the noaa hydrology program and its requirements for goes-r pedro j. restrepo senior scientist office...
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Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
The NOAA Hydrology Program and its requirements for
GOES-RPedro J. Restrepo
Senior ScientistOffice of Hydrologic DevelopmentNOAA’s National Weather Service
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Contents
• NOAA’s Hydrology Program– Program Description– Where is the Hydrology Program going– Observation Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Hydrologic Time and Space Scales
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NWS Hydrologic Service Delivery
National--NCEP
Major River Basin-RFC
Forecast Points-WFO
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NWS River Forecast System
AnalysisHistorical Data
Calibration(Hydrologic andHydraulic Models)
Calibration System (CS)
Real-Time Observed and Forecast Data
Operational Forecast System (OFS)
Ensemble Streamflow
Prediction (ESP) System
Hydrologicand
Hydraulic Models
Analysis and DataAssimilation
Hydrologic andHydraulic Models
short term forecasts
current states
StatisticalAnalyses
ProbabilisticShort term toExtended
time
Analysiswindow
Interactive Forecast Program (IFP)
InteractiveAdjustments
flow
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Conceptual Catchment Representation
Evapo-transpiration
Rainfall
Infiltration
Soil moisture storage
Groundwater storage
Fast flow
Percolation
Slow flow
Base flow
Total flow
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Hydrologic Applications of Satellite Data
• Multi-sensor precipitation estimates
• Freezing level and potential evaporation observations and forecasts
• Data assimilation• Temperature and precipitation
forecast grids for use with distributed models
• Land surface input variables for atmospheric and hydrologic models
• Snow cover and snow water equivalent
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Hydrologic Modeling Approaches
1. Rainfall and soil properties averaged over basin
2. One rainfall/runoff model
3. Prediction at only one point
1. Rainfall and soil properties in each grid/polygon
2. Rainfall/runoff model in each grid/polygon
3. Prediction at many points
4.4. New forecast information such as soil New forecast information such as soil moisture and evaporationmoisture and evaporation
Lumped Distributed (high resolution)
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Programwhere is it going?
• High-resolution distributed hydrologic modeling– High resolution observations of precipitation, temperature,
snow cover, snow water equivalent, soil moisture.
• Hydraulic models– High resolution observations of river and reservoir/lake
stage.
• Community Hydrologic Modeling System• Mud slide models
– High resolution observations of precipitation, soil moisture, land cover observations
• Water Resources
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Water Resources
Rivers & Streams
Reservoirs & Lakes
The Great Lakes
Watershed Conditions
Wetlands
Estuaries
Coasts
“Any of the entire range of the Earth’s natural watersthat are of potential use to humans”
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Water Resources Themes and Objectives
Socio-Economic Needs and Benefits– Multidisciplinary social science studies with demonstrations of product
and service benefits
Water Resource Data Assimilation– Doppler radar dual polarization and satellite quantitative precipitation,
snow, satellite vegetation, soil moisture, evaporation, tides, estuary water quality
Fresh Water Forecasting– High spatial resolution water resources information grids– Daily to seasonal probabilistic forecasts– Improved forecast information for extreme events (floods and droughts)
Estuary-Fresh Water Ecosystem Predictions– Fresh water forecast information directly incorporated into assessments
of ecosystem stress– Routine predictions of coastal water conditions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Program Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Program Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Program Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Program Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
NOAA’s Hydrology Program Requirements
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Thank You!
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Gap-Filling:Radar Mosaic
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Precipitation Field from Hydroestimator
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Radar Mosaic filled with Hydroestimator
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Present Hydrologic Use of GOES Data
CNRFC rain gauge network shows gauge density is uneven
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
CNRFC Effective Radar Coverage
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
CNRFC Dec 17, 2002Hydroestimator Bias Cor. Hydroestimator
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Raingage + HydroestimatorMerged
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Water PredictionsforLife Decisions
Bias Correction and Data Merging