the new it era - irdp.org · trend #2: cloud computing the cloud hype is over. expect deployments...

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IT Megatrend & E-Government Assoc.Prof.Dr.Thanachart Numnonda Executive Director IMC Institute September 2014 2 Mainframe Client/Server Web Generation Cloud Computing The new IT era

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IT Megatrend

&

E-Government

Assoc.Prof.Dr.Thanachart Numnonda

Executive Director

IMC Institute

September 2014

2

Mainframe Client/ServerWeb Generation

Cloud Computing

The new IT era

3

The next phase of the Internet

Connectivity

Intelligence Machines

Big Data and Analytics

Cloud

4

Cloud ComputingCloud Computing transforms IT

Big DataBig Data transforms Business

5

6

Trend #1 Smartphone/Tablet Explosion:

Post-PC Era

7

Trend #1: Smartphone/Tablet Explosion

The era of PC dominance with Windows as the single platform will be replaced with a post-PC era where Windows is one of a variety of environments IT

Through 2018, the growing variety of devices, computing styles, user contexts and interaction paradigms will make "everything everywhere" strategies unachievable

Thailand Mobile Subscribers 89.98 Million, Penetration Rate 131.84%

8

Worldwide Devices Shipments

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Smartphone Marketshare Q1: 2014

Source IDC

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Tablet Marketshare Q1: 2014

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12

Trend #2 Cloud Computing:

From Personal Cloud to SaaS

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Trend #2: Cloud Computing

The Cloud hype is over. Expect deployments to increase significantly in 2014.

IT users will familiar with personal cloud, especially personal storage.

The personal cloud era will mark a power shift away from devices toward services.

Users will use a collection of devices, with the PC remaining one of many options, but no one device will be the primary hub.

SME/Home users will start explore and use public SaaS.

14

Google Trends [Thailand]

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16

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18Source : PwC Global 100 Software Leaders March 2014

Top 20 SaaS vendors

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Trend #3 Online Consumerization:

Social Networks / 3G /Broadband

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Trend #3: Online Consumerization

People are now always on the internet, more people have 3G and broadband access.

Online consumerization is not only devices, but also personal cloud, apps (E-mail, Collaboration tools), cloud stoarge (Dropbox, Goolgle Drive) and social netowrks (Facebook, Line)

21

Internet Usage in Thailand

Internet Users : 23.86 million, penetration 35.8% [TrueHits, July 2013]

Internet Broadband 4.55 million users penetration 22.7% per household[NBTC, July 2013]

3G Users 18.6 Million[AIS, DTAC, True, Q1 2013]

22

Social Networks Populationin Thailand 2013

28 Million 24 Million 4 Million 5.3 MillionVideos

Source : ZocialRank.com

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Four Screens per User

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Source : We Are Social 2012

Source : Nielsen Thailand study 2013

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Trend #4 Mobile Applications:

Cross Platform with HTML5

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Trend #4: Mobile Applications

Gartner predicts that through 2014, improved JavaScript performance will begin to push HTML5 and the browser as a mainstream enterprise application development environment.

Nevertheless, native apps won't disappear, and will always offer the best user experiences and most sophisticated features.

Apps will continue to grow while applications will begin to shrink. Apps are smaller, and more targeted, while a larger application is more comprehensive

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The Store Index

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Mobile Web

A design approach that optimises users’ viewing experiences across a wide range of devices.

Pro:● it is your website, so costs are

minimised and service iteration simplified

● uses open standards (HTML5)● no gatekeepers to constrain

access● performance still good● clear winning strategy for ‘utility’

services

Con:● not persistent on device● some device features

unavailable● requires internet connection● not snappy enough for some

complex services (eg Spotify, Facebook, Skype)

● no ‘download and buy’ revenue stream

31

Native Apps

Native apps are downloadable software applications that run using the device’s operating system code and APIs.

Pro:● revenue (download and buy)● persistent presence on device● can access all functions on a

device● snappier performance in

general● can be used offline, in some

cases

Con:● expensive to develop and

maintain● needs several different versions ● can only be downloaded via

gatekeeper app stores ● most apps are rarely

downloaded, and even then hardly used

32

Trend #5 Bring Your Own Devices:Flexible Of2ce/Workers

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Trend #5: BYOD

The unexpected consequence of bring your own device (BYOD) programs is a doubling or even tripling of the size of the mobile workforce.

Nearly 60 percent of companies provide smart phones to support their employees' work. [IDC]

Half of companies now allowed allow employees to use personally owned devices to access the corporate network. [Vmware; Thailand]

nterprise policies on employee-owned hardware usage need to be thoroughly reviewed and, where necessary, updated and extended.

34

Traditional IT

- Highly Infrastructure

- Desktop-�xed Device

-Data in Silos

-Individual Productivity

35

New Trends

- Lightweight IT

- BYOD

-Resource/Data anywhere

-Flexible Of�ce

-Collaboration

36

Trend #6 IaaS:

Migreate Servers to Cloud

37

Cloud Computing changeIT as electricity industry

38

Trend #6: IaaS

Enterprises should design private cloud services with a hybrid future in mind and make sure future integration/interoperability is possible.

Cloud/client computing models are shifting.

The client is a rich application running on an Internet-connected device, and the server is a set of application services hosted in an increasingly elastically scalable cloud computing platform.

39

Cloud Market in Thailand

มูลค่าปี 2556 ประมาณ 2,220 - 2,330 ล้านบาท หรือคิดเป็นอัตราการเติบโตประมาณ 16.7% - 22.1%

40

IaaS Impacts!

Local data centers will provide cloud services

IaaS is not just a normal hosting; it requires large investment on a data center.

Different architecture and business model.

Fewer large cloud data center in ASEAN will survive

Need to compete with big giants; Amazon, Google, Oracle, etc.

41

IaaS

42

Trend #7 Internet of things:

Connected Anywhere, Anytime and Anydevices

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The Internet of Things

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Trend #7: Internet of things

The Internet is expanding beyond PCs and mobile devices into enterprise assets such as field equipment, and consumer items such as cars and televisions.

Over 50% of Internet connections are things.

Enterprises should not limit themselves to thinking that only the Internet of Things (i.e., assets and machines) as the potential to leverage the four "internets” (people, things, information and places).

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Google Glass Nike Fuelband Jawbone UP

Basis Band Sony SmartwatchMis�t Shine

Wearable Technology: The Next Big Things

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Google Glass

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Glass API

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Feature Glassware

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60

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Trend #8 M-Commerce:

From e-Commerce to mobile payment

62

Trend #8: M-Commerce

E-Commerce market in Thailand was estimated at 340,903 million baht in 2011. [NSO]

E-Commerce market in Thailand is expected to reach almost Bt15 billion in 2013 [Paypal]

E-Commerce usage in Thailand in 2011-2012 is estimated to be at 67% and M-Commerce is at 37%: One of the top growing country in Asia [MasterCard]

51% of Thai people ever purchase goods via smartphones. [OurMobilePlanet]

63

Internet/Mobile Banking in Thailand

Source : Bank of Thailand; April 2013

Internet Banking: 7,000,598 accounts; Transaction 1,663 Billion Bahts

Mobile Banking: 969,977 accounts; Transaction 53 Billion Bahts

64

Mobile Payment in Thailand

Source: OurMobilePlanet, August 2013

65

Mobile Purchase via Smartphone (Ever)

Source: OurMobilePlanet, August 2013

66

Trend #9 Big Data:

BI in a Big Data World

67

Trend #9: Big Data

Growth of Internet of Things, Social Network, results in explosion of new data.

Low cost storage.

Volume, variety and velocity of incoming data streams.

Big Data technology and service market is expected to grow from $3.2 billion in 2010 to $16.9 billion in 2015 [IDC]

By 2015, 4.4 million IT jobs globally will be created to support Big Data [Gartner]

68

The Rise of Big Data

69

Data Growth

70

Big Data Landscape

71

Google Trends

Thailand

Worldwide

72

“By 2015. 50% of Enterprise data will run on

Hadoop platform”

Yahoo

73

Popular NoSQL/New SQL Distributions

74

Big Data as distributed, scale-out, sharded data

stores

Popular MPP Distributions

75

Big Data Solution

Sensors Devices Bots CrawlersERP CRM LOB APPs

Unstructured and Structured Data

Parallel Data Warehouse

Hadoop On

Cloud

Hadoop On

Private

ServerConnectors

S

S

R

S

BI Platform

Familiar End User Tools

Spreadsheet Embedded BIPredictive Analytics

Data Market Place

Data Market

Petabytes of Data

(Unstructured)

Hundreds of TB of Data

(structured)

76

Trend #10 Augmented Reality:

Changing our daily life

77

Trend #10: Augmented Reality

AR is gradually becoming a mass technology in various domains of our daily life.

Mobile AR is definitely one of the hottest augmented reality trends 2013, which will drive the entire AR industry in the future.

The revolution of Eye Wear is around the corner. Driven by the possible advent of Google Glass.

The augmented reality applications market is expected to be $5,155.92 million by 2016 [Research and Markets]

78

Examples

79

Conclusion: Top IT Trends for Thailand 2014

#1 Smartphone/Tablet Explosion

#2 SaaS Cloud Computing

#3 Online Consumerization

#4 Mobile Applications

#5 BYOD

#6 IaaS

#7 Internet of Things

#8 M-Commerce

#9 Big Data

#10 Augmented Reality

80

E-Government

81

UN E-Government Survey

82

UN E-Government Survey 2014

83

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Thailand: EGDI

85

Top Cities in Digital Governance

Source: Rutgers University

86

Waseda E-Government Ranking 2014

87

WEF Government online Services 2014

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89

Korea E-Government

90

Source: Seoul e-Government

91

Seoul promotes Data Centric

Source: Seoul e-Government

92

● Mobile infrastructure designed for collaboration and sharing

● Mobile-based city administration led by citizens

● Mobile-based, customized aggressive welfare

● Mobile-based economy pursuing balanced growth

● Mobile culture available in the palm of your hand

● A safe, smart mobile city

Mobile-oriented administrative services

Source: Seoul e-Government

93

History of Seoul’s e-Government

Source: Seoul e-Government

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100

“Standalone mobile apps will only be considered once the core web service

works well on mobile devices, and if specifically agreed with the Cabinet Office”

The November 2012 Digital Strategy

UK Government’s position on Mobile Apps

101

UK Government’s position

Native apps could not be developed without Cabinet Office approval.

Ensuring your service meets the Digital by Default Service Standard means it will work well on mobile devices.

Making your data and application programming interface (API) available for reuse

102

USA.gov Apps Gallery

Launched in July 2010 with 20 apps

Now have over 115 apps: 73 iPhone, 35 Android, 14 iPad, 4 Blackberry, 46 mobile sites)

Over 1.37 million visits

103

104

NASA App FBI's Most wanted WhiteHouse.gov

US Postal Services Army Info &News Transportation Security

Cool US Government Apps

105

IRS2go BMI CalculatorAHRQ Electronic

Preventive Services

Library of Congress Smithsonian Channel

Cool US Government Apps

USA Jobs

106

www.facebook.com/imcinstitute

107

Thank you

[email protected]

www.imcinstitute.com

www.facebook.com/imcinstitute

www.slideshare.net/imcinstitute