

144

92

litter amount [kg] total per process, ei3.5

road vehicle factory construction, 314,263.73 kg

Results for all processes, aggregated, in ecoinvent 3.5

Page 23: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Bus maintenance, CH, ecoinvent 3.5, results for litter (screenshot from openLCA)

Page 24: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Bus maintenance, CH, ecoinvent 3.5, results for litter (screenshot from openLCA)

Page 25: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

existing limitations and next steps

Page 26: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Further refinement

(E.g.:)

• countries –

different littering characteristics not yet considered

Algeria

Aluminium producing

area, EU27 and EFTA

countries

Angola

Argentina

Armenia

Asia

Australia

Austria

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Bangladesh

Belarus

Belgium

Benin

Bolivia, Plurinational

State of

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Botswana

Brazil

Brunei Darussalam

Bulgaria

Cambodia

Cameroon

Canada

Canada without Quebec

Canada, Alberta

Canada, British

Columbia

Canada, Manitoba

Canada, New Brunswick

Canada, Newfoundland

and Labrador

Canada, Northwest

Territories

Canada, Nova Scotia

Canada, Nunavut

Canada, Ontario

Canada, Prince Edward

Island

Canada, Québec

Canada, Yukon

Central European Power

Association

Chile

China

China Southern Power

Grid

China, Anhui (安徽)

China, Beijing (北京)

China, Chongqing (重庆)

China, Fujian (福建)

China, Gansu (甘肃)

China, Guangdong (广东)

China, Guangxi (广西壮

族自治区)

China, Guizhou (贵州)

China, Hainan (海南)

China, Hebei (河北)

China, Heilongjiang (黑龙江省)

China, Henan (河南)

China, Hubei (湖北)

China, Hunan (湖南)

China, Inner Mongol (内

蒙古自治区)

China, Jiangsu (江苏)

China, Jiangxi (江西)

China, Jilin (吉林)

China, Liaoning (辽宁)

China, Ningxia (宁夏回

族自治区)

China, Qinghai (青海)

China, Shaanxi (陕西)

China, Shandong (山东)

China, Shanghai (上海)

China, Shanxi (山西)

China, Sichuan (四川)

China, Tianjin (天津)

China, Xinjiang (新疆维

吾尔自治区)

China, Xizang (西藏自治

区)

China, Yunnan (云南)

China, Zhejiang (浙江)

Colombia

Congo

Congo, the Democratic

Republic of the

Costa Rica

Côte d'Ivoire

Croatia

Cuba

Curaçao

Cyprus

Czech Republic

Denmark

Dominican Republic

Ecuador

Egypt

El Salvador

Eritrea

Estonia

Ethiopia

Europe

Europe without Germany

and Switzerland

Europe without

Switzerland

Europe, without Russia

and Turkey

European Network of

Transmission Systems

Operators for Electricity

Finland

Florida Reliability

Coordinating Council

France

Gabon

Georgia

Germany

Ghana

Gibraltar

Global

Greece

Guatemala

Haiti

HICC

Honduras

Hong Kong

Hungary

IAI Area, Africa

IAI Area, Asia, without

China and GCC

IAI Area, Gulf

Cooperation Council

IAI Area, Russia & RER

w/o EU27 & EFTA

IAI Area, South America

Iceland

India

India, Andhra Pradesh

India, Arunachal Pradesh

India, Assam

India, Bihar

India, Chhattisgarh

India, Delhi

India, Eastern grid

India, Goa

India, Gujarat

India, Haryana

India, Himachal Pradesh

India, Jammu and

Kashmir

India, Jharkhand

India, Karnataka

India, Kerala

India, Madhya Pradesh

India, Maharashtra

India, Manipur

India, Meghalaya

India, Nagaland

India, North-eastern grid

India, Northern grid

India, Orissa

India, Puducherry

India, Punjab

India, Rajasthan

India, Sikkim

India, Southern grid

India, Tamil Nadu

India, Tripura

India, Uttar Pradesh

India, Uttarakhand

India, West Bengal

India, Western grid

Indonesia

Iran, Islamic Republic of

Iraq

Ireland

Israel

Italy

Jamaica

Japan

Jordan

Kazakhstan

Kenya

Korea, Democratic

People's Republic of

Korea, Republic of

Kosovo

Kuwait

Kyrgyzstan

Latin America and the

Caribbean

Latvia

Lebanon

Libya

Lithuania

Luxembourg

Macedonia, The Former

Yugoslav Republic of

Madagascar

Malaysia

Malta

Mauritius

Mexico

Middle East

Midwest Reliability

Organization, US part

only

Moldova, Republic of

Mongolia

Montenegro

Morocco

Mozambique

Myanmar

Namibia

Nepal

Netherlands

New Zealand

Nicaragua

Niger

Nigeria

Nordic Countries Power

Association

Northeast Power

Coordinating Council,

US part only

Northern America

Norway

Oceania

Oman

Pakistan

Panama

Papua New Guinea

Paraguay

Peru

Philippines

Poland

Portugal

Qatar

ReliabilityFirst

Corporation

RER w/o DE+NL+RU

Rest-of-World

Romania

Russian Federation

Saskatchewan

Saudi Arabia

Senegal

Serbia

SERC Reliability

Corporation

Singapore

Slovakia

Slovenia

South Africa

South Sudan

Southwest Power Pool

Spain

Sri Lanka

State Grid Corporation of

China

Sudan

Sweden

Switzerland

Syrian Arab Republic

Taiwan, Province of

China

Tajikistan

Tanzania, United

Republic of

Texas Regional Entity

Thailand

Togo

Trinidad and Tobago

Tunisia

Turkey

Turkmenistan

UCTE without Germany

Ukraine

Union for the Co-

ordination of

Transmission of

Electricity

United Arab Emirates

United Kingdom

United States

Uruguay

Uzbekistan

Venezuela, Bolivarian

Republic of

Viet Nam

Western Electricity

Africa

Alaska Systems

Coordinating Council

Albania

Algeria

Aluminium producing area, EU27 and EFTA countries

Angola

Argentina

Armenia

Asia

Australia

Austria

Azerbaijan

Bahrain

Bangladesh

Page 27: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Further refinement

(E.g.:)

• particle sizes not considered but quite some data available → input from impact model developers?

• the current values are worst case – cleaning and “remediation” activities not considered – could be added

( these plastic litter parts are “borderline” elementary flows and can be recaptured from the technosphere)

Page 28: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Limitations

(E.g.:)

• cigarette butts: very relevant in litter that is found today but (somehow) a smoking truck driver for example is not part of typical LCA datasets

• we need probably a different, “human behaviour” modelling perspective to include some aspect of littering

Page 29: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Limitations

(E.g.:)

• cigarette butts: very relevant in litter that is found today but (somehow) a smoking truck driver for example is not part of typical LCA datasets

• we need probably a different, “human behaviour” modelling perspective to include some aspect of littering

Page 30: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

conclusions

Page 31: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Conclusions

• an approach was presented to include plastic littering in LCA models

• the approach combines littering event probabilities with flow littering

probabilities

• this could close a relevant “blind spot” in LCA

• an application to ecoinvent 3.5 shows so far reasonable results

• it will be refined and then released as add-on

• some aspects require probably a different, additional modelling from a

human behaviour perspective (smoking truck driver)

Page 32: the obvious problem of plastic litteringContent • the obvious problem of plastic littering, ignored by LCA so far • a model to include plastic littering in LCA • application

Contact: Dr. Andreas Ciroth

GreenDelta GmbHMüllerstrasse 135, 13349 Berlin, [email protected]